Polybot Research

Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Open official market

Current pair health: healthy.

Condition0x070312637ff200867e1316b2a4e31c7f2492610c78dd0851608c23f6ef9f3d7a
End2026-09-20 00:00:00+00:00
Tick / minimum0.001 / 5
Fee rate / exponent0 / 0

UP book

Status: healthy · timestamp 1789049222919 · hash 8ede7efeeb7d49e944a4332d480abc46acc933a6

AskSize
0.011353.1
0.012100
0.0135614.43
0.014100
0.015100
0.01649.33
0.018207.42
0.02123.84
0.036259.21
0.042121.02
0.0446.76
0.0475.16
0.0813
0.11110
0.1125
0.11330
0.1148
0.125.68
0.14895
0.149100

DOWN book

Status: healthy · timestamp 1789049222919 · hash 88aeb46af0d15ccb235640dc5cfbee9730dd0c9d

AskSize
0.9911000
0.992125
0.9936083.92
0.994263.56
0.99515000
0.9964000
0.9973749.93
0.9986525
0.99936442

Executable UP + DOWN cost curve

QuantityUP VWAPDOWN VWAPGross cost
50.0110.9915.010
100.0110.99110.020
250.0110.99125.050
500.0110.99150.100
1000.0110.991100.200
2500.0110.991250.500
353.10.0110.991353.8062
453.10.011220701831825204149194438310.991454.1062
5000.01138760.991501.1938
10000.01219380.9911003.1938

Positive underround breakpoint results

QuantityUP VWAPDOWN VWAPGross edgeFeesNet edgeReturn bpsDecision
No positive gross underround exists at current executable depth.

Opportunity history

DetectedEndedLatest sizeGross edgeNet edgeDecision
No opportunity lifecycle recorded.

Captured book updates

ReceivedTypeTokenExchange timestampHash
No candidate-window updates captured.