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"2252244", "2252245", "2252246" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:481717", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2252243", "token_id": "57748138085022719760345772310040703848567377822400132842014290209986511882046", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "79e2bf9b5ef19443455930cd2f2bcb068283b01dc5599a817487ab6c280b632b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2252243", "condition_id": "0xac02cbb049e46d6a3627c0fdf52fa554982a9025d45968207b362acb6ca4b830", "token_id": "57748138085022719760345772310040703848567377822400132842014290209986511882046", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "481717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6ae9ffdd8dc0600b24323d62da0be09a4141e25ca0374888eb862542b5009413", "event_source_sha256": "1bcc6c644a905652c238ff6e0565b75dc0df8fb87b2071dbceda8ab247c89334" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2252245", "token_id": "63842529068710005716169325380315470359047749786610778647370693404952498013178", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d997bd70a192982b7e149caa5d17f0aa2de6db5bebee64a0f5da523aa97e1518", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2252245", "condition_id": "0x876506d8b2bd7a0d3fa4fe18c024eee6e1dd81ee24c26795dadd6cfe4a7b5d0d", "token_id": "63842529068710005716169325380315470359047749786610778647370693404952498013178", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "481717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bcc7afdba92eec073c4117201cb4a4744181e5c369b9b458a9059dac738ebc6c", "event_source_sha256": "1bcc6c644a905652c238ff6e0565b75dc0df8fb87b2071dbceda8ab247c89334" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2252242", "token_id": "97186030785608128217926542396950266594898339988989015155120280107165449433603", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2b64684d2775ad761716ace98138343cf43e73a8cf1b339fe41b6490106f7b90", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2252242", "condition_id": "0x5e464d85eb49f22d876f3ed6168a7db5e2288e9ae1eb91effd2758e994676f86", "token_id": "97186030785608128217926542396950266594898339988989015155120280107165449433603", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "481717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f90cdf8befca70a8d9b12f7085dc765209560f106b4671d642506a41f80e556b", "event_source_sha256": "1bcc6c644a905652c238ff6e0565b75dc0df8fb87b2071dbceda8ab247c89334" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2252246", "token_id": "88912926533493988427719291698947688154042720958310632316541141466409683822293", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7f8e25889933f89d70247ac7085daad5c428bec1f9d07f2250d5e95afc7a7c9c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2252246", "condition_id": "0x2e4b58fc18dbffd74d5275d89fb076943f21992763c45dcadd81391b83bde13c", "token_id": "88912926533493988427719291698947688154042720958310632316541141466409683822293", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "481717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5d9a220360009e9c030a14d8babf84bd0f743c55079de74545a0baf9809d2c5e", "event_source_sha256": "1bcc6c644a905652c238ff6e0565b75dc0df8fb87b2071dbceda8ab247c89334" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2252244", "token_id": "5615282760875985231868508008056959876238536896643315063916840237042205273721", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No change", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "022f58bd3f96c28840a4e4c5174c26bc822809d5c0741f7a002fa4db60a751e1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2252244", "condition_id": "0xa3b36b2d6104d34af4e6c6215fc818e43352e78a748fbfb0b85e3a35f71dec9a", "token_id": "5615282760875985231868508008056959876238536896643315063916840237042205273721", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-16T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "481717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f39ed594a25b1ef3771e7574492b725a5c99656f721f39fbf5632666964aa64b", "event_source_sha256": "1bcc6c644a905652c238ff6e0565b75dc0df8fb87b2071dbceda8ab247c89334" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:659671", "title": "UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 36, "semantics_hash": "6d91ea57130dbf9b01eb9c1dff4a196c9410b175674d1a634ee9c157185e4735", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2772166", "2772167", "2772168", "2772169", "2772170", "2772171", "2772172", "2772173", "2772174", "2772175", "2772176", "2772177", "2772178", "2772179", "2772180", "2772181", "2772182", "2772183", "2772184", "2772185", "2772186", "2772187", "2772188", "2772189", "2772190", "2772191", "2772192", "2772193", "2772194", "2772195", "2772196", "2772197", "2772198", "2772199", "2772200", "2772201", "2772202", "2772203", "2772204", "2772205", "2772206", "2772207" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:659671", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2772198", "token_id": "81398085372461395651304427553043258495756184826076187765899560779250832029274", "outcome": "yes", "label": "AEK Athens", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d0c5b3cb7c855602fed8905ae50938e95f20a220ab9ad9024e26df0377f2b50f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772198", "condition_id": "0x19e435cf10e58b144e2fee3b6f259163660cce0c9299019ae8ee84c45082e193", "token_id": "81398085372461395651304427553043258495756184826076187765899560779250832029274", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will AEK Athens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "01721dd88d2e55ef76d45b0a0e214c10060290ddc979f6f06a53516960b1b7df", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2772168", "token_id": "43901405785924750229793277147927116360564476290216401880491136719593445150601", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Arsenal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "10b77a8485a5051cf74b2b83eb7dca9813025c69041467c2e5ed0b59b00d90e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772168", "condition_id": "0x73463cf40eb2c83e845becbf16ad35e0a8a07863194bc76fd3af9a9d630b387f", "token_id": "43901405785924750229793277147927116360564476290216401880491136719593445150601", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9a860b784d2947ece48e728877000247d0083682f5463c3051477a85e69371d2", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2772167", "token_id": "105101529642262379899123504787232852588886281907211376994534705472966938868733", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Aston Villa", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "08fe1b51ef81a5b9d815251b841a0799eee7185c5df2abf7e656a9e15da4c8d3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772167", "condition_id": "0x3eba2dd1a35f14ccd4ba4442baabc92932b22ae99e9480f52d4863e486ab83c0", "token_id": "105101529642262379899123504787232852588886281907211376994534705472966938868733", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8545b13d91c172972e6b8487030735385e7d9cbaee4e2773777fc1bbc3cbc961", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2772179", "token_id": "107520367305540889943280471715091928582033112430783246731747368361457994661182", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7253027971a5bff0b782b35e19a9d97b3f30e970c8ff24419c1dd2acfc001efd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772179", "condition_id": "0x5a49d7be46362712c7e8acf8168911fb88fdfdd5d5a779abec773ea2f3dea69b", "token_id": "107520367305540889943280471715091928582033112430783246731747368361457994661182", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Atl\u00e9tico Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d43da1448e9ad5df4b53cac9be939e9ff7974f5f4d0f5e502dd01df37747dd89", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2772176", "token_id": "105424657244554511014150825202397702180419919286931996082717264149902476600628", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Barcelona", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "56baa73b94fd110e107e64ad16b0b0047ec55a30ab24584f3e931649211448af", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772176", "condition_id": "0xa23467e95abf6544819a9dcb90b7719846aacf300b991ea07204e1f1649097cb", "token_id": "105424657244554511014150825202397702180419919286931996082717264149902476600628", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "110b92ceb77f556d82a99b23b78382148150f65c5b23863496df68651ff824fc", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2772181", "token_id": "36647682121099890226193521278051923283520182706042810153100000109040570205141", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bayern Munich", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "985d0ae17528b6d01fdfa097f377558506e63adc6d6f887be2e585f512b83845", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772181", "condition_id": "0xd9121fe8396b86e4a35fcc812f1ff2699ecf4ccfad909dfba7b269f413d7ee84", "token_id": "36647682121099890226193521278051923283520182706042810153100000109040570205141", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "03ef8b1003c6b123e607f5f112ed7637443f88a9dfbc39b2e2812f8a9efcbbb2", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2772196", "token_id": "113565046539594615041447428525881640706571978077687360683724924262092204991483", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "83252b10dd89279f850991fbbff3d4d1dc16d1544e1ddebe0ab784991d5059e1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772196", "condition_id": "0x4a7c656c3d06249bc62c1a5d65dc9c30d5fa511ce0a86dc0bc5ff3594b750939", "token_id": "113565046539594615041447428525881640706571978077687360683724924262092204991483", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bod\u00f8/Glimt win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ade8b1717a2436974525d0cdcd1aa654c07b5daac9bfbf4225cf8aebba2f0227", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2772182", "token_id": "69844945401965968137843459827213978335475795917124102723974229169126962183486", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Borussia Dortmund", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2e4d8bc212970eecc8e337e28255baa76c6f657d0b2d2f2de530237994651062", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772182", "condition_id": "0x0b701a510fe36844eb7a9839839b98dead384780e20b9504efcad1ab4b5b79af", "token_id": "69844945401965968137843459827213978335475795917124102723974229169126962183486", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d15ff082e23de88c3df7476f3d89c39e266c6b76101df2010c5cd35c195c0f2c", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2772191", "token_id": "42934023876900744469315825151054686737366748717421206370305908868326441586868", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Club Brugge", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f1aabc2dc782a78c2ca418c18b1a100f86b3f1e6ecc45c990dabf90343be4cda", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772191", "condition_id": "0x047636a384908c0453899b8510cd3f48cd8edf575e89fc135aad31be722ecb3a", "token_id": "42934023876900744469315825151054686737366748717421206370305908868326441586868", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Club Brugge win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8eedfbc12eccf010017080f277b9c3896f9346e28d97bde6e4bc2d736801e85a", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2772175", "token_id": "61469887388430320650273668260154726061440158572395234539643034753012782871781", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Como", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "56afd64723dd0ef183c699e47299cbfede6fb62c857f98d659b1efa2d1a3f1b2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772175", "condition_id": "0x01f4904665ad743fcf3dd5645226688dab6e454221bc76eb95e0df59a094e0bc", "token_id": "61469887388430320650273668260154726061440158572395234539643034753012782871781", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e5e8d629caa0b45b34b4413f970d83741bef25a262762ab2ced5e74e26e605e8", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2772195", "token_id": "105987988627088062917900078472998990392914885926056840667798015309483025020431", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4a74a64806195d63ff5fdd5b2503a107618d692fc0780cfa29a4824de9cc9e98", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772195", "condition_id": "0x9cfa888e1d3fc507da8df1a381b9ca121f3542a9fe709e8e9d7eac41fbd45f13", "token_id": "105987988627088062917900078472998990392914885926056840667798015309483025020431", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fenerbah\u00e7e win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6521c27beb61a053c2e08b39b5132b87210531f4c8c144519f8e70165932a11a", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2772188", "token_id": "79251350383985738544500653399425152839442117797590609656142904853188277265233", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Feyenoord", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f28bebea017e965072108c30da95c5bc5a98ba2349e5c8f8eaeace826b4e1f3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772188", "condition_id": "0x891324f44f3812d99846c07f0597a0b21f6646adbf726e400638b00a2254a6c1", "token_id": "79251350383985738544500653399425152839442117797590609656142904853188277265233", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3720ffb3e9e071788c9f0b6adc062f7bb27b7cdfac2000b8bc61da5e880f8dc1", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2772193", "token_id": "37235274069643596212861925289800974015038229343057468524186718238198125063603", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Galatasaray", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "633173b552e1750326a9871109479238c70eb4dae16250461a5a973a3ce3bf7b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772193", "condition_id": "0x2125bcf270e85ccaa34930e8fa74a2c5490f945011deafae38d8da72a7f28d27", "token_id": "37235274069643596212861925289800974015038229343057468524186718238198125063603", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d965b8b9d0af2967afd57764957fd503c35253bd53e9dc39de228e8dcf9363dd", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2772172", "token_id": "8116898390055979608255505229568100454663270764075234220288895903415070788054", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Inter Milan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a273bcfbc08e4127fe3bb95ef37451f568ec26df5d99ffef2a42c5fefde1695a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772172", "condition_id": "0x66e11d0cbba8959c1cd9ba02908297c805fe70239bde0c1de0b94ad2ded29a2f", "token_id": "8116898390055979608255505229568100454663270764075234220288895903415070788054", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7eeee82723164347aed994697e39ca32a7f769492c5e3bc386663543afb24959", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2772199", "token_id": "35663356156773297605696310960063081107112049583396060252653984561192230934879", "outcome": "yes", "label": "LASK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ea40f1e78a59c9ffa84f116c0fb8989faff26d4de06b8cfbb4b5a7e4da8df1c0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772199", "condition_id": "0xaf3d0c0fd7b3ff8985d89f0db66f82c4f5d4f87230380b647a2b595b314c0579", "token_id": "35663356156773297605696310960063081107112049583396060252653984561192230934879", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will LASK win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f9a2cf1632b0e378936c817461ba5749866e552556b788c4562414e0ed272aab", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2772185", "token_id": "77693707715220218110868617211198586272571028150618324645768790703284113567895", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lens", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fa234a889a4ab749eaf590dc8950e889907795fa12c795d88305a4dc665cf9e4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772185", "condition_id": "0xf9d78ecb92d9529bfa5f3cbf1bc7307d7bfe821d71a96efeeccce59a69d82950", "token_id": "77693707715220218110868617211198586272571028150618324645768790703284113567895", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f430ba1c81443c7d33b0de0af536433de5cec831e1981cee81f2780d4f0dff60", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2772186", "token_id": "51219560941253926310527787555655915098295613243716378166305588949602532793247", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lille", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "538570d0ec8898238283926af13c867edf0c6c37fe9b5bfc89345ed248ed5fec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772186", "condition_id": "0xd5cc0d96b4b9208f8e85c29b4721404c8ca380223b49f406f8b853ccabd4b3b8", "token_id": "51219560941253926310527787555655915098295613243716378166305588949602532793247", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0b19c8affeb58a75016aaba3c23fa252d30274338da4f2c68763e88e903446c6", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2772171", "token_id": "8193681255314680130463293913377900791697724543108576171134288378615851319182", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liverpool", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1aefb7bcfa2722005a0f0a59476df0c5dfbe242a836e8bdc53a41fba97407957", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772171", "condition_id": "0x67a633090f9ce7993fe2e310a591444f5a9e1ba74f60b9674ecaf7c42a0c7905", "token_id": "8193681255314680130463293913377900791697724543108576171134288378615851319182", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9f15f382832c44404565caecd18c136b99c09f2da5a1849e66994226c4ddc3ec", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "2772169", "token_id": "42855735319370639870004203630851865013257400213298023821027601629428227024195", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester City", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e70701620e4cf8c93cad222c6b851ce2b3b7aafefa441ce456817e9d7c5b6fb8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772169", "condition_id": "0xd961e85c58d27699749eaa069e629519e2f4af701a7c2a02a486dca77e101fdc", "token_id": "42855735319370639870004203630851865013257400213298023821027601629428227024195", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "45eca204e5660bc997c34b1120b05a8602316623aedf4dcbd096fc918064cf27", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "2772170", "token_id": "87252766259519856422994169914054020804868753874182829100656427465105204187650", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f4ecdaf9a378abd593af5cf595a4d15ee17a535c4f55ecbca6a5fa9bccd262e7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772170", "condition_id": "0xabb68414dc31c89f672d88bf8e82e7f7117032958a86d5330382b74a1d812d90", "token_id": "87252766259519856422994169914054020804868753874182829100656427465105204187650", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f6d01547f51fc644423e5f9168049cad59e8d37ae1d1cd6568467758c5f71530", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "2772173", "token_id": "93045961894175676546838541868635025573328846663951470971342071027086180788730", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Napoli", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "259ba2ce08c75e5962915f80ee8783ff7edf3b39a274013bba33e3246b245546", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772173", "condition_id": "0xda7529b0c94d63cce1ee4492612ab21a2fd1a91f89d3765b1d1f39826157644c", "token_id": "93045961894175676546838541868635025573328846663951470971342071027086180788730", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Napoli win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c6917be3f34ddf3aad0b543832a4a966a2c80aa9fae49e88fe399bdcafcf44bc", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "2772166", "token_id": "42217322941028479596443192387253851340512855886718995311794210900077539715203", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Paris Saint-Germain", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1e39fb76097767d5ce994ca93a1bb3237b9455d4c987fd166316546c6174e406", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772166", "condition_id": "0x282ce6c97ce923e33bbe05eaa72d64d1fa9179e72f7a6de7cc30840106d5fb39", "token_id": "42217322941028479596443192387253851340512855886718995311794210900077539715203", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e3276151dc5644ef2a811a1d3c8d73dfaccea5d84c4c38d967969b6e5a261b2a", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "2772189", "token_id": "32497984693549591537443927130974395826708445848901982435855158355666016896406", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Porto", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "490e1df7ea44fcf17683d9eb31c159c5e9263dc5d6461ad74456ff7432d7917c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772189", "condition_id": "0xcdbf6eb577a23d9957664a451a1649f46af0b8e909121e939fa50d2927cb4609", "token_id": "32497984693549591537443927130974395826708445848901982435855158355666016896406", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Porto win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "788c5fa1770859d13dddd9cf39a680d4bcd4c0fcd22946706a1030d8f8f6f06e", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "2772187", "token_id": "35837495929768195895331559035697400922077610469268143633947560867267605261400", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV Eindhoven", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3decfe8958bbeadfd79e903ebc343424ecb51f0785522e0f08b8ee8a909be486", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772187", "condition_id": "0xf91e30f3750bcccf733b69998b2e0e3e10e8d9b74ace9b4cf30bffde43d7c20a", "token_id": "35837495929768195895331559035697400922077610469268143633947560867267605261400", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will PSV Eindhoven win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "25dcd94f9fa747f52ecc67c2666c577f622df180f08b673b3011da693ab7bd99", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "2772183", "token_id": "56584291017439645675667293303671937246996096878333102029851075339825093630056", "outcome": "yes", "label": "RB Leipzig", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8d804410f939e4dcfbbf5ffb22204cc12faaf836b29babab700a5c05a4ec5efd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772183", "condition_id": "0x980a9758f2d181905130fbdd8de12c08b8ea89870c285a74b521fda7b8359061", "token_id": "56584291017439645675667293303671937246996096878333102029851075339825093630056", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will RB Leipzig win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4a94c5e307d678295a90c710ba5960c3042d46269902addf97d3b9fa40ad926f", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "2772180", "token_id": "60401006172283559784197717212553675056118398129255662216364593106759959582892", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Real Betis", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "894b948893d76372fb6272cc551307b5a28b268fbd7428e15d61fae777939694", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772180", "condition_id": "0xafce45df642c568376876f157d91f3225ec0adfa10ef63067a511f18fe26b56a", "token_id": "60401006172283559784197717212553675056118398129255662216364593106759959582892", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Real Betis win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8c7b7b9d0abbbae99956d92838b169fb012e3fdc89ca4e0001febcc1603dd3ba", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "2772177", "token_id": "73261753987669598165549263168176114508183442178496569937750381128739476213981", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Real Madrid", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ac7bb6b2b983ff4edc1ee8946439f3bad5c66fb95ced62e4f3805a505ad54a65", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772177", "condition_id": "0x3f67a0bbef53b112984c3fe112b98ade275b2f7aa7e3c44e7bc61ff0ed55d899", "token_id": "73261753987669598165549263168176114508183442178496569937750381128739476213981", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "085742335bb012cd1782ed6fbb3be2d0b73d70a5728a149456284f995741f616", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 27, "market_id": "2772174", "token_id": "12111165508382614262014563627595331254036853928158131576047649218948989557640", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6363dcce1eaf37f80bbdde66d90604f4ffe11139b2f287f9aa045cf153888de3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772174", "condition_id": "0xd90ba5c65e650a302d2fbb6ab4db16d2f450cdf0fb6fc4dcd53f7a261222a4f0", "token_id": "12111165508382614262014563627595331254036853928158131576047649218948989557640", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "68c7265c0edadccb5cfbb053d4269d330335e28e8d2396360085576c511ad3e9", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 28, "market_id": "2772201", "token_id": "29353022096994635425922070638900167556516271465327778887663473550536489990300", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sabah", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a773f616ce6888bc0ddeb4c956b694cebf28da69a7a6a4700d9af340f90a6ff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772201", "condition_id": "0x3797db720791411af8e49fb804d624fb81648ff3477be8d91b75de6b622d7203", "token_id": "29353022096994635425922070638900167556516271465327778887663473550536489990300", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2b013ceee44bc20b99d3d96e5ec70721a1b35055dde282e0dc20dfaa10447fa4", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 29, "market_id": "2772194", "token_id": "33339798372916037220786136133406478491116150628220441951753426683441228279665", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d7c0d116bc3b54f53177245ad11bff4ae10d56ddf8ac69e34897ecedc5d6bfe0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772194", "condition_id": "0xefa17dee3af09f69f9ddf245b969aa4efbe7c71cdf06ee49d694408bc33e2ed2", "token_id": "33339798372916037220786136133406478491116150628220441951753426683441228279665", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "85f9402a52e412f4112fe98d17d512be6ad8fc93142590b86129409602396b3e", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 30, "market_id": "2772192", "token_id": "11396401634468990446250944093946063728977024261022286027802752367592887804357", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Slavia Prague", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0108442b797ac8bce9b0fce2bbea66bac9bda4d2c333508b45549d1a58a60802", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772192", "condition_id": "0x827f293f4951c9352e2811d4afb239513c542820ca1eed2983d7989467dd3b05", "token_id": "11396401634468990446250944093946063728977024261022286027802752367592887804357", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "020277d2ba2dc276a39f82f081ac140612787d56b1ad48b99a733159e11214c2", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 31, "market_id": "2772197", "token_id": "69619832053345516386905526947470201689980407713831932974490062240839707944168", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Slovan Bratislava", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b61bf6ec17376d1ea74d1fe2c5033116016e64bd1c2ceaa130093e38688a2969", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772197", "condition_id": "0x4297a02f72ea1007c8cb8b041d2027f57fd308704ce6c6133bdb41ccf89fe9de", "token_id": "69619832053345516386905526947470201689980407713831932974490062240839707944168", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Slovan Bratislava win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1c369ab691e55237e901e0183aa160f48501f171ad520d1b7029b1f2616aa39e", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 32, "market_id": "2772190", "token_id": "51852859144588408353883434057387376016222865952172946996183559003223391693129", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sporting CP", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "66e7489f75bef250030dbfc93413f3eaa4b4cedca41fe1df4c4023e2a3e4e3a7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772190", "condition_id": "0xb30ffa808f448aecd5585cec7d0e71313a06d10023bfb3f7e397397c52e9c9d0", "token_id": "51852859144588408353883434057387376016222865952172946996183559003223391693129", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "99be58693670dd8ad1b3f9ed4f49e6af90b4aa51c5f905d8d22237a610378949", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 33, "market_id": "2772184", "token_id": "22319423712664250000966446349436436521608203218255612444397107110591820588150", "outcome": "yes", "label": "VfB Stuttgart", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fe4aefbcacdb751f3d4749fb0c5848b024e5dfaa256d7a25bbf04c8ac3c03dbb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772184", "condition_id": "0xbbdddd29c2a58cea7357d668ebbf9ba25994e9be5a7569e8efc508c9cc936de3", "token_id": "22319423712664250000966446349436436521608203218255612444397107110591820588150", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will VfB Stuttgart win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "94040d88903a054593666020e8a1ed1d103354097957ffa78bb3b290998154da", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 34, "market_id": "2772200", "token_id": "22118440568301775024939406545116211152013411766124465584625791135796056116069", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Viking", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5d9e98b59959715d436f7910dadeeb8d368e5ae6b72f32971e619d7c0a0361de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772200", "condition_id": "0xf5bff38bfcf4beb29b9570eee7f95845f724e55602a6c9261510528e4326ee06", "token_id": "22118440568301775024939406545116211152013411766124465584625791135796056116069", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Viking win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fa98a08c98077478ba9ad0d1c3090dc159a1e2d5be1484010058fe4752f0948f", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" }, { "position": 35, "market_id": "2772178", "token_id": "32413396000991911735302520875419846839923729727749894969513290977798735562226", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Villarreal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b870ddd66c9baa8acb13bafa2a7ec5c44335faa483fa98043305bfd9d6c6e336", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2772178", "condition_id": "0xb0ea65952119275ec1d7a0cbd21192a028c8eb2b7d65cee015df2158980baa79", "token_id": "32413396000991911735302520875419846839923729727749894969513290977798735562226", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "108333899b70d0a9462c270ad1205ac2c6bc30c29c471b1faac81f5b62771c28", "event_source_sha256": "07b7b82d4252adce93a34e811cc5e31971f7ee857f89096f368252fb130cabfa" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931729", "title": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "84933b56bfae130fa19b12a603012ba912ce95feca6aed1995d8cdb09d017bf3", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977564", "3977565", "3977566" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931729", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977565", "token_id": "6793506857529803992586503820669220680148549216626697625050494074752953655207", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3bda7797178c1061625f5c15f218c0006d9444c00b261f493916b0863d0b3623", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977565", "condition_id": "0xf4bd54b96c525c97adf03cb8c68d6bc42ac87830aef6a6ac33d5a65899325fc8", "token_id": "6793506857529803992586503820669220680148549216626697625050494074752953655207", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "89ac9fe709fa5dba35dfe27328d681eff8cb17aa7d5b463d859844e7e87aae3b", "event_source_sha256": "2baae52d7fc89ed97f3f1eb9103c319904d56b64696adfc94a6ecf1aae5ab465" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977564", "token_id": "42595297384768457487072353236468751138954383915835945182528333394635341607786", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ecfbc5a9d945650c9fb9150180ba4d3f0e5dfc05c78728ca7876ce16628308b0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977564", "condition_id": "0xaed88e69aa25b45dc1a0d57e364b218433b0caebb84b07a2de08c67003f501c8", "token_id": "42595297384768457487072353236468751138954383915835945182528333394635341607786", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "03bcb2ed315c8bbe2e18972fdeaea4d7e92f2b6a70bf3868f743fbf5f530714c", "event_source_sha256": "2baae52d7fc89ed97f3f1eb9103c319904d56b64696adfc94a6ecf1aae5ab465" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977566", "token_id": "8824052224832958195497143662304404348474858268627408924074113458482619201642", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ed59ff1b9106c54c3ecd6928399d440e461579a41ecb26c0a37d3ea360650d88", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977566", "condition_id": "0x24fa528980f193bc54e7143dc303a7800ddac43775782ff47a895a073c7d8104", "token_id": "8824052224832958195497143662304404348474858268627408924074113458482619201642", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "03383d3719149633b14ae0ba7127a008ba19c2b60fe60b3e8bdb97e74d8ce2b8", "event_source_sha256": "2baae52d7fc89ed97f3f1eb9103c319904d56b64696adfc94a6ecf1aae5ab465" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:45915", "title": "Brazil Presidential Election", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 19, "semantics_hash": "97d7c878b078200e7b8f87c020c7a0c505a19b09001d9320db1d745fc530679a", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "601818", "601819", "601820", "601821", "601822", "601823", "601824", "601825", "601826", "601827", "601828", "601829", "601830", "601831", "601832", "601833", "601834", "601835", "601836", "601837", "601838", "601839", "601840", "601841", "601842", "601843", "601844", "601845", "601846", "601847", "601848", "601849" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:45915", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "601832", "token_id": "18874063891853426715155938679650704186206312307574669405399400920527965569290", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Aldo Rebelo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "76395444fed8471f7b4419b46bea6449d2c80ef78d639280045f9f7cdd54c759", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601832", "condition_id": "0xafd3f96b7b6084509e625270538ff0699003fafc042263c1216e7f084cef753a", "token_id": "18874063891853426715155938679650704186206312307574669405399400920527965569290", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e670f50f3f16d22af6bdbd60601d16b969ff6f69bf8df6c03c0b6e1a235594b2", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "601836", "token_id": "61078489744701316174218443335134825688547680779921710765642429680039972907213", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Augusto Cury", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "919bdb884d7566b3601eb72a51c7fb95804615e6d191f2a05eedd2285f8b10b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601836", "condition_id": "0x536b507838dcdac8966510d84abb8f1c51362d632ab2023b94e810ba6fdf5cb7", "token_id": "61078489744701316174218443335134825688547680779921710765642429680039972907213", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b98d0af8dd44b0c77b88a41c58a7c66016923c7cab2d4e084849360c2bf07617", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "601829", "token_id": "40200361970099951836914907993971598083846841136374094155950298822866778978473", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Camilo Santana", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c3b95fe3ac3a3deb4805d08b320208c57c2bd6c421800cc802eefe44f50b331f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601829", "condition_id": "0x101d084cd035070abde58d8a3113b78e11ba68028b0d9e7e38ea7d780797aecc", "token_id": "40200361970099951836914907993971598083846841136374094155950298822866778978473", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f283ac0d5e4b178ce2f676b4d259ad60ab9f6f447f7fd9142b2a7beab3abf3e7", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "601823", "token_id": "68827474128979817444758177181483142354604256745613325980470518365059439724226", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Eduardo Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a680109291bb3b3e9fd5a169fe946e31fe06b81f1b249522aeb16d488c7f15a1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601823", "condition_id": "0xe1d5733322fd2215f136412f419d9ff805d097f78c68de3261515ff736895f2b", "token_id": "68827474128979817444758177181483142354604256745613325980470518365059439724226", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bdcb00a277203639481d01db0b160491c7591201e981816c20038d79c662a36f", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "601831", "token_id": "114877796464914647568230859616993131921615428032065380781940199946418906101564", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Eduardo Leite", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "17bc8ecc363c0fc8f60d855a8be7020b7be34ef774951c365b10e785792a0f58", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601831", "condition_id": "0x70f1a7d2cd490b640676d5e31470bcbe16fef40087de1af8b6f6e44e299b5784", "token_id": "114877796464914647568230859616993131921615428032065380781940199946418906101564", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b725f7fec102c78a69a097bded3a3e274e69ca21f73310ad62923515d64773f6", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "601821", "token_id": "34763699632057764824138626876692302096202604335992573366008355204521657293675", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fernando Haddad", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fec2eaefb83a0eb5d39d5d16e43306e40232af6fcc390f3be575695f5dcce5ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601821", "condition_id": "0xdd3d104667774208eae2239f576122ecdd1c04ba81cc14d26d22a36b33887977", "token_id": "34763699632057764824138626876692302096202604335992573366008355204521657293675", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dff0a51264c932d4ea40d17181637761a8faa446abb7158f71af9fe3d9f7bfd3", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "601826", "token_id": "109876868437950584369987384406356259939519193117253465815665152916226511121427", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1490f0e0c82fef59eb100d0e24446221b3586c057416e3368ced57bf16a5b440", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601826", "condition_id": "0x1a01bf78f56a507fcb666d564d8c8b91b0750679163ed6e96746102c9b7d285d", "token_id": "109876868437950584369987384406356259939519193117253465815665152916226511121427", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c1027e3b26f4a9ee4782e0ca9f7aa00c3986a87a3a656e0275a8e1d2de0e9670", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "601830", "token_id": "70059117674007036240163073645113489994895807359788046023215512784288966325609", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Geraldo Alckmin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3229216c108ac2b3c33c0e381ad8bd46d33b7f63cd3041b91be4edd2701ac574", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601830", "condition_id": "0xd0536d9612e041312235baceac52bde48821e8aad4607533513b3782904b7d49", "token_id": "70059117674007036240163073645113489994895807359788046023215512784288966325609", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ac0270cfe063de16114b0ac346d01765ad61540418b1a5ec9f156f053f038a4c", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "601834", "token_id": "49821018408733695378907631766783388197384982451576409356148180829521508621967", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Helder Barbalho", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "91a483b9efa7de65a727766c2b4c9645948121bcd4dbdb6574e3397e8a5872d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601834", "condition_id": "0x919c9bc428d2d19400437852066582b11bb7b00ad78529a0069cde76766b9faf", "token_id": "49821018408733695378907631766783388197384982451576409356148180829521508621967", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0e0ac77fc00ae182815cfb9d420ae0f55c35a8f53e378008b485b600df64c9e8", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "601820", "token_id": "66991175107696133528353695394151645462081911990365106169948013117379189357520", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jair Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f90358b08e151d54505c361634f03fc69c570212b1c5c8d578d6a9f314018c74", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601820", "condition_id": "0x63d8f3a34c90bd5342dda8acf62b6a898dfa52f86475efaf180b66493ef6af80", "token_id": "66991175107696133528353695394151645462081911990365106169948013117379189357520", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6581615b6e9e73039758eb37e7be8c579b107f22b4decb2d099ca558ba8bc945", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "601819", "token_id": "30630994248667897740988010928640156931882346081873066002335460180076741328029", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ea72fa4d5b59fa90bf373e9a5e6444140a7f620b5e2a2311a2444ba0958e19f9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601819", "condition_id": "0xdf8e2dc5860027decbe6164555c3c1c9645c3bd33e16b9dc57ca87125047d4a8", "token_id": "30630994248667897740988010928640156931882346081873066002335460180076741328029", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "68a7f0b35907a1f68459f73d1434e13e37b6d20e3c02f9c29e58b313a897fc70", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "601822", "token_id": "91154058715822908897619103072380844452822017332608583147987152526225529443892", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Michelle Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0e1abe4f0b950cd1ab94887232a24044bb0f7bc8248887f64cfaef8362e09c8a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601822", "condition_id": "0x37ec4c6b57a18b16eed1241f6155ee7ff45bc1697d7848f15ac33d406e38ed00", "token_id": "91154058715822908897619103072380844452822017332608583147987152526225529443892", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d2c4d056f8e98ebe21a7dc3ea6e351db77f2c89f342411cc82b3b5482741ba89", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "601835", "token_id": "72572221736897634802851345220625440437573759789073371714710674805950653460290", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pablo Mar\u00e7al", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "836808a06829d98e4de2e1b9817a0dd6fb1eb73200eca68a613497a3d702013c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601835", "condition_id": "0xe7567eb9c84e1f859a7e18f1042c724dbf57c3cc0459b312bee22156a57e60ea", "token_id": "72572221736897634802851345220625440437573759789073371714710674805950653460290", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pablo Mar\u00e7al win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "36a645a4cb7b7c15e24e7a1aeb830e7417506d6df87102571e46b08afd0b9b4c", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "601824", "token_id": "7424753944577407627798342086224300332261118341771286172561357635231967087849", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ratinho J\u00fanior", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6a4160734e37eb4a80d0e41f9e20f9193c4b0c2e0f6257e6bc766c739081482a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601824", "condition_id": "0xa59bb6bb91e5c1e4d533864520fbd3bb75d6d0ebb813b4cd8a8b88479bfa8966", "token_id": "7424753944577407627798342086224300332261118341771286172561357635231967087849", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Carlos Roberto Massa J\u00fanior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "76b6017b06f67d35177ecb6feea3ee68b79f4144e552e90199eb8b1cc9c04b2b", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "601825", "token_id": "93998891488819623915454849994768171534113749478841216025646247933473925258016", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Renan Santos", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a82f6858f376338994e1f6d4f469922c5c7b50fb8706491f49a0c9c3f449933", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601825", "condition_id": "0x05297f854d3b757d5e51a1a29c7f225a80b14b2a161d6b7f9a61677da7a80ced", "token_id": "93998891488819623915454849994768171534113749478841216025646247933473925258016", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d0ea6d7df2145a6f5155f06284fa31106543c07973b561befc1fd21e7982a0b7", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "601828", "token_id": "44340846524235712899508083510503343345123518718867913608211694999290628967401", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Romeu Zema", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a60af9d292f6a3f79238df1b87b5f3ad91908d76851b7f3138301ea4659a68f5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601828", "condition_id": "0x054725b2a7971376f7924a7021221b12acc50fe78d97817824fe411704d5b5a2", "token_id": "44340846524235712899508083510503343345123518718867913608211694999290628967401", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5fbc1511ab52ba7f88a798a52ee09f49ce14832ba0c8d2ad1f247c43c85c7bf5", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "601827", "token_id": "36262307788727352725358528951052957737657822670589615830114396216160368496388", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ronaldo Caiado", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2a84775fab63f1075e02e03ed7d29ceb56d07733c73f321a2ea8855e06773cf4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601827", "condition_id": "0xbca3d70ec52a5a441ccc365a3b1b48b9cd0f08dfff4bc5871e2cd92d0d92caa1", "token_id": "36262307788727352725358528951052957737657822670589615830114396216160368496388", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "299f838ac6a528306e84beedb8ad7e0b2ba0907d445a0389d7fd4a0177bf0607", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "601818", "token_id": "52634616068523389389514492087655237014427439869589807217055529923225131895030", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tarcisio de Freitas", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f0d56c43b195ba672bdfddd63b7554fee09e555ce7b1ab5801cbc8fcdbaf659d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601818", "condition_id": "0x81a537b379a35e4e17c286d3b37394e94bd74c1779bbe9a13670eb991b201a3a", "token_id": "52634616068523389389514492087655237014427439869589807217055529923225131895030", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "13c33fa07944cae7d458453711aeac8be6045247b00f5158b24572eef0be8d90", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "601833", "token_id": "111901744542692526827481385722975834672043376661227579870355575009066606657994", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tereza Cristina", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4c180de116330f961ef835b496c08f419ece40587f58000e52ec6ec0f623bff7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "601833", "condition_id": "0xae7dd99bf126b033b77af2553a98b97e1190fd7bdddd5a792ca2791ae23e4d13", "token_id": "111901744542692526827481385722975834672043376661227579870355575009066606657994", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.\n\nThis market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "45915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "519b4dd39910b8fad00a7cb5431ba00777ef57da1a251672ecb9427858e89264", "event_source_sha256": "81c2624ef4003dc8136c2e275aefe09646bf1ff7c90620884e4d1dbe2dc8aa20" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:139236", "title": "2026 Men\u2019s US Open Winner (Tennis)", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "260b242f2fa24b111981834d1383e8b3477d6580c2a80d5b05b479595ac289e1", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1088471", "1088472", "1088473", "1088474", "1088475", "1088476", "1088477", "1088478", "1088479", "1088480", "1088481", "1088482", "1088483", "1088484", "1088485", "1088486", "1088487", "1088488", "1088489", "1088490", "1088491", "1088492", "1088493", "1088494", "1088495", "1088496", "1088497", "1088498", "1088499", "1088500", "1088501", "1088502", "1088503", "1088504", "1088505", "1088506", "1088508", "1088509", "1088510", "1088512", "1088518", "1088534", "1088545", "1088553", "1088556", "1088557", "1088562", "1088568", "1088569" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:139236", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1088475", "token_id": "10458098669927883185204828453571065550874636694709643726889899346674533724103", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alexander Zverev", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "26db75f9749b78b62063d7bbc71a7daa15a690e36ebc302d23f5fe14381342a4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1088475", "condition_id": "0x39b718f6e0a66a3ae5e459e76c74a694b521eaff5f6015857d1d191f1fc03c61", "token_id": "10458098669927883185204828453571065550874636694709643726889899346674533724103", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?", "rules": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "139236", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "07ae60e89d0ebdf2f3912e80a36fdf761fb3ec6996af73b28b6bdbddf822b920", "event_source_sha256": "d84dcdcf6e3287a132e0cb3f2edd5073be82a1b83a394b36727156d902d2cc29" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1088476", "token_id": "97425373542541244409279148168035803042084783523795409980290844728581925888286", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ben Shelton", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f92f3a4b75770e0d643a1e112e219760648e51af4edf123da9e5e4303e9f1b87", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1088476", "condition_id": "0x5d1e8a08b738d682ce49308c73f0a83ae192476cc9472cb82cc989e4d83a7e7f", "token_id": "97425373542541244409279148168035803042084783523795409980290844728581925888286", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?", "rules": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "139236", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1732e9253cea0833a3fdeb0e94f4abdf7e4550ef3ed6c2bd1a7295bf8426cba8", "event_source_sha256": "d84dcdcf6e3287a132e0cb3f2edd5073be82a1b83a394b36727156d902d2cc29" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1088495", "token_id": "17914802278743526457323083251230030169739532324142429937278582208066415654078", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Casper Ruud", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd02dec818285da8a068a515101c0ec70b5b65f4b117582114235feac604ae10", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1088495", "condition_id": "0xb8d185def93836c113521400fb631c4a907358c28b55874c2e00e2604b9e87a3", "token_id": "17914802278743526457323083251230030169739532324142429937278582208066415654078", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's US Open?", "rules": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "139236", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "07670175e06fc0a1cfe3c9bef4ef31f95a9e3c116395b001107dd5c34bc149d0", "event_source_sha256": "d84dcdcf6e3287a132e0cb3f2edd5073be82a1b83a394b36727156d902d2cc29" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1088490", "token_id": "87247734861341513819506998862670010115958616717316515255174919511011083576350", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Frances Tiafoe", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af6f1e2495cc635686073f4c317110cca56ef839ac0ebdd66bbf6b16a06f39cb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1088490", "condition_id": "0x8ac035f347e31dec359c8167e38e161b8a1a168f31104d2580d21e6e57555ea5", "token_id": "87247734861341513819506998862670010115958616717316515255174919511011083576350", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?", "rules": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "139236", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "88e9218bc023ddb5c4523dd97e6f45e75fdc7db20b16dc81a5d01ce906e2851e", "event_source_sha256": "d84dcdcf6e3287a132e0cb3f2edd5073be82a1b83a394b36727156d902d2cc29" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1088502", "token_id": "110267333574013055317799477126720916205935043334789861771908553900183531042346", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Karen Khachanov", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c01fd73bdc61b36246f2deda6f22d3db4fe66e0a94c10540c55e2e298061d14c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1088502", "condition_id": "0x7faccea31c6d55a57330d9ddf5f92c26db7677847391556484e975012a01c552", "token_id": "110267333574013055317799477126720916205935043334789861771908553900183531042346", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?", "rules": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Men\u2019s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "139236", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "88390d1ee333888a9f9ed5fbea7d68628d5da9928580fe5f7ed9f571f07098db", "event_source_sha256": "d84dcdcf6e3287a132e0cb3f2edd5073be82a1b83a394b36727156d902d2cc29" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:202857", "title": "Pro Football: 2027 Champion", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 32, "semantics_hash": "3c58987d964c1b58e0b2dbb8cd6f6056d6cfdaae7e9e2a749c270302cf8c8d2a", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1357371", "1357372", "1357373", "1357374", "1357375", "1357376", "1357377", "1357378", "1357379", "1357380", "1357381", "1357382", "1357383", "1357384", "1357385", "1357386", "1357387", "1357388", "1357389", "1357390", "1357391", "1357392", "1357393", "1357394", "1357395", "1357396", "1357397", "1357398", "1357399", "1357400", "1357401", "1357402", "1357403" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:202857", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1357371", "token_id": "6807083143822791639785484162000434089482535992404945766593723006919421743513", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Arizona Cardinals", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6b04fcb3441465da11834861b4367a48664f8ad012ea09e20b2acfa367c9a39f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357371", "condition_id": "0x966db8fe4ecd031b6e83a02e681a86f7f235eab8e66c0dbbeb35e8c3518e168f", "token_id": "6807083143822791639785484162000434089482535992404945766593723006919421743513", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "612d3673ba3f79b667dc850e868af900ad5994da14ca09bd479399a609eb9ff1", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1357372", "token_id": 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is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "283bc17de0a6b16666f2d101f3b8808e0000bf14490a1942bb9393b51e8d188c", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1357373", "token_id": "73903998640927437939889487883041380194034214913517653047704709946666153109395", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Baltimore Ravens", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aad93395c49b8c1a21b454dc7802ec4784113cdd4cdbc29fbe4457e53f93aa2d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357373", "condition_id": "0xbd1d0889e5037c451bb1e45163749786fe4acc10af2ab40477e7052766054712", "token_id": "73903998640927437939889487883041380194034214913517653047704709946666153109395", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7db5185112b2b288445e9b0d54fb15a2f4f685f23d48b0a51ff07b8418085591", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1357374", "token_id": "15005653350202922348701786607519856020257461135905285631675545513297078700601", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Buffalo Bills", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1416575345944af31c469a88a713110e8d6511d2f2a91b21d44f3d8dc73a7d7f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357374", "condition_id": "0xb02f2ebd5ba67ed1018b634f7ccf88fd46e348f4a53c55cf89a55d02d9ea8611", "token_id": "15005653350202922348701786607519856020257461135905285631675545513297078700601", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0e43f62d656d245b5571ce090051e2b207194e3d338e8ff5f1b31e357af789f3", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1357375", "token_id": "8289676553668905192646292194810844127463224729038516393438317442304948394619", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Carolina Panthers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f79bd5cccee41938a5c48bb9426af8424f9779bf41d41e8e40012a12a7f177b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357375", "condition_id": "0x1dd5f687b0f7aaa76ac2d2f2ea328ed825902e835a44cb4fa22f6c89848c26fb", "token_id": "8289676553668905192646292194810844127463224729038516393438317442304948394619", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "767d21cf795fabd52bb741c9cfc0dabf3aedbe5b30fa5a6402f2d49781ed74fa", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1357376", "token_id": "20782101138359830353373339924745258800328483049130539494636298430311546419943", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chicago Bears", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4440efd563d0c943b26f9ca1c808fc9b851296997f2a9154e0b20628ddaa9b70", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357376", "condition_id": "0x87f0b061076a7309abeb719136246303ce17fe40b4e9c65aca4149bbdbdd3236", "token_id": "20782101138359830353373339924745258800328483049130539494636298430311546419943", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5085171eef83c85828dbcc9e04d1bb458332b7ffe5b3a50b0169e4094283295b", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1357377", "token_id": "91312216951557525293884905171902573674976018469551783568783047942228223380002", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cincinnati Bengals", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c61f2f5b92161c21a7d3072d9afacd8118676de13aac644890f07ca92a354772", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357377", "condition_id": 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"2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e5b628ab282ef0f3eef8b3e2ed192e5f35e0b023f60a4a87b52a5bee557aac5a", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1357378", "token_id": "35965406209258753337640981955645235544749167080943866358520922399726087677546", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cleveland Browns", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "811fde8083119357cb5e2b6a27428995b39b7dda539fc6519629fcec1bd65ca1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357378", "condition_id": 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"2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1cde0eda040cf5644944b8ea237f12edcd494383df916d42f331b68303049b08", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1357379", "token_id": "95250740975229568321286337983590034080899794989435247744887256482902867335355", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dallas Cowboys", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "36a6d06763bee2b113dfd5e6dd54bdeb392fe11e44c0a830aa18eb07b7598bc7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357379", "condition_id": "0x93158447b78290c1abb5ccf3e025dd03290865972b3fc9c8d2803aa64ae1cbfd", "token_id": "95250740975229568321286337983590034080899794989435247744887256482902867335355", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5f89bb0a220d1db7faf923f7c59b94ab1e4f1367fc213687c59fb15108ac3df0", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1357380", "token_id": "32552965104139234418306396081841371197890264315094634472674018857038790114219", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Denver Broncos", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "615263bbb828eb893745da45bbdddb7449025fd4122ea2dc7aeab9a48e3b74dc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357380", "condition_id": "0x8e29cb5c6b8d6b8d259114ffca2796fb378d1e0575f8362fb93f4cb174fad405", "token_id": "32552965104139234418306396081841371197890264315094634472674018857038790114219", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f81b73bfb9cc226313d5291814c23075862a84fd4ee872e866b095fec6fa108e", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "1357381", "token_id": "10111020886592735853228942459183728273074136717888452670231599414724838344635", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Detroit Lions", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf401a6266cee8bfe6f8527e4fa90a728cd777ec7b8866c15d07f244ee0bf79f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357381", "condition_id": "0x69a24b337ef9c44ef2cda8ddc69bf32cba38dec05846c26071d6bba43e9f7834", "token_id": "10111020886592735853228942459183728273074136717888452670231599414724838344635", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "38f52cc8bf74c5c9a80322e900dbf92d0704d83c111287febf9ee45f30187703", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "1357382", "token_id": "35735014075537072843409037792992988369227546626755131549045738083250548567488", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Green Bay Packers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dda133702dbb08cc127d9487d39ea74562ed8374f3c84239a99d127affee6223", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357382", "condition_id": "0x04816f7f30a810111bd4e3d7e06952889f81f280f23370f2ff59323d9a202cca", "token_id": "35735014075537072843409037792992988369227546626755131549045738083250548567488", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "912916cd695d02b6df58c1de00cc05fbc621f09592cdb720d8af4d49f9ed8b25", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "1357383", "token_id": "82860415910448737270902374411987827711923709249517011320325989967640805801007", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Houston Texans", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a7c7a7c2b3e51afa27d5af4fe28f9576d441bac6cf803e71ce8b7e6e3169026f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357383", "condition_id": "0x7f1d878b72e5de3691768ef8fdc0f811405717166e2161e7e490c347980d9b8e", "token_id": "82860415910448737270902374411987827711923709249517011320325989967640805801007", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d9883880186311a4a9352c84b6c7932f6f64165a7d7a2d2d27d9333621e974ec", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "1357384", "token_id": "37733636772890751830166994547829991132774994586134566102686345587785762739786", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Indianapolis Colts", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8895d799bcb32d01aa0a60cb0501ede647854732d4c110125d346012375adf93", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357384", "condition_id": "0xefa35b4d8604c62727434b91e97878fd1f85e751b0582d2041a381a9b0165871", "token_id": "37733636772890751830166994547829991132774994586134566102686345587785762739786", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "274d65fe0dc5945545fe090b1c82a62cee2374d7601f569f5f2c82358d4d8086", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "1357385", "token_id": "974996339434137274969205706934098681831948949675083560493538609289838899860", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jacksonville Jaguars", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eb1b29f6b5196f3eb66ef42d21537a40ff406e9218ff504efcf0be32571202a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357385", "condition_id": "0xdd6df6bc49de64cf38b2059cea20d00b86ef0c01b4c146e8930471d20f599cef", "token_id": "974996339434137274969205706934098681831948949675083560493538609289838899860", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "120b121fcfda03ec8ce52ce9cd955af632caa5509a352412d200c3e656efcbe5", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "1357386", "token_id": "69042190742678678187984887226901406327636174762281438864527733358265304680670", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kansas City Chiefs", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "26e23757b1c7f33af464117e062c9191b914a65175c3fbcba870c3059897b655", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357386", "condition_id": "0xee307e0609e90bd64e7bb75135662091ff438b043031d79337a67b4d1f54763d", "token_id": "69042190742678678187984887226901406327636174762281438864527733358265304680670", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f2335a43c061da869e0fa305a00ec4dd7e79cf49e49919bf09ab4275f6cc1890", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "1357387", "token_id": "59226162751411958698158426899722532714096625688096542121038780675009172335910", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Las Vegas Raiders", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2ac49df54f0ce536fca138ae38d3479d05b4fbb6158d0562495527bc6f50252", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357387", "condition_id": "0xc771628162ee0100dc74e1c71c14ed067c3cc0f90e85e9f2c1038a33967c52a5", "token_id": "59226162751411958698158426899722532714096625688096542121038780675009172335910", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7149f071de03ff18c23cadf7b5029b00f9e4117e0441ba0b835c6a0874b153b9", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "1357388", "token_id": "12782349642686772159246452578794502295967626450442027393248075511072163083100", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Los Angeles Chargers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "be38c769891ecc86bb2e7dda7e6a7d88b1c894a74dbb0d3917362d2d039de6df", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357388", "condition_id": "0x6c9407f7841e7507ba435d540af237d742674ba05bac48998cf94f4b7ef5d909", "token_id": "12782349642686772159246452578794502295967626450442027393248075511072163083100", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c3c96c02f9a150aa327f17503af077a403671fd12d815d1987771a5a45bf20f0", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "1357389", "token_id": "43352642039302747588938905555385017655344819959150117270669936414308468726872", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Los Angeles Rams", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5d9405df5cc477ed1f8e7852d4e15ae4e6639c06aaf3316377132fd8f527443a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357389", "condition_id": "0xdb88bf08a8244ff54b020d91853d03655b23eea74ed3ced99be6e6e978b0a3c3", "token_id": "43352642039302747588938905555385017655344819959150117270669936414308468726872", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "69e487885b9a72831b3e428ee1cb7fec60ad43e086285197d35abfc0831877fd", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "1357390", "token_id": "40461842876297220698229694136443456698836540114087448807075853976146277746623", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Miami Dolphins", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e31b70ee8c1bfb1220073af1749f524d1149753fdae9347092379ea1810c73e7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357390", "condition_id": "0x811e51a7acf39eeb9757f87d71624c0dbc2e12992c58419dddb8c6b4cb339df8", "token_id": "40461842876297220698229694136443456698836540114087448807075853976146277746623", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c2d78bfe38d9d7fe9d61044c9b5f824eb806ccffbd7778eee1c257745e9adf72", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "1357391", "token_id": "2259102227815950907342121712913326957116722298738395193563847530262859469556", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Minnesota Vikings", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "443b535e73757125c6096402a903f268f458a09fc05aecc333d03e4ef43f4adb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357391", "condition_id": "0x2972fe6bf03e5b4b21b135c69689710e184d300185540827c5c8fe4a135121c8", "token_id": "2259102227815950907342121712913326957116722298738395193563847530262859469556", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1dd59cc35e409b0d044e584cafeddd3bf324caff89a610f0ddd54e39fd2ca3fa", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "1357392", "token_id": "78281588462016004003374572469592689124590878916935893431087178527974926369110", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New England Patriots", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "488fca2c03256cddabe94118e95bfedf5f93e74499d8477a656ff21468229a5d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357392", "condition_id": "0x8133843fe31063a6cc17c4582c023a832ee64802c98fcc08d79521629831d3c4", "token_id": "78281588462016004003374572469592689124590878916935893431087178527974926369110", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ac1786703443242d2a695c764bf674f98e836a09454fa48344b3ab4e7ed74f8a", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "1357393", "token_id": "110663723024357456888700616931388705119823235067095175879915487497597096882971", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New Orleans Saints", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6d7509efb23fb0946ca2a5259984cce8233a588018b00e19a0cf9e8daabb9e4f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357393", "condition_id": "0x850c5df4f71fbe41414e71df71213453a97615742a6194e42600015e2c255800", "token_id": "110663723024357456888700616931388705119823235067095175879915487497597096882971", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6907b30ab4929948aff6a13422e501db613c2dba38ac50ae33626f78d9512bdf", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "1357394", "token_id": "9529995439127992597916745368767207397574770251198740488507514341670263678067", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New York Giants", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "578f677f3f00fcceaf0af6fad8f138b99d702e066cc6b27f9e8fba7f83238f07", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357394", "condition_id": "0xffc4681fe848a8bb55bcc97f774377199d05845164b17107e67344165864d48d", "token_id": "9529995439127992597916745368767207397574770251198740488507514341670263678067", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b58898e26eba3ab57a4fb86db0fa4359eaf9f29e8e67e614d9f3d260cbcad188", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "1357395", "token_id": "35620040664307062505140509445997394221816856666002677359785585186304324108887", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New York Jets", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7cd3c9de21b3a6d842dfd926443d00772936830d91ac082185d7f4ad69dabbe7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357395", "condition_id": "0x508c917d0ee4a7a5535e825c3f85ee47d27fc1e72f88475d88daa4877da2a9d0", "token_id": "35620040664307062505140509445997394221816856666002677359785585186304324108887", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0edab6ec7d0f33506366169d5094f034a7b745672bb08629ef754a23a360e2f4", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "1357396", "token_id": "67550420979177489996180069723505955888038150368085668640711886592732638036902", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Philadelphia Eagles", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "468c1aea8210cab238b1d30cd9c90f7058b8126de0939c7a7987e7a9870f750f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357396", "condition_id": "0xe22296145ee2a1415536e271bd38371e53d7577bcb446c5d61cb615c5ae282c6", "token_id": "67550420979177489996180069723505955888038150368085668640711886592732638036902", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6291a32d141705606af87da8fa2030177ac048eb7e23f8a0df0272bca2992914", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "1357397", "token_id": "1644423779555068499869687727066828174102109860217236402367040602994229475131", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pittsburgh Steelers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0d1f8abcd230a42b4d80d307dfe211b43964481c6a241bdf63b04e29e09db7cd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357397", "condition_id": "0xc2721eaeeb211954175eb98c848d6237d8e14fd6943bc438c2ac65b8a5164b8e", "token_id": "1644423779555068499869687727066828174102109860217236402367040602994229475131", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "12c3767155738eeb70304a48c5e76cbb6eb5e1c54ffd1803ef589b2cd83a7d3c", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 27, "market_id": "1357398", "token_id": "39837385690303579870717217200412085690608514752076614686048080531386540862921", "outcome": "yes", "label": "San Francisco 49ers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7decce2f6696b0cebfd6044318e1086c902e70ccf012f7bae359eb5dfbc52d73", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357398", "condition_id": "0x6099e6b30c4ee1d3121e5ebe4760ebff446ec5d7eef1b9c43dd2e9cfd59a556c", "token_id": "39837385690303579870717217200412085690608514752076614686048080531386540862921", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c5547bd572f5bf39ffac62b3ef57958a28e4873eb086e2182cc7335fb15e31c0", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 28, "market_id": "1357399", "token_id": "44921620302443755066232904216706419654951291213279649386577553092891642701355", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Seattle Seahawks", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "50d36f79140ac28423f9d3343e0ed484159354df9856653223db63a9a77dafd6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357399", "condition_id": "0x8e6d892346600222b7cb8350acd0e97dda1ae616259ba117ea2e9b59bbe038a1", "token_id": "44921620302443755066232904216706419654951291213279649386577553092891642701355", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "307d189a0d300417243d759cc24397c77b01e2fde78efd14cbc93c1876313fb1", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 29, "market_id": "1357400", "token_id": "112711851390253649978954130460524061365181535685680933026744092367067211154863", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0acda5057b14b5f9d6ce4d23e2a84d9e8bebbf436ad928d176692af643b37807", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357400", "condition_id": "0x2abc2ca23b04c1d8e170b33f1de93937eec740bf5b3e9309e250f3562f1a166b", "token_id": "112711851390253649978954130460524061365181535685680933026744092367067211154863", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4207d3fd1157b095eed09bba3f4dd171092b7ad30b89d449e38367e77f8b6863", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 30, "market_id": "1357401", "token_id": "82011182359345254749754399024502145123027503485440895682887227099665304794279", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tennessee Titans", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "85467e883382bd2fdaf60ba4986da3d1b8bc6b0e1a8a087b6fad61667ea25e43", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357401", "condition_id": "0x5a24b05ba7478b8eab4a26475321ef66eabd2c715e5aa2f0e30d2f13e9a5f17d", "token_id": "82011182359345254749754399024502145123027503485440895682887227099665304794279", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f0d9eecf82381a6fff0cfef7edb539cbd6f78497196c02dc240308d378280bbc", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" }, { "position": 31, "market_id": "1357402", "token_id": "6614306125198469781454634877555386511572325590554203483372699263371225026087", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Washington Commanders", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6e070f83af89e2931fb166f907adf68c4ca8652163e26eef49321e42b4143d45", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1357402", "condition_id": "0x2075c64a5dbb84d1232b1162c31136337b8595365ee2e1ea4f6c44b351aef58d", "token_id": "6614306125198469781454634877555386511572325590554203483372699263371225026087", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "202857", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "be8aaa39a09654fa13508550ff95b68d701b79b4334d2260afd92ddb4936cad9", "event_source_sha256": "95decf5549156fcfe2faa38cc61b44c5ff32dc87d776717ac70537d3d427b2ff" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:139255", "title": "2026 Women\u2019s US Open Winner (Tennis)", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "cbd4e8e52c7d736ab21a2c5b7b1c8ca893f67cd04c4a9cc47058afd701b3bf7b", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1088652", "1088653", "1088654", "1088655", "1088656", "1088657", "1088658", "1088659", "1088660", "1088661", "1088662", "1088663", "1088664", "1088665", "1088666", "1088667", "1088668", "1088669", "1088670", "1088671", "1088672", "1088673", "1088674", "1088675", "1088676", "1088677", "1088678", "1088679", "1088680", "1088681", "1088682", "1088683", "1088684", "1088685", "1088686", "1088687", "1088688", "1088689", "1088690", "1088691", "1088692", "1088693", "1088694", "1088695", "1088696", "1088697", "1088698", "1088699", "1088700", "1088701", "1088702", "1088703", "1088704", "1088705", "1088706", "1088707", "1088708", "1088709", "1088710", "1088711", "1088712", "1088713", "1088714", "1088715", "1088716", "1088717", "1088718" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:139255", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1088652", "token_id": "108631385361440485481595079708534333651533411429286989603618948391847251894034", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Aryna Sabalenka", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7d400377090f2c6d788d1da9800aaa6b1f98ffea85dce980a646ba4be38e69e0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1088652", "condition_id": "0x5e9800b7925bf81e86dfc271551d9b91d388f993b7715df8253ba081cd99d4c1", "token_id": "108631385361440485481595079708534333651533411429286989603618948391847251894034", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women\u2019s US Open?", "rules": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "139255", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d0cde2ddb55a074beebfaa5e035c80da4eaf8e8895ea5dd61693cc94f9c373fa", "event_source_sha256": "0565529b0c3c73ba7754d040a08e60fa527039fb9e4047ade9ccacf366b26997" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1088654", "token_id": "86370246428673405949421938587432016356758806248962551240464006129235891705710", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Coco Gauff", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a645e71f9c7a1ed0e2d2552b90fe791ba272ad1bcb8e20f95ebf55457b177cdc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1088654", "condition_id": "0xd57fc70e99167e2e418eb462abfab43227d2ae48a1342bdf44fe93864852eea5", "token_id": "86370246428673405949421938587432016356758806248962551240464006129235891705710", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women\u2019s US Open?", "rules": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "139255", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a32dd1d163cf0f4a92e4c706ab19de61984efa5e99c86d51ceb4ba8ffe7ed4e3", "event_source_sha256": "0565529b0c3c73ba7754d040a08e60fa527039fb9e4047ade9ccacf366b26997" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1088656", "token_id": "57315980911448324494504383860157479214263362295631111118265230561674370667205", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elena Rybakina", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9459c9f104162b30c94be6d4e5d22c26da1dac647a0428186e713013021b0fe8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1088656", "condition_id": "0x06a3407e2639729c2aefa0d124f4cec064875f47fb0a85e3b3a82978878e5a12", "token_id": "57315980911448324494504383860157479214263362295631111118265230561674370667205", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women\u2019s US Open?", "rules": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "139255", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7557b4dfbf35eed5155377955a296b9680ddd726c2666eea9ff179dc11f9c15d", "event_source_sha256": "0565529b0c3c73ba7754d040a08e60fa527039fb9e4047ade9ccacf366b26997" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1088661", "token_id": "114620321979245807126876677878086943204726696228090907744065402225305806600986", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jessica Pegula", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "80109a205733c9c952827215946c48ab8916aedd64c0a5249a1f70a7b7228e2e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1088661", "condition_id": "0x8ae48c75da6e6a01d266952e6e5b6b5ca3f7dd7f9fb51759f167cc0028e61e27", "token_id": "114620321979245807126876677878086943204726696228090907744065402225305806600986", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women\u2019s US Open?", "rules": "The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 U.S. Open Women\u2019s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "139255", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b33fdb51a8421d53dfde1f0fc953708fa98f6a3639274f76e573989d56241b33", "event_source_sha256": "0565529b0c3c73ba7754d040a08e60fa527039fb9e4047ade9ccacf366b26997" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:48361", "title": "Ballon d'Or Winner 2026", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 19, "semantics_hash": "0d01a54b2f407b0024decad74fdcb0eab7879bbb78e38d75c24ad8b18c89256c", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "608540", "608541", "608542", "608543", "608544", "608545", "608546", "608547", "608548", "608549", "608550", "608551", "608552", "608553", "608554", "608555", "608556", "608557", "608558", "608559", "608560", "608561", "608562", "608563", "608564", "608565", "608566", "608567", "608568", "608569", "608570", "608571", "608572", "608573", "608574", "608575", "608576", "608577", "608578", "608579", "608580", "608581", "608582", "608583", "608584", "608585", "608586", "608587", "608588", "608589", "608590", "608591", "608592", "608593", "608594", "608595", "608596", "608597", "608598", "608599", "608600", "608601", "608602", "608603", "608604", "608605", "608606", "608607", "608608", "608609", "608610", "608611", "608612", "608613", "608614", "608615", "608616", "608617", "608618", "608619", "608620", "608621", "608622", "608623", "608624", "608625", "608626", "608627", "608628" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:48361", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "608559", "token_id": "96629246041156194058643540529810407132129200453073279076767531328321906651327", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Achraf Hakimi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2b3f2af54e6c39449f67c9ae3472797f202ec380896c7dde07854e645e512fb4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608559", "condition_id": "0x690c19fce9277de872d336d74ed41d2777e1cd292aff46266660b103d26c959a", "token_id": "96629246041156194058643540529810407132129200453073279076767531328321906651327", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "872e3a2e4dd114d994f41315e10fd574cc9f43c8e2e17d66ad5a03a0e19dbfbd", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "608560", "token_id": "101622557465698829525744132602088194868803796460787278639335217811778299351277", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bruno Fernandes", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eff14a1ea91985c73c6d42f7e368320e2c79dc19cd867ee2500736c650a86b6f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608560", "condition_id": "0x6bf93fc8674293ec051a0b10b0ad4fc20b0087685f6c8ef080e1568e03897275", "token_id": "101622557465698829525744132602088194868803796460787278639335217811778299351277", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "787ce512417846dd8f2faa52000a4779c4f22b7c57bb0ea3bc580d69690a48c0", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "608552", "token_id": "92592184455436128494220554453387664176148977714883057890153205798000245198735", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Declan Rice", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "148da97ab3f9f784310d389126de404fe8391db4f143d7b582db2305e29f1156", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608552", "condition_id": "0x36d6b5a0d75f0759c747b41afb84d86fff70db2b2eebaeb3bea92fe444de934f", "token_id": "92592184455436128494220554453387664176148977714883057890153205798000245198735", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "deec2636ee4a1f1be6f1f0c5f8cb9e400f53d3359dd620d73100cd3393411278", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "608541", "token_id": "28452090262595806306683841543702974671789939255165753137157118490078999198778", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Erling Haaland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "adae7a7302018dd7a31dfa96cddaf016cd506e7d059fe4ed4c4f5eec256866f2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608541", "condition_id": "0xc89266786402aaabe78111eb91c6764d86857bbc4427c82b91d60a5ef69a70d0", "token_id": "28452090262595806306683841543702974671789939255165753137157118490078999198778", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "68fd7ed1576bf1f752f7496c1a3d9a1b9a62dd1a612708e6e6d48bbf3fad28c6", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "608568", "token_id": "108195640564166028303797840625325548216682391635068759939973120172828369844863", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fabian Ruiz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2c7afa332f79a8550f7ba6bf898b4117f73eeb40a297802223f188c8b5a3967b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608568", "condition_id": "0x484252a68d9367df54f641765866693f16ac7a07d65d417bdbedc1c821d408f6", "token_id": "108195640564166028303797840625325548216682391635068759939973120172828369844863", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "db0ae2347609b18830ebe76e2bedc610c5512aa4dff39c5feff00e25efaa6db1", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "608547", "token_id": "72710166409980712002774407052535905861151156175854323762835102340552522606004", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Harry Kane", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "108bd919b8390ad877f8d15dedbfbaf7bc91fb996849c67d50e535b55cce8e28", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608547", "condition_id": "0x12dc2b61723b2a54fc1947a307389b5f32038e7a29a0e936ad1fe410b969d06a", "token_id": "72710166409980712002774407052535905861151156175854323762835102340552522606004", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "997d119a8a98628e9f3047046c8c9bd097b3bbda19addf424e4647f16ee76437", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "608542", "token_id": "35466012767924254839738113787085950010503473575312851228505226571790709275819", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jude Bellingham", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6cfc30faebc4f5580f5fae847dbf78381779953970604a254e3263ed46b6f4fb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608542", "condition_id": "0xaa95b8ce7b2c7f04102c173447ef24a8724bed88687442ab8742a73aa7bafeff", "token_id": "35466012767924254839738113787085950010503473575312851228505226571790709275819", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aa43a30bbb9ee301ce8eea182ecd794f1423d6d347defc5800b3d96d0d33678a", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "608553", "token_id": "12622519606415978744877534783705265610788882249231449850262189360805525437274", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Khvicha Kvaratskhelia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eea5365c7dec1ec7e8550a4afe0defc529ea65f33fedc27ad7609bb8d227d7c1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608553", "condition_id": "0x9f50939c394897a984d04522b61cf62da5aaa7fc50a2b3da362accaeffe38078", "token_id": "12622519606415978744877534783705265610788882249231449850262189360805525437274", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "abd3d7b0dae54878be367009a21fbf0214b182a99147accb2e98a82ddbc1ba61", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "608540", "token_id": "95640549996905293510297955529586737178285694064878854803914367446504739764113", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kylian Mbapp\u00e9", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7c8c76bc85a376b4f0a3215f4cac8f86a95d04b8c74bc3e9afaaec9a548fe47f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608540", "condition_id": "0x87091dc5932f015d80c40e71e47cb043c3f8b6098484eb5bc3943cf35ee9afc1", "token_id": "95640549996905293510297955529586737178285694064878854803914367446504739764113", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6ead4f32c019de0dda2793a449995dd0c1263c5619dccd33f1c12a385598af35", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "608545", "token_id": "10466835326554416965099784068156829774726248334728156046559014834812912458273", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lamine Yamal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "41063f0669fe34980fe050b44576efee605970a0b29d05ef6fb556ef6fafbd62", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608545", "condition_id": "0xa34edb6c898232378a9cc08744842df2cd89d278ba45b012bed3ac10c7241c4d", "token_id": "10466835326554416965099784068156829774726248334728156046559014834812912458273", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f4efbbfaddf3e5b330d1ea00ba22c7a9745293603c76e5515558bc37a4da1edc", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "608562", "token_id": "89194809054137575419175388726154485325193802797230727484307111472702259856508", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lautaro Martinez", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "35ab7853b68d0146616389469d26b850a07411fcbe0f2b273f835a17ecd9c4d2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608562", "condition_id": "0xc6421c3ee02a46dfff6a860fd1649ad81b168f781842ab732fd4dd6791d6c431", "token_id": "89194809054137575419175388726154485325193802797230727484307111472702259856508", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3621d77b7354088246ae20818d40b04aed2f083142017429d8f82d98ca18863b", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "608565", "token_id": "14940935985254400645996902276818598247231942791302218826999289776538227075176", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lionel Messi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "772b95d77f00fcd0dab2b3deb9c5d5829f38ce4a8e16d9f3fb8067140d49f590", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608565", "condition_id": "0x7034c00a24f9edbf325fd5a0b9a63412e469fc8cd2aa9b060fb5ba8e10d7ebef", "token_id": "14940935985254400645996902276818598247231942791302218826999289776538227075176", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b4130918ba0ef59bb2b74d3046df9612a430e9503b9adf0c3e57f2fcd3360c0f", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "608561", "token_id": "10270259122904576625713794259677323606251651109288833081827776714048972166811", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Luis Diaz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d1394454a24eb0988a287d5af60c9ed25d033d0b1c9cc8264d7bc768eeaf1d80", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608561", "condition_id": "0x29ef2d589755bce48cd5c880ad51c2e814e56725f58232bc26d2f95e0ef7929a", "token_id": "10270259122904576625713794259677323606251651109288833081827776714048972166811", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3d77ec22aefe385f02e2c55197815ca05c8f5a41faecd9bdb757411646c3c1ec", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "608551", "token_id": "80760484659859004057151567591793221748584787651268092387414945323344021679571", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Michael Olise", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "83b972b0c1be28775a857dae8fb41b405f7b967c3c0a35700f31fe69e173ad72", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608551", "condition_id": "0x3d5321854a1571f6f9f27fd6a87fbefdde464260a19b03404d2eb9d97f3d2b06", "token_id": "80760484659859004057151567591793221748584787651268092387414945323344021679571", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fbced420690f77a09c6af807057e44077c3f8e1d5ae1f2d151da9bf40a2c99a4", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "608543", "token_id": "98995454929502090253677005499136815786618457974539379472945759013797338791883", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ousmane Demb\u00e9l\u00e9", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0bc713964a97aa6a33b50658f375f1e3a404ac6f6623189bb6d30ec5466cb6aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608543", "condition_id": "0x26f410f7518fa199678ef57f02637fc88be9b3b593346b00946d7ea451f4521b", "token_id": "98995454929502090253677005499136815786618457974539379472945759013797338791883", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ousmane Demb\u00e9l\u00e9 win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7b268984ee4e095750d605d1e547a9f2343a78b6e9f1f017c81e19cfe47304d8", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "608567", "token_id": "5264677211728439009834470236168077987240809170451856067063934287137178859748", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pau Cubarsi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a71c8106c8c536fef59379294d1a186cdf46b21fda940727f8dc9d417e2e33a5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608567", "condition_id": "0xd0d342e06ca9d5b1e5ddf66ad92b42b9cc6010823507c8e3107afe2ee1db8852", "token_id": "5264677211728439009834470236168077987240809170451856067063934287137178859748", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "543bf576ee4b5e44aa1ca99f80ee08400291dfc0e437892cea48859b35db2c02", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "608566", "token_id": "78803948342995070838836736012795017072053448960983345349841661545681081452350", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rodri", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "787b32adc6d8a9f98a2257f93fdb16a9e7e4f5bb7af8c94380cbe01aa26ba49a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608566", "condition_id": "0x30f729ef18553d8956bfd7ae7a1e96dbad07e2476160239b23ec10e6cdc5f01b", "token_id": "78803948342995070838836736012795017072053448960983345349841661545681081452350", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "07a09c9310fdab1d5fc2994f2a916bed2946a915e98f43bd4ded1e3a982c48b6", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "608546", "token_id": "87463122783250401770409006373017832501980573239347362136882847193417885543780", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Vin\u00edcius J\u00fanior", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6de84cc3e818763d9725bd9a722d16210d60966411b72724589ee7cf331f2196", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608546", "condition_id": "0x92546439b64eb75474e85860546f9b46d5965be9f6b39d834b5d952f25137ec0", "token_id": "87463122783250401770409006373017832501980573239347362136882847193417885543780", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Vin\u00edcius J\u00fanior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d012bca8ec2cccb11108cad0eae555bb030ffd09a6317a634b0093d227d18a81", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "608554", "token_id": "82634650036071435661480653934114573393829890801771064904327870866332495668102", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Vitinha", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "139f860f2977cfbe007181d0c5b68c8577a38f7805e9b342ec3f9313ec3fa8cc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "608554", "condition_id": "0x1bc81406764e3a1f4bb86c9bfe054f7c230902f40bcd7f682f6d79a2a0f7dc38", "token_id": "82634650036071435661480653934114573393829890801771064904327870866332495668102", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or.