Polybot Research

Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Open official market

Current pair health: healthy.

Condition0x430751274480232547064a75eb29ceead00b95cf3e21709911a147cfada04e16
End2026-09-20 00:00:00+00:00
Tick / minimum0.001 / 5
Fee rate / exponent0 / 0

UP book

Status: healthy · timestamp 1789061384600 · hash 13970f84d89994267109508fc26246a9496f18b9

AskSize
0.034447.71
0.0354995
0.037312.46
0.0387788
0.0412000
0.0428.3
0.0435
0.047500
0.048500
0.049300
0.0625.64
0.0615
0.077132.08
0.078654.53
0.0793000
0.09510
0.09670.45
0.09750.03
0.10755
0.117274

DOWN book

Status: healthy · timestamp 1789061384600 · hash aebf1de400c219867e7a027eeb50175a43ec6f96

AskSize
0.97531.1
0.977191.2
0.978545
0.9791500
0.982977.08
0.982455.82
0.9875
0.9881021.6
0.9891808.99
0.991000
0.991555.5
0.9921425
0.9933912.07
0.99411166.6
0.9954250
0.9966840.26
0.99717517.4
0.998124303.43
0.99959072.58

Executable UP + DOWN cost curve

QuantityUP VWAPDOWN VWAPGross cost
50.0340.9755.045
100.0340.97510.090
250.0340.97525.225
31.10.0340.97531.3799
500.0340.97575650.4878
1000.0340.976378101.0378
222.30.0340.9767201979307242465137201979224.6831
2500.0340.976862252.7155
447.710.0340.9773645440128654709521788658452.79802
5000.034104580.977431505.76779
767.30.034416512446240062557018115470.9776292193405447673660888831776.54269
10000.034552290.97794821012.50049

Positive underround breakpoint results

QuantityUP VWAPDOWN VWAPGross edgeFeesNet edgeReturn bpsDecision
No positive gross underround exists at current executable depth.

Opportunity history

DetectedEndedLatest sizeGross edgeNet edgeDecision
No opportunity lifecycle recorded.

Captured book updates

ReceivedTypeTokenExchange timestampHash
No candidate-window updates captured.