Polybot Research

Multi-strategy research

Negative-risk all-YES baskets

This shadow strategy only evaluates deterministically approved, standard Polymarket negative-risk events. It never submits orders or calls conversion endpoints.

Enabled · 1 active relationships · 0 REST-confirmed opportunities

Discovered233
Approved117
Gross underrounds20258
REST confirmed0
Paper profitable0

Relationships

RelationshipKindStateMembersActiveDifferences / quarantine reasonSemantics hash
Fed Decision in September?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Truenone8b586a9c3a91a404ed78c91566c6533a1cd71d02db8cc6f6eb2ac578611fac39
UEFA Champions League: 2027 Championexclusive_exhaustivequarantined36Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed6d91ea57130dbf9b01eb9c1dff4a196c9410b175674d1a634ee9c157185e4735
FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimtexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed84933b56bfae130fa19b12a603012ba912ce95feca6aed1995d8cdb09d017bf3
Brazil Presidential Electionexclusive_exhaustivequarantined19Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed97d7c878b078200e7b8f87c020c7a0c505a19b09001d9320db1d745fc530679a
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)exclusive_exhaustivequarantined5Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed260b242f2fa24b111981834d1383e8b3477d6580c2a80d5b05b479595ac289e1
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026exclusive_exhaustivequarantined19Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed0d01a54b2f407b0024decad74fdcb0eab7879bbb78e38d75c24ad8b18c89256c
Pro Football: 2027 Championexclusive_exhaustivequarantined32Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed3c58987d964c1b58e0b2dbb8cd6f6056d6cfdaae7e9e2a749c270302cf8c8d2a
2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)exclusive_exhaustivequarantined4Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedcbd4e8e52c7d736ab21a2c5b7b1c8ca893f67cd04c4a9cc47058afd701b3bf7b
Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined20Falseincomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed296697729f1b7f8dd13137e334f5b399222ca32018c1baa644241b6654449d9f
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined19Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedb7f6a576e5c0e27e96dbfea838dc25af040cf57074fadaea1249d6e830875a97
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, inconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed56b8bb8240e3823a0a798709d973b37ba753cfe02606fa3b68d8ad6095b13b62
NBA: 2027 Championexclusive_exhaustivequarantined30Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed97d019332446e819e8451b93c5c30c1ccab9363af4936ba2f4ffeedf7e8e96cb
Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Romaexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed1e7d1fa5c046a2afb39876ab38ece6f0ae7745fdf46223c0466f0d6d750d66f8
Which company has the best AI model end of September?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined21Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changedb2f818b49862c5e3b073cf7922b3d9a1776686c47f596bc9715fcb61bf8825e5
Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FKexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changedb6d23a3c6cb77fb3a68d5486bd5c1a94057dbf3cbba58ebd7cd484eb4c5b4d76
Bundesliga: 2027 Championexclusive_exhaustivequarantined18Falsemissing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed8de6e45db2b4ecd5c37565bb383838248f7f505359cbb9aabe91999d94512af5
Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzigexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed9cf4f23e0dfd7a9f5368dbd6ab48d3b27e5744ad5f350ce4375bb67147ca8d58
EPL: 2027 Championexclusive_exhaustivequarantined20Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedbad84dd62deb8d06c9da4c29b3e8eb8ab99ba0953c3b0f69ab54980b69eb7b77
Balance of Power: 2026 Midtermsexclusive_exhaustivequarantined5Falseexplicit_other_outcome, semantics_changed3c9c9c3a6782aca11a009eac2c2ac0445b3ddbe6a78694616c03135082ea409e
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved13Falsenone174661f392e95be01e5ed43b0a0a45f56c67c3a1044998c6ff5e69498d563254
Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoned5d060a2ff233ffbc70c9649251b73e341ebd0a7522d5e1085432ad7cb4cd678
Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined25Falseincomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed90eed6919f9c1a3435bd864dd5f3fd8a926a6a6938973e42ae045ccff3640114
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined18Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed8063c4723157e7e806124de26d266f43ea461d2748b6c6fd3695d8c0b2d52cee
Next Prime Minister of Swedenexclusive_exhaustivequarantined10Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed712f8be1596ff3ff590ba62ce87f5d8f50114c5516d84e51214f203f03e6cacb
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone9aae8ed2d9cef4a316e4db374fe5010852c32949d7f3a3987020cebccafb9b13
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined14Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed1c45534d12eb1ac00810dc7b5531a5e11bcec9aad48c99fb34fd56186270ac0c
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonedcb161f208dff9cc6dcaa7833aaa118fe522e955c61f9a9735229364191073fb
LALIGA: 2027 Championexclusive_exhaustivequarantined21Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changedaa28c571a7e01acbd884ac0dc15610cf7791fef8df0dbb908d6d8eb4805d3144
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone85dcbedd0255de35fb60ef76ebde8216986231782da99707a548e709b8cb370e
Largest Company end of December 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed2defebd13e82a2087817b80e8f969818f01fc5ced1ec0158074e7bc4907fc62a
F1 Drivers' Championexclusive_exhaustivequarantined14Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed8bac0f996452cd2872989ca98787cdc26a52c468b7795cb10db0c2539dc3cfc0
Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneede33820625a49bd39cf8b712e29df9ba1bbf3047be854a4f38f1876c4963617
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 9?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonec1ca2f9b026435af9e54ad717492e0e09ac5846aef346a0d1c31cf17f22d751a
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetskexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed986d2e13b75e9a168a6d5623b485274b96ab5bc49f6c99cc14a9f7f114794f44
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined9Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed02ef93c26e6f9cf75eb84648f0b3fc22006900c7b9be1bf2df56e53005fd365d
Maine Senate Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, missing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedd48b4623583f7f491a8885253cbbf04d9c9de5f4e9241d0c99b7a5b54ebf588a
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone4b7109e3eff39087fdf63bb5badfd14f0cecf2106b6bad62128fa9c52edda550
Highest temperature in Miami on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonefb7c777d076fe57f4245b1275d345a30349337965eac32b031917a06651149c1
Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined5Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed58c28efd5d29d180217ef80546c610f97cc37070aa100bc7e2e660e789ab9620