\n\nIf no 2026 Ballon d\u2019Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "48361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b7d4c8d39a62156b01d70629767415acaf6e225c461274c88a43f6b9fb40097f", "event_source_sha256": "fc68295e2b4cb2e1510ceb5529ca122a0098b917bc3105b49f76aae050d69070" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:945718", "title": "Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 20, "semantics_hash": "296697729f1b7f8dd13137e334f5b399222ca32018c1baa644241b6654449d9f", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4050624", "4050633", "4050643", "4050654", "4050661", "4050670", "4050678", "4050686", "4050690", "4050692", "4050695", "4050697", "4050699", "4050701", "4050702", "4050703", "4050704", "4050705", "4050706", "4050707", "4050708", "4050709", "4050710", "4050712", "4050714", "4050716" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:945718", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4050678", "token_id": "28118107828559248509430884261493332837907030216176223552954490669355867199308", "outcome": "yes", "label": "120-139", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1490e01751b2581a59d5ede817e639868a73575854fc71febe2304470ca3e7b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050678", "condition_id": "0x820b3a333ffd38b980fdb4e30615e6706b38d8899b27e1cafbafe9d7a6663027", "token_id": "28118107828559248509430884261493332837907030216176223552954490669355867199308", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c55547def7a96a88515fe995db1f4bb2d7f9a8f0a4dc483863b7824935272647", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4050686", "token_id": "54504445638949272971308090084197628218302500516768318685497689730751318257465", "outcome": "yes", "label": "140-159", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "77a5a37084655a23e5c377e7047f995513ea86744e1027ddc30b05788d63979c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050686", "condition_id": "0x80a25985a630f2c67513387ac268371adeaf5b486667ac3e124da1a22b67ac65", "token_id": "54504445638949272971308090084197628218302500516768318685497689730751318257465", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6f20157d43a8f7a891ee89ebc7264daf2e310723f5172efa1605b406c6e19d56", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4050690", "token_id": "67013088277836121920880572035232067918600565731562101737185463401395355293481", "outcome": "yes", "label": "160-179", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d13d0d472844b49da82bd1d674bc697e9d313ff042f46b58a51a3aa8242b7a25", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050690", "condition_id": "0x21a617a9d3a9d4cc806bdb0cd19b648f50873e841f48f2085e8767f534d2fa85", "token_id": "67013088277836121920880572035232067918600565731562101737185463401395355293481", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f30d9915edf1c9412b0ca18cc704d5d0636841a462be7688e52bc878472f1f26", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4050692", "token_id": "36174681154030375702078892057398305644632275956162927580086409782722309128787", "outcome": "yes", "label": "180-199", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5eb3ac734c5ef613bd9e7932afe8d3e0b77b051c3b1bec8e658b9de4c9539a6c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050692", "condition_id": "0x74ad0cf402c6a6acbc84a56abfd26875ba71a6c1aa6e469cd9f37591dbe18392", "token_id": "36174681154030375702078892057398305644632275956162927580086409782722309128787", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "89297976853aaf9082e2958febe4b472568de20645709549dd59fd0622777db9", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4050695", "token_id": "92243984892396366565629352734805722167874421096506828448190917148172877603704", "outcome": "yes", "label": "200-219", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b95ac85fbea29a3a5ac6d05d14509c482a3765ada0071de7cb764b300d368370", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050695", "condition_id": "0x5da95a5793f2465624f64683b0f30437137653f76214cb81093767cd89375678", "token_id": "92243984892396366565629352734805722167874421096506828448190917148172877603704", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3cfafabf23accc082d17e52fda85189f0740b34f0faf5240847ec54d8eb86e46", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4050697", "token_id": "50236747153143921558331254753436158313449128271368664187241680041704770824181", "outcome": "yes", "label": "220-239", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1b8c702819d706785be0477a456ebdf2c52e9996e5ef21f4882db7a90cfa59fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050697", "condition_id": "0x51e2166dcbdad4a406a8ee912ef420f5dc6dd7d4db12cc5fdaeab53d23ed59a8", "token_id": "50236747153143921558331254753436158313449128271368664187241680041704770824181", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "73431f6aa532e3d21fbba53ac395df6a33120f9e6d639cae46c2075621e6dfa5", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4050699", "token_id": "107991285601208674396970409274931811243998833561653139245605530779761390018345", "outcome": "yes", "label": "240-259", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "105b4c0d746a6259e22510411089bb929014aa06f312e1b7111204be52740753", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050699", "condition_id": "0xff6c155487d5f2f331e090486efc12d0d5a04102b51f65b421ae8d1bb14abbd0", "token_id": "107991285601208674396970409274931811243998833561653139245605530779761390018345", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7495a890bc5efabc8590092040f5e9e453ddaa1306cd3af81b06b98f79566022", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4050701", "token_id": "104923312456524181968638408640099198109725123126749687627677699126163112416498", "outcome": "yes", "label": "260-279", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "74e3f2def16d49d1e5d957254c1904a8605ac635fcf1e9040c2ff27d74b6819f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050701", "condition_id": "0xb6811cad741c954acd814178d70d47784341fdaacdf247633ca688ecee921c17", "token_id": "104923312456524181968638408640099198109725123126749687627677699126163112416498", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5b1d59c66f50f9229b0fa91db5a783bbf7f524265597ecbd199748731cccaf8f", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4050702", "token_id": "31535228616137998043283269995091144837253221071343706724801147951122948362197", "outcome": "yes", "label": "280-299", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "46d8b83626fece4d01c6bea7685d9b07acbc2bdf77dfb197918758371a3037bb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050702", "condition_id": "0xa350d827685d764596526f8e73181a049ccbcc2e3142108814a1c3e85e36244f", "token_id": "31535228616137998043283269995091144837253221071343706724801147951122948362197", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "083122c3a88bc621763eb5cc43d3745f68e8c18e78afff2912de7db9351efd52", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4050703", "token_id": "14566471429582439511577235512385210421090180947540588239349392980212057630340", "outcome": "yes", "label": "300-319", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "83d125fcd4dc72d36c7970f994f18c164eaffea7c66d6877b1147b4876254067", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050703", "condition_id": "0x987988ab1ed85160cf78664030db0ebd2d20ceb547e74d068927f873235b9797", "token_id": "14566471429582439511577235512385210421090180947540588239349392980212057630340", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4a5edc97d1657e0c49ca9bfd3bf32462cf99fbc2a5a821374debfa5bfdf93b92", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4050704", "token_id": "75771761002524002978945389220402349589569604443964475500108061306520785883046", "outcome": "yes", "label": "320-339", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4b9d38aa431ef11c8c7e9c92cfd1482fdb5da905bc3b990aa8048dd632e8cc67", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050704", "condition_id": "0x41442d80b1c1c9857974f4f739e4c95e415038018aee09718a4f30580e19e3a7", "token_id": "75771761002524002978945389220402349589569604443964475500108061306520785883046", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "67f30e64575e0720a50bdb697b39f9d59e111fc14fe62890e560658984c90c4d", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "4050705", "token_id": "44341114836704312516527651733823338519743278308136992864873421372257039743079", "outcome": "yes", "label": "340-359", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d86fa8f9d701927c96fa60e50c827bd24708ca0b467be4bc7a73f722a23340ee", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050705", "condition_id": "0xf3be0c8a1edd7e963e0330362b66b5448cac395dbf6218d7a09c5dc89b6f6f80", "token_id": "44341114836704312516527651733823338519743278308136992864873421372257039743079", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "336fff0b27930a00c2eb13c8fe175d24d5d92939a5ce2b9785e71a398c43b96e", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "4050706", "token_id": "23552698297151861858668162971056114227486154758012421760866461075539736837071", "outcome": "yes", "label": "360-379", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ac57ce0cf511bfb756e8de74fbce57c8d40f1800e921551e1e0dca882e398e0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050706", "condition_id": "0x5293a49479cc9640fd74e673b7f545a514ef10739d435df9d483d8767f16a805", "token_id": "23552698297151861858668162971056114227486154758012421760866461075539736837071", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2508ebfe0a6faa492b63d457ba181a9f5eaa310c4285753c7515228210526dca", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "4050707", "token_id": "1322015058585061589022995971928961156670506996109434283959193916041211286800", "outcome": "yes", "label": "380-399", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3c57530a1774b2d25a7084ad9b9a8d4caf990eedd0113424643de34fe5eac70f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050707", "condition_id": "0xc80df6ae7b5825eca00b8d1a312cfdf02818d329a766fcf7edcaabbac486d952", "token_id": "1322015058585061589022995971928961156670506996109434283959193916041211286800", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "81c0bf227a21ddc7619afff54eab37b734dfafc2dd0a11b9643824dff008ca4e", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "4050708", "token_id": "97602365726998906801816791939665127086120211618086310596164087427547187015475", "outcome": "yes", "label": "400-419", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a3394af031287a1d9c19575423c383d8bf1169039009912e6c57f72f791da3a1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050708", "condition_id": "0xd47e025a6c5d4fdde51d462031c31a5e17b1ebfb8b0f524aa9cefd61c98703c5", "token_id": "97602365726998906801816791939665127086120211618086310596164087427547187015475", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "613a48b1546fe70a643e7dd9c128d12fdb541486a069c7fc7f59436ab2bcfdd3", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "4050709", "token_id": "43609559817926299790343263485048150535515686730604677585161941935006873781110", "outcome": "yes", "label": "420-439", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c74c89a7fd5ebe7763b33452a7b65d8aa54bddcfb903fe58cd07d563fdc5448b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050709", "condition_id": "0xd7abb86d097ea3388ce17d905c0675217fbce681b8a326c242f8f140b1c4a182", "token_id": "43609559817926299790343263485048150535515686730604677585161941935006873781110", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a4893e6a7bc5ab07d84e0f2bd60494251f6c385ca4e3b44ba620960a0184caf0", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "4050710", "token_id": "110513910479418877422090179209344312508485711459132144581110713251483820030815", "outcome": "yes", "label": "440-459", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf6d11bbb63c28e72a14fd0a9ca4d3a134fc637d8c11367763a49f965c49bedc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050710", "condition_id": "0x8514f62f48093a700fac87e0c1089c8c99057153e52780c4dacb4d82d7cf9ac7", "token_id": "110513910479418877422090179209344312508485711459132144581110713251483820030815", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f597463d0fe7be446b40a7a0a059c12ae9945ec112cf1c3af9723e9608cafec4", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "4050712", "token_id": "18697711369142361721871539491394999377453384893667023831906704729378686031632", "outcome": "yes", "label": "460-479", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "87deb718f0ba0732102f101f7e7781c03d7c56db74a5237fcaa8d60f38b2a164", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050712", "condition_id": "0xad066e4a9a9674e860f64ef411ee2419fbd1b2c15f16fe39d97fd8fc0cefcada", "token_id": "18697711369142361721871539491394999377453384893667023831906704729378686031632", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "df62b18b665e53bc0fff19da9014616f64b14a32035a587d75cd3b413489d869", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "4050714", "token_id": "10226535622961696670228488481353595700106574352122882836812197078807380205954", "outcome": "yes", "label": "480-499", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b6313e24956ec2705c82b05f8745f676254503a595fa950c72c6891cd988661c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050714", "condition_id": "0x9fa8fd575ea948520842363dfb8908e32b6da927ba6e6c5667478e4bd122de68", "token_id": "10226535622961696670228488481353595700106574352122882836812197078807380205954", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b193a8b4202cc914704335474992192229e566b9f0bef1ed871683a12386ef28", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "4050716", "token_id": "908556674041905389308467271559822422480163715856440192637968650148444969788", "outcome": "yes", "label": "500+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "be8eda0b6421231ee6a1f6f28891656567926caf103594e615e1fb12f19bdc0c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050716", "condition_id": "0xa6358cba9f7e65a5c9c153f74e8da28e2f72b62edf057ceb05ad6caad23253fb", "token_id": "908556674041905389308467271559822422480163715856440192637968650148444969788", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e07d16d87381f7f60c89739a7db8ac131204b67675ec7d3d5de7cdbdaf94c124", "event_source_sha256": "f3d41a2724e05e11ca8479561c543cff3d089729696fd249752f999fe573be04" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:81557", "title": "Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 19, "semantics_hash": "b7f6a576e5c0e27e96dbfea838dc25af040cf57074fadaea1249d6e830875a97", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "682705", "682706", "682707", "682708", "682709", "682710", "682711", "682712", "682713", "682714", "682715", "682716", "682717", "682718", "682719", "682720", "682721", "682722", "682723", "682724", "682725", "682726", "682727", "682728", "682729", "682730", "682731", "682732" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:81557", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "682721", "token_id": "37479008447091488432468168948590430208783407360102685992956858050228448972626", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Amir Ohana", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3f9433a943de825c27ec623a8bb3618f5795d1d450f109c8b4d271fd01c7d73e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682721", "condition_id": "0x8cbdd0c4c6061c9e5c5a94d4a474c1880d0f2ab5ee4704a64af1e77c6d0e18d0", "token_id": "37479008447091488432468168948590430208783407360102685992956858050228448972626", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7df7d02c69c205b37e882235c27a6265b63e857e112ee034f725e5aadbd7c94c", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "682710", "token_id": "105057524965982907913786325697426001538810836564004836999292309706852745390829", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Avigdor Lieberman", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f3b98c28f07912eb2e945344e344730884a2586b6c0d3dc75b047412301e81b2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682710", "condition_id": "0xadffc96f54f350b3655f72fe2853c81bfd705e9703f62469e6a14782ad5d4ec0", "token_id": "105057524965982907913786325697426001538810836564004836999292309706852745390829", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8d81e0bb562b9cee0b84225edeb98e2b0b4735d1151e5bf7f10af1712dc46fde", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "682717", "token_id": "20847822223909889861535421917104908467512615252569123202591433051136381225081", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ayelet Shaked", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bbb937ce0e20aab3f96f5664ebdb04e17d2a335c40d880f91572c11bd6cb2469", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682717", "condition_id": "0x80a849ac73eefe56d4d613e44b45e32b9f91f0bfc77173b732cffac7daab3b3b", "token_id": "20847822223909889861535421917104908467512615252569123202591433051136381225081", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "483a2e04e0f703cda4a02b5505c4f744cb5d048a1a7f8fa048f3be6d69ca56df", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "682705", "token_id": "20006732765674855733524007935991362439352594042415161039767275461950712817548", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Benjamin Netanyahu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6305e847bb036b2db8ba549e113620a23d8414bfecacc11d7aefc34c867357b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682705", "condition_id": "0x7586a96520578acaaaa4ea84a2582f197f84255da1f3392a7aa300386c187b37", "token_id": "20006732765674855733524007935991362439352594042415161039767275461950712817548", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dd61cf54884294e03ea78ffa7b57ea375bd7cb408c04c743a4c8dc2a09727d4a", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "682709", "token_id": "105121209501718913679835702557350272753628810249278953188501220308690716470697", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Benny Gantz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "be532e1a91403067e02bcaa6f72b831a179df550c9688407528b7a636831e4b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682709", "condition_id": "0xf773a12cc13214fc493ec398f96c4ea5ec87ea4ff3b29795041d5498e314ad1e", "token_id": "105121209501718913679835702557350272753628810249278953188501220308690716470697", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1ee6d59a497899c02e7ec03426de48c317399c63c06511805b4ac566c9289b14", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "682708", "token_id": "52487256270918227930942830546248720603566203568229607048093730748840489555808", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Gadi Eizenkot", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c445a89210af3d29fec01c3ee9a98ca9bb029be34b9fc09eec46feec18e3b72d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682708", "condition_id": "0xdbe93b5a701f36076a560fa4b9ba59e365a6e8e2ea6a83764640010657277ca4", "token_id": "52487256270918227930942830546248720603566203568229607048093730748840489555808", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "115cbbb3e9dcc712520f71180a7037b1729b664bc89b5279832d8856c2c763da", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "682714", "token_id": "113523109301381527088718768250912137532200947193534063249121987336101159734964", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Gideon Sa\u2019ar", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "29a9ae4441f975f1ea63deed050baa40fe8bf4aa6bb7dec5f6886add46da715e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682714", "condition_id": "0xfb2cb634e693b1758fc78b38b02754472edd728bd22eb4a7023c6f49419c73d6", "token_id": "113523109301381527088718768250912137532200947193534063249121987336101159734964", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Gideon Sa\u2019ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0d9a3064c77540ba93292c5b9478229539389a35cd1d5a3107c93a69a1f3adde", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "682722", "token_id": "73391412196952346536768049629984781694862224381955045702486880678656173160147", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Gilad Erdan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "81592b9caf1ac0f52a9e9b5ac9b069fccba4c4550287faf69405304dc8ab7a45", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682722", "condition_id": "0xea653dbacdb5b0ba21c9b745f5fb463fe654b988129093ce471d3b3652650cba", "token_id": "73391412196952346536768049629984781694862224381955045702486880678656173160147", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3a2dc1c45e47d3dba685851b077bc0a3e1d61e2591b68d0df6b88ddcfbe7b5d2", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "682719", "token_id": "49071939739791449726827416712265617396930502300780957239086018273026268436098", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Israel Katz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f635d44b9e52b8c9ff0c54204d635e92d477b108e9eb71032222847af8c8dd9c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682719", "condition_id": "0xb25a93dc8c0f28dc404f7ee41cf6788a9de054418bd068740849b4a2995486e9", "token_id": "49071939739791449726827416712265617396930502300780957239086018273026268436098", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3fee2864504915d6a059d29504cdb9ac3785645e547c14648f7863714bf94b85", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "682713", "token_id": "97037271592384590668192904767730391938961253014413658633971882704234126806284", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Itamar Ben Gvir", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "66e4a11a6c6db8714b5b6f13192b39cc38d9078176b951714d2b42c7785daeaf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682713", "condition_id": "0x4bf44e9885ee8f43148458d5c9537d96c940cf48414557528358d65870131517", "token_id": "97037271592384590668192904767730391938961253014413658633971882704234126806284", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b2e9fe0e3f38640be942c84e6c418fbef2006d33c9c3c5c53e861402ed128a85", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "682716", "token_id": "53508697093100828360254088937709702626357043454735600798387762815121144942132", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moshe Feiglin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "09225301531d44f53f126a3ca6a9e5102a0b2c4f03322f53a9bd25b114cdaaf6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682716", "condition_id": "0x673db99d92473e9ee854b8a0ec0cff15d156e5c33a13e1e12db7266d33fde4d3", "token_id": "53508697093100828360254088937709702626357043454735600798387762815121144942132", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ab1b1923db79a482e740e3f9a2e2d23da35b64663a024fe37d0470de5b2b9e61", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "682706", "token_id": "58945936829392654397399777214757608864525173988558750256164021442231118224154", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Naftali Bennett", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c2f5bb90a5c164ac76462cd2caba34583aaef7826991106d651043baaa6f89dd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682706", "condition_id": "0x9ed0ecc8b8589e67967d44c4420944a41b6a6806419019a1581d514174eee9b1", "token_id": "58945936829392654397399777214757608864525173988558750256164021442231118224154", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d8bb35be37d70b262430283ec7e00abd1f2d8eab92ebfd28523eac366aa130fd", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "682720", "token_id": "62339970278220985797814574706934957062291648936534682461243840366141506822305", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nir Barkat", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "376e9c0a397a3aac4eb1c69861a61302a0d22b1f7aa4a72b05e814ead57cdd58", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682720", "condition_id": "0xd8625515585b5bf81d9c1262a1d2b0212a6f2a7a5c5f6ef6c993f7cc269f92dd", "token_id": "62339970278220985797814574706934957062291648936534682461243840366141506822305", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3e64a86f65a7be3bcb232de49f3985196c3549640cd1f2c566d64e034746fe90", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "682723", "token_id": "9934113093655416680286628757466195390541433919926679748365064383588582773497", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ofer Winter", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "164481d70cc10716e8a482c090f3b593f48770ffe3f5eaf20d7dd72c7b30fcb3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682723", "condition_id": "0x63ae982679bf9dd981cf98fc13dc17a7f25548ca8ffddfb3691d69770139351f", "token_id": "9934113093655416680286628757466195390541433919926679748365064383588582773497", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "552258130178fdd266a6ad9a35cf3fe62351c7379981d9f7fd0f8e41ba7d2894", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "682712", "token_id": "38003127295883228185689665963602138176190384641897237734105806870773590495970", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yair Golan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "90d5f70907ae2f3089a9d48daec4fa2bedf6d469630c92a058601d1551f31d41", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682712", "condition_id": "0xfcd53c97fef81c4ecad8a97c8c47fdf1ce0a54a0daeff7bae53eaa3a9af343f2", "token_id": "38003127295883228185689665963602138176190384641897237734105806870773590495970", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "566169eef6ff33a6571668074fd9bd5437633ef32afbccf1757997fd40caf279", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "682707", "token_id": "30912854850866302644106316438153629460678506137655559406260043509960678109607", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yair Lapid", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "44764926e68e88efcf37fdaaad44df947b9a466d04db983dceb1d67b2e3c01cb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682707", "condition_id": "0x45a79193a66e5078a29c625e78e0d4b9a059edef8e206097c48bbfe7eaf9590e", "token_id": "30912854850866302644106316438153629460678506137655559406260043509960678109607", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "db782fd4c9dd5a8d6b0923236f9ab5636b7323046e246ca9172892d0e75c596f", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "682715", "token_id": "28155793585619215559447305702051573036104753242134264350727089371549716604590", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yariv Levin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a76bfec6540e6174963d47d7d6de7c59d086acf0d7ffa131b3a84ec12e2368a4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682715", "condition_id": "0x93d07ffcf5c243b98e655380eb876d4a3393351b7325059064cb5a4b1ff6ceb2", "token_id": "28155793585619215559447305702051573036104753242134264350727089371549716604590", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4806beb82659eebaee6cd170662b5399239ae954b819e3189a88df7c984a0975", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "682718", "token_id": "12118827801400239712815717295403167152230979784826228363180815353568423454582", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yoaz Hendel", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b127c5017ab02166f0e58cfce126d2d77a257dd97e1b3fe99272cfee947d7f0b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682718", "condition_id": "0x641ee08666fd2c37f890d59b4fd32ad8a23e8500e1ad070e112a90219a4d4bfa", "token_id": "12118827801400239712815717295403167152230979784826228363180815353568423454582", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "df77296aadd8d9fcfc61593989d72d4851882afa0b07016b6cf22f71e29b49c0", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "682711", "token_id": "80908635602471552886049573110321791161186841957249509900771759394573505359926", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yossi Cohen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f5061c53ee8e244564cec19a4aa37c30bdf47d381f3d453a51f7a593db8cf13e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "682711", "condition_id": "0xa653be0f150dbe055a532ea02977338bb31f49d1f723b2a48c1f67847a73cb7d", "token_id": "80908635602471552886049573110321791161186841957249509900771759394573505359926", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?", "rules": "Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "81557", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fe2ff9228eea6277c547b9f57c7d50e47a0649e196a2052d9e750944424540cf", "event_source_sha256": "22b93d341482e244406811e92049915d82d559d6ae4de5c4cabfbc3647afc882" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:149589", "title": "Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 8, "semantics_hash": "56b8bb8240e3823a0a798709d973b37ba753cfe02606fa3b68d8ad6095b13b62", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1130012", "1130013", "1130014", "1130015", "1130016", "1130017", "1130018", "1130019", "1130020", "1130021", "1130022", "1130023", "1130024", "1130025", "1130026", "1130027", "1130028", "1130029", "1130030", "1130031", "1130032", "1130033", "1130034", "1130035", "1130036", "1130037", "1130038", "1130039", "1130040", "1130041", "1130042", "1130043", "1130044", "1130045" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:149589", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1130014", "token_id": "110147522983295364410360843655613380113369733862822151390122875655395261530519", "outcome": "yes", "label": "A Just Russia \u2013 For Truth (SRZP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e6e32aeb7f98f84dc310562f17211f60dac635bd14025c53e0531bfcde6366cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1130014", "condition_id": "0xa04f9a5818493b03a94d86c6323b7c9d8e060fa86b7e1ed3c0a2ad9a5517425b", "token_id": "110147522983295364410360843655613380113369733862822151390122875655395261530519", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will A Just Russia \u2013 For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b8dd75732121fc387e849c879a031a453bc1a4a4b74c958451e1759e53df4310", "event_source_sha256": "3ae3117a6e6b8601db58458cf747c59573e57df4da26ac0f863f8d139e018131" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1130018", "token_id": "106109254765178784001232684460224065703140408002174591140412495710780632731396", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Civic Platform (GP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "40c35ad9601338d5f9abb53ec6f898728dcf8a7e303b4646aacbf0c1e2476ac1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1130018", "condition_id": "0x247eabb5ea2c716c277c52c35c91e65e5c7d016318e85b91e9f9e78411568034", "token_id": "106109254765178784001232684460224065703140408002174591140412495710780632731396", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "87d01fae58b069efe4233e7bc0ea41e7905b482f0d938d8c0f62912e0d549f79", "event_source_sha256": "3ae3117a6e6b8601db58458cf747c59573e57df4da26ac0f863f8d139e018131" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1130013", "token_id": "19112618633625535565556320701646114565922983454471380023487135794003446877114", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fb822658fed639ea2dad896dc042c22363be82432f4113fcee8e2667705153d9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1130013", "condition_id": "0x7b91997c6c8ca00643ab322f63af50acf1a0e9b86be130b67e5a19005215e252", "token_id": "19112618633625535565556320701646114565922983454471380023487135794003446877114", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a495de12fc44b467c48091176517a809f290728d5144515194779966a8052c01", "event_source_sha256": "3ae3117a6e6b8601db58458cf747c59573e57df4da26ac0f863f8d139e018131" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1130015", "token_id": "15542559311360205718528742674119037507303557005670729042870301990328002599887", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8a536f05194be8937d99656be22d4423055a371e2ed3c13652f980e0ce85279b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1130015", "condition_id": "0x8c48f3acf4177b5ceb012a8a2dc7a9c219eeae4a032d6ddcbc3c2ffab907439a", "token_id": "15542559311360205718528742674119037507303557005670729042870301990328002599887", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0095dd4cdb621e34f2682654bce0eec057891cf0ba2a95608693a26dd5e775f8", "event_source_sha256": "3ae3117a6e6b8601db58458cf747c59573e57df4da26ac0f863f8d139e018131" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1130016", "token_id": "11579523374077486340625849389871632811698420338620172235121664865203221472748", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New People (NL)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "063dfc73159feecfbf49e2814c9862df959710adbcf67128d200bc86f9f7d90e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1130016", "condition_id": "0xc9615bb82d6535d630ff98e8094060bc767d8b9446516e98f84d2001a35e50e7", "token_id": "11579523374077486340625849389871632811698420338620172235121664865203221472748", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2f35b8f5789e5438085e9ff2134f0b6c8f8d127d892465989fb3a474a2f6277e", "event_source_sha256": "3ae3117a6e6b8601db58458cf747c59573e57df4da26ac0f863f8d139e018131" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1130017", "token_id": "97795707428382894508371687334156016735780833311849632514604538939263591476606", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rodina", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2c1552a12a68135f7f05338b44d2a37d2e785baed8a07ee29a655dfeefff361a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1130017", "condition_id": "0x2636a06ef9192d50bf0100bf8c857cfe346e8b230978056f2857cb69276e5c46", "token_id": "97795707428382894508371687334156016735780833311849632514604538939263591476606", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "942ceba19a27156a8c30c2496c4826f6288fff270870ca3a9ade3edc01c88f89", "event_source_sha256": "3ae3117a6e6b8601db58458cf747c59573e57df4da26ac0f863f8d139e018131" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1130012", "token_id": "20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878", "outcome": "yes", "label": "United Russia (ER)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aadb13160ea0892b6cfbfceb2996165656221bcab171342bf7b6e21ea270555a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1130012", "condition_id": "0x502a94e5c525766d5ee7f16c6568131ba1b2cbadb69c703af05a6ef00336ed64", "token_id": "20915769520649892253891152116814645067070024223185517956799957803974344024878", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "189fa51347f8715a27519420f1c7af21fe64d9216eeda752ea04c1051664f625", "event_source_sha256": "3ae3117a6e6b8601db58458cf747c59573e57df4da26ac0f863f8d139e018131" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1130020", "token_id": "58721985681065679385223615049978282300963455822470759257650539113974997280205", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yabloko", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5e060fa4a6264029f2921343c41b2e118399baba1248a7bbf09cff9c86d55138", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1130020", "condition_id": "0xc65fb00eb998335039e5120dc390967576c4bfaee22a2342a17ced0fbc2c7e4e", "token_id": "58721985681065679385223615049978282300963455822470759257650539113974997280205", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party \u201ccompared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,\u201d specifically meaning the party\u2019s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7054af3665b48ae8905ce6cc655835bb2d1db1f30c8695d16c124e5cd301ed6b", "event_source_sha256": "3ae3117a6e6b8601db58458cf747c59573e57df4da26ac0f863f8d139e018131" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:478277", "title": "NBA: 2027 Champion", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 30, "semantics_hash": "97d019332446e819e8451b93c5c30c1ccab9363af4936ba2f4ffeedf7e8e96cb", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2243296", "2243297", "2243298", "2243299", "2243300", "2243301", "2243302", "2243303", "2243304", "2243305", "2243306", "2243307", "2243308", "2243309", "2243310", "2243311", "2243312", "2243313", "2243314", "2243315", "2243316", "2243317", "2243318", "2243319", "2243320", "2243321", "2243322", "2243323", "2243324", "2243325", "2243326", "2243327", "2243328", "2243329", "2243330", "2243331" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:478277", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2243296", "token_id": "66978283296201729156011778181685232128845704002364165961550702560777069065938", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Atlanta Hawks", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0067db532ecccc1bdb4f83648aa135e9a147fde790df40ba650bd8e1acb066aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243296", "condition_id": "0x6a9ac156f2eee27c3c36e94c88c7384ed4201f58f2c9d1686df3012cfb97f9cc", "token_id": "66978283296201729156011778181685232128845704002364165961550702560777069065938", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "21ae861974996b92aad4fd9780a00983ce1b248aa984649ac37efbc3476df797", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2243297", "token_id": "26581349382054409189680640260022986621270538404458754938164475396816106860966", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Boston Celtics", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "99f4367260440cb06ae8362e1991ae035c7c100f109a62c81d4c1571f77ec789", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243297", "condition_id": "0x97c8704c244c5c6eb076f2212347dc0aefcf1250e513f6c8aafa170f5398172d", "token_id": "26581349382054409189680640260022986621270538404458754938164475396816106860966", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3965bdb6a6664445678ada7aae7ba2e2ac198f924e2b79bb3b9c881f07fbd525", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2243298", "token_id": "41805770286435404453332692039198335167650368122849257466127399723685932816889", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Brooklyn Nets", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3b04ecbc926d58ef9ebd1a64fab35c47a59f6ba771229b0b7c66f9ca4b58dd35", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243298", "condition_id": "0xb56f8dfc3e5929cf15036f4b8ecd24c9bfafa80c90bf550d396e43a45af42aa8", "token_id": "41805770286435404453332692039198335167650368122849257466127399723685932816889", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "00324a2b62625450d78e03e09b57fdbf19e27d7b35e926f5b4c933deaa08fb54", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2243299", "token_id": "104764677445041735405004295087562978678692922058505365615073838332507558341437", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Charlotte Hornets", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8160ff4f391d3e0e118e28934bc0a3c6d6eefcea810d83ca3187842a0c291f6a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243299", "condition_id": "0xc25fedfbfa990c6c577ee469b9c183d54944d6fad74af5b6abd13a76f0250a95", "token_id": "104764677445041735405004295087562978678692922058505365615073838332507558341437", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3b4e0183ed1d6374c783a03d6cefd061c73f2e4007a01d252f9faff51a5e84c6", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2243300", "token_id": "113337721579381277908305465082782938267003233130740276938288846926133472308523", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chicago Bulls", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2cddaa3ef7d91591009d7c4361fea2d198c6ab2f757e37b384620e3d337f5c9b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243300", "condition_id": "0x4cdf253f75bb475e60c6188733fcf09efc13619462367c757b430dfb571cd4c2", "token_id": "113337721579381277908305465082782938267003233130740276938288846926133472308523", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8e4d6642d00c78a9680272ece7db9b7f4edb3d57dc4975d3205f1d2a3804df93", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2243301", "token_id": "7103927316928557651756293615464760318461267087970415244972136093676271405674", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cleveland Cavaliers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "51f630602ed895ccc2cfcbd8553150415647dc506fb7b16c5684e64b30ffb5c5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243301", "condition_id": "0xce903be5404ef830b1f9c235c05ce5c4181d6d358913c730b0f39ce8237902cd", "token_id": "7103927316928557651756293615464760318461267087970415244972136093676271405674", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ee3dca4cdce35c046405bca78a9af438def28bd115a49e3c3650dbde67588709", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2243311", "token_id": "4349233229896137644074586999216265233007467186235435871733698369103355405028", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dallas Mavericks", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eb72dd4da2ec0e0194c88aa56dd0f87df5a314b68de7e602a7c184785a7e7500", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243311", "condition_id": "0xb20eee80b51c16916269e073880317aa60cb5b258be0e4db0d8be7b1d8f1958f", "token_id": "4349233229896137644074586999216265233007467186235435871733698369103355405028", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2eaaf8cd496e062f1fc2e10963f866c73798e8f6054a5df4bf6b7875fc14f136", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2243312", "token_id": "338436322259062069756479235974559743523378455152932470985493948167186891368", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Denver Nuggets", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "876efe778c1eacc73332e28d300b3b4bf313456120db410d195e20b588afb26b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243312", "condition_id": "0x6f27ddb01fa63c7993ffa02611613ab2c1dcef7e7f9ecad74eb8ed6b5ac7a46d", "token_id": "338436322259062069756479235974559743523378455152932470985493948167186891368", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8b3553c00f3e9955a7a861f3f3cfa1d321e7053dd0fa3dc64ebc15aa02f1f8f1", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2243302", "token_id": "22589862545502642463701340320964032988974740564891659118937148977135855914254", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Detroit Pistons", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e721bb3c652d25640230ef1c8e540af1c98a489a8b8c568ac02b4ae68902d4ec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243302", "condition_id": "0xbfc40c01252d9c9677859e9649eec406cae93e7866eda1b48b3b4b29da16027e", "token_id": "22589862545502642463701340320964032988974740564891659118937148977135855914254", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5eb3423f605ad31e68d08494684dcccad5fea289bef1f034275bbfe5f0f42264", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2243313", "token_id": "50057479075318947359707260741622203277536030001654353875522545719934423335906", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Golden State Warriors", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0432ab0931fc9843ec9e31f5a6f7c3af430dc4c4170fb13f36729d90d4919448", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243313", "condition_id": "0x0687236dace728be2aa72be8b802918f45de83e4ded7d0c3fa3fe9b83c83db74", "token_id": "50057479075318947359707260741622203277536030001654353875522545719934423335906", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9077be0f5b3debf76512109358d55dcec1211196312bd59eededc00739dbfa43", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2243314", "token_id": "54389136151618785952849043856295459748131034150210702007482093675046699037784", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Houston Rockets", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3967feecc30428d5202de221d8de9bf7f12dd0a968c995400dddc22eec22e918", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243314", "condition_id": "0x6f5776ab6901d29473377a86020f6adf111f781e4d5a4da5b9c0bee64c0560da", "token_id": "54389136151618785952849043856295459748131034150210702007482093675046699037784", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b5a1f092966c98f26e0be64ff861b63f605cddb1cb6c18a60067b1a9f649b5be", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2243303", "token_id": "33980098202566160742933998883875104660267284431086844431645851751245806675098", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Indiana Pacers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2d812b8fea517450b1a7c6d83e881967f4be7b31599df8e33a65e1515311aa80", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243303", "condition_id": "0x874f82a92e635a08c1e38aaa8eecc946327dfa4a2a010afd2bed0ec33c65851b", "token_id": "33980098202566160742933998883875104660267284431086844431645851751245806675098", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "080a54195b74549fe884fcfbbfd9054e5d2cfa784dd5801c8acc503eaf59b680", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2243315", "token_id": "76232322569898589749413822670406290301746839185124132406151011054116796849360", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Los Angeles Clippers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c30e3e53f85878d6f1db4ebe63f7480a1b2b0663de8836359f3a818edef9ae1e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243315", "condition_id": "0x8d4aefae64a589bfcb59e677cbbb35b5dfd19e7d9788f4eb429cc74618d0da2b", "token_id": "76232322569898589749413822670406290301746839185124132406151011054116796849360", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5f380775baec649ddae000c7a66d96f0a1c32e785450ae15ba23ba88be1713d7", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2243316", "token_id": "26571480884168216649675719735797492426851959149575524589012193881222415382420", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Los Angeles Lakers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "700dc3a33a543ab5226f7ea22a078d55e9cc26900d64a7e3814d430ffdd7c946", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243316", "condition_id": "0xb266b012fdf96f54db41cefe2f4bf1c2ae0976487fdd49783bcc15dd0666d5b9", "token_id": "26571480884168216649675719735797492426851959149575524589012193881222415382420", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d2e911030d29b0622da7f999b34615cb1b68c96e1518f5ee9592cc2bb725b082", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2243317", "token_id": "71113005321543345953148982401714344852983979956921740107184770476905149747949", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Memphis Grizzlies", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c38f7f67d8590fb43f0a2c16129472dd6dc9329215e801ad72785fecbef385aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243317", "condition_id": "0xde3fc0fd024453132e8fe12a3b21d2c165dbb05b9036ae41434a98134917ab5e", "token_id": "71113005321543345953148982401714344852983979956921740107184770476905149747949", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "180b60f0e3347523f2653487f07f765414a78a381b062dae6ac7b0da7d31047b", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2243304", "token_id": "1002605241037566897075427941760276379638292422424020000466947342214004056028", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Miami Heat", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d535ff4a5110050b29c5f016e1b9177e8215c8d2d58fc42897fe046170f489c4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243304", "condition_id": "0x6bbbb7121686fcec37d4023c81314b13d9c6a0e2bfd056d51d304b7060232c86", "token_id": "1002605241037566897075427941760276379638292422424020000466947342214004056028", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e4f44e18739955464bcc82cf3b27ea1a8212c1225b7af8465c12b72201fe4610", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2243305", "token_id": "95591695216171451248134018784429977920892345198186404402775566795817315978257", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Milwaukee Bucks", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "83b5542d3c6910f73584c75812ba60ea90511e82cf85a4f71dd77ad693d5516a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243305", "condition_id": "0xfcb0a4cd501480b1497850790b1dc734748f0996b069f82d915994d96c2b31b5", "token_id": "95591695216171451248134018784429977920892345198186404402775566795817315978257", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ed127355af949efb1293b8162522b80669a250cc19618fb33541ade609397b82", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2243318", "token_id": "70393266426571575127884261634092459667577738304718921911204715531748407428131", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Minnesota Timberwolves", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19b38e76e73ebedb9c5f8877a2cb7b71866978ba8004fddd8174a1e8591b85d0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243318", "condition_id": "0x1bfd4649a214dd42da39ec04648a9ce698df744744c421656ef8f3a1bac6ec36", "token_id": "70393266426571575127884261634092459667577738304718921911204715531748407428131", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ea3a00f6e481f690e0f84499475401525195699c7f7c4020d3d036d657e4f04b", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "2243319", "token_id": "38556205473470072936293737937663401559968429300207925799805811020804034073896", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New Orleans Pelicans", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a70c1452660749d9f9fd4ad5be439b79a2cf7cd0d70fc69c4a3b4617de569915", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243319", "condition_id": "0x222084d0539e55927b8f2b22735017daecaa996b63645886caba07513061fc16", "token_id": "38556205473470072936293737937663401559968429300207925799805811020804034073896", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New Orleans Pelicans win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7c1592a37bdb49fb0a47932a6e3c235726c8fc57f293ff7ab0859320e186eeb9", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "2243306", "token_id": "96579693508177199966070611400410853026298967531032544674689952043367008918098", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New York Knicks", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8609f1a1a27f078052cab2ea645d8c090efdfbf110e2d6720e89e596b0d5d80e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243306", "condition_id": "0x9627e2834d3334df13c14242f6ea442317d9981d3a5e62d0248d832551ca9345", "token_id": "96579693508177199966070611400410853026298967531032544674689952043367008918098", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b2358130464c6285d505bd2b5b6ab163a4abca67cc8b51f1465ac445ea1f6668", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "2243320", "token_id": "75380520575699614146969771004200063966336258265950378178665003767694841394115", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Oklahoma City Thunder", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "762a2c4513756a105e272b49be847b23a611357fc7cfb737f46eefb4a6bf3d44", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243320", "condition_id": "0x422b44717de3606ba08c2e00503d29e8330583b00b0bed63f89772b9c384e41f", "token_id": "75380520575699614146969771004200063966336258265950378178665003767694841394115", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8f4634dd9668ddc49de8dd98bb796a7a909115f342ba087c81c73ab036149b17", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "2243307", "token_id": "14149364091939747141050835064176645591010128057901149232938423620327933135956", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orlando Magic", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d98dea4d6646a5301896a8882a97dd531bf098bb32a5a7b0433dcd21d5eae46a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243307", "condition_id": "0xfbb36055840f0151f5d161f6c5cb90ff34641404c7dedf93605b53b7c0ffdd90", "token_id": "14149364091939747141050835064176645591010128057901149232938423620327933135956", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "eee04b7d51de339f3c8fc79e11e4a69cf091ceee2ef5fff25a1349c52995dfb3", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "2243308", "token_id": "111481751847805384192597309215435329884811365994609357629578026422941929496916", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Philadelphia 76ers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7d41f63df2a239ea5ef0b69d477a7b6f9709c3d18996366a84c92726a9056a3e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243308", "condition_id": "0xf44cf137562b90cf6205e0b81a03aa63001c491e4d8f04c0098bfb9233f9d04f", "token_id": "111481751847805384192597309215435329884811365994609357629578026422941929496916", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b96ba82f03042e3419a3e3f870228d94f15c38d478d713c1582b5ea281154f46", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "2243321", "token_id": "56511509919728347181497845289403940666044398339205720854450061222431419409255", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Phoenix Suns", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "70cd698bb4c48cdbe30cba1e7aedaf7b964adc0eb0753c35ff626b9a442b144c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243321", "condition_id": "0xbb5e8de7db7c5808440ac378f04b7e313e594d5dbbdbfda8a00fce597045cf8c", "token_id": "56511509919728347181497845289403940666044398339205720854450061222431419409255", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "efb5db1045a3b579a97c53a68a6dacff8c52da0fae11bb54b883d9b3eac56b1b", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "2243322", "token_id": "79620428735680913350265023427447805792163805641954526434518305561708056954117", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Portland Trail Blazers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7b71c3747362378ef0aea78196310dd0b13124ee58029658832b276614cf610a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243322", "condition_id": "0x92375f81cea40a342e5b0e5a1d05c69355678b90f7e8a8a6a6a4eaa43a3463fc", "token_id": "79620428735680913350265023427447805792163805641954526434518305561708056954117", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cf2659dcba8c3a1eb477e66568fea04c4af5c62820f212602b254e2f13404468", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "2243323", "token_id": "57732863988930661516951373762180729621826532679525881570777417952859748544005", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sacramento Kings", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "94e857fb7e9e2cca2e7f5e216b4a2637cd37ef5c615f3cceb27f89bd091ffff4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243323", "condition_id": "0xc7b646d598e6e860a939b865056d91f27666f0d7b642b893d62016b32ea3881b", "token_id": "57732863988930661516951373762180729621826532679525881570777417952859748544005", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "01766d9f41bb705cc6de6075780c96e2bcd38aa9a62f3d19615fde1d0d520665", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "2243324", "token_id": "47942880964158617614279118228047750547985543191564455484169740327839925876869", "outcome": "yes", "label": "San Antonio Spurs", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de8a84faa6b6dbcdcda6b8c40222c539bab5bec655a2d0bf8a632b1d54f0118d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243324", "condition_id": "0x9b9c693020bd625462107ea7963bacfefe73e678dd0e001c2d11388395a3cc2e", "token_id": "47942880964158617614279118228047750547985543191564455484169740327839925876869", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3229a3caba7c368d758c06207ed7d1a43bfc2699b03d988c5890ed6824005275", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 27, "market_id": "2243309", "token_id": "60150478766427655464939988524322736170735963119451703309436561797949171579582", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Toronto Raptors", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7a39a63be96640966a4507509b9de44d5ebab73fd39316b6daa8845171fc655d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243309", "condition_id": "0xc15f6268265697ce7c8c25ace5f1105a5f839a627a2dc658a1ab6f8ec2143894", "token_id": "60150478766427655464939988524322736170735963119451703309436561797949171579582", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a566163fd76da76d213fcd8b63fd72dea263b12ae7e7061f87e93b0a3c59f9aa", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 28, "market_id": "2243325", "token_id": "54923277874826862014634962138109909033857317405603301955984300475658750663515", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Utah Jazz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5bc09f4ff4a978961242888cc7b585bda0e729af3bd199f43e43c2c593797d65", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243325", "condition_id": "0x161f014d5eb25c2c233cdddd4ca6a82ce92b8ddebe520943e2a410d6fc3d8e7c", "token_id": "54923277874826862014634962138109909033857317405603301955984300475658750663515", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ef3d75dfcd84adf692510bd429e276917548062d6c9eb8288974e0ada008d7bf", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" }, { "position": 29, "market_id": "2243310", "token_id": "18698383041475028586441882955848696846459130548949943300472083017789362131208", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Washington Wizards", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "abec7a55c8c8a1e4f707747bf84784373d31510890ebde880c9ac34ba623b55a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2243310", "condition_id": "0x1f1a45e9596ebd01b786b964e63ba31ffbb0e875f3f27e32fadeee745084623d", "token_id": "18698383041475028586441882955848696846459130548949943300472083017789362131208", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the listed team is determined as the champion of the NBA for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to be named as the champion of NBA for the 2026-27 season per the rules of NBA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf this event is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the NBA: however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-07-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "478277", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "969f2147dedea2d84ca36d65853c3b6eae1491a108fdd6f5f810de6ba61f31bb", "event_source_sha256": "d80e237b3e6e6c68e801e6c0bf32f37a29110b3d569a5b37aa8dc2e3e8925479" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931725", "title": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "1e7d1fa5c046a2afb39876ab38ece6f0ae7745fdf46223c0466f0d6d750d66f8", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977552", "3977553", "3977554" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931725", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977554", "token_id": "66212165995022029603175153927881038102702901052395698916953787694127926213352", "outcome": "yes", "label": "AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f09c8a52c2556e0c497d8b69717bb33469ba452c9a5dfc23dce2b69630a4a215", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977554", "condition_id": "0xa1eba63a9c6490b57dac32d31fbbe97ab19807adf171250fdf35543c2598aff3", "token_id": "66212165995022029603175153927881038102702901052395698916953787694127926213352", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf AS Roma wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931725", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0c9098d33480870c6d2f1a3e7019e413d3318f42312ccd1cd9d6595ce9ece590", "event_source_sha256": "8e3eda6de748d51333a995bc0e37bbadb5d74fe9c99796ac703086a0a390fa0f" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977553", "token_id": "13293191353959995903233611108439895354299342340465545152344753827276889917981", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f653539717432dd33d5ab085db7a519a3a9ff06c3d72c9b10989f50bbd7d318b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977553", "condition_id": "0x770770b9845064f102bba1b578f84f930542e8a6e4f1658e26bed5159c9a49a6", "token_id": "13293191353959995903233611108439895354299342340465545152344753827276889917981", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931725", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fbd35d867e568daf2fe4a84e1847bdb2b2eef9cb835d747874bff95442b112f0", "event_source_sha256": "8e3eda6de748d51333a995bc0e37bbadb5d74fe9c99796ac703086a0a390fa0f" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977552", "token_id": "44692481930852557507987289783577033740920184745328290539354963548014475480772", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9bf6eefb9f3b2449b98a9759c6b857bc8684bc9f206fe7cb5b529259e5abd2a9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977552", "condition_id": "0xd97c6acdc040eb56ac5ae06d4168c819a0f7736963d1cd59c19b6363e18474bd", "token_id": "44692481930852557507987289783577033740920184745328290539354963548014475480772", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fenerbah\u00e7e SK win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf Fenerbah\u00e7e SK wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931725", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f5ee23584bc26d678cb262fd9e43158fb7d05b8320a3cb225ae78dc294f90487", "event_source_sha256": "8e3eda6de748d51333a995bc0e37bbadb5d74fe9c99796ac703086a0a390fa0f" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931727", "title": "Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "9cf4f23e0dfd7a9f5368dbd6ab48d3b27e5744ad5f350ce4375bb67147ca8d58", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977558", "3977559", "3977560" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931727", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977558", "token_id": "113393526686876846727001830869025009746681871019921281497668203430979347137783", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Como 1907", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d5c97f994bac38195e1eb913cdeb753d45401e862249025f8db33108dfabc4fb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977558", "condition_id": "0xbc2411ad32549a7d62055cc59ecef3ce98e8c827451addc324321fffe5c29b86", "token_id": "113393526686876846727001830869025009746681871019921281497668203430979347137783", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf Como 1907 wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931727", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "024731899a268ff251a8a3010538f31c8c6599e11f3453b1a87cd934caa75289", "event_source_sha256": "b01db85aad58f15abb99f48a8b2c187fb03a8f406e4b061e5add9403192aface" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977559", "token_id": "44273465974680573258227723360676039485719562528143879785896132043258246758751", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8c39d4961e5696e975f3dd9d5476568d1de5a2b097d332e826099295e63bcdaf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977559", "condition_id": "0xcbc5edc683f4709b14ae3e6b77e0483b0ae7d56cb59bc8c0ffc069641111664d", "token_id": "44273465974680573258227723360676039485719562528143879785896132043258246758751", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931727", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2723cb3092fb1da4c9c047e4548e1cc9acc1bdc8d31902da384378fbb66d9bf7", "event_source_sha256": "b01db85aad58f15abb99f48a8b2c187fb03a8f406e4b061e5add9403192aface" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977560", "token_id": "30545207023484369465950951208986217918049830676866947200282009484401780929719", "outcome": "yes", "label": "RB Leipzig", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ec35ef5b13ab0e9ebb86af33691df5f82034bbac1b30530345cec3224a0835f2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977560", "condition_id": "0x4cd4ca475475f79c5da4d6b5e57ec9808b6e54f91d77e41677f1405391ac2199", "token_id": "30545207023484369465950951208986217918049830676866947200282009484401780929719", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf RB Leipzig wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931727", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "abdd62d4f427ee713c4a984e49316f823d6b9251cb86e7e14a351bb231d47b25", "event_source_sha256": "b01db85aad58f15abb99f48a8b2c187fb03a8f406e4b061e5add9403192aface" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931730", "title": "Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "b6d23a3c6cb77fb3a68d5486bd5c1a94057dbf3cbba58ebd7cd484eb4c5b4d76", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977567", "3977568", "3977569" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931730", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977568", "token_id": "75107103809931139214533220493092453012629570225224451325060803879051570629274", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b7653a1769bf6b588b9992f6f2c454a8dec9c46fad7b34c22f47bcd779222afe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977568", "condition_id": "0x6df498518d20e7ffbf6151e97d46530f561aa0a3337735afc31e537cf39d5b79", "token_id": "75107103809931139214533220493092453012629570225224451325060803879051570629274", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "145bdd3249fa9b9a8e0d06aacc44fd88e6a99fe39e7a9f398af532dd4fea2991", "event_source_sha256": "11c9d20a25f8b55289b2536db43a9cb9926c498119f410abedb2ddad192ca0c2" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977567", "token_id": "4172922786618602837995040789016048204313643837232898232548189975115331131787", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f650c4d6a19b2a4378959c945153ac049695b9b8bcbc2a1cc959ac9aa7186581", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977567", "condition_id": "0x159b4767e9a41095e4b1d0b57147e88e4e6cbfb40f1db14849e73641304b49db", "token_id": "4172922786618602837995040789016048204313643837232898232548189975115331131787", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf Manchester United FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d9f7012895704307561b6e93f697eeb000c059262bb018007c970d0270b8fbb5", "event_source_sha256": "11c9d20a25f8b55289b2536db43a9cb9926c498119f410abedb2ddad192ca0c2" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977569", "token_id": "113325735454220291590563414646242471112153778575702908351315193323102414644210", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "67c3904cc45245ed0385f3bba7441a42bd375eb7e4c9f8f37119bd8e9733f381", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977569", "condition_id": "0x3dc0c0259c47c3283f7a8e4b0f36d6fbef5a5c05d91b7705b25ad862439aeb41", "token_id": "113325735454220291590563414646242471112153778575702908351315193323102414644210", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sabah FK win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf Sabah FK wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "66dbd065aaf828dcda87b7ca71ad78c05f20e67ce1cc1c70444940cfddccab7f", "event_source_sha256": "11c9d20a25f8b55289b2536db43a9cb9926c498119f410abedb2ddad192ca0c2" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:681261", "title": "Bundesliga: 2027 Champion", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 18, "semantics_hash": "8de6e45db2b4ecd5c37565bb383838248f7f505359cbb9aabe91999d94512af5", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2849009", "2849010", "2849011", "2849012", "2849013", "2849014", "2849015", "2849016", "2849017", "2849018", "2849019", "2849020", "2849021", "2849022", "2849023", "2849024", "2849025", "2849026", "2849027", "2849028", "2849029", "2849030" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:681261", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2849019", "token_id": "69213248697227535253317455234417759710468150648599626150088945916641508522644", "outcome": "yes", "label": "1. FC K\u00f6ln", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b07cccf6162bb84204d3466696138b31551f9c99884f88b8edb6cbf2c581e2f4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849019", "condition_id": "0xb4160c914e2030edc5532b80e50f8048816eab653280d61da30d246d3391c8e0", "token_id": "69213248697227535253317455234417759710468150648599626150088945916641508522644", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 1. FC K\u00f6ln be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6523baf0a9912e4ffa691309a6f9e44d982220b79d1f326d8d4e875d42f1d376", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2849011", "token_id": "100060331442656974186607648115977399082504467341822312262049848957428260473698", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bayer Leverkusen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c6b324c330f20c00b5fc1064bff4f56e733b5c609ab1df20c805ba890433709a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849011", "condition_id": "0x6078b146115abc0262cd8660c12a9beb4190ef165480ba48c0c43091a36cc285", "token_id": "100060331442656974186607648115977399082504467341822312262049848957428260473698", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bayer Leverkusen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "691c31cb52c09be6aacd0b42b9fe0cc80075ff629565a3ea7c36203238d61889", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2849009", "token_id": "86188390496703366215739080277587861472902262344214874797731409104844551918626", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bayern Munich", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "25162d902efbd043aee2878a5c6dc1ba5858755728f8a71daed672c330d0b6e1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849009", "condition_id": "0xb31e96c9ddc423b8c07549a23d35f326796c7d1e9c1336e9686f61ff9c4124da", "token_id": "86188390496703366215739080277587861472902262344214874797731409104844551918626", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "443d8226a4c6ba491dcedfde9d291627fae53b302b11cf5237ca41fa91754190", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2849010", "token_id": "71505643993753772241028585420023787018058707557413087432629400348265668860690", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Borussia Dortmund", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ff9af35c1ab862b532933209ebabfefece6498ad86645d40b8a88dd6191762d2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849010", "condition_id": "0xc0367c0f7ce0cfa6dfd4767fbb574e5539acabeac468012fb91af8f09187ab0a", "token_id": "71505643993753772241028585420023787018058707557413087432629400348265668860690", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Borussia Dortmund be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b7b94a7fb13f1acc77edef22819ddb6847d2d3485a574aef9e0c5085a81df1a6", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2849018", "token_id": "3623160172297558373031280274728325371182960745794399112858232515128502224124", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b55ffa07955444157009835099398d27ac2445b4f001cdf666b4953beb954c21", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849018", "condition_id": "0xea2cde8aa9683b96bd55ce84cb6c74bc041eb8b6242d5aea4aaacb9d5b9a0bce", "token_id": "3623160172297558373031280274728325371182960745794399112858232515128502224124", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Borussia M\u00f6nchengladbach be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "807f49287ee347243fae4fd68c7a223c64bd54ad3c5e6322f414af9d0ee6d939", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2849013", "token_id": "42161953630934766083416065140109500793814054619271319756033596085131058754074", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Eintracht Frankfurt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a15e44858ced1d21fcbcf1f3c164598aea599ae1c452f472b4e111d5afa6e12c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849013", "condition_id": "0xb2bed189d23c57543d0041b6bac94e47f9835c1b7fe8a3c6a196d9051683e93b", "token_id": "42161953630934766083416065140109500793814054619271319756033596085131058754074", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Eintracht Frankfurt be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "82be2b0e9a3ce830b956c93c7a6eecf1c4f8b31056174af49a05c3fac847ed8c", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2849020", "token_id": "64070925547499234446631927807897129369984403719350781164743237500963004998594", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Augsburg", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bd5d2481450ffddff19f86eb14ec12967f6ad226f2d010c8b292b763db40e944", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849020", "condition_id": "0x6ad4c6abf5c138818ed0d4e5866a7c5c461479e2dfeddaa7fe684829aedc97fc", "token_id": "64070925547499234446631927807897129369984403719350781164743237500963004998594", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FC Augsburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bfa7d2c610257f83852aa374f79aa7e0fa70e0c9d437f850cf18d13a2a0c5156", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2849023", "token_id": "115431551137352447724925537753558248694874317408283903268633629548957472234423", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hamburger SV", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c5b4d59a1187456fe1e00b8a540acbce2f4f2b78387dd60df1b76a5ce3fa0395", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849023", "condition_id": "0x0725f963308d385e5ff32b5ed54c72c1cd46a84158c7fd3ec1f9bd8024d94a17", "token_id": "115431551137352447724925537753558248694874317408283903268633629548957472234423", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Hamburger SV be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7a417aa6e09aeeac3e027dc5864dbf5fe392e359c3d214c7c9470b5c1de2e4a6", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2849017", "token_id": "91078037111220486655674503918729686149867922596172164208793464947381978664468", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mainz 05", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "866b3e785500df1b2db25772cf37eb40eaa4887ceee49e9c50bbd3f595ccf2e2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849017", "condition_id": "0x9169a679f559782abf579e2408478394b08ec3ef9660f32f4ccb4186f2bcc17d", "token_id": "91078037111220486655674503918729686149867922596172164208793464947381978664468", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8c9a68dd5410c1f90d5271ef98ca6ea37f22a77a0b5119673fc48d50ff982812", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2849012", "token_id": "42798148154164534510644890061289863682332504334197903605889329837125481872803", "outcome": "yes", "label": "RB Leipzig", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2337759cc446457c8c1a90d2fdd41592379e4c8af5f1e49cae45fee5aabf89a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849012", "condition_id": "0xd865f82a6d631044fbd2afb4d7b9cd06f7a8b8a46183558289f992b17f75d878", "token_id": "42798148154164534510644890061289863682332504334197903605889329837125481872803", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will RB Leipzig be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c5236264b1ca884ac87bf0795c23c8f22c5e2ce1c5b5a70452526f411c452f73", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2849016", "token_id": "22175333496127081469990198415425480769050614407477193039195458572751419549061", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SC Freiburg", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2e1792c618d03b2c8ce04f39baf9607e35071a2461f1072936d9906c4f2b383e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849016", "condition_id": "0xb308870885087179a7ab95ce26bf71669806eebaf8103087db5064696f0752f9", "token_id": "22175333496127081469990198415425480769050614407477193039195458572751419549061", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SC Freiburg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f9d38a3a2ef59e2fce2adbf4a22a47ea5b3c1427685bc1272359084dddc81c93", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2849025", "token_id": "74175980169399091154511931541766638587985342100043014140394889292745337680989", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SC Paderborn", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3ff0a1bc9e324a2fdf79b1876a271ee974bd7accae69b86eb5523fabc95976ff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849025", "condition_id": "0x00afbe8f603d37f3abc07ad8b27879bf05073b252028cab868e75cc95ae7eae7", "token_id": "74175980169399091154511931541766638587985342100043014140394889292745337680989", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SC Paderborn be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "99ed4b7af4cc2c8a8dcba832a7295c50ef446daeae88aee10401531687f2efcb", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2849024", "token_id": "106111908308709565621166592076393089553518294016586487615984258191200660493030", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Schalke 04", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a6107668f174a8eeb0140ec532f89be19742a4894a3428dfe9513f8fa638e21c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849024", "condition_id": "0x65c0707b0972d1770b028d5adcf12d8210840b341a7d29e3694d551537facfcc", "token_id": "106111908308709565621166592076393089553518294016586487615984258191200660493030", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Schalke 04 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6a53dc89f9cb5bc5fceacd6e241c882f08e78e1c9be70bc57226164a5ff6bae2", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2849026", "token_id": "114031386739011955493421166642225259863896587923980952666485420990665119292742", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SV Elversberg", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "052b36e73c99604192e2ce6c5be850458d78586453528c6053e781edf455fbb1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849026", "condition_id": "0x031a9d10e7193e6297dae63ce9da3de76ec0cf104c5619e8b7eb47dd96b1e1b7", "token_id": "114031386739011955493421166642225259863896587923980952666485420990665119292742", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SV Elversberg be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6ab71bccf93f9e53d1b090be17f872c0ae26d0e61de35ffdf852bfd1d4724745", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2849015", "token_id": "2221225813920842989950605857423540997640465465561152967238793915579456222849", "outcome": "yes", "label": "TSG Hoffenheim", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "03ad71cade347a554fc8a02afee2e66a4a68bcf9033745b8b907c0ffa7cc3433", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849015", "condition_id": "0xc53d39ab2b02025185325efbac6439e4d56811e26f73a3739b8907a603e5b0bb", "token_id": "2221225813920842989950605857423540997640465465561152967238793915579456222849", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will TSG Hoffenheim be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "81beacffe9deb855f1b5661276176c682bcfaefdbe3c495259f679d08c096e0c", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2849021", "token_id": "29738522262386424283430619359493947659173968481231802878540777442592353453704", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Union Berlin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de87670dac51bdc6d741ab186ffd9af79a45e6f0ed20085a4dbb6f791e3948f6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849021", "condition_id": "0x82dfa4c3b20c4a4c2d07c12c069f24cebdcac8ee6a63e5f7654a2aa3df216de9", "token_id": "29738522262386424283430619359493947659173968481231802878540777442592353453704", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Union Berlin be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1af6314dcd9743b043a6ce3c3e873535a76c511d2836b8ee4a87e8d1a741d82b", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2849014", "token_id": "93232334389237716100156268980958321700015901078209946394286319002150902868790", "outcome": "yes", "label": "VfB Stuttgart", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "51cceebf48dd2c2567a4e9014ef4d3f872f85eaaadc23e375daf8670cb1c1158", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849014", "condition_id": "0x53cd33d4696a871e0ccebdc49484628cf1f40b5e6e59a072e4414fb50b7a0084", "token_id": "93232334389237716100156268980958321700015901078209946394286319002150902868790", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will VfB Stuttgart be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1f68a03bc7cfbc8042a95329b82b5d7c3292759736830c96788b977b26f4513a", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2849022", "token_id": "77524000513829062702810289080584019682183672400973994704039965924319360699764", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Werder Bremen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0711da0c18916e6d177620be78c1831f87fa2b0651adba7e8fb73f57a2dd5319", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2849022", "condition_id": "0xe690043862075d5a9515c475dffae52930f67436cb9d80472d5d7e83797dddb1", "token_id": "77524000513829062702810289080584019682183672400973994704039965924319360699764", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Werder Bremen be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "681261", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c100abb633c9b6a19bdeffbb9b95f3beadfcfe4145d61089ba4665a8d776405b", "event_source_sha256": "17d2b9ff19928b04d20ce5295090bad051ae55a175721c8d99d8b3081e09dbb0" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:727186", "title": "Which company has the best AI model end of September?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 21, "semantics_hash": "b2f818b49862c5e3b073cf7922b3d9a1776686c47f596bc9715fcb61bf8825e5", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3008494", "3008495", "3008496", "3008497", "3008498", "3008499", "3008500", "3008501", "3008502", "3008503", "3008504", "3008505", "3008506", "3008507", "3008508", "3008509", "3008510", "3008511", "3008512", "3008513", "3008514", "3008515", "3008516", "3008517", "3008518", "3008519", "3008520", "3008521", "3008522", "3008523", "3008524", "3008525" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:727186", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3008497", "token_id": "52935426946029321091735429056863671866847421629936228050378338324576325484328", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alibaba", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "697d146da64c39bfd2c1a3c8ed6105c4cf3af85fffe24ee4aaafdeaa5d1b523d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008497", "condition_id": "0x204393400cf37f7e2f020025e1260b4cf53aecd99fac4c34448d003434139ad0", "token_id": "52935426946029321091735429056863671866847421629936228050378338324576325484328", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "735fbb1d65d30a032053e4690969c37fa642152d0daeb0955726aae05005ab1b", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3008505", "token_id": "13816466526952858720959232540992469585519046325478340948869374688782794535410", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Amazon", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b5b7f47bf968ddf43dfb7d4f3569c881a201a5d61fde2dd05301a184a84bc5d5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008505", "condition_id": "0x27c97788771782fba1f19af918173f62c9c790b3a909e9b8e798bef8d51f3aad", "token_id": "13816466526952858720959232540992469585519046325478340948869374688782794535410", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f887282d27d7d6ac3da365681e5cefed4cec219faaa98e39784415757886c647", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3008494", "token_id": "114976310403134140071475285729050128086700898119247346798479138721789575328536", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Anthropic", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1a0c57300bda22e9ed2ffff9aad4281d36414eeca456e4b0257eb032bbff987e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008494", "condition_id": "0x537df24dbae425e973a421983b6ee570d582cac06b5fdbebef099d3d07913985", "token_id": "114976310403134140071475285729050128086700898119247346798479138721789575328536", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f2d93266af9069b7a0250d3f748d3f3a5c26e3e34cbd9146a3ebcac4e9c61c07", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3008500", "token_id": "103287190351116124039275701088158527598197546378733302122253542768715906530724", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Baidu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6678b2e1ca295173452097dcec8397cf8ba34acaaa400fce8232950482ea217a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008500", "condition_id": "0xd4d54d90887d15e15373ddd6e6617934cfcea36fb0f82f826928d117c8492597", "token_id": "103287190351116124039275701088158527598197546378733302122253542768715906530724", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "341356b5abf14959cace30a9fddc3395695a68225a4c71aafaa2d31eca9a49dc", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3008506", "token_id": "8066611323094684054597948347011151567819318976443015689009457992647776468453", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ByteDance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "819f8a82e5ba5e1e25419e973a5effa89d748cb97f9a3e760e1934d8d89c057e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008506", "condition_id": "0x32cd61a7c7db51e94f1abc8ed2008253af3da8bac8a0b335ececb086b9d0bb4a", "token_id": "8066611323094684054597948347011151567819318976443015689009457992647776468453", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6aa1f32f60581b672b534dd94604b6aed950fdeab13629d3c41ea052eb4f05e0", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3008504", "token_id": "32561118587591266605534013182984397108201140288085522744318279548733235644128", "outcome": "yes", "label": "DeepSeek", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b36f99ee0e6f168936a46f0e84b6ecb28aeec9d72d786c559f070ba6965400d0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008504", "condition_id": "0x91185c54b51ad9665dd9dff53ed977172ffa456f7583f4e5d5dce3dace25f0f9", "token_id": "32561118587591266605534013182984397108201140288085522744318279548733235644128", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "813f2ec8fc6b31740d1be6d367e2a191aab57d00e449963b38edec1e942bbbd4", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3008496", "token_id": "6166513038784917342431897762851411217960639130627784679394832073526314983946", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Google", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6560ad24ecaf660655840514c004cc4de97c21eb92eed785a36d09d79a7cd88c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008496", "condition_id": "0xda0dc3b9d21321e7657248b3de8ce18d2cf00472374021d3dd93a342077f7e61", "token_id": "6166513038784917342431897762851411217960639130627784679394832073526314983946", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "213716ebae6f2b2b56db6de7ac2d08b0434ba3a54735c9af8f4b5d0aa512c744", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3008511", "token_id": "88653034971014338676755585981033649758878456169933341119483249399987445258082", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meituan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ab0075535afb5f83fc14bac0e161c00b525c40d468b541654efafb64a2035bdb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008511", "condition_id": "0xc4d0ade081ade39e7beb2c6ab4a62f211b2272ebefd34a1d5c6f1c4f6ac36298", "token_id": "88653034971014338676755585981033649758878456169933341119483249399987445258082", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1640c5bec0414313416a8b96203c239c75c64e4c9bf4a00c4b759164ca78ba18", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3008495", "token_id": "54999910538555128850599373592877121960216346477915059724855308245897036904623", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meta", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "156fdb256a77eb23a6c92afe23a9995b2239fa576e7a4af4bd5dfad3f0a45331", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008495", "condition_id": "0xc3e6623d4963a37e1c7a73f6a0319b935a58cc903bd30ef2296005ddecbdbc3a", "token_id": "54999910538555128850599373592877121960216346477915059724855308245897036904623", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0607073ab248fd3e38202cdd606fcb0302e84f51665498c5121eb533e5732aff", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3008514", "token_id": "59831023165322256851612083101815696340672101722911455542901160531659149032866", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Microsoft", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6ef0076d7389f3ac5a6318361d0e9b83027dd151ac682740642143d217dd7007", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008514", "condition_id": "0x0bea4c1fb318208d32fc6da038189bfddb2d025e443b394c8894eebbe7230fd2", "token_id": "59831023165322256851612083101815696340672101722911455542901160531659149032866", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d9db9d16e388f7dba4f0ff04866785caa8902aca0665aecfbbe6ec341813a593", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3008509", "token_id": "66071647804658863835020112391530261387691763930293989668644657813906942667887", "outcome": "yes", "label": "MiniMax", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ced78cbda3914356a2890a78a00f089eac3b72179027117c545fd8e10592bc05", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008509", "condition_id": "0x4a9ce520b3e7d4c3dca70449564eb241fc2c3dbc242e71c03763195e31213128", "token_id": "66071647804658863835020112391530261387691763930293989668644657813906942667887", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c4434cdf8e487c038ea425016c28c1918ba4f32bbd97227347eaf8db407d93b3", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3008510", "token_id": "1822779227811788812593940342501365578690223515113672090403856406043054571876", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mistral", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f667294dc7b0a2b8e62b1bde1b9dd58d0762bf041229f8b73b0a07bb8162bcb0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008510", "condition_id": "0x1f55c6113a5a3b99cbfefa47f57c0a412cc260f3e634cd9acbc3a7c66444378c", "token_id": "1822779227811788812593940342501365578690223515113672090403856406043054571876", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8cf1d01744b24b2c7cb6cfb3e98a2434cdeb098496395a33a909d4a261e3d72b", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3008498", "token_id": "72762406096482935605308429706202192462703211053734628746673909567863165242147", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moonshot", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c1924d7efc0eeae8ce81a531d9c7b6edebf11c564cba1ba081a691ba8dac1ac6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008498", "condition_id": "0xe9872d03589956f744ecc550f47fbcad270bf693ca59db9914b61d5694514066", "token_id": "72762406096482935605308429706202192462703211053734628746673909567863165242147", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ed5020b9d3747aa9cc29cb1e42e5beb7789be102d15e54c0b26846a12a9530c1", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3008507", "token_id": "90935918763499368350385024090369798332763661174454170362215741627749993183372", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nvidia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "032997e3ffd90683bae16128bce46c2eeb52229c1d4e42fed1acfb43d08542af", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008507", "condition_id": "0x83890b8ae761cdf9a2609de54a13e274353f0c51ef58d68ac5a47e53a68f9328", "token_id": "90935918763499368350385024090369798332763661174454170362215741627749993183372", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b00efffa17befc68027362386b142f27ac45441c49dea7d693d9e41fbad7a892", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3008499", "token_id": "48064644016748051623863502303978953029188647675635554834116598068703884527741", "outcome": "yes", "label": "OpenAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "77bd08e50638704c7b2227b1814bddb0d417bf36625beef14d2803842a98528a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008499", "condition_id": "0xbce02d9a6a2d4f0f9c61f636dab64ba93b60ce16a09dc34f6f82b2e1243142e0", "token_id": "48064644016748051623863502303978953029188647675635554834116598068703884527741", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "402700ebeb80ebaa10ec4cc5486900f599c97358a4f94c0c17cfc81df8c3c5b8", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3008503", "token_id": "31249599252455608337913237656257646780983160683404252769970761781414007497508", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SpaceXAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a352959012cb057365d24a05b590c6830b69ed53dbd2742c5d8f4b2217b7065c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008503", "condition_id": "0x076ea19dd7f933784aceb79bc27aadbda99dcf962480d8d0e4d11d3b1e5f4011", "token_id": "31249599252455608337913237656257646780983160683404252769970761781414007497508", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6e1635d831c3ce85f08038a822d85e7097c67c245df1fb7dc73f1774cdd5a1b8", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3008513", "token_id": "50688231672901885125863528317123848247076859282859134513770074208370171456187", "outcome": "yes", "label": "StepFun", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c18774d9899db29f6f9219674a1f466573bf4886ba0e6ec9c847c4aeb4cc33ae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008513", "condition_id": "0x7cb6f9c0fbc5389aab7c6ebdcceb2bdbc0e55f9a8d483893e3232bb06a09920f", "token_id": "50688231672901885125863528317123848247076859282859134513770074208370171456187", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d7810b31fc8bb2bcb2649a9a4f0dbf4e8a98fad54c606545dc536e198eb164ca", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "3008512", "token_id": "93571421441175327515300554933968119122856261355390453117855675886417976793595", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tencent", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ca443f55a6d711bdc443d9a3d1425c72e98f2f5230a29d9510518e7554f84bbe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008512", "condition_id": "0x1a9eb38cf0f5409f96a2644cbef1cb557ea04cd83259f78362e2705b38299a40", "token_id": "93571421441175327515300554933968119122856261355390453117855675886417976793595", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "21978b898ff800dd9b4435d143643bcb9bad881a7ea748ab58c97cb7e3c5c9e2", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "3008508", "token_id": "73575161872995889676166835739163659584173676141003684715607813624565399953215", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Thinky", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b04cd93d15adf499b684deda41e0cb1ea26a3ef1ce4994593276d69dd897777e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008508", "condition_id": "0x33652fbda4d3ba78a6541948c576fc6bf9e16b8ad610ccdfd33c7512d9621ec6", "token_id": "73575161872995889676166835739163659584173676141003684715607813624565399953215", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "08f1f403c117601421a1255fcb36a9611b18b2915ddbfed5d2d34d6ca032f6db", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "3008502", "token_id": "17769282934028936809723123829301229191577974679160185957497037261958738625188", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Xiaomi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "48deba6cf9781e5a0d9b9bd24869d6e6b98d4d3571dd4704866fa6bca6417780", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008502", "condition_id": "0x311c1e0ff3204c1c18880b3170c27921f4ec17b68171ccefdf153cb26c2cb936", "token_id": "17769282934028936809723123829301229191577974679160185957497037261958738625188", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d576cea0f232b4652faf335e4103189ad556dce44e0aba89d9efaced9a79b499", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "3008501", "token_id": "101190915780683754867473991216051565227835647385661905198049053528233927012071", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Z.ai", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6160c3c2b38adabc5c9fc21e2020d6a5cf318992a5ee28571a9e9ad8746865c5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008501", "condition_id": "0x3b0c568fb36ebd75a10d13f58f6a77a39744a618027e798f143270b2b1bfe1d0", "token_id": "101190915780683754867473991216051565227835647385661905198049053528233927012071", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1e110356545f3caa3e25fb6f2efe63026f901867279525d138049e8377456684", "event_source_sha256": "1bfe874f6764a89d921406d4b2f258fcd9b24c1dff8ed450845085ff4986371e" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:659518", "title": "EPL: 2027 Champion", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 20, "semantics_hash": "bad84dd62deb8d06c9da4c29b3e8eb8ab99ba0953c3b0f69ab54980b69eb7b77", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2771324", "2771325", "2771326", "2771327", "2771328", "2771329", "2771330", "2771331", "2771332", "2771333", "2771334", "2771335", "2771336", "2771337", "2771338", "2771339", "2771340", "2771341", "2771342", "2771343", "2771344", "2771345", "2771346", "2771347" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:659518", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2771324", "token_id": "106464589845250400124249015666766731317110899241411841699938652823328750757436", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Arsenal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af843f59409d155769642f6fe491e0ae0d4d87a650a8a704daa3de5077adb9fb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771324", "condition_id": "0xf02d8d72bb96d84090d4f7d63e7837afb94f8d061e7a2cca8cf21732150e8815", "token_id": "106464589845250400124249015666766731317110899241411841699938652823328750757436", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c6c29a1ff86c110f1c727df92a879b557c403e67a7b33148a671fc53444afac5", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2771325", "token_id": "95126052608609363478306594089235169822133598679009177544767568245943920599687", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Aston Villa", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d1505bb50b584a48075e8efb177f68af1a26f01b005a0c8e3c2883cc8cfef12c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771325", "condition_id": "0xd1da11849e2aa6cbfbfc1160071f8194681a96643dba032afe3d18f47fa46cf5", "token_id": "95126052608609363478306594089235169822133598679009177544767568245943920599687", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d6c3899421db0164fb22671442fdf31740eed8a93057ce6c207e7b5b6b560431", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2771326", "token_id": "91726864593742693140356430310829013967102600293867040357906510030347902441142", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bournemouth", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "07efc20e086474cae057b4d220a4c2a24a54ce3697a03990cc3d0d8f462f0775", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771326", "condition_id": "0x7bb6a24c932a69a04ea2b88edee11ffe904765e459ff7862ebb6355961ec0b42", "token_id": "91726864593742693140356430310829013967102600293867040357906510030347902441142", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bournemouth win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5f0b8b37c3bc1dc4cc7d54eebc9e54488bd4c54a2b51a54e4755f491ce4107b7", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2771327", "token_id": "77148715104272769172722280105773295379821478844848869024067051231521185499856", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Brentford", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "35515cb69463dd2bafed1476a5e1749a5953aee07af20667ab762e403c9cd944", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771327", "condition_id": "0xcd8257e8b53cb20079af16ca5ad4262c9b5b09c7e3e461027b1b0768a14bad64", "token_id": "77148715104272769172722280105773295379821478844848869024067051231521185499856", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f7b277b52aebbfe9e9ecbdaef26d5ed33f716d0136c0283b7f9f7e69dbfa3e97", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2771328", "token_id": "9221383556608449303835174806846320148935846556873035382860978740383478459961", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Brighton", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "87e6b420b718b0b33354bd9f7fa260eb6523b88965538b616e3a41710df6368b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771328", "condition_id": "0xed75a3b173cd8d0a5b3946d6e13c0c8b90429bfb65e7d55c8bbea0f5e6856f4e", "token_id": "9221383556608449303835174806846320148935846556873035382860978740383478459961", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c7c5277b9f2827d188662c431276ac4c167b734517f3930bcaf37a63d74e6312", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2771329", "token_id": "71331397742700941957031238831543083934039786198089976413635532604236046151616", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chelsea", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4ed3aa0774e8755b03463367ece963e15c4f3ddb3c78b8e89a9c265a913bfe6e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771329", "condition_id": "0x6bac08e7f660a372953c845044e3636bba66b62e6bc01475a64d8c87f9fc43fd", "token_id": "71331397742700941957031238831543083934039786198089976413635532604236046151616", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7cf75d654fc7bbee964e5b0351cb720b7489baddcc1b8e00605685993c605e5d", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2771341", "token_id": "10784100828022677663858912622917977215638901416732605478905545794493860458841", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Coventry City", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cae98aa40671934db3e35e5f439285fc6929c9747880a48c70dfff221097c30f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771341", "condition_id": "0x7149f6c60e0ab868cfb9d598c74a882ff8b59a994762c2904ce998e40ba94310", "token_id": "10784100828022677663858912622917977215638901416732605478905545794493860458841", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Coventry City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "67ee09e36d82f0896f879ad5da85614d93970c04e5e360f26a78e9ff9b161d5d", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2771330", "token_id": "97051520858342010708470643796325110847356418185297997362901024578514854753269", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Crystal Palace", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e102e7437d6d7988bbe756a82d04584c2edc61f02612da89ed7b1090c48a2268", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771330", "condition_id": "0x990a59036a8972bae1aa5f7546bf81de9f2517fc5c2ef67f1ed435a76a21aff2", "token_id": "97051520858342010708470643796325110847356418185297997362901024578514854753269", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "46f95b19944258f656a4518350072689bd6e6d0c3e9e31abe1f651e63db26812", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2771331", "token_id": "80367005308757874454920246636237476898466725678692332165499458085317111212451", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Everton", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "20c755630d59a7033a3cd2f18d6742435b76a20976b430a88971fbc5f1d60c10", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771331", "condition_id": "0x968e48b511e76c798aabbafc5c5de292dc15bf4ba8d4aa6d560767eeddd588ad", "token_id": "80367005308757874454920246636237476898466725678692332165499458085317111212451", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Everton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c238994a32817714f04c1e3696f577d3e84aa33cdebec753552f08f18f39cd2a", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2771332", "token_id": "40670748580170120208061318459069689124456381187574341481753537331619244535492", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fulham", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "178c61cedcc51bd7f6df23b926e108211355551b29f940aa77889efb294f5982", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771332", "condition_id": "0x1e1e2cc0da1cd0c90fa834860d8f92ed024f53fabfe9df8d2f6608c684a5c10b", "token_id": "40670748580170120208061318459069689124456381187574341481753537331619244535492", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a2d16bb52f7c88a02735e797e22038158fab2a27cb4489ec2589ec2707020dde", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2771343", "token_id": "19129084106918074389743466444184546964159320576683957544376689640092328831272", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hull City", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7d55309466cf2b50cceede312d1576559fa70ea8176cff19742d1e34665e54b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771343", "condition_id": "0x6001a45766cc00627798fc4d6fdc251f8e0762c04d92856ceb1878d18debc078", "token_id": "19129084106918074389743466444184546964159320576683957544376689640092328831272", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9786274d8c03e50c7d6f80af0e98ae2f3eda11128a22fc055f67fa384ff2a9b5", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2771342", "token_id": "5348126322712501809599521011070859211804814998517334817342155958439551325980", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ipswich Town", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3320c192c1d1abd88ef49ec4691b26668b923b05339c1a8cd507a7fd01f12b2c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771342", "condition_id": "0xc9402a96517ca15f5767ca5ffa133d8371870282d4914b2ee3caf7c3e7fa5bfd", "token_id": "5348126322712501809599521011070859211804814998517334817342155958439551325980", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ipswich Town win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "406edc87d0b8465c4506e51e725ac5388c2fc381107db9ab7c46c8bb7abaddda", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2771333", "token_id": "35746559934598687044244313512841185288491694151858023596582191133240765938021", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Leeds United", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5490a9cf5cae42e8db9114c64d4c3bf3881af18ec01c9e7730b48642ecb7c5e4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771333", "condition_id": "0x80b12da718450b82c70cd492546f00d7fa4a15b7eb7f9e2141fcdd58a38bcb39", "token_id": "35746559934598687044244313512841185288491694151858023596582191133240765938021", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1ad51f3177af2f20f59b3cce7787363aaf52034c1dc01b80c638b914aadc4543", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2771334", "token_id": "103113680967506285415247199316434245544375452747327929231569806258054261426999", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liverpool", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4edcb9162d68e0f4e171d847da91216d814c26dc88ec8b4470615ace91104b75", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771334", "condition_id": "0x849be83aad0311ca155a2ad0c1a86bf5cdf0313672c1de414bfaa902f351030a", "token_id": "103113680967506285415247199316434245544375452747327929231569806258054261426999", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f5a3b1d736260a995f4a0a154e4fa904efd0a762c1b92f666dde7002d108e5cf", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2771335", "token_id": "19864216715488298679276291756659013279877343825699353033505020208765688353462", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester City", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c78d457f022cfc7ef5b1c33171013b09eea5ddb48b771eb0efadbf0d40ee961d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771335", "condition_id": "0x86e8f678e6cebb9596ffbb5a736b2ff9f36b12905d5b65b1556329c28533c7a1", "token_id": "19864216715488298679276291756659013279877343825699353033505020208765688353462", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e7b3df750adf34449a55b5c5f9dbb0f1661cd89fd9c9697c85174a5f90dec96c", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2771336", "token_id": "73050236093508473398082398966067213274195424600650056280148681977814431775527", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "32063623fdc2073abb8b517f6f04006ede1ea4ebc2784b43206dcc9bc042f2f9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771336", "condition_id": "0x777c36cb439b5a8cf54d2449c2d355f91fc50d7c076caad4deaf97c749489392", "token_id": "73050236093508473398082398966067213274195424600650056280148681977814431775527", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bf0988aec64999ac64d4ee789e61787eb9cf90c83e0d4c7aaa34c8de8b1d2692", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2771337", "token_id": "70115295607678639389849027942930100443106188440422945198953091431001090853177", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Newcastle United", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9e255276b7034837fed4c9ca7195188a7af1a3de4372321d1d6e7a59222f94aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771337", "condition_id": "0x17d55ef9eb4ac01497d29b81cd73a09b5b5cbf899d17ca3c614ddf3ef2f4bc18", "token_id": "70115295607678639389849027942930100443106188440422945198953091431001090853177", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "de3fb85f522c2575a64d96419ebf1b21e4615824487b884d227ca7eedf07a958", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2771338", "token_id": "71402273816533867130174046379312855601204787736023388471372994030309720329642", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nottingham Forest", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c2bd26e02176d4d9536e5912a5c38192f72e6cc8996f107febeec494c1e67692", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771338", "condition_id": "0x273a7791e26b74a7eae509b1613fe9a388766795d75d8274e04ce5363cb590ea", "token_id": "71402273816533867130174046379312855601204787736023388471372994030309720329642", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nottingham Forest win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2bfe042b615cbed66f75665b318e341012f6ace1c8c262a28f5851b050c211d1", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "2771340", "token_id": "99368121462700780151196311832350788198349977216794379898015805289217999809122", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sunderland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b51526ca8acdd71ff8a7749f848968eac52ba4cf8aff8aee1a8966eb59db8fd2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771340", "condition_id": "0x8652a1b72d13868775062c003c4513868905d10938cde876b945432e6bf72a3d", "token_id": "99368121462700780151196311832350788198349977216794379898015805289217999809122", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sunderland win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3bb1c01c4660bb3e9274c471af6e5eb68637c44d2ebdfb5b8a6993bcd946a291", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "2771339", "token_id": "77697374688933463558435808435207573631234398437151747716737073005939751357574", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tottenham", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "30a118d179a38ebb38b1e14289d4adf60019c5d7cf516330ef3d89a393ec1642", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771339", "condition_id": "0xd8e6438816fca9d87b306eb31c96aba02c5393391f3f7eddc74a0dd3c6173cfc", "token_id": "77697374688933463558435808435207573631234398437151747716737073005939751357574", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship per the rules of English Premier League (EPL) (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from English Premier League (EPL); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659518", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dcf7377115cd6eb7e1f8de7ce96902193bd84c5d33819d2d1aadd1d5cae5919a", "event_source_sha256": "c402536fbeae7b6ca49d6e58b9475b6f4ba7cbfd09e041f5f556845bd955b972" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:51456", "title": "How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 13, "semantics_hash": "174661f392e95be01e5ed43b0a0a45f56c67c3a1044998c6ff5e69498d563254", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "616902", "616903", "616904", "616905", "616906", "616907", "616908", "616909", "616910", "616911", "616912", "616913", "616914" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:51456", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "616902", "token_id": "12403602920039269077597917340921667997547115084613238528792639013246536343316", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0 (0 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "812c9742529dee8dacb5312dc8f03534d5d75041856c3a189a99479955c3a84d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616902", "condition_id": "0xd4e77ba6f29fc093509d24f508631abd445ecf506bbdc9c4c80e60256a318527", "token_id": "12403602920039269077597917340921667997547115084613238528792639013246536343316", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7eb6de2433b9b944790371822a65a9f6e25efb5a871944c041ae988d3ecda26f", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "616903", "token_id": "113379839734351069617987084078322474966003108854908079701423911002443710490196", "outcome": "yes", "label": "1 (25 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "765e69389d355c5a7ca41b0ad492cff91777bf5f52c93817ebb1fb978f65f384", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616903", "condition_id": "0x5e082f0b57f47a29044aa35b4c5658393122e659d5feae521c06b57cdd7f905c", "token_id": "113379839734351069617987084078322474966003108854908079701423911002443710490196", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "aad53112bc32baa9b7e73c3c896c839c304da4216a2504f25f4eebdf98e44368", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "616912", "token_id": "101699865858660601590309838387762714166224752219273014726406345404403204943713", "outcome": "yes", "label": "10 (250 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b2b276efd40e1e86753937a56e750c0d60aabfbbc6734151dcc98f920b0b584f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616912", "condition_id": "0x757c144993b3cb831e04c42bfcff8c18864c7da4f4688a5939d2f62e031cbc87", "token_id": "101699865858660601590309838387762714166224752219273014726406345404403204943713", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "37163342ecd4a5d0b6d37d50acc05a9e87baac191734f7dff9da8a908eef22c3", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "616913", "token_id": "56345349743779788266710915561914531858285418844567819631705863717318287635981", "outcome": "yes", "label": "11 (275 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0b2080b66021fca0cf094a186f1e375ba2324974ccbfa7961197b8f78526ccf5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616913", "condition_id": "0x1adf074e048fa613f4ddbc0766088748a48d120a3a713b0183e219032a411ae3", "token_id": "56345349743779788266710915561914531858285418844567819631705863717318287635981", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bf5ecd4737fd57ae5e0d65d4993ca689977ca99260da7fe1f57b0b7e215cbca2", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "616914", "token_id": "9348234470735473071085620208817441102005165766524508452759679947551704787649", "outcome": "yes", "label": "12+ (300+ bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9f8879b4fbb1f133e59ba31153be7dcbd66faa73ae8ae42ba09abf5029fe154c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616914", "condition_id": "0xffa0accb74987c0dc33a70eb3780c1da160206bcfb3ef5d16c1667bc5c459c78", "token_id": "9348234470735473071085620208817441102005165766524508452759679947551704787649", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "95a8f5f27953a306a1b2ab8754219168dd6d2d95cc21d9b02c7b8da4ad2108f5", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "616904", "token_id": "72535544017897924722695722172278828562733090748474862987195303914909938482758", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2 (50 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f148031dba2cea0ea51ff133b6e4e6c324dd6721e601989e0657e533398547f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616904", "condition_id": "0xe0d9f508a249e0070db06eb7d1e1fb17eb23c963f6fb722c4c3f81e23240c1cd", "token_id": "72535544017897924722695722172278828562733090748474862987195303914909938482758", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d7b3dd031ef5fb9d77858a5c74aac29ee406b9daff7d4ad800a52f62741b14fc", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "616905", "token_id": "95835705062472305459663741402900736177330733688944910993896545106260819635212", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3 (75 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e1a3b349989afde35ffade8538cd9cdc2e6323270292aee294e5570effa07785", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616905", "condition_id": "0x8d4966e84ae80f24b2e14643fdd45364e354229e11e2c17903b4b1763cfbe67c", "token_id": "95835705062472305459663741402900736177330733688944910993896545106260819635212", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ec41ffff9a7e3e90eb995855e9cf7140da902bab7bb5012cf034c33b9cd4a054", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "616906", "token_id": "73197441127256680134600821323583356037261213281680365433623681075249556019477", "outcome": "yes", "label": "4 (100 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "91b3152fc66808c40ab968198e628864f8f7012f8f3e0a0760693a476fc5f43a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616906", "condition_id": "0xaece8d6062d3e3eb9845b32441a4ab06eb2ef332c0228bc6a36add450647c7c4", "token_id": "73197441127256680134600821323583356037261213281680365433623681075249556019477", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "35383e133319b51ca6499538fa3ff2f42e604c01ab96938c5974b74c521698b0", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "616907", "token_id": "29213252446661789250484965446100709214117256176608501943249094649759520097655", "outcome": "yes", "label": "5 (125 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0d8d7636ad1fc3643541e8f10217c98dda354d2f74f7ff4e260a29fe85e19ec9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616907", "condition_id": "0x7ee722a07e0f84405f1267bc1c84eb95bd6348454453abf445618e778af8fd18", "token_id": "29213252446661789250484965446100709214117256176608501943249094649759520097655", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e0c2fbb36171065ae37ebbe451c00e3980b4d6563c607dda94524a5554b97378", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "616908", "token_id": "77531340423610587330488971960018210147778793548713753738604838920212617696839", "outcome": "yes", "label": "6 (150 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3993ae5841be120e10f12eaf273d428e943cace0b4f0ea318659bc8ffd5e6e40", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616908", "condition_id": "0x4914bfdd892a48c341b5e0f41ec10475a815f2277273110b16f95e21084bfe75", "token_id": "77531340423610587330488971960018210147778793548713753738604838920212617696839", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "18251775ded52ce499b4013cb01543cbed3b15de8ffe5f1635f30750e90ad4c9", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "616909", "token_id": "83225062900867600837789591190756506957715645312465902979999093167287051133800", "outcome": "yes", "label": "7 (175 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a2901e5183e3470a6aa8c6262f832b031e8f80b26b4d44df665a2c36bb43bc8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616909", "condition_id": "0x2368d2604c9c2b95bc98c51bd50c66e5351caebf05b9fe79d3398c387fe29a89", "token_id": "83225062900867600837789591190756506957715645312465902979999093167287051133800", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5f8db922d47b8e5048ab8a230cab3f64dfc9b0a878df5d419c4b61f0c2f693cf", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "616910", "token_id": "79224949855948800840589557145654317659028242814072850811675646040486360279565", "outcome": "yes", "label": "8 (200 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6e0cc5701a8fc691b8523afbe2478cfe81d78f266a966c7803054f02fe5b8f85", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616910", "condition_id": "0xfe28cb84a714b1a964290d7fd2587e71d57e905678c8ab64488449b24be78e52", "token_id": "79224949855948800840589557145654317659028242814072850811675646040486360279565", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7a53b053104074442eeebe1b2ad7a568be1519daa462432ef2a4cab89b780d20", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "616911", "token_id": "23126031577449775652876745717301519312850542565907124407036782701549610893044", "outcome": "yes", "label": "9 (225 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e37e1695bf243f7aac89ac72e3ef9c7f1401199d60ebd0161bfe2de7aad24167", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "616911", "condition_id": "0x4ec6fcb43fe1a32163c7da09d54a99ab9bf6abdc6fd49939d7ad67d696a3248b", "token_id": "23126031577449775652876745717301519312850542565907124407036782701549610893044", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of cuts of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any cuts made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of cuts in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed cuts rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 cuts (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of cuts becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more cuts have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that cuts between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate cut.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "51456", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e24d79988dfc2c8c9e46f9c7762a2d8fc45896f93fcd94fb2de6b2f8373d6d7c", "event_source_sha256": "d67d1850fae8446f8534587865ea8b22ee6db00f505a7c3e29d10a9e6867b60d" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986729", "title": "Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "d5d060a2ff233ffbc70c9649251b73e341ebd0a7522d5e1085432ad7cb4cd678", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356382", "4356383", "4356384", "4356385", "4356386", "4356387", "4356388", "4356389", "4356390", "4356391", "4356392" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986729", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356382", "token_id": "88484237653291221207173951649659734525986771655345183737386597320149080219967", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "282e34a1506f9fb60822a851928ab6345e237e291534adce946ac62da510e7d3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356382", "condition_id": "0xd62c98603b9ac13d3ce66525233b0f011949f0dbb6be114f66edcf78b6ba72a3", "token_id": "88484237653291221207173951649659734525986771655345183737386597320149080219967", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "75a7b115574f73b918bb2f635c25f1d15a5bca2de91fa17bdb248ec3f68382e7", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356383", "token_id": "15716644589526268124258817193109946943813478486890693259763186174194815877226", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ca6c9ce126df311e17c551e4b7c13bca4b2356e652335758631b6072ca57e393", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356383", "condition_id": "0x42f382ae3ab30435e3376dc68a16e66a48cc018216f0f237296d4ef0d2e9d856", "token_id": "15716644589526268124258817193109946943813478486890693259763186174194815877226", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fceca8bb1b8f82afdc86876334abd8325978329a25dfc4ef38d4cd3f2390d2ee", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356384", "token_id": "45014079694061459499160617664379843311530521035307504009240418456176854758662", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1078977e2a52d6ac532390fc623f5d20e9890cfdf4e11c92a36e5da54379a8af", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356384", "condition_id": "0x4b2504020058038664a9c363bb87991c0666133c41c1133549763caa48a1af47", "token_id": "45014079694061459499160617664379843311530521035307504009240418456176854758662", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "93813e644acf114acb070ae83e174216cab270527e6ff12edd008a0d96cd67e3", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356385", "token_id": "96546227896698919882595142990807044617937767789954966442094112513775483307908", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0891524373f651e86a22550e80a72e4341cff640e23f3d2edf1b377212d331a8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356385", "condition_id": "0x532cb2acd61ffbf42e725ec67651967bd9f483dc883877f4ac7b32e7148f1942", "token_id": "96546227896698919882595142990807044617937767789954966442094112513775483307908", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5d2d30ce3eb4ed957f9d7a48e1a1fe30ae1a02d2256a2f77430179fbd398762f", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356386", "token_id": "112910456326760649945487590459807760186770760240944673954426493123040844484213", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "12fe82e43c28b5d24cb888c460a43944e1ace1a0f89bf8569f32cbc67e7ab8f5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356386", "condition_id": "0x4184849e73252fef36cc0306666aad5bc23928d4b8686cb8cce1ddfd54715f79", "token_id": "112910456326760649945487590459807760186770760240944673954426493123040844484213", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "74600e761bdb7b37256d78c03eb3b0071a16e74344701d61d6f4145b9e756a40", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356387", "token_id": "72472295684579096591639945130755188735574840697482537349773431382558240988595", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8c3cafa30630583d98b00d03e91744f7a8ed41df7235ddf68f9fc6e5caabfad7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356387", "condition_id": "0x429a0bd966943512b23cb961db960e1de4c9bac2dbce4f91f643f7b87b00e36f", "token_id": "72472295684579096591639945130755188735574840697482537349773431382558240988595", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "528f192d4aa43ebbc17d8ee53bb588536e9f231299e5421f1ac654d925348225", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356388", "token_id": "38862425984377720277112547250920614676883535475917687709765006632098304897936", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7719b371f8e569c66bb6e612419bf9fec7ea5f662b670f1e6603a2f53dbdbf05", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356388", "condition_id": "0xe65515841c31ec1577877d1e9558ab5f63da70f7cd2c8b3333fa2683d5ef10a4", "token_id": "38862425984377720277112547250920614676883535475917687709765006632098304897936", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "55e27cbb302d58c0278e767111d534b4918368075e5121888aa7fbecaa91043f", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356389", "token_id": "3113416348962921089328524442452964802576100666303320854055065862098227377471", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "59c38bae71200698dc42824ed90febb2b7e76ffbae91d7a1654cc7ae65fe9287", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356389", "condition_id": "0xa61acd6bf5d7803203033f9381047fcb55b94d9a1ec0ae8336011abf7fa3a18a", "token_id": "3113416348962921089328524442452964802576100666303320854055065862098227377471", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "00fd8c0a37fd000bbab1c9ff5a2348fe6de5bbb36d5cbbcefb6062c586c2f35c", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356390", "token_id": "98482710403958476877265187551720361971275299266566787705509471436866628286744", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4d983971d4c17a4d285de8a393a5ff4ec8156485fa6ba2e8fd870ff0c4d153f2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356390", "condition_id": "0x9864c70d0890797a70ddc17707e669bd104897598caa43a2f35fabb0d01190cb", "token_id": "98482710403958476877265187551720361971275299266566787705509471436866628286744", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a1cb6b91c26e17de624c427220d3ec7d6b18787da3cc6fcac77e5e651b74b6d8", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356391", "token_id": "45015866177568096737591830696519350245770276742737185348216928470144560758422", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eb820a1e9f74596322382c131ef2da38fd21a3c2203b77b1da36232505982ce6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356391", "condition_id": "0x825feb526f8ca491b0553a74a15f4ebf270ca399103964f2347e46e46f7db4ae", "token_id": "45015866177568096737591830696519350245770276742737185348216928470144560758422", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "28dcfe5ad6b003f2329c5e75dfeb633e2cf564020a76a08caf718ad9ce0a9c34", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356392", "token_id": "36743966140997823638007248737721667016413754012524338348349829886107661907314", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d84f51757662c4bc5f029aef322a3d1d5eb286e378dae2bf2812757a04845f86", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356392", "condition_id": "0x10f544298766834660d26571eb4177607a8e34efa3e20e926f0f963d1b8f7126", "token_id": "36743966140997823638007248737721667016413754012524338348349829886107661907314", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986729", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e053f82ace4cf7681d322375da56b56f8ea907f4382dd43552f289c429f90bd9", "event_source_sha256": "9d37ec64dc55c4f1c3f0e5a0da9629efb30ba632c5070157ed3d7db92665e805" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:166435", "title": "Next Prime Minister of Sweden", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 10, "semantics_hash": "712f8be1596ff3ff590ba62ce87f5d8f50114c5516d84e51214f203f03e6cacb", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1193093", "1193094", "1193095", "1193096", "1193097", "1193098", "1193099", "1193100", "1193101", "1193102", "1193103", "1193104", "1193105", "1193106", "1193107", "1193108", "1193109", "1193110", "1193111", "1193112", "1193113", "1193114", "1193115", "1193116", "1193117", "1193118", "1193119", "1193120", "1193122", "1193123", "1193124", "1193125", "1193126", "1193127", "1193128", "1193129" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:166435", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1193100", "token_id": "16223024047489006372491283864322078736180973077611484772976980168989752557591", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Amanda Lind", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d493164c47e47ee7ecd7d64ae5962142b084569e7188a0e00a3a7bacd8c8a164", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193100", "condition_id": "0xaae2b16405680de265ba459475128bdb130d280abfb4c92f125010406a5d3a67", "token_id": "16223024047489006372491283864322078736180973077611484772976980168989752557591", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b7026296ad1be321d9ecd0fad855f59f6360375e3535a942ae83f572bb4af0f8", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1193097", "token_id": "81454443807141471628818264376989427346037494847713032539010359279666138415075", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Anna-Karin Hatt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cd462ce2eac4f6152ec510788e697b4f8fbed5ae0a9517c2c667c5d37044cc20", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193097", "condition_id": "0x97c143ba31319b4d271aeebc832cdd8171dea3b52826c4c92096de1aefefa761", "token_id": "81454443807141471628818264376989427346037494847713032539010359279666138415075", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "44dbc74f124762df3df60c0242b2b26d06d6067d844de70ed9bcfbdbca1b981d", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1193101", "token_id": "28176517830787199081924401072020189535005171048570636269331907057010467544445", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Daniel Helld\u00e9n", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "35c667f3efbc05ef7d6604d35dcf18d7e94e74fe3b2095f80f60aadcfa34ec60", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193101", "condition_id": "0x7767ed7d0af1aa72122981cc4347d9ed35b46385d39512ea5d6021da42a33825", "token_id": "28176517830787199081924401072020189535005171048570636269331907057010467544445", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Daniel Helld\u00e9n be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "184bec508f6275a99c4d2ab11bc0fea52bfb595d94036d61a114656565f55faf", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1193096", "token_id": "46694911209504709842407102211694105151918150655785824361504208059495748983717", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ebba Busch", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bc5020fc66d8205a05a5467097063f42455e7278b24dea45b0fae55b423ddf3b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193096", "condition_id": "0xa5b2b9d0e333d50db759139a364c01af812a3db60e5c653b9f959b6ef5d7139e", "token_id": "46694911209504709842407102211694105151918150655785824361504208059495748983717", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9f4db88147232aa22845b5f1be59617a67a7504db529b46fc09f7d7958982a47", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1193103", "token_id": "98060061097780651807171860879548727196866666811981420650799429376583531532134", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "282c510b99e07fcb019419802944ea3fb68b890509978e0a481d4b3b7771b595", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193103", "condition_id": "0x39272d42f01e6cdb493a857022fb8ddf708d91709eb928649868cda8a9ccf5c9", "token_id": "98060061097780651807171860879548727196866666811981420650799429376583531532134", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1f4be2e5dd9b0297971a85481ca4a5aa165f98557556ff14529655bc11e7b60f", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1193095", "token_id": "82283291912489202302595502692326101345632588904573705648995568317366762287152", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jimmie \u00c5kesson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f956d3ad9e51810f6dc794fe6476f45b66e54d5a1e783957ea578657505ea641", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193095", "condition_id": "0x86fa2351e7a9469fd8bcd9a28ad5e300a59c3764747ad1eb7d6248546efbabfd", "token_id": "82283291912489202302595502692326101345632588904573705648995568317366762287152", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jimmie \u00c5kesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e0f7693a8cc4432335b665179a5906fc37325917cec219ac5ba98bbe57958148", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1193094", "token_id": "6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Magdalena Andersson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4866eed30565d324771437769ce5ec187b8e5c9a5ed8c19e1bde5e93b9b4d1c0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193094", "condition_id": "0x58d5cc2bf06a3289b127049239aee051f3b941f219efebbca02d3f50f0eb2a64", "token_id": "6761884778816083542753350539779617201084594664234729655783875952381923983097", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7b099fb15b6186246600b46e8cd79eeafd4a0ae47f0213d8f444183faa22a104", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1193098", "token_id": "90456984939082759426569197949731058493185701412523949062524005061677992609434", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nooshi Dadgostar", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6f02992d4edc2e33fb9f92701ae61b0bc0f041537752736198901db5f5aa11a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193098", "condition_id": "0xe7a2275b0c6b965a7b44d005203789d7dbe2edd352a565793f9460de7a99fd27", "token_id": "90456984939082759426569197949731058493185701412523949062524005061677992609434", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d72e2ac0db329018f726cb314ac9559f2a1343945d9e8816ab73e56d461554d1", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1193099", "token_id": "73303082510342190766222719296890807075370391273752895784553712328433386187648", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Simona Mohamsson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1c07a35dd202fbb2ee252ce1807d2ed9753c920acff6283e7fd96e891defc90e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193099", "condition_id": "0x1fd46f48b97d480c51838d9444b355bad8b3a614e36258d6047fdee078144c60", "token_id": "73303082510342190766222719296890807075370391273752895784553712328433386187648", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7639112f2c5f306cbb8aacfeb5726e636c19db38b3bfa0ae818bea517bc8bbdb", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1193093", "token_id": "19884202204363090591845974364927513432419394537229594683046302661092511466716", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ulf Kristersson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "67f16d415386ab3e5b89ed4d366e883b0323ead73adda94138fca3fa2930af6f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1193093", "condition_id": "0x8a42bb4cb9b9f157b539611f6a8c122388f652570cfc3c07d538e7df2bb78894", "token_id": "19884202204363090591845974364927513432419394537229594683046302661092511466716", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "166435", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "77063e917384750eb319e852873e9b0d3eddb84b57777aa9bb3100215a6c7660", "event_source_sha256": "ab3bf95c1827151d77453913444d73c96dcfdb6cc8013be7230d11ff8c23c68c" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:32228", "title": "Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "explicit_other_outcome", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "3c9c9c3a6782aca11a009eac2c2ac0445b3ddbe6a78694616c03135082ea409e", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "562828", "562829", "562830", "562831", "562832" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:32228", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "562829", "token_id": "70997927349469817841862065582625658840347600365813612622959588796331622340305", "outcome": "yes", "label": "D Senate, R House", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d83724f6048c8d3f4b33273816af264a7d3e80cd89e3ca3ac9e88b9d1bceaf20", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "562829", "condition_id": "0x0808de4f0cfd47947f2d1be51f9a9c52ea0fec76f73a75cfbe79ddec98d8a908", "token_id": "70997927349469817841862065582625658840347600365813612622959588796331622340305", "outcome": "yes", "title": "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chambers.\n\nFor determining Senate control, all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For determining House control, all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. \n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party\u2019s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "32228", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "63dd1dbce52132bec7e7058fabead7c0c8a05af2ab5578e5058ffedd29113dbd", "event_source_sha256": "3652bcfaae78c7fe10201beec001cf272e6d07bfe6d3184bcecfa491d0f4b2ba" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "562828", "token_id": "34722410608062854697106861099776685947172185964394483545370684749662285977831", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Democrats Sweep", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "75536520f160eb63d71567de2942215da63f95ed0f3ecee5aab8d09d248f4234", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "562828", "condition_id": "0x16c63b7cc37f012b9f59ee164ec03877914c701d06d48291ae8d6fc08a088b0d", "token_id": "34722410608062854697106861099776685947172185964394483545370684749662285977831", "outcome": "yes", "title": "2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chambers.\n\nFor determining Senate control, all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For determining House control, all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. \n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party\u2019s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "32228", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6b779291f7808c52d0dd7c844d515b6882c6d4a4522fa1541cf5f5233a52a272", "event_source_sha256": "3652bcfaae78c7fe10201beec001cf272e6d07bfe6d3184bcecfa491d0f4b2ba" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "562832", "token_id": "35477631289241705233759154026285946627439635224019448868888132647783862821489", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Other", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de1afc9e8f97c92bf0c5a464cc41bdeae30417afb21ea522a6492737fbdddaad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "562832", "condition_id": "0x7987a821b8032824f1805ee39eb5dfb8f64603e4e9e673259eb76f82b439fd3d", "token_id": "35477631289241705233759154026285946627439635224019448868888132647783862821489", "outcome": "yes", "title": "2026 Balance of Power: Other", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chambers.\n\nFor determining Senate control, all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For determining House control, all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. \n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party\u2019s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "32228", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ceec94a0c0d2076139efde6321a0172cfdeff2b782f934fead55d27555e9366f", "event_source_sha256": "3652bcfaae78c7fe10201beec001cf272e6d07bfe6d3184bcecfa491d0f4b2ba" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "562830", "token_id": "6302359956133594764084277082169634158291609371270652093164054687145970756151", "outcome": "yes", "label": "R Senate, D House", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "568e617478c5b8835048b1eb3f84220451741a28b9f1f7b159de605559d35f56", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "562830", "condition_id": "0x998bc71817b2d76921d1999ce0f3431cfd5945583667a371280ca2b430b0c06e", "token_id": "6302359956133594764084277082169634158291609371270652093164054687145970756151", "outcome": "yes", "title": "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chambers.\n\nFor determining Senate control, all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For determining House control, all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. \n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party\u2019s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "32228", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "81ad38b3b8f057fb8b29876e8db05da7ecd529b745085007e27fbf4e59c0fa07", "event_source_sha256": "3652bcfaae78c7fe10201beec001cf272e6d07bfe6d3184bcecfa491d0f4b2ba" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "562831", "token_id": "103704141773947678931823410030956181918562062788486034785782641603149828893320", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Republicans Sweep", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "38a5ea3fe82a5d3bcdeb69a7e7216ee6ae8fb8dceda94edeb5e3d93ccfd85989", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "562831", "condition_id": "0xc5eae79d1ffe716572353962eb926b1e3964c500a4880a7a94f58408218ee76b", "token_id": "103704141773947678931823410030956181918562062788486034785782641603149828893320", "outcome": "yes", "title": "2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate and the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chambers.\n\nFor determining Senate control, all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat. For determining House control, all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a Senate or House seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat, even if it takes place after November 2026.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected. \n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate and House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party\u2019s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate or House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "32228", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a03a7eae57eda33e58267f91e920fbdac020d6d044328abdfd1172512fa234c8", "event_source_sha256": "3652bcfaae78c7fe10201beec001cf272e6d07bfe6d3184bcecfa491d0f4b2ba" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:967957", "title": "Elon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 25, "semantics_hash": "90eed6919f9c1a3435bd864dd5f3fd8a926a6a6938973e42ae045ccff3640114", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4237398", "4237412", "4237419", "4237432", "4237445", "4237454", "4237459", "4237462", "4237464", "4237466", "4237468", "4237469", "4237471", "4237474", "4237476", "4237477", "4237478", "4237479", "4237480", "4237481", "4237482", "4237484", "4237486", "4237488", "4237491", "4237493" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:967957", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4237454", "token_id": "96924035465837982624351663869693836250395890416331867119298232359315138972715", "outcome": "yes", "label": "100-119", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6623b89f2031ec3e0956944dd91009f82e7c24ea390f0ad2caf020e72bea4307", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237454", "condition_id": "0x5371650ae135373c0eb94cdc5828d0143a1cfecc75a04fef83392dafa97d1576", "token_id": "96924035465837982624351663869693836250395890416331867119298232359315138972715", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a0041070317b4a7e12a371ab7f115d96de70fa2d12ff9fee407c2a3556ae8d6b", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4237459", "token_id": "30729927239018731136603441390931417622454689021329642025807844285337009455421", "outcome": "yes", "label": "120-139", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ee73e9ef2167824e77c98a23c58d220c65625ae561569ed3f1d8be79b8021ae1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237459", "condition_id": "0x03334475ac38309c4f616d3ba5c383227fe6bd852dc57cb22bac020246d5fed7", "token_id": "30729927239018731136603441390931417622454689021329642025807844285337009455421", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ae64b135a7d0eb99a1243d288b17a01ec5f4b91abe544c5ef0bfb12535076029", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4237462", "token_id": "114761584658868605328390555625895331756476309672614969210014373370275799417845", "outcome": "yes", "label": "140-159", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8b18e30b730bf5cd72701fa5caec87f7ea08a39b217e30170d734526c189f7aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237462", "condition_id": "0xfcb7777dd49505a7fc4c080f5f929fe44a1cbc997b8542281b4022318357a744", "token_id": "114761584658868605328390555625895331756476309672614969210014373370275799417845", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "af1dc26364bba6a1897cff8197a6d4fa90f518e824f1c240bee2ce28ffdd43f1", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4237464", "token_id": "86529620287121119141171369488629670898033982300044709110262344635337180284727", "outcome": "yes", "label": "160-179", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a32e44fa241ead7e5597cfe73c29031b7b35e0e4c5a9118eb226e016521d7cd0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237464", "condition_id": "0x0de4c9146fc5a9d8468b9e8b715294969a6c814bd6786f62d1a3b13736230fa1", "token_id": "86529620287121119141171369488629670898033982300044709110262344635337180284727", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2de77e100d0b91394f9507cc4be364425665670f8616a8b187f0c612bf23d047", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4237466", "token_id": "114063883841008656259693417982724538644229511180554005883119336066247267433029", "outcome": "yes", "label": "180-199", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ab44d4a13909f62071bf33f2fbafe68b6faa528a1816279d6960c4c925dfe900", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237466", "condition_id": "0x9788cc90301a4dbb7be09137a281f03f3f3d442dbcd1b247a903c1fc5d590d65", "token_id": "114063883841008656259693417982724538644229511180554005883119336066247267433029", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "556e2af55a893ec7f26039676d1bd36e4a0684271b3fc5113f21ea235f2c7a70", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4237412", "token_id": "62988589219670048126282827392103839033286327917074794886157620204712520892708", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20-39", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "396b389088f38a0eb2423f509fe92d7bf36b9a17fbeccebe9ba8628928f7a4f3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237412", "condition_id": "0x782f3cd8512acc133bd1473bccf1cca816a4ff8cd43e981c65db0b43a2135215", "token_id": "62988589219670048126282827392103839033286327917074794886157620204712520892708", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0927329327dfa8faf1f2fe125f4d6d35e2b8c38987f22fbbe9faa0a7803f85c4", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4237468", "token_id": "50202145055751022522883701272023629913137656004650996118519929154953683657035", "outcome": "yes", "label": "200-219", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b405f983a4a757b76831da7b2b0037222452b95ce66a6d39c0188e72fa6a78f3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237468", "condition_id": "0xc2954cc6e2daf859e759594b434ae25c8c1f3439def153aec658a6a5435c4744", "token_id": "50202145055751022522883701272023629913137656004650996118519929154953683657035", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "449aca14fd144864b4c735ae09f3481352b366be92720a06a0bf7e202916e61c", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4237469", "token_id": "35882418431242361240336026283955238506729331413040576361570859596485537547346", "outcome": "yes", "label": "220-239", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ead400d1c379b67a47e9bd502f4f97c94bbf4f2970b30c8088bdb549df21692e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237469", "condition_id": "0x7b2e29ed526242f3de42df56d4199bb022dfabbea541c97d1691a559895f1d00", "token_id": "35882418431242361240336026283955238506729331413040576361570859596485537547346", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e177114778427906cc3c2e36dcf49defcd3bcecd9c7b2ad214a4603baf1719f3", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4237471", "token_id": "54391059010117110093273152737504653675550921481474395481412252647829495685398", "outcome": "yes", "label": "240-259", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "49b442fec81f2eb8629ab737584ee0263071d6bec7b9386e4122d913d0f2d48d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237471", "condition_id": "0x20912b9366e1a576d61f3f7a9fbcf9322b3c797c11da16f0da656e1be5f00771", "token_id": "54391059010117110093273152737504653675550921481474395481412252647829495685398", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ef15d5a28a132691634cefda066c928e86210a6f5b3412fb5add537179d22af1", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4237474", "token_id": "69669525403262293092089805401744673535423458091581787758978511498743801994261", "outcome": "yes", "label": "260-279", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9296bdaac2f73f31c5a3fabe51d7138334869bad3c292b3a1e5f11009854fe7c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237474", "condition_id": "0x7d975e70a4eee2d17d79af4aa802ab6b0144b89fd375345c969fc7e325de806d", "token_id": "69669525403262293092089805401744673535423458091581787758978511498743801994261", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9391b8a73e5f3728b18d0ce39f094d44e7b05e43db84a2c59e88d9e377cc35d7", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4237476", "token_id": "77532246409968996314865059237424961416951006216648024384398900343071569439494", "outcome": "yes", "label": "280-299", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "98603144daf7c6c148f9aa09821915c85c26192cd47ab6df4b2e58996e007006", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237476", "condition_id": "0x2c86925fd441518b04ae13f9540c18065defe9c92b0b4e167aad87ee4176c7d7", "token_id": "77532246409968996314865059237424961416951006216648024384398900343071569439494", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "06f48453c527391095a311acff30f3711428f1afe43d7882f387f6e46806f7f0", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "4237477", "token_id": "33723151515979815826513826690354981877356480976946951778006690979929250397027", "outcome": "yes", "label": "300-319", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "706b9475890a7c5ef8482be3ac9b493362aa05d59aaaef2d39a4f2f090203d1c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237477", "condition_id": "0x844cee06ac5f55827d7e9756cb176fcab75bf168db7cafd5ef273ae34d028f55", "token_id": "33723151515979815826513826690354981877356480976946951778006690979929250397027", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "70ffe86b079a2a2782a1c31bf1c8e125aebaea51ef40b8cae91242787d93ac67", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "4237478", "token_id": "98586974271417847080301065041446513070616714922279362392902975626894344420765", "outcome": "yes", "label": "320-339", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8f62a2dce2a80d7f41a324c57d8604104ffe39ced13e52f17372c6b2f67b2226", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237478", "condition_id": "0xa4571341aaedf16b61f6013968f486454782d41c7bee0c6cb7bcd24b1b8a7046", "token_id": "98586974271417847080301065041446513070616714922279362392902975626894344420765", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8da02cf6c048c2cf65bef0451080c06ee58ec6157e9892a94e011f2e4a13daa5", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "4237479", "token_id": "96397680792194190352074901933707837229182026690676181160623932530627246627732", "outcome": "yes", "label": "340-359", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "02fc21d150f69d3db863cb5d0e4aff504f52d377d5f2e667cf006f9cb4dc5e7d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237479", "condition_id": "0xd2d27663b36a216aba253d2b5e970d2be1d025fa190ead9979547493acab50f0", "token_id": "96397680792194190352074901933707837229182026690676181160623932530627246627732", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "419490c1382ee6eccb3f26d44252374f9110a461a68b8c1d075a597f5e9b4a46", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "4237480", "token_id": "6539398382810052705320621722656642431125895090090666327064704095819783360243", "outcome": "yes", "label": "360-379", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f1ab17b9941386301868169ceed0593d9c4ddb4578b221f07e7b29c586d3a223", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237480", "condition_id": "0x7a12ff1788e9966b08e7d1ea84e8252204fa6bfe8914c9f1d99a56c12b2adad1", "token_id": "6539398382810052705320621722656642431125895090090666327064704095819783360243", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "493111547d0d279097b9b97f24132a11f5963086a053377d65c641b5ed24d59c", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "4237481", "token_id": "30430854089207801396568579786267849703632958063991308026636125342584575316340", "outcome": "yes", "label": "380-399", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e0c9652eea2a3360d696cefc959215d18e3dfddf28f78fbddde9844905dcb00b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237481", "condition_id": "0x3174d4a0443339ad68ff6c0c114438337d24992723929ff7840e8614c44f9316", "token_id": "30430854089207801396568579786267849703632958063991308026636125342584575316340", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6abdf8224daf595ad85a458e253dca81a48a84bc775acda9c36d0251a96cbe75", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "4237419", "token_id": "112687346201021490439386432853418045437463187615134469339596125383913298756341", "outcome": "yes", "label": "40-59", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "786fcdcd61ad22b80e13aed22e7811e27e015f8ba740f21608afbf0ae3b86231", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237419", "condition_id": "0x3ce6191cd967d9c1ce9c80d07439ae8b3b72bea35ea0887563be78573dd910bf", "token_id": "112687346201021490439386432853418045437463187615134469339596125383913298756341", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "23addfe1c06f97e080c4f3b217ebb3bad5fd1966b663249281ca62c57dccd45f", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "4237482", "token_id": "92751612838171600991074761865983076300546941719855087279785105255730695532033", "outcome": "yes", "label": "400-419", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "304ece59f3824be980f3f1ef321e010d28c324fda4565b6946596b580126f788", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237482", "condition_id": "0xa06d958dde62761ab992a6b9a5b44ea50b7e40d6f5fdf70283ac6c1443cadec4", "token_id": "92751612838171600991074761865983076300546941719855087279785105255730695532033", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e6e3a70c5f42af620441670bb941eaba505e45ae3b2915223d1701b1d5e0f269", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "4237484", "token_id": "109992451667405651863759425159064816978421470318890081524819095514923538111990", "outcome": "yes", "label": "420-439", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "28c102fea547dde803299eadff58581e959d2daa878a94a860e264df641876b2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237484", "condition_id": "0xa78754b9b6815d7d60335eee0b22024b5d1f20a0b8945a71c95aab77fdfd5b2f", "token_id": "109992451667405651863759425159064816978421470318890081524819095514923538111990", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c816fe05061a18ac2d42a4ec4a0a0d1602e748e3e93cb88e2eaf9268a8ae4a5a", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "4237486", "token_id": "47429465298685498065693237616492402045853444174638800790908607759633193397404", "outcome": "yes", "label": "440-459", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "206e7142e1f7c62badec75d9ed44f8f8486795235c96cd7dd601af5d53d5229c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237486", "condition_id": "0xd53ad328971fcd9aa0e53bd7c6cb76b735aaa33a58aadbd1f7d094e50d19889f", "token_id": "47429465298685498065693237616492402045853444174638800790908607759633193397404", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5939bbc740c5c96e891a3511b2332a1b837d3769e204ac6f876392185100c71a", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "4237488", "token_id": "26800456472189807808350614172621067774572361324883893461094849746464682626918", "outcome": "yes", "label": "460-479", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb6abab4dc02f7b4da077d667b642985a5b99f5ef30ecca139bd6c89101f5a26", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237488", "condition_id": "0x77bdd31c8f17b03c405163f810e9afd269be077b7e546e5bc7716260cd95a83e", "token_id": "26800456472189807808350614172621067774572361324883893461094849746464682626918", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c3c042c2c93d4743581374d0687080512b778600c07eb74b08e9a44855ac9a15", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "4237491", "token_id": "84933822356728880323179391070428264476042171613836838112449533573712515327684", "outcome": "yes", "label": "480-499", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9442956968a3d43558d8a3c74343eeb206c7d35d22585eb1536dc20ba14cea2b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237491", "condition_id": "0xab68cec143948ffcf1a44fc17ce39178635b1e04b40f0218c1cb5914b835e9a9", "token_id": "84933822356728880323179391070428264476042171613836838112449533573712515327684", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "10a36d96dfa13a3409920d720a0409c1bdbfcf5b658eadeb6eb8566378c6cb81", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "4237493", "token_id": "84680339410650303943058236883556491913038383671313488448808827116927120363263", "outcome": "yes", "label": "500+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cc757ca8298867e738b90fbc097f709a0f662dc48ec02aadee91c5dcd4872354", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237493", "condition_id": "0x160102f9684d5f460749a445353d222db985328ab83ed5a73eaca035b7807318", "token_id": "84680339410650303943058236883556491913038383671313488448808827116927120363263", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c395653266dff0bce84a61a610c48da3b6c9eca2c6652205f3c04a9a05cbf1b5", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "4237432", "token_id": "110194372832011880741596574988721450732216498211226578516355233900656371053931", "outcome": "yes", "label": "60-79", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e67c6f359b76ba426771c3fac1f9194c348e89b9e3c7fbb22189c0e6a0cbe415", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237432", "condition_id": "0xfaa06b98ba153273ddbc81884cb0d108651266ece419f1b85f4039bba3d742d6", "token_id": "110194372832011880741596574988721450732216498211226578516355233900656371053931", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b5535f2687436e312a1034c5d8fbd2d80bc08ae13dc0b950ce37c8f189898a20", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "4237445", "token_id": "69374664025312436175431195594455041008214160568852860015191834606486753439459", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-99", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2db670a16eadb112abd52b0b74cd14d3b5cc798b1a0a55cf0a1dff139cc03e77", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237445", "condition_id": "0xedadaaa789a1f7164571f859158c896db15ce42c64a6443856d6a0893845a054", "token_id": "69374664025312436175431195594455041008214160568852860015191834606486753439459", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 8 12:00 PM ET to September 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967957", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "610b5e015a36e33d85677c976fd534ccbf2d4065b199c96435349bbb5eff6305", "event_source_sha256": "149c6d78221a92c5a1c3e8999a95b4b64344ddca2aa95ace1d225b6537e91e2d" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:204972", "title": "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 18, "semantics_hash": "8063c4723157e7e806124de26d266f43ea461d2748b6c6fd3695d8c0b2d52cee", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1365853", "1365854", "1365855", "1365856", "1365857", "1365858", "1365859", "1365860", "1365861", "1365862", "1365863", "1365864", "1365865", "1365866", "1365867", "1365868", "1365869", "1365870", "1365871", "1365872", "1365873", "1365874", "1365875", "1365876", "1365877", "1365878", "1365879", "1365880", "1365881", "1365882", "1365884", "1365885" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:204972", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1365866", "token_id": "73782660467554965374169421398916491950927878048754269104726859394021414994290", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Aldo Rebelo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4a104a803e36097e74fde43e4634ff50e7b4d3b2c3d3e2ecb1a45c92406feb94", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365866", "condition_id": "0xb7703a974306001b283bc071234f1f04c832e793820ba284788e688d305201bf", "token_id": "73782660467554965374169421398916491950927878048754269104726859394021414994290", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bfd0ff3c5f57f21f0936240da99a5a1a675ce53d65a356326d7d0601e398daa7", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1365870", "token_id": "75728678012125693725825218372405149633405183480387094320873300717760191170651", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Augusto Cury", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e450a0e5bfe48d7158e07c9bed502c6a8e39fc502cc20cfd296bc282c1ad9fb9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365870", "condition_id": "0x7b2fbaa6995a068aae8fb08a44f406297f50ce738b34afb3d18fda96ae23643a", "token_id": "75728678012125693725825218372405149633405183480387094320873300717760191170651", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "85129bff61fb27ab0d7609209b17da789a75204fa85910065205b8d0ce7436c0", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1365864", "token_id": "2501107153963268281942035041037528214870417801204824857715972358420826737525", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Camilo Santana", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1a275721ef3f8967b78bd597ccdf52edb208ca551c5628e50cda2cc29085bc72", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365864", "condition_id": "0x8576ba0a2bbe51db4f61c513059475a09e0cb0bd754b955fce0ddc7793ffa08f", "token_id": "2501107153963268281942035041037528214870417801204824857715972358420826737525", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1daa5b5c7ae3496dfaa1ec79fc56bbc4564bef69ef6c234dbd487d241d8a25ee", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1365858", "token_id": "78774274724875388178403046699851136533744251110544224042871134690136814270663", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Eduardo Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f9bfa7bb57ecc014af989b5f75c38b17e6330c6eadaa38ea929affdcdd273f82", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365858", "condition_id": "0xca31cf97c3beadd7e4002b6c9b9d787164c26675f915b65fb1ce9fb858b8e20c", "token_id": "78774274724875388178403046699851136533744251110544224042871134690136814270663", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c6895890c31022f9ebab55dbe538403ac8ea891255597d5d9e405ed4f2b62b7d", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1365867", "token_id": "3857433689191750929372526494085053375351187588061258674174285931676269992527", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Eduardo Leite", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "16dbdee6d9c11d00014aded0b750765294d830bf57854f672c254ce64e674fb2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365867", "condition_id": "0x45933d8382439be6ffbd714ffc412d549e9ff5e58cc0c4165b68cfc41a897c64", "token_id": "3857433689191750929372526494085053375351187588061258674174285931676269992527", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9c89dd653fe3dc6f2ceb34c5f7aa3f8f10249a07a2769cde456755cc797a687e", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1365856", "token_id": "43401707698084567428952104543307143736192808401383569468543634607641861802704", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fernando Haddad", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f542d23f854d2a740ad2f6b37ee15659edeb1f96151d8c8d8f09a41e71e82ea5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365856", "condition_id": "0x0f8a16fa8809127bc86712e24cea9314cf1eb000c69150ff01b9f10f166903f5", "token_id": "43401707698084567428952104543307143736192808401383569468543634607641861802704", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5a2e61656a0cb4a9712fac966de9edb79f5c7272000c698f66383a7147ed2e8b", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1365861", "token_id": "49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "16f527d447e8683f0c6a346926f2bfad31bfa9463dd3c6053637050fbf7c7d00", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365861", "condition_id": "0x6114306f724135bd1db2f5f3169386decf18f618653c196ef0a6c1afd27f4c73", "token_id": "49821065181473419798146957267480015506102711160660718636601116902870701340131", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d5074a5b0b099d21ff9ca1f5fbf39c3f76a840f3d5a3d82b53e64ca688fca320", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1365865", "token_id": "100647140845022421372197923820844978928757465820355118741468398091991301752614", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Geraldo Alckmin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "daef10a7bb06b3ea88a56c6f4dde03809d208e1a6a0a4114a349e98d074d0b7d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365865", "condition_id": "0xce4c63006ae8c2690d9da01aff225c4ff9258a9722a86ffad4bb7964d20d0bc3", "token_id": "100647140845022421372197923820844978928757465820355118741468398091991301752614", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9051b977d9159ff63a3a824c06e3ee8235551ff5305ff3813ce5a00630da8a21", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1365869", "token_id": "106668975761330270515771342419617310966435345191219965467949358265004206634577", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Helder Barbalho", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2897b80e48281297c67551bc40b76dc93d8cbef76db9a3dd17260bb9ea5a9435", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365869", "condition_id": "0x2366a6b980302d1a20c47d3bf5a2ce1d86a488197b83730554aab7d9c96e72cf", "token_id": "106668975761330270515771342419617310966435345191219965467949358265004206634577", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b8730e0c9a284cd931962748dbbdb1bfdf3f686403a429eb144cd7cd1d8e7ca7", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1365855", "token_id": "83876793336180326706196874280359054202939399660278096295476103143222298663644", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jair Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8e11a6f2e91d7873df61e185762f3c8ce7698203811632db5d166898dc20cad5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365855", "condition_id": "0x61fc517c2b0d6f945868070a3ac722bfa35f07154d34bec2f9bfe41436098bce", "token_id": "83876793336180326706196874280359054202939399660278096295476103143222298663644", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7bc07107441b47bf73f1daa14088e1a48528e925a9a91067d97f7e5719b284ef", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "1365854", "token_id": "109856098174983029722649567789098297237073018943808237804563416414463140161494", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "10769c018144231a3fd5aaff755dd1a2daed6c0480df9c8d76f10cbab7cb15fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365854", "condition_id": "0x8ee27c276a1bee094293751285d8a6697674b023196cb21fdd14bf3ca12f6ec0", "token_id": "109856098174983029722649567789098297237073018943808237804563416414463140161494", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "01ca131b3490543ec766d0111e7dbaa4206b98b0745917000504412e5219640e", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "1365857", "token_id": "46016593873997340258679724205324373176224812313655314178053388989396764209886", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Michelle Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b8aa55ec271ee3c0774f01e52410238aa4f82890276a8a19c2b55222dc4d499f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365857", "condition_id": "0x000e7d579cf57fd0b8428656d385c57f3c6e7f8e5ffe9b7a9955fa2ffd2cd260", "token_id": "46016593873997340258679724205324373176224812313655314178053388989396764209886", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6ccf65034e1bc7dc16a3ae924267a15eac48f8620f1550265aae7bbd260c4ade", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "1365859", "token_id": "6499888178060809648681651117884070785761343371629912968631048884446465281536", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ratinho J\u00fanior", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c033ab411c15093c41c97cfc4cd0058588e46b7690b0a9652c9e6a76afebc0a7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365859", "condition_id": "0xbc08327dd1ef7486e5f8bb3e662b5d484518ae891a39b6893cbb02f3119ad018", "token_id": "6499888178060809648681651117884070785761343371629912968631048884446465281536", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Carlos Roberto Massa J\u00fanior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "986379132e428725d40200cbd4eb359b49490fc302dd62cd743d89fdae0c4a27", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "1365860", "token_id": "17281846673721797872676200679500341356941280903768395106563553424335510148596", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Renan Santos", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7875e9c379d7821af6d0cee7e57fcaab0042f107d030883555f705eb3af77703", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365860", "condition_id": "0x83030b249525db4c0bcd83a915776442f4ea32d2fba10825fca4abeb51512d8f", "token_id": "17281846673721797872676200679500341356941280903768395106563553424335510148596", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "43eee6bc5bc3c19ffa6d1569f3ee323b88d2d44ada9df0378c3e38a00515ee30", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "1365863", "token_id": "33120079315672925103019754502941180281339745524857289202950301940888637884529", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Romeu Zema", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a8f88b6ef68e6e4fb5e1c448ee72db64a427928bef5b044ce9ab78327bc7fd2e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365863", "condition_id": "0xa68adbb0fedef76cef5c6e1ab2c2027704233fc5b6389037eb4d3565952892da", "token_id": "33120079315672925103019754502941180281339745524857289202950301940888637884529", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d36a0f5d78786cc65d6b46abe516c9b7066bcc1db11d2393c40137ae4ce4feb0", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "1365862", "token_id": "96410334963636722955423607584767406044469608220941769303770962314672696289162", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ronaldo Caiado", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b72e652bea88fc1e20418fada32227f0309375dcdc1d6bd53075bce9c7a1bb28", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365862", "condition_id": "0x1991f63d7497ae667a9b78932ec8834ee411bdce4272b5fd42a1cf9f05cca1fb", "token_id": "96410334963636722955423607584767406044469608220941769303770962314672696289162", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "541c2dd17d58b16071eed1c6cddd07052cad2ce7b0ef7def6648cb698c22048e", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "1365853", "token_id": "6074730652236363232062392177852837468646646517333194016258587234210162040868", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tarcisio de Freitas", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "83444319284b76388f59b5c3f98d562674ed570ece7cfa9428abece2f61ccf75", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365853", "condition_id": "0xfe963a6028277fed1de25b6ca8f640bc7c028e4ef0d0e4f4ff4f5daf5f9ae824", "token_id": "6074730652236363232062392177852837468646646517333194016258587234210162040868", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1526111bc70b33744903f8c0b6b1e236ec8e926c93db324f45f9af0c6bf54efd", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "1365868", "token_id": "34627033339089799648488362851420954182098601277414632412441293328075890478329", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tereza Cristina", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8463504c2b2f5de05a559447fa652012efddb885a14d09b21d77d53c44451558", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365868", "condition_id": "0x178b80b71955607500875f59a6bfe67bfac7428f4650cb3d219f1f81bd5d7d5f", "token_id": "34627033339089799648488362851420954182098601277414632412441293328075890478329", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204972", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2c4564746f788d51718ae30cace13c4cd8cf7c12db659650d48ecc8d659d3a3a", "event_source_sha256": "1dba9e803e71922e6eb7751bbbfb85551e4d2ca483dfa584a939625dd9207471" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986709", "title": "Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "9aae8ed2d9cef4a316e4db374fe5010852c32949d7f3a3987020cebccafb9b13", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356242", "4356243", "4356244", "4356245", "4356246", "4356247", "4356248", "4356249", "4356250", "4356251", "4356252" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986709", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356242", "token_id": "92018557819554100324525469936891994763112954500871045243986915597179136074524", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ac4338391c9bb7aabdd2abcb97acd4e59093c0af887ade68706c9f902c7657af", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356242", "condition_id": "0xc453b97e4e7fe78aca4c675cfad38cb9c8a842c91f064a66ae685f9fff31517d", "token_id": "92018557819554100324525469936891994763112954500871045243986915597179136074524", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8010588cdbf7551b4e5cb51fddb2500e9ac8d7bd330759fab7f76eb19553a419", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356243", "token_id": "21618152716630733501914438337330341101898060835857491071249438833923199378422", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3b5ef3c467d20fb4564e714f5e1dab1175fa3d944d326e2c8e8c80118d6b83e3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356243", "condition_id": "0xf889b63bd6de9d2af4be0ab62a74d7f0a8225c7cc5d43fa3450dbc92eaad1aa9", "token_id": "21618152716630733501914438337330341101898060835857491071249438833923199378422", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2f9daccea95b6edfa3fe452c09353c663ff4e036ad826a2e7fe48dbda6338bc9", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356244", "token_id": "84571459385839435694547429041021469189202325950317292996674726701269001975402", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4eedf2d8be733f125d984e1ae8163192c41ed6895cde61e98969a5f2d8cc2087", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356244", "condition_id": "0x901d35e4de8395d687c78d5090277b6f39f2fb2a6b9a8a41eac509fc8920859c", "token_id": "84571459385839435694547429041021469189202325950317292996674726701269001975402", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "911c15f7ab956a85adfe2b326c6c0407b6a7b3cd51ec8c99f96b9525a3d5e80b", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356245", "token_id": "112995792698188001954740172991871739168684607478987703163827597096970750056403", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "01d5a69ca469182174e92059c9445fd52d9365d6a6840e1223c58d90876f1bb0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356245", "condition_id": "0x935b99d7fb524469e88d959e1d2bd4dff2fdc722ae41a3a0d8984a3909417224", "token_id": "112995792698188001954740172991871739168684607478987703163827597096970750056403", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "601f0ff1a4d2638ba6c8c762fbaada20596dd67e6b5d61ce9d2f2cc132de0583", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356246", "token_id": "77433953457431230077262049064436071871485800456903343621251842129857106940976", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bf64c72b06fec5f789bf711a4aa4b0871ecb159f9c710e7e4f1b714633e0b40f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356246", "condition_id": "0x05929511511bb95305f2282d6e315dcd5597864692340b75c8e9240dbfb645b9", "token_id": "77433953457431230077262049064436071871485800456903343621251842129857106940976", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "affae1681b0fa91c856b32b8eb79cc15bb394f02e95ef02fd32a4df887d32992", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356247", "token_id": "69459328045429419953311375691238937606899294451297410007535445010516290392654", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0b391c2a5ae21d24b8c0bb899f09c53eba6d91d6350286083610fc97ddd8ea74", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356247", "condition_id": "0x1d2d3c12a351e6846a9e5301bc07283c16625cb56dafca0c1845b0e297bdd2e2", "token_id": "69459328045429419953311375691238937606899294451297410007535445010516290392654", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5e6f4a4652c798e749e7926d5335f6365a3c6bc5b969c799d6f1266345b7b77d", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356248", "token_id": "25874203196430769690384004982600667831341508193440048725334279084137488408315", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "411f833daa86531c79852e1f6bab93e907b35157f9f0725f98101cf83a582e69", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356248", "condition_id": "0x25ae87ce3b98c915c0aa57eab59ba451c0113a7268fe0e4e6c8e9269d496fc7d", "token_id": "25874203196430769690384004982600667831341508193440048725334279084137488408315", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "45bbc0ddfd4234b91f5c339ffb4856d995b5393935122c6a4f925d1e8994e326", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356249", "token_id": "39603419921830284933261942675938073632001724611026755563763692610738822020916", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9a1a0d6a5e9828e717d71289bdc861e9d2549b2d38cfe0bd7cf87be947cfb8cd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356249", "condition_id": "0x15b22bba4d2ef3c6d68854add3af0d79f03237da2aa3d577df34e2f7f5230ba1", "token_id": "39603419921830284933261942675938073632001724611026755563763692610738822020916", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cd2e62282a0e94d69e042057cd435a024a477d535fd83c7764eb19cb173c48f6", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356250", "token_id": "51404424752808761832395750941863517604475533956078732379787432915788777392822", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "89981668a083e1b6696b3064bf530baac8e808b70d914813651de1700e8ae1cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356250", "condition_id": "0xc5e3cfb53b0782af5db12a9d1ffb0831a279faa77af01f1594bb781191dc82d4", "token_id": "51404424752808761832395750941863517604475533956078732379787432915788777392822", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c9d0b1773b1dd24ed681e3fabcecc0715420023afa0165e9b67bb9045d04bc56", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356251", "token_id": "66029032612339616597063893451975872217454976485324973230098792311126330796451", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a20f6a0a243d2efe335ab78089ba34c93b87da89afb6d01158a72d46557a71ab", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356251", "condition_id": "0x64e83f469f308e91501f89a7f68dd1ec711c945c5d0e4cedd6dff61466ef0384", "token_id": "66029032612339616597063893451975872217454976485324973230098792311126330796451", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8cb1c0397a97aaac172473bd4e1d196451f8b77fde3a7755fcecf35248db3d1b", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356252", "token_id": "20293699540064017155310325106868248833422284270399194465838597954169092880857", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0c0f7ec3d2ba779532eb062a6de4516d4f7e86194e875be8b6a1c492172dd1b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356252", "condition_id": "0x7dcb8ba90b08c1f4e70f5dc9912ebde6dfdd8706b1af8211e7290c5af6e3fb02", "token_id": "20293699540064017155310325106868248833422284270399194465838597954169092880857", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "72b3c18fbd6c763fe525992c2552b7b49b29c923740d24a77aca94de0a2cc443", "event_source_sha256": "a7b57e9ae3296d39e5351710a1db9dedf27c19248c7d4a5fa1465cc9db83c9de" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986716", "title": "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "dcb161f208dff9cc6dcaa7833aaa118fe522e955c61f9a9735229364191073fb", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356319", "4356320", "4356321", "4356322", "4356323", "4356324", "4356325", "4356326", "4356327", "4356328", "4356329" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986716", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356319", "token_id": "82797205477400966522126766051972438542208685501127859070725688226747454119007", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "103bde8837154dde6ffdac1c6d4dbdf4ff5ca96a26a963f8002b523033f0d298", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356319", "condition_id": "0xe936232e6aa515d57210bbe169e1d8e58b1b90ce0105837801362447882b576c", "token_id": "82797205477400966522126766051972438542208685501127859070725688226747454119007", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "45dff401a97a6779ec4754435076f02681619ea66278a606e3fa254e3508401f", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356320", "token_id": "91201411526410551988373669027090788667099924713239990651156136409353738664070", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cff37623f940d13e04243d376aa26f08fed23daa361aa2c9af2d9582861b9f7c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356320", "condition_id": "0x260dd0fe42e5c15c8fea66e8d100140607f05d5dc67386f6a28b7190819886ad", "token_id": "91201411526410551988373669027090788667099924713239990651156136409353738664070", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bce5735c880732a2be9919d4e9c729f5f49e85aba6a0692d4684dc3e178ad022", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356321", "token_id": "77976847109644397860177169605498867295373704749348536481756888733969511819761", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "042368d52162ed9bd02d6735ac8dd9687b8f6ab117290f9e23c89f061b5003cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356321", "condition_id": "0x2eb13e5f6f903744e7bf0a60fc0c3d8eec919ea98e5ca33e3dc2202b17510b97", "token_id": "77976847109644397860177169605498867295373704749348536481756888733969511819761", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0419067c2659c87454f100e07407b0bf21dd4d4c13c6fb2a0f4527ad5ef78b7c", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356322", "token_id": "44022072897655973568412669765782081509276831264223156873648171954008719929697", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "82b749e3af6bbccab0b3045947980389ef3cb147ba9e4165689586085effe7c4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356322", "condition_id": "0x40ff97ee47c24376db547efd4c8b2b850517c65c6e818fd7fb88265372dc9a72", "token_id": "44022072897655973568412669765782081509276831264223156873648171954008719929697", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4f4ebc943e72f4d7af51a8f02e4f2bc11a8f5b744caff9af8d17a7c8f14a7c8e", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356323", "token_id": "19673752813969929545900125943137564029641905861856775647282666787252304348840", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb9c998b9231fbc06edb1e79b723b67c30b6af8be9097c73436df1d1bab3162f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356323", "condition_id": "0x12995bdf53e30de544b25e461134105161deff0b43afe79a428d97c91da1ea2b", "token_id": "19673752813969929545900125943137564029641905861856775647282666787252304348840", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "531fd3098faa1b0a2e7f5ce923d187c9d16b2003d2f22f2e52b6ccc8d8efc335", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356324", "token_id": "55367193266259659736093742789899333885665767084678383970951956998800911515116", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "73d35f3044948bfc1ed572fe19a7267a0fe095496e03606d1cf0c89eac1c472a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356324", "condition_id": "0x4acc4551fbb5683919f1b8bd4bc13dc0970f81880c15bec3c520ecf63af96926", "token_id": "55367193266259659736093742789899333885665767084678383970951956998800911515116", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8a9b23980c2ccae165bec4a0f730440733322df5ab5c88c6aa2768f530094780", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356325", "token_id": "1362856560777666368438680868206625588791564096939603017943589402693395098686", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "25fb41212ec9bb10ce286ea3e12f56e9ad6300295b7c18d95d76b14c7ab0222b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356325", "condition_id": "0x06183095b48219889ba6e1cb78648e67c1cd95dcd2f89356ad84f46b2c4ee060", "token_id": "1362856560777666368438680868206625588791564096939603017943589402693395098686", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4fc0965c174f06a0f53606ec5472bf31ace0f8641c3c71b1889381588a459cd9", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356326", "token_id": "22503547258188687980909503395657044880213157308356753139730209655664320707098", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4a181e44f5b8f6acd65199d2e3aef90e08bcca4927548d1db89054be79b86bd4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356326", "condition_id": "0xcc6d1083e476997143c1b22c69bd47ac554dd94dc273dac241a2dfcc7c6d70cf", "token_id": "22503547258188687980909503395657044880213157308356753139730209655664320707098", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "54420b75a796f44281dcadb2e008de674a01d798f9d889b17d781036acdc3d8f", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356327", "token_id": "3997527101968602089862462152072853955718729341435102290023949789035612208445", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7cdfc3aab1c0280830f7f4044851c97507ad2f63c2889cee111d02c6cba2b577", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356327", "condition_id": "0x5cf0e83a8e136b571534eb5a2e092f0cfde4586e33eb7aca934725d92cadbadd", "token_id": "3997527101968602089862462152072853955718729341435102290023949789035612208445", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "063eb8a0f52152e8f7613295bec6f662d7cd0cab479ecc085d241fb3fe3a59ac", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356328", "token_id": "12800544802105779935804043793096946064013396334050848921661353170836937990892", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b07dbdec6c0404db03c24cc4bc64a6eb20bb50aa96279cbea2908b24b4bb18fa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356328", "condition_id": "0xb02b498575f078aea65ec7e082b9e3ee06d10ff4b56538e8c64bdada55f06b3a", "token_id": "12800544802105779935804043793096946064013396334050848921661353170836937990892", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8875f5621c8fc0c9f782ed2be60ff077d7f6deed641c00ba8385ace736895e0c", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356329", "token_id": "79010013429912531843012606486224753982495564757141952264359443606187150264403", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "38adb220c6ad3fc8cebda58bd7095c71cb01168ce7cae8fb912241cfb631134e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356329", "condition_id": "0x5c44f103ea1f9ee6232efc4fc1e80ee4e494b43d6f24a58c48262337d7cc0a54", "token_id": "79010013429912531843012606486224753982495564757141952264359443606187150264403", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6d7c5e6faa885c87e6567f334315dd9b2562d2efe499946c55656107357e2676", "event_source_sha256": "ff4e1caac5ee1ea4632da28e73169ca26e6ee66060d1a1ab283bdd9d9e79a9a7" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:74056", "title": "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 14, "semantics_hash": "1c45534d12eb1ac00810dc7b5531a5e11bcec9aad48c99fb34fd56186270ac0c", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "667076", "667077", "667078", "667079", "667080", "667081", "667082", "667083", "667084", "667085", "667086", "667087", "667088", "667089", "667091", "667092", "667093", "667094", "667095", "667096", "667097", "667098", "667099", "667100", "667101", "667102", "667906", "667907", "667908", "667911" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:74056", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "667085", "token_id": "49294129153368227724589487358129709815623656965346925920887096680145412557878", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Belarus", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2d9935a6e3966470f8f2c007d282dfe5b7a7b83c84c502e828728c34fdc9e184", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667085", "condition_id": "0x9be876deca1f731ffec4d0927bbee7ec6d32ff4ac3cd1b9da8e167cfff48d26d", "token_id": "49294129153368227724589487358129709815623656965346925920887096680145412557878", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6a1d12c66aeda2318cea9e03f646fe10fc0b344701686965c6a278706c266e03", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "667080", "token_id": "61321874302294143810411104328163398094317999645113570399923526983989301536597", "outcome": "yes", "label": "China", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dcabfe089290c908fab61bbe7e770743c5ac24aaccaa5d650e61b150c4cef91d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667080", "condition_id": "0x1219cce4580ec8af8b9e927915de1f46daf8109d88696f3b6295f45384f714a4", "token_id": "61321874302294143810411104328163398094317999645113570399923526983989301536597", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e88e81c899463a1e63d331fe70e90f342ae3d5fdef882dab2a959cfd0ab8694a", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "667084", "token_id": "48029706520476920867563191720905390205436907688048088297110780903632004868682", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hungary", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a7daca4237ac9c9900cfa64bb312e64fbe713ba161fafbadfedc9e5d202ac88c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667084", "condition_id": "0x845a789f597c2cb7d77ca8423923136a455b55b96fefa1fc6d270f5588e7f733", "token_id": "48029706520476920867563191720905390205436907688048088297110780903632004868682", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "baa24dfdb4eb5fc994648a1e6ad33af19649b9c852373e8190cdda2f2a5bdcac", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "667089", "token_id": "70655523015278409559354665275052252005700696038068181663770777643620619790723", "outcome": "yes", "label": "India", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "99de3f2f7031de88b3e8d4cf463a9d26228f0a5d8e1f02f7f32d2492a384b270", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667089", "condition_id": "0xfa0f936e75c4ce0039812a8cf4739f83639a0a37814766d9e409de5142fe468e", "token_id": "70655523015278409559354665275052252005700696038068181663770777643620619790723", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fb86c0f6ddf92950dbf3db9a071de658382b383ff730e6fdaaff3e27e827ac6f", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "667078", "token_id": "79870642522472738294477480164450071777573982117460225753874363249153327726105", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Italy / Vatican", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "89a6396ce0f119a5265944866f88f76a6ebd1098fd9cbc74597319de24552571", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667078", "condition_id": "0x6bcb37adefc4a275c171263cdad3bee4736714d0afc0d3cf0fc24178ad5ac7fb", "token_id": "79870642522472738294477480164450071777573982117460225753874363249153327726105", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "245fb4a3a23904b7f693809ac0c0924b51c759aa829a57fa9ce8ce741482ce48", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "667091", "token_id": "54237553451748254358716138432515796896116382531843965080824241132102523930557", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kazakhstan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2472077d1154fd29abe769b2ae9bce58fbdefb9ee3a12b1928254f3a9f3eb737", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667091", "condition_id": "0x97a6320c3f3491e370dc6f8db2f40f79ad0da9063ad2701e6b2a002a8973b824", "token_id": "54237553451748254358716138432515796896116382531843965080824241132102523930557", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3bc0df5c71cf2b298e0d0de73e5bb1168ddd8576612d70e36edd58e34af36f66", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "667086", "token_id": "79785869153488116125585882351533672227064414203253987761686968264163478391224", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No meeting before 2027", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "05de2ccdf533a7fc0ff0fa77301f97bc53d6e0f627f2dbed21da194caabb1288", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667086", "condition_id": "0x032e40c71875723c5878c4385458f17aa5a6e90f6bb5c92fd75cf13a5a8ea3d4", "token_id": "79785869153488116125585882351533672227064414203253987761686968264163478391224", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "47637dc392a8fe86c9c0f1ba2a48e4093845366557ebbce0c84373b833a8d137", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "667081", "token_id": "109978165881504539790995975219191515813497149711080814601448321686789281233788", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Qatar / UAE", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7781a85b657e6f94cfadba2f4d61ea4917370d68e3a6a283e3af9cb1c1d6947c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667081", "condition_id": "0xcaa2b510d78465a714297b9f7ef577f4556ea08013173f18d5e9e58c6c18430b", "token_id": "109978165881504539790995975219191515813497149711080814601448321686789281233788", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aacde052acba64b060ef38efe2c2663e255b761fb033e1a6acd844c963a34908", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "667077", "token_id": "85717751679598035967545890807383026012313403982356691287276105909111743342417", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Russia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a5e6659c000c688bfb5c02812d94665be78ab6e3115ad390f427dce10c6a107c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667077", "condition_id": "0x6e003c15210b25e867931fdf51d3c2de23d4d9b17c69f7e1701ba45aa871f4b5", "token_id": "85717751679598035967545890807383026012313403982356691287276105909111743342417", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "305d1596b7c6cf0164ad5698e70c902f6c033c1af6072eb7fbe774ad741380fe", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "667082", "token_id": "44554681108074793313893626424278471150091658237406724818592366780413111952248", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Saudi Arabia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f30e16df6f7bbc8533eb277fb30942cf5a62d2112f64cf5c58ca885aa7cf346", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667082", "condition_id": "0x00000977017fa72fb6b1908ae694000d3b51f442c2552656b10bdbbfd16ff707", "token_id": "44554681108074793313893626424278471150091658237406724818592366780413111952248", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f0356d696d3f41891c0b64b43a81934b03c57824e2b1253d59310c5fd40cdec6", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "667088", "token_id": "97896651713834698705942666525038524840160368359889800727554470817302423856103", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Switzerland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aa9e4aca143834fd1fcb10ad726825daea368e9d3931c871850e3719f5c927ed", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667088", "condition_id": "0x674c0894f8992fd36943cc88b4cbcc90cbd8fac9ae3b78a09df634632c23d393", "token_id": "97896651713834698705942666525038524840160368359889800727554470817302423856103", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e4b394d3eb2e07a41d48bb7bdba82c3c93ef4356eb155d0f58c9a0b0cffded87", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "667076", "token_id": "26880262286353559461109525615512763357587866035194597494489295218957286731245", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Turkey", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "392ddf60de426fbef607fc011959ee08348f17232af9e4d481c9792f3065f28e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667076", "condition_id": "0x9af4aa93abfc53d756332ea0ddc4f65377bdd21ee7b979f0a5e5d4b4d3a164c4", "token_id": "26880262286353559461109525615512763357587866035194597494489295218957286731245", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b02c63e4f753701a94dc953ee9912445633381fb6eb6e3859e7e2680579dae41", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "667079", "token_id": "73239672811767063016910396680870532467341723524995779471503316104927396057871", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ukraine", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "754f550910240ba780fcfc385d5725a4558753a8af089640d8513b782de79ad0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667079", "condition_id": "0x5ae264c7a5977df65eca569e84f83aa52922bf9465f23dd69bc8b0b4a27fdf3c", "token_id": "73239672811767063016910396680870532467341723524995779471503316104927396057871", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6118d0ba487963372224da079696016c124376a1a9a4edd7b6676d927beba3d2", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "667083", "token_id": "39581938955138309676871380692496293004215000761155903816599275664457268284697", "outcome": "yes", "label": "US", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8db5486c436ef02eece9d36afb52053b1d18f0eb160dd9d83b8a26368f82f432", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "667083", "condition_id": "0xa8431dcd774084bb9a0192f064efa8cbe2bbd9e41b3863c7667a5c8b0cb99e84", "token_id": "39581938955138309676871380692496293004215000761155903816599275664457268284697", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to \"No meeting before 2027\".