Levante UD vs. FC Barcelonaexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed4620ac7edd71c5706d2f2f6352eb4d421e1c5ca90cc0f88954818b814cca4e5d
MLB World Series Champion 2026exclusive_exhaustivequarantined27Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed36aca074e07e4b1cfd0a6bef664fe574a8bfceab26f9f6d88786cb520cf590d4
Ohio Senate Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, missing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedf38a65f443c38aca2216556779a103b04d997c0416e19e96a5cb558a5a18c23e
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved7Falsenonea81fb859965be02b127d4b1b671e6a0597a93234dcf9808a47716a734422a6a0
Test Series England vs Pakistan: England vs Pakistanexclusive_exhaustiveapproved3Falsenonecdcdd58f0cb97ea15eb448fae9a696e3600e327eee3201a8bef03f6e9af44ad7
Bitcoin price on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneab534aaeba1c3b579ba59a0afdbbb989ea2e2675d717493f1d4d70e782b65ecf
Which party will win the House in 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed9ed79d66eec71f04c28e70b19f014ede9475043fe799a6c3cde19387f0c36830
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonec7bfefbd3e2929199c0ebad2390b41609697d4b096533c9c52abe8753c242fca
Largest Company end of September?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined9Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedbcccc42f75942320dbd09a318f3ac55a4db73f8697c8bf286f25ba23d1fa2831
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined15Falseexplicit_other_outcome, semantics_changedd373006801a8b20f95eb106bad83cd6ddea3c9bdccca7d0ff8f7eab3b466d0df
Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone8b9a512ea72dff96a352e94a764d5d8478cd98ecad0ba5e1e1c41a723e5a91eb
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone675f2e9e0132125a77c9c7e9e4497d80788d0be59058346a2aeb246b95711386
Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FCexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changedc0a445f811fb8b9b9c3cf1461e31d0987d384aa03bc365da2b95be0316710440
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed7fd912fed3b5b577cc30319dd59733917f956fdc44cd618d9e90de6e4b73fa72
Israeli Legislative Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined6Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed0f1b6568e4729b880e89c8425293d4bac7451452c5c204a2e98532be58d06e63
Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed2766f270efc52ab27cb78ca2ff3b606fd43d7d133695d569a22762a5b7cad6a6
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Falsenonee362c139401855eb294a118c3176bf705680e3b9a8fb10f6c8389ab45529ca52
Bank of Russia decision in September?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved3Falsenonee12fc53a2d0be74b58b742605c83192daaabc2ddd97764cf1b9189c124bba4bc
Fed Decision in October?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Falsenoned976378c0c3448dcd836acd3030c142e292322da4962003925817225e3dcbf0e
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined19Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed9ffec426755b84ee72f63899cdd511951ceeefc61d5f29af298621a6eb9d7564
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone3a4ea9612d6551ecbc814c67abd1b9ea29c61a9398ae3804ae940395172769ca
ECB Interest Rates: September 2026exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Falsenone54a4ac7709daf897333da81fe16d516122494c6e5ab4e589e1af999393306ded
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonebd4cfe6d33fc65bbf818761d973e21d166993ad86fbcd0faea16c2f59c1f6278
Highest temperature in Taipei on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonedc53a55130b855b00421ebcfb8dd39237ab925be1cd2883eacfb9b1e327ef85d
Berlin State Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedcd676bd8e13dd00f6854fc9c8f3630025892046a12707dc0d5cd3632da5fd370
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone27eb38385e5fbc71674adc077d46002e63375a16b86b84bde398ec2449470261
FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt - Exact Scoreexclusive_exhaustiveapproved17Falsenoneb39d03a7d6fd7d7db534587fee67486857dc82bcf10061935d81f37e47d83616
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined11Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed9aee2498be37c268c60421d3e3d5b8f856ca56531d9b0c1152735c040fa1a566
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changeded3c85559e223d8a0c1c305ceec797ae3389591a5e4bdb0bdeabcb389ab523c4
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone1bdeb085421da9586dd35d6d696bfd55b4b7a162e3d6ed60f75904ad84b0f27a
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone798c5b652bf6b9790f01b268fb445b72ee53a727b73803e4694dea21a7cea9d5
August Inflation US - Monthlyexclusive_exhaustiveapproved9Falsenone661f81d900c3c8dc8655a3ba0c68706b00f0e10f3c8e51556163a66078f7aabc
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneb2bf67f1d93d9c04fe565b61cdb26f803abffb7084cc5268d3cdc9ce3d717b6d
Highest temperature in Manila on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonefb129bf309c7e3f7b72db5ec5993ce456559e12ab09f6f89f7fc938fdd41c320
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined15Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed6b7096fc887ee05a2f5f6397f9dbd007938c8ed4b75dbd382c8afe35bb590b16
Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved4Falsenoneddb83df7e8f69d98879b76a09ce0876f79ad0594cd9b067bdf088ef4dfc5063a
Next James Bond actor?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined24Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changedb08a0eceafd0450d85779104a598bda0c2a2fe79ea4973fbbdd8ad8734f2e8f7
Los Angeles Mayoral Electionexclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed41a09e2274802d730b97721321f6750abdc2c26d27f2c67a30de70b7763f8d45
Highest temperature in Seattle on September 9?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneab91852f823138332c900f666917e1cb95e5ee3ab0138d3c89bb1335804a2d3b
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonef9a10b18e64726a30e960a2b009985aa105e88b2fce6df06af50225a7cee91eb
Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined29Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed29735bb2a8c05dfabfe5842d0587105e93cd20a15fffcc6051bf1cb8819ca66f
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined19Falseexplicit_other_outcome, semantics_changed47530f2eaa99aaa2656b005437dfdee7a5505f8f80e7cd45ca79ac37d91ae15d
Highest temperature in Paris on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone13b7849ca5876e5ef460bb1c36f7e677a48f30f92834fffa2369ca9a675563c1
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Falsenoneae639c58d46f450c38f85ae2e7baf99c1b2a9a988962a09cd05e3f16120f4e6a
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneebd9ce73cd114b7096d5c6d401f3e9c8ed7d19e0cc465ff96c7dbcf755609438
Ligue 1: 2027 Championexclusive_exhaustivequarantined18Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed2d42421b0b624f2e37cd712edba211cfb418fca57b362c9384985ece6fd2867e
Highest temperature in Houston on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone2159e5b170c92ba2a9f1a152df48197427aaf826d315138157bce76487ddce4f