\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "74056", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "052850d0ecc10655a95b01f9e436b1594e86a1d8405d27473d17066da6fb6644", "event_source_sha256": "3232109d22d56e048dc42f9771e17d08f47c79a0a4e5f59192ea6cc879c36589" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986717", "title": "Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "85dcbedd0255de35fb60ef76ebde8216986231782da99707a548e709b8cb370e", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356330", "4356331", "4356332", "4356333", "4356334", "4356335", "4356336", "4356337", "4356338", "4356339", "4356340" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986717", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356330", "token_id": "30960945982032274078027555086412080987517732891286182070286275786950213758004", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "daa957dc55c6a8aea742e9b31201fb551493c80372f89c99b7003bfad0f88af3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356330", "condition_id": "0x3c889755d00367a28afddc5cb2aa7976bb2a3348869ef6750e5b34df6f17be19", "token_id": "30960945982032274078027555086412080987517732891286182070286275786950213758004", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "171a0e7f5f1072e9e0136347b6e27859faed8745ae5594ea3e41b8ea286ff787", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356331", "token_id": "76964542330951356928007925183286952808578265867250698801101577615108357504382", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4cc0acdd33af7b9a04e4ff54ffcd9566c3ff0a42448783f91d6b0bc1de30f5c2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356331", "condition_id": "0x91f69ba3b6e5956c08c6ba7ba5a2fb7064c5dc187b8e36a7504df34624b4d049", "token_id": "76964542330951356928007925183286952808578265867250698801101577615108357504382", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c170cdf68677bc186faccd4a62292051531edac49a0d0b9da769c39b9ee6ccf2", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356332", "token_id": "77554788085598697116212364941347816137185707032677137754254357928394122920763", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1d2451bef4ef6b33e7b3f0014b25ca708a71400b9e2002f4d4a43d248a587b73", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356332", "condition_id": "0xa1f536cba14e232412aca4908c8c5a36cd373867311c395ee9157b26e0bb75a2", "token_id": "77554788085598697116212364941347816137185707032677137754254357928394122920763", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ebe7190be29557afcb77f63e3b9b77435cdad2b646acfef47367616768fa6e9e", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356333", "token_id": "14313782066534017569814638872393450474368459574410211742577164284952283050802", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7ffd973970188f3697e576a11faf8ae20aa99be498d53dc3bec1063568a32197", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356333", "condition_id": "0x7ce4b99784494a5ae84d3ad154fbd187c2143d4a2361042b90b0cc00f1b8c39c", "token_id": "14313782066534017569814638872393450474368459574410211742577164284952283050802", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2e7971bf974205f1cfd606f2631dbfc3fc68b32c546a018cb7a307e07cd5f10b", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356334", "token_id": "82789811977970046721426278023849651486771729411564858072446951078649621455301", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8708f5448b381e3ce78a3992d13d97194ce1c3e01974955b5e633c77bf020ab8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356334", "condition_id": "0x2a4f04a114f0ba9036e91919cae97b37cd6895f505d3c16363ae316c58c0e3ff", "token_id": "82789811977970046721426278023849651486771729411564858072446951078649621455301", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "75e1a8295ecb161ba902e8889f77474822a86ef0b14e094511c14173e32dde23", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356335", "token_id": "112054309426775883226584131616340047916920831120737285519928305289388360269651", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "870015b65b700015a1ba9567d252871b0e60bdf860f8abced705a37771c5f299", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356335", "condition_id": "0xd0c015d3b75b43479a26aa03da2855ceee50c30c9cdbc295c230f795a90f284c", "token_id": "112054309426775883226584131616340047916920831120737285519928305289388360269651", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f1b54bda2d62b62f2bfeb3048016c160be09568bdd219432a9aae53020fd7b6a", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356336", "token_id": "60071711894514049836048561754330518805418158928015198912330263810944926850676", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fd53a6fc63841ef03ee93ae32da69a727b8d4810065f594de1e5db1cbf4d61bb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356336", "condition_id": "0xb035281939f5e117741980d3f9e5708c7326850800ffa5948c10bb5f101546e2", "token_id": "60071711894514049836048561754330518805418158928015198912330263810944926850676", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "577385af873e8621524058228e36e9d94cce6d7bc0b8fd7655545f09fabf1079", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356337", "token_id": "110943556836662108332135875978846609365791966002517280763790203342478212784248", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dc65c4d1a515cf54ca4585e57810c6694fc902d45393c647be4221fed9954a50", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356337", "condition_id": "0xb1c1306ccc37b6c0f3ccf4473a81ea9c5002ec0ee5f1a5c553d61cbf7f8fd8bd", "token_id": "110943556836662108332135875978846609365791966002517280763790203342478212784248", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fc6e332525cb0e923702396c3a7b8b1fa93b6698d9f4cdf3d8a5d1c7b4788ba5", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356338", "token_id": "32190494587031137874262388353735185125002014376115837804341360121160597389504", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c2d35537d102d1a4c91535495f59d0f7e769aefa73ee9b4afbfb503d1f0c3c44", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356338", "condition_id": "0x9787db1418c0f32b73b721e5976ad3e84cee137d193abb2e365064a58eef6089", "token_id": "32190494587031137874262388353735185125002014376115837804341360121160597389504", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9662f325554623be178965ab8abfb3e8707c2e54dfcf95032d3fc8ee226dc23a", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356339", "token_id": "111112731204109757841212988524223443226940736664449929754103017402264130949858", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "388645e63b911923a347ca7810b231da526a0546d83a8a572a6aec197a05d926", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356339", "condition_id": "0xbfc41b14ec4546b399034b28286987ca6778250230a41a8a60d1fd2a6d3c6b59", "token_id": "111112731204109757841212988524223443226940736664449929754103017402264130949858", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a4aa83e8add473260e6aa88fa9fdea083b43b9435a438ae4f53343a3abf995a1", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356340", "token_id": "105764045379782108497308162154545887266299330242444941488037382743563136840476", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f493f1e0236c19f80d275aac765020543051cf03039a22ee1c7cd0729c5a8390", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356340", "condition_id": "0x56458b088a23529f10f47cbfee5a5485c11171d554c52b889665f06aed1f1369", "token_id": "105764045379782108497308162154545887266299330242444941488037382743563136840476", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986717", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "29504af18206005db96bd5332d5c9b7f78a58ef3f127989bdfb440cd898f7e16", "event_source_sha256": "93d19157be875707fdd681d27a389cc5b8682a5d3110f980cd21051763be4475" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:659548", "title": "LALIGA: 2027 Champion", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 21, "semantics_hash": "aa28c571a7e01acbd884ac0dc15610cf7791fef8df0dbb908d6d8eb4805d3144", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2771489", "2771490", "2771491", "2771492", "2771493", "2771494", "2771495", "2771496", "2771497", "2771498", "2771499", "2771500", "2771501", "2771502", "2771503", "2771504", "2771505", "2771506", "2771507", "2771508", "2771509", "2771510", "2771511", "2771512" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:659548", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2771489", "token_id": "61127404499122113418296509856304616952314004224208544810194190945525104776727", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alav\u00e9s", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c895dcce51329697af087c46ced59dc7aa16de47f781c4656dc3aa3aa228f7dd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771489", "condition_id": "0xed04fa5fd19346d112662f0eb710ee0b7b9a202c0542faddcbe3c7dfd546cafb", "token_id": "61127404499122113418296509856304616952314004224208544810194190945525104776727", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alav\u00e9s win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5e3f6b777e8a1e9e04ad30f42ed27bbb0d954919039dcec00724690eb1ac25ee", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2771490", "token_id": "114017983786359422603889037533885529892108203453289278096466745309910256617475", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Athletic Bilbao", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "945ad100625e21a12655bbb0159964dcc31a0111a325fbb7c7714691f94ff38a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771490", "condition_id": "0x247ad87d8a38d3d31ecb63da335df50b0809b2928f84cab1104ac9e2a7a0e01b", "token_id": "114017983786359422603889037533885529892108203453289278096466745309910256617475", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "42d547a7d233c6490b08c8dc16977969cd7afc0e6ff87ab918fe8f7926b6eaa5", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2771491", "token_id": "104306566889574124755791577915746121890592516932087427322573979257199835868466", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Atl\u00e9tico Madrid", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "530798b7cd7b0ea7369d063546823e4427d3ff0b3e8b1a5614ab8936042e1bd2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771491", "condition_id": "0x7e6767c8d1066bbf976910ef5ac7873b18e19698b1db77fa36ff83e70a5be51e", "token_id": "104306566889574124755791577915746121890592516932087427322573979257199835868466", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Atl\u00e9tico Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9f880240e6130d12af4bb1c343048934c1b0f6b942ff2ea594430a6feb83113f", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2771492", "token_id": "78000288950683689025029690066756773560403178897442713372002372085573604431292", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Barcelona", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "94c8837a5b157c82630c3b658e18122661ae4a490beec87a29c47bbe4850750b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771492", "condition_id": "0x862081e0d2a682ccb92c39263613f7a287298e7c9d1823d1abdd2b515cff9a23", "token_id": "78000288950683689025029690066756773560403178897442713372002372085573604431292", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1289289687ac21c38da7c19eb41fb025e53d8ebdd1d5ecbc25900d5234c62064", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2771493", "token_id": "10313073926527731061084427866073842487970457164047480167734118236155304952250", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Betis", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aded5fe9032eead2d875526dc673cdf3d912c5ed545816fb2de84c5731ad608c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771493", "condition_id": "0xe24ab0d26fd5ec15620dfc02bb17812c9aa18ad36e31d4ecc26efdc3bea59ce1", "token_id": "10313073926527731061084427866073842487970457164047480167734118236155304952250", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "41ac7bc96ee38cac6d4821547b23b26a0e631ecd6a43385462093f3fe8e850d3", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2771494", "token_id": "62697373450436189008971692805086523587186420161749313274272920658436882132102", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Celta Vigo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "49c4e04e05a7f384230a0c356bb65451391553938c54863f2bc9664b40b9ae3f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771494", "condition_id": "0x591c2ceec5dca56ed5d108b079a57aab75dc99574b3db855f56ebd4fb0a2e2af", "token_id": "62697373450436189008971692805086523587186420161749313274272920658436882132102", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Celta Vigo win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a61e7b92c337ee8bc7542856cbaad403dc15ab9b2c9071eb31634bfb16f2f85d", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2771507", "token_id": "41395045193115370015902004784978378171099862358016741224390183632730189676406", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Deportivo La Coru\u00f1a", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf10dd68e692eaa004c86238328f13b102771426d39c8da267f3ba66bbcdfc6a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771507", "condition_id": "0x119fb40b9e0dd5c52368c0ff907ee13a729b950ee1883a82528516db41f1d0e4", "token_id": "41395045193115370015902004784978378171099862358016741224390183632730189676406", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Deportivo La Coru\u00f1a win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8145d6d945e9c8487de6ad5fdadf0ae6d1b4b5bf4d401c3faec5f06cdf9ba569", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2771505", "token_id": "63417157495196382430996905017121612734673406085574138330923327709663180217752", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elche", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5fe355e20c42fd4328cf583a39e0e0676a0689928cfc05737f4cc19a71105a5e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771505", "condition_id": "0xa04672b03d3407f6ad1176173041102a99a7e2dcba0c3651fc146282ce919832", "token_id": "63417157495196382430996905017121612734673406085574138330923327709663180217752", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elche win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "089f922b3a65f14fa037dca2061d8bd3a704ed258a2497350e11a4831cfb736b", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2771495", "token_id": "23038799501419373036515876628442894408542440525173582527852234161079225982857", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Espanyol", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "55be742f2013d85ed307533750ce02bdd250040ebaac8f5c0d6107e9f923c8d2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771495", "condition_id": "0xbb6af091c36e5e0ef298e071ce5a1a13030d56e1e1e3caacf08667fd12fb7ef2", "token_id": "23038799501419373036515876628442894408542440525173582527852234161079225982857", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Espanyol win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "85c2f1843289922696f1513f70c2d6d4d9b63f54454d772bcbf0c294ecbfca0a", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2771496", "token_id": "91684328161521747986730258685179916401469759070937541594056143376011441940715", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Getafe", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f4d2e90716481b811fbc78acb543dc78e58369b5d1ac6caf4c7fea7cbce2c830", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771496", "condition_id": "0xd1db138d2565b0019644ca97f56f37c7cfbb14945ab2107c4841aabee7e2c501", "token_id": "91684328161521747986730258685179916401469759070937541594056143376011441940715", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Getafe win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2a3bcf9a51d759b68c46560737947cfbfc52e1e5a6d55bdcbebd5afcc2d7de43", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2771504", "token_id": "20472722907092688700638117423141603499690883597155540750680125930393480319762", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Levante", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5a605bd611610cbe568a7b05f93a33ccc7be1dfd3bb216184a03b06d1118f1e6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771504", "condition_id": "0xff133405c6ac97a50d380a77e22402915fd2f9e72bcfedb0bcf46fecf44ba43e", "token_id": "20472722907092688700638117423141603499690883597155540750680125930393480319762", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Levante win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "33b963aca11e38e963fb55627b5a1c6bfc2b8fbe6d05a406b6df910ac9a0d622", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2771508", "token_id": "48850660788872148205146943914158189790959522620610106221822575806051640516419", "outcome": "yes", "label": "M\u00e1laga", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5d9b3eae7c7174842ae04d8e01a5b8bd28118a730cbb791061119f18eefd1d65", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771508", "condition_id": "0xd2ca926320754c47b9b31324c956b2c3352c1bbca9321c9f8e32d61c95580782", "token_id": "48850660788872148205146943914158189790959522620610106221822575806051640516419", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will M\u00e1laga win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7fe6c70a73601ba3668d9ec363dacc86618ca38be00ee7321f7d711cbf53c4ec", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2771497", "token_id": "45821472054224115170466506438119984711319670612588394893766263892668920972840", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Osasuna", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c9d97f23b1379a4420d45ab4b832148e0a1c1e4300299bbcd46d8f0e741e1b8c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771497", "condition_id": "0x926fb4f3b3adcd56e625f6860db323ca2330563104a063b87db9a9a80f2c5f88", "token_id": "45821472054224115170466506438119984711319670612588394893766263892668920972840", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Osasuna win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ed0d6727fe999699518ec1055579d4e77af577eae2d5f6d5635ad78123922322", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2771506", "token_id": "71840571234588363977283925354826500488291892342884137962983153821334517927886", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Racing Santander", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3265eb19712b7dbc1562626b936438ec19de782f78c2471f13490c856d87ed32", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771506", "condition_id": "0x36068d27cdff2ccaa584157c7e9379de90bf50fa7ddcb7e7de17ffd2221c7c1c", "token_id": "71840571234588363977283925354826500488291892342884137962983153821334517927886", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Racing Santander win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "77f166ea3dbd1a84c23737e67f462e0eaf14f79eecc25b129c6a148ca3263c29", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2771498", "token_id": "14834151501367902902814629414291157617362778611016536624855988737349098046069", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rayo Vallecano", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1ec62fd77341d4866be5634e252e514494896bdcf92880334bbd70a316ef3b42", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771498", "condition_id": "0x2d6c33943be44d73e983cab0163d18c52df11e2868266a25bfa0f33b8bbccd7a", "token_id": "14834151501367902902814629414291157617362778611016536624855988737349098046069", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9b155fc1f98159ef7456c42b58f7655793d4b09fffd401a4d2c73bc9c28d516e", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2771499", "token_id": "42357151343332687280234811440515873266579625243133461094036465284179642296484", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Real Madrid", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f88910263633733c730022978c7c8905502b09a1af3d6f502d5a098b6de6217b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771499", "condition_id": "0x8afa174c7b8a579f058e94b58af32d6eea8c5cfe5e214ca735c2f3bcc6ba78af", "token_id": "42357151343332687280234811440515873266579625243133461094036465284179642296484", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "22ae379f59d080217521cf2bf176068b23838a5f7acbfd5ef03a2cbd1fc94cff", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2771500", "token_id": "55425772479710688798295912202614534105139670844610119759346246369439265491082", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Real Sociedad", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a579c6da185a4081ae31cc2281bd096e1e21b33ab96a843337fb14411917bb84", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771500", "condition_id": "0x31864e186dbc1c37d03db5d1dbb13f357119a565704963359e9c3383eb54006f", "token_id": "55425772479710688798295912202614534105139670844610119759346246369439265491082", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c0ae0051026cdee6057f6b0eace0df4fbbd224654dbb3b25830ae31f3aca8e3a", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2771501", "token_id": "35612016242198072428734492254411526590176190680676763180799235711086942662735", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sevilla", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e9d1b8cf8f23a7fd352bb5c33f548d5c0ec77bac4208e22d40786195b28e38ae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771501", "condition_id": "0xa5f529f1f4f5f8c98f3da7319e19a46fabf3d7564828b506f014b16b6a89ea2b", "token_id": "35612016242198072428734492254411526590176190680676763180799235711086942662735", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sevilla win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1cb47b45a6b90a494473d8da70fb0fa2b05ac4a8f8646d2cbf50c47e163246c3", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "2771511", "token_id": "111633517987020864528342944654137706608236983103603121979585653465358681056003", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Team C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a4793e28f907ba0e4e7d7b0073779bcd79c748dbb43e8383e37462dc2a3734d9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771511", "condition_id": "0x1465971378d04728d87dbbb5fe5f1e8a1f3a94c69128abdf983fb19b6f2ff589", "token_id": "111633517987020864528342944654137706608236983103603121979585653465358681056003", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7a2383db3c77e0225c179fd784a7b739e82cc463b3e33e72c1d81c2fcafa491c", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "2771502", "token_id": "113856516411902078133427566368852236833870789727066405019343538788694110761753", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Valencia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19c24d10e981dd6a8ba6934e18667ff11d5314a36b2ff160e9056f56f61aaa35", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771502", "condition_id": "0xbea82581add90f5cc1aae2048a931116b4c6e77c37a7f0ccd1c6d26a54c292c9", "token_id": "113856516411902078133427566368852236833870789727066405019343538788694110761753", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Valencia win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "357f47d63a1f5845f609dac53ecb321f6e236a8dfef7330f5fa6d80beb055d4f", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "2771503", "token_id": "113425062535644332921371280980545220084690407039886754096111209549228191875637", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Villarreal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "40948c6789b6c47ecd51c0a94645864d0b93d6cc171b15c55c384ba28dbcb1d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771503", "condition_id": "0x89bc014b4bb443bb2a47f58e80cf212a78de644f2a5c319f6e587879595367e9", "token_id": "113425062535644332921371280980545220084690407039886754096111209549228191875637", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship per the rules of LALIGA (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 LALIGA season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from LALIGA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7c9297c5bf9eec38a17fea02dc63f69ea002958b3f765bf49e118337bd06b5ef", "event_source_sha256": "8747c36b9aa58578594c455f9a3d702bc35ebcc24f87744d449112f3a6c07b8a" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986732", "title": "Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "4b7109e3eff39087fdf63bb5badfd14f0cecf2106b6bad62128fa9c52edda550", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356415", "4356416", "4356417", "4356418", "4356419", "4356420", "4356421", "4356422", "4356423", "4356424", "4356425" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986732", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356415", "token_id": "73902744322870436676463341620182301284497017546128043566066187872857122694535", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3df19c1ea00f8c3abef36f9db92a5a93332fd290495e0c327f4b2ad147b59863", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356415", "condition_id": "0x2104ae35588a8ba6d12af7bf34e3be0719ad1ebaea45332f72e1481a5b0b88d3", "token_id": "73902744322870436676463341620182301284497017546128043566066187872857122694535", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3cc80558b506cc26bd5715ec70cc8ae311f30d6c53a795de438ea72781b310fe", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356416", "token_id": "60743175779633640503611486165494058648981920046044980312097567174775853519953", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "73a837eebc853b12179a56b9f46b2d76c542f0238369ba66e0337337bb793dbe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356416", "condition_id": "0x8af9d64f8415a8af0284c89e4f3d8e4bf1566240954b0c5e500499f590e626a9", "token_id": "60743175779633640503611486165494058648981920046044980312097567174775853519953", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "aadb3fa08caad95ff5d3b8a9aa51d30f6e0d0b3f334ef6ea839323617462bda1", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356417", "token_id": "108967817638638530551923196902593103151311922600866476930825089897013427756764", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b987c3662ef37f4dc39af3931f7392cc245eeeacba0018c1fddc1665f25e844c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356417", "condition_id": "0xb2c47213239bf33f22a4a59f06cc04cefedb54fa43b309b5a34f8402594c1ae1", "token_id": "108967817638638530551923196902593103151311922600866476930825089897013427756764", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "821d75c14dfaf955e1cace9946184deb1ed042187c82a6dd02d38e35c5346dd5", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356418", "token_id": "5249731451971035102349505126614078025863674174561876854795956692569692763522", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b49277efdb4f493c33e9589a1df3bd02a67d4379596fd698efc351e6c2c861cd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356418", "condition_id": "0x320b56e10354c13c552671e7c78488a5b9fc7956bd1a2dcd34827cfb4a60dce5", "token_id": "5249731451971035102349505126614078025863674174561876854795956692569692763522", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cc55965041d952fa68655c6f701c6a91b714c4a88feefd44c142d05ba0e26122", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356419", "token_id": "85394181656551714231193256856261264333093117361094695724240668670121942051477", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d4e380037e50cc418adedcf6b93951181a92da5e6c45ff61d0154dc48b093c56", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356419", "condition_id": "0xee6d7b9efca03f8f9c7762dbb0e6c1505604361877551aceafda56eeac65fdf3", "token_id": "85394181656551714231193256856261264333093117361094695724240668670121942051477", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "45417ad6335ef5e42cf96d563b258c096e286f06b6ecf87214ab6f7d039dbc85", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356420", "token_id": "103548170859198244156355436665438831602047465337932656807485774687179387546842", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4f79368e01b950c99d123c3b9c4c20bc1fda85c1822312957133a5f8b7fb0427", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356420", "condition_id": "0x1edb3b36f82520eb15bc029cf2e737b7f7f69468183541d0684a7a547e3ae45d", "token_id": "103548170859198244156355436665438831602047465337932656807485774687179387546842", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fee4cdcabd5de3316f4ad76120c886a5238152a7d07170ce3645fe72d93342b0", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356421", "token_id": "110266171293951509250353628070494043222023223665451051989412781940987854056291", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "78709a15c625fa0243c5e1f1d7a74d6d38c7c8ef9019f54bcd5856204004a4a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356421", "condition_id": "0xd5a1ab02e3d4b6975cfbc0cd8c445085fd28626e96b4b0566feb1b985a525fa2", "token_id": "110266171293951509250353628070494043222023223665451051989412781940987854056291", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5967165b824341ebefebfb82c93661808ff935cf36ee43fb01ecaddad4933c65", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356422", "token_id": "92769039840808712767765628819069774858191662601844276958919788587162785590954", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ec9c8b630c57e7f95a99355fdd779918ce2feeffbb6723b62c4545d888b18f72", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356422", "condition_id": "0x4643895b8549e1611cfcb269508b5fa3b471c6f2193cc3d36933bc49f72ce4ad", "token_id": "92769039840808712767765628819069774858191662601844276958919788587162785590954", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "251cd28b4d702c7725364e30a6445832dafc9a3c5a581aeebfaf5decc0df9251", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356423", "token_id": "25205737130070481787593681647675687018067990853372332514633288909588318662591", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "896f4f081e87d0142466963f3facdb9f030006fc3d211ba8725fb6bee308ad1f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356423", "condition_id": "0x70fb6f25cc46d2457b502f4481bc8adb6c9714428157a4c0bee5858f00b4c6fc", "token_id": "25205737130070481787593681647675687018067990853372332514633288909588318662591", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "da7d1444558101436fd54e06fe77c724bdbba32097d9c9e599933008fc0f6195", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356424", "token_id": "99112950078456865424826468300734928625592726508449755021484193655316108054253", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a020738e91233438381a0910891d9c945d9a80272b0e26814d83044dadba4033", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356424", "condition_id": "0x8cfe69cb2c44b4dd711b0b6d64ff54a9e57c09b611e550a29b801884012d44eb", "token_id": "99112950078456865424826468300734928625592726508449755021484193655316108054253", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "63d6e4134e9c7a7a276d0d5b1b8603361d6c6ec140a5ea80da611249df12b01e", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356425", "token_id": "12455717303820552284423100156153267313746763185773140837940124604406507475859", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dc33813a8ba148fe008ecf2169496416df42a58675c049039ce2e772f93a1629", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356425", "condition_id": "0xe72254bde68fbdd91d0c3bff24f31564027584a4cc8dd7d6c9e06767911c2d45", "token_id": "12455717303820552284423100156153267313746763185773140837940124604406507475859", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986732", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "60a6e20725834fe850385a9dfdfab4e5a7c65235e593b9ba387b5d7a0c75bc6e", "event_source_sha256": "4bd0e935a7a6c727342fb23288dd8b08577fe337b237f138ba0d3918bbcc3a7f" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:79041", "title": "Largest Company end of December 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 8, "semantics_hash": "2defebd13e82a2087817b80e8f969818f01fc5ced1ec0158074e7bc4907fc62a", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "676739", "676740", "676741", "676742", "676743", "676744", "676745", "676746", "676747", "676748", "676749", "676750", "676751", "676752", "676753", "676754", "676755", "676756", "676757", "676758", "676759", "676760", "676761", "676762", "676763", "676764", "676765", "676766" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:79041", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "676742", "token_id": "62009449847159122385971991480139610869824965029008686522071073076098387124747", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alphabet", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3c70e3c5d4b29811a4c1b810dae19917ed17ebe72045b4536d5c284590576e34", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "676742", "condition_id": "0x39676b9161ea372b38115423a5de8f700f1888c35dd0fb2be07d96510ec28f7c", "token_id": "62009449847159122385971991480139610869824965029008686522071073076098387124747", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79041", 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\u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "239cfbee6e0d0fd676e9cfaf0942e2941f6f3daea09b7d5339d746b1d4effbdb", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": 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declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5f5f7490f4e03847b9c0178ea2ef730698867d737c85d698e5b21f08c865808d", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1235569", "token_id": "11940406787186341071755148448116745833167346421729699368674725740151230699960", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chicago Cubs", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a4623e7ba21cbc71e2c76f82087d07e496049bf3f21ca0ca76bed835f77ad0fb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235569", "condition_id": "0xae0363bfe26b7de87f4526c47d5de9b324bab3d14690112bd89b34c9ed3552fc", "token_id": "11940406787186341071755148448116745833167346421729699368674725740151230699960", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4d16fc0bc7d08bef63d25b23548c99e9a2117a63494799a736c8b9fb7190c784", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1235553", "token_id": "47345805017667669897137395690450353435714129302571040588246790838753631749361", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chicago White Sox", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d236783de09478d75ad5eaa0d49b8d943350e25fd50a39b23948f0c2b81649a5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235553", "condition_id": "0x7279005cdc5f4533b0cf53ce94a6c4fd43039c721ba39a3ad02dddacabd47d93", "token_id": "47345805017667669897137395690450353435714129302571040588246790838753631749361", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cc0d6cc88d766d0bfc3a84b297b5a7a63496406077d617a4350d30c0e8d8fce7", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1235570", "token_id": "45419222421992302132670848905085985461062585520073966492662753391395023875263", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cincinnati Reds", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dafcda35c32c0838e8f71244a33bcfcdb7d8f6cdca2fa607d7716305e75f4ae1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235570", "condition_id": "0xf9a6f017f72960b267bd398f32f4f4b20a163586ba49930e3533f8bd003dd507", "token_id": "45419222421992302132670848905085985461062585520073966492662753391395023875263", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "37357952151a62f312a4dafb283abfeb3338eb53f0044f8a66ae5fc64dd55096", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1235552", "token_id": "86836855507912353672331273895741550012643122260675758564432763672972116051156", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cleveland Guardians", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "230decd1830164bece7be9823da6f624b6f110d1cc49adf2cb367de9d854a9c5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235552", "condition_id": "0x67a229c77a9ac893f3895ed4dd1dfd1f89a6145da408bba530a544ec77ff6bfb", "token_id": "86836855507912353672331273895741550012643122260675758564432763672972116051156", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f4cae40753440e9acc52007274837b3213be5534f69051fa6e68398f6456478d", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1235555", "token_id": "73079336216142355130297581666318754750585979286739296068718695540025842403880", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Detroit Tigers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9d667dc4485a5c54bf010f3ee7a4c9837e037c5fce91c9d1809f9bedea8773a2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235555", "condition_id": "0xb6fbcf89aba1425be426b04cc001cdee86672e181ef4d665a39ed980300e4f45", "token_id": "73079336216142355130297581666318754750585979286739296068718695540025842403880", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f12ae835804679fd170efdf90d436d632be29d059aa1d01f8e1110d02542ba2b", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "1235557", "token_id": "12405032278435739429869831881260155009376889991681874342969262166150128334633", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Houston Astros", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "28942ec0e0462c4d1a7e7c7adde4878f8db0b292da2f844433963ead8dc139f4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235557", "condition_id": "0x6470402973d292487fba2f61fd46967707b8327b9eab38a759da5ca5dc9ccec4", "token_id": "12405032278435739429869831881260155009376889991681874342969262166150128334633", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ef0bc2a9df8672e1bfd9190d0169974b6e28451ce2cc4e3b40eeb8f678445bd4", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "1235556", "token_id": "91634061490645811181653965731312608248831576918658803735251578126864075665673", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kansas City Royals", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5ef192e42a0d0226db3cd70b2fda6699c820a31fe327eb8af0fa375447f9e126", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235556", "condition_id": "0xf134705aea567d66f664016d8522ef98e42aefe6a305c22447695a9462857ccd", "token_id": "91634061490645811181653965731312608248831576918658803735251578126864075665673", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2e76ad6eba5c933e14d1a101e5ef97b29cf034e8fe81d51a03ed32a7e883edb4", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "1235572", "token_id": "1204155327844132216976037605131756626466220080116229118353112706411786559118", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Los Angeles Dodgers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "561557b7f4594954881d7687153b4b810e627f81631f01ac9d6dcf5742c469fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235572", "condition_id": "0x749d8eccbc0a99447e71fc5e40a0096842774bef4d5c8838b8adb39af068b3cb", "token_id": "1204155327844132216976037605131756626466220080116229118353112706411786559118", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7079ab43f6f28534fac1705616aa78833660e86d108ca71135a8c11147d5df16", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "1235565", "token_id": "5703581201154376560187680422416496828142499508237498193695565902061790054297", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Miami Marlins", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c2f64e13889d2a8e031d13ca0127bbc92570c75d7bcb06ab6d0336351eb53fef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235565", "condition_id": "0xa5f1c7110b05fde645258c7c9e58d3ddbec94631db35b22f7a02db94d4571a29", "token_id": "5703581201154376560187680422416496828142499508237498193695565902061790054297", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "da94f204218036fa22db04ff5073cc66a3ccaa6407b5517c4cc3df1d0ac13532", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "1235568", "token_id": "68495273029336552259622116656826978391613637593537133254546205487243272235948", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Milwaukee Brewers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a11c38e6b226d7490538513749544ab5aa9df436c42a131fe66f5872ae114226", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235568", "condition_id": "0x3db74f14fa0c4d8acb19ff4ffa18d523597a8e553ec565d494290a908d99395a", "token_id": "68495273029336552259622116656826978391613637593537133254546205487243272235948", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5893b7c29c1b69c78315904a66c001a538e58e8c60404c97ec2ea1e2292eb227", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "1235554", "token_id": "6604113814542536673704143631771111787685175461609211283398901161950419015936", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Minnesota Twins", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6182d65705149ce97267e7377d39fde28b1bddad30ed84fd37ade2b452c4bc77", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235554", "condition_id": "0xe4d4d5e3f6a9cc989d05679a66b3f871ba9075155e4e37dac9f684623e501222", "token_id": "6604113814542536673704143631771111787685175461609211283398901161950419015936", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7d6ee92ab65bff8abfe0fe8c33e08fa1e0953679056a456a310f7e9e00fc7a29", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "1235563", "token_id": "54864064227501100990355740632429843724001886102202092784644764240142537488712", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New York Mets", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "637d8603989f6702c4562be298a69f88f2133ab8661bc5bd05e571774aeeb952", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235563", "condition_id": "0x98b595f40feccf49ded360d1eb15b9bb81041cc6006da00441a743dcef74f0e7", "token_id": "54864064227501100990355740632429843724001886102202092784644764240142537488712", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "81db65540e7cee3e732473ae942ecdab1fee285021c3a20b1c1dc38c5c64dd8c", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "1235547", "token_id": "52854035362787091895017612076763457120573181014952605669517525908999466984865", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New York Yankees", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "843dd8f198d0f2696ca858cff2bfcfb625352495ec7d06f6cc5dc1566d6dded9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235547", "condition_id": "0x3df7be753c8b6ebbddf31d6d63535c4b31c836cb25b1a73085508a271bc103db", "token_id": "52854035362787091895017612076763457120573181014952605669517525908999466984865", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "96ff1bcc8d605f064555ab0df5236f3bfe2579e6190db1fe31967a3f31513f1c", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "1235564", "token_id": "56772567436880230751429990016212879028273056769219355099340259163330517784781", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Philadelphia Phillies", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a84b466c248a3d832904f0a3f036c4a0f6aa65c6a84e50f09d32a636f2c334f3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235564", "condition_id": "0x9e238daa4cc2b89379314f5c1873e3c0d07d26bf2eb69a3d618a7b5d13b165a0", "token_id": "56772567436880230751429990016212879028273056769219355099340259163330517784781", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dd4eeddd0d252806481a33593e6a3b3d4b8fc9f51576b36864b3ea9b261a881d", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "1235571", "token_id": "68148187469130365236681943682544881635278191262882781922055003569135329235835", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pittsburgh Pirates", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2100032df2eb6d672b1737cd8d5e24aa23608d448ce54dba73581a552d3a26c3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235571", "condition_id": "0x598654e5e8ad06b44107cb541773c459580dfc208fc74e4694d1ada41d679c1d", "token_id": "68148187469130365236681943682544881635278191262882781922055003569135329235835", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d7ff4be8568719afde5f4e70fc1b4bd0e84e03753813ce6b69600732c5b03a7f", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "1235573", "token_id": "31221080242705278649725019814790252911735511309312424063267127209870268745118", "outcome": "yes", "label": "San Diego Padres", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "435a760f883ecb6615f56e4c8b435d3cfde6835ecfe158558f3606e4ce4b1c51", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235573", "condition_id": "0x99ff023a3b1149189fd0993f5a06b05b59e91d370df456c54db69bbd8875bf65", "token_id": "31221080242705278649725019814790252911735511309312424063267127209870268745118", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9c34242bac5ba5519b259c981dfe36e17e51cb153c9c6c92f2bf3ad883f2cef2", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "1235558", "token_id": "63091623343687297303606592004867326730200634937409195873045953355010416684623", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Seattle Mariners", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "674e31c858898efbc97983f703e1512f23642f0f74f49c364112d2f93d12bb8c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235558", "condition_id": "0x8a638b539c43375ea04e0e2501f4a877df4ab35ae67a1f60d0e034d75c8c38ef", "token_id": "63091623343687297303606592004867326730200634937409195873045953355010416684623", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "beeb1873cd97adf340614335da63cf848ec7bfa33d6d0f5b77099398ecbdf4de", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "1235567", "token_id": "70046809005614326654993856784038215986843482626383701474756417133141056424411", "outcome": "yes", "label": "St. Louis Cardinals", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "012529e574fd18db23412e0b503f8e6cf6ac0cf80bef5a00df47a938f9cd3718", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235567", "condition_id": "0x728ed3e64f1f6b67d9b3dcd545ae574aaf0dfd3b0fb6df433d0c07c253981ec0", "token_id": "70046809005614326654993856784038215986843482626383701474756417133141056424411", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "67263d6cd58a52c2215aeecb5d330809c81f1fa46112200c4f1a72f5d39c09e1", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "1235549", "token_id": "47619537154464827225570738666275423513741144464229940374555699932743034295206", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tampa Bay Rays", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "648aad3a174b411cfb83dd6c9b1751701a639b0946064f4a8234a2601507bca1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235549", "condition_id": "0x4d9567b9fa71a94b6e43ddb62ea6104cbb01926813938d241cce336bd72a8ba5", "token_id": "47619537154464827225570738666275423513741144464229940374555699932743034295206", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "799bf16e7995922fd4cf172481cc37738fb218b0b11214075821b68bdd656946", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "1235560", "token_id": "86751823627609068424601499935843524300516582275640754782521418387536707538823", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Texas Rangers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a6b0098960d579400aeb94502fe523414f380d5c7fbbe8e60d31b205c4a927bd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235560", "condition_id": "0xa9a6f91142311378d1227a7b245069ecca68e7cfc825db8613d9bb0c8c42d3a1", "token_id": "86751823627609068424601499935843524300516582275640754782521418387536707538823", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9262c997c143f8d56bc74064d3676056892394108aa00e5fa34995d09efc2a49", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "1235548", "token_id": "20185194104192616169187819782503597513535305745542761219511845807955606694791", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Toronto Blue Jays", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9f8f87d5a2c170ef5448249e2edc12f88d93f1117cb05beead4059b957822edf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235548", "condition_id": "0x6df5c681e14dadf57c0ba0a7c01d6e2cb04f0f97528e76d39875320aec40fddf", "token_id": "20185194104192616169187819782503597513535305745542761219511845807955606694791", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bd79f4a11d27ca286d4dcb0f0665639a3f4a3c2c5c03df7410425e08e0d988d7", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "1235566", "token_id": "16911107708847456121558507654684722945620316418458350333840821518727431940890", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Washington Nationals", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5d6d0c34ef128a1d8100c5c73e12ed4ea0843f708a553c78b131d7a918b6c398", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1235566", "condition_id": "0x99b0984b690ad49fb2bdef1d31dc398516d3318740c8595995bd37539d49afce", "token_id": "16911107708847456121558507654684722945620316418458350333840821518727431940890", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLB World Series. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLB World Series per the rules of MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "179312", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "409e5547f0cd7a4e3de67293ee6a0e007ce640d5b3a63bac3d6cb5733cbe55f7", "event_source_sha256": "49a7ab9104281c9c9cd440f09a1d6ec5380552d7c8391e52efc241f6654ad48a" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:100371", "title": "F1 Drivers' Champion", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 14, "semantics_hash": "8bac0f996452cd2872989ca98787cdc26a52c468b7795cb10db0c2539dc3cfc0", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "898409", "898410", "898411", "898412", "898413", "898414", "898415", "898416", "898417", "898418", "898419", "898420", "898421", "898422", "898423", "898424", "898425", "898426", "898427", "898428", "898429", "898430", "898431", "898432", "898433", "898434", "898435", "898436", "898437", "898438", "898439", "898440" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:100371", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "898426", "token_id": "64226098776561185059769533241366611985885973140193149458309872405524360027300", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Arvid Lindblad", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7594a51110fed34e00b5c2a0a6083ce8f36b8efa05b99129272c290cccde4750", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898426", "condition_id": "0x7a6491e3c906af3657b9b5cf2b371b454f1ddb91b4f4ca3344caaabf424a8056", "token_id": "64226098776561185059769533241366611985885973140193149458309872405524360027300", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "50323c187d3ec36ec2ecbfe07bdf346f7c63b00b67b2cac70425390abe889037", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "898415", "token_id": "2709284834738258468924839192854829143750961889384406449536217899798175177890", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Charles Leclerc", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a0800428446413e46af7bad5a6429a7d34b28b89b69216032f08b3bb0eb259a1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898415", "condition_id": "0xe0711866c51f7d0c43284f43e3ae34125e462e909e16bf685718df7610e6a1e7", "token_id": "2709284834738258468924839192854829143750961889384406449536217899798175177890", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "15cd85b0615d38dab83870fe568b5fd63bb45eadb98a118c46f71283938d7981", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "898424", "token_id": "6928573582565267822546667761915798013669025288274552856000053706900531241559", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Franco Colapinto", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fdf6e84256bc7d219a07cc03ad411ea8b22a661b17f7922b28f8656010609c3b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898424", "condition_id": "0xde3d62becec90cd596e01294346786f5a9406a026e105c054d0f7e62cffdcf8f", "token_id": "6928573582565267822546667761915798013669025288274552856000053706900531241559", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6315def0a6c4f869cc29d51e6e7135fcb116c256c9cd3c864ba9e91f79332a75", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "898422", "token_id": "4685949819716376522669877569719026780983708592137529477703111488178918425734", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Gabriel Bortoleto", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4e7ad85502fba1fee14df8c512ebe643d2b10e2eead7601111f2a012b66ad457", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898422", "condition_id": "0x97b92c6c26b31dc3be183b76b1c39167806611396793eda0edf084d29b76fa46", "token_id": "4685949819716376522669877569719026780983708592137529477703111488178918425734", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5742deb1b30a27d5157e829ed60b06b9d414e8de991bd5aa46436865968c0779", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "898411", "token_id": "93099562462257249309605734586566434036442082827152130023015985868027704959821", "outcome": "yes", "label": "George Russell", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6c4eb291d49d243bb0df49ee9d47eb3b7f6a54d41e093c3c0a755fdc2a29940e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898411", "condition_id": "0x1b7fd0fe5dbf07c9f7aab729a6688686e5d2df9b443233cd29004bd11818553d", "token_id": "93099562462257249309605734586566434036442082827152130023015985868027704959821", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5bd7aae083270080239f01dde2a14918dbb9ae644bf109d99982cf4d0efa5c56", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "898414", "token_id": "740554372395562969852824732102908743873362172986366970263111332168756914258", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Isack Hadjar", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "25dad7c42223ab3362136d9cb3a3156cd835280e7676e54219feac7093edac40", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898414", "condition_id": "0x80971af8befc488bbdd6dcc075d388793851a0ea1c46f7ffd353b190691c7199", "token_id": "740554372395562969852824732102908743873362172986366970263111332168756914258", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "377427bd0d61d4930841328d603d8de8809641198d5d62e5ad748c0a4761313f", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "898412", "token_id": "32950178421556833525068948927823594772134813180063196823389171317494746105102", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kimi Antonelli", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "38044031cd18aec527f853576861f558ebfbc5d6933b78cca21002ca458f2c90", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898412", "condition_id": "0xcd2640464754b9a894ffec98ac11554fdd507ea89ca01237eabb3a6de4a606e6", "token_id": "32950178421556833525068948927823594772134813180063196823389171317494746105102", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "72897615271ee8f8a3426ccb4da5559d92d132ae38527037d4d85012de732aec", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "898409", "token_id": "49363857890713679658249116526667302240522215201279074666732334459281427193397", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lando Norris", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f2fdc4c320f0a364fc85a37d0ab498cbf7cee7e301c9d3af2e5c6ec10206574b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898409", "condition_id": "0x6eec2b6b1c8d62aaacda46471e8caf7320f4ea9235f5ee87cba970a32a4e6985", "token_id": "49363857890713679658249116526667302240522215201279074666732334459281427193397", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2a92e36688fe088777358c6aa8c4907e90de0b71e21578ee949b915b81f6202d", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "898416", "token_id": "69833456690136644541052533876758499587133457040620330400923606566331654948227", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lewis Hamilton", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3dbbb94553a32ab42dacf962cf4f524be6823456319e1ce2a9c26b7e1184be5f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898416", "condition_id": "0x2cefe6009ea518f77b8a82714e54c0af1d0f25e99b37d4861f4a5d3ebbf142d3", "token_id": "69833456690136644541052533876758499587133457040620330400923606566331654948227", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ea45ccf9c5c38b49bf7c7ea246dc943a6f504837edc9c35b02effdd8e50841c1", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "898425", "token_id": "12049029739674782709547394278437698405073155537994805992211273099129156266263", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liam Lawson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "87b4c089a6687e1a99232fe5e57bb3de6456d95a88c931a50844ab90f18e82de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898425", "condition_id": "0xcf72b0f49af9446288a897ac1d73afa72549d98de7860bb17dacc3c4379a2c58", "token_id": "12049029739674782709547394278437698405073155537994805992211273099129156266263", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "28827a8b373cf9e1727111650446dce31181c8f711a55844bc3d4ec3ad971074", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "898413", "token_id": "1253784411034901624384838438079744067552854611268416006133878658719743556218", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Max Verstappen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "90297fb414b2fdbf7277d9f6f315dc66c3632b56820ea6f781a2af85bd4748ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898413", "condition_id": "0x696576c9b20d20a71e0acd6f84d215f129fa361ed544b0df14f1ae540d84059f", "token_id": "1253784411034901624384838438079744067552854611268416006133878658719743556218", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d30b5c3183544385cbd4c0a58b5c69ac53161e804a65065c52a8950f0db88364", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "898420", "token_id": "36651695143257976296316443097895676898349243442057744955120299247443104698921", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Oliver Bearman", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4b6e129db047034b448b11c993cc736fefcd5fe9a47d95bd5bdecd23596525b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898420", "condition_id": "0xa2b7d292821eafb97059947b9d834512deda11b7866e0f7b299bcb035071d626", "token_id": "36651695143257976296316443097895676898349243442057744955120299247443104698921", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b1a841391d870dd232d9c9164036ff88b2481a79891600bc6eb28f5707b07129", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "898410", "token_id": "45035925547723382374916856041538026483546248029152755914741212781718674476988", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Oscar Piastri", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8e411248d056c9d56f19d1204af3c3d31226a5738bce52b1d096178deb85bf78", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898410", "condition_id": "0x1c373746c204f7437cb212d2bcfbc5fdf0f0263ae9b470dd92c676d4c2c5ba03", "token_id": "45035925547723382374916856041538026483546248029152755914741212781718674476988", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3132b63479f334a74eb8475ce27631eba7efce66a966b8e8b0acf9e2e086f570", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "898423", "token_id": "2626952234259590914555295564799878112009792928452646455961775031030757356274", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pierre Gasly", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6c5ec377d3152f947c9ad28cd53b752fb66aa7f6506fdf4d1e2715e2db4bca59", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "898423", "condition_id": "0x88d573d2ba5e43e1320cf0eb733452feb4cb4a1d4780dcb05ac6ee6830c2e4c3", "token_id": "2626952234259590914555295564799878112009792928452646455961775031030757356274", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the listed driver that finishes 1st in the driver standings for the 2026 F1 season.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.\n\nIf multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers\u2019 champion.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-06T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100371", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "29692a2cd568812da2da6e315b7e6cd5dcc0cc8e60c4b16870880091182651d4", "event_source_sha256": "3deaff9a9e2bf17ac3af0fb49bc5937ed81734b820964161d6fd938eee809c53" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931726", "title": "PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "986d2e13b75e9a168a6d5623b485274b96ab5bc49f6c99cc14a9f7f114794f44", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977555", "3977556", "3977557" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931726", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977556", "token_id": "23954409101089364038725321160309539415579822255150723776635586281663742737918", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8dddea61536ab5cddfad9af9d334d1e351e96caa4a1d36c02330aef77bb460ea", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977556", "condition_id": "0x0090704fe0799bbeb58121e532a9d7464d0fdaef7b7f3c85245cbab5932facf8", "token_id": "23954409101089364038725321160309539415579822255150723776635586281663742737918", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931726", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dacec2b4c3833a28103f2a49943237059db223091cf25b2d9d44e35bf87f9054", "event_source_sha256": "2dcb259ac997eb12cd590879695393272bc0b9be190288ddfc990eb1d528b517" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977557", "token_id": "63359845471601910994444279809659977147431016068331885107805212825517278802957", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8c6c524737039f9ac02d9f05265fb7ad74ba712f722977786807bea7021360d1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977557", "condition_id": "0xdb00edada1d102dc552cdcc96e1aa0712c740e1414388c0b61cd577ea3e92d4c", "token_id": "63359845471601910994444279809659977147431016068331885107805212825517278802957", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf FK Shakhtar Donetsk wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931726", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "85074eda9b9bb479357296179e69edfd792fc231bdbddaf04a698e94966fc6a8", "event_source_sha256": "2dcb259ac997eb12cd590879695393272bc0b9be190288ddfc990eb1d528b517" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977555", "token_id": "93961398192149173463998461476504984930196639733613060582836586917133602078849", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9143ce6409dc1407bc3a177640fe0dcac9882c7ce0e71992f0a5dd85516b4a1d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977555", "condition_id": "0xb204bb8f27dc61561b20b7b45ce05f35e5b2bb9a8b0b6fc5d7407536989e07c4", "token_id": "93961398192149173463998461476504984930196639733613060582836586917133602078849", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf PSV wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931726", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dc02ce5e691125be85d049f791f23be675d0f5fce60f9570dbf150d9d1c2487f", "event_source_sha256": "2dcb259ac997eb12cd590879695393272bc0b9be190288ddfc990eb1d528b517" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:32225", "title": "Which party will win the House in 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "9ed79d66eec71f04c28e70b19f014ede9475043fe799a6c3cde19387f0c36830", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "562802", "562803", "562804", "562805", "562806", "562807", "562808", "562809", "562810" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:32225", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "562802", "token_id": "83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Democratic Party", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "70b48b31a82c312790803e2ba69eaca359b5428c4b4ce32d69e0245a79480e55", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "562802", "condition_id": "0xd5d9fc47718bd553592d126b1fa5e87183d27f3936975b0c04cc0f2dec1f1bb4", "token_id": "83247781037352156539108067944461291821683755894607244160607042790356561625563", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nHouse members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party\u2019s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "32225", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cac117dad7cfd3d9120e5622dc1636285f5481b4822c0bc214032efae2c87a80", "event_source_sha256": "0271615187cbd77d41c4dc4ef77f7ad2ffadfb8ef5745a01975ccd97f466ebfb" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "562803", "token_id": "65139230827417363158752884968303867495725894165574887635816574090175320800482", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Republican Party", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6bb409ad5fecadeab96a22a3a0b5cf5bb8d4b0b282977066fedc136ad2fd8619", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "562803", "condition_id": "0x4e4f77e7dbf4cab666e9a1943674d7ae66348e862df03ea6f44b11eb95731928", "token_id": "65139230827417363158752884968303867495725894165574887635816574090175320800482", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States House of Representatives in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States House of Representatives if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first elected Speaker of the House of the Congress that convenes after the 2026 midterm election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress are included. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.\n\nSeats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nHouse members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party\u2019s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "32225", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "53129da241c6eab210afe0b4e9dfe3537d984bfaa34635b20a40946b225d77c2", "event_source_sha256": "0271615187cbd77d41c4dc4ef77f7ad2ffadfb8ef5745a01975ccd97f466ebfb" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986731", "title": "Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "ede33820625a49bd39cf8b712e29df9ba1bbf3047be854a4f38f1876c4963617", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356404", "4356405", "4356406", "4356407", "4356408", "4356409", "4356410", "4356411", "4356412", "4356413", "4356414" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986731", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356404", "token_id": "8311852995808773958750432175225275086186076888034091221740833166527289794735", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "915f30a55f6239abccc249cd8c76cbbb68a98617c1da503e6fac0f4ed092f879", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356404", "condition_id": "0xe2b31d9380cc818dca5b358ad2b5c331901c962b8423b027b11bdf14daac3883", "token_id": "8311852995808773958750432175225275086186076888034091221740833166527289794735", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c1ece7a91942e8eb4a38eb137f7d10184d0db2d8012005abce20b392c42eec7b", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356405", "token_id": "52827988763695868980037432629743219520600891102649912822171193369564254128522", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cda24b2fcb31ed7706a95280ea5bcc9549572f1917a2ff8eef839bf4b116ddb3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356405", "condition_id": "0xe125500820add76e567f5b97adfead15dd02b9f5baec75c1100e78a9b4ead92d", "token_id": "52827988763695868980037432629743219520600891102649912822171193369564254128522", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "27cffc92c0feb21c7a335378cd686dd62842b9244eb20bbe1260193dda9e086e", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356406", "token_id": "81740456016780290914672062910807610389841406029099143667322968048496475231494", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2f4782c6682795c05ae395c74a412036ed8c01e5751d74b4a78b764e4f3db3fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356406", "condition_id": "0x301b243c920c8de7d572e831c359288e10832fd1e5a38b58333493479a4d52d3", "token_id": "81740456016780290914672062910807610389841406029099143667322968048496475231494", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "66c8b87ec8b78589c78d8c8c8409332d4bd7309603e33de8141977a51b6f4313", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356407", "token_id": "36994077586057027251958782396728127478595945111111647521592488532120349842", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f82c309c582186f1567dbcf697ab273746ca8902fb3f9ba71cbbc7fa5f37e91", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356407", "condition_id": "0x357e236265f415c028339842c0b6b8139b86e3a618011799c5353a93cc6a7a6b", "token_id": "36994077586057027251958782396728127478595945111111647521592488532120349842", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a4452796ea4bcd3310eac0fbbe96b9a5bc4383dd8754e5404f4f00933fa31d1a", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356408", "token_id": "52021403492731184601469776624435209997529363807994966241897966184619231138597", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "91b978bceb86bdcea5912bb31eb0fdbee9c824fe9fa4628ce5f9fd5bc4feea02", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356408", "condition_id": "0x5834b3f8959502b277e1258407f97a98110333ef5cd6799ecf26943e4bf4a76a", "token_id": "52021403492731184601469776624435209997529363807994966241897966184619231138597", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "030bf1e24014dd1d2722c6e9cd8217a9f78a06ae43b0346742f3cb85528115f5", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356409", "token_id": "24238149268944194401352585271359931190508043129967889390594225644019455705541", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19fea6fb6552e9f743d41f8e1a3bbe47a193b53237b18cbf1a0b35678ee54a11", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356409", "condition_id": "0xd841f91c34bdaf1b9de35e56b0c858a45e8e0213a7567ebaa3f9eb2173268de1", "token_id": "24238149268944194401352585271359931190508043129967889390594225644019455705541", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b362fadcb7ed430b9a1ebd19d65230edda999bee2f24a84b82b95f9c0d3a9b7a", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356410", "token_id": "91618082749220767132572680623135691485960160483822049781134441359829140280271", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0946d430c54034027fc77ab65a47d9a8568c3a097e3e87532351159cb957c8a2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356410", "condition_id": "0x621862d30f742c40bc56ae8d528de82088fa05794063117c6db779a4d71af622", "token_id": "91618082749220767132572680623135691485960160483822049781134441359829140280271", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8e659f7f0b83bf6b88b6302b6c74309b33f65afc0572aaf31edea390c4daf5ea", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356411", "token_id": "10754959088286439998055538152387342064763927631319960461151740781843804649598", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7c99ad00cd1ca5ed6b6780882cf4f18e86867e2fe72ce7b1b2980c96555a2d76", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356411", "condition_id": "0x32904a5d455a80fe672a60806ab2c5904d7737f7d9d510abc0c35e1a9290f919", "token_id": "10754959088286439998055538152387342064763927631319960461151740781843804649598", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "70a38b9481abdc4a2987f54bc77f107e310d17849f7846d2cd223e1e6ca75fa8", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356412", "token_id": "46028090719883549982706317066076682101113980739712696473070419078899976269160", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8d07ec1d6adc83c12ae1c563f78289a78817b488f3b7924a32ed5e7a385fd452", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356412", "condition_id": "0x0826654c14085b354a43b7e345a0dcc735f4e345b4343ad24b71c7cfeea49b07", "token_id": "46028090719883549982706317066076682101113980739712696473070419078899976269160", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2ea47cda4fa27f768c904e1d94fd79ba4123e9e295323c5ec6d3ff9178e49061", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356413", "token_id": "80433852731059685712852433843109773018716592536693204792460376003255570991991", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "36b67cc168a20ea01420bd0205ff77e58129b8856719eff51ac0bd6508b0d5b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356413", "condition_id": "0xc0adf7c1c0a4786f956027567a6f2b4586c6c0bdb865fb1be94d4943b8c5f805", "token_id": "80433852731059685712852433843109773018716592536693204792460376003255570991991", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c4ba89b829832f31285f3553168586e512fae62d12cd2f975d21e239002ff060", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356414", "token_id": "75725131776667791262332492170315215859697985269996292650642093585757062277025", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f025a311b35edf4dabcfe881ad9982f0b5aa43d79dbffc1d9a2121fe812638e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356414", "condition_id": "0x30e2ae95e6258ef0d502df6e552f7d97f450bfa7c7ab43c11223bd81befa3b8f", "token_id": "75725131776667791262332492170315215859697985269996292650642093585757062277025", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986731", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3ad55b72ff1a8f1c271caade410cc2df59826c81924acb19ad5711ed194a469a", "event_source_sha256": "ffcf8dae43bbb0c039512ad4cb7e17d6d701a33b2c31a7909eb2a4841b7ffd47" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:528389", "title": "Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "explicit_other_outcome", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 15, "semantics_hash": "d373006801a8b20f95eb106bad83cd6ddea3c9bdccca7d0ff8f7eab3b466d0df", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2364949", "2364950", "2364951", "2364952", "2364953", "2364954", "2364955", "2364956", "2364957", "2364958", "2364959", "2364960", "2364961", "2364962", "2364963" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:528389", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2364957", "token_id": "45204941370098098424643451270705249945536081760197540652773383308558433271325", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Australia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "40b18f3aee80c1649e270a71e36f20f70854afeda6cf91474862611505ac2c6d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364957", "condition_id": "0x3c4d72f7576a0061a87a221f76f0f2a39eae7264364838cf9adbd7e9586c9758", "token_id": "45204941370098098424643451270705249945536081760197540652773383308558433271325", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "317d945064fe9303f269162c20c2151ba0be2ed1bd55020123a03e64a38afe5b", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2364949", "token_id": "87270519333218656996120586609778228435578879849332879521294712643729811718786", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Belarus", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "59bf66aca2a3f58944b418fb12e91498c47d8c176ebb36d40c8868cdbf5eb142", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364949", "condition_id": "0xc5c07c8076ea5cfa8c4d761f1efe7206ba498a67f51fe149d3f8927f298f84c0", "token_id": "87270519333218656996120586609778228435578879849332879521294712643729811718786", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ad53a445399140be3c2a4bbc6dc9015f46e4107878d5af2fbfb8b592b9f03194", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2364962", "token_id": "19389166301388823009353528659838082515289587284309335761993116571669132485120", "outcome": "yes", "label": "China", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4c7852a627caabe9df5a588a37ce3c9d4667f19a10c0a74132cbad51439caec7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364962", "condition_id": "0xa2739ba4bc05fe9791b3a3e437104254625ed5a8e9b43f96aef4255e1757e618", "token_id": "19389166301388823009353528659838082515289587284309335761993116571669132485120", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0318f456aae9143a69812f745b3432dff3a6599d64e60f131540ec427e7a7a27", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2364951", "token_id": "3163021942492796001976799020713691154824497497088966339144818487057434553174", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Finland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "99896dc5e5d5f6833872b51fde9990035b38a84dd3836530cdc0c844b36099ea", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364951", "condition_id": "0x11d61558d9b81132b498a60d30285f7dffd90e25711e376c28b8fb0faf5a3858", "token_id": "3163021942492796001976799020713691154824497497088966339144818487057434553174", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "83caf3b041d10683b411004241ddc5efcf665d3e8c0d85259bc913e9b1945779", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2364954", "token_id": "26981012346284002259379220853300302399708959808588540007403884789452072631198", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Gulf country", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e9780d25c4e314d279c646406100b2cbc116d75d4f25d0d60a4e39388b6e13d6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364954", "condition_id": "0x2f736e548dd64434e70960aa913bac6ecbd2904e68746138b77fa367004cc3d3", "token_id": "26981012346284002259379220853300302399708959808588540007403884789452072631198", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "658a38d43889b6e46d12ebf6a89d51737adc6c14fa607589cae7ea875da67563", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2364956", "token_id": "93634338782665117495322026792172337509221182747655270688879336266546808025255", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Japan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf0028ccc11e13fd40f4a10d1ec3b739a1e76f68df958e617e9de012e2a79be2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364956", "condition_id": "0x27e6d335d6131c5cc62d4ab2361e74ab7d7ecf4c7fed448f912adcabf03baae1", "token_id": "93634338782665117495322026792172337509221182747655270688879336266546808025255", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3802eff81a5a11325ad2fa68a4d80d8617cffc3c2626817c9af5319507b72821", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2364961", "token_id": "60721106651047318972353533272976554010468129253652681478570218681774510353152", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No meeting by December 31", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e80a3cafaf44e56c3d19afbde7a2b37887bb6351b8fad8c605a362e22b083142", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364961", "condition_id": "0xa745eff902c48aa61fd7478b3286623b38e979d0a5d89fef46964edf45e46219", "token_id": "60721106651047318972353533272976554010468129253652681478570218681774510353152", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin not meet?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "10074af777e37ce2960f09022ddaab46312640d2f7c98fb919b66cea44172951", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2364960", "token_id": "44663682164553668338726293875833954594306929760561477969844966033692750056630", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Other", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d8cae48bfd21b2772ee7e974ba3bbeb15a602e5b7cafb6f9b3eab910d9ad964f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364960", "condition_id": "0xdd1beaf50c57bb884882c65d9554ed42f6fa72ff57bca407736e24e2ee0afb18", "token_id": "44663682164553668338726293875833954594306929760561477969844966033692750056630", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1bfd19b1c0d54234af1c7995616d918d422f826c7193a654f13b67982676b054", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2364959", "token_id": "48981865975455752832017748911739161483065500767534166865117237641460690408278", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Other EU country", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bddd2a61d1d5e8eb702518999445e2e964c8cc459fc1dae288f0459b0294be80", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364959", "condition_id": "0x581a83458fb4c2b31e07a5dac4b233fc49f9a00f78ea9c97e4747fa7f819cdc3", "token_id": "48981865975455752832017748911739161483065500767534166865117237641460690408278", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0b01dc6759e5241020d5b07af6b769a5a244cbb56c385968c740938e7e4ff046", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2364953", "token_id": "65355803544986772306259703642888907873620479260866954644363685018735834578056", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Russia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b78c0f21e5c4ccfee9575f84b445615f4f09394b0ddc809af91790751d861396", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364953", "condition_id": "0x46a8b55c8c9491f12133f9612615e256062754dba0170619f654ba6e6dbb3ee1", "token_id": "65355803544986772306259703642888907873620479260866954644363685018735834578056", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3d9afadc303a6850daaf9405c05a9f0dd9afbe9db6f819d2a7f48d0de3aa107e", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2364955", "token_id": "98965894083804679770391812652050310755293283924513501980927643113655109809964", "outcome": "yes", "label": "South Korea", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "447b07b292069690372c762b975fbbb13a158af4183a813ca6ad521dafc4002a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364955", "condition_id": "0xc636c783630e41ad75920a9ae3b7237d61abf8df96f2bea332c7ad5e0fbb56c8", "token_id": "98965894083804679770391812652050310755293283924513501980927643113655109809964", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bbdccd0daa541e622bab802608d7bc7268fd5a472a68a563698a5252ee3a1cac", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2364952", "token_id": "3967301282496206697131123609955837062569458195772770706972167651840833817857", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Switzerland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e89c84e9411ba02da0504b7d9825b9b2a17f308310d81ca4d848c6fffbc3c511", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364952", "condition_id": "0x6ba95b51e0ea02f017acedcf5bfc2b22ae425e66e96b9b5d8ae24202e8786afc", "token_id": "3967301282496206697131123609955837062569458195772770706972167651840833817857", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9bcffd8566b0703c7e3df15467130776f1b6c0d8837f92cd47eab8bacd8b09fe", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2364950", "token_id": "2774387873192450354621663167820251396168623878659423824953207582726480505129", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Turkey", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "958ab3b75c6a6d081dd12f14da031925bc2aa5cb06804b582ba4405928464eaf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364950", "condition_id": "0x5236097083e9649ef06541c3082fcfbde1aa8f9a6fb54b1d433b9e31dce31866", "token_id": "2774387873192450354621663167820251396168623878659423824953207582726480505129", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5e407851aefd31d6ef2eaa499f38491351c552f984529ea9bb32c21a17200dae", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2364963", "token_id": "63990132652998616319322811191975355300281737667140788643288581508180612878008", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ukraine", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "148d87eeb42db979ee1ef45d81b6d82ba20c878208c81538885dfaf32e64adb9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364963", "condition_id": "0x3a5b565e71df74cf9edf3f5e26e1cbe02197ad02b1ac4055ba0d16a80810dac7", "token_id": "63990132652998616319322811191975355300281737667140788643288581508180612878008", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "aaf08468829a4f4ff759130bc40300bb876df294a9c112c9a0e8a31ef11ea50a", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2364958", "token_id": "86355179960593712403904097543442605251256617995112499118383686460760153402098", "outcome": "yes", "label": "United States", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "38743dde9588fb4a49c7a0b864d2718766cfb3b60264aaf29c8d27ae636927fb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2364958", "condition_id": "0x51edead67812911dd228b7052888598d2957b95769758a1bd8718bcac428e874", "token_id": "86355179960593712403904097543442605251256617995112499118383686460760153402098", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"No meeting by December 31\" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.\n\nA meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.\n\nAn exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.\n\nFor this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "528389", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e10d3d2f9014da24ecfa66ca7f1db096578548ab30dd34922026f6dc0ba5b350", "event_source_sha256": "5e6e8ab429fd80d6846376dd95e7996f465bcee22d79456e5cc227c2e5034840" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:959616", "title": "Bitcoin price on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "ab534aaeba1c3b579ba59a0afdbbb989ea2e2675d717493f1d4d70e782b65ecf", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4190603", "4190606", "4190608", "4190610", "4190612", "4190614", "4190615", "4190617", "4190619", "4190621", "4190623" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:959616", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4190606", "token_id": "36595175118619895347322725372992054673413389439635382824792051548162025615801", "outcome": "yes", "label": "72,000-74,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "28446b5a9bba1ac84e5e7746694e712941a8035b7583b3c65b51e72fb1c484ec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190606", "condition_id": "0x66a93d6c6f0706d955c9300373ee7363593a41545a357b91a7f7630bdd5a870b", "token_id": "36595175118619895347322725372992054673413389439635382824792051548162025615801", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4382ac613a2ae9577589ef00e010c072da4a946db099f163d3e1333ac0f36e96", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4190608", "token_id": "16024582547586835409284159494305628842680492979626463829142524439144332571575", "outcome": "yes", "label": "74,000-76,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c05c6a8259f93d11860cdf64da1141f2ae50db7c2be9be88c9cfaf7ded23cf1a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190608", "condition_id": "0x6ed555d2cfc4c63216d887ee936be066b570afbae734d9e981f0f66797372f99", "token_id": "16024582547586835409284159494305628842680492979626463829142524439144332571575", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "eb5e4b036bfd75c17d2f1dd95833e5b32a84e03fbab4995696009428dc6819fd", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4190610", "token_id": "28935799979715921323707359943381446444156662518338694702666417866191985432120", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76,000-78,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0dc43cf27dc761f3bb038efae4870d55e169a0a7856ff1c6c0ffe53659026fc0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190610", "condition_id": "0x3f04d02ce779d7909fffca10e2230fe4b6676c6e878088144b02b3346b96b7bb", "token_id": "28935799979715921323707359943381446444156662518338694702666417866191985432120", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d63be8eff30ee722b4b8952a9d933c6d3d5189e4f0275749dcb52e14320d7a33", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4190612", "token_id": "54384645764738347758771519969475325770665191868802518042940492726865460390645", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78,000-80,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "30dde56e9282bd58209d31fe6b29619aee23b36d01b5873e54037f07a561a558", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190612", "condition_id": "0x09170e0dc7a903b681c70f35a2a31d6555cb2897892b5a78e9d15d4a7dbd4d94", "token_id": "54384645764738347758771519969475325770665191868802518042940492726865460390645", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6936f76e0dcb47f476248f81daa0e2be7ed4b3ac370dae330a57e9828eca799c", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4190614", "token_id": "46442201619180436129096510637419918692478272029946122769650651102999175970886", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80,000-82,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f86838fb38f74e8dbc5dd43386164acabce44eb36662ebb06e6c06e87f2247de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190614", "condition_id": "0xbc202a014630f942be4400171c5db436b835157f05be4797951351e8d3411041", "token_id": "46442201619180436129096510637419918692478272029946122769650651102999175970886", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fdd66e1918ff776b8dffbdc1b07ee0034293af7e81655e48d829d551feb30324", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4190615", "token_id": "19626333392763101119937762445984463560458103915775842598606245195863116982960", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82,000-84,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ad8c4de9c0fccb2ba128e18a6945481d2316847b139218376bd0b1ce1aa3861b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190615", "condition_id": "0xeba0ea92eca6b8f03d871a8a1dcfa67969d180921b9aebc56ddcdfbd3f4dfd60", "token_id": "19626333392763101119937762445984463560458103915775842598606245195863116982960", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1c193ce3cbc3d76aeb415b9b175630276d02f2e8e35f5ecc28a02a18229b78e4", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4190617", "token_id": "8477560948274391167211616226877283582515549549330205818970024405615993234066", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84,000-86,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4fe7c4649017c5565e0c8659d9f5a86b8bbec1ce350d4a98c9a8af77477f364c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190617", "condition_id": "0x837c3d3d7e1e77761d3d257b3d495df4d3b13de00a20c56a3a98e70b15173e13", "token_id": "8477560948274391167211616226877283582515549549330205818970024405615993234066", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b762541ed7d9b90a2440be83c7ac83627830d68444657a39d7c177e985134f44", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4190619", "token_id": "115112144299880252347697346944916596707147857090052280574791404435067968510962", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86,000-88,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e7b9a22bc0878f598fc880ee7e80db954a3833a7ce521d9e9eb33aa1623ea38e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190619", "condition_id": "0x89cfeb16ee4358a1c028bcd9cfb4cdbd6ad4acd2370f0734fa621f88720ff92e", "token_id": "115112144299880252347697346944916596707147857090052280574791404435067968510962", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4caf183906f0effc9197e9fe66426025e05cb4e72782f66ff5de5ba94efec643", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4190621", "token_id": "42713360694094425550940466899141193120822564059150686010062989378416467407012", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88,000-90,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8f9f6125508ce2083fbd7435d99975787cce30051a97463b5e7eb7b20babbd21", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190621", "condition_id": "0x8e91e747290746df67e6e2b68fe13bcee88ef2c74c76975541aa95a13f74e0cd", "token_id": "42713360694094425550940466899141193120822564059150686010062989378416467407012", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5f9323b9a99e5f5e447916f3b7506dd00c6b8b9cd92c7e12cfe6b23fcace6203", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4190603", "token_id": "106627211106570407917489260583614954586099893318596583226283057616291122402725", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<72,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "33a5d1332dfb5abe4c851b2739107601a50ed27cbc0926a9af2c0932029c5187", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190603", "condition_id": "0x84eafa899cd993eae30e09616137666288f033f24576f75795f7f52e4fe65a19", "token_id": "106627211106570407917489260583614954586099893318596583226283057616291122402725", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "152342d46e7070871fdd74a499ebe6c072a0574a5bd3e451810ca40acb96f37f", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4190623", "token_id": "3360100385667808079062236363883836032848932559258642682514153221270261977900", "outcome": "yes", "label": ">90,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a5e9aaade71e7f4deff284e6d88034eb8c10fe07a9068f395750cbdbc987844d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190623", "condition_id": "0x4fbd404fa0e7c2753e0361300fd2aa2a6b4dc36735e90a10f6af72ca9b55460e", "token_id": "3360100385667808079062236363883836032848932559258642682514153221270261977900", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959616", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "612de92913fe5249b7c175f5a544a295fd362175f4301f8567a301c3ab73a3c3", "event_source_sha256": "d8692313fc2e23a954d44fc1b6f0f68f3d753f21428fb0020ee6c7189796c730" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:101762", "title": "Rhode Island Governor Republican Primary Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "58c28efd5d29d180217ef80546c610f97cc37070aa100bc7e2e660e789ab9620", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "906891", "906892", "906893", "906894", "906895", "906896", "906897", "906898", "906899", "906900", "906901", "906902", "906903", "906904", "906905", "906906", "906907", "906908", "906909", "906910", "906911" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:101762", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "906891", "token_id": "27480166989060357291001664454487205062211581586397382937752876031870002486926", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Aaron Guckian", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8fe71dc50bce7331d8f8c38e31dfe20ad35edd23bee1c15b87459bd83d6ec4d7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "906891", "condition_id": "0x576df0755393742f793a7a67016d482cd37ef1ef9d0623cc14fddafcadf1d83f", "token_id": "27480166989060357291001664454487205062211581586397382937752876031870002486926", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "101762", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f7197ec3ab8cc9eab5a32e9f2d1ee3ecb944c58e617f7c0e0e0954201cc17fe9", "event_source_sha256": "ea59e2fd4a14001fb098b318fbf3577577a27cdd6337dac80c73595b90ebba1d" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "906895", "token_id": "54950305006486807873259156307357298549013843352969050843905570215046840702329", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ashley Kalus", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b8db14187ea7fdb4b58035b9b035a1704216e585edcd331a8b6277a381965674", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "906895", "condition_id": "0xfdcf5d3bae2cdb30ee1390f111df0ade8e493599847433f9d46395d76ca098d7", "token_id": "54950305006486807873259156307357298549013843352969050843905570215046840702329", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ashley Kalus win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "101762", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "499304ceabc6b107cf80b82b7462e5e147b192a1c411a13071e24e0f8f4ca9fe", "event_source_sha256": "ea59e2fd4a14001fb098b318fbf3577577a27cdd6337dac80c73595b90ebba1d" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "906892", "token_id": "88263278220588156149538007158191194667077179663694218145965687246339882512245", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elaine Pelino", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1a849bd400d144baf291547861130a9175f4573202503d1b739cded4ac63b6ec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "906892", "condition_id": "0xc379c4b420b00afd99e427ccc93da241459fd858d79d61190ad091ae114185b7", "token_id": "88263278220588156149538007158191194667077179663694218145965687246339882512245", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "101762", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f62664ec7e3790f149c44dafe7c1794614dfb997f9455e51bbc169e3efd45097", "event_source_sha256": "ea59e2fd4a14001fb098b318fbf3577577a27cdd6337dac80c73595b90ebba1d" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "906894", "token_id": "54707973644845809991908625153546890211579793480126140064817671103367955211252", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jessica de la Cruz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6c8380b83575f48174b973067fd6562876c974c7242524a1c2cab72ec462e71d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "906894", "condition_id": "0xb8d9bf510e5a60797aed3d741374ea549e97db09ad8786e00b063f1bf4f621f1", "token_id": "54707973644845809991908625153546890211579793480126140064817671103367955211252", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jessica de la Cruz win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "101762", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3ccfb8699933d97f8bbf03a195f8023c1af2946b9b86cfbac131072e9e66c74e", "event_source_sha256": "ea59e2fd4a14001fb098b318fbf3577577a27cdd6337dac80c73595b90ebba1d" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "906893", "token_id": "74207488836920212464503921614583920052021589620434637909629977075906334869718", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Robert Raimondo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f343cfa88fcee2c9f47645303772ca10e5dfdd44da054b3cd8c164b8e07f34c4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "906893", "condition_id": "0xff5ba6924156e4ad7678a7a647c6b7804bc4204dde4077a46bfde7c891e90f3c", "token_id": "74207488836920212464503921614583920052021589620434637909629977075906334869718", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Robert Raimondo win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-08T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "101762", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4d006738f73435763baad74ed270f220c89c46f8d6c85620eb97792c999048f6", "event_source_sha256": "ea59e2fd4a14001fb098b318fbf3577577a27cdd6337dac80c73595b90ebba1d" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987247", "title": "Highest temperature in Miami on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "fb7c777d076fe57f4245b1275d345a30349337965eac32b031917a06651149c1", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4359133", "4359134", "4359135", "4359136", "4359137", "4359138", "4359139", "4359140", "4359141", "4359142", "4359143" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987247", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4359133", "token_id": "66065198962450835712860781651972220798163578295897878121241976330014633497902", "outcome": "yes", "label": "79\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c957896ca2f647e30014925e50c483fdd9310e47fe110dcd5852998c7720a273", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359133", "condition_id": "0x4d47a8f1224801a9c48efab9a72e20c6fa251718ef403d929e18940e30fc71e9", "token_id": "66065198962450835712860781651972220798163578295897878121241976330014633497902", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8399aa1f1ab5b83b74d2f82c0781b45cecbfaa3b340317db4d38d76593c3f81a", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4359134", "token_id": "82537316090109081306929586450033755567429507246317505521492785521101564996925", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a67fb2a41dc36c67340e4c5fc69d67a3c97e9592e735266a441b7ac82a8664ae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359134", "condition_id": "0x587ace9510ff623307aa7bbab64039e559eb3ea7f6352e15daf272bb24ed4113", "token_id": "82537316090109081306929586450033755567429507246317505521492785521101564996925", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "845c0ee60f9985e53cdc1eb1e25981c702e2a864d5143b354760c6b50a57a33e", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4359135", "token_id": "85185311402145578707908280210253539043317323522960258780788000332186438764300", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6d3fe2ead4c6f9326036079c8839cda3aec279394c7cf8b1fc864cfe2636e0f6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359135", "condition_id": "0xaf138fba841aef1f37a67266bafe956b229640f1580791280b7041ec91f77aa8", "token_id": "85185311402145578707908280210253539043317323522960258780788000332186438764300", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "29381a8623efedce8f8a9fef57868dcd9a26bba123b13d4eb1a125a2a52d2443", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4359136", "token_id": "68200178302629701305085396641210032063605055449560305743191812803391564479500", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5791befdd752a16e075e054453c5fa6d2ecbd0f4120480f59a5eb82278870e93", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359136", "condition_id": "0x88fe9f8ab5238d57b78da43ab15c3a41dcc848f5cf68bb720946d19e2b36a032", "token_id": "68200178302629701305085396641210032063605055449560305743191812803391564479500", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7404228412717d96bdcfed43d553b1130520fbce5d3bd35c2b80c3e76eb40f78", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4359137", "token_id": "7239637765191798111258876696603232387750481710328331183867068189648743125200", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e58eb9605ff6206f4bee95283eb1e75aa41261f7b64b6ec6d703717b536f0f86", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359137", "condition_id": "0xfccba3a45b49c7308176fe9ef5e8a6e19584e731bca33257d97aebc5b9ca625b", "token_id": "7239637765191798111258876696603232387750481710328331183867068189648743125200", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "aef298b6519fe78090f2e07a7a5b956ddf40b453eb2b069206e4db469d21c1ff", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4359138", "token_id": "96858931630378322640772162249210928356656048946160794316260298548287108116363", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88-89\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a53bd3ff688a4f0a7662b7a47ae2a8313e262561d14b4d7a22940f82d1d1f2d0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359138", "condition_id": "0x34de802ef8e9a74fc9e1ec1b6fa074b9452c4607bcd391d309b006523e339be0", "token_id": "96858931630378322640772162249210928356656048946160794316260298548287108116363", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9089e49e3a6478bdcb7a2287869b39c09350673563995a8d3964dc6afcbd3a7a", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4359139", "token_id": "35132485395612240657598531032106369726705808696878153117461587896856251831321", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c3ba35aed184759ebeddbf9299fcbfbd801624dc9144448a77ef22d95322db78", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359139", "condition_id": "0xb3b6e87a541c3dd831378ca4bd80e8744a70775ac3ccc83a075c31fbb8b69f08", "token_id": "35132485395612240657598531032106369726705808696878153117461587896856251831321", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "878f8d1b9b23f6e48ad6336df64ecda9edd2b0a9995a026305a5640c074d5039", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4359140", "token_id": "112280497053237133140659893319006584985994826868177817631484170550607750770200", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "107268d5b154f22d98b2fc2f0781adc0ec9b81307675ab5dda007ed371214156", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359140", "condition_id": "0x639d9ee141c45a5d8d1135f5f352f8a7fd949fb9f1d35a10b499326547204354", "token_id": "112280497053237133140659893319006584985994826868177817631484170550607750770200", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c8a323b3bd4bcc2ed5d4b7d89e626d7c0f3d1116c9a65ccc21d3a387389ede84", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4359141", "token_id": "3516482621259498369818389233368335069285314056427150912064791065631730745047", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94-95\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "52c7e274a9bd04e0308c9f689a9250f9f354f609e0a685bd21b963b702395be4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359141", "condition_id": "0x96dd49d9667814b92d4eac2e04f48079e72dee44f87f456788650f6d027fcdcc", "token_id": "3516482621259498369818389233368335069285314056427150912064791065631730745047", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a06969bfef3107acb47f72a0eb6e2f44bc7834f306bfe837f7e526154992a3ac", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4359142", "token_id": "86337184317462765709760075101355561891348024914656963264338560549488890468954", "outcome": "yes", "label": "96-97\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "73a39c8131c028a393a611ea12e8a71573faeab73d50eac2a4848d0b826d9e6e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359142", "condition_id": "0xce2cd0753e0b90b88d1942c9f06dfa0b03253645d44844fb53921898845a1136", "token_id": "86337184317462765709760075101355561891348024914656963264338560549488890468954", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f0ddf37e26d79250d5b5d4f9a37469370a3aedcc4d3344841de335cf59a7cf6e", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4359143", "token_id": "2143573935668543688101303006854219464773181706977896394820443447473986693487", "outcome": "yes", "label": "98\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a107755a3e08fed1fd789cb1570b9787ec16dda735936cfd2fc10cb2ef3e4507", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359143", "condition_id": "0x21524e4dd67360ebe15b732d8481a343c0b6565f532c0d9a0fd711bb645635f5", "token_id": "2143573935668543688101303006854219464773181706977896394820443447473986693487", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987247", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "57df98cb93b5fa2093294d0285855293ce19bbb384b96ba7ab5595034530f6a7", "event_source_sha256": "6318d1a3810bd30bebeb6b01f224b4a13c936deb9aadcaae04c33125d94813d0" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:606384", "title": "ECB Interest Rates: September 2026", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "54a4ac7709daf897333da81fe16d516122494c6e5ab4e589e1af999393306ded", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2587794", "2587795", "2587796", "2587797", "2587798" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:606384", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2587795", "token_id": "100115796031394896395460141335448598037119911108640558342484095032254453304683", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1dc7669bc9c3b790f5b7081b0e0ac2d096480662b05d176cce593f8d603f9ca6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2587795", "condition_id": "0x240d68ffae598d596d150719631e9e2c18ef8f2c222366c902c5cda7bcfaa262", "token_id": "100115796031394896395460141335448598037119911108640558342484095032254453304683", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606384", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "585fafe48c3adb15edea9308e6e402d1532b8b537df7a54b269d2e6f6979e7d5", "event_source_sha256": "8cbce5b6e375c7676fa860f4c8c8080f25657379d2b430392f247a345f1d2cab" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2587797", "token_id": "85654491255284232945799571971757400369607728922353401693044083334304106373664", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e4c960fbcb40a6aed267c184133ae8178a43e09472f9df50abde33e0d61e49c9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2587797", "condition_id": "0x1e43a5c82c8c210ea1b229b8140aa85f82595bb67eab4f61e2379ea1fc00ca8a", "token_id": "85654491255284232945799571971757400369607728922353401693044083334304106373664", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606384", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "178847ebaf3d65f4a622f97d85acd8a974d8e48e19ff4e9f7d15a75a0068a7f7", "event_source_sha256": "8cbce5b6e375c7676fa860f4c8c8080f25657379d2b430392f247a345f1d2cab" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2587794", "token_id": "108207536996209445536632195396433937276383941175751881109415678688899361407069", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "208896508101909388112fb7f8e087984ed8111a9ad193e4c8987c04d2751969", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2587794", "condition_id": "0xc6f10b9bb3a0ee3b02e5bbcda09d7f4872e3183f6e7c0bc945c81624aaf8b626", "token_id": "108207536996209445536632195396433937276383941175751881109415678688899361407069", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606384", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4b5e42cd136c43a72fb2bd0f04402fe973856bbe8cbcd17704f3265835f6abee", "event_source_sha256": "8cbce5b6e375c7676fa860f4c8c8080f25657379d2b430392f247a345f1d2cab" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2587798", "token_id": "98988350961038995103335574756516091593651036924262106188770920226949741617911", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8ba75850538982115ed023954f4535df79138fcbbdcb8b5e0e2d1ebfc5c09cfd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2587798", "condition_id": "0x268e6091245fda2b8f8974729a0db131777bb1e0596e3eb2133d681345228ee7", "token_id": "98988350961038995103335574756516091593651036924262106188770920226949741617911", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606384", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "814f2a48853cd412dbbf1bc17228c76bf416743a79d87968fda10125434a5726", "event_source_sha256": "8cbce5b6e375c7676fa860f4c8c8080f25657379d2b430392f247a345f1d2cab" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2587796", "token_id": "58785305114092094604839773322350114396113500464207883078997239733338379202316", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No change", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af6a9ae650338af4e03fac544bb7f19fb96ee0cf26f8c84ca12daebcadfa1c31", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2587796", "condition_id": "0xe5c79f9cc0092a3c064fa990454baa851638d32a988e278a548ad284e55a31ac", "token_id": "58785305114092094604839773322350114396113500464207883078997239733338379202316", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T11:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606384", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3c574239d54fdf0a4e337870488cd0a18139cc1e0ca6220ac6adf116c0327bfa", "event_source_sha256": "8cbce5b6e375c7676fa860f4c8c8080f25657379d2b430392f247a345f1d2cab" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:57650", "title": "Maine Senate Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "d48b4623583f7f491a8885253cbbf04d9c9de5f4e9241d0c99b7a5b54ebf588a", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "630772", "630773", "630774", "630775", "630776", "630777", "630778", "630779", "630780", "630781", "630782", "630783", "630784" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:57650", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "630773", "token_id": "2142948285506077695096498341598672159464223074468931276310105532825810210121", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Susan Collins (R)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "45db764904e169a979b9d749aff1fb80e3d3176a965069e3ced4a8387870c816", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "630773", "condition_id": "0x2c00cb09722a0f0501c5e49131b898ed57bb5c075db4dc2bcbc14908f45b8c48", "token_id": "2142948285506077695096498341598672159464223074468931276310105532825810210121", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57650", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ec6e49f528ca32e08cce0d3a0eb7a0bd347da77421b9288be349206f0ccd550a", "event_source_sha256": "26d6f742d9c123c68d8b8278285e9ae2f983c11274edd7bcd4c862feb0a60b60" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "630772", "token_id": "7589880081658059374445882095611024032084645048848237404312287942463647821549", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Troy Jackson (D)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8e92f6d1b4ea1eeb92df0a82f308342571fff80eec1065407011c0653f57ce03", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "630772", "condition_id": "0x66bbf6d55e0296278858b3147689f3df9259374f158f9f028b608baa322a639c", "token_id": "7589880081658059374445882095611024032084645048848237404312287942463647821549", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57650", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "90427bf77c1e0edf0e7a10f652487daaad4c325defa34389da6111ade6057f59", "event_source_sha256": "26d6f742d9c123c68d8b8278285e9ae2f983c11274edd7bcd4c862feb0a60b60" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:960054", "title": "# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 7, "semantics_hash": "a81fb859965be02b127d4b1b671e6a0597a93234dcf9808a47716a734422a6a0", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4192216", "4192217", "4192218", "4192219", "4192220", "4192221", "4192222" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:960054", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4192217", "token_id": "37520611146414167445935176441537071609055507147452474438913976728168871254118", "outcome": "yes", "label": "40-50M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "066361be247c483824188aacbf41bd3cee64055d84fbcf01226e5eb719b629a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4192217", "condition_id": "0x12da14d875555f160db5d85d80308336e4ed4d3a5292343a69eca21358fdd5b4", "token_id": "37520611146414167445935176441537071609055507147452474438913976728168871254118", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "960054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2a1a26c9516cde816df9af834f8febd0a1d13b751e9bcf1468bc6d7cbb69564a", "event_source_sha256": "326c7ebc9c30dcf31e1936b7bb861381b1f1b299de1e579c4d2a3f500cfd6320" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4192218", "token_id": "60292038866663804199383814229881559599752498118669070163180103753948479192646", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50-60M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "896befbd078947fbbab34f2dd7c2c715a30582a82e099e7740efc24a97187053", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4192218", "condition_id": "0xfb6ad8cd22541d4c2b1200fdd961b22db67930ea75f77704305a1e396c5e2185", "token_id": "60292038866663804199383814229881559599752498118669070163180103753948479192646", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "960054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b757b63802da12f8f79b671fab5d4719c28b6f479ef8d9ab7f644826f62fa6f6", "event_source_sha256": "326c7ebc9c30dcf31e1936b7bb861381b1f1b299de1e579c4d2a3f500cfd6320" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4192219", "token_id": "82238563298887163599583507121693538919167540753138172773417322419043250064630", "outcome": "yes", "label": "60-70M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e377b4fc2403a63634581caf70f5d719e2e84349eb9f1ba6fc90f2798dbed52d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4192219", "condition_id": "0xd0d25485c482890512b7b919238400b0f2b0444aef10b98fb3c63ec2b833d5e3", "token_id": "82238563298887163599583507121693538919167540753138172773417322419043250064630", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "960054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "718c1f616bbc03a24e13c5dbb5bb5e6c7bb5a6fa59230f5877df4b45fc9d2910", "event_source_sha256": "326c7ebc9c30dcf31e1936b7bb861381b1f1b299de1e579c4d2a3f500cfd6320" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4192220", "token_id": "62563043429657915459678109876953155829720365834296747817555710257851459333871", "outcome": "yes", "label": "70-80M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "12ea2b3c125a7b282d7b82932a60892705233af645aa89fbedb4e1ebbb64c553", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4192220", "condition_id": "0x7f2199a97efbf4f1ebfa7d54e65941f5db7a5a9280326bd4a4daa198e5f2765d", "token_id": "62563043429657915459678109876953155829720365834296747817555710257851459333871", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "960054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2afc330b2d24ee8e64e75779850cbad71a364c134fa371e6750da2e2463b8e6a", "event_source_sha256": "326c7ebc9c30dcf31e1936b7bb861381b1f1b299de1e579c4d2a3f500cfd6320" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4192221", "token_id": "22641503616887344982011957577812043346788042966229841971240667582466694285901", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-90M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0dc665fada40a664a411077adcfc2368f2c668b6eafe0829c2020bd9185e773b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4192221", "condition_id": "0x92faf7e06d6d2b4620c332de8e73b36f430bff7b762f3cdf31694e81808e6b6f", "token_id": "22641503616887344982011957577812043346788042966229841971240667582466694285901", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "960054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3cf8c664a499c39896aee84e88160227010149f9c2a1e9d972b8e33cb3e65f3b", "event_source_sha256": "326c7ebc9c30dcf31e1936b7bb861381b1f1b299de1e579c4d2a3f500cfd6320" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4192222", "token_id": "77016283852382392481237516928741708499603381622723025066639187603374107207716", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90M+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ef6be787d0af0fb680140edc85698b390ba112645c85f82b5ac8f25729ae44a5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4192222", "condition_id": "0xf7b1075b4c0a1dd5e4b337a3475411f80db2bb76aced198eea4c15fb323ef84f", "token_id": "77016283852382392481237516928741708499603381622723025066639187603374107207716", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "960054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3beb99cb90439dad214f921a07c72136be014d82aacaee4b5fac9017484576eb", "event_source_sha256": "326c7ebc9c30dcf31e1936b7bb861381b1f1b299de1e579c4d2a3f500cfd6320" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4192216", "token_id": "17044544731609066606050108360121730630691469722726085730176073187938832337871", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<40M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fbe22bf8965f7f09649e0a99cbadf78d62b30556977710f72039cb9b9142f9b9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4192216", "condition_id": "0xb522b9bdac39581d66ef2b5afcdb60fbe4a6af63d843edc5b43c8a3fd35d3432", "token_id": "17044544731609066606050108360121730630691469722726085730176073187938832337871", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.\n\nIf MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "960054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b0ae3754939ff4d43aa774dafa5cda1caaef2690cb7b0af2449243ed4cc67ccb", "event_source_sha256": "326c7ebc9c30dcf31e1936b7bb861381b1f1b299de1e579c4d2a3f500cfd6320" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986743", "title": "Highest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "8b9a512ea72dff96a352e94a764d5d8478cd98ecad0ba5e1e1c41a723e5a91eb", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356536", "4356537", "4356538", "4356539", "4356540", "4356541", "4356542", "4356543", "4356544", "4356545", "4356546" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986743", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356536", "token_id": "19381762892483280690634496551446060159022646795104294614964928965659535464727", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7851136d11e0396a103ec6fd88f29a17525f9f273cd7b5c6e09fc27137b967eb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356536", "condition_id": "0x11baea565ff05dc45e0e636f60392fd1f1830f41297f2721452ac0d1edba227a", "token_id": "19381762892483280690634496551446060159022646795104294614964928965659535464727", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6a4c7666ef0abf8ec5d96b740a70198e0dba5b84f3cadcb799a7264548586cab", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356537", "token_id": "96945484526725194434281406937090710868787400300950602801999279302819454750421", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "568baae0e54b7bc68022d51b2806de85565576a15ec8f724e26de06e78f8d1d7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356537", "condition_id": "0x5677fd9626cd467761e1c9eeeff2aa6302a9539e0676e6be61f6a38d6bc2ba27", "token_id": "96945484526725194434281406937090710868787400300950602801999279302819454750421", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "789a4e632bdd8d9980434a89aff64e4e339da86de12125d449bb247b6867415c", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356538", "token_id": "93400541402371750145639305505415973860547435249985809024079398398588185505730", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "20599cd7fedc307725f3b7efc9187aa75d809255737a0d4f609533cbc4897d83", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356538", "condition_id": "0x5285d337b5600a2181707fac1505909c143f73f37773a647fc74e295c4731768", "token_id": "93400541402371750145639305505415973860547435249985809024079398398588185505730", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "167460d6ad4a46bfc961a7e23a4d24216ee143d773dff47672c0533c2e6504ef", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356539", "token_id": "92713598087080285055072154794631468368525649165186228263689319992508279069721", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1ce0223abcf86010e7347c1ff8294bf6ffb9706a23958da4de07b6d1636a8139", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356539", "condition_id": "0xd657e8b7b922ac5a1abd36cd00cd884c09deec00684b12a76a73734f2a1b919f", "token_id": "92713598087080285055072154794631468368525649165186228263689319992508279069721", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "66f11c6fed2bc70538c859ba314be237b283acc7f6ba280f3acae85f1f7913d1", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356540", "token_id": "60660369695514810642781192508013312109823869215957829937174309353052569669443", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "32c0d96a2d083a32d1b4ded1464e1e771717d56d5a8ad3f28de12d0013912c86", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356540", "condition_id": "0x480abe04e614e6266ba5cf165f24c1cc5a68bb2a4c3116293ad8eaa3fe2dc529", "token_id": "60660369695514810642781192508013312109823869215957829937174309353052569669443", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "718e3062128ef11dbe0b87af5b23ac1ba9c6af8d87b3ed0b800c6dc377f51bfa", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356541", "token_id": "76674376547166464331268401528178313897792069233267046035205542448120448982424", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2f3bc9d609701bd762b4f090d203a57b4a971ccdabf16c24f4b9811586498f2d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356541", "condition_id": "0xd9c64ae98f262ba6abf0e889813935eebb815302fcb818746398418c81579cff", "token_id": "76674376547166464331268401528178313897792069233267046035205542448120448982424", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c04b715ea7e1d0924fb3e758e960805996e7159c00ece1d931ed224b4c9aebca", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356542", "token_id": "14077129118183184862273005798879632432242143899531700943668926761971534795879", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cc2433d662aeae238f6e680c59c7bcc20d02ddadbca1c3f9a81428ccfbba833d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356542", "condition_id": "0xe9d1325c6ae29987b64c32f6b341bbf1187082bb28dc8e36b1e2b969275dbcc0", "token_id": "14077129118183184862273005798879632432242143899531700943668926761971534795879", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5356a545e0beb8e754881f93eee266135c1069ec1346b250a08656c06f079155", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356543", "token_id": "95096976430619837681173417983433760979737428059147691207756713530776830263598", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5e6be3c443116548c4888ecf13bf32888f7633da28baf4de70a1d971cc065e30", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356543", "condition_id": "0x2a265ecaad475d54d9d9a876eaf87449513d35289ceaf75a010203fd6ba1c79d", "token_id": "95096976430619837681173417983433760979737428059147691207756713530776830263598", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0073389892ef34a911ad1b1d3797dab81fda7df18cb79ba172107eec30aefd30", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356544", "token_id": "60531778407476885554589550304070338056344023649880019817420657208185845388080", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6a2ea4fc7eb243572a3c3e38b902debceff432ef109e7b6d594ba16802c28865", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356544", "condition_id": "0x7010a5681e5c02d69c160e589076cd5be6aaf5d009fb7bebf15bc391ac290588", "token_id": "60531778407476885554589550304070338056344023649880019817420657208185845388080", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3bc497aaa2fc8acc07cbfb2bc59f2c1b5de72d4b64a3406ecdb6d7e02044b6ab", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356545", "token_id": "54189441326184718906265931850796885911538713419344999678319859738313462420031", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cc556ac830d87ac359e9ce8ba86aefa968d58a917880d1acf40f1a5917a68bfb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356545", "condition_id": "0x013123ee06a123103607e9cb5486f44f2f505caa34e6d98a3ef0356763fef1ff", "token_id": "54189441326184718906265931850796885911538713419344999678319859738313462420031", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1f17abee7c158444ae8c18c85b3db3e3682ed3676c73f9ff27d9e855e15b9cb7", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356546", "token_id": "33914829404508968736826149808223680387287277899759664445176467791295814105927", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e26ad69bf3f74013b58f4946e9e6938ca1c0858bbfdb8e475210d15a52e5cbc9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356546", "condition_id": "0xa9308e1d4af64191a254e0126d166ff169320fdb8008ecb5ea2c8d058b276822", "token_id": "33914829404508968736826149808223680387287277899759664445176467791295814105927", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986743", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8910758c56ef156fa0cd7cadd0dd8ef266cbadce9f0cc3b1536bc40f07665ebb", "event_source_sha256": "6480dc8dcb2bd4214c33efac1b1964e9b8def63a63fba4bd6c1e66f6ef573043" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:940190", "title": "Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "4620ac7edd71c5706d2f2f6352eb4d421e1c5ca90cc0f88954818b814cca4e5d", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4019532", "4019534", "4019535" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:940190", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4019534", "token_id": "54177897216244874858825760377903569560850968417825507282497274339196517440799", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "df1d1cea20af83b86e52511dabcad9c8f639440dedc9080e8a059d1b854d39dd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4019534", "condition_id": "0xa1ae61493c417a6a6c0901b1ff18fa2176fdf9630e09cebd07fe9c863d4e3217", "token_id": "54177897216244874858825760377903569560850968417825507282497274339196517440799", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-13T14:15:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T14:15:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "940190", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1038b6498845f33401bf902e278a6c0e24c0b5cd2f5e564ff0da05a74936bb9b", "event_source_sha256": "9c81be27b34c0d36629c91e50147dc563b420d2440ff6caf92f6aee1c671d751" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4019535", "token_id": "62333184840363207636347306893167936353060863127730239544047703985589715684793", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Barcelona", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "465b00cad2bebdf772be843c175fb2a5b42dabebeca335f989dc6fb2eb2c690f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4019535", "condition_id": "0x9db068aee7f73522b83e40711fffe5cb490182e354846933dcf29a28f1b72082", "token_id": "62333184840363207636347306893167936353060863127730239544047703985589715684793", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026\nIf FC Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-13T14:15:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T14:15:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "940190", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "48b2066e61e02761af2411a5683c952be4527c48f33bf804ee7a61e7d48a51d5", "event_source_sha256": "9c81be27b34c0d36629c91e50147dc563b420d2440ff6caf92f6aee1c671d751" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4019532", "token_id": "87640151028430729157347562623425726064021020693841711803787476098075716137006", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Levante UD", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c87fbc3b362ff0bcd0cbb066faee678d88eca7077f7b1821beae505c99a39011", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4019532", "condition_id": "0xfe312519f5522b754e525c804e85beb79e4e33cfb59d9ff4d114e47ea62908d6", "token_id": "87640151028430729157347562623425726064021020693841711803787476098075716137006", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-13?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026\nIf Levante UD wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-13T14:15:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T14:15:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "940190", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d7fc287f16de02df5f8ba09b7fe0df8af319514d2d01659fb9ebfbe71761edd1", "event_source_sha256": "9c81be27b34c0d36629c91e50147dc563b420d2440ff6caf92f6aee1c671d751" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:918353", "title": "\"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" total domestic gross by September 30?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "e362c139401855eb294a118c3176bf705680e3b9a8fb10f6c8389ab45529ca52", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3916930", "3916931", "3916932", "3916933", "3916934" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:918353", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3916931", "token_id": "55845601565204895597100500202412675304318645311570556714180029929386573277522", "outcome": "yes", "label": "940 - 950m", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "45525d12ec0243b5ea38f9f967b2a1fcbe487d1442b3575a331dbf768a6bb0d7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3916931", "condition_id": "0x5eb0d321154b4eeea0a92af0ab86426e0217b9f068574f5baf2226df57dab90e", "token_id": "55845601565204895597100500202412675304318645311570556714180029929386573277522", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "918353", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4036b4afe36f1798e6135283c3a174559cb67aebef4575f1d459b7ce41ae653b", "event_source_sha256": "139f8090c168cbf2bc1a8edb2fdc1adc8c9c41ac3e01927e3979bad6e1ab644e" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3916932", "token_id": "86976276483189139621019980265392131733989544170571957011277034391644226225917", "outcome": "yes", "label": "950 - 960m", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd9e38cb7d796f90f2be01ce4bd9f1769029c7b7cc75665e832a9336d5cff9a0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3916932", "condition_id": "0xcce65f93aa0eaeb1ceed4fef2093894e8a1c92309f9a7b8ce38852bd12f2790a", "token_id": "86976276483189139621019980265392131733989544170571957011277034391644226225917", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "918353", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "df67f5b0deeb651d4af9c9cd6291e2ae8ea063f16893936b56f56c4ea06b3211", "event_source_sha256": "139f8090c168cbf2bc1a8edb2fdc1adc8c9c41ac3e01927e3979bad6e1ab644e" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3916933", "token_id": "15682994285577807488843554764958055544921581116196220448557508569146780075087", "outcome": "yes", "label": "960 - 970m", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ad072329435fabe6c1889a95356c9e64d43e2681cd01e39d65a1b3964e4e958b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3916933", "condition_id": "0x4318085446d5f80c0d9b31b5fc07e4393b6b6b1d60e01720392e0200f700e243", "token_id": "15682994285577807488843554764958055544921581116196220448557508569146780075087", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 970m by September 30?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "918353", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2d158c3623acd5eccd3cd23e5dc9a2700c79c91230f52c650efa2223d52258e5", "event_source_sha256": "139f8090c168cbf2bc1a8edb2fdc1adc8c9c41ac3e01927e3979bad6e1ab644e" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3916934", "token_id": "55918338355872118077133937976398863362284259445783452077330428829239065789514", "outcome": "yes", "label": "970m+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1cd406de899c5e264144552c1582416e87bf7c67acde2ba9321d20d30876ee4f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3916934", "condition_id": "0xa721abae4a53fe4b6bcc5549850872f9f5da3805e4235cbce66351d48e9b843a", "token_id": "55918338355872118077133937976398863362284259445783452077330428829239065789514", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "918353", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "556840e65682893237b5922bc4237e5a4af073fabbc87b6b8e853d81fdc7bcc4", "event_source_sha256": "139f8090c168cbf2bc1a8edb2fdc1adc8c9c41ac3e01927e3979bad6e1ab644e" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3916930", "token_id": "11163122783130740501299989152337415441080930349727616481809031704242594662976", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<940m", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fe9eced74e3209010c02f3fab9ab7a5959d6d1e1ad4fdb88d0f189836d584184", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3916930", "condition_id": "0x90e34b5fa9e4367f7ff8b24ff91a73aa8be31ffce3b6a3f191b5643e2da73c49", "token_id": "11163122783130740501299989152337415441080930349727616481809031704242594662976", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Spider-Man: Brand New Day\" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "918353", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5fe8478cf705782854948ba0ec844122b3bd397ef0084b6c9fa47272cf437988", "event_source_sha256": "139f8090c168cbf2bc1a8edb2fdc1adc8c9c41ac3e01927e3979bad6e1ab644e" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:627652", "title": "Bank of Russia decision in September?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "e12fc53a2d0be74b58b742605c83192daaabc2ddd97764cf1b9189c124bba4bc", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2661522", "2661523", "2661524" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:627652", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2661522", "token_id": "84600356364580996714627796883535757435686855421717776499297305073567636652930", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d58a0fa58ad36abc8434e5e2c4020fd103492b9660cf34b3c5990573814d6095", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2661522", "condition_id": "0x918fb0abb506dd05c2d96eb01f713cd2aa4cbba3e38f945473c697740234cc85", "token_id": "84600356364580996714627796883535757435686855421717776499297305073567636652930", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia\u2019s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia\u2019s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "627652", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "356ad6225dca66d06a898d038a32b7f6606d4fdf2739c6b6706ce6828c1908f4", "event_source_sha256": "1d6f948e4b305222ac47b1ef4b467b52a32907d5292455918bfc85cb6152bf6b" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2661524", "token_id": "23792979839805191805050271351704792175531953374486105941272579807964320800106", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7ecca6e192dc5f7f239ced677a8c5e30b4804619c17735c1e97c8b22ff1763b2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2661524", "condition_id": "0x73f366e7059368afe743a6d9d34163efa4c8b471c2d039073c27d4fdbe3bf487", "token_id": "23792979839805191805050271351704792175531953374486105941272579807964320800106", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia\u2019s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia\u2019s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "627652", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "daa2ea38ab7d577ee195ae79d13308cd4e8d746ca7081924f3d46da9f3301697", "event_source_sha256": "1d6f948e4b305222ac47b1ef4b467b52a32907d5292455918bfc85cb6152bf6b" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2661523", "token_id": "101226646659160481931269342739035989075280131990130572924718801665839150667247", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No Change", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a5184ede915ff2f291df979c18658ea7d5f5ed7a71b7d08bc2e0d04747681dfb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2661523", "condition_id": "0x1883b6810fb3e723165ee9c61a88f8803b5d6ffd2bf48d1a9ee391d3c13bfa2a", "token_id": "101226646659160481931269342739035989075280131990130572924718801665839150667247", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in the key rate resulting from the Bank of Russia\u2019s September meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its September 11, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia\u2019s press release for their September 11, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "627652", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ec2429549321aea8dcddf680d54ccbcb828e7d3163a96d88225a1a3d8b8e39f0", "event_source_sha256": "1d6f948e4b305222ac47b1ef4b467b52a32907d5292455918bfc85cb6152bf6b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:57682", "title": "Ohio Senate Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "f38a65f443c38aca2216556779a103b04d997c0416e19e96a5cb558a5a18c23e", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "631057", "631058", "631059", "631060", "631061", "631062", "631063", "631064", "631065", "631066", "631067", "631068", "631069" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:57682", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "631058", "token_id": "69908185249078099348466099388148864764525845923415294308139153388799352317616", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jon Husted (R)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "71b65ee216ed1ba675f30e9259cebce122449b3904408986e9e0432afeb3d96b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "631058", "condition_id": "0x771873c365f87bffd990644e4b688aebc1be7f18396d2eab64b996ff66e88669", "token_id": "69908185249078099348466099388148864764525845923415294308139153388799352317616", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57682", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f85ae8e610f1321ce71fd7acba3e65024ddb7ed555ea218f3f52b2747abbbed3", "event_source_sha256": "944bdf737799dfd773ee86e48dddd33cb7ea37838e3f9c13889c779b560f6535" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "631057", "token_id": "83018072688154066292491996133599479395547801317505487833443670253228061205312", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sherrod Brown (D)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b17271e4ead58c012bc82696b4e571a97885ff9e78a468e8c3b4dff414a1982a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "631057", "condition_id": "0x968a1a79e001d49fa3ee1429e3b95eb01797587740f86d4e6becf3ab1b275bfb", "token_id": "83018072688154066292491996133599479395547801317505487833443670253228061205312", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57682", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "862790fec9b3192b075c9acd2e57410465f4462973aada5744e4d571aa257b68", "event_source_sha256": "944bdf737799dfd773ee86e48dddd33cb7ea37838e3f9c13889c779b560f6535" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:953670", "title": "Test Series England vs Pakistan: England vs Pakistan", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "cdcdd58f0cb97ea15eb448fae9a696e3600e327eee3201a8bef03f6e9af44ad7", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4134874", "4134875", "4134876" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:953670", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4134875", "token_id": "52978534602606081157759495770934674322486298590139530054653490801852143809682", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "62962ca50c97a0bcb384367b5afaa574d5774a1ad8b5cb5183dd806c8ec42c89", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4134875", "condition_id": "0x70b9099037bb43455853ee3a7e71e27845efafd7aee09fc78968eb98b721d279", "token_id": "52978534602606081157759495770934674322486298590139530054653490801852143809682", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the match end in a draw?", "rules": "This market refers to the cricket match between England and Pakistan scheduled for September 9 2026 in Test Series England vs Pakistan.\n\nDLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.\n\nIf the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.\n\nIf the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.\n", "resolution_source": "https://www.espncricinfo.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-16T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-16T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "953670", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4a2cdfb1b2288d4f8f515bf391d4d8e16b69be94206ae536257171d826a94ef1", "event_source_sha256": "2e097f02b53a7973e6782d41b92fa20382df381f1ea80d54a079a2b20e421551" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4134874", "token_id": "96133875020658119495544858547959100750954010837922815764232357261997121944139", "outcome": "yes", "label": "England", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "db9cfdaf4dde08f15ccf28ab7d918fa0425fbc24e0fb02c9ef6f370061ae964f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4134874", "condition_id": "0xe8a51674ec29449055a000df7735e0b80c7a94c6af5e6e42454fc03a3edaf685", "token_id": "96133875020658119495544858547959100750954010837922815764232357261997121944139", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will England win?", "rules": "This market refers to the cricket match between England and Pakistan scheduled for September 9 2026 in Test Series England vs Pakistan.\n\nDLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.\n\nIf the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.\n\nIf the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.\n", "resolution_source": "https://www.espncricinfo.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-16T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-16T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "953670", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "835ea265ede166d21ef65c86309e0db3c56ab7825c31f83b2c6f5b496e698634", "event_source_sha256": "2e097f02b53a7973e6782d41b92fa20382df381f1ea80d54a079a2b20e421551" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4134876", "token_id": "56314568741626120558476966474820447812324875160108569080485245252158671389759", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pakistan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "754e24253be78c8fd6b6e2593a2d0dc5a99572e98b8ac57db8ac64db9bb4e1cc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4134876", "condition_id": "0xf55f8e1da6bbb3b93a67c30a0224ded8d628173d26df7be1548ef1f9a6c181fc", "token_id": "56314568741626120558476966474820447812324875160108569080485245252158671389759", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pakistan win?", "rules": "This market refers to the cricket match between England and Pakistan scheduled for September 9 2026 in Test Series England vs Pakistan.\n\nDLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins.\n\nIf the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve to draw.\n\nIf the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market will remain open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market will resolve to draw.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.\n", "resolution_source": "https://www.espncricinfo.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-16T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-16T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "953670", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "240ee5895ceabf461d9058401348fbef83a970dd1e94d01344816786371bd99d", "event_source_sha256": "2e097f02b53a7973e6782d41b92fa20382df381f1ea80d54a079a2b20e421551" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:727042", "title": "Best Chinese AI Company end of September?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "9aee2498be37c268c60421d3e3d5b8f856ca56531d9b0c1152735c040fa1a566", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3008043", "3008044", "3008045", "3008046", "3008047", "3008048", "3008049", "3008050", "3008051", "3008052", "3008053", "3008054", "3008055", "3008056", "3008057", "3008058", "3008059", "3008060", "3008061", "3008062", "3008063", "3008064", "3008065", "3008066", "3008067" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:727042", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3008043", "token_id": "105302465759585981453681343792678489473708646311637753255125983028166400715179", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alibaba", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b98a4859d073ecb9dc103911db8a4b24b3d45ed0e91058096d9460136362ac83", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008043", "condition_id": "0x2617cadbd861eb62a1c7bedd55c00c7d23efc266e9d9330c5ac76396f4d326bb", "token_id": "105302465759585981453681343792678489473708646311637753255125983028166400715179", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4ab777a46e040a02ac5c01e203fdc45184dbd24393201da82050c70422b4376e", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3008045", "token_id": "39771664915410690710083421005927117665683794540581665688025580602545287440337", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Baidu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b96ae8d4595602d52d034de9da41a6fa99a1d62e413266fdf741955c3f9bd9ab", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008045", "condition_id": "0x86eab52e222b48232512ecd031f0b45dd467e87d05981d9a77e6fab369d11f62", "token_id": "39771664915410690710083421005927117665683794540581665688025580602545287440337", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e0264f848b6bf49f61bef4507db96a7acebd85da70bcdb474570ef1c5eaaabd2", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3008049", "token_id": "115164383993101431224770095000992636890635970342174745641553194620586694871000", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ByteDance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "666782fed255db1f45dbec6d8256f76071a7f720429ad5ee0e86dc9770a648e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008049", "condition_id": "0x1cf04d8a2fc232d963c8f40f70dae0710beb047a77182359d33922581ef12092", "token_id": "115164383993101431224770095000992636890635970342174745641553194620586694871000", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2c4bb341b196d2041a4cf39c8b1814d046edc675fe2afaf55437e772689ed743", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3008048", "token_id": "68449560774295837004521511230156753926550871255567143408007588598618081330584", "outcome": "yes", "label": "DeepSeek", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8f228ab3cc963e2c480158d1f5fe56a08b1d23d4aebfe17b3125d1fa51596cd4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008048", "condition_id": "0xa4ce45439e0a89589930bf02ab06ac4638cd5a5d1163c751038a379438accc54", "token_id": "68449560774295837004521511230156753926550871255567143408007588598618081330584", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "37d1ae3439c60d8ccba57693eb8ee1cb04cec9e2664d4ba26decfa076c407834", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3008051", "token_id": "8503001775440846614526483300456880022034973726972526681508968153067025171010", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meituan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a9880b47cf496f510c851b15beec035d9263bb70f952485d34921ef300a522cb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008051", "condition_id": "0xadc0ed7a79ec9584864eadd67b5f6e59ac5b12e11d00d52f24a517c661cb8266", "token_id": "8503001775440846614526483300456880022034973726972526681508968153067025171010", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meituan have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f617111174fbaf98fdf5190f719bb090b8c118c546ef172caf5bd523988e2ee9", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3008050", "token_id": "35611249613367812118947951461173491735716349555982082071675315591194480727024", "outcome": "yes", "label": "MiniMax", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2a7637d75197452ca545b45b5d268e0d53e59e7d218f98aa624be93b670b6787", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008050", "condition_id": "0xbec99ccd3a2b23c9f817923b7ace316d02ab3c5a11d9af14580c09b26eb10cb5", "token_id": "35611249613367812118947951461173491735716349555982082071675315591194480727024", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dc220e057155c0ea1fd6b659dc1d3e7a84eb008c779068a253be946706a44695", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3008044", "token_id": "4528915770329715048998977876907090978768962760435403600172048166517182147752", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moonshot", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "02b67c4d247f1bf690721deefa92d82550ae1f2e07d300121104bf9499c8441e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008044", "condition_id": "0xf1c3bbe02b8db7c2c9a019a8119998c9565e48e7ebda321a09ce0690c6d92326", "token_id": "4528915770329715048998977876907090978768962760435403600172048166517182147752", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "907e07fdfa24c90c31993bfc52c655d639c03bd950ef2395f0e8cb3aa4b2e590", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3008053", "token_id": "32294293905540155218269628918114376871549312822327612410946667440627129613484", "outcome": "yes", "label": "StepFun", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4a72012d5262334a5579637fad7c6c4fda40a5910357cd24202660419b62dc2c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008053", "condition_id": "0x64b177566da1e8fd6fd13acef0711751070bf934f1445f54388a0d0d4c2fc881", "token_id": "32294293905540155218269628918114376871549312822327612410946667440627129613484", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "59c2d0726eb9846ac96ff712df8cfb61f764241503e75daa81f937c3e00bedee", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3008052", "token_id": "49247744312083491002254841384224404962830325791072832043992859184730660351750", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tencent", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "374e7f32872533f69adc6924e0360ef927b3249f3942f9430a13546fa7516f2a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008052", "condition_id": "0x2740fb57dda47b6926a99d113040e2a988b085288fc14d4568089dcff28e800f", "token_id": "49247744312083491002254841384224404962830325791072832043992859184730660351750", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "917f2ca1e08cd1044000e305ebff625fe25592051489decc9364e3ef0f83a8ed", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3008047", "token_id": "39111555977370507810556803973205199158348097722219602456785046760203703418244", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Xiaomi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a91c5c85850e3ec4aefaa00453b882386b5503da867dbc7ce2c99daf730a9d0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008047", "condition_id": "0xf0a654ed0533904ea8b221b93b2e2162bff62151a2b246148fc25b6b0b00d594", "token_id": "39111555977370507810556803973205199158348097722219602456785046760203703418244", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fe5bddb6265187fa3d60ae55238ac39b496b8a20fa5df89d223b92e0e77eb6e5", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3008046", "token_id": "83981670566531520641637538727599542560950896107637233900250446370687045562342", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Z.ai", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1d15f23e9a2a86a07e3c227ed6b0f63a303546ad9861f810dc8f9ee8b1fa2866", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3008046", "condition_id": "0xb0370f4c94ed142eaeef34250e65c99bd0ea3c61084e0e22a81f30a7cb5156d4", "token_id": "83981670566531520641637538727599542560950896107637233900250446370687045562342", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank among primarily Chinese companies, based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "727042", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b0cd0785da953f05014b6fbee7acca4bc02cbe8d5c0dd3dd77f193bb720b3a6e", "event_source_sha256": "61a4b1cd509b8354b66ea39036192a361baf3f0975c04f2aae43b71079ccea69" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:502873", "title": "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 9, "semantics_hash": "02ef93c26e6f9cf75eb84648f0b3fc22006900c7b9be1bf2df56e53005fd365d", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2304227", "2304228", "2304229", "2304230", "2304231", "2304232", "2304233", "2304234", "2304235", "2304236", "2304237", "2304238", "2304239", "2304240", "2304241", "2304242", "2304243", "2304244", "2304245", "2304246", "2304247", "2304248", "2304249", "2304250", "2304251", "2304252", "2304253", "2304254", "2304255", "2304256", "2304257", "2304258", "2304259", "2304260", "2304261", "2304262" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:502873", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2304230", "token_id": "25219028080073155450220980371598825880242013370065471243408682585287208216949", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Centre Party (C)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fdff4405780fbf1780ca1fa07928fb07449182cb0887560e8404d01911745a90", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304230", "condition_id": "0xa0a8a8e4f1f702f9a2dfb384937363425c5d692b85f3852ef552a003b4263c21", "token_id": "25219028080073155450220980371598825880242013370065471243408682585287208216949", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Centre Party (C) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502873", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5eaebaf7bc1b857bb877b6223d2237c6bdc35a117600e77294b49095c77c9fdf", "event_source_sha256": "c83cfec04913753fea37c95cb367b429a2eca0be25a1a6c8d890e1dcfac229f3" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2304232", "token_id": "97133295814318324784357175289308314114569434084494371082858673058002198889536", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Christian Democrats (KD)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "129ca15aa3476a97854330cac09ee93b0af3839251ece383c25a672682070eed", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304232", "condition_id": "0x11c8d0277259ec92493cb857e098a2fb5c2dd57a38894e7795d7c7765b0f5bfd", "token_id": "97133295814318324784357175289308314114569434084494371082858673058002198889536", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502873", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f52ca27040a97da380005bbdf7755b457048d8190d097c496cb1e9d38279025d", "event_source_sha256": "c83cfec04913753fea37c95cb367b429a2eca0be25a1a6c8d890e1dcfac229f3" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2304235", "token_id": "918370535969373411580661340421464225577521557030454451782405405023311726045", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Citizens' Coalition (MED)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e9f93abf1f4e8c6c8598f51b1b084c1770f8cde4529987a7a36ceaf1010f1f7f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304235", "condition_id": "0x22e3d0a32fbeb0752ff5b1d2aa0ba8ac65a18eee5eb5d84afd06d769e7ddec7c", "token_id": "918370535969373411580661340421464225577521557030454451782405405023311726045", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502873", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fd3a75bd61270372fae0493886091aba35dcf850d4c72dbb9b17cd8d97a1e1ec", "event_source_sha256": "c83cfec04913753fea37c95cb367b429a2eca0be25a1a6c8d890e1dcfac229f3" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2304233", "token_id": "87182402547914737124992855432378531063033603874880663361187040367643909073105", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Green Party (MP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "840c83b914bb8d4a85fe69bd9b6ab5c84bc8d08430ea224ccbcfdf1f89cf86ae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304233", "condition_id": "0x122b4e42fb8fa20545a6e459b9319b895e885e7376f371087b812022438a595c", "token_id": "87182402547914737124992855432378531063033603874880663361187040367643909073105", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Green Party (MP) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502873", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0360f94326e480b1b62ecf4f51431715bdd954d4a1631bbda8a7073db098390b", "event_source_sha256": "c83cfec04913753fea37c95cb367b429a2eca0be25a1a6c8d890e1dcfac229f3" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2304231", "token_id": "32982815042880212011204472867722270598241999612426519687347149896664500537781", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Left Party (V)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f56a820f1d6ff9e02c9f6a767c6df8123691f88f2477d439772dad6cff0449c2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304231", "condition_id": "0x122bf209013fc0b80e146aab519453a71c4f316d5dab8779581c8aea78e2cb2c", "token_id": "32982815042880212011204472867722270598241999612426519687347149896664500537781", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Left Party (V) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502873", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a9548ed062d9bdc20aef3ceca8bd214c5659f2b0e12e960f3bcd33febc08fc30", "event_source_sha256": "c83cfec04913753fea37c95cb367b429a2eca0be25a1a6c8d890e1dcfac229f3" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2304234", "token_id": "50110948604401011678777224886755029248430613989928434899406814033205510760920", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liberals (L)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb0a5b641c0450e3c587d927f749013250d48ced1411eaa5ba233083a45f5062", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304234", "condition_id": "0xd25b9fe9ca32c84b9055bdeb6c7de59c3a1a4fbb2be730e9425f8ad65f87cb2e", "token_id": "50110948604401011678777224886755029248430613989928434899406814033205510760920", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Liberals (L) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502873", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5fc1f2d631644a5115fc27e05f2bc23cd9e0684fe17f05247234c5edd3c7724c", "event_source_sha256": "c83cfec04913753fea37c95cb367b429a2eca0be25a1a6c8d890e1dcfac229f3" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2304229", "token_id": "52334878018814685972547014875009160054717120171100348069688980422350429906466", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moderate Party (M)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f11ee7a6378258aac64c40830011c73717afa9e81bcb022c1b600351e589cb1c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304229", "condition_id": "0xa3d50cf0138c0faad988d80e35036aab97ae6d5627f539ce3ce531b555acc209", "token_id": "52334878018814685972547014875009160054717120171100348069688980422350429906466", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502873", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a1f7cbd552ec296d21b8c056f8bb102a66869b061d822dd6f2352ce116950d35", "event_source_sha256": "c83cfec04913753fea37c95cb367b429a2eca0be25a1a6c8d890e1dcfac229f3" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2304228", "token_id": "49208719549935438660034858287759012465900558517159395254556531239968960380856", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sweden Democrats (SD)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "855cd26b2038c69670173ba8c6930be6f2644e01265b35283c28f8f64c215e65", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304228", "condition_id": "0x9e2966ab58d8cd6efaccfd92b2d7c518ff6c4318e8bcd3032fef68c8254d102a", "token_id": "49208719549935438660034858287759012465900558517159395254556531239968960380856", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502873", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e5df46828fb2a31cafba34abe576a820b2c1eaaa22fab499260d3ebf32cd56e0", "event_source_sha256": "c83cfec04913753fea37c95cb367b429a2eca0be25a1a6c8d890e1dcfac229f3" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2304227", "token_id": "5901583616316318260855112777170686573131101307374358889281135322567406606592", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b12d470de15c797947a579a3d65b984c37beb748a02aeba5ddb9b00491f2d13c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304227", "condition_id": "0xe7fb9cdad127dc1493d86eb9a29f95cce966c9debffe015552abc8c421bf5fd4", "token_id": "5901583616316318260855112777170686573131101307374358889281135322567406606592", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502873", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "16c0bedc335079830a31b82369cd9192113ee14bab0c7451086f867346414742", "event_source_sha256": "c83cfec04913753fea37c95cb367b429a2eca0be25a1a6c8d890e1dcfac229f3" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986718", "title": "Highest temperature in Singapore on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "675f2e9e0132125a77c9c7e9e4497d80788d0be59058346a2aeb246b95711386", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356341", "4356342", "4356343", "4356344", "4356345", "4356346", "4356347", "4356348", "4356349", "4356350", "4356351" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986718", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356341", "token_id": "53229520704778731801188254815508556676672593614508900538235465713314668966461", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8adf5ab0ae07dd3a17ceb1b6f79b9b60f3565ee66351f7222a51c1198a966e9d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356341", "condition_id": "0x1c99503a8c11977fad0df5909e79855dc080ab8d3ff8aa5f1ce43a0bbf6d818e", "token_id": "53229520704778731801188254815508556676672593614508900538235465713314668966461", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d38727b16294a3664467316640a2ec6626ae066151f1e0ab83d8253b1c02b56d", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356342", "token_id": "59392506804998637222089477669636155472354401425877781552062569361797138009456", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9eaed035368339406194538edc8dc91c3479f32cc55bf6b668a766b4d31007a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356342", "condition_id": "0xe22d4de28f038814bde3d1b622678b5e3e256b18815c254785395d9fde73b599", "token_id": "59392506804998637222089477669636155472354401425877781552062569361797138009456", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "82b5f48f7c88ad6a65220e1b372ac7a167c1193a0a5544986ac1129137880def", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356343", "token_id": "2304778932406439645876034040116556169688423023853605137344902939462244676132", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a4ece9d5215905b97772a4166a9ebadbe6b6a59797d9d5afa0724ada563a049f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356343", "condition_id": "0x89678b0edd8ddf5ac7704dd54c3ab605c0442a689efb7886178d09b7f2464dc3", "token_id": "2304778932406439645876034040116556169688423023853605137344902939462244676132", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f25c016edebd0019b54c062a172a9b1b0de8dc9ac58965cc4951dd3ff0aa2877", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356344", "token_id": "114576924411548211778460369870752082704721533565788115368339094654510803337225", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a477f02bf0d965625a71194920a67bb7f81e96cba4c92565adbafb3a8eeeac2d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356344", "condition_id": "0x535059f30e9d3db9604db74fd3d4a3df9296d1c8112672f67d35105e056bcecc", "token_id": "114576924411548211778460369870752082704721533565788115368339094654510803337225", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1dd0e3c7c2b93b9ea4c89c9207082f1aa883bb5a1ee277ccf424d7e8f74f5f3a", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356345", "token_id": "20466727958257045858039260680699052085798482090606486884089753634632743701754", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "813b5a0473b0a1a8b3423ba1102ede1d48255c8c54fb61fb10e580e79bf8696b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356345", "condition_id": "0x43ea0a5e562090c727906756f0d067b8917df6cab8ceea85298c3b76d109e005", "token_id": "20466727958257045858039260680699052085798482090606486884089753634632743701754", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e24f3a13b4db3fd4b39705885573882b594e0bf1c32a4298700dd88c9b522d25", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356346", "token_id": "23477580176552160106738958834988487172937806474051314912093659193196718260994", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e161f99c3a138d47fa0c498450665f63ffefaa76837f8412230a7f20b914ede5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356346", "condition_id": "0xd6d535745b71cf76fe0e5517588b7bc5c9b9572075ba4e444055f75d98e05bbd", "token_id": "23477580176552160106738958834988487172937806474051314912093659193196718260994", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9572e29fcba404059572c229387eac697e51c116b0f2f35c072296954b6be773", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356347", "token_id": "23248521490082667398125221135897601289664297015999608602299948534259336975944", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "91cfe40bb41272f4a71d2a806fd85db93ad62c53354f157e66e4832b777788f4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356347", "condition_id": "0xccbfbcaa96766b7585b6b275875ccb9a9e2baf34ffd658fbd13cbcbb84182542", "token_id": "23248521490082667398125221135897601289664297015999608602299948534259336975944", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "91cc89d4b7051bde2159c8c11cd67bfdc84e2c099dc829f5c91bb90487de8ff4", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356348", "token_id": "80569717186026115076691194127693220621395899433672343331194660777337951006201", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8b7ab102183f6f3c8d1d1f64738f64323f727a21c4381c8840383a897fe319b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356348", "condition_id": "0x8b4725e6457fcca5121813aa9f7a80ed633052524f83dd71f1eb5ea6323fc7bc", "token_id": "80569717186026115076691194127693220621395899433672343331194660777337951006201", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0f505d52e83f7eee8d265c1955e61006483725baa58333cf36a7909e360b59ae", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356349", "token_id": "67430812477508765996656950438541994441342709964211176069662710419140341391007", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "36febdcc250eecc4f6d812399cfd7564b5949072efe713e123daa73d7bc8aab0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356349", "condition_id": "0xc51c1865bc76ab2a8e86e1f1d34d65fdd32d44becb699771e34362369ffd7d7a", "token_id": "67430812477508765996656950438541994441342709964211176069662710419140341391007", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1488143cc6a38c8791fc6d8dc8230a876e5bfed721c00129c9b827fa3a185011", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356350", "token_id": "45086353488052572889414958204584867719383293904733093827337201056211960486110", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d976b130becc0ee665ab20978cc0c6bac61d9b8c699cbd2957d7a1addd5fd5da", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356350", "condition_id": "0xcf830c15eae8ab5343a85ea5adcda60aab9c471a6400ea5390977d67b388fe3e", "token_id": "45086353488052572889414958204584867719383293904733093827337201056211960486110", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9d736af7f42d5c860aa72471c43287bf0e5ab63a8758bb4e0fa8c911fb1b6c97", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356351", "token_id": "64553418515818385632169593585294339273595232276826767877265311749248346461298", "outcome": "yes", "label": "37\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b2b1cf978e8fadef53dc21af2455641d1d2cc297fca12137d35e7e4111098892", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356351", "condition_id": "0x1305dce8a9f6aaea5f101098c2cffd69c5c21ce53a3dbad28d8c32a4431370d2", "token_id": "64553418515818385632169593585294339273595232276826767877265311749248346461298", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 37\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986718", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f2aba66c4fc696daa154b1a72d34f3d36559603a4fc3ff3e60260769055e4fc4", "event_source_sha256": "734c2ec31d875fa867a622f718e5994e99718aacd44f0b52a762ba52e255d4c2" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:204566", "title": "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 8, "semantics_hash": "7fd912fed3b5b577cc30319dd59733917f956fdc44cd618d9e90de6e4b73fa72", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1364102", "1364103", "1364104", "1364105", "1364106", "1364107", "1364108", "1364109", "1364110", "1364111", "1364112", "1364113", "1364114", "1364115", "1364116", "1364117", "1364118", "1364119", "1364120", "1364121", "1364122", "1364123", "1364124", "1364125" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:204566", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1364103", "token_id": "35602493632810760738386198296948892290967628762024875561300523660752297123327", "outcome": "yes", "label": "AfD", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "20b4f89bffb02da1a0739dfe798eda6950c2496c69773f06934ff69d55d6efcc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1364103", "condition_id": "0x6c9bd12ca2dded7eb4c688a3200e94f143cc95984eb1952ab71f7ec31e07cf8c", "token_id": "35602493632810760738386198296948892290967628762024875561300523660752297123327", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204566", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "170cbebac86634c190870668a67f7b45db3cbeef7010a9b0962e6f827d58dd5c", "event_source_sha256": "ee2ef3a8b41c56bd8021cbaba82bede83adf079a87167fae6553da8ad4e447b9" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1364109", "token_id": "43232940589032346683332204097442202818044266899548395523989096377259802221025", "outcome": "yes", "label": "BSW", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d5bf63c409cf376220389a7c2ae96c8139c40393ef36171b1f1bb4d9680c1be6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1364109", "condition_id": "0xca817fce1a54a7f6a63591106de0186f36a70bd021aa085b6f3a3a8c7eea35a9", "token_id": "43232940589032346683332204097442202818044266899548395523989096377259802221025", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204566", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f639b0b8171d76e739d46dfa47012b789ec83df1c5ff9d346c5076973737f284", "event_source_sha256": "ee2ef3a8b41c56bd8021cbaba82bede83adf079a87167fae6553da8ad4e447b9" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1364102", "token_id": "77645642582289688252531195842395557843969468677082741458806720043993692894440", "outcome": "yes", "label": "CDU", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aa8f8199ca61c1d250b3c8a97b7ad4e2eed7a6ce9d9f46a46831e522e0d3724d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1364102", "condition_id": "0x92c63b34ab2de665c1351271334c022243cda7e0ad3434a432173e2f72dff079", "token_id": "77645642582289688252531195842395557843969468677082741458806720043993692894440", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204566", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "11799db3838316f764cc6e6de9197111f3c10ef3a42db25ddeb6a46af618354f", "event_source_sha256": "ee2ef3a8b41c56bd8021cbaba82bede83adf079a87167fae6553da8ad4e447b9" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1364106", "token_id": "88837057519862773347976255269535957932689962715310846643544201422350575738515", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FDP", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f07316aafb8af044b6c9c43b8642ab461fe5636dfe53e4dd10b9d539d3447e9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1364106", "condition_id": "0x02499104ee8929190420b93957bbf9ee73c4a1e12599c4dce5cbbd0b8d8030d9", "token_id": "88837057519862773347976255269535957932689962715310846643544201422350575738515", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204566", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c37666752073be195f1f05e71cb227e370c2f45376088469cc63d37f7445803e", "event_source_sha256": "ee2ef3a8b41c56bd8021cbaba82bede83adf079a87167fae6553da8ad4e447b9" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1364108", "token_id": "93925152074218634470601132192926742831097620888735140268335781168362245828201", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FW", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "51dc536fa9ddf7accafdb4806c974977a1238f6d269379319a7471541523192b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1364108", "condition_id": "0x6dd7680c4606a46e08df25bca6c4318b1bc30c9f4306a5ab8e79932c9e2147d8", "token_id": "93925152074218634470601132192926742831097620888735140268335781168362245828201", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204566", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "470aaf7a26000a2f54ffdb5344906909d5087fd0db4d62af82d44bd1d1dc89a7", "event_source_sha256": "ee2ef3a8b41c56bd8021cbaba82bede83adf079a87167fae6553da8ad4e447b9" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1364104", "token_id": "34122718571192719961109763780427518278375798823664414415450978868311895562977", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Gr\u00fcne", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "016ed536d00d6a9bb586c599ee31460ef2b47fdd4af6488cc26d4262d5083a50", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1364104", "condition_id": "0x012485913d6e71ad76d7a43a9be02c23ab4b10467ab3eb506b0b543e0333825e", "token_id": "34122718571192719961109763780427518278375798823664414415450978868311895562977", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Gr\u00fcne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204566", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4c4909983e7a3a5ff571225ff15686f3e07306bc708de447b62656866ccac2c7", "event_source_sha256": "ee2ef3a8b41c56bd8021cbaba82bede83adf079a87167fae6553da8ad4e447b9" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1364107", "token_id": "51390897411900000392756173567005747318470199567533737524562801349912760046729", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Linke", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "78f78f52bb0940ee086bf611e5ffa919b616e1794018131fcf0dcdf4406a1070", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1364107", "condition_id": "0xd4bf07f3dbe3422f0983c80576f5b6a7f6214c42e3f9f602175ee6b890f00d58", "token_id": "51390897411900000392756173567005747318470199567533737524562801349912760046729", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204566", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "30ee9d7925c36fff79754298707b6f5b55d4ea2f171b5a8aa02ead7eb1231489", "event_source_sha256": "ee2ef3a8b41c56bd8021cbaba82bede83adf079a87167fae6553da8ad4e447b9" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1364105", "token_id": "25008791305942260763315945325578111861295232893525817968684747264190717299294", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SPD", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd6d7f03c41ce4dab9a2ae294d6071d0b23bfa8b128a4f228906518789f210db", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1364105", "condition_id": "0x7742a04b33fb5a5b15474a7c70f3c073922c1f471bddc66ceb01c1ffd1841829", "token_id": "25008791305942260763315945325578111861295232893525817968684747264190717299294", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204566", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1f07790d2a401b358695dbeb0e23133753f93a4eecddc12fd71c9d89e2f315d2", "event_source_sha256": "ee2ef3a8b41c56bd8021cbaba82bede83adf079a87167fae6553da8ad4e447b9" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:939679", "title": "Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "c0a445f811fb8b9b9c3cf1461e31d0987d384aa03bc365da2b95be0316710440", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4016612", "4016617", "4016623" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:939679", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4016623", "token_id": "79064481395743456943749001528542461658984986629861039929276626211561440018430", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Brighton & Hove Albion FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d664b6702d38ed3ce64b6fb6a9b8bc30ae3dbc29d66b570fdf5785dd8c513a0b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4016623", "condition_id": "0xb360db111b8fe883c20ae92a0a3e79d607044a7a0c89399f50e672acaa824691", "token_id": "79064481395743456943749001528542461658984986629861039929276626211561440018430", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026\nIf Brighton & Hove Albion FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-13T13:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T13:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "939679", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c23927a803d609d36cce5dbfa732666673d8594dfb0a3bd2d1e460f69ee6344f", "event_source_sha256": "578a92c5e700bb894a88ff9a35b3233184d0a8bb12ae5d89a6af7eab11524bd7" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4016612", "token_id": "53601782783722110530543745013748473117569597159730949098178799001897889320614", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Coventry City FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a41a5245db512289808b06d33bf142d9e4ad293ecf3a4c436c6947d64b5a2c15", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4016612", "condition_id": "0xb489e7cd2744f33970e30019ce269af5e91101d93137e613ad3e6a2092e5e2d1", "token_id": "53601782783722110530543745013748473117569597159730949098178799001897889320614", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-13?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026\nIf Coventry City FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-13T13:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T13:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "939679", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "143cedcaf4e15f9369930008abd656e99a19da4abd84ab382a8d86c7866572e0", "event_source_sha256": "578a92c5e700bb894a88ff9a35b3233184d0a8bb12ae5d89a6af7eab11524bd7" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4016617", "token_id": "15191042115351405803220505367657325026310127900003023373402254902896194751830", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2c7f95088a3a9120cd8b1a905e35c9e7a84f8160486f321ceffa4d1950d7a9b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4016617", "condition_id": "0x07e57f4023c26d8297664a6c402ff5648d6a9d1b0d9652f726743edd2866bb92", "token_id": "15191042115351405803220505367657325026310127900003023373402254902896194751830", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Coventry City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-13T13:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T13:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "939679", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f889213bbdd6ee75025254b796843701400b8a4d277e8d7cf152ba8ba091a636", "event_source_sha256": "578a92c5e700bb894a88ff9a35b3233184d0a8bb12ae5d89a6af7eab11524bd7" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986744", "title": "Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "1bdeb085421da9586dd35d6d696bfd55b4b7a162e3d6ed60f75904ad84b0f27a", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356547", "4356548", "4356549", "4356550", "4356551", "4356552", "4356553", "4356554", "4356555", "4356556", "4356557" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986744", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356547", "token_id": "51764865959999719659248788068115318813609926433231553504305643867710011715570", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3d6f881ca2a4584e997b550e1cc823c95729c72bf3ba5806a7a253fc5cf3c86b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356547", "condition_id": "0x1fec8605c7d3fbb1043d5e6bd1dce7bc85d3ae45326890d125f7a233d92182ee", "token_id": "51764865959999719659248788068115318813609926433231553504305643867710011715570", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c37df6fbaec389a894661009a28109b810927a57cad24e2334c74c36ddb60150", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356548", "token_id": "35350087329245537489282858126022719080673426130521584296130266385156863018841", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2eaffef365f12374b191cb2d1afb5f286d47fe316eba53703000acadbfd7d130", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356548", "condition_id": "0x52b66075c14e6389d932f8c0b68ed23d45e07cbf7061e63953c25571147b6a2a", "token_id": "35350087329245537489282858126022719080673426130521584296130266385156863018841", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7bc3feb0f91fa6961ae557a0e4a6659fbe656dc26702e6941cde375b3dcb09a8", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356549", "token_id": "66892504723233090426559118390509162474539352770704151538522460776522349409482", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5ed178049a078ccca050141ec6c42df8450dd1a3dba778d6e018f8d217e5dc36", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356549", "condition_id": "0xbbb289894055c85fab141f0f809b8d90396c7a0b39f01c5223efdb9ddb35592a", "token_id": "66892504723233090426559118390509162474539352770704151538522460776522349409482", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "729a7a8d15b2bfc56711ed542a736caee9eca14647ca8f99cf9af7044306319b", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356550", "token_id": "22255551900762149167484461440930037137780989687694955204124512788185141283508", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8b7ff31cb65b7561b84a330a4be87f3ce6fa4460db25f012fa713092314787d0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356550", "condition_id": "0xc61a0e2eb591ca8da5433102f1a57ca8575d93a5f07dc25fd43b88543ab2afa8", "token_id": "22255551900762149167484461440930037137780989687694955204124512788185141283508", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "56435e0457c46e26f5dd42d5b08189100d276ce8ebcc28d066834219a95e4b0a", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356551", "token_id": "67602451786896658692213286727686724327893465763173801071796747354096427011335", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1e9b89255b94b03a0cdd4198a033f1a0c83f1d7fc19fb7c5dcd632c6ccab00d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356551", "condition_id": "0x052b92ad90b5c48ad361bec045162134408ba36e4eff8ed5cab5494d3e8ec262", "token_id": "67602451786896658692213286727686724327893465763173801071796747354096427011335", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a25c304ee8316fa1b29608be8c579adbb1eefbfb62231d82e57979c134cb3286", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356552", "token_id": "82264701418587565990856551274230149575784878558364340271365047793896965438465", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aabcbf0e42bd39becba7d0da70680acabc036eb9d6ff09e33c6f5b94b0cc5cb3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356552", "condition_id": "0xf4e8261b84c3761ff02580dd4e541676ef2b22d58ff784e05a80fb93c6468dc0", "token_id": "82264701418587565990856551274230149575784878558364340271365047793896965438465", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6d84d790f25ce61c2c240573e7ed7d04ca4e2f6d20436c96e18faf7738e7d330", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356553", "token_id": "42998931529643553871411784704310980149557015499901720761320321434391851590883", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b44f2c5fb39c925d372615090c752696c6c04c40131fa830b3e66f80ef9ed80e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356553", "condition_id": "0x61f740d2be47cebef857100d825a8fcac3df66d38c9edcc9a468ac6162d9db75", "token_id": "42998931529643553871411784704310980149557015499901720761320321434391851590883", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "68cef3ac03255f48f84526ef93af0ab32752e3e01028b29f1e796ebdcf619d66", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356554", "token_id": "26868240642708303345129621523578267591686307917373273757099402180899453752389", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f93c61a1c270eee2e173eb7d04dde453b643153de58a3cd1ab288bf97d6ddd45", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356554", "condition_id": "0xd1235bae1414e32e312999d7ef4bd5998c34e991963e931eec1f3c398bddc8a8", "token_id": "26868240642708303345129621523578267591686307917373273757099402180899453752389", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "951de2c9079c05be2f2f70c39eca43ea1b6930fbbecce74436e3a3a8df78c308", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356555", "token_id": "110951264522848057099206583305506589951830532143269450763958549060850509271024", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "03443076cda2fccbaf6bd8d9b07ee3fcc1d1ba023c1d276639a2bdc96acde27f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356555", "condition_id": "0x3eff4dce0b1479b4b17b9b9c6c7551bca981fe43ce287b1df01213214a86bf15", "token_id": "110951264522848057099206583305506589951830532143269450763958549060850509271024", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8f26c4958235f88e36019a08f4e4c7179bc1ea3148d720747e78f05c6312822c", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356556", "token_id": "60113098554763056664004538682774464089401005699202760727198296472030297967866", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3e5935f841bb6b712f7cb9c59434b15a86449f0036e81002083c816e5d422866", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356556", "condition_id": "0x7d1f0ade47794dc5289347ea61928b3ed4aa2fd07f94859d46ce1788b294cd2b", "token_id": "60113098554763056664004538682774464089401005699202760727198296472030297967866", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "80b9ba5f89fc42a81eb3d6058203b2f9cd30d5304f1e8169d234b33c58621caf", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356557", "token_id": "34557890020606441724790387595760071176997040243239870469018561675773136389490", "outcome": "yes", "label": "37\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3b48c9cdec169c5063ca41926280065ba9019f27a86b1cdd4d2c691b1424d2c1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356557", "condition_id": "0xf40c433a0c4e02c4b3fad43f40e00472a75464336c029d7035485db9249282de", "token_id": "34557890020606441724790387595760071176997040243239870469018561675773136389490", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986744", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "051fce5889e10d2e3ccd9849bbd0ad8f63f51bbb54b69edaec3a949a7f4f9453", "event_source_sha256": "e64e57a0a1b914377a22d7c1394ba6a460229a14842f0f741b59aefe06466ebd" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931781", "title": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma - Exact Score", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 17, "semantics_hash": "5cbb5ee8f4c1c1269526985690b570ae0d28dca6985ca1fa88ab66394ec79b86", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977898", "3977899", "3977900", "3977901", "3977902", "3977903", "3977904", "3977905", "3977906", "3977907", "3977908", "3977909", "3977910", "3977911", "3977912", "3977913", "3977914" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931781", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977914", "token_id": "98608541806508314541144368754097240187751186028176096518207590229160939080271", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Any Other Score", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ffd38002bcc1682796d1b727008dd98bedb3bef8a30a17068dd46b1beff96be7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977914", "condition_id": "0x9be194fa15dbb4ef3002381d0bf9ca5d59ca1c2e44ddb212a68cf2261ae1c351", "token_id": "98608541806508314541144368754097240187751186028176096518207590229160939080271", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Any Other Score?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e8920ddd6aad0e28acba61f2ae156d43b8db2a4bbcfb1e22b8ef139d7255e082", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977898", "token_id": "12084826550238704732298181056097603245489531902280248684533388628244707055091", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 0 - 0 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "310c69e874c1bff0c7ce089f2bea91d73cf8e4a7a88ef775f1418847fb20d07a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977898", "condition_id": "0x1c5ad19c977fc2d6c31d5581e6a7a5781224a7eb4768b7efe438f6919983695c", "token_id": "12084826550238704732298181056097603245489531902280248684533388628244707055091", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 0 - 0 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f4cea81556e0f982f88aa960a1ff6cc4f3cfb6aa0830becedc9b49a8059c4dda", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977899", "token_id": "77661908437827033921345356122769666120413949132848518238032291033004672263423", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 0 - 1 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "203571ebee7207dbbc6baa881f999210a24287ab6b5e1d2843fe3bec0524c02a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977899", "condition_id": "0x3aff8ac00e16d0a76626874fac542db2aea6c55c141e5fb480603f4eaa6e8988", "token_id": "77661908437827033921345356122769666120413949132848518238032291033004672263423", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 0 - 1 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6ce5e97d486c3e0d3398ffe824a9c1584ef2073783672e515cdaaf34043d24ae", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3977901", "token_id": "51619306090161650084117714924158834124025555965233627832852697118746701309430", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 0 - 2 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f6ad27756c33830420c811629325156fb609884c289fed34abfd102c2706c380", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977901", "condition_id": "0xc7a3a379fa3b65c3c7ae993aeb326c5adc64e2a19f5648586c97fffc9aaf5402", "token_id": "51619306090161650084117714924158834124025555965233627832852697118746701309430", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 0 - 2 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d0273c13f11652e11b73757afd1a0a641d5aafea9751a6fefac6b37472c0b76c", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3977904", "token_id": "68468966171351730411066154801226513380118893852612193732557746359846711139877", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 0 - 3 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6e3b2302446a5420e05885d5c272b083a6d037dacb2c670591708fdec458b509", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977904", "condition_id": "0xe4e09014d95e6353fd7ec6b1e655537400ddb77427b5a18286d76f768b2542f4", "token_id": "68468966171351730411066154801226513380118893852612193732557746359846711139877", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 0 - 3 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1a3e73d735d1ae71fb2c6dbdbefa16da378fe82e5a53e76be70913b73d75515c", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3977900", "token_id": "82201600184598802053140387674010770847795380064538429130947964946863559509688", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 1 - 0 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "976efe819e816d7b0cbbae6013b281402a2fa6d1751e8bda6dace945d65ec7bd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977900", "condition_id": "0x705cc01aa335755df9216a43e831f1ca8c86770bdf8c544b15d44020fc44399c", "token_id": "82201600184598802053140387674010770847795380064538429130947964946863559509688", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 1 - 0 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "09adb095235fa1b2873be196bd6dce08b3fcb39cbfd90c8bd72c4bce440f7943", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3977902", "token_id": "28109750120663464239394421645236524028731460699036564409936584335890767459844", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 1 - 1 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0c9a955ab57641757bca0c4ffa136dc16b8287c297a50708980a5d6af97d59f9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977902", "condition_id": "0xe4666339bb8baa871dddda1497331d7a20bc2a80f5a3a4a1b00b5eb4200c37ac", "token_id": "28109750120663464239394421645236524028731460699036564409936584335890767459844", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 1 - 1 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0b92f41223708b89a500f6257e1f34fae6899753d9ad9927c6d08772642840d5", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3977905", "token_id": "55026271563167458085276270683491414213143072992363646334326261759446064826724", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 1 - 2 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f04b8a75600e663e4f31426a7e52b8e253d9f20f437e50a3b6a056a9c3306419", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977905", "condition_id": "0x83470e31eaff016b8573f44bcfdbcf5734277c3367c5437cf9ab695810e22986", "token_id": "55026271563167458085276270683491414213143072992363646334326261759446064826724", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 1 - 2 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "082db7418be336426bd3cf1d6cdac458ce19e74128b6db401ae2d3cddaa4213c", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3977908", "token_id": "115053668019298305104227631167384000003387268668633699885701826175061779182414", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 1 - 3 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d98eb4967dc773b7169ef7b9715d96384c7d1443daca13e2595e17aec0da6b04", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977908", "condition_id": "0xee55ecaeecea71bf4e253612a6514ac39e53d7fd7601e8d3b45792cb18667232", "token_id": "115053668019298305104227631167384000003387268668633699885701826175061779182414", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 1 - 3 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b92fe87358144f9ae82fb2658691a5a429d45ae062902d14d8867525a6e8b231", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3977903", "token_id": "33596910868841084466331478091430196679830317763209945077358566014159925898814", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 2 - 0 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "beac8b2435c7d2721e157dc2b8cede0cd9b177350f286dfda4be2ad9cbd265e8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977903", "condition_id": "0x7f853baf851ca0643206d8ad0ab23532a8a955a7bdbf4d999e6084f190e0f14c", "token_id": "33596910868841084466331478091430196679830317763209945077358566014159925898814", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 2 - 0 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "23c738b3bb7988bfed097a993ef567326a9cb298ea5ab8dbcadf4f64b167f113", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3977906", "token_id": "86418643166841562767126102843647819837581449140500314336957220444889059906947", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 2 - 1 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96e200aeaaa5d977dca8129b6639fc4bcde684f83ccad327721b90b26c604e8b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977906", "condition_id": "0x9c106607c5ef514b34139fade73b3e858e5e20c17660a5663388ced84713150b", "token_id": "86418643166841562767126102843647819837581449140500314336957220444889059906947", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 2 - 1 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c559142be1a1cc4d5c62180ece9906bb29f11d5d4ff4119b83c3fd9dcdfff9d5", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3977909", "token_id": "3860445338581637347729714063131371454826635649601098749794600620390563088722", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 2 - 2 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "da1f6d4f137b1055c722596daaa244fa9318d6eb6912bf3a4ce51f1580414bfd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977909", "condition_id": "0xc932d4ba943fdd2e6e3eb3afc89816a73ab19601b8fc02895dbfa513683a3ad5", "token_id": "3860445338581637347729714063131371454826635649601098749794600620390563088722", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 2 - 2 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cbdb4031ec645900038f24a724c86e6cbd264e792697d2816d3adb724783c730", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3977911", "token_id": "95533526166248939118294745180229891253465406047312904000458964379657960990377", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 2 - 3 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a79f106ed65589706113e852f950a7d88e66954df8513cf89a893dd08b386d55", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977911", "condition_id": "0x367237789357dda34eab35d3fecb56fdfb2e848f494a6c3c614c60bee29505ad", "token_id": "95533526166248939118294745180229891253465406047312904000458964379657960990377", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 2 - 3 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "85c1de421f743b60449c3d441f64274e90e93e986d0037bf32169bf826dd4fa7", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3977907", "token_id": "65956231851966376894882697398916404243339657348093069464594473573716384453337", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 3 - 0 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "473d2cf9ee3d1f43195ad3e30b0858f6badf180a02015db79b70a3c3a7002e40", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977907", "condition_id": "0xd81049d87b48156c2130ee1e92410932351a49ce24129d5bd84de8a3c264ac27", "token_id": "65956231851966376894882697398916404243339657348093069464594473573716384453337", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 3 - 0 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0bcb06a866acffe6009ae2cbb6265f2cfc23a57dafd0749a52e8dda6ab08b1bb", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3977910", "token_id": "52421460823766282318293950505254986048370577421938856525973317664194754934971", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 3 - 1 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "13964a83f828641439a228ffc85467ba263f25ab8f62268478f214ab698a41e2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977910", "condition_id": "0x0dccc789877b4b169682638b726a68741d40c6bbb5c0ec56f63c64049501f5f4", "token_id": "52421460823766282318293950505254986048370577421938856525973317664194754934971", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 3 - 1 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "872b6ce1bde4a44952c50692db18bc2afeb0b86f283bcdd20b227e3cde0fe154", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3977912", "token_id": "88010963648783337214065909917441453873962096664254476356945449119377143359711", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 3 - 2 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "08dcfddb4d5cf3d3c86b1ec9fccd9386330ab3e49b939e49eaeba41c96bc5c34", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977912", "condition_id": "0xb48aefa9d1a1eaa987abac158ef4e0299e8cdc557226c1f6bc1a54384c069d4d", "token_id": "88010963648783337214065909917441453873962096664254476356945449119377143359711", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 3 - 2 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "286eb9b6841eb01ca89722c95ce5ba92d77918ec574182aa6a201c5f6937c17b", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3977913", "token_id": "31955593756552681108166928396038012908870979903704210566526437033679533374408", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 3 - 3 AS Roma", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1811f7a2caf219c5e5fa75da466e11f8b3f14127b45d09c35fb8e56249314229", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977913", "condition_id": "0x57572244e7ab5be78ff13427ab51b2236d02ddafd8ee6c984be2bf3f2ee093df", "token_id": "31955593756552681108166928396038012908870979903704210566526437033679533374408", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Fenerbah\u00e7e SK 3 - 3 AS Roma?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Fenerbah\u00e7e SK and AS Roma, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Fenerbah\u00e7e SK vs. AS Roma match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931781", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f23d1a37886eb59838e6f883face692c58859a547c27055bf48ffccff30b30c8", "event_source_sha256": "137123189db06392e8df945a1f00f67bc4bfd33993dcc3e9b6de429a7ab99202" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986712", "title": "Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "af9140952323141303f6aa73cccb27c1b8f32078919ef3cfe284f26a2fef0bd4", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356275", "4356276", "4356277", "4356278", "4356279", "4356280", "4356281", "4356282", "4356283", "4356284", "4356285" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986712", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356275", "token_id": "55435745527050659005298721886697063418666961680345595555165275425436544437760", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c267f83e232bd00380229a13ccd79d7bf4dcb81a74c0a85d70f11c744765baf1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356275", "condition_id": "0xdcab35f212b8091b156efbada2bf90f331b06daa0058ab694922400cbd5f63b2", "token_id": "55435745527050659005298721886697063418666961680345595555165275425436544437760", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "11e8b4f392d9f344d9312ec64d95e915610b430326da5ea370cced84f682525c", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356276", "token_id": "33620798844833197793482012572234978921173483947483411314822909276867670823229", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2b2779a5cb00c8e226aed0c7fe0a9cb527439f37fc3ce73ad8924e37c8d017ec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356276", "condition_id": "0xb804c8f44ede6958c322d62e01d34ffce9cc61012a04f87d17d118d23356dd96", "token_id": "33620798844833197793482012572234978921173483947483411314822909276867670823229", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b873de3598b358719d5d8a8027eac618994003b423474a525052f6d33dfb2b32", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356277", "token_id": "114526554376650106643242867070796615591039226430406861061289205304823402494051", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f7f872169c522f042a843eb48970fc01781972bf1aa0fbcad24be008ee96a20a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356277", "condition_id": "0xde8ff0a639ca18f6e3cbe0dc343fd572ff32a446344eb94a5050d1cc15bd387d", "token_id": "114526554376650106643242867070796615591039226430406861061289205304823402494051", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8be0c49d48d81eab5690a17b3b2adb4e61bf2cb3e183cfa68e3f2649ae1b6aa7", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356278", "token_id": "44043725204320735041643492680803498932377550699944579474618655257642995005272", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a53925a81e0f612e88dddd7b3db53434686cc1e329062e64ea72c18190f74aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356278", "condition_id": "0xe74972b00dcb2d143f73ef3db2d016940ed6712256b0a36624a3621d591028f8", "token_id": "44043725204320735041643492680803498932377550699944579474618655257642995005272", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1fe4a8602aad4775bb775c891dee86b7897f27d77b21fa77c6d9064fd421acc2", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356279", "token_id": "62140265596237425449844744158266096822768102269407247044645573089302310738801", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dfc04043679839e8a33c2db9ae09e9a826cda34cfd09ab582fdc1a73d1b1e5e3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356279", "condition_id": "0x01b861d8bc2863604bfa2f260083da4841f58f7daaff532b5a49efcdee20bca2", "token_id": "62140265596237425449844744158266096822768102269407247044645573089302310738801", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3b95c1e8ece010b615835ba9eb81a53b9544b0e46425283f0cdba67e25170911", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356280", "token_id": "33816753744023486530688534100828470783255974190124454311878249626517652272206", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c621f42fee0e41895bfd2849f5c1e8058e42602126a03d1d67988e0249473887", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356280", "condition_id": "0xab18ee2a05b3874abf4235b065be91a4e9bfe1ffeb63c16a2970563704a310ae", "token_id": "33816753744023486530688534100828470783255974190124454311878249626517652272206", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7ab3f901840a5efb02c536626f3ce59ff37ece792c237539aa2663c104728085", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356281", "token_id": "2677933168957399745357726855235048932197624664904860809837002901300061266924", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1f6903513547f4e22320d9ca1f9ef815924c5110b6d58d765ed9e5d24683bee0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356281", "condition_id": "0x6b1f39934601180abc56e9284c0d60a26f949992eaca06e8f77e013eda9c6257", "token_id": "2677933168957399745357726855235048932197624664904860809837002901300061266924", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4bdb8eb5406fea905daf1bdd2c18b132d65d22b1e3c92435514134fd55b9c3da", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356282", "token_id": "1573670907397779775151921138817863375494151095937625465552025025880992983428", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a7089ec692540c8f21b124d9ef1e53e374d17fd564209f8ac89aff76ed79589", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356282", "condition_id": "0xfd2a360b1754242baddc8001dece6ccc733c8b16f89cb0a5b9d7eb25125bad9b", "token_id": "1573670907397779775151921138817863375494151095937625465552025025880992983428", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "22a2acadf69fdc984ace4d7dbb10fdd4f8c11f6b3621bf4ba57ac5e3f0ff016c", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356283", "token_id": "109029714006132807927028669066577739827360401541696758231185292968068171627537", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "776db097b409a318cb3f3051c812914bed0f309cffe706c1a1b7dc6154df2bf8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356283", "condition_id": "0x0081879c0f8a134e3e7fb70c776c1ab0e5c73baf2664c110a3497e8dd8d232e5", "token_id": "109029714006132807927028669066577739827360401541696758231185292968068171627537", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "54288fcd98164f865bb3b69f21637791b7674f170d2438199a82ae0e6370ebbc", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356284", "token_id": "75923767371788239071055488929460934768338165443755905451827461528191689488625", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d56be7fc6e89b1bb55b9c09cc8a3e5d2c0f0c926239cdeae16378aefa524cfbe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356284", "condition_id": "0x8dfca3e3dd6c1027d3811c95e13f8413a72475dbbc05d791417d958ad7c9bf08", "token_id": "75923767371788239071055488929460934768338165443755905451827461528191689488625", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9bbaac1ffb6e23c183e944f078076577dff08607b903b0dc5903ec082e282a24", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356285", "token_id": "59698147162313105173830681071597146498761666057623851102951362380433710237759", "outcome": "yes", "label": "37\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0c1c5f51adced56eafe3425372927ff7dfe42b300709585a122099c53bb0ac04", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356285", "condition_id": "0x45b822858029ed835bd0aba2d283ae775db64362222a0eb2c5f35b56783351c3", "token_id": "59698147162313105173830681071597146498761666057623851102951362380433710237759", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986712", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "16ec7cd0b8530c826c35224d2303dd0a911f9f5b03b6a9fad925dc51fc0b2a64", "event_source_sha256": "052197243c9c57ebea9939bb962122e6112ea927e328d1b887cb178c2fbc1228" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931797", "title": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt - Exact Score", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 17, "semantics_hash": "b39d03a7d6fd7d7db534587fee67486857dc82bcf10061935d81f37e47d83616", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3978002", "3978003", "3978004", "3978005", "3978006", "3978007", "3978008", "3978009", "3978010", "3978011", "3978012", "3978013", "3978014", "3978015", "3978016", "3978017", "3978018" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931797", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3978018", "token_id": "23479143709400901259626939757364469285349087977148590008909289517529333035464", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Any Other Score", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2a2ffa6cd7b085089ab67261099d7ff4a6ee1c7dae7321a20de151bfc464a660", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978018", "condition_id": "0x6df2b4f81bd1715eb3de104e6317fdec72ca4605c950248363a52834b2a67e62", "token_id": "23479143709400901259626939757364469285349087977148590008909289517529333035464", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Any Other Score?