Venezuela leader end of 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined16Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedb90444d820afb4b1b7672708f31d080a75f9fd6efc0e1f9de53893467c33739a
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026exclusive_exhaustivequarantined20Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed796ce614d4d64395699033635eff3253fba3b8043234ec666bee9d7f7932a643
Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion exclusive_exhaustivequarantined16Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed03131e6629d80148a21c7edea8af61dc1d129cd0544abe6dbb31a96aef92143b
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone45f5da98d366d349f03ee07ba4d5a887edb6790b4bd9fc1ef140bbc0e16b8255
Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone5fe217dcc7804738171a8919492180d4524a712330a83c1b719002fdfaff0d12
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victoryexclusive_exhaustivequarantined11Falseexplicit_other_outcome, semantics_changed09ffc9986ca8e208a8f8a32ca9afd1df9dea04ab90d0a9d1e40927b6ba570b27
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonef16f132b9a3be295652f605d7ff1c0c61746829b5f94a58b52092fa1acb4c634
SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lensexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed8877e7ee70ec9d5ce3556e29c898e890b815bab20125a313079a26d9822f8594
Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined12Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedfcd035a73f1bb80e40248dee3fa1c98643747e10fb062e32bf330dfd05058a97
MLS Cup Winner 2026exclusive_exhaustivequarantined30Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed358057033a18e65d18cef8fcd080a0b7496194e396926d426add6125d58802d8
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonef0a44e3ed9bd9a25e6c47b85f96a0e5d0793ecd5f5e457880f6f2f6acc0a5d1c
Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined26Falsetoo_many_outcomes, semantics_changed40f5ca89d93127a873979892c64e3265ac9a73c97558ef5ceee36b21598a35f2
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone3415257df4635794f70a9fe349832cc5c745fd58f1194da5a906690000124e64
Highest temperature in Busan on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone973bd0b1d5002be433a023b1f2decfcc2549bf1531cd9576581417a2bb3d7e4f
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined14Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed5a3e75d5330514d492015543f5cde960fc122bcfc330ca882b47bb1a4cb89ee7
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone306e697cc898d43b0badc17e8e10602471b4ed6d8fbf8db585d016a125b9ed25
Top Spotify Artist 2026exclusive_exhaustivequarantined10Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed6a1d94d8377e8fce3512a4a4d64120cfc57485b5203619e30cd17af97076553b
Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone80c4b7db1d0cfa74cd3047f8f9fd96ad31f2d69e74ca82216fe74a39adac7274
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneb0288e1d550205257e7024b97b5e11666dcb8ffee388818ae1042e3b20884034
Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madridexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changedcb8e2fa70bd52fe6623ceff2a9a68c55fc0eb7d0c30c87995bf2408d11cab6d6
Highest temperature in Austin on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonecd573a46bbd223517a1bf50bd9e05f8449de7b01d1c16040c64e9da4e925eb9c
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved7Falsenone777de6bb0652e3fd28575e78ccaa84246f1b0e5a753102fe72edf5e22b187299
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined9Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedda1c95f46d2c81b56e467373698782334afd24ec394312f47be1d0e791b6881d
Highest temperature in NYC on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone9277248e39e1f86b5c9104a7b7fcbaefea5455982494b002f144047ded9af7f1
Bank of Japan Decision in September?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Falsenone5216c43926e44ab1f9afa0d586a4769b20a810f99275469c7c7e16d8b9eb0658
Texas Senate Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, missing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changeddaded069128b5b4574abc8d4bab6490326d9b93325f7ff9e010077a98840a831
Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined5Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedc4bc90b908872f8cc9894c8b682a9fa2e0b2a5b72d2a93cc63f25fa277206223
Highest temperature in Milan on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoned682c8c1c76675f2c03620ebff0501321894767ef4e04ad3e9e54ccd8596a4fc
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined46Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed68ce23539392cf6e1fcad5f89f7401f63ad3f3e284e33dc91c11408b2e163186
Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved10Falsenone61f1f24420ee43f511f3182efae64dcc3424541698cc92561101efe999f12c14
How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseincomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed8eabf10f5bc2acc3ac385d552b3cf29e44936e632b53293531f63f3206b6a560
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Capexclusive_exhaustiveapproved10Falsenone55a910fffed7105ed0b7f1a5ad01c4a920929d3f047d8e7025dc2560398dc6b4
Core CPI MoM - August 2026exclusive_exhaustiveapproved7Falsenoned360b7b87c2b34d2fd6e8e1427e2a2101c86b5788961ce381afc710e7b6295f5
Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved4Falsenone19e19027bee43833532c02d285d5a43e6ec53e53ba3d120dbd94d736decd2255
Highest temperature in London on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone6b8477a80b5319a5d8f03cf196d2125c2da11ec105abcf9203898616f95b85c6
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined9Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedebf777ea5939a25031c14cdd6de37fed8cfb41c88b2504c28da506963623c24e
Highest temperature in Singapore on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone2b2e4d45e93db41c2e2ee1820f433a3412c30f4d06a7caf77c4fc99e082c293b
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Falsenoneb9b1ed58b5a4da6af86cf107a2d59bca7416ea4adca66ac1b09c68a8241b004f
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone6bb8bf4cb863dcfab9d32ec80db866b0213e64f47ae0f358454f0c943206c853
# of views of MrBeast video on day 5?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved7Falsenonee713f462dc14ff02365e34f4e5a92be6615c6db328885148b9252300117ddfd2
Ethereum price on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoned485f716a6032bf80cc0bc51810c892090d7bd871117d741ed7fef31061691b8
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved6Falsenonec7a2ccad3942dda2b0606e532ba221ee93408888386f1d4d42f1d21c20f826de
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoned8bad3e5db8d5e52a0493e98963844c30950027915b2ec8a3d1fa3b7cb30cecd
White House # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseincomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed9914045a5fd8d2a22b322f425e45f7a032cbf8fd1396805e5e0844a7a11cd6ba
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonea26fccfa61697e7e1ebe00b6272ae57b05e6fc3239313639daabfbb5344d4dde
How many Emmys will “DTF St. Louis” win?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved6Falsenone04837043a1929b3344fbeb859303f01b37d4a27d6f2a244bba4af079e75b4b1f
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone41ee619a83ea702959aab5557a1d41d1708792819b5f573e98c322fa675d44bd
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone99a5e2845383f2d798a2f49c934a4623ae68e5fdad7ecc1b14f26f22c2d35702
Bitcoin price on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone9294e4d0e765603e6ce9b1d06cbc2b91bbba04cc36470cb7cf2e845158962798
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonea506ab729d8566fd99d72d0ee831eb3f0c7d5ba07afb1db09e332b2f5ad5ed5b
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonec65a8f06e9b402c62da25252678d84e8f5451007e92c8f99928b306805d81a09
CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Bragaexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changedf051ebc8affb59ab2f257d1b5f8bf9e5898a1cea0caff6c143f366f1f521c05d
Next Prime Minister of Romania?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined36Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, inconsistent_event_semantics, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed44446cf85fbdcc099fd79bb61f8d460b6e6fdc1a8658a7d712115dd715914f39
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonecc1af2690af3d12c6b6a5a5499938e76c24b827be065f6254f64bd59be372684
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone85d2b5d82c2de747150dc623eb56a99f796e235d9bb635f215f460ee2172ca7e
August Inflation US - Annualexclusive_exhaustiveapproved12Falsenoneda7867724348555f2fbfb49f9b1385561c6c94023fbf1f2c31d99b93027256dd
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneb7356533e401f926571a07e4366c8eb0fa2713213c4d1c48b7b4f22cc2f6f6ca
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved6Falsenoneaaa8cf42f61d39aa7cad81c870a3bc9c78d0cf1077533e3e631ac7454a737db8
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined4Falsemissing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed99dc35fae58b1aa26b21610cd1fc2c7226ef111c9f557b37d1b16a674f3b1319
First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined5Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changeda1e2dc09a048a6073af4ded9eecc73b5711ad2d78fd2fa5fb77dc1bdc5647c7c
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved6Falsenoned9f1831ef0047d8229b8f89c0de122d3ee2fd163b284cd54e5c4aebeb1a447c2
WA-02 House Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed0ef403051c90669386d9c52e37c4812a7fafe54b3b112af7b61ed1221380090f
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed06236dc313139101301f334412614d34946d52b3e9dd1aaacb1fccc808ccc0c1
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined46Falsetoo_many_outcomes, semantics_changedaf694c84f72328dcbc9bd21f92c06e3d0d158b7e5ed43b4bb9f60759d1af2fe8
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FCexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed6997c09f7412d77417e7cbc94687e1b7fbfbe8844198f61bf5dfc2d7a79fa867
Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved4Falsenone4dffe5980b66211246a4bc68bd2fca6312363de2bf0e9623eaa5d1d5f08beb74
Highest temperature in Denver on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone5e1b1c10a1271881c942430b2e71961b6c89d16e9b04a2fa046213a79ec4dac5
Next Prime Minister of Serbia?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined9Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed8d37c7b3775d6c057336aae6ea0b28865e5a87a5bc17546ccf7e586180cc4917
Highest temperature in Dallas on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonee72fb568cc9b8ba40448b78162d2e079835ae1aa6ac9fdf4cd5cd4a20c48cfac
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneffced202e0ad89fb58421a8a39521c7d722dd7d737bd857b0cfc08feb784f793
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined4Falseincomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedd72e9acc34e33b30f31b3ef15fcd240f31e8a38aa39c22f0fc346366d0f9564f
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed4b3b00a3c653eaaa8d306610d83de49e35207fdd91e365ffaefc18bae8b70e10
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved4Falsenone2a040db61cfe7d8f44ae00c96fbcbe5c8e2c8187d657770d184df91e8bbc64be
FISSURE Playground 3: Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined11Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed408ce7800a7c3c79bdbb6c5be4845913a65e82d484243811779910555eb3e4de
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoned9499d6fa6c585eedcb70b697e20dc98aeef1aadb15889eef6656a1827a25a2a
Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma - Exact Scoreexclusive_exhaustiveapproved17Falsenone5cbb5ee8f4c1c1269526985690b570ae0d28dca6985ca1fa88ab66394ec79b86
Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone1aca924d1c5cf5bb242eb664187469cf57d1c96293f9adf5671258b52d5defd0
FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SCexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed4486b8100f287708cdd2fbe8960809fae7b8372b71e4c4cde94e3e1295e67c53
English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27exclusive_exhaustivequarantined27Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed1abcba9153cfefc4a3fe120704c6064e41eaf59a0fe9526d8565d4bd55cbf882
Alaska Senate Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined7Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedea1536082da1e018289b561315280c4c127970136b26b9d87f0f38760ca2d21f
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone2873e392f2621722f84fffa33417fed9442eb7520849113e48764d224532b32c
Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedd5a3d9cac18e14b008b03993d20d94d30d51ecc4c78fb41348bc3a0d2c0f7929
"Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Officeexclusive_exhaustiveapproved6Falsenone1531ee6a026f82b75ebf1577467892fe534efa7f42469e7e77b95399eaec1c83
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined9Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed7900fba2b34fd087dc03535e7cfcadf23ea5d687cf8a29be8aff2879ad6175b0
Highest temperature in Paris on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone6e94c8c7ad69bf3a41878572e6cf4d6777f1a0ea9ab6a31da799e905c073f027
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)exclusive_exhaustivequarantined22Falsetoo_many_outcomes, semantics_changed5d1b8c5846d3c0ac615f8f3ad5c4c8825520f6b65dacd9e592d74c0709bc8ad1
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone341fb7b3adff3fc60acb7e667c067cd4331c35371ce0b159fc5b3e0d10dbd489
Next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined4Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedf148ae14bcb3aad6eef13ef9d76484a67487daa72404c8495bacccb00af484f7
Minnesota Senate Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, missing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed34f59f07fabba4bf17508aa029397cc1904f0d893819f3e3b0ac658149b9273f
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone2c5a76d274787707f08eadbbcb7861ffa1127aedc36a07a305529e47661dd2de
Next Regional Board Chair of Skåne?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined5Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed3aeafe501f5da3b1012f087f65f841eb27b6e320c6296aeb1c053b4afd95a5e4