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4efb215c088d8758f299d5a35ba03b48edbf35ea6ca40a3d5973ea77e504b22c", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3978002", "token_id": "110538323534513751904764478716192655784200454986423139991350804902523234534914", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 0 - 0 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f2dba6efe95fa23996142cabd9a3121a0992cd4a476dc98029d0b2155f963740", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978002", "condition_id": "0xa76521f5c8c861759aa9c76e35e1b8ab998f2011ec5a4d684ea7f04ed2877d3d", "token_id": "110538323534513751904764478716192655784200454986423139991350804902523234534914", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 0 - 0 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "275288faca7648285f4ad036b9db768f68e4e7c8f57e6c4e5bb9783755913c41", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3978003", "token_id": "66715820023482621561980014511683564100825868317912075017689012058796814276666", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 0 - 1 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4abe46cdcd8f94ec550617b9a7d39d3088ca00ae80b43200f416d49a8b95e02f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978003", "condition_id": "0x9dcd9105ce685b9120ee2a71f0f1e248cd078677b3633db757b8957f25394c80", "token_id": "66715820023482621561980014511683564100825868317912075017689012058796814276666", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 0 - 1 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8b6b472aac6236b076989ebea797229fb4f07a5f28fd8be8ab7dc4e7287ace59", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3978005", "token_id": "40032212693191250496935757449080612627613188944898106057621652137082270599906", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 0 - 2 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "621cba781cd71aa6c4bdfd06f205188827e898c1688e76346c95570155352d30", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978005", "condition_id": "0x77b461e77f0ccf37c2214c35f7f6e429e530727744e3aebbc2c7d2570caf2ffa", "token_id": "40032212693191250496935757449080612627613188944898106057621652137082270599906", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 0 - 2 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f52656fe4c4886b9918a8bd04a816982f135bfebd7615e9431b3bba9275c465b", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3978008", "token_id": "45592605733860302464830214776317045911891923220233375531840524380450460913574", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 0 - 3 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a26ceac300f6dd1f801071cfb16013c1f0f0c9b16f425159fa1a22fd1a5380bb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978008", "condition_id": "0xa37df3bc286a9fd3b8587663e8fdf1373a610aa788d77f3418ad7fdf4fe23f39", "token_id": "45592605733860302464830214776317045911891923220233375531840524380450460913574", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 0 - 3 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b6ccdeb1cfe026e38d44a75203125c59e3b6dabeaa448811ee0773a34bec88f5", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3978004", "token_id": "66887024231711610059317801117288640499029640892504933660303572112366978378067", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 1 - 0 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f26d0c27d644c0c184517af9edb92c87c253c5ff13f0441281b96db94425ae25", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978004", "condition_id": "0x661848189bdb8c4512e81a1eae4d4c67b74bc133ff9f400f2e11ef62bae38eb0", "token_id": "66887024231711610059317801117288640499029640892504933660303572112366978378067", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 1 - 0 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dd2ce87bb3b6b514b7a1ec6dada50b8687b0056284fe08fbbaa344e8f29034c0", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3978006", "token_id": "38534002894025792469340941605356488827282730036447583287909904343183816597868", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 1 - 1 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19bf2a3c3d839c79f5198d1e3a5f263d45e33df1f4591e5646c34c3e79387cf8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978006", "condition_id": "0xcab6f54b9d60959b52cb4a0604218bddd9c334dcca74997f418e701cb6802eb5", "token_id": "38534002894025792469340941605356488827282730036447583287909904343183816597868", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 1 - 1 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f3fee2423c535a42871b5ca880275861f3fb150ab1469a4847336f5f1904f793", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3978009", "token_id": "103993405554126282443425766704439958110067648539923320020566240348450237128673", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 1 - 2 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bf99ce9c746e2d92a2af79b988381c7b905843124c41e2e00babf7a27db7e062", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978009", "condition_id": "0x3017e20f1a91a4acec02c9b25eb28ceb29c0cbb21856dfa8e6952577a7f6c2d6", "token_id": "103993405554126282443425766704439958110067648539923320020566240348450237128673", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 1 - 2 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "94debb0f10c0f009d59b272b5ac8bfe73d2951b84340c59a28d097c405b9798f", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3978012", "token_id": "101292603304098128172892733885311987855843542911787954207537562367717113352700", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 1 - 3 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7b99bae4c4e8842ef7ec432d06be5c3de12543a5e0003864bded87a3a8f70c50", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978012", "condition_id": "0x8efd95f17411a4a2237255b19c4cca0ed5f880e0f25c88cd578247bfdc5afaab", "token_id": "101292603304098128172892733885311987855843542911787954207537562367717113352700", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 1 - 3 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ad9a933655e7689268086b808b5ebfc6c422e4918e895d957ebf82ca27a720ca", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3978007", "token_id": "11881802117155468996970461559280349145855775650430265634022307847884705889765", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 2 - 0 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "08af23c65734ad480b49b31d839e2638081c10ef0e516662f67989c8c21abed3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978007", "condition_id": "0x56be02904267bd1fe9a9c0aaedb1d72331209becd1c155f276f7d98b0781158a", "token_id": "11881802117155468996970461559280349145855775650430265634022307847884705889765", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 2 - 0 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3dc73d0d422461e6361bd4ac1cdf0c9e633343b86167d61f865b8ed39d0f913b", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3978010", "token_id": "15076945187002523218500221021217139654227398134796634255818037855800302381023", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 2 - 1 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9f86b445e187f40964864b6a292667c409654b085bac5fec434ef412d7fd5606", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978010", "condition_id": "0x99d328fdf907047bf8d2ac7a7a503976b2d1e278a6165266bdd003325639f450", "token_id": "15076945187002523218500221021217139654227398134796634255818037855800302381023", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 2 - 1 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5b550276496b14d24e1e77141f6accc98dab286812df0c23b9a1260e85372f1f", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3978013", "token_id": "92184039904984032173509951486906259618711621177082749555182390752674325839950", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 2 - 2 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "312add55eb3665e39ddf1bdd264b06a304cee23202b0ea350463f6c2a0e42293", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978013", "condition_id": "0x55dfd496e93f5f437796b6a5f46c99e41d802257c50b8c63cfa3188745977946", "token_id": "92184039904984032173509951486906259618711621177082749555182390752674325839950", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 2 - 2 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4d7ba432568d2f3038ab1d4dfa7e326194be26d36797b7e8e167dbcff1f0518a", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3978015", "token_id": "60508273578915139537964112940209758990724069100274714022909691472667164737333", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 2 - 3 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b0b2c4792bb63c874bdf26c6c71e48484e71b38fddd2203ea0bc707b467fe73f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978015", "condition_id": "0x66b71509698758e3c1bd89b8b2a52b52727e0a79108dbbb7c2e2572900dbce78", "token_id": "60508273578915139537964112940209758990724069100274714022909691472667164737333", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 2 - 3 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9d63d214fea3abadb25ef7a0fbd7f4f80b3c4aa41b59bacfa7a17aaa364d4571", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3978011", "token_id": "28103469606690078744047004546246613222047189489643973680156376375438192332580", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 3 - 0 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "da0021a7a8b33f18a97f0ca9d4b95ff9eda886e28e7da02e1dbf9d2308f83d39", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978011", "condition_id": "0xc9746cfe4c3087d4d36fe6054b2c837d9bcd6799e70b0de355e1c2bd5420ac9c", "token_id": "28103469606690078744047004546246613222047189489643973680156376375438192332580", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 3 - 0 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dce1e7f4c8785f02a3afea6c4b20efeac3c178dd545e598d4d9bd3e907757346", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3978014", "token_id": "46724206542769377180701808590382886726328356838503271570911398787026424481589", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 3 - 1 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f08be9f631499022b515409b4051a92d4ecb6baddd589ee79a53a367aecf6036", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978014", "condition_id": "0x1bdba7e928f54d58f22009822e7cad9a343ddd5b083555a919ce792e33c82050", "token_id": "46724206542769377180701808590382886726328356838503271570911398787026424481589", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 3 - 1 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b7661911b3abbec5973c8a80fddbb19b6ea4bbf2634860064235899c608ff218", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3978016", "token_id": "108328441763211515588565519520137872815726544110653344204902243609880634059707", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 3 - 2 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b956b4086d71b53519e3a2b22a7f7c0be2d03ead1d59a64be0333ade35f78c74", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978016", "condition_id": "0x8dca4438dddc1cb1337629b2f57bdb308f12244e03a0aea248ac2983169c0735", "token_id": "108328441763211515588565519520137872815726544110653344204902243609880634059707", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 3 - 2 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "74daef34ee68d4df0164e79708ada11c46f3630d6dd8377a3b5567c7d8e6a5b1", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3978017", "token_id": "26794480399050895279803355071755815202142588846619594284027255147407804499539", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 3 - 3 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19c93cd2d1324283e0bbf542c817c5f173df9b5ce1685254e14f39be45072729", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978017", "condition_id": "0x15e9ceb8f777320e3732478d87506b573b347f2e95a231d49c05fbfeb435902c", "token_id": "26794480399050895279803355071755815202142588846619594284027255147407804499539", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen 3 - 3 FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen and FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931797", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3f7604cfbfdaa8175bd22f241a8d5f50bbca2e6341a078f2bd11af3c1fbd72e0", "event_source_sha256": "ac7a8cfdecf92446cb9cd23642df771d9df0ac9db1e695cd8141d68e68699805" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:988178", "title": "Highest temperature in Toronto on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "bd4cfe6d33fc65bbf818761d973e21d166993ad86fbcd0faea16c2f59c1f6278", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4363763", "4363764", "4363765", "4363766", "4363767", "4363768", "4363769", "4363770", "4363771", "4363772", "4363773" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:988178", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4363763", "token_id": "19148247777649295777902198101544089880164302381172834346957219203583345791334", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "371ad3e81c0865fcc548b6e1b52f034f8ef105d832c585d4c65e5151cdf8e891", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363763", "condition_id": "0x7167f100e5172190d94deaf39c3f0945b371bafea6b08fcb371bd7014a3cccba", "token_id": "19148247777649295777902198101544089880164302381172834346957219203583345791334", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "400d02c70f16845e75b6e2e41f1c32995e1683adcc0efc4eccb14b18612ead1a", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4363764", "token_id": "9796615198541687048846479469668468332812603891670178395559597673795188555150", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "200b70e84cf458f4a100daaee4a85222868cf59d17b7ebb520143afc11232ca1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363764", "condition_id": "0x1bbdd4c68d9b3ec83c9fc23f30256834a6a045df2f0c26b3afe578db40d13fef", "token_id": "9796615198541687048846479469668468332812603891670178395559597673795188555150", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f4b08946d46b2eb7e53461c0e7a7cea05a31d4ca9685e0f07dac3733b664f3a4", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4363765", "token_id": "19281335786805940522915068999985010310846485879523147665338106076248586471664", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1a9795354c6878ab9c407f57e2aab5a73e844163366a690c2162c70cb9a556a5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363765", "condition_id": "0x262185b6be7e0ad677b23f7e92db98663b8b2a1272ab1531f26f702c7b83f217", "token_id": "19281335786805940522915068999985010310846485879523147665338106076248586471664", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "13a7390b122bcf51dbfa1f9df08c39a8573bbd375439679f92d7a3121d35657d", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4363766", "token_id": "24634867094046662543534332315260057917820354927016121538395568680451524214209", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c487f865de6b394253271d6721be55a8af577291604960120dc0ea818ccdfdb6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363766", "condition_id": "0xb73da3441ab9650aa6af2de57f3f9beab3e3da3e43954bcc88f6eaa9f8cf6dbb", "token_id": "24634867094046662543534332315260057917820354927016121538395568680451524214209", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "737c4c75561fcd4fa1eb4d5030b17acd7d7bc9a68a1924a3c362057dd23e0840", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4363767", "token_id": "54645070724558203933592463827366147835517516132753210227630036589916574269435", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3741ca07927368c4bebfc875062b9e6833591aacbe79dfb1f44a8c7161c78bef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363767", "condition_id": "0x452787cd575b2045cfaf6b2cdaddc14449937bf49a94d81f1362e66eabc11718", "token_id": "54645070724558203933592463827366147835517516132753210227630036589916574269435", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3a8ec3ee043426a03ad6ea5791dd9689737c564b762544fcc9fc61a73c22ff90", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4363768", "token_id": "73950523651968135408057303230609345982141279554568165041098812373019152594703", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "deaf79a64b4028d228ed16d1b26b60c2104a015d70fc2504e135b46f70cfc9c0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363768", "condition_id": "0x2a169b9b39607a344d4b18f119d782f68118c76b79f521f18ce89a62f186dbc7", "token_id": "73950523651968135408057303230609345982141279554568165041098812373019152594703", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e7758d317c97d1c70dac8c8b1ce60970e77ee87ee09eeaf1eb4d800b83205b31", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4363769", "token_id": "17790664751707386058101669456981738588279973641239436682608609900342443748635", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3ea7eb4fd7a1e97482f7af5976123a7fd959a72b39d982a6de3bfa12c8fad913", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363769", "condition_id": "0x45e16052774636dadba565c69285b2861caf0c5434757dc9fac0b5aae82d2f32", "token_id": "17790664751707386058101669456981738588279973641239436682608609900342443748635", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "de8fa5a9e3544ee4c538b6b4dc6c71918613036855583eeffd8f36879a4f30a8", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4363770", "token_id": "68508682492563555825625898085815180597888413729440891929937035445413652146611", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8d3fec6f355d1df114a12975dfc16d2de1d5b70cd70c8c2a84a70a769aa93f28", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363770", "condition_id": "0x48cede8a04d35c21de938dae2ce02c321b22d16ec42de692413f9128a4c59523", "token_id": "68508682492563555825625898085815180597888413729440891929937035445413652146611", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c37f7b910357274f1254facb1024a7e2cdf0c94a36a3e3a6debf0599528dec25", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4363771", "token_id": "29077658436294764152939487709914624458235965019782321680582104106224799704065", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f4a7af4bbedaef9ea434871be1b5685d2d37c7f9431597e7514cfe464bf69fc7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363771", "condition_id": "0x252a5c79699e2ce0b574deef59b5df13a5d1920a95f859877d3d2bd4fdab8bfe", "token_id": "29077658436294764152939487709914624458235965019782321680582104106224799704065", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fcb31d3f2a7ebebca9b52bbd75f51ba8ed58688c301cef724d05f363fcdf38e9", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4363772", "token_id": "113751364150314382521532118206526968263543280821653397396945362629660962436402", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3ffa698bfcca1863eb6a3b6d0060fd4e8931662815fe6be17f0f3443711f992f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363772", "condition_id": "0x763634fa094c30966e3453383e695913b0cd8dc07793bdc2531e23bac10b0198", "token_id": "113751364150314382521532118206526968263543280821653397396945362629660962436402", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c1045dd78dfdd9ca599cee6197bc2dc4cd365eef8174848d5c559461ea3d727a", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4363773", "token_id": "43368547123418493027425500914467108060769180539170027057768309462884129072180", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b72f251bb1c880888ac969882fcfd2d60b80b00483ebffe71d645a8214b19023", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363773", "condition_id": "0x4c17af3780cc46c5ba0a82f1c0a2384e25126a07f2e9fc162ea640cb4c33f1ee", "token_id": "43368547123418493027425500914467108060769180539170027057768309462884129072180", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988178", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "957e9186be3cfd88f1b823885e2553d443f8b005ade998f4502d76d381ff6595", "event_source_sha256": "16bd0153859c58664f7d7fe27353434202037cc5bc67d9a7f84d98c1c6670633" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:425728", "title": "Israeli Legislative Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 6, "semantics_hash": "0f1b6568e4729b880e89c8425293d4bac7451452c5c204a2e98532be58d06e63", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2100981", "2100982", "2100983", "2100984", "2100985", "2100986", "2100987", "2100988", "2100989", "2100990", "2100991", "2100992", "2100993", "2100994", "2100995", "2100996", "2100997", "2100998", "2100999", "2101000", "2101001", "2101002", "2101003", "2101004", "2101005", "2101006", "2101007", "2101008", "2101009", "2101010", "2101011", "2101012", "2101013", "2101014", "2101015", "2101016", "2101017", "2101018", "2101019" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:425728", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2100981", "token_id": "40530616708770133196461535468385029946615148250396571867031554779644977064648", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Likud", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6bfd414a383e42f2fe94c6c69dc536999f53a4e3526f4967e8105ef538343cac", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2100981", "condition_id": "0xf77fa3e63014f1f76ea4433dac66b3860493ed7f1a9fee3dfbef9104d7f1eee3", "token_id": "40530616708770133196461535468385029946615148250396571867031554779644977064648", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "425728", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f265b632420d11f919010c50165729e99c0ed831768976ac8036a66e0cbb697b", "event_source_sha256": "c3eb29b45fc14a296d8c92bdd9805ae1fda66fe00159590fcb63262774bc986f" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2100986", "token_id": "72928611581150091479894843605103749117561320868375067552073452709256467488450", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Otzma Yehudit", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "be6713a87b701357f5f510a9ac30936ba6344134b56032b684d937da1c8311a9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2100986", "condition_id": "0x49b2c8eac865bbac235153824b3490185ff0fdb7305cb053b2ab5b1466bf4f36", "token_id": "72928611581150091479894843605103749117561320868375067552073452709256467488450", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "425728", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f4dac707c0c99750c6996b99b81589fc6fa1c32b193370920a2f7556daa7ace3", "event_source_sha256": "c3eb29b45fc14a296d8c92bdd9805ae1fda66fe00159590fcb63262774bc986f" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2100983", "token_id": "43025613818662551227164158603793018117245522237166942374881915274782654094251", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Shas", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8c60692c0f47afdbaaa0ec1b00072cfaf1f7967f0202eeb7bcbf2bb2af4b67b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2100983", "condition_id": "0xc3c4b06b71e5a9dec867169d4319a4bf7364d7b0a6c5d6cd048689a207aafc40", "token_id": "43025613818662551227164158603793018117245522237166942374881915274782654094251", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "425728", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4c193d9a887db238a4b8a99c4f2ecb18284af2b5f94cd397e2000bc4d340d676", "event_source_sha256": "c3eb29b45fc14a296d8c92bdd9805ae1fda66fe00159590fcb63262774bc986f" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2100985", "token_id": "13946614065225357961512448593443036356822710705632040528640964889522868467395", "outcome": "yes", "label": "The Democrats", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e5edfcb268af3607e7d24043a7dc768802b75e60725bea336ff1ff2d99463c5b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2100985", "condition_id": "0x4a48f706471324eb289b2a77a368f7cfc3cdbf899ea320395e9afaa9191570e9", "token_id": "13946614065225357961512448593443036356822710705632040528640964889522868467395", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "425728", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0fc34cc8f16faf241f7945660cbc248b858a18afa23cdd5bef0045c338e361d2", "event_source_sha256": "c3eb29b45fc14a296d8c92bdd9805ae1fda66fe00159590fcb63262774bc986f" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2100982", "token_id": "4486291330995931849416559581383425061287287542982906092720569789339786774392", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Together", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b891415ca41f9ba74165d1436690f7dba32f07465b07c5ac4a325a8d70ed5ea5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2100982", "condition_id": "0x4e9cff8a3aeac036225fedcc98af9b0d55284b3f430b599e7f61b059c1e177af", "token_id": "4486291330995931849416559581383425061287287542982906092720569789339786774392", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "425728", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "915543a7ee74f0ef4c886f838efa5a5d342261f4b249e39f2058ea5ec1d57f15", "event_source_sha256": "c3eb29b45fc14a296d8c92bdd9805ae1fda66fe00159590fcb63262774bc986f" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2100984", "token_id": "9025448570994866714151390167666974197623007132973626623412960268955048642964", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yashar", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "28741d83cceb34036d946cd600944199847b2a1834b69fb8306179b50e9c5e84", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2100984", "condition_id": "0xd05da9807740aa0f5bc9e9232daabe87a21e5012c19e283abf414f1c1651118b", "token_id": "9025448570994866714151390167666974197623007132973626623412960268955048642964", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose candidate list received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).\n\nThe following rules govern the merging, joint contention, and splitting of listed parties:\n\n- If Likud or Together (or any successor party created through a merger) merge with or contest the election jointly with any other party, the option corresponding to Likud or Together will represent the resultant candidate list or merged party. \n\nOtherwise:\n\n- If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more unlisted parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list. If a listed party merges with, or contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with, one or more other listed parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the party which held the most seats in the prior Knesset will represent all seats won by the merged party/joint candidate list. If these rules do not adequately determine which option represents a merged party or joint candidate list, the listed party whose name, as listed in this market, comes first in alphabetical order, will represent all seats won by the merged party or joint candidate list.\n\n- If a listed party splits into multiple parties prior to the election, the option corresponding to the listed party will represent the resulting party that holds the greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of the split. If these rules do not adequately determine which party represents a listed option after a split, the listed option will represent all seats won by the party resulting from the split whose primary English name comes first in alphabetical order.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "425728", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2a2956b3d4d68fd18a41928c691bb88f0e0056153275afc6551b5605274e0a81", "event_source_sha256": "c3eb29b45fc14a296d8c92bdd9805ae1fda66fe00159590fcb63262774bc986f" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:204973", "title": "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 19, "semantics_hash": "9ffec426755b84ee72f63899cdd511951ceeefc61d5f29af298621a6eb9d7564", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1365887", "1365888", "1365889", "1365890", "1365891", "1365892", "1365893", "1365894", "1365895", "1365896", "1365897", "1365898", "1365899", "1365900", "1365901", "1365902", "1365903", "1365904", "1365905", "1365906", "1365907", "1365908", "1365909", "1365910", "1365911", "1365912", "1365913", "1365914", "1365915", "1365916", "1365917", "1365918" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:204973", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1365900", "token_id": "111311151154014585812304238818591195075829743734952417845440348572279563265684", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Aldo Rebelo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a8228f031a2542fe79f993d62fd659efdfd4ddd6a2d52c7e4921eb823e66ef82", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365900", "condition_id": "0x6b4d9574d789228b2f14edc10b452dc8948e38be04dba6bf90d0104e3e4e1f43", "token_id": "111311151154014585812304238818591195075829743734952417845440348572279563265684", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "534bd41e695537b72c02ecf492dc16f1282a688fe9e47dd957be64cf1a71b394", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1365904", "token_id": "20637217712997864553867475669278238727326858704193091040111183987981733729683", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Augusto Cury", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "47bab786184f1ae47cd3290cac31400f3bcdec141305122844fd82ed4e4a0bad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365904", "condition_id": "0xbc0070bd88b113d9beedbae5efd78df0e605ca029aff8ef470c881010c923a24", "token_id": "20637217712997864553867475669278238727326858704193091040111183987981733729683", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "68f6cc7753de769f5ec64426b7c25817292e3c7104ae5f580297e8e0f2ec9e39", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1365898", "token_id": "14625196078870030930212146457810187393803805444846576279727526171169322797888", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Camilo Santana", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0b5ca96e73c5abe1a9f14c106ef982a968fa5fa29ce6576808e0981954c52e97", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365898", "condition_id": "0xe0bdf2bdc79bac3880e6dc76513f0f02df91ed5c2650954a66ea9c7f09b7e6e5", "token_id": "14625196078870030930212146457810187393803805444846576279727526171169322797888", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5fce97a44c125b79bc2769136f9305db4e8f299d1ec881bd5ab8c86c282ac11b", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1365892", "token_id": "77695179199504241233318281547041031759227451576427270759028171066693823111590", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Eduardo Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2d34f46351a50eb365e5a78ac8ccf1a6d96b5616d21986c266e1321acf1004c3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365892", "condition_id": "0x43984893f308ca7980b90d7634faa9b7c5e29b71733ed1eff7be3b0e8e0248fd", "token_id": "77695179199504241233318281547041031759227451576427270759028171066693823111590", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9308c5f9e891dbd28dda805ba6dfb3d1d9a82d59ad4a35db11ba70af78211f7e", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1365901", "token_id": "111543830332110820988165937452887760595067644846274162990773262945236746453247", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Eduardo Leite", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "17ff8824bbf396d267c0fe00deaf831c78f1b0a6c894295a38102c1642a071ab", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365901", "condition_id": "0xf520f38b0d0ba1a1ffb9dd77af6cfb66052ebc7cf2daa4df8c6b50d593278428", "token_id": "111543830332110820988165937452887760595067644846274162990773262945236746453247", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c2f79b1f3d688f930438ced162fc57627f9a944137f8ca88bbae76308d73ffc1", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1365890", "token_id": "68900789111688395688502786616903396723989073762161917546372882449576813191849", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fernando Haddad", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "740992ad05a48584047ce06624ddaca8b4b35b3ef8de8fe778924b84fa5d8cdb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365890", "condition_id": "0xacc4e526a8c6f718b80ac7f559157b5197f040fb4505a7188a6315ab208f9e36", "token_id": "68900789111688395688502786616903396723989073762161917546372882449576813191849", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "add459f74dcc13f07920988263a8c4768532e12f71353e70a29dce4fb3539dc1", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1365895", "token_id": "72105519990658117217601472036918871987045329443196791013027800715032836032517", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e6916d0dfe86e4ff209fb63f7be8b873c9c556f0b52e6b61a8fc54ea86ea97ee", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365895", "condition_id": "0x6be36f266340255dd19e09482da15b256ec51bd478309d667495645fde253a22", "token_id": "72105519990658117217601472036918871987045329443196791013027800715032836032517", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "879c0c22bc3821fefab4b750d39c98bfba71f42091e9e6c967b3cfda645169fc", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1365899", "token_id": "84251456841717243220130557907268921144049968775253585100134320614694975152986", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Geraldo Alckmin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "51bcb9a995ec07cd6fe9856cc14f7c2e10adceeea99d076d8401a54383bd601e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365899", "condition_id": "0x5623b547fd959cd4d4b0e1f810d225ec6f0f8215b7a7e882b89692337a8a2956", "token_id": "84251456841717243220130557907268921144049968775253585100134320614694975152986", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2945a887035c681a6e1bfb701e28802b510e8b57e4d5eae420985e6c41ba4bb4", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1365903", "token_id": "71697065098193440609393877290510705365065522497692176456171369889253319010735", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Helder Barbalho", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f55c6faaa42840798fb4026fd385b61255be290f4e113da4ebf645bf6e2079c1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365903", "condition_id": "0x16cf9dd91e179eb378fee73ddb2d1ee9e395b65757f3f583b1bc925075cda4ac", "token_id": "71697065098193440609393877290510705365065522497692176456171369889253319010735", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0392104ef8e647e09b68c91e96b55755f4a76a8d7825396895ef2a6cbbfb163d", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1365889", "token_id": "57129492998705445481010574377025062654637053860257756183157606940764680444792", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jair Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "094f187319cce21ce928b0216ec75e73e2bbbac4b47b52f68e3fbe56d3a5da5c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365889", "condition_id": "0xa3e04eadbc6afac2e94d9eebb09d1705e254d313d06a51943cb18fc0612f4835", "token_id": "57129492998705445481010574377025062654637053860257756183157606940764680444792", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c787779b97be85758e14e47c091b81c2535b3f620fd0a6541198c77d116ec43c", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "1365888", "token_id": "83523389355379455617216619302245463257831942159580180419891340819821613515660", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "758641396e38459aef284abf8d825ee0ed4849b1e4999d04e366e6270a05e7dc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365888", "condition_id": "0xd24e8798122cba5bb43a77e9a78f2e26bd65c47f281f4b66582718fa215b9f6e", "token_id": "83523389355379455617216619302245463257831942159580180419891340819821613515660", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "64f928c75f6fe0962a24d0fd658d734d4374da8ef61f434c4b5584b103f01127", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "1365891", "token_id": "49351020302549947445240161216979954485123748869512687492350910080193586920226", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Michelle Bolsonaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "81e4ec9d92ac005c7582d8a28e7dab3dd137e560279e2e72f90979a74f24727c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365891", "condition_id": "0x100bfbd547cdb8782f816235d4f7d4301ec473250f4df606e6809605cdb3b5e9", "token_id": "49351020302549947445240161216979954485123748869512687492350910080193586920226", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d829ef6818a45ebdbc42207565301f25b2659acfb3e9f55d2c68482f9fa038c4", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "1365905", "token_id": "15722447208715529914242661555641864880639590996892461658184813909783634464503", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pablo Mar\u00e7al", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d4cd5217d7cf72f695657d1e8ea73639099c0d1ee5900025080ab3e1501f217b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365905", "condition_id": "0x93897d7b3c157488d634a23c538b6540a181a91e249c863df9b0b0a8fab65405", "token_id": "15722447208715529914242661555641864880639590996892461658184813909783634464503", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pablo Mar\u00e7al finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d978e6420ead9d06ca928c8a71638190ec0914396be1bca08c23e82a118fcd88", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "1365893", "token_id": "98279737312722721984464036473219944696451907001028596656918791113590571774639", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ratinho J\u00fanior", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "942de3b052bfbaed8a2936a441408a9d46aefc6dd364aaafac21a405721ecee4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365893", "condition_id": "0x31f31222f37f2583de6c44c4297cafdccfd21d443e785042af0180192897f8ed", "token_id": "98279737312722721984464036473219944696451907001028596656918791113590571774639", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Carlos Roberto Massa J\u00fanior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bf3bbb695060ea58d59f7abb739c35da178a0e02812be7097f1dfe9006ab244e", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "1365894", "token_id": "72535696429445050612666657960056103058476328640415986990291437131287448661718", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Renan Santos", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "010704d5fcd9e96e76ebb74610a7ed91c857c5449d2fe77b7c7452df7a636239", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365894", "condition_id": "0xcba20965509d04b5f3ae2c51a221747317aff9387c197ca6d5919e85e5a20ee9", "token_id": "72535696429445050612666657960056103058476328640415986990291437131287448661718", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6415e3a510ec3e78f776ccf1de94ab294ae6507ef07e0c20d8e3bc7bc6a1bfd8", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "1365897", "token_id": "90180475101756729089570182362261460642819230033481570755127033507477996050412", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Romeu Zema", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4324f4fc329cda4791a67b4e39fad51791b9ea830865826c827beb8ce7b20dc0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365897", "condition_id": "0x7452216a57a3bef85439820c7bb421fa38e5a5ecff8c43658de515c1df70151e", "token_id": "90180475101756729089570182362261460642819230033481570755127033507477996050412", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "621566dd1c5b5b51c8bf432762739021b89f33eac1961151a4793df85b1fc4f2", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "1365896", "token_id": "88578465272411624227946968556355768244846251347974013830272507870143623656581", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ronaldo Caiado", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "45c67a943af100cef042c33d7bdec086f24f5f6a44f3290af465ee15c6dbb383", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365896", "condition_id": "0x3dbbbe0f8e69b1aee0092e1eca397b24c954c00ecc54995035a8683201ad26aa", "token_id": "88578465272411624227946968556355768244846251347974013830272507870143623656581", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "26c728a8b7484c701a81fd84b0031c2e33e71032dfef9174f86ab1e7efc2dbd4", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "1365887", "token_id": "76166924205019019068857043962896099082882521942521931098813226982265263647630", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tarcisio de Freitas", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "53febee77e17593ed361c230bbb0b677f87715984850bc80012e2a430cb4165c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365887", "condition_id": "0xc69eb6554a719e2fbcb1718e11ae0bd0d8cdb433e8c199329c148efc710c26e5", "token_id": "76166924205019019068857043962896099082882521942521931098813226982265263647630", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1ebca2dbbf11062c9116a9c52d05b0a8d2a8b6a2efffc334cf81c5088f6d323c", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "1365902", "token_id": "96795671760346135574613029949576811711368142411333240580887520155225528465847", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tereza Cristina", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "460374570503c58236ba54f71056dcfa41ef932bcb12ce444f724b9a71b20388", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1365902", "condition_id": "0x64b05c5935a2de4a4a36e7de1089564d08d0ce7e06f5deaae916c3bdc9ca3b3b", "token_id": "96795671760346135574613029949576811711368142411333240580887520155225528465847", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.\n\nThe named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "204973", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b7358c9f0f9910a0796654c50f8587300b9b41b83f6460cf7c1d2fe87123232e", "event_source_sha256": "751abcf21f942441a577191298912e39cf25219bd2c9f6982027bb4fd2b54e48" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986735", "title": "Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "3a4ea9612d6551ecbc814c67abd1b9ea29c61a9398ae3804ae940395172769ca", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356448", "4356449", "4356450", "4356451", "4356452", "4356453", "4356454", "4356455", "4356456", "4356457", "4356458" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986735", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356448", "token_id": "11894987874583690955088106759402618890484241231758311819368536419594853535373", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4df4b688abc22919ab821a08864e17d534d8bf9b1462ae7e3f9734baf9381144", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356448", "condition_id": "0xf631f308258a1f3fd8ea211ad12c0d658b838b1895c0ef5fd39d2eea0e834c9b", "token_id": "11894987874583690955088106759402618890484241231758311819368536419594853535373", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2fe60648c5e545851421db02935c3dbdc4bfa5f89261b2eb336bce75f8104a0d", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356449", "token_id": "110575868137762162429017471951055487471381267871467079015563878483569861202361", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf2188479156919f9ba1b0c3cc011e3927c55165e2ce890e347fd8759c8a7637", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356449", "condition_id": "0x91619939b380a9d535705e3bdb135b35a0ae7ef46fd20fa8422ea4a7daa58c61", "token_id": "110575868137762162429017471951055487471381267871467079015563878483569861202361", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "75f9c8069220688041af8224b220d721842232ff05805723d82b02c93b9c9e39", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356450", "token_id": "51070963387165801168159549421468264453412787774409490052240444047749928392682", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b0c6fb22674a418132036a3b41095ea1646d583ff11cd330299e3adf2a190b12", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356450", "condition_id": "0xefcf464080243795915025d23002f6221fede2d50340e2dcc6473af430458f25", "token_id": "51070963387165801168159549421468264453412787774409490052240444047749928392682", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "34ea9de1d6b5c1601554fd36854b197ddaf94d9b02d703407062c21daba1b37a", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356451", "token_id": "62817055924593814438634167384615820966701234786653284060529350256913071717233", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b18c4a62259ed125e53b20c0cb84fea5b0b9b6290dfa83552dc772aacc9f26d9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356451", "condition_id": "0x6263336b55698c97e0e697206cf06c4a999ff217d1c50cf3c6e5ee68b0e07e12", "token_id": "62817055924593814438634167384615820966701234786653284060529350256913071717233", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d1d990cc80a96659dfb6bd7da4329429cb6597f91b3d68215648ddf08ea10c5d", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356452", "token_id": "68775066263211612541436018492032096178828918023874201830817843250025995621451", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e0d6226408baf331349e064171f7f664a42cae80d1cd7e5f38c02d009421f80e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356452", "condition_id": "0xe9eda7967aad44afc0d5ffabea3afe752507524901d653e9826cd5139c63bfcb", "token_id": "68775066263211612541436018492032096178828918023874201830817843250025995621451", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "06666cf80a88a8b249b955ab0eb834efe70a2ace550296a3aac97512f5562f80", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356453", "token_id": "11996254279924773554876169642808067697274071884185931468480071072933255508305", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fc87b29d4d3ae213f26170c70dc2ade00f640f14f2ff6236fcdf2205143ea06d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356453", "condition_id": "0x5cf52577ffb1d1f249209775b39507096dc8061f40bcead5e8147d8305ca7e05", "token_id": "11996254279924773554876169642808067697274071884185931468480071072933255508305", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8459b253d1b778974de872bcae375a4cbb231d24a470feb197e2a303efc1bda1", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356454", "token_id": "8193505351959995413403850544073135044453070666899961950140296840911226197615", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6daef2d6df8eb36ac283dcc9b88838a83c696ed4a07a6767831c339344595b4d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356454", "condition_id": "0xb49999455ca99bf444996f47366cdc4dd0c4cf4511f06a18eb38fd67107714f7", "token_id": "8193505351959995413403850544073135044453070666899961950140296840911226197615", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "21b2c619b43fbe86189be7c43277b9e3e21b81f67459c90482c6264daa11d6bc", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356455", "token_id": "17783878977098009358845616774881259373251030365551700493548466650450914242502", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f0e93593e60765bb72094c8ec238b1fc838a217ce130750e0853f907aaf6edad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356455", "condition_id": "0x6625b515df4e6afe2e4cf727148caab7b7e4ceaf2be41aec4460459c0d8b5045", "token_id": "17783878977098009358845616774881259373251030365551700493548466650450914242502", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8bbc8ec5ed7e524053d87bd813d751f3a76ef1b55e070df3184b31ef921a1817", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356456", "token_id": "33844449664343013073674355173619941522035754877342483160393591134839458587256", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "72089a7c86ce16cf0e1f11af0d3689131a1e2d14af4647f9e5b368a44863fce6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356456", "condition_id": "0x5f1d22ad1df5d092fff03c5421fd5634a1fd95edb39ab5c43d625e8f2fffc2d5", "token_id": "33844449664343013073674355173619941522035754877342483160393591134839458587256", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8ceea058c7e1ed462eb36f8619f05c95052b7d736137aace9a7f4cecbe881ee4", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356457", "token_id": "28748247629699837166145421300389028575360771319989104003039529136229651406897", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "71ddde4cfca0907b4b1f8bba46cd18f9ff5b2efbf2419b475297765c54b66d34", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356457", "condition_id": "0x692a0e1e9cc87ede79c0844f7516a865beab4d8554afa4c4f8584879c4c7011d", "token_id": "28748247629699837166145421300389028575360771319989104003039529136229651406897", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "890f578c5b18eaff74de8c8004cd8d7f8d31a9022574e7c3746d607177f187eb", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356458", "token_id": "4660792611069550947777732603438752811796696676677696368344541421616229900280", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b1106570aee4df741e8a88f707e2fa9d046098276ae9ed598e6f044cecbd1fd2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356458", "condition_id": "0x885ad222ff331420bef6087075f3788f2d986fe6228f5c37f9d662fbb54a0e15", "token_id": "4660792611069550947777732603438752811796696676677696368344541421616229900280", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986735", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "18a6e886c7fc723214554e00d828a29ce0cc52ee10e5b1ad7c8a0a161e43079a", "event_source_sha256": "a0606184aa94968ac53fde4aea929566ffeab866fe459636911e752664e6e5b3" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986730", "title": "Highest temperature in Taipei on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "dc53a55130b855b00421ebcfb8dd39237ab925be1cd2883eacfb9b1e327ef85d", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356393", "4356394", "4356395", "4356396", "4356397", "4356398", "4356399", "4356400", "4356401", "4356402", "4356403" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986730", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356393", "token_id": "112445317890286340054378537123156519919907081553563613106263113294467287226362", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0e252b556cd7e08570d5931caa45e8bde4fd84a566744b108abe419bab938531", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356393", "condition_id": "0x51cf64980187310b179f3d20bdd1b2e3468a07d4a0ce33da3ad475a65f35478a", "token_id": "112445317890286340054378537123156519919907081553563613106263113294467287226362", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ccfce7088ef4bb5c456744c72d2f7982138b107f4cb2086313169d8816c6cc31", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356394", "token_id": "84519780952023386188790754954784623089325091866222754136396311301510719392951", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0a905213de7c600103fd46ad674c9a84a4a130432d142d724bb6257bcec65942", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356394", "condition_id": "0xae5a98a9233008589e86439853870c161ddffa2129a55d2420f5cc9e91fbbccb", "token_id": "84519780952023386188790754954784623089325091866222754136396311301510719392951", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8d8e5ad0c10bd7e524faf1ed8ae5455836886ca69da7414458ef7480d7365ab0", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356395", "token_id": "101469571894611247512773952649032747391842068134044932209242864708080031303792", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f5c3c29fa0baa39c05ecd8a27c5b7131cb82ed85b8b26a1a5130cbc59e7c6d94", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356395", "condition_id": "0xbcd6b89baeb000d038240dfd1b28545d01fe1fd844605ee39b66d42ca8316273", "token_id": "101469571894611247512773952649032747391842068134044932209242864708080031303792", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e960c58bef32b36668bc44054510357148cc13c22bb85479d237a097a0c1f9ad", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356396", "token_id": "88108980216693934020084303637226525575275356182144460354720109758339919102519", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a129fbd11d51b80595ea5f22dea14f09c598efc9e806998c2d3b224c598a37dd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356396", "condition_id": "0x5bbfbb8c36f3e0d6b0d05528b9c0cfa4c21612a2fdffb939625cc5cbc99d690c", "token_id": "88108980216693934020084303637226525575275356182144460354720109758339919102519", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "807c4d43d3fe31de4a7994f9b326a889d7f90641d50bdb4921b9c1f05dcd7a9b", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356397", "token_id": "47025023994671428978520608883506562934877969739131712492279147341960834157095", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "23fa57c5f05d1fbb0d43f9c7d98471e649029d12906e4f8c727c84a770fcc005", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356397", "condition_id": "0xd50a4e8c2d20a65217f804c912399ea9f71809f3a010c0d64c4f201e22276904", "token_id": "47025023994671428978520608883506562934877969739131712492279147341960834157095", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3f0f44ada6fb7f204743a74074c732a28f28baacf5d06b174a426e304b34f004", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356398", "token_id": "67855289859668481546928744811161597450148149568340326087509004020568501614834", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bb07a342cffea09755b6091a962f7e8286bbaaaa389c52b916432d7ceaa1c160", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356398", "condition_id": "0x82ff2abc9cc1dc9a02e5985127524eeb94b1286489ee3f36d138e6f68d0b1804", "token_id": "67855289859668481546928744811161597450148149568340326087509004020568501614834", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "588d924bc97b6f3eb010dc795fe8246891218f54b73292d25b1235a60b7f3cc1", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356399", "token_id": "28445173116449774538016742321579127346211816228831051405710364157873503064113", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "83eb2afc3431e9d60be1c976bd5df3fbf3647c3da488df10c641f8b437616557", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356399", "condition_id": "0xa31b5355b060015c42dfd0f920281acf414387a9149ee95c45aec21f6247fc7d", "token_id": "28445173116449774538016742321579127346211816228831051405710364157873503064113", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c4fc35f1a52304d36e9f2a0df2216b18185f97d803cefb25629dcd37796cd8cc", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356400", "token_id": "104546594907157698408270753801346030333529891002308497613531864218645337400185", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb9ee0eedf8d4366d3cafa88d66bd8ec83bbaef44f62e9a9408210d8b7ee3e48", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356400", "condition_id": "0xaebc98fca20f2232e08f63c2ea2ca7276c7b28422b05c95b922148efee5bb694", "token_id": "104546594907157698408270753801346030333529891002308497613531864218645337400185", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b0cd4b317f42647cd26a3f98b94153741252953db2b97359ff40cfda3c7b14a8", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356401", "token_id": "73955943369214081470299138188017613320481063906027381308889734650485250534377", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f6d084645830e08810286424f25b216193f561495b8d6998364ce37025764c7b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356401", "condition_id": "0xb959d6a2adfa9cf48c4e9030ccefc0864db52daacf083179b861185332f7cc56", "token_id": "73955943369214081470299138188017613320481063906027381308889734650485250534377", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9ace8f9637f42f44168d159d1680114bdc5bca7ad6e5ef7b9d533314c341a063", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356402", "token_id": "114417424947702509943912283745197280043308689640756250789958376320868443091108", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "21a4f5ea9533dd6027f6be1abd3cf71d71806801d55f8252f16f9980223ab014", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356402", "condition_id": "0x17e5032558c541c6f42c33c25e41cdd3c51f9512c508df011ba1868a28099115", "token_id": "114417424947702509943912283745197280043308689640756250789958376320868443091108", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b4b2ae24062b17bb5ee321f0653b97542638c34da3c5ca789fa8ce9acbbd6e3d", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356403", "token_id": "17707527788140127886626938833786902952044905016467322290063555947326135805163", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3e24e72f414505e6867cfc4431341d92d6c2b4e7fd26671a256bcebea54ec3e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356403", "condition_id": "0xbe6aa380ee95579e4326a5d655973fce2e0e5369566f9cde763f65b3525b1509", "token_id": "17707527788140127886626938833786902952044905016467322290063555947326135805163", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.\n\nThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between \u00b0F and \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986730", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4100eb31a1ae7eae0617628916f48ca7676269ea0d7de61cf2034e4e79524cad", "event_source_sha256": "4ad83b3fdacd869d4595332f3f5113b701ffe739d7e533ee26b1932b0f754310" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987928", "title": "Highest temperature in Seattle on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "798c5b652bf6b9790f01b268fb445b72ee53a727b73803e4694dea21a7cea9d5", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4362155", "4362156", "4362157", "4362158", "4362159", "4362160", "4362161", "4362162", "4362163", "4362164", "4362165" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987928", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4362155", "token_id": "69104710451375479254907524358595250967129070137927447258373416270041369195252", "outcome": "yes", "label": "59\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a098c830a8a4053d6b22df7c54a6e053613e96ba573c166bf68695ffecc999f1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362155", "condition_id": "0x1dcb715e8a6c4cdea48e9c47506fd62a0f441504fb43ccd936b9c9c53cd6bff3", "token_id": "69104710451375479254907524358595250967129070137927447258373416270041369195252", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "57c360e405024fded8334833b24c138bdf28f826fca90643b854f73e34d1189f", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4362156", "token_id": "105831777780470055183916568703884110302858653036084762485619576788178672669928", "outcome": "yes", "label": "60-61\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "14ecf289a8298212c3edb157a118c0510b4c0eef8942826103370a42ec31ed62", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362156", "condition_id": "0xbacc28c014554f381e2cef5980d6d5c0d9890701d60e32871218675fd2fc87b6", "token_id": "105831777780470055183916568703884110302858653036084762485619576788178672669928", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dd9437a0578831eda1642f449c40025fe78b353e4b51ed0ff37de44652e52efa", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4362157", "token_id": "92242805443660749669369946570437066410748370025886645367041054469395543207428", "outcome": "yes", "label": "62-63\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1079922c520cceefd94b880a27aac38fe1011aa9ca825cdc0ddb3f4a5ac0d02", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362157", "condition_id": "0x761b81e4b53cb4b2a1d099baae7a041123734a93a5963175081a03821a380bc8", "token_id": "92242805443660749669369946570437066410748370025886645367041054469395543207428", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5ac4c626e75bfc6748ba78076dcf7b382b1acc6d3833e9c9fb67fc4542ab92c8", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4362158", "token_id": "90820792273057022721785944504662691287470627525457938985455184807163869300276", "outcome": "yes", "label": "64-65\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f65bc04751a85be3c0f98972bfef8c3a9879e9fac034ad678b618a8f9a8cbc37", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362158", "condition_id": "0x8b5e55dc64c916f8532b3aac5ac381df4a6fe9a59dc129bb7ea33a09e1d6c942", "token_id": "90820792273057022721785944504662691287470627525457938985455184807163869300276", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "39eda0bbc74fdd781fffe127deced1fefe3b2051d1f4db0cbb09d7538f27cbda", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4362159", "token_id": "60961297325914558699802611569126980906707220251138687758713557581293774208862", "outcome": "yes", "label": "66-67\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6aadbb7c826d11284d9702fd8758880a4bfe357ad35dd8d9512d679fb124b4da", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362159", "condition_id": "0xbdc20c9bec6b956845e1b5eb7341ae8fbf075e40ab1899bdad9f2034b9b244a8", "token_id": "60961297325914558699802611569126980906707220251138687758713557581293774208862", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "97d30a8185a9920e1407cbf55035356c90ef431b4156526010c37ad5134482d1", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4362160", "token_id": "101389031501001337266982952326284431126710548708157730359431673039199422668446", "outcome": "yes", "label": "68-69\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9db0381d52c58a1a1e01c77c200adf20826f188cd372e3b492669dbbcfae6c5d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362160", "condition_id": "0x79e9784c4d1f8232ffbe9ab6e43fd37073b412f53f00934106bcacf41b3fecc3", "token_id": "101389031501001337266982952326284431126710548708157730359431673039199422668446", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "287a920175731b25052c8397cfd7c1ec3b0b541151369b0610cc7ecac964872a", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4362161", "token_id": "47635322158852598268053882209479267638173326721006554956988829047982322820352", "outcome": "yes", "label": "70-71\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cc58d0c9bbf596ad26a42c2b7c7229579624530faa940b864521d3751816ea26", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362161", "condition_id": "0x0beb4ed209af3a207fe3e0d4f6cc431a76a1497415617c16961687485dc9b41e", "token_id": "47635322158852598268053882209479267638173326721006554956988829047982322820352", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9abedc7a44ae096a5b3fd806e5728daf8449de5c826041e63db6a72489a490d4", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4362162", "token_id": "85932242532242032077632498147757771788104976532408751754358590161985318310556", "outcome": "yes", "label": "72-73\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "50648a480417fc3958118639df63766df9427cca46b8cada89619d52252e7835", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362162", "condition_id": "0x172a2b0f34636f31509bcb792fa33a35dad5628d384af60a15445db7349ce65c", "token_id": "85932242532242032077632498147757771788104976532408751754358590161985318310556", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f78362902126b74dcbf578459cb280cc101980c3696df287a75ccb5870bc240b", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4362163", "token_id": "7902266704509040080439277749807101036369889073355474571254737589808287868253", "outcome": "yes", "label": "74-75\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3566c2736cf23836a912ee7f5f366c22b9ecba779de501dbe44bdf9894c1bf83", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362163", "condition_id": "0x30bbb4a3e5b4f212de01eab12e3244857ec1772d5bf0ddbdc02dff889a203ded", "token_id": "7902266704509040080439277749807101036369889073355474571254737589808287868253", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "14880b56d1c366306a0de3cd85b2245da3bf161d58f6abc28de1076f2eda7024", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4362164", "token_id": "69519241082433071260886443534967646709002180543300014280319130716841064509561", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76-77\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "17aa834a6de2002e005f47b4d1524a985e477dbdbc1f992014b612b80da53c13", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362164", "condition_id": "0x98a3e148611a64b5e8644abc9c4c6333b601db312a10af7bfda2ba8910646420", "token_id": "69519241082433071260886443534967646709002180543300014280319130716841064509561", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "077d88e6cb7fc591d165822c82d38d78ad104b01d6cb11b4055a7d76e7bab473", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4362165", "token_id": "23180897597245365745686182998283670829977185948128401655886791534011659318822", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b3b9d9aa1b1bda9e672271f42118ec20c4dc90f7a2a1d4ac142dd5aa12b318c9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362165", "condition_id": "0x95081ba3572d5e3d1afc2785a25887d8dadbe5ffa48ddad582f267fa98bb6c5d", "token_id": "23180897597245365745686182998283670829977185948128401655886791534011659318822", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 78\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987928", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0b12635659f834c8f1d9b9667225d9d601b251e2a9334b0c367c093c50aee20f", "event_source_sha256": "3638f3f84170c21113d6a3f2b8a7f2ae5f5191025754955dd05657d9de53bd17" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986733", "title": "Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "ebd9ce73cd114b7096d5c6d401f3e9c8ed7d19e0cc465ff96c7dbcf755609438", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356426", "4356427", "4356428", "4356429", "4356430", "4356431", "4356432", "4356433", "4356434", "4356435", "4356436" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986733", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356426", "token_id": "50682356595504207779732892660316937979168402347905656115727891180738632703814", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "31d75b4257b355f56a3c52805ed488df65e459ae79349352d76d6fa3cacdb235", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356426", "condition_id": "0x189124faba206291e54c101cd4a180758fb02753b6031d19af2aa045f44c2953", "token_id": "50682356595504207779732892660316937979168402347905656115727891180738632703814", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9e48334175d95151b011cbb32ab10d453d63a8f30ac6fe9d37fd0e751693a758", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356427", "token_id": "83061686151830261666891866898572326031128572645038307213759157556402830898793", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb7d328f0cd99dbaadb7729517a5bb478ad861e6483e513ed33e53b31d747a7e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356427", "condition_id": "0xa79a344c1cfa6a1f7bbc238ccb7dc1c3decae63c464177d11a68eed4a593a0a8", "token_id": "83061686151830261666891866898572326031128572645038307213759157556402830898793", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c01bdf6396b98d264a11dceea915076abb13f3d53432ee11831338bf65be54f9", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356428", "token_id": "64701262345489789217360104192539760766023042298030164583274016468158899668046", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a56eb5926f2b81128a3ebfe9b27d279a5d293374d77d9fa75f9d0bbaa0684317", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356428", "condition_id": "0x760e1127d4db881c2b1a1d6463ab0ceb3f1bf9d75e62cf8f0b0379133554bffb", "token_id": "64701262345489789217360104192539760766023042298030164583274016468158899668046", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9434b894cad8b72da1f699732234f85577acfcbf56d47837fbdef83475fa1541", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356429", "token_id": "32774750740338143879369384264529656042904112440666544242176367923854430645508", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "62b5f5397517a0ed23848eb5d79d3939cb28e8aab94aab85ecc9cfa1c4ccaa27", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356429", "condition_id": "0x0d7653c2d199f1f4e729579509813975ea2bf7611055e5dbe54542946ce62afe", "token_id": "32774750740338143879369384264529656042904112440666544242176367923854430645508", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9fe3fef33c15d2abe8a4c2efafdf36886f7cdea471854e14d2312a036c9affb3", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356430", "token_id": "80437412587334203423816547018053928405235990050414011429133429706270413967837", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ae1529cb7f485477a1ff2730f6eb8f6d6f016eb9d8ad4bc851e462391d4f5ee1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356430", "condition_id": "0xac4060cf4b9ff1cec1954b9469b8cf34604fb9a62b61398707c86397c0373153", "token_id": "80437412587334203423816547018053928405235990050414011429133429706270413967837", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e593cded422813dc55357d0d7612756b2cbff9891775095e6e06f71a1e0d4882", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356431", "token_id": "8049183678284975416475399008390341954041549221887306424440971007402166951557", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8099e5e248cf0fe370efe5d889f6a89f69b6ad491633358f2c6f7e4b42919060", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356431", "condition_id": "0xffc62602af8898343a7c887bb1125fa7324c2f732f915ba281c2731d8e77a384", "token_id": "8049183678284975416475399008390341954041549221887306424440971007402166951557", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "66627de0af6a6aac322e851a185b1b864cad78ba37e281f96539a0d27e98b84c", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356432", "token_id": "76959186618825261216710151702904405199676375286302936590731894004200546146385", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8be1513ddf5eb91218bdd30942450162f4fb175a19bed78815df1515e87d26f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356432", "condition_id": "0x0e1e3e5f8697cc05c9f4795d3bb1d5efb9d24a1cc3eacb905cf5428d9593014d", "token_id": "76959186618825261216710151702904405199676375286302936590731894004200546146385", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d0ecb23866810d1e4fdc7ff707e0b6b7e6a1ca609d651273c2a50674d795d90c", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356433", "token_id": "96292147257494633942936346550611198750572264868893565782264342486311580950531", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "01952d043e52293f36ba6485474e9c0d52f908370552fb5d991a55033b920d81", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356433", "condition_id": "0x39aa7efe671f2b4adfa25008fe0f5a5c564bf433f2d1e9933e41cda81d98f9fb", "token_id": "96292147257494633942936346550611198750572264868893565782264342486311580950531", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ce655cb048aed8a9fd50e66e0626ddc98add707364d2a4760686197af9c16f94", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356434", "token_id": "41410068251120993393788567382878505086367799183145687487248039195797443518821", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6185b4c0ca887e76ef01beba228e6a995a1428f3c646b028dc6bd8a6bb649a1a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356434", "condition_id": "0xe65b40aa21586a63fbe30adf47419a95a149f35457d6785b08521fb731a3725d", "token_id": "41410068251120993393788567382878505086367799183145687487248039195797443518821", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e3bcde069fbb1b434f5446c21dca83989f05cd3619cea8907b1261ae01f191d7", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356435", "token_id": "113684977790471228150036666864467972735412515581935917909602068033155573504086", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7bb4959221ca39301ed327ff31b5edb22293f1af7a2eb863005bb6b5a8b004cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356435", "condition_id": "0x5ea9d63f11d88ffbe807a5a2db4e0bbaa17b266ab823729a23049926860d32b8", "token_id": "113684977790471228150036666864467972735412515581935917909602068033155573504086", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f801829c297234b299eccb27f7f0ef6c179fa4fb7cb55b200e3dd6a2b26c0d56", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356436", "token_id": "5997745480534498702367340450217985614672147176246613476274925804930381475389", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "27f5c747b7ee8d6bf3ba8de44e78e80723ec789bfb4227ed302a920112082603", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356436", "condition_id": "0x279ca96a10d4691c1ce83c968b00b4508a908aa72c7f8856a1fc600f25b50a80", "token_id": "5997745480534498702367340450217985614672147176246613476274925804930381475389", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986733", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a7a01b0d28769b37b8ebc95722e9fa7769afe96982f92e9ef8fba8f73279e029", "event_source_sha256": "e4551838c49eaee6b2845078298b8b54cdfa04aaba96fab492c377ed5afa7d1e" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:606422", "title": "Fed Decision in October?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "d976378c0c3448dcd836acd3030c142e292322da4962003925817225e3dcbf0e", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2589810", "2589811", "2589812", "2589813", "2589814" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:606422", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2589811", "token_id": "33268510350568915228897273528353467773422190590579607471427765079749830445947", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "119c0acff6963912d24179f40b8a45b5e620ddfaedc53889d8b130c532504c7b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589811", "condition_id": "0x9cf563d7b55aa9aa876d5d7e55126347eee473f0ae56d799e325fdef2bf25297", "token_id": "33268510350568915228897273528353467773422190590579607471427765079749830445947", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606422", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b3f2a7ce13f8be4ac844ccac4baeb10a99d63a19dfef830a44bd791c216138aa", "event_source_sha256": "6936df86ae095104aaa5ff0a4d163f3364c968c38b4338e426d1dcafb2f7762e" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2589813", "token_id": "55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bf08909c035e50fea22ddea78eff7d103553feb641bde590c928fafdbb22b9d7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589813", "condition_id": "0x12aa13b3da17ceae1b0a59b5d5b77121e91bb79b4bb0b52bf6543ed3f8d0953b", "token_id": "55159722761418013044126414276680602270318000841690689684819994448621694923050", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606422", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "041d6bde0980307936deb62829da504eccf9e8f4e1b22878bf06ae9311326983", "event_source_sha256": "6936df86ae095104aaa5ff0a4d163f3364c968c38b4338e426d1dcafb2f7762e" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2589810", "token_id": "17010377994663817312158123655937348199252960045746746128731746451645055725586", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aebda02cbeccc8a93eca405e619c021b375502da1041ad2fde318ebf43044b09", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589810", "condition_id": "0xa69ef420d8b4075ad8ba8611d02c63cb2ece46f5c8c643af223c272689b0c96f", "token_id": "17010377994663817312158123655937348199252960045746746128731746451645055725586", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606422", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "08921e3ce48af6b44e69d6aba59b5f1e6663d0e6e02ba390be82523a5f630fdb", "event_source_sha256": "6936df86ae095104aaa5ff0a4d163f3364c968c38b4338e426d1dcafb2f7762e" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2589814", "token_id": "18246296022868501258060085368606280205967114341141276439803424448463050819498", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "04d7e0beff82b1212eba0fe651a040492c893da36fdc529c328985548afb6fe2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589814", "condition_id": "0xde5d75ab7702875623ba509bc923241e1211da74a113521b3b70ddac930d7316", "token_id": "18246296022868501258060085368606280205967114341141276439803424448463050819498", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606422", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "317a35e1fce650ccb4b9b199db655729cfec09371a7b0d91f958161d6e37e62a", "event_source_sha256": "6936df86ae095104aaa5ff0a4d163f3364c968c38b4338e426d1dcafb2f7762e" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2589812", "token_id": "111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No change", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0d4cbdfd66983abdba31d5f55b3de1fe656351a84b01f1e70d1741039bf9cf24", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589812", "condition_id": "0xdf9bf27ee5757c55b44b8b9826ddc9ec3a8809aa3278634c45edbb7fc8f1a3e3", "token_id": "111061902544814266207267295505639408607400625795891618462682726460921782993748", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.\n\nIf the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC\u2019s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the FOMC\u2019s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No change\" bracket.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606422", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "85b44c2597061d3284280a584d7f218652efe1081de5027e3ccb7b41f5f855b0", "event_source_sha256": "6936df86ae095104aaa5ff0a4d163f3364c968c38b4338e426d1dcafb2f7762e" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987929", "title": "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "27eb38385e5fbc71674adc077d46002e63375a16b86b84bde398ec2449470261", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4362169", "4362170", "4362171", "4362172", "4362173", "4362174", "4362175", "4362176", "4362177", "4362178", "4362179" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987929", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4362169", "token_id": "20322608158157869372341972592248031912256522174814351796012971946927765777254", "outcome": "yes", "label": "75\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ed900d025c89798df15fe714bc98bf0326e9aa20da6d9deaa2f5c016f192bfcb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362169", "condition_id": "0x37934ec4206592bf094f3a0245b8fb19aadee0cf6dce4fbd717b4c153ff4104f", "token_id": "20322608158157869372341972592248031912256522174814351796012971946927765777254", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 75\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5d1339400de7c10257f6610e6ca3ea3b925113ec377cd7c176b1b76b231373ca", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4362170", "token_id": "43625849117101087018732713259254921069504235184806349587155826549363315255307", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76-77\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "940589fd55e9f103d83856ca323e22d74a131d19e352a728e4fdf1f28b7f5bc2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362170", "condition_id": "0x55b1bd237c0a3accbdd00979a65773bf55d9f49d12dbe7d1c3247493733670bc", "token_id": "43625849117101087018732713259254921069504235184806349587155826549363315255307", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "08a5be3a374fb3ae53a2a1d9be6abf98c0bea1e32e83a90ac9f7694f2248b214", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4362171", "token_id": "36663641062535430184306741731075479264962821166013716161991379224767795060907", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78-79\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "85c389112dea4b8e2fc37423cc9a7b80a7a3c96e3a6bc08196d376296dd088b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362171", "condition_id": "0x1eb7383a9fb14bc7f474965b42e055e1161243649fc49ede141c611ab1685560", "token_id": "36663641062535430184306741731075479264962821166013716161991379224767795060907", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5d18b7be59f147c65130305028d605d61f3f6ea9c2315d4a54138fa1943539bd", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4362172", "token_id": "97828581329956292352018461213882312897505781144702257583671352472228393668900", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1f0904fed0b7544994a9d542e1d372958f42c8485e1421de3e347e92d5cd4eb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362172", "condition_id": "0x650a6aece7bfafe8a338a6445212b76c2a00d2a54afbf3be4bc7d314d30bb682", "token_id": "97828581329956292352018461213882312897505781144702257583671352472228393668900", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e445ca03343ea38c137515758bbedf0165cf75164b9bea56fdcd228d45b02d2e", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4362173", "token_id": "54236396676678620007750762245360831699868414365871214022953770590608611204919", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c0ee7fa5df7d777c09d2cce0d7bc63b51ece8b3ce83989410593b6dee33eb52e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362173", "condition_id": "0xefbfc7cc87e7c7de01049fbd18d45a1dce16bfc7ca6ec147d47610adff095b64", "token_id": "54236396676678620007750762245360831699868414365871214022953770590608611204919", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8597b375d8c49a8185e80ca03553fe4c5b1ff783c0bbe06e6cb1d5fb15cb2add", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4362174", "token_id": "62601123999605019991277175346778263717592285095534622781150839397133220337556", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0987b5c068013b8f51846f82ee3dbd2c2c6455d965c04ce8c0f16d679784ecd9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362174", "condition_id": "0x395c3a47ed21e5f4b9c39d1c28f0f876e4fbf2caa7c2800fb1df046c5b23d4bd", "token_id": "62601123999605019991277175346778263717592285095534622781150839397133220337556", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8daaa9bcd3621d35b42dc7a158a8ffd791eba05aa67b636112bc3b05eb9c61d5", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4362175", "token_id": "69094995223317659559674840972729856257718975472950203846665911310772095198965", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9f6151e912e780fbd7758b539f1dfc187abf7aef47166c4dca82c7e3e22c7eef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362175", "condition_id": "0xc61d4051e741585058a903787ad908c176169ec40466f754f1a848a2017e0ae6", "token_id": "69094995223317659559674840972729856257718975472950203846665911310772095198965", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "186ad62e4d159a43380750d1ee4719f72948dbe6a0967cd43772c5c4b918a192", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4362176", "token_id": "20598801349331676786187872965133731082876918063387206617352590503781361047593", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88-89\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a94e29f5d1f184bcd3c7adf8c9f62a94de160b917d876b43997c09ccaeb65c54", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362176", "condition_id": "0xe0a8ef2943b9afb942c42843d954f6c8e01bf1aa123142aa3e87fd71399c608d", "token_id": "20598801349331676786187872965133731082876918063387206617352590503781361047593", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ec81251bc177a92bb0ad3edc29221c6002878c2c93eb0fbde9be4bef1dab7a1f", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4362177", "token_id": "84628597037216185805750163339596752583641723631886529949841139372080251239249", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f25cbd1c7f3a024a8c2d785588546b6e5ebde8748eefbe1594ad1474d7278141", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362177", "condition_id": "0x19a49e525c179fda38dd84b60cd3c7f2a8d5e30d3dd3d824b838abbc22f56a1b", "token_id": "84628597037216185805750163339596752583641723631886529949841139372080251239249", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cc3ef6e9bfa70d98558d748a95f6202aeb9d44a112a25521baee530d327e3c52", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4362178", "token_id": "74238953975126690984958935732043642215203313666833927760679848206742976277486", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e2475a4d0dc3785c2bdce97309f9a10156eb03b9083dde980074bf4e10b67736", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362178", "condition_id": "0xe026092fefd3b65db79258c9c79cc7d99ac24722a980c586a7e64bc726a53105", "token_id": "74238953975126690984958935732043642215203313666833927760679848206742976277486", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dad1836e7bbef1c11a5365a7fd27bd13e31411e7f1080226de3d258fca9751a1", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4362179", "token_id": "5042326701959959444419234900911549393798579446724370198805487004016777658390", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "62fdb08df1de1aa14aa34ae2f3b5a573610af4865919df700a70cb075c53c759", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362179", "condition_id": "0x5d3f4b2bcf6b6e293b67e251d1e8c63553ef31194e7b7a2aa760f4c6611975b8", "token_id": "5042326701959959444419234900911549393798579446724370198805487004016777658390", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 94\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987929", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "91aed5ab32e944cae857b8e99eee96d552f2ba101e7b6fc27e2afec0fb284faa", "event_source_sha256": "86ec50e48cc1da1c1ff9dcfec8c9f1b72a50596bcb382adb0a86ca45ba03f441" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:403883", "title": "Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 8, "semantics_hash": "2766f270efc52ab27cb78ca2ff3b606fd43d7d133695d569a22762a5b7cad6a6", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2046122", "2046123", "2046124", "2046125", "2046126", "2046127", "2046128", "2046129", "2046130", "2046131", "2046132", "2046133", "2046134", "2046135", "2046136", "2046137", "2046138", "2046139", "2046140", "2046141", "2046142", "2046143", "2046144", "2046145", "2046146", "2046147", "2046148", "2046149", "2046150", "2046151", "2046152", "2046153", "2046154", "2046155" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:403883", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2046124", "token_id": "47670525407754135620515059018918346908864801011525191434623911490546362148119", "outcome": "yes", "label": "A Just Russia \u2013 For Truth (SRZP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2bb633531d93b8b57050b0828aa977d689e5216fd21ea2156fef2de77d41ce73", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2046124", "condition_id": "0xc903de43208a0f75634b7a9ad8482bade60ecae21eae290ce5d1963593aebf1a", "token_id": "47670525407754135620515059018918346908864801011525191434623911490546362148119", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will A Just Russia \u2013 For Truth (SRZP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "403883", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bca531fe2a1be18d6b61649678acb40d940f4adea33c68a069ef98fbf2a14bfe", "event_source_sha256": "2b4a18067c65500550484231fcd8063b6ad923e91f9776f12f24d86f46f1c922" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2046128", "token_id": "6152724232996754726130056394796869547833706391304154261353586197339789045452", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Civic Platform (GP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fa93449d2b38abdef5ac8347dce7ae7bda40b53030df45a25947fbbd05d65ec4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2046128", "condition_id": "0x1820d32cac9e591aed6a079206043a40f2b88745eed8aea3f4c672e574b1f87d", "token_id": "6152724232996754726130056394796869547833706391304154261353586197339789045452", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Civic Platform (GP) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "403883", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "89e92e39145c3df60ede1023b20d9cafa5b5b4160fb6367435877c707e95d515", "event_source_sha256": "2b4a18067c65500550484231fcd8063b6ad923e91f9776f12f24d86f46f1c922" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2046123", "token_id": "86998447967771041808948876891524989831027294731450940802148572025313277400770", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cdeb84921e393351e02809dea73eb1cd381e2f675bf817429fd38a483a828049", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2046123", "condition_id": "0x3ce5bcddc5a091f16555440e6ad0ffa76b37db258c91aea3d24682021a8c01d4", "token_id": "86998447967771041808948876891524989831027294731450940802148572025313277400770", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "403883", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "412036e17bea9e159aa336af6faf1416c50293a235751eb0355cd76f45b5b8c6", "event_source_sha256": "2b4a18067c65500550484231fcd8063b6ad923e91f9776f12f24d86f46f1c922" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2046125", "token_id": "59855101937187398177667598372518100628152635511567064762690075250512015772026", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dc3dc3a9316c455d6b8a87663c7698fdd47cdab51a645f720910ce50bf0ab82a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2046125", "condition_id": "0x112fc8452dde2a783a2dc139bae65454a317532858336b61ad6744d63b1bb569", "token_id": "59855101937187398177667598372518100628152635511567064762690075250512015772026", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "403883", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d1f37cb0bde92ee7ff2e58df6b5d4801df1efeff7096fa7824f189d86e0a055e", "event_source_sha256": "2b4a18067c65500550484231fcd8063b6ad923e91f9776f12f24d86f46f1c922" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2046126", "token_id": "16812776081734673413618925676070790303458587814000834940389189903201996256784", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New People (NL)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "452d2f0854c1060df1d60286bb53073d10a0adfaeb8d4be7bf1e8f8bc3084de0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2046126", "condition_id": "0x65d9ff5dd4b1cd8974f14335c2bd1fc5f133c1228aeb6e5d83c80f7432a120f0", "token_id": "16812776081734673413618925676070790303458587814000834940389189903201996256784", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New People (NL) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "403883", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c018799e3260f3635db7ec9248f467778798e772d32c8ec1a23e31fa260e6427", "event_source_sha256": "2b4a18067c65500550484231fcd8063b6ad923e91f9776f12f24d86f46f1c922" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2046127", "token_id": "102345351469549456114651870007475002214771321949648717617193797819691108049298", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rodina", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8300eda60b7ecfc9cbbc192ee30a81d0d12ceea2046e8a1e6403f6d34e0bb2f3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2046127", "condition_id": "0x05f4f776ef192066ae89dac56efb17377a8ae8b0b512d2ad7dc00ddf2dcc7887", "token_id": "102345351469549456114651870007475002214771321949648717617193797819691108049298", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rodina win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "403883", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e90e6628829755e61f88ab3d18f6151c2c29d7df3f8895163f6faa72ac4c6c1e", "event_source_sha256": "2b4a18067c65500550484231fcd8063b6ad923e91f9776f12f24d86f46f1c922" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2046122", "token_id": "85238226202764949815194811268814295744271076260996663483021553453033112184190", "outcome": "yes", "label": "United Russia (ER)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8dcd46faee679055603ccdd2abf1f905458ed01df9af3ffcd18bc61f8a09a567", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2046122", "condition_id": "0xd78b6917ee08627da7a527ed3b18700b5479da7b241ce1264cf1a8da806caf72", "token_id": "85238226202764949815194811268814295744271076260996663483021553453033112184190", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia (ER) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "403883", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "132983bd614bada93dbcc0c110419093c2b70b0c08dac9c1dc40a87c8ce3e6c8", "event_source_sha256": "2b4a18067c65500550484231fcd8063b6ad923e91f9776f12f24d86f46f1c922" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2046130", "token_id": "45852432301520519092336022781098717841447681548684159068399425946892810405895", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yabloko", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4cd225609916ad74b9476efe77a0a052d103a0e82271e844183e33f82d119a26", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2046130", "condition_id": "0x09b65834e9c9ad3ff24d02413a027a18afc23b2229217e7de948fad17d6f14ac", "token_id": "45852432301520519092336022781098717841447681548684159068399425946892810405895", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yabloko win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "403883", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4d122d514b9c4e5ab18987315c753e7bd44a13453a78909272327bb713ffc152", "event_source_sha256": "2b4a18067c65500550484231fcd8063b6ad923e91f9776f12f24d86f46f1c922" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:95248", "title": "Berlin State Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 8, "semantics_hash": "cd676bd8e13dd00f6854fc9c8f3630025892046a12707dc0d5cd3632da5fd370", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "789952", "789953", "789954", "789955", "789956", "789957", "789958", "789959", "789972", "789973", "789974", "789975", "789976", "789977", "789978", "789979", "789980", "789981", "789982", "789983", "789984", "789985", "789986", "789987" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:95248", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "789953", "token_id": "67784084156063245454459357229936847964117127235086701895468125487885758601780", "outcome": "yes", "label": "AfD", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6595c7aec2f2a53717bc2ebc143f040d29bd5f8cf30deeeba3b593d892d9c7c5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "789953", "condition_id": "0x8aaaca6ea5c037d3cdfe85272ab9029b7165694dcae8af0de5071f01a1a944f0", "token_id": "67784084156063245454459357229936847964117127235086701895468125487885758601780", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "95248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "406dffc1a64ecf74562eeed90a1f216c0212c3a1249ae3c4a6fa221ab5c16de9", "event_source_sha256": "db77213e6c89e3c967cb10cfda04c9cded9e33819ff80dad5e2bc9b80a14400d" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "789959", "token_id": "81077150591976890293140315352311802001019229828059367850568650564627812939699", "outcome": "yes", "label": "BSW", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bd4ab12b4696de939f72c4b7871bb972e7268acdeb3cca2bee2d8aa1c0b78edd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "789959", "condition_id": "0x04941dd5ebc58418930db6a5b3a986ae1154408c128724d9f311b6eb0d9769a8", "token_id": "81077150591976890293140315352311802001019229828059367850568650564627812939699", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "95248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "052da28b55624c80fa9b6475108213f952b0f1e7c03abead80d745e4a5d01da2", "event_source_sha256": "db77213e6c89e3c967cb10cfda04c9cded9e33819ff80dad5e2bc9b80a14400d" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "789952", "token_id": "15825754603876312502903119698982031844411870330182974791041852322557555300546", "outcome": "yes", "label": "CDU", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6dcb35f91d74f9c9a5592592d522a727d6ce83f0f16780ac4413881f2ebe7067", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "789952", "condition_id": "0x71a21eab87c301a53f2f33fad4dca7a1e7da8911b847c82ca37ed49d859a17a0", "token_id": "15825754603876312502903119698982031844411870330182974791041852322557555300546", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "95248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8974271c98f026c4e039147d95737329f12d4876aa71e126795dc1bcc2086ded", "event_source_sha256": "db77213e6c89e3c967cb10cfda04c9cded9e33819ff80dad5e2bc9b80a14400d" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "789956", "token_id": "106750081745261362300232546559046342883257066628132572250721612753458506123841", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FDP", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "37a8f1fec9092867e2f9b2446f5eb0a223d05751e3813f2babfa15180e9d1c38", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "789956", "condition_id": "0x209a7040cc613759cf3e36ca4d49596216fd80d91f2f115a1a9836f7828a6860", "token_id": "106750081745261362300232546559046342883257066628132572250721612753458506123841", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "95248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "948965eec1795d51a6393bbada052cc1c304f499be0a49913f0b9bd4442425bc", "event_source_sha256": "db77213e6c89e3c967cb10cfda04c9cded9e33819ff80dad5e2bc9b80a14400d" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "789958", "token_id": "103741220851888432344502614577085241170569108729073257314464506579909728941061", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FW", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd8ed4cedf4c0c76770888b3306d2569c01faebd151d0f3be8d2ccf6266c5af4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "789958", "condition_id": "0xaeef870515eeabc7caea79d3dd5e03c8799d524417978dcf547a540aa8401a74", "token_id": "103741220851888432344502614577085241170569108729073257314464506579909728941061", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "95248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4466ba56d5948b50fd2f7beda74e0b49394f3d28c56823c8cb7a1ee8770dde4b", "event_source_sha256": "db77213e6c89e3c967cb10cfda04c9cded9e33819ff80dad5e2bc9b80a14400d" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "789954", "token_id": "36056522085180967553289629023512693904319846153785125503989211505443864030422", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Gr\u00fcne", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a3642c222cad2d65ab6cca0ae59e7f25775a5ba0b665cbefbcbd9a5835c10a15", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "789954", "condition_id": "0xe56ea36629f22db9d86fffb7a326a1d64750d3da6037ef69dd7d3ff301ff880b", "token_id": "36056522085180967553289629023512693904319846153785125503989211505443864030422", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Gr\u00fcne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "95248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "98f767a27ed64ccddc7d2a093130b1f090d9cd11041ab901bdf09fba69f029bb", "event_source_sha256": "db77213e6c89e3c967cb10cfda04c9cded9e33819ff80dad5e2bc9b80a14400d" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "789957", "token_id": "102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290824407541600306279619", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Linke", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "67a3ec57513fe16b61f7a28daee153c5ba22fcc734072f81d093cb07011c3b84", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "789957", "condition_id": "0xda4fbe6eec3d6cc6f6d14785f25f86823514b0b4b37c63227af5b2670f2627f4", "token_id": "102682832966209969978965796495958715590593079468512867290824407541600306279619", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "95248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0f07c3549336fb755b587678065cb069d8eb77328cb70bc72656391003520be8", "event_source_sha256": "db77213e6c89e3c967cb10cfda04c9cded9e33819ff80dad5e2bc9b80a14400d" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "789955", "token_id": "79831359543576689981648833427111650020596484873266523895421468462867872414437", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SPD", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2bbe7b1c69f7aa3c01e32834f290d51d4ec8b52c651fc230f3e6ab09989571a7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "789955", "condition_id": "0x4d5c17cb767b19eb326daaf14a191711b16ed69d1f74826dd18ca125834f7cd9", "token_id": "79831359543576689981648833427111650020596484873266523895421468462867872414437", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.