CSD Suchitepéquez vs. CD Guastatoyaexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changeddd39ee6bc9bd410fc8602d23f52a08d6146b5c71d00261b7cc57c4aa3433595c
Russia Parliamentary Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined8Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed85c424a0238c9055836740a0d5f43bcd31687a12ce5b38ef889644a54bb57060
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonecac24fff9dd7c7bef72d123d04b7169d352bc28d18200455cb27a3158b01ea69
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone5e4488b7be3793d83cc4424b98819515f4742cdc8d47bf6a0b6eaf2324478fd9
Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined26Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed732b42e061fbfd8bc0a7d7c8ef12f6ec89ebacd438b1292f0869de6666a8fe87
Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK - Exact Scoreexclusive_exhaustiveapproved17Falsenone34495a3ac4146cb7f16831975a9909435d6c821e41261ad2242b11c89c29f4fb
Paraná Senate Election: 1st Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined9Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changede0ff688784497bbf966862072da604e777ddd0cb7ff86755a772c4a11de095e9
LEC Summer Split 2026: MVPexclusive_exhaustivequarantined50Falsemissing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed8c0acaf281c6a8e90b138d6e9c6601ffc3bee14919261a6cba93c141eae24f10
South Carolina Senate Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, missing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed55f8c3bf25a84ec4381fe5fc3b186466bc54ec240620e02fc7960a6ec8152cc4
Oura IPO Closing Market Capexclusive_exhaustiveapproved8Falsenone75e14724b1b40b42e67da725e5c0ab12b5c1da91712caad0eb335f51a36f493b
World Cup 2030: Location of Finalexclusive_exhaustivequarantined5Falsemissing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, explicit_other_outcome, semantics_changed7ac666b0adc949a9cee0b22e15650798aea797ed599397a5b2a25a6ebe2babb1
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone36fd161d24a3e0852590eb2fb8f6eccc3ba753c69c89fb80621972d7b0e788cf
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonebe2179e5c38ce34653a69627f4e6e4e4b0e9bc882e014b1878e02795eac28733
MN-01 House Election Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed5c61abc0d66bd2247471e076b254e6eadec2779060715eb4f5bf354584c078c4
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneaf9140952323141303f6aa73cccb27c1b8f32078919ef3cfe284f26a2fef0bd4
Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved4Falsenoneaafce72076826304f74982e214951f431d6e19a982328b4a5ba81a1881b1239c
New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined2Falsefewer_than_three_outcomes, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changeddf70ebba551a8b8f7e3eb0f482afabb087bb51a984a5895923df39b896ab50fc
Which company has the best AI model end of October?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined21Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed834765eba7639ca6428e48a5a52bf6db40763a11d0acb76274291fe69592e357
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved6Falsenonea7eec17594fa52a50a979506787f341d6df37420e77d604dfe6d598dbb8bc29b
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined4Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed55e30b3353bb7490d46e4c3490a38544ca174ef9ab9d77754db5a5401e0a8c59
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelonaexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed7c7abe758d647752aa1ee10a94ba5a9a6498045efc6c1ce516813661f6d58185
Highest temperature in Karachi on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone2629f2c9c70e6214124cf29e81ae666babe3de287cc146e57f0bd798ce2fcf2c
PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Scoreexclusive_exhaustiveapproved17Falsenone6494cf3832f3a118874c68655974497265a84579f36ae20f1493ac0f8bb96135
Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone40ee4d17a30cb046879f57b5ce26039ec3fc3f5bd6f8085e815e1ff5412a41f7
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Falsenone6e7ac5610e388bbdead9013e75e7d551bb7c2b534145c843c94707b40dfbf121
Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined18Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed3c88664b5e9d74676c024f1f5483e448f4a7c718f2dacb664740456fc1f3e36b
Highest temperature in London on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneaf6224c2b2b1f15edda93899af0e36756a45e682dab689f00d9c8bbbc231b3c1
Highest temperature in Busan on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone2edb51d051d6e39fed223d2f16d093b798476b52e568ffbda1df4e7f23e35ef5
America's Got Talent S21: Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined16Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedbc977a20d94cb304733869892de12f84c662bffc4642cc3aa7e4750939d8859b
FC Bayern München vs. FK Bodø/Glimt - Halftime Resultexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changedcd1378c93c3b8cd0342d8d2b079d860b77fe2bb2b0a6f56426cda92d1dd8e508
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonee20dd8098f25915b0abfada55103ca27b6b7f10e80f8c3916932797f403797cd
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonea02422aee7f3dde4561582c2c1e24227f6cf0ec9e1707e5a4580586794b9ad9c
Bank of England decision in November?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Falsenoned11e679e7ebbc527ab690133a8e64600c75a3abff70f3ffe51ddfe13ff8ccd6d
Málaga CF vs. Villarreal CFexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changedf8fc4f07f424b2901adfc8bb30a36f40aeff1277fd4641558e06bf8550ece8d1
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonef423fdffc8b988dea1357249325f2f7656751dbc69b3be90477651e58d44ef52
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone4a67bd499cba19d66f21d4a7acb0e7469ea1e007782d9ef7d8f500f7701a2e07
ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to be Number 1exclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falsemissing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed32a9bd9bab39e6d3d91c1fb3638ebf71e79f59f0238b821a1b06ef1a72bd8b8a
Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengoexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed569e47df76b3ae52aed00baa62efa53b2648cc1b81e94f03f10ee69f9692b327
CBLOL 2026 Split 2 Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined6Falsemissing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedac9a005e620889410ef7300b5cd45ecc1b62fcc6604711ef5cc220daaa2ca396
Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonef150ababe99786f9527ea5eceb21eb47778406620df17a26d6f912b5fd7d43ec
ISM Services PMI - September 2026exclusive_exhaustiveapproved10Falsenone3df4b91c77051907d3b206063299e2e28f62bfd4fb9d0bd011706ce41b34fb93
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FCexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changed784394101b41bd583b48c449cd070f432fa17659ab82a319e4208f8799ccd764
When will the Danube River return to normal levels?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined4Falseincomplete_event_membership, inconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changedba622876cc75335a9e6b05e0ea3fdeedba08e12e634f1312df42c72ace2dbfdf
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)exclusive_exhaustivequarantined21Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, too_many_outcomes, semantics_changed8dc510aeaf29eaa7e5b85809c646b47675594e6857c554f73809cab614dec080
Lowest temperature in London on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonea50ebaaaccd7376e244a81ea594aa09bfca1ef9e3aafcae2e061645905726ae2
Next Regional Board Chair of Västra Götaland?exclusive_exhaustivequarantined9Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed6a967988e574298a95a5ea9139dcffaf2b3a2b548b15b2178bc3512a92574d9b
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonee569b5445ca938ba55fab859628896dd1bb071e5e3d1e41b2e7e221b57ef9fa1
Quebec General Election: Second Placeexclusive_exhaustivequarantined6Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changede37355f15bc0cf1fc10d11c5ac100e5d4bc6b084c0d04d182a16eae9a54e2902
Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 10?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenonef4d051f6b9f800113c2ee3577bc37971741e071e2eb5638dd291e2046bb8cb2d
How many dissent at the September Fed meeting?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved5Falsenonea8a2255ad0b104145f4fb5f68764502eeb358d13fba9810631bab9c1d0a179f9
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winnerexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falsemissing_close_time, augmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changed14f4d25daa35e3bc1c6943fdff38abddb17848b3ba079fc013e528801b62159b
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenone933b405d32fa0b53df30109ed01c64c71d4eb1e7bf3d823e110e9888668449d5
FC Barcelona vs. Real Racing Clubexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changedff69a54510521ed0ff8bc4040fa73b1cc929ae0a21396bda64fd7f3e46209c32
CS Cienciano vs. Montevideo City Torqueexclusive_exhaustivequarantined3Falseinconsistent_event_semantics, semantics_changedacdb23afc78fe2d64a5566574b3dc44e57d7e82046c1b2d82e983867e23cd45a
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 11?exclusive_exhaustiveapproved11Falsenoneafbba56ad100590a27de4c82a653834ef48c46301221dcedd2c52566d97647c8
Pro Football: NFC West Champion exclusive_exhaustivequarantined4Falseaugmented_negative_risk, incomplete_event_membership, semantics_changedbc5771c1e1ef94d9f4c04bfc77dd91fc7482e63297aebe1884706590bb9f0706

Strategy opportunities

TimeRelationshipQuantityGuaranteed payoutAll-in debitNet profitReturn bpsConfirmedDecision
2026-09-09T10:43:57.763249+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:14797415.000000000015.00000000000000000014.9656269498351090820.03437305016489091822.967998788230Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-09-09T10:43:57.610294+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:14797415.000000000015.00000000000000000014.9455388599695586000.05446114003044140036.439729969397Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-09-09T10:43:57.551420+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:14797415.000000000015.00000000000000000014.9455388599695586000.05446114003044140036.439729969397Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-09-09T10:43:57.428789+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:14797415.000000000015.00000000000000000014.9304727925703957380.06952720742960426246.567317991566Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-09-08T22:15:19.939091+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:14797410.000000000010.0000000000000000009.9945333174784373410.0054666825215626595.469672617933Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-09-04T12:30:32.494676+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:481717205.4100000000205.410000000000000000202.2872374100721556323.122762589927844368154.372694486773Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:18:29.778134+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458611.740000000011.74000000000000000011.6093525081464041100.130647491853595890112.536415585554Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:18:29.727226+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458611.740000000011.74000000000000000011.6093525081464041100.130647491853595890112.536415585554Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:18:29.680329+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458611.740000000011.74000000000000000011.6093525081464041100.130647491853595890112.536415585554Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:18:29.625168+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458611.740000000011.74000000000000000011.6093525081464041100.130647491853595890112.536415585554Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:16:50.430640+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458611.740000000011.74000000000000000011.6093542949416381280.130645705058361872112.534859165497Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:16:50.382479+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458611.740000000011.74000000000000000011.6093542949416381280.130645705058361872112.534859165497Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:16:50.312302+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458611.740000000011.74000000000000000011.6093542949416381280.130645705058361872112.534859165497Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:16:09.763410+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458611.740000000011.74000000000000000011.6093550349275431250.130644965072456875112.534214587634Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:16:09.701838+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458611.740000000011.74000000000000000011.6093550349275431250.130644965072456875112.534214587634Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:40.388841+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458631.490000000031.49000000000000000031.1496990558059994930.340300944194000507109.246944435751Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:40.265745+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458661.490000000061.49000000000000000060.8114876372965499750.678512362703450025111.576346684752Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:37.998968+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458661.490000000061.49000000000000000060.8114879209167935060.678512079083206494111.576299525114Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:37.916741+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458661.490000000061.49000000000000000060.8114879209167935060.678512079083206494111.576299525114Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:37.687207+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458661.490000000061.49000000000000000060.8114879209167935060.678512079083206494111.576299525114Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:37.630418+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458661.490000000061.49000000000000000060.8114879209167935060.678512079083206494111.576299525114Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:37.059849+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458661.490000000061.49000000000