\n\nIf voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "95248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "904f01ab60d424c82d461056bc8cdac8ca6baf73f3a2fda52b4684afa5345100", "event_source_sha256": "db77213e6c89e3c967cb10cfda04c9cded9e33819ff80dad5e2bc9b80a14400d" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986734", "title": "Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "b2bf67f1d93d9c04fe565b61cdb26f803abffb7084cc5268d3cdc9ce3d717b6d", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356437", "4356438", "4356439", "4356440", "4356441", "4356442", "4356443", "4356444", "4356445", "4356446", "4356447" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986734", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356437", "token_id": "95674622393380532300210809320824732581511106780501418842973818151193831975751", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2aaf1426915b271b30f3476c181601efa159b5119893d233af251b1792178527", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356437", "condition_id": "0xed8d910f42b2dda31d0b67bfc005b977379f9ac3874c3def449ef9f1c240bbbc", "token_id": "95674622393380532300210809320824732581511106780501418842973818151193831975751", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0aa37afdb7dfd0edf4f948e24fe850792384a6cbcfe0f58278a0e9ecefdcffcf", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356438", "token_id": "78207565219887959906544705426059340774048149776764008962956920831975556485395", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "264e58b8e71ff1e89a3bb58321ad7ec4b4c33f66d785d1d51098c42b8214f62d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356438", "condition_id": "0x3e96b4280050a8a613af575cbf96a77d8933bf46ea9e0ac84e76dfaae6486148", "token_id": "78207565219887959906544705426059340774048149776764008962956920831975556485395", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f61d79bc9c6c091387d7f5774d5ed81f3559985121b6e72b229c51bc2d207e7c", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356439", "token_id": "13419767566971283657662896375150374657715644476974295874601695837425152166398", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "51c603344b44b9f8167c54180673a8be8e999874d2c1f38317c8460e95a59d9a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356439", "condition_id": "0xe9a54cda308318b08e9e51703312fc2d3183e114e29378e3a7509760e4410343", "token_id": "13419767566971283657662896375150374657715644476974295874601695837425152166398", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4b24ff42b2006d02922f0c96f5e91964bcebaad4b27e420bf7b349923d4cb306", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356440", "token_id": "18374133888387435495326024546449220562717432945277251396087116293661363921579", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19eedb3ee96dfbbab237d65f386c6fc8fccc932813dc9f024dec1f3ede77e5a1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356440", "condition_id": "0x0366f35194e6db9ea25777b83290dbe2fcdc5fa82f477f54ea4420da6b055ed0", "token_id": "18374133888387435495326024546449220562717432945277251396087116293661363921579", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3988803470592319ec62364280fe32494b2cb8ec0b0ec8c414f1c15686f573c8", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356441", "token_id": "44689018255236228396268445619084051181157340810538917023655056007186826745403", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aeed91aed25fe85f2351b781dc70e947849296ac0670e9167d606ead5440cfac", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356441", "condition_id": "0xc3b545f5bc830fab17fab1454d3037727a6db8f7d67a807f384c6d18bcb771e7", "token_id": "44689018255236228396268445619084051181157340810538917023655056007186826745403", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e36e17565e77277001f8f5504601db4cdc345fe0fa6bba39583f2dc7e661baaa", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356442", "token_id": "13374274930403338093104314601145424186528984930810314704895745246921953496663", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ec82b1abf01e4fcf91cfa1aa96793d29e0c948d54c6b0d6e89dbb1511f7a453a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356442", "condition_id": "0x1168f9bfa43129b32979cc5a315e98a6151efa5c5879506c549f0a9267efafac", "token_id": "13374274930403338093104314601145424186528984930810314704895745246921953496663", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "44a8f9f888f13239a0c375cd46e67d0141f2f80e8531c1dafec556cd9e98805b", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356443", "token_id": "27607756784371820453165496458837240630980879389776998488586914682084108724968", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4bd466ad27cd1cb63ea89ce02478ce314afe4f497410404e1f16fbfaf723229c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356443", "condition_id": "0x83a60615538e6f874b160d379f59d5783b234f9e778176861cd1b5a5398432b9", "token_id": "27607756784371820453165496458837240630980879389776998488586914682084108724968", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d596827995b570f6bc11a5d28d4cb5e18e7479468c27e6cb5dc6e0a11be80ada", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356444", "token_id": "51338709270086251706806400698083142659561500532388815094640714206218267060953", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4721f50f50af861d9ea9c11b586ae816ea33744ecc4475756f44d801b87da93a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356444", "condition_id": "0x9616f9268faa8aba415e0fe870f3639984f70dd3d3da7c87381738966c54ce7c", "token_id": "51338709270086251706806400698083142659561500532388815094640714206218267060953", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e3c0badbbcfe454c32b2d84e74e53249353d0a480132c486a2abc41a7e32c83a", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356445", "token_id": "83612561650069095382576396974922610908973901674925933090747689787396700192447", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1b6bfbdc1a7db25f7ffa1e5eaf515d952454a39355e220c4fa17e0316e28fa05", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356445", "condition_id": "0xfce29a18fa14d3d771a1b385c31c824e87e2a5f5296cba037c471395797dec9a", "token_id": "83612561650069095382576396974922610908973901674925933090747689787396700192447", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "39e0da46b0c2197866831c4790937c265a2a744489a99a3b0e6d440556ea698b", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356446", "token_id": "100460785474229497268121545491794687189252585568789920518676919297485820804632", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6c87fd543e296e98a7bedf8008ead0f7bf4fa3cbb0a735bb949e5c7f1f8b1ec3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356446", "condition_id": "0x0b487a8d7f328429deb286c8e825ad1543e25830d460e54162832cde6689b13a", "token_id": "100460785474229497268121545491794687189252585568789920518676919297485820804632", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "75c9b9f0571a386f3744c0bd4b01a529f931458fc712380007aed7049718b332", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356447", "token_id": "87850520713346587032519898239481324456763847986768673022285970744335577073574", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "970d9fc42a5dd0fecb6cb138007690e5292f7f1d9f087e69a979cc250bed2576", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356447", "condition_id": "0xa9a3ca0332b4e7bc091b2eb92d0e7487cfc17898eedfe9497b5497edc8f49686", "token_id": "87850520713346587032519898239481324456763847986768673022285970744335577073574", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986734", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cce32cc887f9b26003fc02f6c17e5370079f13e92e344893dd852f514025e5ec", "event_source_sha256": "4ba128b98b2379a1d3000dad68f085430345c15293d11507f2de562a5c565a58" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:838709", "title": "August Inflation US - Monthly", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 9, "semantics_hash": "661f81d900c3c8dc8655a3ba0c68706b00f0e10f3c8e51556163a66078f7aabc", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3539660", "3539661", "3539662", "3539663", "3539664", "3539665", "3539666", "3539667", "3539668" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:838709", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3539662", "token_id": "59800607792423054757410285140071617613995536465563980967257835183838933842590", "outcome": "yes", "label": "-0.1%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c9fe6fbc82a7d41a1237b5c09706227bef8a9b03a0e272213fc09055c57cd410", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539662", "condition_id": "0x5db295aaaf9885a0c0523c86241a7d039439b6ecec39540489ee7b09006b3879", "token_id": "59800607792423054757410285140071617613995536465563980967257835183838933842590", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.1% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "44b105848fbee9dbaf5b9988962a1c4b302e6f152b6f99e461ed3381afd1bfcd", "event_source_sha256": "175cb32f71932eaef1219a3c7612b0c1e4d8ff4f7804bc67194bd0b4f349702b" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3539661", "token_id": "65084126261380755389776517703645654478079386550439846383715979344730728295575", "outcome": "yes", "label": "-0.2%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "570e5b827bdbfe2342b9fe135b50dcb6b765e10d5af055366eeef55a7984e731", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539661", "condition_id": "0xb1cbac9857603a17f9462f00db8e98493a29004c95caf7fe04a32bd58270cc07", "token_id": "65084126261380755389776517703645654478079386550439846383715979344730728295575", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.2% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "286408c399d217a889def2ee4613bf1bdb030e24003d0f096d63e0b128b0a62e", "event_source_sha256": "175cb32f71932eaef1219a3c7612b0c1e4d8ff4f7804bc67194bd0b4f349702b" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3539663", "token_id": "48441541797967417039181000844989269361668245408956311444074038733042612747278", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.0%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f1f6e63247d83e9f678cf74979c379351c0c1af435f6b8f996fda4fd923cb481", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539663", "condition_id": "0x77429ae02f9d443c83c536952de7c1133f745050f312d715e67886e4b378cbaf", "token_id": "48441541797967417039181000844989269361668245408956311444074038733042612747278", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d9ff2b866447c4be5d15ff1517d2bec36d2c8ef6dc581828b84f76dddb50e220", "event_source_sha256": "175cb32f71932eaef1219a3c7612b0c1e4d8ff4f7804bc67194bd0b4f349702b" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3539664", "token_id": "4298532161625744203109577934460755062070497764849604950038868024660006708045", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.1%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2b847de94b55aa4d57feb2ea6dbf48c437f5491387c064aa282754225b4ab432", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539664", "condition_id": "0x9f0d927c3dca8bdce8ac2c195249cdc8edaf4ce56c100920592a6e1a71b19a23", "token_id": "4298532161625744203109577934460755062070497764849604950038868024660006708045", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fa83bd703b7a5548e5dd6d7bb6535a330612ca0831fe38abc82a66b169453a67", "event_source_sha256": "175cb32f71932eaef1219a3c7612b0c1e4d8ff4f7804bc67194bd0b4f349702b" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3539665", "token_id": "115153540624188772101197593078999846291970135131310653477375501431493675431371", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.2%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8feae1c8bfe282fb0ddc815303257583d13347bc4aa84f1857d03706ba59488f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539665", "condition_id": "0xb877fb09e91541b716d6564807a1acabeb18f58068363472fd8d2960e26bdeff", "token_id": "115153540624188772101197593078999846291970135131310653477375501431493675431371", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "26fc18c25c889b2c40e330b40d9ed64eea2959f80743f350308652b986fc67e8", "event_source_sha256": "175cb32f71932eaef1219a3c7612b0c1e4d8ff4f7804bc67194bd0b4f349702b" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3539666", "token_id": "48334291568435081495355039717432110116506737764481389658557262606487151571922", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.3%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ccd5e065aa91d05624f389c3201db3605c55bb5906cb245618749eaf09bc848b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539666", "condition_id": "0x733cb95ac129c9b9660b7c14b3636554e775921e839277636e458ba0ee2703af", "token_id": "48334291568435081495355039717432110116506737764481389658557262606487151571922", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3e61e6b5f1157bf43690356838a50245d0861cb0dc7b2dd0404a5c87b887c56c", "event_source_sha256": "175cb32f71932eaef1219a3c7612b0c1e4d8ff4f7804bc67194bd0b4f349702b" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3539667", "token_id": "3683656010122359160017402401298981233854654293964162284936853049954793238683", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.4%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "33fe15ce0fd8b8bef468dfe69347e6628899d579b6054cebb475d52720e5b6be", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539667", "condition_id": "0x81cff3df5f29ddcaac209487bebfa4e7868d68ff8c1c68f2c022089b06d895f2", "token_id": "3683656010122359160017402401298981233854654293964162284936853049954793238683", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bef151e8eeeb3beb9fd1301acaba1d917593383a3b46af5abdbec06ecd7b6225", "event_source_sha256": "175cb32f71932eaef1219a3c7612b0c1e4d8ff4f7804bc67194bd0b4f349702b" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3539660", "token_id": "104330646028744130247856466502084148018486119084556986333478071741220449956941", "outcome": "yes", "label": "\u2264-0.3%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "076641cac453a1191596e2f6274fb521b5a61b5da406c3ddd09817f191a526a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539660", "condition_id": "0xfa6373afc5134d38d914f85d1cf609e8294e1a06d1f8a924af9210e9f86adc46", "token_id": "104330646028744130247856466502084148018486119084556986333478071741220449956941", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will monthly inflation decrease by 0.3% or more in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1e091f50ef20c0685d0e64015093044a79c818d2cc53426c9d8ab9c17e0e1163", "event_source_sha256": "175cb32f71932eaef1219a3c7612b0c1e4d8ff4f7804bc67194bd0b4f349702b" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3539668", "token_id": "113468107675915924616418474460502622412564893450953788253513113269963238885084", "outcome": "yes", "label": "\u22650.5%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9a1eb07c675f58ef2992f8391a65f3ff95f0296277f14ead75ec345a9df546f4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539668", "condition_id": "0x3263f1e07bea95db5233380c85f4388a408a443b7db19770950c2b65b0ae0b67", "token_id": "113468107675915924616418474460502622412564893450953788253513113269963238885084", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838709", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cd1c0bdc21bf0fd6adffb8aa9d323bf35fbe8a6e75a4ce1c2a58ca95a60b729a", "event_source_sha256": "175cb32f71932eaef1219a3c7612b0c1e4d8ff4f7804bc67194bd0b4f349702b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986713", "title": "Highest temperature in Munich on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "5fe217dcc7804738171a8919492180d4524a712330a83c1b719002fdfaff0d12", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356286", "4356287", "4356288", "4356289", "4356290", "4356291", "4356292", "4356293", "4356294", "4356295", "4356296" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986713", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356286", "token_id": "72829655442736193362045251196808737255211013657698233351350982003044559668576", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6c722f9824c66043cfba7a6c31dd1018949c21f48789666f5a976f626fb5a91e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356286", "condition_id": "0x964c49f365f4d22fcf32702d8934e886860b1db2a096d6e8612bf9b3cbb6e287", "token_id": "72829655442736193362045251196808737255211013657698233351350982003044559668576", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e92e7bbedc3230e0c0328d518f8f2808f5249ec0aee437e38c3ced024187d144", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356287", "token_id": "97879359184453766210407405206609478024564463635494069448942294464162189850824", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "07b45eb051d8db921ec9ffde9b6e69bb83ed1e777f55b1319250a7cbee3320a7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356287", "condition_id": "0x546395d2a722084f2fcfd3e0664e15376b26424147991da71fb06dcfc1bcf42e", "token_id": "97879359184453766210407405206609478024564463635494069448942294464162189850824", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c950f48199d86527b02e7c0603c091b9969c90eafe5916512a6fd05f81f79bc0", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356288", "token_id": "58173922717021521005776833120574595230240164403178861613644917445547713573223", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aaeb9c148863493b1a9c71c538b682375e0e7deb3cc5b638e7f23b0c721a09de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356288", "condition_id": "0x8369c54ee5d3e4de08a22bf83e71acd758d5b53ea3d2a1cce8df893abba2e49b", "token_id": "58173922717021521005776833120574595230240164403178861613644917445547713573223", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "601c0d511c0456eb96b2f203825c1c538ce1e0decf36934404601a3aa4bb96e6", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356289", "token_id": "76169427276004918584943308396635817812787235655606154801099036981561780470277", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "301ee3825f5e152e57dfd2f9f95d3b10c0a4da208e80202511faf7ada4e45f27", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356289", "condition_id": "0xc55a09a7f66ade46cd9612afa8007a228ed4d5d82e8a9a751b613bad7ccbf607", "token_id": "76169427276004918584943308396635817812787235655606154801099036981561780470277", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2347ed23b0b1df1c8869dbfb1d2e46ac8a0ac75bf25bc92c239b1db9a522c95c", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356290", "token_id": "8697789602665613205294253830841944518466762225482695555157650420676763543604", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ca0fbe7e89a8035941c482db7cabb9adb01251c081b4317af944d4f53924fcfe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356290", "condition_id": "0x3098af5adf60cec507f86470641cac0c6a70b18914b9578d67eef1d72c6f1ad4", "token_id": "8697789602665613205294253830841944518466762225482695555157650420676763543604", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0b23d8373a0a453d6f71f18215c124d45a2c9ec69a0bc05f921fa6d979b7b066", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356291", "token_id": "106141478656719675836000796884298328646946929221610474305391822786688346469552", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fb32afeeb439a9c6b48f75e9520aa903e59e3cb6248b242abac111a7724292d2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356291", "condition_id": "0xf7c203cb3774e090080646ca405f5f3a82c4cb8cbcdf724a766885bfba898678", "token_id": "106141478656719675836000796884298328646946929221610474305391822786688346469552", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4f60581dd0d66ea3a0fb76d81f59cdeb226ee86b51a6d1605e12b4b4ec967182", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356292", "token_id": "66032564443247719070916727653652936998108095726098426858234744183134083731189", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b13f7ce6de451c3edde185af0e5c06793ab967c86c3e4cb40fb77e9f3507237b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356292", "condition_id": "0x10473faefe76996eaaf2968ae7402493bb3e37071ff854cfc1abaf7ceb0baf46", "token_id": "66032564443247719070916727653652936998108095726098426858234744183134083731189", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c7f0a234379885b7665ad3e3399aca05945f5435de76bf6307f76178b9056ccb", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356293", "token_id": "72828913906422486488190556994735791773515415431166624085598611451818305311555", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "58e170f65bc6538f5a78c55b40f41a56fcd36306f9da4ae3674a336732ed832f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356293", "condition_id": "0x6c088216b5bac19bfbbadb0998721b2b84d5296b77aa8880d65fd9a26cf37ae5", "token_id": "72828913906422486488190556994735791773515415431166624085598611451818305311555", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bec3b6efe664196c439de8935126a97e8f40d9ce78aa8124e74c5ca6c8af760a", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356294", "token_id": "44809879986637955836244401631209731009750630564746189075010601698592516118092", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f736f76e68fb2cee8c43d9925e27898b066046c826b669532ae6a5b756792ab", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356294", "condition_id": "0x19efe1c61d78ab67b4d293f00d8695782fe0a0601594db73a3779d22d42dccfb", "token_id": "44809879986637955836244401631209731009750630564746189075010601698592516118092", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f34d47d025b4069ad3019412b921f810c55c966f0e25edd70aa5ab89e42a71e5", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356295", "token_id": "57083342005473058203926323948564329255537810134346027533496808993450307926623", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f6c7d7606a7a43c660f920a0bcab6346e41a16db3d09367155f0f91ba6bdce8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356295", "condition_id": "0xe7f5d4709b3605e3aa57cb7f9fcc731086b5875e930ff6869bc18ffa5f1cb386", "token_id": "57083342005473058203926323948564329255537810134346027533496808993450307926623", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "06a7d50caf324a21fadd3b4ba9e34793e20bc8a1bd3efbb20449f702b8037ce5", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356296", "token_id": "78843719499789708385487400113121780604266837290085791749582069607609129648812", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3ba5b0905979d5ef2d09b97f0a92f142ea4fdf4980eef309388ebd756296db09", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356296", "condition_id": "0x5e9767247d85a6fa204895457463c078e317463fa7d0542d23377e530e5d307d", "token_id": "78843719499789708385487400113121780604266837290085791749582069607609129648812", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986713", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5d738f656e60e041331ee97aee0fe5507031d3ecf215b5883a2d3bc50b77b7aa", "event_source_sha256": "f3eee4c7a0b41f67dff8779c11089fe2ce160518c176262d619de0d81b9a07d7" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986745", "title": "Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "45f5da98d366d349f03ee07ba4d5a887edb6790b4bd9fc1ef140bbc0e16b8255", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356558", "4356559", "4356560", "4356561", "4356562", "4356563", "4356564", "4356565", "4356566", "4356567", "4356568" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986745", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356558", "token_id": "22040616622407130269661164984849659028400610257371779260525858841771696979592", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f5d957308e7d8d5f5406ba7d4acc7ceac677bf8b67eaa11ba071d193c8aca9bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356558", "condition_id": "0x334e9d8000ee40e59db74440f66c9af30dfee4f97cdbdce77912dcd8da60b003", "token_id": "22040616622407130269661164984849659028400610257371779260525858841771696979592", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bd06fd37c29c7dcbedc076516a5ff7ef32605520e793746828bf2a0ed4b6e559", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356559", "token_id": "28836803965882152656548717067897328626140492485513128714144989189046564754069", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "48ad9382efb02afe8949598bd6c131fb31a0b3eed053a3ef0b4a12aed28541e2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356559", "condition_id": "0x544da25ee93342beee2eece9b55fda1bd0545ef6ab56c679f3744b9aba57068d", "token_id": "28836803965882152656548717067897328626140492485513128714144989189046564754069", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6f080fd327aae6909ea82884d39e30b4603240cefc3bf81f3e13ea36ca76149d", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356560", "token_id": "65637992310872308073678520448165838451503351188671539414369317727503837686145", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c343bdb9a8781adfc83e1940bc2b961a0671acf84e4c8b4ebb278c2b7e3239ff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356560", "condition_id": "0xe323f3b25614e1d48e4c1b4f83c2008b62daf816ba2b1b629cd79a0cba8c017b", "token_id": "65637992310872308073678520448165838451503351188671539414369317727503837686145", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7c98c87e2e461042d22e5ff5565d619a9d8c93480f583d3e29d30e63c97a57be", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356561", "token_id": "25850083600546788668621221948794849316140363636284836391128205532015764850326", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5e2e22007406b542bd8a4f4dc5e1987af549d80eadd21cfb01408d53a840a06a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356561", "condition_id": "0x625658dcbda6288b21a03ed49dab30339104178024f65675fb4ff90b1790e182", "token_id": "25850083600546788668621221948794849316140363636284836391128205532015764850326", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cce18a5faa25d2b939a402167b72e2e35ba57023b3e89218cea4e39926b6ba89", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356562", "token_id": "69572487970535543117032053995433332680612226895830284001229515767863840364328", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "946ff84586548503599801b3c0673840560ab353a7f1bb18a92d6d1bed1f3920", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356562", "condition_id": "0x1c12bead206a1b70fa77526a2120ae1d8015489038a2a2ec345e9624bbb28b3d", "token_id": "69572487970535543117032053995433332680612226895830284001229515767863840364328", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "36d03ec8ed5e3fe0afcee2ada1e45d58ca25bf87a3239638316d0afcf0aba90f", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356563", "token_id": "64939700975253939446903694475194929841741985945462936439351620410255285807228", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "48a3eff1ecf738f852c284f699209343938dd196c9439b6d8bcf5d67d976af72", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356563", "condition_id": "0x1f3b492793c5a3c0950643ee832faf8dbe36885850744d2155dbf84cd5af7846", "token_id": "64939700975253939446903694475194929841741985945462936439351620410255285807228", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "06e2c8ae1686cb26ffdc9cd907207a66dc63e2a9fd2578a9f0d12fe6843a02b2", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356564", "token_id": "95196103035965790966462469554648775932864055534704996546855228765977644441918", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "927f2dfacb7f98711a2b27fc55043ce2d577a34d800557e78688e6c8b2b299f1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356564", "condition_id": "0xca66ba0a1f68907c80071099c4cba661ba00f74d827a1f7676f3ad4bbb2bb08d", "token_id": "95196103035965790966462469554648775932864055534704996546855228765977644441918", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5cbe156f6c0ea34451cae98b64e0ccf9acb865a46819db6097da78559f676a5e", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356565", "token_id": "61795821481949614113578947300260101034874738081346724231552083490720286422483", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5a93aa68c396b81001cf4a816a3b7b3792d5d71ef8a37e620c133c0b883e89ad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356565", "condition_id": "0xbb2f579057bb4942f2ba88abecdc3513ed8e1e2ef85aa13e743d882cfae3bc61", "token_id": "61795821481949614113578947300260101034874738081346724231552083490720286422483", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ba9983a3737897a6d14baa20e8f7d430d63f1e9b62df1824965885aee7c86531", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356566", "token_id": "115233889861460230131448525591207291779262964918625153619334943149806098906057", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6b1d91f2930235e86fb16af56641e7626b6ebf4b5cbe654c78bc04c5ac76bf97", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356566", "condition_id": "0x69424c8f1b96511f58eb0639e4b7afae3e876f8a73fd41795c90eb154a362805", "token_id": "115233889861460230131448525591207291779262964918625153619334943149806098906057", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "75d13322e805774808889c67c4e9296b137226a39d00db7efda691b88ab549a2", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356567", "token_id": "112900330803436033502410363370974515310703981987677607501068905356475484600920", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f94b445b091f11178ebdc79ab3cb681721bdbe8a5ffb1f2447486eefdc4de738", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356567", "condition_id": "0x159dfb8923d1fb03c49f3c6d1ccb27e3159ebe55c3da1bb59ce975f87d43fccb", "token_id": "112900330803436033502410363370974515310703981987677607501068905356475484600920", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ce601781ecbd2f093ac6889a4a237d9b000983c3f4c67b54568beb76dc6d04c1", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356568", "token_id": "35813442778823460776335276793710552445153599665766827959381515755660206479701", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7d21aa64299e0aa3a8c2ffb51503ed7629342f80065f7e2bbb9600fd4d17a7fc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356568", "condition_id": "0x7098e01b2050afe8b57a1f36adbbc02a0ad5bae46c465f1a7afad89d1482a756", "token_id": "35813442778823460776335276793710552445153599665766827959381515755660206479701", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986745", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b8a88a3028a914c519d56c2c83d0aec13957b74509672a4e0dfae2e2ceaef31f", "event_source_sha256": "938fa587e7e0068c77362d94c73dada0317fde56c39caba7c4ec82379cefff14" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986747", "title": "Highest temperature in Manila on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "fb129bf309c7e3f7b72db5ec5993ce456559e12ab09f6f89f7fc938fdd41c320", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356580", "4356581", "4356582", "4356583", "4356584", "4356585", "4356586", "4356587", "4356588", "4356589", "4356590" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986747", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356580", "token_id": "13062103574699490951770051157505213069708898546994905019294659857050168382768", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0db03e6d67795714a30bfdab2824e3c7898531183a1f9a4563d07a263ef10ed6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356580", "condition_id": "0x647a1cbc73f4406976512503298fece7e0744fc23a8d8a4e0b49dd95b478f13d", "token_id": "13062103574699490951770051157505213069708898546994905019294659857050168382768", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "442267761188af9c884ea323831a6746d6c90e34a80d195846b1dbaf5a7d14a2", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356581", "token_id": "28445132202581166936019107360704691937010920619880707067945230426800296890114", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bd875e1b886069699345adc0723b4af7c004f991e01fe2b7ef5c1253e8584da1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356581", "condition_id": "0x1b2284b746f35a037ebe30d37de30e15cd0fdbb44949f78ad067cf232dd0fcc9", "token_id": "28445132202581166936019107360704691937010920619880707067945230426800296890114", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e0a7bd46e207c37ac9aa48dbf983394205637698601ab11059b7a60cc39a830c", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356582", "token_id": "63047886955148255818127325513553769571408060047726954635534871708771334013872", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "580f6bd22e965f86f8e2ef3edbbe679b98260e22d14c6eebafcce69338ae71c2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356582", "condition_id": "0x35a970e1365d37a678e5eca852e636218aa7a88a8143b52f6cb74630a7d25f41", "token_id": "63047886955148255818127325513553769571408060047726954635534871708771334013872", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c97f0bce1ce3aa46aca07d78cd740617578cb8fbc7bcd23f40000608426726af", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356583", "token_id": "111585985281919932468503540560601721741662776172282101296185188995458707499527", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5b32ab6ef6317f758751c1a3c035ecd70979ccfdefd1bc97600ab77a00998967", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356583", "condition_id": "0x6fcb9c84b103516f5d687e8f7782f7cc5e431b6d3e48743528667dbb4e3c051e", "token_id": "111585985281919932468503540560601721741662776172282101296185188995458707499527", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2d48dac4f38d0eb7243e8543e39f665baad4f60a1eb17728e5945d63093f327c", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356584", "token_id": "16087301306216012753604879279130531149849883248160508713547279380524478097414", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "87b620c27d862cb945d902ada02962d9b11abfd9881170bccb87bc1230bfc876", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356584", "condition_id": "0x8fff367d5a61c237611ef75af91a4b030261cfe4370f99e0bb6412b07441e5b6", "token_id": "16087301306216012753604879279130531149849883248160508713547279380524478097414", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "13da2eb5716c644c3a0686a09b7f26f495d9d119d90754c156c78b64f93c7ff0", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356585", "token_id": "3346413773968004913682974201869451826563348748475143910982720093784130923026", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5e20a6bfa00c82d311b03a353cf01ed0016c260f0d367fe411d1d01dc45828f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356585", "condition_id": "0xbfce80499c9b48b55013042e7767f2e6739382018eda7f6a2e7717bf6713ac04", "token_id": "3346413773968004913682974201869451826563348748475143910982720093784130923026", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "18764a5e3b28e7807891d6914dad0b417a0fbff42cb93bf7209ee3842cee4ec5", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356586", "token_id": "46329823131000459131631396206712131064750377060803732171061640284146109523708", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0ff667635cc817f509f08e4d0dbd0c10765ee24566f4cea95451e5d1180bad6c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356586", "condition_id": "0x929cf3242fef89d721fcba70793950aab7d3d48082830afb6a30b8548b037d5c", "token_id": "46329823131000459131631396206712131064750377060803732171061640284146109523708", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "99f4d989ef84c26c2ba26100fe6662058921ca4aef193e50e5ba9c1049c915cb", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356587", "token_id": "21892687261340598158870473626873503893527697097697487784825582187477938331918", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8ff16464428d562d9ab2c90d2cec71b42ebef3ec75259ad8f4a7af2249a97195", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356587", "condition_id": "0x7cdd93c7f1c08a0c0450f051509dbce2c933a98e3cd26173f69496180fcbb3e7", "token_id": "21892687261340598158870473626873503893527697097697487784825582187477938331918", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3f5a8aa3979a51c465210335eae6567e5850b26e25b1afd73716fc239d20c7e1", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356588", "token_id": "101954275060997513094191749300932954555556642203526849306278385006258460111392", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f66fb804512ddf5e1f253ae4e68b625a29bb344f8e0b87f423882dbd1249992", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356588", "condition_id": "0x9f7790ae18c9225b9831453e24d853c38a9884e6684568034db0623dd7b5a777", "token_id": "101954275060997513094191749300932954555556642203526849306278385006258460111392", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "84322225301d5f56aaa2acf5ca0ca271c7e95df8a18f8a4914e9fcc6363d8a52", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356589", "token_id": "23889493755245312983487080737709693321755219146272050940221008166709108811998", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "faef6a928c9fbd3c1eba55bcd22d1254a93fa91f4b2daf54b11515434ab60cf7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356589", "condition_id": "0x44cedca8ed0dc76f188226b2f709621fb383e27de4b141ca0d899e8c5c7e2983", "token_id": "23889493755245312983487080737709693321755219146272050940221008166709108811998", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3e91f8c098c42c2f6b34c1aa4ea10f3b6cff54ac6b20e1360e2f52d42de40c56", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356590", "token_id": "100896840029751924795196919961887238506186648379591793238213815297407840177811", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "37615a99ed406d5bea046b0eaa70ff4f118a417954bc3a394f053e237110ff83", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356590", "condition_id": "0x9f2e128cea6ed59b4eb46f7268d31da81b6d25324515f663f0288145ec3ae15d", "token_id": "100896840029751924795196919961887238506186648379591793238213815297407840177811", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986747", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2521ecfb9950dee00a071319d9693b4fd76bdb9b4e72b1e430ea17ac2a772488", "event_source_sha256": "b6ce67ddc1517e3b863c825529637e51f61b668506d66daf1493d04020e5cb06" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987250", "title": "Highest temperature in Houston on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "2159e5b170c92ba2a9f1a152df48197427aaf826d315138157bce76487ddce4f", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4359166", "4359167", "4359168", "4359169", "4359170", "4359171", "4359172", "4359173", "4359174", "4359175", "4359176" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987250", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4359166", "token_id": "48539842590709271265219518810347050450312078274763928969813504295255176645403", "outcome": "yes", "label": "79\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "245170413dee47d1b10a7b4e03c37204dd99e0ac30c0c93757504f462e2a3303", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359166", "condition_id": "0x704afa8cfa83353bd1f415a92834054fb3721b587f02daffcb3f3a321cdde38a", "token_id": "48539842590709271265219518810347050450312078274763928969813504295255176645403", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be 79\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6cfbd799ab8b1b791680dc79d826b5e331697f5ed56f9a4767a9f1aebbf62980", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4359167", "token_id": "83731409393075492387853755523855536896889314326280635658631364841647866413824", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "df3c377136dab27dd7355546e2df321bc584215d16f3c25dc16db534b472e474", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359167", "condition_id": "0xda3013e80998ae4354414014a994de42383cbcf2f1d49fb3cb1543dd3083a085", "token_id": "83731409393075492387853755523855536896889314326280635658631364841647866413824", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7bcaf99758d0ad72a8fd98468b7f4a78f76ef6cdce49a8acc57ae460deeac229", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4359168", "token_id": "6392530204115947513833251121979977155355111924707726474155890339563335475857", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5c1c6b8ca47d8a3dedbe5b1523a1773d0af79d023c3e005b2431099ec508a38a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359168", "condition_id": "0x1f76deb5fbd626b6add28042e9eb8d208ca943ccf22f6c76f6185818f84e6ec6", "token_id": "6392530204115947513833251121979977155355111924707726474155890339563335475857", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e6ca18fdd5f2cfa592c712f8d3b7a218132f639fa404d5ca36892d5aa132f727", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4359169", "token_id": "19173349090137156166871145432932358666917363435955649101112048041144466069395", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a210b0149cc65354941808aefa18f4b53a337b66eec0b5ef1e6f4a81c136d5ce", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359169", "condition_id": "0x86c284c50f6730e3539dcb72d294433444d516d8c6b12f5fd684f4aeb2f6cbbc", "token_id": "19173349090137156166871145432932358666917363435955649101112048041144466069395", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5ee4e13c886231d687e80d1e4502afe3b0b4c0512b2b8f55c7f19679ce08dc17", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4359170", "token_id": "3073190695261196200816162770857705535200131061601110275500554870073410185016", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5a6cc51443c215b1d78f5fb513ff1bf38fa18edd3bd31041f188a534ee2b9e1c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359170", "condition_id": "0xc84bf709dbef78b78d78e3d600b331e288e2f60c17e330a4d3430aba25c56dc2", "token_id": "3073190695261196200816162770857705535200131061601110275500554870073410185016", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f13be8172ed933de5ae21b46fa98d1080f176aefcced8859194f7ae65e252e8f", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4359171", "token_id": "95494972257628018540631277226574894999410765125277769658302713329897346639172", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88-89\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c71a830f16faf3a4db56b1f2d01a3d35e7efd15b2b042b16ed954d3929d4bab5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359171", "condition_id": "0x75ca602da41f88904398679c37aedb5fcbd2299ba7b0c36e31e952d5e79f712a", "token_id": "95494972257628018540631277226574894999410765125277769658302713329897346639172", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "34783de10dfd2e655422318f8829981fcf6c8f1a8342de600bdaccdd8e754b02", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4359172", "token_id": "107546512323691028769693972404623056381008711021971017033090496258482777660616", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a48e718c965b245e53c6b253504d20111d8ddd39a0442243862003254c3d7f67", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359172", "condition_id": "0xe783b2d2d55f649a331724406288210292691348ba2a2ea944e09ce8ad261a02", "token_id": "107546512323691028769693972404623056381008711021971017033090496258482777660616", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a4a05f7d04d08a64227a19d5c29bf3a64a87c14cb08bf482100291f00237b3bb", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4359173", "token_id": "70509057718160388724316120081669546583202879978852144403486023606833104630251", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c199dbbbf8e73457dbd397e2f1f312aec87f4fcd997bc779a3de61b26f31e7a8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359173", "condition_id": "0xfbfaabaf60ec9bd4d6ed4c618b0cbbcd16dd66552c2b9d951d2fd2af3f599d63", "token_id": "70509057718160388724316120081669546583202879978852144403486023606833104630251", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8d63f0bdd3173e2b290882ca440564bc4899e3db14fb3f4f6c6f6552feaefa0a", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4359174", "token_id": "11205570023083013480947611278140184600876113971475568544342008831931856685328", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94-95\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2269b1630ec36f6993c042f6e0b7bd48f9492515333e3dfee1dbf9bf21a17efd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359174", "condition_id": "0xa3dc4e5d50cc5cee9229412e93d533faaba7c3eec19068ebc413ceb2748e56a3", "token_id": "11205570023083013480947611278140184600876113971475568544342008831931856685328", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2b185c2742eee9ef1ea92b3d710993052b9d311a654bcf5527b9e57be4bf9942", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4359175", "token_id": "59178651068798403898333461195148864045732778371442718460697891995623150926154", "outcome": "yes", "label": "96-97\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5888b794e52b69d020a6da2ee3013f9fec0b6a7f624e02828f4daf149f46b0e6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359175", "condition_id": "0x1958d8e07ad423ea049d2f2f4aa64bd5f9a7429bf54ec7b67cf919258657960d", "token_id": "59178651068798403898333461195148864045732778371442718460697891995623150926154", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "48fe6d32116b5dfd2ecd5a5c003a10e8374ea77da552649d695ad0cd8c42e4b4", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4359176", "token_id": "92347596435855061031203033160940188283675844401663443464351136053722541246679", "outcome": "yes", "label": "98\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1f75e9109b730d1cb03305478f3befeb6a8194522bd7eeced388b973090f8521", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359176", "condition_id": "0x67d7feffc2479483167fe3bf0241a12e981d925b4c3f8fb5f1ecd811f4aab1b1", "token_id": "92347596435855061031203033160940188283675844401663443464351136053722541246679", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Houston be 98\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "174e1b33cbaae81ee27833a8cb081caeef30e62dfe4b40b6a0c5b32964bc7525", "event_source_sha256": "4d7886d27b0104cf288cd6fb42c9ae3fab5549c8c97d55ec856972d14dcb3396" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:79932", "title": "How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 8, "semantics_hash": "8eabf10f5bc2acc3ac385d552b3cf29e44936e632b53293531f63f3206b6a560", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "678769", "678770", "678771", "678772", "678773", "678774", "678775", "678776", "678777", "678778", "678779", "678780", "678781", "678782", "678783", "678784" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:79932", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "678779", "token_id": "84682483952240286264261959530718090485019241641164638981564612222069879382389", "outcome": "yes", "label": "10", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "21bb4265cb2563b4356c19b1ba9ccef52b0b74f995e90ccf0cdef8aa2069b046", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678779", "condition_id": "0x30a1d62f46f58d036cccd96b0e468ff3165e238cd3bef03441370ad3c1fd1b86", "token_id": "84682483952240286264261959530718090485019241641164638981564612222069879382389", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nStrikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79932", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "22bc59bfcb259e833c5ba63e7c976bbf9e30ffee095eb4475079aea73b3408f1", "event_source_sha256": "297fa6755ea5c475b5040e8d31bcf13baf5a36e81abf89b673dee43b83ad28d4" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "678780", "token_id": "19654927123572531875802507114549363434641907749082536353389823651287703398838", "outcome": "yes", "label": "11", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a016ff798164c3751a007fb435ca615ff402d1998b2bc397a5399b0cc5283f87", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678780", "condition_id": "0x4fa0dfa81109ade4f993b63f5ea4c9ee5e01ff546b7ddc9708d441ca691eb39a", "token_id": "19654927123572531875802507114549363434641907749082536353389823651287703398838", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nStrikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79932", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2adc4693188ba85358a5b5367edc2efc98713e68fe0d9f8794fcab74953719ef", "event_source_sha256": "297fa6755ea5c475b5040e8d31bcf13baf5a36e81abf89b673dee43b83ad28d4" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "678781", "token_id": "88085357366525645352998752922712518792477856130579630158266191046118537936813", "outcome": "yes", "label": "12", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "49f450ba8d12379c47a8ed36f8545a814a0745c914b72dcadd9c06645bc8cc78", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678781", "condition_id": "0xabb74975229f7e4fcd68de841df580bfb6b1fd6a43c3f2607612eed07b93f6b1", "token_id": "88085357366525645352998752922712518792477856130579630158266191046118537936813", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nStrikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79932", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f2957c76e267d045ced8e209bb3ce911e2a8738b34749f1397c42a57f314af0a", "event_source_sha256": "297fa6755ea5c475b5040e8d31bcf13baf5a36e81abf89b673dee43b83ad28d4" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "678782", "token_id": "13077482279920101207310968124602583673569984432172021504617728683823467712777", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "db6baf09c8cf997ce305222c01bccfc06a5bcca7952382ed0731f346f803ac42", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678782", "condition_id": "0xf06d28ca471354ee70ec6e1dff6284a15ced43bcaa70fafcdc6cc32f485598c8", "token_id": "13077482279920101207310968124602583673569984432172021504617728683823467712777", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nStrikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79932", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "aeb1bfe938affb9ef6a1a237cc386347d1082686df8fea414d61a1ac91616bc9", "event_source_sha256": "297fa6755ea5c475b5040e8d31bcf13baf5a36e81abf89b673dee43b83ad28d4" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "678783", "token_id": "43662629442676959677405804059038142071301669726653435926232668919830294739811", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0867d5867622e229c04d25f5f8ae1769a0cacce39b95091b9ec1a1844ea8ee9b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678783", "condition_id": "0xa9433e26ddb6e037fd5c7c7451f77829740822fa12e2bdf82406624661434ba0", "token_id": "43662629442676959677405804059038142071301669726653435926232668919830294739811", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nStrikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79932", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4c7201a982903528e69c27c4a4745b1d4984cecd5b5e5165f925c84f8a73b5f1", "event_source_sha256": "297fa6755ea5c475b5040e8d31bcf13baf5a36e81abf89b673dee43b83ad28d4" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "678784", "token_id": "1578184463123097631083096501877012876537973891399475463191449018679253320863", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9453e93debd45fe0390ee0e3987c9adfeb5ce616e05292eac51ce2d0ee120a85", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678784", "condition_id": "0x43ede6f447b4eb54904ca21aaa7d98a73a95a47ccf2195ea82073749d8ea45e9", "token_id": "1578184463123097631083096501877012876537973891399475463191449018679253320863", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nStrikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79932", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e3781f68b24cf760a79c0fc3a023ff0660e672481d4cae3e60219a2e451940db", "event_source_sha256": "297fa6755ea5c475b5040e8d31bcf13baf5a36e81abf89b673dee43b83ad28d4" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "678777", "token_id": "23200290884339865092719436558359292741007012435680627192950951579632441756561", "outcome": "yes", "label": "8", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2f2725a710ccf1ce09582b9e2e85700f6b7b2b2cf22a65e714f501427dad1cc7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678777", "condition_id": "0x713ab27f31c1d8080ea3b9c21c8a021609f8fcb7aad13a87b8b069265e7fdfda", "token_id": "23200290884339865092719436558359292741007012435680627192950951579632441756561", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nStrikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79932", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "19dbbe1e999ca08a1cffe6007b30c00346a74dee92af2646c701813d84f85ce7", "event_source_sha256": "297fa6755ea5c475b5040e8d31bcf13baf5a36e81abf89b673dee43b83ad28d4" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "678778", "token_id": "83709243548896147834018257536806470793694018836347842521025792293632537250727", "outcome": "yes", "label": "9", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2d5065784a00706123edbe6b09e6321251f888a406b560adfb1389224a84137", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678778", "condition_id": "0x5759fb62768738cda38232974fa399fd8bfbbe6c04d891a2c4cdb71731f8f692", "token_id": "83709243548896147834018257536806470793694018836347842521025792293632537250727", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nStrikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent.\n\nStrikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, a qualifying \"strike\" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nMissiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage.\n\nActions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.\n\nThe resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79932", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bae4292774fdd69bb095932c88b11d9623e31114bd840d94e72710caa6358e2c", "event_source_sha256": "297fa6755ea5c475b5040e8d31bcf13baf5a36e81abf89b673dee43b83ad28d4" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:556382", "title": "Which company has best AI model end of 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 15, "semantics_hash": "6b7096fc887ee05a2f5f6397f9dbd007938c8ed4b75dbd382c8afe35bb590b16", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2431412", "2431413", "2431414", "2431415", "2431416", "2431417", "2431418", "2431419", "2431420", "2431421", "2431422", "2431423", "2431424", "2431425", "2431426", "2431427", "2431428", "2431429", "2431430", "2431431", "2431432", "2431433", "2431434", "2431435", "2431436", "2431437" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:556382", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2431415", "token_id": "22865222929502654788867967930914573098408957316770689864063642060484902450865", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alibaba", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3668ae8ee42543ed1431c93e05cba8d30209607075839b8bba4b9d7fee3337e0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431415", "condition_id": "0xcd7a77ab87d7f22781bcb1b302601ebc857241d65cd288c30121950399017d8e", "token_id": "22865222929502654788867967930914573098408957316770689864063642060484902450865", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d0d22b43efd9b6ffbdd1fcba66c2215d54f384d453df99efacd87f7e1f7d942f", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2431424", "token_id": "22626798542237186883541308049955440632435620346398172052664745346990125893934", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Amazon", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "761c00a5d36d3a6e3c0fec61f2cb04a9dd61038280d6960d5c543df7f95611a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431424", "condition_id": "0x51d057952ea481efcbadf8d96afbc6781b9295e0932bcaf3380e2f58ce15d39d", "token_id": "22626798542237186883541308049955440632435620346398172052664745346990125893934", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "be28a5421406d80621220f111c7ae5b5f4f5aab23deba00d66542fb9e596ada9", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2431413", "token_id": "43595531958558267934455886300539818619407063141211246186008687659488782680099", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Anthropic", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "95918e9b1ca6d11f5506dfd4f70370a86cd6c2c9c3f1067af7702975cd9b21b4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431413", "condition_id": "0xe944062b6d02b59c5f6c39cd4d35538918053c0c7e5f8d7fa0ab1d4edb9baa46", "token_id": "43595531958558267934455886300539818619407063141211246186008687659488782680099", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "47f9af699ad68e6c7c6592b6ffe3aab2814520397c42ad7c873f454640860d13", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2431425", "token_id": "14035476962519956001595249862406085009724368305325605481474841358783775883152", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Baidu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "63d99b11c54b8a766bbd57eb960b6e4ac3ee0c18fc9f00e5ed91be76fe0b5d4b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431425", "condition_id": "0x7143797a3bfe16d1df11269f331b49d93ce09912c17e1a672b88b8dca72a270a", "token_id": "14035476962519956001595249862406085009724368305325605481474841358783775883152", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1e34135a593ead7215e8b6535e4c6dec7894f5f951577b15ef4ef3597458fe65", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2431426", "token_id": "30202433669778172183563583954722972077654390372224679614286940573756630361678", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ByteDance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1963683b21e6a71e27c7540d8f98bcb655c668f2b1f905325e23951566b08da", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431426", "condition_id": "0xea4597aeb552f1d7b98a79805b802b0fa14d49e91df983852774d91168deff31", "token_id": "30202433669778172183563583954722972077654390372224679614286940573756630361678", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5658d5f1919c856cb34d8794071e38982dc9d4f3b902243b53861c63e1b773d2", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2431418", "token_id": "42522029522447794225839808505719668556717833845034491419337607269358943876517", "outcome": "yes", "label": "DeepSeek", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "766454a7e0089c9a39794c5a6d0481a677293969899ae603474870ba98871c28", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431418", "condition_id": "0x67adc22bcf8c1c7ff1a96cfa71d4221f5cc2ae6dc746989741d58bc8f3aa46f8", "token_id": "42522029522447794225839808505719668556717833845034491419337607269358943876517", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e65dc96b93bd4d5653970499689c4b34333c25252d095219d74c5b2fa711db34", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2431412", "token_id": "46179164836162469124070224186387483861653666680647006036020478594822732769561", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Google", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3cb4e54d5815722aa7f6de126074a8b6f791e3bda7cea28307ee4ab2e217b88a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431412", "condition_id": "0x94f240d042917cabd55f0bcbcac7d4d2accd4436773bf91596f76572cac643cb", "token_id": "46179164836162469124070224186387483861653666680647006036020478594822732769561", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e9b2535f230a527692e1cf9f42a689ca96568149aa656601ed1f65005b0d45e9", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2431421", "token_id": "51090777840398163457845603238782594725020958246569549829857782971529356972042", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meituan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bd14a633bb09de944685b53d0ff1a3fd1bda4393c91719cc775b1e42937ead03", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431421", "condition_id": "0x2b16027151939383432ca27284c5b45a87e588f3755e7502ecf5332d12f479ac", "token_id": "51090777840398163457845603238782594725020958246569549829857782971529356972042", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7af106363c137f8c929e85af453d1e3ed494a6bb2c98868cf13d31f81926b1f1", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2431423", "token_id": "20229596928435334780787549885841302081568448945498741446453653409018382101004", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meta", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "beaae9978d831407f82a39fa8cc5564ce98d9be5e9caa83332031e60b61bb88d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431423", "condition_id": "0xc167a7967ffbc3b1a864ffbaf11fa1c9fd6904877692a5ba25e3e7f3d01ed644", "token_id": "20229596928435334780787549885841302081568448945498741446453653409018382101004", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f336971b071ac7cabcc869c3d2c1a180180f4c9088509e03944f30cac96ee4f4", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2431422", "token_id": "48960125588045248374442015550627020557263479661226625376851537496977581277980", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Microsoft", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2595a7dac5ec0fa39a23c0b70f0c00288be5d4897d0c145ff21d36ae79ef3d8a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431422", "condition_id": "0x784beb8f89bcbc448a281050de26a227a258e535eee33e578ef10f25440c4731", "token_id": "48960125588045248374442015550627020557263479661226625376851537496977581277980", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ec46175480fed4856a8f07b45bc3c6de05dd5a06fbfeb26b73d0ff3e97dc4591", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2431420", "token_id": "66258306997757255429110018391602834962979284290793404130683055523076965648051", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mistral", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f9065addb2ca6cedbe928be41fe05db3cdd728133ff559c2111dcecac2a76b75", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431420", "condition_id": "0x94863fef07e2101b8008f3994fe9fb79da69bede7f02f976d62797cf73e6d22f", "token_id": "66258306997757255429110018391602834962979284290793404130683055523076965648051", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "39199c3ab69c2f7f70769e168c016e21fbb64c47fab2985c4a28ce9f2bf4099f", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2431419", "token_id": "70638057699407724748086754310364525744710519808334821331247262006531191694960", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moonshot", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dc535af3ef2806e0d93791d3260f4079bfa13b021e44ab9eb67eeaf5d1f5c703", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431419", "condition_id": "0x42c3ffd70998d46d4774897386fb919c77b959a4ba869a7b4259ceda3038db72", "token_id": "70638057699407724748086754310364525744710519808334821331247262006531191694960", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a417a06e3d90c3ae76f38da864365fe145b57b83c79fc5c1b68f8b957a0fefce", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2431414", "token_id": "11618352164642571612474787703303143172652563366398775298371663379526651448339", "outcome": "yes", "label": "OpenAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "052ea6ae382ddd8c7ba12df09d96e5a413926d3a36c8c53167805d043ed3a315", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431414", "condition_id": "0xccc84033ab481e4c1ed49fce3889e54a9f6c127b819a3bc17bbf2359d1e4c2bd", "token_id": "11618352164642571612474787703303143172652563366398775298371663379526651448339", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f6fd2fdb3a318a5f4576e3a5c3fec52775372af71eaadcfb29f3174c82882036", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2431417", "token_id": "438228197299155092123951605741577797243893462557265199678631512660798614549", "outcome": "yes", "label": "xAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5bcc40b214e9ec8466318330b8c0301691525de84dcd1f77002c551cb4e61e0d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431417", "condition_id": "0x32c24495fa457397bd0b0be80bc7c11c9a6271cb8cee05a2bd9afaad0d7e21ec", "token_id": "438228197299155092123951605741577797243893462557265199678631512660798614549", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a7789477935147f2d5b11bccdc110d28c3d15859e2ca1dad07fddc6c9001af6f", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2431416", "token_id": "64468612583892209118032868028398060823938985381730367469046995231674024313117", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Z.ai", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9fadfd0d1a426091b13054e55f6f239aaa318412ab523d54afdc14424c075890", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2431416", "condition_id": "0x94f4991478e6da755120244efaca30a170f08945107d2fc2e6313d9f77390be4", "token_id": "64468612583892209118032868028398060823938985381730367469046995231674024313117", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cxAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "556382", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0e4f2c22b536ecc4d6acdec5838cd17d49c6b71785bf2bb1987b95791d800189", "event_source_sha256": "09e11e893f9f2893f1c0cb54907f52c14286c428bdafdad617674c0780b3515a" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986708", "title": "Highest temperature in Paris on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "13b7849ca5876e5ef460bb1c36f7e677a48f30f92834fffa2369ca9a675563c1", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356231", "4356232", "4356233", "4356234", "4356235", "4356236", "4356237", "4356238", "4356239", "4356240", "4356241" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986708", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356231", "token_id": "4189511726609317139978034469517260539633119640985888692226620828383501949017", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "237ea7eecffbb5a81edb150871880461ce46dfdf122654f8088ab0d29f8e14fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356231", "condition_id": "0x4d507fd627a36eecde554b3d19ec75d83b946058e0b2bf61222525c182f9b1cf", "token_id": "4189511726609317139978034469517260539633119640985888692226620828383501949017", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e67b1a3c39a869e9edcc987d3fcbfb39e366f5dedaec8f42f1442fd81620e868", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356232", "token_id": "62288481765257001249592210116920417971694101747985529815838022167594600680135", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0481a877a084927cc89df2626e9396dbcac30b375cff08abb624711011dd6b64", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356232", "condition_id": "0x807aa4d7c5bb70e32f4ff474f210b06542f09ccab27126aadfc373d23637c21f", "token_id": "62288481765257001249592210116920417971694101747985529815838022167594600680135", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "19f8dbc72600a4713456f74a26073fc7fe0042c92f42e0ca2bc609732ff1100a", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356233", "token_id": "103061485686531899066723204838495858392880808461161890286096552048368720510833", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0d2953d6ff171d448865f0d9b30c5a72fb64564aedcf646e1c4092635c000a08", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356233", "condition_id": "0xc32ea7e3d2de0dfcafdbfb63e42807979e2be99cb72748e586cff35dbdc10620", "token_id": "103061485686531899066723204838495858392880808461161890286096552048368720510833", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "97f9018e24b3163218684a8e08ed44b79fedb536bf1b8bd67eb3df6f1bd781e3", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356234", "token_id": "58317413321394951460461907240183258953944280648637172256426339233123768347915", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "679bc56184993f7770b817a3b59a0203da138ee2e86006380ca5ecb8181cbc49", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356234", "condition_id": "0xe9f3cd9b107cbaae7fe788a4e37f229ea8def4d47f81d62f8e74907bcd374040", "token_id": "58317413321394951460461907240183258953944280648637172256426339233123768347915", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cc038c1f7cde91b530cf31237f776242b27d68e15d3766fae0fa4354c5ec06f8", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356235", "token_id": "55229924363058695924028260340449648764991979064261360835782982956126636240804", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b0c7a00f677d0dd2e30f87e1c578c2a1400302bd86e6aa320079295a3c2cf886", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356235", "condition_id": "0x9a882c9d4fcdc159e5b457c53f09ed213aa84e92e10c34b51162f7436d100afc", "token_id": "55229924363058695924028260340449648764991979064261360835782982956126636240804", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7ed07614df9301e3fb89fda7decf798a9edb3a11ae662bc7cb25c41803b5672f", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356236", "token_id": "82603069340149288806491422874147009860467270447680078160309774244436392773002", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7a866d0330249bcd5da6ca0d4f6527abf5331f546972940c6f7c3b163d21a6c8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356236", "condition_id": "0xf32c373415406cdeca87cdee26e5475e24c2fb47d2a078fedb50f5ac09cf7b6b", "token_id": "82603069340149288806491422874147009860467270447680078160309774244436392773002", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "63628da64bbe86d3c147758490be816257aa8f604fe6c92fd4cd5e6d391f8d4b", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356237", "token_id": "12955076981187760970615802243488525994616036413075967640658864004594409020419", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d0bdcc6a4c6349e4695addc31dc558d95b7b531007bd722c0b5497f35dcc2bae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356237", "condition_id": "0x51aa2d43070d335a0176f4dbc0cd200163c3d0a54b21ae0b2cb7d68b5f0765e6", "token_id": "12955076981187760970615802243488525994616036413075967640658864004594409020419", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1a5e398ff16197d872bebadd9b14d4d564e5dbdaa503dbc16db5c7fefcb9ab7d", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356238", "token_id": "42365002040485232442048553201210244705173371676867098889391811747852226618958", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c8ea0040b2d35be3c03848ada260f5799df97cc8fb471a6931bbe39700e0aa6b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356238", "condition_id": "0xe128f5d6c4bef96a241db4aad860adc32c6b5693a4f079b04af095cfb1035213", "token_id": "42365002040485232442048553201210244705173371676867098889391811747852226618958", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3951e91dea81b6a0887bed3d5b7b0e0cd5c4ce5830641a8ec2bde634681578bf", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356239", "token_id": "4345371031071090011733250035688826394556301008923892830810971947148600054621", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8271cf0e909c832550f24f4f3c7488790cdc946bf10ce72213e253ea14857cbc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356239", "condition_id": "0xed65dc3dda3438e7ff034037eb280944d22f09e974238379147d29d00ce623b7", "token_id": "4345371031071090011733250035688826394556301008923892830810971947148600054621", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dbe73424e2dab7713abf40ba2dced9eb1639a4521e3118c4aa4f07b5fab79c6a", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356240", "token_id": "105444180071912490712752645249506963323241979111159786073566132945937820344971", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "953dd5705aadc7f9935ff8d05ba0420069cd82d30545c566bc1804c149dea66b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356240", "condition_id": "0x2e220188540cfef6ddd34d84c6247c1ac54ed4ec6ffded2c4873a1b7209a6edf", "token_id": "105444180071912490712752645249506963323241979111159786073566132945937820344971", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "83bb9fecf0524a3211ea89522bd606eefe74bd22d413747f67a4129dceb96295", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356241", "token_id": "108356959220353575713691913265650557692903523790217581900132977691028021336357", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a637c26722e5f81bad12a8570412d293538d516bbfb35b152c35c12ca93c8638", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356241", "condition_id": "0x759413b2c01195cb70a074c87e29ba7dd502f45a5e1977b54a81cbcd6a1dfacf", "token_id": "108356959220353575713691913265650557692903523790217581900132977691028021336357", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986708", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7e7d183f4a75b294de432ba7c497fe8082d3acdd5a72371c9a3c2ce30a35b18d", "event_source_sha256": "609d16b4feb853a1daddea610206177483099c6f848b670b1e05a640ef9d4932" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:843054", "title": "Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "ddb83df7e8f69d98879b76a09ce0876f79ad0594cd9b067bdf088ef4dfc5063a", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3562251", "3562252", "3562253", "3562254" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:843054", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3562252", "token_id": "73470776891781938309982246714413293178420813229628993163508221872003491543609", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16-18%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "db535eed0f77fcab89b9639154e12277e3ac2548a24b182f59f017a926b6b622", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562252", "condition_id": "0xb50cac02e382e56c7b3c6074263874477b055fe729ce5bddbc5f53a7a9443aca", "token_id": "73470776891781938309982246714413293178420813229628993163508221872003491543609", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moderate Party (M) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "430c393c758a01126a3b42bf3c6195b1b1e7fd655a4dda7a785c1e5efc69a062", "event_source_sha256": "636e54c6fc331b1c8d2926be63344916ee0bc29ff8e325df921128f72092bcb6" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3562253", "token_id": "40463781704539243364064220964653987636989141570905234397218523450189898309659", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18-20%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1d129ac1484d19f9353d72736ff22788e0885c6fd07aa95e35b9623f2cdd5ec5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562253", "condition_id": "0xdf4a741cdcd3c26e34d80c33cddab6968db8411e1b97bf255e50dd42e54bdd41", "token_id": "40463781704539243364064220964653987636989141570905234397218523450189898309659", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d3868e8e1e303d55cb295081fdff3ea3de52ee5c39ac9d1e6a79e020b0583e11", "event_source_sha256": "636e54c6fc331b1c8d2926be63344916ee0bc29ff8e325df921128f72092bcb6" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3562254", "token_id": "32870754046185979497183163253384646408103980496689264824423535458172171710164", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20%+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "991c0dc6112c9b2d26e5dc0650c0fb000ec2f1de7fa0f1ba9e496d407f3615ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562254", "condition_id": "0xdd725685718b2d500be6f5dd469a405c8ccc24dcde8c8ff9e372a42567c9905d", "token_id": "32870754046185979497183163253384646408103980496689264824423535458172171710164", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moderate Party (M) win at least 20% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5e6923a259772f36ebcec668aaabcefe740913ff657c9125f15787d1c6796ae1", "event_source_sha256": "636e54c6fc331b1c8d2926be63344916ee0bc29ff8e325df921128f72092bcb6" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3562251", "token_id": "17558822372594571094624376836419309316302854440780766581580743034401127182500", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<16%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1cd0957191df89af0a2045b82a16b9dddab8b469cde6b2c01380de321c89b8be", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562251", "condition_id": "0xa09e13ed363de81bf7b349e7d8a2aa68f6bfeecd54b295f92d3572a9e1df0537", "token_id": "17558822372594571094624376836419309316302854440780766581580743034401127182500", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Moderate Party (M) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843054", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e56087e60156fb6342424f6c3f88670f53b2f0e9bcec804abde10ef34fb43e7e", "event_source_sha256": "636e54c6fc331b1c8d2926be63344916ee0bc29ff8e325df921128f72092bcb6" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:498879", "title": "Next James Bond actor?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 24, "semantics_hash": "b08a0eceafd0450d85779104a598bda0c2a2fe79ea4973fbbdd8ad8734f2e8f7", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2293852", "2293853", "2293854", "2293855", "2293856", "2293857", "2293858", "2293859", "2293860", "2293861", "2293862", "2293863", "2293864", "2293865", "2293866", "2293867", "2293868", "2293869", "2293870", "2293871", "2293872", "2293873", "2293874", "2293875", "2293876", "2293877", "2293878", "2293879", "2293880", "2293881", "2293882", "2293883", "2293884", "2293885", "2293886", "2293887", "2293888", "2293889", "2293890", "2293891", "2293892", "2293893", "2293894", "2293895", "2293896", "2293897", "2293898", "2293899", "2293900" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:498879", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2293852", "token_id": "82492058056171229851907568780263011540978021656078974610220045143721551192732", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Aaron Taylor-Johnson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c5131912261931fce3d7290b8e62469129013949fa87514dc891c055987ebf59", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293852", "condition_id": "0x42133d49db1b92415e718af33f00d83fc0812bfad990496ec92ce6b93b259cb6", "token_id": "82492058056171229851907568780263011540978021656078974610220045143721551192732", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d4d5fe3f5aadc54fd7974f83b9107a7e9f33c407f0ada75777beefdd7f3c2a6c", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2293862", "token_id": "89824879989508558877298318180668970706354283881652611000189928031813295195430", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Callum Turner", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "44518e0769f18fc22cec83e02cee444cb970ea809e05d3c7ecf6d5843f64638f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293862", "condition_id": "0xdf55222217299506bd9b7b348ac3be51137ac480da920567722824f0c40c5fc0", "token_id": "89824879989508558877298318180668970706354283881652611000189928031813295195430", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cda9f60cb5e7e93bdea47d5530a8120a0ac06fc6da3b461f3350a76b64980d20", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2293856", "token_id": "13728637682376612314742737555387955456191869066715574455087689717746379525890", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Harris Dickinson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7116ffc3d41bf383b52efc4f2902665509d13a268881990e1ab1a1d25d43cf3a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293856", "condition_id": "0x07dc148f68d0e4adf051bcd4fae2db36018f09ba30847a41cdd047d754f8f7e6", "token_id": "13728637682376612314742737555387955456191869066715574455087689717746379525890", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dd3a874272f193ec9af04401d8e31a13734cda16e71ca9f315ae71c170ce799b", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2293860", "token_id": "70300298413607631947278295339791187942863165810627626273151404249567105054491", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Henry Cavill", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3053aefda4f87655aa8ef77e30b50c56560bf644c07e983da5ae81ce5c58331f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293860", "condition_id": "0xaac4b77e275cbbd0cc1428547805072006408a460377d6b79788284f08ba90df", "token_id": "70300298413607631947278295339791187942863165810627626273151404249567105054491", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "733ffa56802f0a3bfd996ba6cbe2ac94839f48b3974f7a7fca62e07958e6484c", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2293870", "token_id": "91908294722076482991866154641595387192588163988538881793261955582101311680892", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jack Barton", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2482ce0bb54b8309c23139c488d01353f6ef066e118f60dcc7c7f3cf5bf269a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293870", "condition_id": "0xabb40a75a60ffd8e6c124e6d1eaa15bcf0546b7c519f76ab989c14a32f7e0d2b", "token_id": "91908294722076482991866154641595387192588163988538881793261955582101311680892", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "662133b653fded808e9116d95c02ff90a101565131307e94d6e27985bb0565fe", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2293863", "token_id": "51360528208563810292617548915637013520775537929179951806395074353974983084730", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jack Lowden", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "70b1dfa6b3db43062025ae16e72e9c9e0aaaac96fed6f69c67ca371cce3d774e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293863", "condition_id": "0x490b4abcc5b23958f5515716fbab843574f9cffef4bc52eac3a3939809757b46", "token_id": "51360528208563810292617548915637013520775537929179951806395074353974983084730", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "30473b872a64d871ff02b7d6c530629fe764ec89aa418dd1441f20a9cb70085b", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2293874", "token_id": "91365247399764208935649802088505945085606546885315136839184908203096858662221", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jack O'Connell", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8735623eebc9b04a1321eff813ac2d5c29e8ba8e17d17d14aef1eecd56faa0ad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293874", "condition_id": "0xe6e3284a0b2c97fa8e96bc1acd283bf95e6c2bdde10ea7fe38c0fbecaf1b279f", "token_id": "91365247399764208935649802088505945085606546885315136839184908203096858662221", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "00c88a6840a8b245abaecdb0bc5a383cf2159925472289ba68d52e7777f37ccc", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2293855", "token_id": "68468883324847624079474524445633895282817895891408328009107798103648399656318", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jacob Elordi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8aee417c73e75aa6d7ccdb014c0a7c4d308c5ef636ee19ec9bf34dcce37e37b5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293855", "condition_id": "0x7eb5fde072782612d015d882bd99c396168f96c21c6c7260e2f24d9832a82a9b", "token_id": "68468883324847624079474524445633895282817895891408328009107798103648399656318", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "95f21757f0696830c0970818220af3dc86f36b89a82fd4e0484bd1a669123528", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2293853", "token_id": "100609445178772854332189946909097625015738827504891835704376207433817133553540", "outcome": "yes", "label": "James Norton", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0842f0981f0268d0ec7d29772b0b39ccb15fac3452bd38c3f729882b24d73c30", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293853", "condition_id": "0x19f5d7740459f84af8156440acabe28bfeb43dc1b2d7c3f5418aa14f64c75a0b", "token_id": "100609445178772854332189946909097625015738827504891835704376207433817133553540", "outcome": "yes", "title": "James Norton announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fee9619c1dacfb7b05e97995a9835c528fce52c2fb4e546bd9274b000a36fc26", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2293871", "token_id": "22497138611441322981327185952654293892046234378230839193079985291326405781255", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jonathan Bailey", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dbce144f50d28f181641ee6e8ce0d458983371a9c7006902741242659b9bc304", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293871", "condition_id": "0x0376484b77784e1a3e67e8e1e6e086fb2641a4e36ccef679bf28774ef22cd5ee", "token_id": "22497138611441322981327185952654293892046234378230839193079985291326405781255", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "862b35e19473dc0b646689962733def3cc6921d109c6eb3d1178d23965197b04", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2293866", "token_id": "98935864339804172769898672822591406649097907541147613904804774469478938080017", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Josh O'Connor", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6857bfc1ee49ca004489220e86d240c7831606f826b8f80ddc402a9d0706cece", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293866", "condition_id": "0x7de7918ba7be54764ec10958af792776d0dc2f77bff0d8aaaeac7c6f97015b77", "token_id": "98935864339804172769898672822591406649097907541147613904804774469478938080017", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cbfd22318d7fae11adf022d8caa0b6e30121c379354e92b7f23fcf6e797ab1aa", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2293868", "token_id": "108975842129239784647130184903121374336084517650006816384542411142137557394045", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Michael B Jordan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "773b41bdcbb889a0696a5c8e82ce613c32a25fce6d08857f54a24a7232b4b29b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293868", "condition_id": "0x28cb5e0034ff3c29ff315a95596282c905bc3c963b5f7b3c6ef65ee9f33c4196", "token_id": "108975842129239784647130184903121374336084517650006816384542411142137557394045", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cee38195bda8ae44204c4e29802919eedc7451351948b059c58362d057ee5ed1", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2293869", "token_id": "47922705074172409251644054919372443816336619372833979094005460544244809019531", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nicholas Galitzine", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "be8bcef65cb93cb30441e26fcf3ed5675f91db006a36c47894715a1da3dffa38", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293869", "condition_id": "0x8ba5d152b8b24cd966f4c526aa0f4efc6b01c40a3924ee2d64268c10f0a103e6", "token_id": "47922705074172409251644054919372443816336619372833979094005460544244809019531", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bcbbac4f02f1c091edf1ed1ee942dd9f2dbcc44e22ba5820823802966fb1638b", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2293900", "token_id": "28001841863735617420550382251583133275547664489410111787716262797262335318074", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No Bond chosen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a3d4529e92ece90ca727c3d28c8747d9419813bc75e93c764d3544b2bdb20eca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293900", "condition_id": "0xdfd9e88f948c6875027c881dcb50daf56ae577b0e4c4349779e7bd448ddc3a0b", "token_id": "28001841863735617420550382251583133275547664489410111787716262797262335318074", "outcome": "yes", "title": "No one announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "38c17bf660a29ea2d8946281ab63eac2846f97a71415c6ab7df5612270ac2fb7", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2293854", "token_id": "54685328821321894386048879752792795180306582509591394867260018900982323603822", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Paul Mescal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1c03574af2a820deae0d2894f30004d22781e68e15abcc750989bcbd323703fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293854", "condition_id": "0x1d6b738eec27296a3add3fd93de0a59aa61a3cc467b76b912ab1a931b4cd0436", "token_id": "54685328821321894386048879752792795180306582509591394867260018900982323603822", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "17ea75fd4f5711fab1eda16e58abe1aeb56f90a1bcdab751e67436b36495d075", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2293858", "token_id": "36429457132793720294288841640196902938098364843034657532046671264953756929201", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pierce Brosnan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8256f20f6ff9cbae0cc22456fe1d581ea687ef421915d451a3822399d64dda2e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293858", "condition_id": "0xdb1a1caae5f7b00f93408abfc123c43c5c74f82e6c978b527d6dbdd6f53d531d", "token_id": "36429457132793720294288841640196902938098364843034657532046671264953756929201", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a1c7392633576b61f4c8ec8a607aa48ec4a591ca6cd6c083fdb029bced5a4b1b", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2293873", "token_id": "54587542399840609764116580962170694963026468355410572357884165846950270948802", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Richard Madden", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "41dec6146b7d2208db007b8820f8d80825b8d862bb46386ff7e0ef930d8feb30", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293873", "condition_id": "0xfe50b98364b1c5f5cbb8cb3b6be9d174526b00d21fa8b70cab6119ad64161909", "token_id": "54587542399840609764116580962170694963026468355410572357884165846950270948802", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Richard Madden announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "610528ea2d1f203b3939402bf49a28c66a3e085e490614fc6ec6ea8bffdf2b3c", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2293865", "token_id": "41523730426738166231559162289415771951268653102461771671048679250068816772635", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Robert James-Collier", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2f41db4a5ca8f92b150bf8422f8eedaa3c7c7d01af8a1efd354f5cecf0e5ee3b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293865", "condition_id": "0xb4d153acdc852fa97e8455f714778f059711623e67c3f3ee1b5d81b761485ea4", "token_id": "41523730426738166231559162289415771951268653102461771671048679250068816772635", "outcome": "yes", "title": "James Collier announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "516b42cc0d9c49a8aeff78ce9f6efa0d1b558db71143d212677a8e21bcc85f0d", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "2293864", "token_id": "95033970965067298364754489734745587181272303107799386420668793859825751365027", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Theo James", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "22a06899fbdcaf4baac6eb20d191ec7a090e37d03ed423f4391dfe611a7318ee", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293864", "condition_id": "0x2d215dfc6dc0e7be3bf0bc077adc3ab5dc562cdfe455bfff02a6723f1c98cf48", "token_id": "95033970965067298364754489734745587181272303107799386420668793859825751365027", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Theo James announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fd986175e2abb0bb8b200d8388809237fa3fd1e579eca1e4b0684db964d81bc2", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "2293867", "token_id": "77428849766176685238224634952525948446426034496111247803682306655966419572483", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Timothee Chalamet", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de81435d6621d512a9ad3dbff98ec498f2e0e1586933f25e0e63e584ecd8ecac", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293867", "condition_id": "0x2f0c81548525ae3879f2855f75c112631a6338fafc7042d27db74723742b0c24", "token_id": "77428849766176685238224634952525948446426034496111247803682306655966419572483", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a77b722affc1193e45a9ae1e3a88df4241cd3b3e01686d4da6752870609cca93", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "2293875", "token_id": "79694643161222905868841612924852176979749288282883239907405727364387068791227", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tom Blyth", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de0d85b2ec1eb8e423fddcb4955fe90ddd3cf50dcfa549c3876d9f1d0a6cc18c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293875", "condition_id": "0x3efda16b4cf1e92abb0300b6d50bc9f74d19eccfc8bccd1977fd941e40b17c00", "token_id": "79694643161222905868841612924852176979749288282883239907405727364387068791227", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "44241067ab8e177bf2228b32fb221fd79e3bd4c7dee012361226bfdf5f6ce891", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "2293872", "token_id": "5109048829757097132751741021034049370253374552031447115514775825509182715615", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tom Francis", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6d5b13f2f852567e28b0eed0c3b4dc21cc7c09e54e086483f5f84b5546f4d7d1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293872", "condition_id": "0x64373a7da83808eef16871d343d682739210c6731c1d75e77ca6a91a3b3130c7", "token_id": "5109048829757097132751741021034049370253374552031447115514775825509182715615", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Tom Francis announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bc449c978b19fc5d41bd84c01454b734942411a6841bbdbb1d1c80739280712a", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "2293857", "token_id": "68838261326093342324603855713320627848823827710393138150137764767957230877937", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tom Hardy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6f6ac567b36224faa41bd0f880a5305aade22f2ac155ca353b0428d307bd5d3c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293857", "condition_id": "0x6522a47a9d908d3f7667044c4de2621d78319bdca65266e6fa933caa2366b64a", "token_id": "68838261326093342324603855713320627848823827710393138150137764767957230877937", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "86e527164a0014756ca82742f0985d820860f97b7ee17d5b617e0bee27478b66", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "2293859", "token_id": "6258367009150917946573799336624699879002472226558023459793857452645104170631", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tom Holland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ea1af6d5e8d77f84ea6b15b5ea2d761f31e583a8837cc61bf3fe984ef5e47423", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2293859", "condition_id": "0xb1d360baed14a5d51d8f7c0439afe0e14e332da127fc89ccc6fd7a4587900794", "token_id": "6258367009150917946573799336624699879002472226558023459793857452645104170631", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \u201cYes\u201d if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.\n\nIf no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to \"No Bond chosen\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "498879", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c00f99a323a3040ed2e4e61ca5de42b2776477ec2677407802b10c47a7f13be2", "event_source_sha256": "083fa121d9b4a54297025a36d18cc1d8a2d212e7e964ca8dd8d8f941121829b9" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:57111", "title": "Los Angeles Mayoral Election", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "41a09e2274802d730b97721321f6750abdc2c26d27f2c67a30de70b7763f8d45", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "629030", "629031", "629032", "629033", "629034", "629035", "629036", "629037", "629038", "629039", "629040", "629041", "629042", "629043", "629044" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:57111", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "629030", "token_id": "21099887182068653164347641846316470453763034851874063977340528628016776716246", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Karen Bass", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "802cf2ceb4c4b0cfc0140dad5b0e991f5a440cc9f11eaefd0d9c3b13a58d05e9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "629030", "condition_id": "0x0c9ada12c527451fbdd43c0397a8a006b8aaf2a01567ae069d37220b51937595", "token_id": "21099887182068653164347641846316470453763034851874063977340528628016776716246", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", "rules": "The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57111", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "11db7f6f57cd9b11d56387f13c31e7005d5e47276c053cf379c0a02dce6ad058", "event_source_sha256": "41441826136e28ad5caafd4c700efec2407565c6cee9295e58f0057be8602a85" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "629040", "token_id": "50292933818751585369672690878774599873941191925538325333138798248932182222864", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nithya Raman", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "091f43a4b61ab4d7e8717030ac61e563abb662a0ea7b2fd925198a73e98e7ec8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "629040", "condition_id": "0x694595d0a008f10e4701285d071e4b08407495f6f8a6bd8cbdd7de522fa9b463", "token_id": "50292933818751585369672690878774599873941191925538325333138798248932182222864", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", "rules": "The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57111", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cabb20f301b66c6d079403d99b59867a4855b2bfa1a963db8ceafc63c55ebf3f", "event_source_sha256": "41441826136e28ad5caafd4c700efec2407565c6cee9295e58f0057be8602a85" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986711", "title": "Highest temperature in Wellington on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "f9a10b18e64726a30e960a2b009985aa105e88b2fce6df06af50225a7cee91eb", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356264", "4356265", "4356266", "4356267", "4356268", "4356269", "4356270", "4356271", "4356272", "4356273", "4356274" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986711", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356266", "token_id": "22266069863007607507462010489431868913467851285358579872591124080457137814912", "outcome": "yes", "label": "10\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6bc267409c5c01414309cda4aef2cf63c98ad882177b71179c1afb781127545f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356266", "condition_id": "0x655a81fa35d474fc804735a83b75587ef2e3f3c7977d6d9114474501c7863736", "token_id": "22266069863007607507462010489431868913467851285358579872591124080457137814912", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f5cb641227b0910520578f181b66ca42c54ca0e3b555cf3828f353bd748f3ec7", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356267", "token_id": "87387624323594678403758150577901552327164354247261941997937998302464099381880", "outcome": "yes", "label": "11\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0c5628c1199c7d677d6e0c854cfd1e2b0a54a456bd29745f7b76648e7b8b00bf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356267", "condition_id": "0x26fea098ae4662cb40a982d5466f8aa27696ac5fcb8be286ec37c3f691914209", "token_id": "87387624323594678403758150577901552327164354247261941997937998302464099381880", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d75a1c950398cd32e9f339980974aed1a97b5d15a794e19bba3be15382212400", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356268", "token_id": "50522824260112811232360520092235026724485527364171946761697758013600884642630", "outcome": "yes", "label": "12\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c15b98301254a290d6f76a522658fa7e967cccad8c96ce94d644a6c5d8414ee6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356268", "condition_id": "0x7c9e24dee438c6f9ea0a4c538acee1f50cf9f9a2931d49b78365234e2faa30aa", "token_id": "50522824260112811232360520092235026724485527364171946761697758013600884642630", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2916466164d4fc963151b49f3acb62bd8a6ba7232265f57d33dc1735ac329d01", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356269", "token_id": "96977720757037465190703318042653058122391053489631835785935815787931412957040", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1cc562770843d6b2a8da3d85cdeb25e67689e5a94bc65962298f96e5c69a3bb3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356269", "condition_id": "0xe1c0b259329557f0382399aa149a1ba2137256b83e964b27e2a2daac4f74e280", "token_id": "96977720757037465190703318042653058122391053489631835785935815787931412957040", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ef277dffaac1be4528ec3f2ff5d05e6edc1009240be9dcf46ac3393283eac257", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356270", "token_id": "38172759841285489193372346143791584512872155349819028094660563137829663733723", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f63e9b2428f1b23fb203aa14794b1a18505bdf7ce689b307f21af9792bc704cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356270", "condition_id": "0x2df0118a9be9827f0f732c895b758c2bf2590ece443685c9a5bc2779259b6f4b", "token_id": "38172759841285489193372346143791584512872155349819028094660563137829663733723", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3a5050670d6dcfe268460c43e9169ec0e5e53bcf7060e4ac845282af7e990fdf", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356271", "token_id": "93589574166101487708756323248284407255284863934867527218451522914410491640191", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f4a38f259d8aa25939b6ab9b472cdfc508da0f7cfe6ba58e1965e9f35399a8d0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356271", "condition_id": "0x2307072dbe43207e9859359d11cf058962d0dbfff9d0bc2785094874f3e47242", "token_id": "93589574166101487708756323248284407255284863934867527218451522914410491640191", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6d143bf5ac53db788d1b2ce32896209c820dd2aaec7ff2639f2f85f501e67213", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356272", "token_id": "94041443659597113924208946225618857160397816938240647729341578375390223967587", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1fc730a2d7003b2b75a882e91ec3372b2a02693832febb7b379fd0e49419874f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356272", "condition_id": "0x679f03d0ba6eae3b49d5e5974ca315b6f341da626e9c3caf28021e1170f56bf7", "token_id": "94041443659597113924208946225618857160397816938240647729341578375390223967587", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7c04faeaf37fa94ec90dd3c4520cc517a52861dec405c8a725d6b7b649753206", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356273", "token_id": "95144951556902300812162286008914237812114523803957721715455860002577095040711", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "57b41671422642b16bcc156ba5a8857086590e4f7a995f53512efc365aac250c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356273", "condition_id": "0x25db300efc0c0a232413296b2e212a70c3fae1c4ca94fb6acae944b6c2ca861c", "token_id": "95144951556902300812162286008914237812114523803957721715455860002577095040711", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ca4e21aaefddc21e8b82f8e887d32b9fe4a3bd1f3eecabb7ec20bde729ebfc85", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356274", "token_id": "86397965100021163694132936043368794922568096829430964114285718356516208772654", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bf34973bc027e694d84912d311a0582b54e238cf30c7ca20d08d228fc7711c7c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356274", "condition_id": "0x685c9a1d55a104aff21f6ae653dbe85ffee26ff0007d0660b0a943cd0b5923ab", "token_id": "86397965100021163694132936043368794922568096829430964114285718356516208772654", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "986e0bea012694791cea287d6035f486a24d443847fe0048f760888934916ad3", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356264", "token_id": "104899758712514590518812546738960812366648802036169828984687632405544448262606", "outcome": "yes", "label": "8\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7f6a12e17275e4bcc960b6bf4007abc3367e23c16528ba272f36357ca7bbba90", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356264", "condition_id": "0x9124cadb13bbfc47b0f62544a464e30d5575075499c775abd0599b02319f5dd4", "token_id": "104899758712514590518812546738960812366648802036169828984687632405544448262606", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cc43470a340c3496240b8f27279a23aee1ae1c3d96a8cec1f8c7314707f88ed4", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356265", "token_id": "38533594801630318146234642447537456712098172671628484117096298364599980160797", "outcome": "yes", "label": "9\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d38bae2ea2849c8e3d3e4dd7ece9842e056b6d2a9351748e049330c7ef86f1cb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356265", "condition_id": "0x0c5b7e8ee906a41e3545db8d70c29db7fb3dee5b0fc78c1e4896dabb8cad9987", "token_id": "38533594801630318146234642447537456712098172671628484117096298364599980160797", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "141c55509c0462cc65227b9cd3bb4dca35af95aab8d2b916901bff59bfd4623c", "event_source_sha256": "954168c25a069f09baf969e647ec8c8a4a9fe1fcb2aebd62e5ab263517ac8f02" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:743554", "title": "ECB Interest Rates: October 2026", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "ae639c58d46f450c38f85ae2e7baf99c1b2a9a988962a09cd05e3f16120f4e6a", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3081963", "3081964", "3081965", "3081966", "3081967" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:743554", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3081964", "token_id": "94914576478251006221481188865216272356988306648796635568962757188791981015838", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "70583dd3825f9043b451fdec734673852ece8bfdcdb55025249dc4f387df2f2e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3081964", "condition_id": "0x7daea081b9146c4c5cb44373494052cc93e10fb34d120db8368f90f94c2a4868", "token_id": "94914576478251006221481188865216272356988306648796635568962757188791981015838", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28-29, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "743554", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "33b22afa40015a4fae22255716df9e5d1fd03268f449a2a399ef77fd8c54b52d", "event_source_sha256": "e14025a620bfd1d1b4149e1cc727f775305fb284d207a97e0fdb6242d5acf451" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3081966", "token_id": "94848263203607789125512860435123110457668569401276741600575702258685414417653", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6971512e50751e04dcce862dbb4a38929dbee33881cfaaf93fe3cb96295de32b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3081966", "condition_id": "0x64f55bc7bbe6775d0eb07686372ef8d08e0759f46793bcad5b5ad790ab1a775c", "token_id": "94848263203607789125512860435123110457668569401276741600575702258685414417653", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28-29, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "743554", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8bbc03460ca6b0fa27c676e41e45db162ea866ee1cd44e7caee7d928435a6a82", "event_source_sha256": "e14025a620bfd1d1b4149e1cc727f775305fb284d207a97e0fdb6242d5acf451" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3081963", "token_id": "55593681391336583989620835310874662772082052401925665613839157834472881336782", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a9d9dc154cc0f95a2e35ee5ee8db898ab0e531f4d6203fe3461061a7abfe74b2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3081963", "condition_id": "0xe5da3d44fcd41dfbe9803d6d99dda60fdad15850dfc223fd2285b78e468b5d7d", "token_id": "55593681391336583989620835310874662772082052401925665613839157834472881336782", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28-29, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "743554", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d8bf9b8e40273c490df9cc362f72da7bf70577ed96f9ed1225c4d0467648cfbd", "event_source_sha256": "e14025a620bfd1d1b4149e1cc727f775305fb284d207a97e0fdb6242d5acf451" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3081967", "token_id": "31631398148566965795903093548832949089796615009392418624468824026711919864972", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "05996256e338d46879a3e7314db4b8d87bd0995e374903c84e3e6b14616b171f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3081967", "condition_id": "0x72c5472a2d524e74280de11032a18ef8d9c2736b41d657dd21323d134c606efd", "token_id": "31631398148566965795903093548832949089796615009392418624468824026711919864972", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28-29, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "743554", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b486810c7c6964c8a4be5e1ea896a894b320542a53effc652ed7d385fa749e5c", "event_source_sha256": "e14025a620bfd1d1b4149e1cc727f775305fb284d207a97e0fdb6242d5acf451" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3081965", "token_id": "84152868338515899679432250924095516731289578084756867474199480586894696984453", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No change", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cbdb251f62b50d29b3f6bc0c21471cb707485aa1995be580a70d6cf72aceb087", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3081965", "condition_id": "0xf97e2e2b845a3e5ce0646ce7563cca294f58b1c23affc38010386c08627075ac", "token_id": "84152868338515899679432250924095516731289578084756867474199480586894696984453", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28-29, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-29T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "743554", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c71517d1085607965fb048ca9b6ff62672672d65448f80b5805fa342aaace6a4", "event_source_sha256": "e14025a620bfd1d1b4149e1cc727f775305fb284d207a97e0fdb6242d5acf451" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931728", "title": "SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "8877e7ee70ec9d5ce3556e29c898e890b815bab20125a313079a26d9822f8594", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977561", "3977562", "3977563" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931728", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977562", "token_id": "78145904849321419631547560709617290350267194533830340543197873162691493722224", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b26d0ccc04b869fa7b94303fad75e875e4679d785bbc59c42d56dd3b66461cdd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977562", "condition_id": "0x98c0ae477f73738b7ad487b2272db0970e52908ddbf92383eeeddbe4dcaa39dd", "token_id": "78145904849321419631547560709617290350267194533830340543197873162691493722224", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931728", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b74b591a4f7a8484d93ae8f7d21b3b9416bda8338adee53bc4957cf86505fb7e", "event_source_sha256": "6d53aa35b5a4cadbb0f3384f5a07237725af359521c52baf017a6a42f3361eef" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977563", "token_id": "27485776170959252450623147036645548304815774992778493336793183520029460751234", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Racing Club de Lens", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "66b340bfe6c9bee2060bb167e6eae5df3fa015ac9ba7e314c06efef57b8ec9e7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977563", "condition_id": "0xf529f721cd6442e8b203413116c2321b3159cc5950ae3d9400102b96498fdc12", "token_id": "27485776170959252450623147036645548304815774992778493336793183520029460751234", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf Racing Club de Lens wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931728", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b345fd1a8e00f4e0026a0df1eb549bdc1775a9ac5eb23160d85bb8115f881ec8", "event_source_sha256": "6d53aa35b5a4cadbb0f3384f5a07237725af359521c52baf017a6a42f3361eef" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977561", "token_id": "66034303628045234594032777424357831037494926554214052173667092547737116868011", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SK Slavia Praha", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "10b8e6d84de93fc87200be14130b698186c9f501f326013468739b6bf54b29bd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977561", "condition_id": "0xb8212b2537d65bfd1e33a0db88d4d244b9307a951737a19171b1e5b78fc11a43", "token_id": "66034303628045234594032777424357831037494926554214052173667092547737116868011", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf SK Slavia Praha wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931728", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c0d62c70583a61baae7a9be649e4eb732734bc47a32964336431c18b0510054c", "event_source_sha256": "6d53aa35b5a4cadbb0f3384f5a07237725af359521c52baf017a6a42f3361eef" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:624242", "title": "Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "explicit_other_outcome", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 19, "semantics_hash": "47530f2eaa99aaa2656b005437dfdee7a5505f8f80e7cd45ca79ac37d91ae15d", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2646914", "2646915", "2646916", "2646917", "2646918", "2646919", "2646920", "2646921", "2646922", "2646923", "2646924", "2646925", "2646926", "2646927", "2646928", "2646929", "2646930", "2646931", "2646932" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:624242", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2646920", "token_id": "65329730985665896243855327927890242820409440784205629149156547492264611911569", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Austria", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "efc30c54cb2f75f4e860d7f73bc8b6dbb88f4a57355383950f6c53eead00afbf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646920", "condition_id": "0x66761ac9996b68a09f30cf135e91993cd48d94d1bd1eda3d0e57a6ffbf6da143", "token_id": "65329730985665896243855327927890242820409440784205629149156547492264611911569", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "07fede88a3a75fe9a049321e37475767fde0d52b9a5291d7931ab33c71058586", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2646924", "token_id": "10761516705282929244508943116616083460346359570562672461705253777461259053664", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Egypt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b6daaa23a112e5cb77d1f9389fc831b3074f9bc76df8a30f301dea8026dcc5fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646924", "condition_id": "0x22dcf54babee1ccfddf0b979da59d65047366729d90f6d1cee354d62d953ea51", "token_id": "10761516705282929244508943116616083460346359570562672461705253777461259053664", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3ad4abb8ea60334fd24310233d1f879db3bb861756837b2cc2016d352db47f04", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2646922", "token_id": "92594908630518098007933761492134380230895334047365701261282360138665210214695", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Iran", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "35b68e6d28b4f9e30ea5dc0061570358843a24a37ef2beff327a26cddeea936e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646922", "condition_id": "0x8ffa35fb093a9c9e2ccbf865fc4f6725fa0d0eb65f4e661be0554f6e4bc536d5", "token_id": "92594908630518098007933761492134380230895334047365701261282360138665210214695", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c047253aeb8c57f23eecbdf576eaf75fbb0ab2cc98ec463a4ce6f3392557d60b", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2646926", "token_id": "55232033288949906941519741205678579400287102587213376737345062405136633443964", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Iraq", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bf3538a406f0ac9adf853df78224d33dd2e3bca3b3b8e834ccd2afbb88b45ef7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646926", "condition_id": "0xe2c7cbfc0a5a9e86f65883b430393340659620a034a0e07fcf9566b2f4625275", "token_id": "55232033288949906941519741205678579400287102587213376737345062405136633443964", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "298c11409ee1c187a333a08fd8d3c26ae031d2ca6e79956b75a420ca45d42702", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2646925", "token_id": "4548989806834490653608404747878305735752394002524086912811381924507844935763", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Italy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cba7091e5688f1d7dc3580687c7a6686d683619e50c01156bd9470da13f44c74", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646925", "condition_id": "0x91d9fa582ed28a296b589dd7f91122a978498a26ff91c9d2cb36321e9bdd3f37", "token_id": "4548989806834490653608404747878305735752394002524086912811381924507844935763", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8347e316f0c51a4455b53be7902793d5fff67bb029e34af6f05eee08eaf5e7f5", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2646927", "token_id": "64717059670444651990111872021241705649948468162598693264158994960747514427411", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kazakhstan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "83642c26473328075d2067aea984ab20bc6502e71d7de926489c1d79ca057935", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646927", "condition_id": "0x53b21e7ceccbda2e1f41b67de5d221f288528ed2f4f246354f667d4b3a9bd255", "token_id": "64717059670444651990111872021241705649948468162598693264158994960747514427411", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c3f756bb422b1a39df245974045301236a6f422e4cd0501ef1462152210bdb4f", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2646914", "token_id": "10618696958805388450273982806566275602086720395274264354492776873006123003601", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No Meeting by September 30", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6f166e323de2c3b95c1abf36022a5feb370f46c69745a4f22e92eda40ca15cb9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646914", "condition_id": "0xc4ebab9f2830f6df67ab1b98615d5a9be8eebd106fd0f37e9a25e4a4edcc427c", "token_id": "10618696958805388450273982806566275602086720395274264354492776873006123003601", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0af6d2f201510b48a3f9ced5e2d02752362f343c750fb612574956d0d6d25b1b", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2646915", "token_id": "91840734237139041498960817888436272225264086454795750667979772033889359541751", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Oman", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "52e442ee478f81f3f6edc9455b2abe0914d684158da921b16819afa9d515afc2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646915", "condition_id": "0x42742fa156da771a75cf8c7713ba0cfa4b2610112bae81a0ea8772fdeb50510b", "token_id": "91840734237139041498960817888436272225264086454795750667979772033889359541751", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e932cc5436100a4976d3bf754ea54e3973f4ca1afd76b8210a2799303254bd7a", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2646932", "token_id": "111725394656124390304389849846759059792244479028764165035453425691497937540212", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Other", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "007d74ba35dca90b61713f1934a8173e46a0722a5e3686f32c5f83d564ebef2e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646932", "condition_id": "0xcc3c7692775c0b6780a83f2ba9e649997cc6d1ef01f525768dfa58d1dc95f131", "token_id": "111725394656124390304389849846759059792244479028764165035453425691497937540212", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0846ebfe6af86f51d18321a5ca7dd317f445dd057d343f9779dc3edd960ba09b", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2646931", "token_id": "67346562719574279270405703943399752967967222447235458604412270971799390510058", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Other - Europe", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "737f78b449d73e457c57f2f43cabf64e8d48c4b2bbdc8b23c22a27834dd18353", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646931", "condition_id": "0x464af35d1def5794611bd957668aba74154d52296a3ac3be5f1beabeb3b927d9", "token_id": "67346562719574279270405703943399752967967222447235458604412270971799390510058", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b6e8c2c91fb9d0d3959fe621223044609c11efe89adee6b936a0953466f1dfef", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2646930", "token_id": "53582227082258405829803036728651123579337750439803872440106342027985458752881", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Other - Middle East/North Africa", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "867109fe5baa16dd0d367eceba9f1714819672c6831eec8de9d655f85b6c3740", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646930", "condition_id": "0xbe6553875f149f7dfea0f070ae76ca61c67c1d89f687b5c1127281d758d70fff", "token_id": "53582227082258405829803036728651123579337750439803872440106342027985458752881", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "033df4ce4749ba4871718c5a129aaf0a40043ffb8671250e7d17da84af209653", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2646928", "token_id": "22672968656988994606098532619796733342823589325740712455625503063290035111504", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pakistan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c8d09f8475ebf7199bff711df7599284e7a02ea31a913db51a1e77f84c76d009", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646928", "condition_id": "0xcd2cab85a85d99ee450c2b7c469d8a2193465d244bfe9640eb7ee54ea5e60ac1", "token_id": "22672968656988994606098532619796733342823589325740712455625503063290035111504", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1b0fa818fb57f51a75489d354bcb9fe6f9b7c3503e6cf13b2b5e3926eac293de", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2646918", "token_id": "1465004187879250935275955729729298641755522437620780616285443313153147473640", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Qatar", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f31af653bd02d0875243df44d413ec7359208f91c1199817f8c23078712e1dc6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646918", "condition_id": "0x03c583dd10a5df0d57fd8b32452554da9bbb0dd212fe0e259e8561db3b4f9153", "token_id": "1465004187879250935275955729729298641755522437620780616285443313153147473640", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "090c56230eeb18417a48c44413a1e0399e58ebd7095bc8650e2c4607764f5c7e", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2646929", "token_id": "1013944295668847705546061451050253921751788826090224157381821313453401769101", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Russia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d9aa23d2936cb41c11973206d6b13fbfdf009377ba6af5c70191ca5bda3378e0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646929", "condition_id": "0x455f5bc945aedf5ca1374e93187cfbb41be5cc5c0214738d1f7c9a96966d9b40", "token_id": "1013944295668847705546061451050253921751788826090224157381821313453401769101", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1e816b711994b172d54ef6fa16f28916d1e07ecbb3bc9e809c40811a12608bd4", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2646917", "token_id": "107523124132372283644769807934735893728549188984130286890524409336235096888629", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Saudi Arabia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "189286c833b08e96ee7149cbec249a80e38936bcb6cf0b9b050ab216887822f0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646917", "condition_id": "0x55b51fa092cbeec95defc5445110b8bbcad2fe4a97e20f9f16166f2f38f2259e", "token_id": "107523124132372283644769807934735893728549188984130286890524409336235096888629", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b3ff64c4844240f4d3391acd235d64d8f44a774132186838b23532983fdcbdb4", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2646919", "token_id": "37361300921998084721016986683222160289313595253709044324613501742470698981971", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Switzerland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2a095282e7380f455a08a5f1b0169089d7c83c07dc8d79106a81e57dbf07ba85", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646919", "condition_id": "0xc65b037d40fd0d6783588e44ef94f712853e8b63186cda1f2213e529752f5cc4", "token_id": "37361300921998084721016986683222160289313595253709044324613501742470698981971", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9b9a58ee2e1fe1b9501d3202ba31260c962543542ee25acfcf912cb831469b56", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2646921", "token_id": "70171942838833063147158828969582139047883081138691866799639746076065203731450", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Turkey", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "15a20349b82e2c7dfd37f5338110bdbf9598fdc868077126498f86d8cb93bfeb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646921", "condition_id": "0xe22e49d675a9b77b0526ca35333f76890eb7c28c7932b6f0fa80ce238f389e13", "token_id": "70171942838833063147158828969582139047883081138691866799639746076065203731450", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "30848cf1ef812271236523bd712a3a2b2161b07952ce40f9b9fab3b7bc99d093", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2646916", "token_id": "22380229442917794927086169575089512266282171303590949714167876001942645905216", "outcome": "yes", "label": "UAE", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5515aaec9f5e512a9dea0260f7d9d94fabedb64103732da0395565bcf2c640ed", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646916", "condition_id": "0x189e1fc1645c57b86a849ca1680aa9cd748aa1cab72c7e05b3a92be8d0977111", "token_id": "22380229442917794927086169575089512266282171303590949714167876001942645905216", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "723854fe2009b6de3d0415b80aa1a3bab3a66d05f0ca2773c6186b64b2453a47", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "2646923", "token_id": "93674431672151592881526269530737753031173195722060442298616452975340700804315", "outcome": "yes", "label": "USA", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5bbcbfcbf733fa4b0ea00d96e90524d95f0a741a808bdce1200b8398b0f89c7e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2646923", "condition_id": "0x1ba55a9ab62aaa724cc52a06d5f5b90104cdd3b85bf4383f7ab4bd415a14d808", "token_id": "93674431672151592881526269530737753031173195722060442298616452975340700804315", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?", "rules": "On June 22, the first round of U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks in Switzerland concluded, with mediators reporting progress toward a roadmap for a final deal and follow-on technical talks expected to continue (see: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/6/22/us-iran-agree-on-roadmap-towards-final-deal-in-switzerland-talks).