000000060.8114879209167935060.678512079083206494111.576299525114Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:36.984190+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458661.490000000061.49000000000000000060.8114880154568746830.678511984543125317111.576283805235Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:36.883547+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458650.090000000050.09000000000000000049.4268568234937848810.663143176506215119134.166568364713Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:34.705070+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458691.400000000091.40000000000000000089.8761926784780092591.523807321521990741169.545157188983Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:34.637645+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458691.400000000091.40000000000000000089.8761926784780092591.523807321521990741169.545157188983Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:34.582164+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458691.400000000091.40000000000000000089.8761926784780092591.523807321521990741169.545157188983Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:34.462842+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458691.410000000091.41000000000000000089.9993573356770833331.410642664322916667156.739193043517Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:34.388057+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458691.410000000091.41000000000000000089.9993573356770833331.410642664322916667156.739193043517Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:34.238118+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458691.400000000091.40000000000000000089.7629410594039351851.637058940596064815182.375813590230Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:34.152726+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:67458691.400000000091.40000000000000000089.7629410594039351851.637058940596064815182.375813590230Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:34.037797+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.5799732351967592596.580026764803240741299.664248421928Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:33.973638+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586258.5100000000258.510000000000000000251.7042127929771689506.805787207022831050270.388291538866Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:12:33.902199+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586258.5100000000258.510000000000000000251.7042127929771689506.805787207022831050270.388291538866Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:11:25.629995+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5900870840879946736.819912915912005327258.731767622823Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:11:25.481233+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5900870840879946736.819912915912005327258.731767622823Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:11:14.733201+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5900915917644121006.819908408235587900258.731592187385Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:11:14.665373+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5900915917644121006.819908408235587900258.731592187385Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:09:19.194565+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5901387174724124816.819861282527587519258.729758089980Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:09:19.010635+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5901387174724124816.819861282527587519258.729758089980Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:09:18.953345+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5901391272611777026.819860872738822298258.729742141310Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:09:18.872596+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5901391272611777026.819860872738822298258.729742141310Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:07:53.355424+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5901739593062214616.819826040693778539258.728386504523Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:07:53.231077+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5901739593062214616.819826040693778539258.728386504523Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:26.722158+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5902096109287956626.819790389071204338258.726998970771Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:26.662994+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5902096109287956626.819790389071204338258.726998970771Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:26.620107+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5902096109287956626.819790389071204338258.726998970771Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:26.570106+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5902096109287956626.819790389071204338258.726998970771Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:20.802190+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5902120696613869866.819787930338613014258.726903278802Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:20.641260+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5902120696613869866.819787930338613014258.726903278802Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:20.566271+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.5902120696613869866.819787930338613014258.726903278802Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:18.781413+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8208801232879249116.589119876712075089249.757330565832Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:18.694704+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8208801232879249116.589119876712075089249.757330565832Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:15.148598+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8208813537300862516.589118646269913749249.757282761680Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:06:15.009140+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8208813537300862516.589118646269913749249.757282761680Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:05:33.225302+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760694386820776266.533930561317922374247.613607979569Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:05:33.164957+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760694386820776266.533930561317922374247.613607979569Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:05:33.102473+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760694386820776266.533930561317922374247.613607979569Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:05:16.399456+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760764126458333336.533923587354166667247.613337146051Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:05:16.341436+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760764126458333336.533923587354166667247.613337146051Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:05:09.617136+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760792842779680376.533920715722031963247.613225626372Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:05:09.532140+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760792842779680376.533920715722031963247.613225626372Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:04:59.297661+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760833866095890416.533916613390410959247.613066312548Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:04:59.154123+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760833866095890416.533916613390410959247.613066312548Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:04:39.170882+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760915912728310506.533908408727168950247.612747684916Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:04:39.077978+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760915912728310506.533908408727168950247.612747684916Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:04:23.771105+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760981550034246586.533901844996575342247.612492782825Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:04:23.487806+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760981550034246586.533901844996575342247.612492782825Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:04:23.391813+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760981550034246586.533901844996575342247.612492782825Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:04:23.308559+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8760981550034246586.533901844996575342247.612492782825Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:03:50.674503+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761116926977739736.533888307302226027247.611967047301Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:03:50.439238+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761116926977739736.533888307302226027247.611967047301Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:03:18.636164+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761248201589611876.533875179841038813247.611457243209Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:03:18.545995+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761248201589611876.533875179841038813247.611457243209Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:03:18.471452+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761248201589611876.533875179841038813247.611457243209Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:02:44.924061+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761387680864726036.533861231913527397247.610915576416Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:02:44.867859+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761387680864726036.533861231913527397247.610915576416Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:00:54.310003+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761838937343036536.533816106265696347247.609163125420Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:00:54.241136+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761838937343036536.533816106265696347247.609163125420Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:00:50.625770+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761855346669520556.533814465333047945247.609099399940Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:00:50.368034+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761855346669520556.533814465333047945247.609099399940Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:00:50.291436+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761855346669520556.533814465333047945247.609099399940Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:00:50.015490+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761855346669520556.533814465333047945247.609099399940Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T14:00:49.927725+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8761859449001141556.533814055099885845247.609083468571Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:59:44.904865+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8762126100556506856.533787389944349315247.608047929644Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:59:44.843896+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586270.4100000000270.410000000000000000263.8762126100556506856.533787389944349315247.608047929644Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:57:13.099002+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8711341463980847296.288865853601915271286.025079099950Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:57:13.010269+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8711341463980847296.288865853601915271286.025079099950Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:57:12.861317+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8711344882190195336.288865511780980467286.025063108861Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:54:03.113364+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8711990923756976156.288800907624302385286.022040794081Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:54:03.057933+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8711990923756976156.288800907624302385286.022040794081Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:54:01.744756+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8711997760175672256.288800223982432775286.022008811924Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:54:01.626738+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8711997760175672256.288800223982432775286.022008811924Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:53:45.013487+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8712052451525240996.288794754847475901286.021752954671Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:53:42.156177+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8712062706153285136.288793729384671487286.021704981437Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:53:42.107302+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8712062706153285136.288793729384671487286.021704981437Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:53:42.042761+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8712062706153285136.288793729384671487286.021704981437Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:53:13.572295+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8712161834224378496.288783816577562151286.021241240204Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:53:13.521038+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8712161834224378496.288783816577562151286.021241240204Falserest_confirmation_failed
2026-08-30T13:53:13.475799+00:00polymarket:negative-risk:674586226.1600000000226.160000000000000000219.8712161834224378496.288783816577562151286.021241240204Falserest_confirmation_failed

Paper policy runs

TimePolicyStatusRequestedHedgedPessimistic PnLMaximum exposure
No N-leg paper runs recorded.