\n\nThis market will resolve according to the country in which the next formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nA qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.\n\nIndirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.\n\nFollow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.\n\nBrief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.\n\nThe meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.\n\nIf a qualifying round occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on the country where the first qualifying senior-level diplomatic session begins.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Middle East/North Africa.\u201d\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to \u201cOther - Europe.\u201d\n\nFor purposes of this market, countries\u2019 regions will be determined based on the U.S. State Department\u2019s regional classifications in the \u201cCountries and Areas List\u201d (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of \u201cEurope and Eurasia\u201d will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of \u201cNear East (Middle East and North Africa)\u201d will be considered to be in the Middle East/North Africa.\n\nIf the next qualifying round begins in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nIf no qualifying round begins by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNo Meeting by September 30.\u201d\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.\n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "624242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "72e0cb701629fd2136a6496b77f1efc94de632f5fd47b4e3b3660ed7d0cbbbff", "event_source_sha256": "20c2aefbd87b07ba1830ce2ecc2be60e1d0219d2eaad1ed75b16e8df60039b92" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986710", "title": "Highest temperature in Ankara on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "f16f132b9a3be295652f605d7ff1c0c61746829b5f94a58b52092fa1acb4c634", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356253", "4356254", "4356255", "4356256", "4356257", "4356258", "4356259", "4356260", "4356261", "4356262", "4356263" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986710", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356253", "token_id": "12001268004131172838732071461080680894763394369184661410659485201458163090581", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c6fdd757da6e634d120e5eed4e328eecb03f6d1e32047b38d139441a389a88f1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356253", "condition_id": "0x0f77330931b7f696b8d8f27f6473d4e263fb71f9e15e9560f35c27c85cf9f08a", "token_id": "12001268004131172838732071461080680894763394369184661410659485201458163090581", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0096fe14e0ecb87633ac9341b5a661329062b5f0db9948074fabdcfbf34ac23b", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356254", "token_id": "16108469512601867856523610128415349654032464237525342214335520487295568226837", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f63129769eb6f3d4f4342ecc48113bc68ea9b277f24fb7652921a2ae730b06ef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356254", "condition_id": "0x62ea716902ceb2f334af0aff4a04e5d2f63b11d3d53309ca9113e3afa126b086", "token_id": "16108469512601867856523610128415349654032464237525342214335520487295568226837", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e6b5b468c2950f418ed6f20417765534a25acaab75c39d447910ad4055f76f35", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356255", "token_id": "11648361989889095537876396629153779969939900185263340209515420477884359977173", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "82808325b5758d19e24287c7508cf6ec87825840fdd36aae7583b3dcaa14cccb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356255", "condition_id": "0x34ecc3c58a8f9ed7d04a4a137e1e544b07c7bcaa69e7098c8a19877200dcc6d5", "token_id": "11648361989889095537876396629153779969939900185263340209515420477884359977173", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "85ffacad347dd086cbada3ac53f595590c5c33489394f2d44739f823b8a39f9c", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356256", "token_id": "55660036618267408233279027261798749174694423865718163757589405771343701280395", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6343f18c95adb29bbdeeb8c6de97aa5352f7711b8ec2436ea2976d29dc0ce726", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356256", "condition_id": "0x9bf11f7ca1cab9a0c11add6518ff31c4b1e29f89696d561849b4db889ba827f3", "token_id": "55660036618267408233279027261798749174694423865718163757589405771343701280395", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "405136b9b5f81a65f621eb94e68810c738bc74de1fa216d90608d592e06df456", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356257", "token_id": "89773137818172348579120023340996985205696471193726112781274882913040616503218", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "505213cd1539d9bd8c9cce5bca45e9cc4ebefb6b6158509f2d9e3532e163a177", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356257", "condition_id": "0x9ef6a86fa3b5f2825d8466b002e69e9fb5f4c87c5433e2c46cd4c4e70ccab8e5", "token_id": "89773137818172348579120023340996985205696471193726112781274882913040616503218", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "33a7413cdd8ebf8d862e623584f990d44a286fec89c106f864005bfae4f1d4a2", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356258", "token_id": "81865244273885998786875938638178778163667847525778087510298082464150661797556", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "12c81199bed8c76ed7fbf0b041f7a0902afc69378c6ec15e2e65396ffcb38dd4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356258", "condition_id": "0xcf3cef1e882fb9321262b8f5e10ccee37a0b52d2da975d577b494efd88f20732", "token_id": "81865244273885998786875938638178778163667847525778087510298082464150661797556", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "018a42f5cdeed71cbd8f92c06d5b1742f7d5cf6b8fd798e9312a7ce3172b1f7c", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356259", "token_id": "84823199829460695670227080151117152130408021745313799660665023111844487369742", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dcce797de154d14548af0574fa0ca371e567e2dec1b4b193512dad0271085798", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356259", "condition_id": "0x5fdac0cdb1e214385707ce2a98f59260945d6226bbfeed94191a7caae23990cb", "token_id": "84823199829460695670227080151117152130408021745313799660665023111844487369742", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a31f3666257ba0ef0409b7f137442e25e4e71ce8bbfe03eaf70f84db3b899a35", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356260", "token_id": "28894030356485919146198266712666805705147892953117105512873636653383176729088", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d47c2c418b572b82991acd5665a71dabe6fcaba062dbf92a7523b203f836f19a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356260", "condition_id": "0x0ee8a95d2b781b41b48656f0528b00d531bd13a8fa3b1e40c1a65ab2938005c2", "token_id": "28894030356485919146198266712666805705147892953117105512873636653383176729088", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cc0da1f3ac4356a03c6bc157db234297a8151b484808eafc5764edca906823a5", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356261", "token_id": "98359445571346865184972373045033384913125875698171282979812098397087763739559", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "12d3ab0dca70b6b3c28fa58edf7537781da34f0c2920b62aded62f425d819310", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356261", "condition_id": "0xb6c512a1df35a604cbf78d80153e91725af3a465e9132ec8235c47b198cfc027", "token_id": "98359445571346865184972373045033384913125875698171282979812098397087763739559", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "320203ca069919be1ad1d86f90f10d457319afb97858cea87d408cd2bad7db01", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356262", "token_id": "17898916130249944477009307099922631862348100195234116809688144803321243137771", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "48896a6c1f3c096a11892a1490e1805eef206b72a5d4eb028c817ea63724f843", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356262", "condition_id": "0x853c2c7e6d6a8f3fa4503b486512cc8e089d34c2cf7e5a973afd43364714a452", "token_id": "17898916130249944477009307099922631862348100195234116809688144803321243137771", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "78d499dd0e0a1fcf4bfd0af2a1b958aa6f40cb0ce0dbbb753bded069e09a201c", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356263", "token_id": "110000449163854919822174328864125418765466046132155365318676628396969032338883", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "038af4e9a9a7304d74d1a8f252bb6629a0a90e0cbf3100e5d8b61969838e4cea", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356263", "condition_id": "0x0d14620f7e321cdf8d36f1171a28d84ea50c75ab193d09382c52bc26ca036812", "token_id": "110000449163854919822174328864125418765466046132155365318676628396969032338883", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 34\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenbo\u011fa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c952daf1365e12af754241cb6a517bca2f3b826751d1250ec7eb4eabebb9c017", "event_source_sha256": "5e73117216cef31620f6650956e6fa8ad7c350aeb9a0f3e77abaffd9c2d78402" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:96640", "title": "Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 9, "semantics_hash": "da1c95f46d2c81b56e467373698782334afd24ec394312f47be1d0e791b6881d", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "811719", "811720", "811721", "811722", "811723", "811724", "811725", "811726", "811727", "811728", "811729", "811730", "811731", "811732", "811733", "811734", "811735", "811736", "811737", "811738", "811739", "811740", "811741", "811742", "811743", "811744", "811745", "811746", "811747", "811748", "811749", "811750", "811751", "811752", "811753", "811754" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:96640", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "811722", "token_id": "25470362725272187314061252286664974329805324556907987460640990865577226766623", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Centre Party (C)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2c74d988cfc0e025063f613e4363915316fe37eccd7bb5741c4e1240f54162a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "811722", "condition_id": "0x78fc3c3614ec4bfb92825c7eb5d98cd131faa1e83e1dad6c9d6643663ad3a0c8", "token_id": "25470362725272187314061252286664974329805324556907987460640990865577226766623", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Centre Party (C) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "96640", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "80876b40da58be67a6885916dea106453cb4e42e37e25f7121dcbcc47702357f", "event_source_sha256": "b20b0277ba41852404397ec44185f5872f67dac79561aee13fd8f3470e251fec" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "811724", "token_id": "54843548550094470593696883578302472730893983252822277325463098779080627026611", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Christian Democrats (KD)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "806262d981810af80ad863b7bb2cb50b765e50e0bedf9a2880584e39cd7e8ddc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "811724", "condition_id": "0xa50fafd0a12d15170128d489b2c26347ed635a84d1a88ab9f77414a358a15491", "token_id": "54843548550094470593696883578302472730893983252822277325463098779080627026611", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "96640", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "514163f3ded196f860729df6ef99137d2bd15fb43f3f7201306dcf1656d54526", "event_source_sha256": "b20b0277ba41852404397ec44185f5872f67dac79561aee13fd8f3470e251fec" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "811727", "token_id": "39574660038374569798766221743719260818313782264017363231797861969575288125012", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Citizens' Coalition (MED)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3eb284adfe694751942ffad7479a9f4303604dd9f1ddbd90b07b502885d02e95", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "811727", "condition_id": "0x8b2182be4c41f75b087d4b226d2666199eb5441eacc87cbdca83d70697eea94d", "token_id": "39574660038374569798766221743719260818313782264017363231797861969575288125012", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "96640", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "893adee2eb4d36c3ab437ffd141d3488cd05a882fb8ce37119aec9ee4145810b", "event_source_sha256": "b20b0277ba41852404397ec44185f5872f67dac79561aee13fd8f3470e251fec" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "811725", "token_id": "95637379689976243013286900277703754341046503122130133129985305609496701873761", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Green Party (MP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d47bfd28e1cea6c3c63e4210c05973bb370d56fa6e52126b99d73bf5c5acef96", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "811725", "condition_id": "0x59df45d0523260ee1cc889e54c32b59ec6d1ec49c32cabec71baf470e869d49a", "token_id": "95637379689976243013286900277703754341046503122130133129985305609496701873761", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "96640", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "28bf2277a23717c75e5af3d8d3c412babb3b877369af1abda3ec4e4ab2735b21", "event_source_sha256": "b20b0277ba41852404397ec44185f5872f67dac79561aee13fd8f3470e251fec" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "811723", "token_id": "68281552054039476390376472457884344853367018613950903885860005118538368941607", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Left Party (V)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "70f28666644f496ace4f18ed65d2bcf0c5750c19420f11e665aee08c9b53751f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "811723", "condition_id": "0x3c723221535b50dd22eaf372c272b775cc2842cff129ae0e911b633a900a4ec9", "token_id": "68281552054039476390376472457884344853367018613950903885860005118538368941607", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Left Party (V) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. 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In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament. \n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. 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however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "345d20e6570b2255ccd0ab766f326d8779d9b251c302dee09c9c60d6b46dce47", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1361063", "token_id": "50975546947372562167501570367377544956731976035342842980989701578934823810796", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Carolina Panthers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7fac2fb7ad0c71893756bbc86b2473f6da1da2fef46fce33391aaaa3d12c395e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361063", "condition_id": "0x7be2cc6b32ca3b9487164a5e85cc890ef6f358ba010dec0d04e860efcef07e70", "token_id": "50975546947372562167501570367377544956731976035342842980989701578934823810796", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bac5685a4fff1cd9470cbc9d697c6e4a59c791448467bebc178c26589afe664b", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1361058", "token_id": "74507631360506895335643405841274038376728111179213418389614455138365083276427", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chicago Bears", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "07b267e506057ee749990bf5c3e0a60365c2c7c9fb79cf9ee147eb18a4d36998", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361058", "condition_id": "0x40c2fd0594fdf433c863963c8f29b3c855c446b24d76ccc5e6336fcfc14feab4", "token_id": "74507631360506895335643405841274038376728111179213418389614455138365083276427", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2458a94ee53635ab6155939107e38d24b85b9eabc33e7be2fb241872afecacba", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1361054", "token_id": "7590961396826236243668922438585386298730486335566712710222100222216055046858", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dallas Cowboys", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f368be79723a615c3ac2ee7f534cb8eafc1370d41d19ca087616ea906f2cc017", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361054", "condition_id": "0x9e54e526688bba2a22c6092cb9f1cd3aa2727f190fcd4362837d1dc8e2865c7e", "token_id": "7590961396826236243668922438585386298730486335566712710222100222216055046858", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dadb51030d8381465c009b363ca5f85b7badc1881f566e8f6fc3cd9be1ed836c", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1361059", "token_id": "5075465167237002965220446884417430963980002238559463698336088299473773827964", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Detroit Lions", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ce14a58de7a79cbc648ab6a807ab10b33c914249c14545c6f01e5bdede064ced", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361059", "condition_id": "0x24ab2403cb580e7086cd3a387ff03a275146da35c4d7aec27a1aeb4a1b38d794", "token_id": "5075465167237002965220446884417430963980002238559463698336088299473773827964", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "00e795d6f3dc96a413dea67524322bd98bdeea55f245400c747741ad939b39ac", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1361060", "token_id": "10212082587692435653258269945901553640753619690039028397614487803397952495613", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Green Bay Packers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "52e0d608256df055e8df112ce1d703bdebceaf9c07037d4087a68a52abc5314e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361060", "condition_id": "0x82e887ef97fad6ddbfec198ed7288c745679601e1c790618fa96f49c5d59c86d", "token_id": "10212082587692435653258269945901553640753619690039028397614487803397952495613", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8fd91a1dbd0cf824a69c5a69918fe1fa6fc54e095a04e342fa6846b179b69dc9", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1361067", "token_id": "59489332946815326584158016569679086542533860944048132821135810255998766185642", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Los Angeles Rams", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "184f1e06bd173017a320bfa8b2e2cfe79767bd8700a11546e3bb3a39f5f358db", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361067", "condition_id": "0xd8e7df41df8b81692f2b6339d18cc16bfac611113595a85ea8f111c1bccc3662", "token_id": "59489332946815326584158016569679086542533860944048132821135810255998766185642", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f31a4abd9f0c47911086e9158377287ea70887df88ca4dcc794497ce4a2b43ed", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1361061", "token_id": "34216599256731645025005217537625791908287810832071932505986585678845756791490", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Minnesota Vikings", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4be6500ae1e7e84700d21187e6f35cfff596bb28f36d6a274c04dfcf2707a198", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361061", "condition_id": "0x7bec3361c613929e115c6abd4877a98da108559e9c58443f073ba6d9205e7617", "token_id": "34216599256731645025005217537625791908287810832071932505986585678845756791490", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "68cc3bba11f735038d9226bdf02f6622c670e3dc18a585a8de264cad54875b59", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1361064", "token_id": "8193533833773115192670335938411656166305562467888649121435563898462903314468", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New Orleans Saints", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3461576467a7c6fda5842a2d62640c94889d15d792bac5e285673a826563ba57", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361064", "condition_id": "0xb05fa89529f3814e666358751c9f3fd617d699836b6c931b0f93836661066eff", "token_id": "8193533833773115192670335938411656166305562467888649121435563898462903314468", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fdb67568121bfd2b09256a9f0e6f0b7f993bc9cd99bf078267acd68b6a8a3823", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "1361055", "token_id": "23443755244953139226752165069519983063150874452309406667907470728449465173254", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New York Giants", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7ab47fded1bc8eba700ce9215de9a7b2aeac8bbc8850c23cc6728aadc30d2c0e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361055", "condition_id": "0x7eb1f304b438e63b7de4a24c03db8f3fd607a17b6281384830269671ff4cf856", "token_id": "23443755244953139226752165069519983063150874452309406667907470728449465173254", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New York Giants win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4f9172d3bce99b777e92079d352ac87fd8700cd709c282da075bd22e253892da", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "1361056", "token_id": "9056368425052813341944345459912699762306374600427290502336543643538003097093", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Philadelphia Eagles", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a7f703e7b8bea0639b20cb453b2d1c28d05e66e31de134db7e1b2eb7d415fd4c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361056", "condition_id": "0xa41cccfd96fbc0e1e75cf9459e59bbb766e845bfd4df851d63a1897ca024c078", "token_id": "9056368425052813341944345459912699762306374600427290502336543643538003097093", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f9869dc99fadd29d3c2d3e51c984a63648fa131f9e870066e68b26942ac66420", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "1361068", "token_id": "16069463077207745565653213000916677761222564542852716163048404174490570568415", "outcome": "yes", "label": "San Francisco 49ers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1affe773dd98f73c653e729908b34713e0e4e5d6fc0d2bc4e94276b7c9a9db1b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361068", "condition_id": "0x59925ff5a84e6eaebd1ed1c6dd776ed27264fd9c52ba99c7020c630f3f720f75", "token_id": "16069463077207745565653213000916677761222564542852716163048404174490570568415", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "81df65d9e4ba0081041e799dbf8ca259cea619da239d75d64d070c518d6fb6fe", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "1361069", "token_id": "72056541129852573263825004806229063995846854958686074871906443971985511079259", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Seattle Seahawks", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fc8dcef05e83108a97ac6cecbd45634aafc9d0a70641e7b1b0750d814029ac1b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361069", "condition_id": "0x51e241e5cdc5cd2f6ff8fa1bd444cd4751a35f1097ac3fa97711479795ae264c", "token_id": "72056541129852573263825004806229063995846854958686074871906443971985511079259", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c7d1ab053a231ba851c4ead8609069d3f703286b5353e311de9266179173f836", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "1361065", "token_id": "12817807356277515410129799330019075882685218037979307684424637922047587147730", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tampa Bay Buccaneers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8e3a31c81b45dd4328e8813857235ef077909e65d82bffa2a409cfe73ec02517", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361065", "condition_id": "0x0d6642ddd35287eb369945b9c2b00000b7526d341e3dfe6db11b92bdd02a04c5", "token_id": "12817807356277515410129799330019075882685218037979307684424637922047587147730", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "905194cf3e3578139461a5f7e0019d63a15c987c746e9d93d0eff349dcacc716", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "1361057", "token_id": "95992680022989590360064808732857685555171259671423130351546897914026921068055", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Washington Commanders", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0ca592e3cbd12e3ffd84b7864d75440ec46b23f0c05df1f4ddf082c2c2c38e32", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1361057", "condition_id": "0x28daa5c62972024051907fbdbf966a4e26c1c1190bf858fd5730c6904beaf098", "token_id": "95992680022989590360064808732857685555171259671423130351546897914026921068055", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-25T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "203716", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8ae2ee4bcbe1579b673f2cc5f1e2d7ceec69b5137a63f02056820ac2f89426ff", "event_source_sha256": "137c52b02bdf6f3a1e857175028a8cd9705549a1ca1ab44b663117c6b226ddbc" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986714", "title": "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "b7356533e401f926571a07e4366c8eb0fa2713213c4d1c48b7b4f22cc2f6f6ca", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356297", "4356298", "4356299", "4356300", "4356301", "4356302", "4356303", "4356304", "4356305", "4356306", "4356307" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986714", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356297", "token_id": "82406136952240510828483456796998227431401861551176244795973016485491885986451", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "38e0a47e1105180d7b52f31819f4f8967fdee0a9323bd4eb72a2a232fbf77889", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356297", "condition_id": "0x5a5a76257c290e36b9fbb6a550ab779efb6be8719e90c8ad446ba5bfda829239", "token_id": "82406136952240510828483456796998227431401861551176244795973016485491885986451", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "07855df332de0c4e8cfa582503e5fc96d5c1436163d5f51e23824cb8c4986642", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356298", "token_id": "45276469158168436456249530512468624000972033138848264033027427747419441630993", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bbc332bd9d365c8b47914e544aedb57073541179a8515cdf1912e03eed6006e2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356298", "condition_id": "0xae4f0f3efcedd68389334f81f70863ca67487045c5d4388986ec96d1a71114fe", "token_id": "45276469158168436456249530512468624000972033138848264033027427747419441630993", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d87f378924cb0cfc52c5381643c38cb47bb73e62e53a339fec9d615b826d8555", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356299", "token_id": "3406872530907884140315223243409316661059131739628926966743264202123157094357", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "66b24346117b57e2fd0c43568b598a82f74d81dee65e58476c248054e8966bdd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356299", "condition_id": "0xc144623991abd36e35f1f0b22ab7629cf214adc2c3d50c3ae109546c1521e927", "token_id": "3406872530907884140315223243409316661059131739628926966743264202123157094357", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "62cf269545bdf05f77c8d2e84646a955729ea7656a921be6a4a2142f14260821", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356300", "token_id": "15259889023559831915954025412659056762020593898879860259480077491263871451496", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "73648299f025073b1774e3a164fe5987b1b0226801fc0e6374b23f9f522e7310", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356300", "condition_id": "0xc91e8a7b0cf349ce2c991693fdb9903661d4bb2f977e89975302edad2cf00563", "token_id": "15259889023559831915954025412659056762020593898879860259480077491263871451496", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "21380b8ce97a7ca90ba8b37cff84cf4fcc86588d27db69ec7ba1724f9c26bb5d", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356301", "token_id": "65029676873701473581959851240111715485557546126391800883608309293150413334290", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5d4f31c72688538106a250e33e0d6edb6a82236b95b3aca3e5ac7644ddb63e46", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356301", "condition_id": "0x5bf4be7b418b8f6ac8193df840293be5ce036f46fb6fb3802df949300a626938", "token_id": "65029676873701473581959851240111715485557546126391800883608309293150413334290", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0dba528e4bec2d23533f03f0aec9ff9031a333b9083fd967e8df8eadd961c2e6", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356302", "token_id": "92613104579053747960253740482362518169094157710572151201565794841616781734819", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "17631b91122099d126cfb365ab3d2f106e3c8fd8320cf782462d5cdbf9fec567", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356302", "condition_id": "0x9399035b66f7ae0a15b585ac75511f6c1459482c7b87cb5de0d0c63a30394e9f", "token_id": "92613104579053747960253740482362518169094157710572151201565794841616781734819", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3565d7a24d42ceedcab264cdb0839c0b04075a8232b888bfc9ad812916e49e77", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356303", "token_id": "109612787794184598564731239320296934148133762416547750328723649391286125311204", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "da487e9788629c6ac8c8eae332c7c76b002e7f5f9806eb58f04eac9e08d65a35", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356303", "condition_id": "0xdd011b40113ec87d9970f50b6220f93b8fb59f371742f68ddabe4cfc51b0f8a7", "token_id": "109612787794184598564731239320296934148133762416547750328723649391286125311204", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "64d12c3414fa69cf33599c96d25410c274e5b42d99b2ba63aeb39dedef77ab90", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356304", "token_id": "4441500140731015938273677440860813023767347149905532357431596321368795915939", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eb9fd748b113687baec9ce37c361c786d483a4720b267a7aff952124ff90bb75", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356304", "condition_id": "0x57f15f660dbea5e063c5c7db3b57dd64575fdb12cd92868f723751a060c235f0", "token_id": "4441500140731015938273677440860813023767347149905532357431596321368795915939", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c829f526db76de7408e9450c38d4807b5d12bf7fe96f804702ad20a44ee2e6db", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356305", "token_id": "79964324253691192481615756595088038346200388740853963941851460211080202931328", "outcome": "yes", "label": "37\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8a89f480dd86aceeace21a12bb8320eab19212ee09819d3fd0ae20b4b9b181bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356305", "condition_id": "0xdf3bc4197064f7cb10bbf787aeb637388db5cf2c8d60da10b1e9cd0c19107828", "token_id": "79964324253691192481615756595088038346200388740853963941851460211080202931328", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fb9e3f7d070285ce14a6c4ecccc2c9d03448204d0e097ef64958f04a9e11fdf8", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356306", "token_id": "45893814735397928234073635578621304142001181558857983620657983327827565512713", "outcome": "yes", "label": "38\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3ee9f19fd4c8cbf21ff8233f60dc9de963d2c48e5e056e930183b0191a6ac9a5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356306", "condition_id": "0xfa1ab2ceacd1945bf8745cebf80d361940c9a0d602b1c215e72a905302f0ddbc", "token_id": "45893814735397928234073635578621304142001181558857983620657983327827565512713", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6008d00e8597e51d6d2262890f38e9c7ae146b26bdeb3a8b5e36bc1ad7341f0e", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356307", "token_id": "9982829569276256589646264114689116755442575276214510474382062670462868177522", "outcome": "yes", "label": "39\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4dbb37116559b1dadc0ee9acbc3ce36bffddce478b8203b0ce8e9d43fcd463e2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356307", "condition_id": "0x72d4be0b3a9453c802c2183212fbb49c632d834e1d32cd6ca5910b4fd597e594", "token_id": "9982829569276256589646264114689116755442575276214510474382062670462868177522", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986714", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fc76053037e8f9ac5c198823318bc8d1676007d06904a280d8e4dd14b5e7c03e", "event_source_sha256": "a620124b62ce04ed49841cc4cb920ba5f70641a4af7f0f9bdaf3aedc019f23f6" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992244", "title": "Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "f0a44e3ed9bd9a25e6c47b85f96a0e5d0793ecd5f5e457880f6f2f6acc0a5d1c", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4399969", "4399970", "4399971", "4399972", "4399973", "4399974", "4399975", "4399976", "4399977", "4399978", "4399979" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992244", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4399969", "token_id": "66377758869899010931470202094434118332928001529984258860641024339073090561122", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f5b61f564032f154f602bca663a9ca0e109989dddec21a0e4564cb26329fbc40", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399969", "condition_id": "0xdad9934e47e75b90c69e652a79094dd117ef3477d6c267802793b136669a39cf", "token_id": "66377758869899010931470202094434118332928001529984258860641024339073090561122", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "338bb0cf366ff52135cdc5d337f90d8be2179ec7bae623f6d2665d38ebc21aa4", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4399970", "token_id": "107803999288782045139864549955824358791211118470112965508930294840636784485547", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf1faad98f52c77e93b2b3013a389a1a26b4bf456ab39fa387bd298b8827fe10", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399970", "condition_id": "0xf126b432bfdf75b66c9c18c864aeabc59062c1ac1754b72fc4920ec27f461ab7", "token_id": "107803999288782045139864549955824358791211118470112965508930294840636784485547", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c715a2d2265a85ba53e35ac6ae0cd3ceeb4ee1a5fe188bb573f32a8b9f0d2f38", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4399971", "token_id": "112988656374872347420888707361169358072014260657348970595867300543376428827214", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "70d8945cab9415cc56253a36825101c45efaff56cefe10e62a5a031c49ae96a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399971", "condition_id": "0x907f743bbfed3099fa9c5b3f67b9bdd14467d0e553bf9c94ed2c353fa72a044c", "token_id": "112988656374872347420888707361169358072014260657348970595867300543376428827214", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0997b4d0562d7eec0517208b38782ec545da6063b5fdc8b12fcac83b90dae37e", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4399972", "token_id": "13370224478511403518476866426760092215937701222608158575707622577340438532389", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3835e26c971f719381755fc71244982117b7c58d9ccb9d95934f0a1a5b0a44c3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399972", "condition_id": "0x3b5b7029508486b83798c557d32104b50d7422733e210c5926e5a1e6d62bcc53", "token_id": "13370224478511403518476866426760092215937701222608158575707622577340438532389", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f850c3f33cf64084112749dcbc2720ec136d982ff1f3f39665967d24b1b08a93", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4399973", "token_id": "115771796728471226366245486621738117188406750983538797952452629954902717718229", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3eedba5399a7a2bb34865a0b80a4d253305bb5c9edebd91f4103f7c8c1fa0ce9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399973", "condition_id": "0x1cc6f6e8698fa615506587446ed3522eac36f4b05639595ebd472d1a47766d26", "token_id": "115771796728471226366245486621738117188406750983538797952452629954902717718229", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "182809d5793cfa613e96ff36c475cc1bc2a065f7d3c3906446bed39243b8c101", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4399974", "token_id": "15425082765237183881635398043448151230162405677680745221228144606348095063734", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "384b9676043e50081a6c89150f74df34e79d82aee76ccc8dc13dadc9f7972942", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399974", "condition_id": "0xf4dfdf7553e290a1e8bdb5b01bb68b4c09ca2a26e24cac5dcd9a6d5c6fc6e1af", "token_id": "15425082765237183881635398043448151230162405677680745221228144606348095063734", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "22b7adf66a71c7c075c937eceeed5910fb46146241f30235b9f5d1a9f423ea5a", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4399975", "token_id": "63917792600811902583217756356492212362728941482238680430818512617795476740577", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "256a917f15382dc42dfc20efe6e703250e6e478911b59797506b49902c8e3f88", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399975", "condition_id": "0x4f841c963ba49bcc64790fbfb7106fad82c98d09eedf6867e382623efe08e9ab", "token_id": "63917792600811902583217756356492212362728941482238680430818512617795476740577", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e67b21641a8ffe4dda0e4aa9943d803941fb337236f60b85ff194440856377d5", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4399976", "token_id": "70623488428387043329174805540167188285296338821449737934489682327316757650834", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8dab95626e9ed52158500ce984cc18e540c136af290c2e7988fe43808aad3acf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399976", "condition_id": "0xa0a1be4b98d666ef916139a734307647a15eb90afde4fa41fd81dab6d6bebe67", "token_id": "70623488428387043329174805540167188285296338821449737934489682327316757650834", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c641d7767fd50d32aaa326a9194e885c0e2a3703def29a9d39ebb79ef2f3bbd9", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4399977", "token_id": "48108736196821966845758295935274797496546610561028739598970252028015686720908", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "411bc4633f97b072ba0d392b90dde0087dbc16abe9ac44d34984e9ab905c8eb0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399977", "condition_id": "0xdaf7108abbc9eaa179413d02c6eb2a7a014b957d28dc6a2712e1882d43db73b9", "token_id": "48108736196821966845758295935274797496546610561028739598970252028015686720908", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a16d101f4a4378576e1014269420a839eb08ab7b6b1359db14fcdaf634da0a06", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4399978", "token_id": "19194719461022916648700120333710243742371111706380242075716472303471729155518", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cde8fd474b4ea6eb7bc608d9bcc6a2641aa554a1458fbfe7aea1c2f3474eefc8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399978", "condition_id": "0x72b9bbee1b8db182d0a1b7841cbd821ba59a95a581c5af4c7f19aec803bcd215", "token_id": "19194719461022916648700120333710243742371111706380242075716472303471729155518", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4b7de84e7e69efe8194dca66486f13aa7102b9c3b446157ec371e4c3ec7f3fbe", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4399979", "token_id": "80562268587438679928995777001545929235427305343151479838620688755635183265884", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "67c0ce40544a08c698c711ec7f7ef9ac6c145be624a0ec4e0c06bfc9cf6af594", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399979", "condition_id": "0xadb54035084f0d05f28ad58cab7bc7a1578fd0c85df085a83f3d323d857b30e2", "token_id": "80562268587438679928995777001545929235427305343151479838620688755635183265884", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992244", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c5c36013cebb51c8543ea58e2181d166454115a9feb9b1777ec8d06e5681a0b5", "event_source_sha256": "89a38e25e7483d22d16211d50db59dac11d96955f0fbc242912d9e3a6f2c0bce" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987930", "title": "Highest temperature in San Francisco on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "80c4b7db1d0cfa74cd3047f8f9fd96ad31f2d69e74ca82216fe74a39adac7274", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4362180", "4362181", "4362182", "4362183", "4362184", "4362185", "4362186", "4362187", "4362188", "4362189", "4362190" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987930", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4362180", "token_id": "100309230639812488485349677015281392966951136606312381877388392902219875168342", "outcome": "yes", "label": "71\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e2d281934bd13f236ef3aafd481f67d9b8088a79c538f627e46ceae9d484c200", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362180", "condition_id": "0x5af9284dc8de036449a8c66c566857db51d13d3893edf6c6c4628c16611c8694", "token_id": "100309230639812488485349677015281392966951136606312381877388392902219875168342", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "77fb6bc056b67ef351f42b8b34c0955d933ddf2def606d5388478bb517ad30ab", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4362181", "token_id": "112376929940275056690994321499808724358760481550272985612561567335924852719437", "outcome": "yes", "label": "72-73\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5fdf29aa44cddbbf88f55c2ec4473103bd7f2512274d89c5417daa78fa425ff9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362181", "condition_id": "0xbcac7bcf0555e80521fc31cec4245bc29ab70f34cc35c9bf6074d4d29d8360cf", "token_id": "112376929940275056690994321499808724358760481550272985612561567335924852719437", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6df89ea6893400ecf59130081ccdc4d992a48cdb4a0c1c19483e34716c69d9d4", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4362182", "token_id": "1111085521054407785248339871023699783430070062468832730530482319955588918564", "outcome": "yes", "label": "74-75\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "56d25a14e8f6d139f3c000b7b6a9b315418925121f828cf784bca0be087d1410", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362182", "condition_id": "0x606224513d6eb29298041ef86dd5f9f35e53b6c3e84757bf1cc6f18f1f3c6f1e", "token_id": "1111085521054407785248339871023699783430070062468832730530482319955588918564", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "be923540a57620a72c731fa831579383e508c81e5369dc1b12b3df7139b83516", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4362183", "token_id": "91056497491419823096636648113938213388616372201254492095329430562852461979022", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76-77\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "104fcd3bbb0b29492a9c5e8f668d74812601d95218742a83005b19b2c78b1e0a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362183", "condition_id": "0xd5ca580a16921d67d39a96c1574d6f45bdb49767dda5d7234aac7554dbd58f65", "token_id": "91056497491419823096636648113938213388616372201254492095329430562852461979022", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5882b202cce11a900acd5e7ba8a47057e5b3f56a13a355b2cd45d7e3f11d5749", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4362184", "token_id": "28380899954131412988100196236577649946164751293214974356790872313499958779913", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78-79\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b63dc65ff789234893d5d73c87b0728f0a2300b73f3db30a527d37cf0cae6f2e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362184", "condition_id": "0xce795f150147e3c42b345f126e9cbec82c3563ee826d308d475a29eef69231b1", "token_id": "28380899954131412988100196236577649946164751293214974356790872313499958779913", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d41e6e74717aed9f4ea77e97d31b9ad3481d3f9beb9c49bf46d815175a8e8a2c", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4362185", "token_id": "89343700312553189207648275423895559141594201796874702058930707881210481736935", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7c9780b662700a06f68f3ec42393f38313312c9a272b6e709493b2c1bab4fcd2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362185", "condition_id": "0x0366c37d2d7844fba131985dbe4a9b831329dc551d673d6270fee00a7f75b07b", "token_id": "89343700312553189207648275423895559141594201796874702058930707881210481736935", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "addc8efb416319ef255348282cbfecbe5b67642f3434f11da490cc1ce02e3b29", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4362186", "token_id": "51894045652043722188892314660105421466936657442945503317790836866559371483662", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d9ad73be9b4ede56f116e6455d2de7bd38f41edf7b9e2659624d807f766888b5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362186", "condition_id": "0x780da55081dab810e4e5a81cd3aa42f4dc2c2322e1c26b346225568883214d83", "token_id": "51894045652043722188892314660105421466936657442945503317790836866559371483662", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c005236ab621d339938c5a40caa1b664c394a760b066dda4e734cb0a751f50e9", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4362187", "token_id": "107404393649279038079007709660935990903304087912846329426514125067113324589853", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4ca21b0244eedd8c6c0de6691009f1ee6aa17874bdecff1721f7031e20bc9d6b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362187", "condition_id": "0x273ff87edda8404ed1dc7269ddb5fd71b3e5748ac84eea5097e18ddfed3d719b", "token_id": "107404393649279038079007709660935990903304087912846329426514125067113324589853", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d788853c139f94d09bed8acf0d068ab38316bf85d728605d7c886cb0f1fb5d32", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4362188", "token_id": "42314100931748728645240185171371918970669596672895776242288391269277311927233", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "67b467d4c62074626e5d35fb44cde944dfa4f7b2ce3c608b70a15c8512fc00a4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362188", "condition_id": "0xfeb1dcceb5002b677b02dd245c7543cca9ddf791af0e396d88bd598afc10e748", "token_id": "42314100931748728645240185171371918970669596672895776242288391269277311927233", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "97053632f74c781a39b31a748bddf39b8b02c560d34499f1c0c37de27e41cbc4", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4362189", "token_id": "28087930756530772962362330302653830645502992346786236028044561213672287970280", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88-89\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3dc4b933c2d1bc01127fa1be784c6eec471e6a0892b580574cccfff475d0b6da", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362189", "condition_id": "0x9ed0c01461566121d2de2a215358aaaca3d6be4f8ca9a39c14e7e2895f296856", "token_id": "28087930756530772962362330302653830645502992346786236028044561213672287970280", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bfc8ea023aa157771b27e6768a888e0def2b97ad8ced896adcc74de359652c4a", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4362190", "token_id": "73508376610618321891454334058504452774717381175094813733979611065191313750435", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0a726b8a89971def7f561f2853e68d7ee6cabdaa19e50b67ae94af22af357b2d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4362190", "condition_id": "0x4d0f461f930f55622f12ed1bed1ca029aa8943d50b5ad01a59998f12323cae51", "token_id": "73508376610618321891454334058504452774717381175094813733979611065191313750435", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 90\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987930", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b83700baa1814fd6065d14dfacb770aac66b24ea433787038da71e73d7e688ea", "event_source_sha256": "beba48ead818009d3bed13fe4908880193845ca91aa656511068a155226f86d3" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986738", "title": "Highest temperature in Busan on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "973bd0b1d5002be433a023b1f2decfcc2549bf1531cd9576581417a2bb3d7e4f", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356481", "4356482", "4356483", "4356484", "4356485", "4356486", "4356487", "4356488", "4356489", "4356490", "4356491" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986738", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356481", "token_id": "91173061336594479257989210714307297968365938513454301710027512853496995399448", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c50554745afe832c5e2f3d6cc0f35427faade84bb92a1eec9ef1abc9218e6961", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356481", "condition_id": "0x8d35d92f851cf1a492b7bcc76b579fc350c11a7103e4f186076158372a3f1ee6", "token_id": "91173061336594479257989210714307297968365938513454301710027512853496995399448", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4aae3f8a56764003ff9295d050fe39d07ebed61776c350619ed8e938bdf8e11a", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356482", "token_id": "36141240147186813416296275394044421748546121230809796298272688544337157996248", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "27b96e838739b073a8c124e72131ac9b7b71b8eb51307987153d6182f75539d2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356482", "condition_id": "0x98063b5e072665204afa1039ce3854c74223790dcf63f64251685b8b6d9b417b", "token_id": "36141240147186813416296275394044421748546121230809796298272688544337157996248", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f2b6a786dd548a1c9309458b810023d47d94cbfbfa55c881bffe5ddc244e07ec", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356483", "token_id": "38621525564614407109252352820111785352465236232174499849031166974337562093107", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "87c39e644eaf16f7b56655134f0051d4a26b106ce49c40bcec6ccfa1600a3b39", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356483", "condition_id": "0x5baa11c8ffa63a3ff8b6a9f112213e59a7da191fc6eea073ad0f1d2e07e0579a", "token_id": "38621525564614407109252352820111785352465236232174499849031166974337562093107", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "170d69dae9f3e0f9b13e549fa2cf9680f30d47c2d2b7bebc5b4b259ca209d2d3", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356484", "token_id": "70067174018241165640413841309749740342742279070120568170943056162526326694344", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a4d209f8def966a63a95259e4f572036b48ddc20ff6a7dd14a762807bd077a82", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356484", "condition_id": "0xb712723c49b4781e4f8384d491c90b70a5a2a0bd4617ed4ab4e74ab03c00a382", "token_id": "70067174018241165640413841309749740342742279070120568170943056162526326694344", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1c81f7d6bdf28e7842ff5f1e221a69037b3605a20d3eea367d26f863186cfacf", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356485", "token_id": "97769794168767641099629642284299927227044308462346629144541591933578535366355", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "689ee6971a39c60a95061719b1990a3de462f5b6410b9528b023a7c025f00c89", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356485", "condition_id": "0xdc3d3301acf483255bdde0707440c51532770ea8164ec8ab536b7f5f40d7dfc5", "token_id": "97769794168767641099629642284299927227044308462346629144541591933578535366355", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "79b8b60d5f917cce91b6ed3cd0e655afe6f0cfdf64fb6cee66f14bb8c45706e1", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356486", "token_id": "57324961487076016376730088988015706350300210660411122365698974410921747970030", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8a96c8d001d20910c7199ee5d1fd8d70adbb4a4d4b40d27613d72b526826bb45", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356486", "condition_id": "0x572045a6ca20f20e4962ad63d011aea1673079c6fa8ff1a2fb57f5daa04b3a0c", "token_id": "57324961487076016376730088988015706350300210660411122365698974410921747970030", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2c8ec8b6e645679d8ce9d9619d24732c896fa50496df5b771937c45dff47c7d8", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356487", "token_id": "31162502082671229363808181757787216027000358207604786172009515187873513714143", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "598c9906cbd6b40772f752db3065e495c3e1a19e031d52e6ad02b782296239a8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356487", "condition_id": "0x29dcd02aadaddeecea09048040493d84e6cd3fedb70c593b5445f207a069545b", "token_id": "31162502082671229363808181757787216027000358207604786172009515187873513714143", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "38b34cc19a9cc646e1a7ce848e5f2b66430343f2d4a39b4ab540453e42b6ad8f", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356488", "token_id": "41558968846441052602037486377468794306493080848767235561188991448207151279315", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "56e4030ac4c8b5d7e2a2f7ad47eb210ab8985a9139e2bfd2745cdd67e682d7c5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356488", "condition_id": "0x7bd06356274322b6f2afb56a0bf0337e210eee4f2e1597d998d698fdbbff4c58", "token_id": "41558968846441052602037486377468794306493080848767235561188991448207151279315", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d39941dcb932e40211bbd7e779d7a88755ce7b9015860737ea040dff5b2f4d57", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356489", "token_id": "98058930574905911887911578575759557720568914700970261379873801286417140853147", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8441fa33f655f60dc88e2ac4c032d5b3e7184204e93d6929f24db452f26c22bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356489", "condition_id": "0x4321477872a5cb8a5bc51bda625222364c8031ffb20eb29f58846c9365f37e07", "token_id": "98058930574905911887911578575759557720568914700970261379873801286417140853147", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "27c1a32384c316851affffed32e1f9394fc3ef78e745373796aeb946e12c19c8", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356490", "token_id": "55522482281167834689029447414551596879069162442148737655176419909677338226914", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "33201d5d3a463603d84f37b77a69f4d2803362bcc3f7743ecafed6d03f848a21", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356490", "condition_id": "0x5d5d87e1bd53029124a1a8f9317cfcf6b5f34932ad956949b2c4e9ae6cac1529", "token_id": "55522482281167834689029447414551596879069162442148737655176419909677338226914", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "52d71e22bda8f923c4f9f59cb84476f52e43f4c33bbdaeb90a4752630e8ad9db", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356491", "token_id": "79611578333402092741187023155726202902462048954833891974652344133558327532831", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "290a5cbcb1ea4a1bc7c24ee68c638aa30f0560e3db288028743bfff31b70d306", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356491", "condition_id": "0x1d8d9297404abc7da18e86dba0bb30c510db3895416c2cb2d98f84d6ce490129", "token_id": "79611578333402092741187023155726202902462048954833891974652344133558327532831", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986738", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7239c2a2da3ceaeb9c2cc838215d327eb6eaed2ce0e134f22b8b8ad408ffa994", "event_source_sha256": "b88a8995e80318d79bd4a4cca0b4cf4123309c289d3503b2cc82f2711084b579" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:60182", "title": "Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 20, "semantics_hash": "796ce614d4d64395699033635eff3253fba3b8043234ec666bee9d7f7932a643", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "637002", "637003", "637004", "637005", "637006", "637007", "637008", "637009", "637010", "637011", "637012", "637013", "637014", "637015", "637016", "637017", "637018", "637019", "637020", "637021", "637022", "637023", "637024", "637025", "637026", "637027", "637028", "637029", "637030", "637031", "637032", "637033", "637034", "637035", "637036", "637037", "637038", "637039", "637040", "637041", "637042", "637043", "637044", "637045", "637046", "637047", "637048", "637049", "637050", "637051", "637052", "637053", "637054", "637055", "637056", "637057", "637058", "637059", "637060", "637061", "637062", "637063", "637064", "637065", "637066", "637067", "637068", "637069", "637070", "637071", "637072" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:60182", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "637018", "token_id": "29384252153498040908016173010534270095096285030713208216637067996773126537603", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ahmed al-Sharaa", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7498a16742ce1ce9f76cba0d647b93ed70b5b5ed51fc68e935cf278548312719", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637018", "condition_id": "0x0d58510591b53c9837c30c1f5a202232da376460634aee9da71a6bfeb15350bb", "token_id": "29384252153498040908016173010534270095096285030713208216637067996773126537603", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cb483bd1429c025f0588e9f9212a620393ea054adbfd9b5da1e91341027bd7df", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "637010", "token_id": "23342261653888694132200522593527487238848562692306851598440649086435121500976", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ant\u00f3nio Guterres", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8b7d7554b332f7d598b05eb50c3480980294d2fdf04d06ca8f8de1b76260edee", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637010", "condition_id": "0xb9212b9cb5404a1db7aa30477619222b4100802f03f32a6fc5639c6e24fe0e1f", "token_id": "23342261653888694132200522593527487238848562692306851598440649086435121500976", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ant\u00f3nio Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cf27dbc59c01ff38dcaaaf676635db279adc4511969da3973d66ea9406034935", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "637015", "token_id": "8075661047254567797432306525558519998052391236898258911573171689963344650999", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Benjamin Netanyahu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fb2730dd451a3b1414d2574cdeea72fdcb765fb993f28555daa6201873f2471c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637015", "condition_id": "0x73ea54d2bbd4a4bb22cc78f1ef9b8373c76e57fe2a4bf09784413002885f69f7", "token_id": "8075661047254567797432306525558519998052391236898258911573171689963344650999", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "31e4285ea0fcfd90e1753882ab7a50e0a5f405b61a2db86f8422a779e355c3cb", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "637019", "token_id": "41901357708237118584313729261027657874621373325486663648640954008517926947624", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Charlie Kirk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a8d823f9c967fea88abfe7eb975c88b385e835ad0d68d2ffea8a2d7d74ccd274", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637019", "condition_id": "0xda9e24f8b6b8f71f02a79fe9d27348f6cbf2ff670cbef4afc58ae52fb4c8b1cb", "token_id": "41901357708237118584313729261027657874621373325486663648640954008517926947624", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6384c606f4e35e3ab417deaeb8c1717cec3eaf5bf8a68d081e5492ae677713d3", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "637002", "token_id": "96308556109755835434254900303426519652053230974356832970824534225192181988516", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Donald Trump", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b879beaddea8cb3aa96901abf17f5a2c729425d6de54580d58411312e8e97a40", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637002", "condition_id": "0x962e5b226a77266ab429029ee04665e8fcfeb10b91af593786ceab871d2e945f", "token_id": "96308556109755835434254900303426519652053230974356832970824534225192181988516", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b428b02c48e1f2603442ea26c2c790a6e61856d7b6b54441ad9212d6496bc696", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "637007", "token_id": "75607128808577269329357564425293012652006155264327001987967114873720422847762", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elon Musk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "63e919c6d7d29a84a2491874f2b0c9b15da8fc11895eb25344712c02487190bb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637007", "condition_id": "0x97115010af13666600dc8776dce48290f5c4c23d387a86a97f6b4b38561dd5af", "token_id": "75607128808577269329357564425293012652006155264327001987967114873720422847762", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d8b618bcff5a35db910acc7a4accd4c1dae3923fd3e7a427fe5b013efeae6e04", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "637006", "token_id": "110720206167890822616321575705807171983245849150110799188723045022216595670551", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Greta Thunberg", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d7570f91b37e1963e3ed0f0030ef2afae9ac0a935021c84330a3591add67a6fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637006", "condition_id": "0xdd84a0f9830eb540be5cd7a22bcaaa27aedced37c7994c480f95669a341f1c4e", "token_id": "110720206167890822616321575705807171983245849150110799188723045022216595670551", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aaa76e5c96bd651243d536720a6127f5079edbc3a3c23cfe67409173e7203b42", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "637009", "token_id": "71369127494310794272479391274205452287676771660414011081710844125846890526676", "outcome": "yes", "label": "International Court of Justice", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "231492e6da3ebcf4c5a36649c981304d759575d0e9bb2fb17ef846c7684d562c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637009", "condition_id": "0x36081a32ac369bad207447fa2bc5d6d663fb576e935178a4a297931ec571f5d1", "token_id": "71369127494310794272479391274205452287676771660414011081710844125846890526676", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a8bac077925bac30da2ca3643c01b842f87a0ee36f58f6d64f977e45d2b24615", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "637005", "token_id": "2514203837854735205913781359327052377275050226163878960745268210971566855346", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Julian Assange", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "548bb137879c808a9bd48b0a5bb0c31974aa68f6c3d0d9ae026ef756f955d6f8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637005", "condition_id": "0x0cfec4bdb5b2060bba705259a76c489a9b0cc36da5edad65ecd796f461a89af5", "token_id": "2514203837854735205913781359327052377275050226163878960745268210971566855346", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0f1ce197bb1ffac93fd477a6f174a2c082d839d2ce5c4f2d5ce5a15c3a854f01", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "637014", "token_id": "4817558919700430121831697879056774909752184660255737582917693916506064447935", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Khaled Mashal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "24a02786145fe0dd15cf86b2b6e5f3845b9b5e0e62066a671ad3d73b459b537a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637014", "condition_id": "0x05bd10e73dc1cef3f5305cae9cb015e62476c4f44a1744713611ca774cb96fcc", "token_id": "4817558919700430121831697879056774909752184660255737582917693916506064447935", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8ac8b86d203c63a0f84dbfa08c38ab212e9793fa6d54a7c3d913c33919a5c534", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "637020", "token_id": "99055846750090671053174250706531692511641252423756205459914574198871664904532", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mohammed bin Salman", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "be8f7c1ddf7a88a03f5538e4b73b8e81095b51c739502cb0d741c56c2be64c4f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637020", "condition_id": "0x8f77f96697dea0909edb2946e0eb866c08e9c2280964e70b1e5f25fcc0a747d0", "token_id": "99055846750090671053174250706531692511641252423756205459914574198871664904532", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2ea9089974b3e8d9b69a24a282d97fab989e22bea87e9c3087ac641f73e1f343", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "637021", "token_id": "95036065107529622997025744213041265776694292492123977042470465876649211394600", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Narendra Modi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2d895faad4d0c7a05cccc28ec645df9f6176ace9b9712b25e0f9a9e02a6b5372", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637021", "condition_id": "0xbe70d1b2d9c50c2d91f5f309417735f4238682239593a6a0bb1340188befb6cd", "token_id": "95036065107529622997025744213041265776694292492123977042470465876649211394600", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dcf631ce86864119cbbe43ec67a7a2ffd3143d756b8d3f1566d5a5b912df7f90", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "637003", "token_id": "113237755645921715758233944722306063215233909018006486973579082721270649678448", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pope Leo XIV", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4908e1e301482efc1f14702469387b28c7749377b057977dee649e7a69782917", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637003", "condition_id": "0xec2e51ebb99006172b05548fc53d6842d30c9c0cccaf4c34569f0431b94d4bfc", "token_id": "113237755645921715758233944722306063215233909018006486973579082721270649678448", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "32baf8baeb2de26b6268a9f5bbe074c9b4444635fcbabc92edac8713b95b3744", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "637016", "token_id": "85146181675473345857517501170400200068194836865848336579180316943778562621184", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "054c21fa0ef2c65db37b3f52fce481db849503d1904a589feab045799d60b915", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637016", "condition_id": "0x32146c285b1d126556a309e3eae227f614076c93c0b080bae4ed6aaf6b1e9e5f", "token_id": "85146181675473345857517501170400200068194836865848336579180316943778562621184", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bd51447c89b609a95722fc0dbdef60a0302e249a4b76b181ffeebfb92bc362cb", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "637012", "token_id": "38629843016683821271278712298908281184814663635088376266062295059246738422381", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "52969b9b3cd7cd8df66c0d36055e740fdecc83fe5f9358cd264e91541f11c8d3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637012", "condition_id": "0x720e7267b2bd49feeaed5cf254b5d5243aa4d5e4f2ac03e4a5cb1bd9eea8a6eb", "token_id": "38629843016683821271278712298908281184814663635088376266062295059246738422381", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8f1cfcd5fcc3ad6b9b21887945391da2d160e4cebbd02a3a08add0d37cc834b9", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "637008", "token_id": "44648805494496128018486302258584216672381875589441286537181971476979030040822", "outcome": "yes", "label": "UNRWA", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b3bbb6955932451532d588d2bc4616762dca0606a3eed804401c011a991d71bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637008", "condition_id": "0xb3fefe9667acca5ca31a8e330219dc67a01b374331d9bf4875357655a5508815", "token_id": "44648805494496128018486302258584216672381875589441286537181971476979030040822", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d4ebbddab56db1daaf1a8872cd85243329ad2bd0e98e5a7f85ab28e4331f3384", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "637013", "token_id": "3072654272549368438022392135276167382428661847959009954134234860002162565563", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Vladimir Putin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9cca39752d48f10587f99c3dec9901b923b3462e73893118a7b648c1c1696214", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637013", "condition_id": "0x1e7a7b53f33712909925d133f51a3454a97f8d39bb2651761c4ee44d580ae2df", "token_id": "3072654272549368438022392135276167382428661847959009954134234860002162565563", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bb63555025a4a3ac372e6aa0abab37d086fbb2f134b2fa6fba45f01ee9585acc", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "637011", "token_id": "69233785052194635705851216099911823720821171641039286350179421202360326472771", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Volodymyr Zelenskyy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2465fbb968a3d82614dc40e2034183cf906d722a20214f5a6763cae170ba2cde", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637011", "condition_id": "0xe2cd08587e1f67a41341994fc3ea053a8ed92b5258d42acf3d4448c75095eaa5", "token_id": "69233785052194635705851216099911823720821171641039286350179421202360326472771", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "83d6b5e7233d14607fbdfe827e5f46c239cdbb1defaff68d425073d9ef786d24", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "637017", "token_id": "43017540324415003826064618020596028072344969424808059974990020921868559630137", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Xi Jinping", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1f08b1a487b08d2ed53ee225eac095cfdb4417de145655216a2a4c59e743a68d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637017", "condition_id": "0x7f347ed733252dc7afbd91e28104e23651b81ef6d2ef6805c7915c22e89a69b5", "token_id": "43017540324415003826064618020596028072344969424808059974990020921868559630137", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7b4d5021b84d8ce5dfe2dc49afaf7795f28ad0bb8db76438c1d2abf768572290", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "637004", "token_id": "3494130919441794744300504897798612438496650716124466384425423765833752918969", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yulia Navalnaya", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "01ad909b82f78f05ae074ad5fff1e2a453fe8796659084d49f0b539f32f32e21", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "637004", "condition_id": "0xae76ef049f09b109cfb0a9bfa2335d7c9fde5bd262c64548b43308c810c314ec", "token_id": "3494130919441794744300504897798612438496650716124466384425423765833752918969", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.\n\nIf multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Benjamin Netanyahu, Vladimir Putin, or Elon Musk are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners and the prize is awarded jointly to at least one listed individual and at least one listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners and all listed recipients are of the same type (all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity\u2019s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.\n\nIf no official announcement regarding the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-10T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "60182", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "03a85bbd7f81c0691603e02e0192fa9e1dd4d1382616c95b3d0e115ed86a2f5c", "event_source_sha256": "5cdcbae06133f20efa92c6260f7d3dd12a16863c4ab5fdf7ca36fc7c308b4be2" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:659573", "title": "Ligue 1: 2027 Champion", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 18, "semantics_hash": "2d42421b0b624f2e37cd712edba211cfb418fca57b362c9384985ece6fd2867e", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2771642", "2771643", "2771644", "2771645", "2771646", "2771647", "2771648", "2771649", "2771650", "2771651", "2771652", "2771653", "2771654", "2771655", "2771656", "2771657", "2771658", "2771659", "2771660", "2771661", "2771662", "2771663" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:659573", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2771642", "token_id": "87476767883187735824313822930287143528414294910247172313409220674537453096062", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Angers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e14e56ee7cce38541578f329b8f761de07770d4c2db3e70796322c1426a7f422", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771642", "condition_id": "0x057ae4e9489d46ac9308b3fe57fee4b33ef5127a27f603d089e8a181ee0bcca9", "token_id": "87476767883187735824313822930287143528414294910247172313409220674537453096062", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Angers win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "37f498cd3d8bb83e579c4c96c98afe0707832344ac45bcfc6709334bf212b6eb", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2771643", "token_id": "102809639826831431283157974035458515748081891657717478370218340250458092238265", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Auxerre", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fc51fec26a490a699cff1b6cdc7d0f442af0fb53d414847428ec13eb1443c537", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771643", "condition_id": "0x27a8ae6f9891bf07cdb0370e2eba70b12c2a19a7c77c753609a5017612d18670", "token_id": "102809639826831431283157974035458515748081891657717478370218340250458092238265", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Auxerre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "feb2deae5d0bdb9ea4deaf3d545ad6aec665b5f165bba0ae41d1c71f88690c58", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2771644", "token_id": "52617815552525244225819332497849668136567168875783859064171891466048727460253", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Brest", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "969f0722002dd2dc60a865341e2bc40485950e5bbd5fb1a7529f22f375a623ba", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771644", "condition_id": "0x218cc7d77110af8b7a80aee4f0eed3490ce7cd6fbeb0d7517c88bfc82e56a3ad", "token_id": "52617815552525244225819332497849668136567168875783859064171891466048727460253", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Brest win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6afd0749f1571693ce07632ff2426ec4775b16511a6825c52dbfd9ed5021fa6f", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2771645", "token_id": "89400598676348395968871441036370476540350123134317468617788035007147112284285", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Le Havre", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "938a59655cf0212d34639f2eadc344802b8b61569c82b3a771fa9672baf35e16", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771645", "condition_id": "0x3b9625f57d03eecabe481b3fef63ae5a41c402685875a9bb9cda65fd8250ace2", "token_id": "89400598676348395968871441036370476540350123134317468617788035007147112284285", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Le Havre win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6348cd64f28f5969e3d8963e977cb2416caabafcd8365cb574774aaa7a9ef13d", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2771659", "token_id": "44652850406772454871549054778118419742530660535920754203573161627443782206242", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Le Mans", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d27578b855cb1b825c13c66688b6703df8205e28958bd01588820edfb4a72e96", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771659", "condition_id": "0x1d113c870f3f752ac0d50c6a534a3117eb4478eb9f8e2e9e564d1348e852bfbc", "token_id": "44652850406772454871549054778118419742530660535920754203573161627443782206242", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Le Mans win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "209d9bb7c0c4336098224073f56e5603e82ad7d2c9f3c138318861961b80d854", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2771646", "token_id": "53692415240243930993637371471330614755162126860505562559360809856726756936906", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lens", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "09b35604ecd0ae9dc38325ebb5a6047e36b4a9d287ce7fbeed02663179ffdd07", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771646", "condition_id": "0x650e996aa3551fd8ecd5819ecdf3fd03a231715d2992f3500b4005c982a67dc0", "token_id": "53692415240243930993637371471330614755162126860505562559360809856726756936906", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4d744b3758e556d59ca65c7d1e486ae5afa229863b40c864660e9a4bca309ffa", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2771647", "token_id": "45113645900771614863952524328702158026441239546240780003726220935301494690202", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lille", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "02d0751eea5cf7fedf21ee6f53d36f171be1826c07bfa6c068459e1856412a40", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771647", "condition_id": "0x071cf7b962db12ffc02bbcb02946d75907a6aaf77f679421c53766797a42d463", "token_id": "45113645900771614863952524328702158026441239546240780003726220935301494690202", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "df4d30bce87ace561a0a6d8631f65c10dd9dff7089637578587a59b9ac41dd51", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2771656", "token_id": "88181970015957633988756045921741183980717239955474584622736995522729436653933", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lorient", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e1973c9ceda0cc93eb71247965a3d881cf60c808870f4020f1d786c23f225545", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771656", "condition_id": "0x7e7cf3e1b837249771fd61e940c0aa0444bae3770af2dcb0c0b80de74f46dc4f", "token_id": "88181970015957633988756045921741183980717239955474584622736995522729436653933", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lorient win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ae61b1d06e9accfe762a04da2c77f4bb40c209033023cef905eebe1014f90545", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2771648", "token_id": "97298280955830781930306546689850651479127393879840789274828458481987817438399", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lyon", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "91c257ff7413ca8296a7014aa6fa966e56ab7a0a5f02dfc8c8dd228e8d801171", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771648", "condition_id": "0xfac54e7b2f02513939fb462481a830d293ee1f5a39b40b7a510ff0a90689c673", "token_id": "97298280955830781930306546689850651479127393879840789274828458481987817438399", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lyon win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8e745d6ecd93162369435709fc0743cd67a9d84e7e2e2d706e7e8f751dbfb7e6", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2771649", "token_id": "111414369217978002701181448591112928179901290825913578662245737585282516204677", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Marseille", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4137f2013622742144298e9d75c336f2803f1ca60f2c50a7086f64a65bcefeda", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771649", "condition_id": "0xf656e03398fa74ef5fe267c01cb375e1a3778d69fb499b800dae3ce83f3bdda3", "token_id": "111414369217978002701181448591112928179901290825913578662245737585282516204677", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9f323e5127d99efcc6aa6bf54d06643b18f8e38ba37870fcd514bf39ef7c1bf0", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2771650", "token_id": "68022606150256612327723311981264487199379510793613285924738094425744344697470", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Monaco", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0ff8e8ddf1d7b0f4620f0b1e5629265912d3bedf77f26570bc776b4266ae9907", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771650", "condition_id": "0xc80adeb9310ab49a681533204c59856668abc4c0cbcd4b9e0bc31145f0a43071", "token_id": "68022606150256612327723311981264487199379510793613285924738094425744344697470", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Monaco win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8939d1c5fceb9460c25e98192ca6716353e87db7d6a69a4435467bcf84358404", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2771651", "token_id": "22334647282473264829185746791700890479985640657727359698395776473390442856265", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nice", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b2cd46039df46b36d8bf7d42dcacbf92717d0795fcabd7c0e9d2011b29c48fe5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771651", "condition_id": "0x3f923910afb1fed6fcbdd1677f2c155699cae25eeb011d5b3faf21d4c466ed9a", "token_id": "22334647282473264829185746791700890479985640657727359698395776473390442856265", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nice win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cf41596724a13aab107e3bec91031eef3599553b0c94f7c5a37180b8ad153637", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2771657", "token_id": "100765064011562894589490437761615822647267588727738521153915012235454617282817", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Paris FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "47cf7ebedc48e53a38a61a3d33ec18a70ab4ca9b0b120bf13de8733df649f323", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771657", "condition_id": "0xe9c980eb74f549d70707338de5bc6d211c480daa9b26eed28c5a444806aea17b", "token_id": "100765064011562894589490437761615822647267588727738521153915012235454617282817", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Paris FC win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2c0ca9f36b0c006a28cc4ddc5192480b8b806e8a4bbd481eb6b2bba56aeb974d", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2771652", "token_id": "92246328562240089384474835445688219606997651896071452249894684219516278032639", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Paris Saint-Germain", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a23432ca5fa77b78250f4ada3ec0a132bfd3b939ff06d46db96d126b8368537f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771652", "condition_id": "0x2cf1d3add82128e953811f4412f6e0f34776fe3c4b60f4f4b8b61ef3b7745b28", "token_id": "92246328562240089384474835445688219606997651896071452249894684219516278032639", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "041dbe2e66fea3829ae12a08e4cefbbd326c8f0d4de73230ac5594f71f93396f", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2771653", "token_id": "17901750066308462811029638851439834476861007510493453327586391587499915476797", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rennes", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b45d138ad709ef5dab391de5b42190e81a77e3ac252b1c4da8ff688578ee8eda", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771653", "condition_id": "0x2fdbea7eecf24e47765c5a0e3c943591eebf20f4cece08c22a7d321864db74f8", "token_id": "17901750066308462811029638851439834476861007510493453327586391587499915476797", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rennes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bc9bfe9b7e06b4baedd9599f6509534b429c3b65a1b1013c2e980818009cd634", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2771654", "token_id": "1061905306519699666758052716575076929702396679094133516420345803999168244385", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Strasbourg", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "998e5fe837a2da38e5b2ee320320d210905aaa3d46f4f2018c3ee7210908b229", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771654", "condition_id": "0x440de65f84e13eacc8287c23c036c041ddd6924c491e48ae85259a1ece116173", "token_id": "1061905306519699666758052716575076929702396679094133516420345803999168244385", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Strasbourg win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9057e2723af838ed769ec5589d0a74f9eb1fe8fedbad86fa93356581c18a7b39", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2771655", "token_id": "79562257424223626252711416561801422831303122005844079836764737262525493642508", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Toulouse", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b75b75265c0cc49dc3d3ebe2c18e965ae66dd471b334dfd0efdb797527a12b15", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771655", "condition_id": "0x5eb7c052282c7c90ec3a8c119495e9587fc555d14c875043c9f6669d9dba62da", "token_id": "79562257424223626252711416561801422831303122005844079836764737262525493642508", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Toulouse win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0dda3bbeaf6969816f060946294ac6a08a3afe6b22e7ecab4744b43ca6a65272", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2771658", "token_id": "23305228581941653957127993587091787032487479790296980346318534524303536573587", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Troyes", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2f55f2f9c121ce734a42a26b7408c6a3d9e34e57359ad3936ef551fe062af1d7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2771658", "condition_id": "0xe221bef7b5e3b3314c845bec23aa499976b2ae6b7e575013814973ccc4cac00d", "token_id": "23305228581941653957127993587091787032487479790296980346318534524303536573587", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Troyes win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship.\n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "659573", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "99223c509b19240a5a30f2f51707a01804391f4a1e8d6871c0fd075706f87bc3", "event_source_sha256": "dfd7983420f3b229e7feb6934070da42edd726b8421e2ccb342d3988e4358d75" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:830755", "title": "Next Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 12, "semantics_hash": "fcd035a73f1bb80e40248dee3fa1c98643747e10fb062e32bf330dfd05058a97", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3504098", "3504099", "3504100", "3504101", "3504102", "3504103", "3504104", "3504105", "3504106", "3504107", "3504108", "3504109", "3504110", "3504111", "3504112", "3504113", "3504114", "3504115", "3504116", "3504117", "3504118", "3504119", "3504120", "3504121", "3504122", "3504123", "3504124", "3504125", "3504126", "3504127", "3504128", "3504129", "3504130", "3504131", "3504132" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:830755", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3504107", "token_id": "111588350111463709393039482850745808366675544014158049508899086166971067329035", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Andr\u00e9 Schr\u00f6der", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "62e4902df9472e87b3d6768629ddf14ad937913491cb8aad9a4915a6a29b0d74", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504107", "condition_id": "0x4b3f68f89e0ea2e0899668c1a6a52c4d7deddaa56e9650447e8025a6717aad8e", "token_id": "111588350111463709393039482850745808366675544014158049508899086166971067329035", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Andr\u00e9 Schr\u00f6der be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8e8e8cc5dda252fdbf2348a83a8b980ca3f0529572d5936243e6f085c191df67", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3504100", "token_id": "54578145740991627106776358224370605288925176372880063456056568320620965462817", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Armin Willingmann", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "17d6b052d7bde83c65e9a01488056d978594c17d70ad06232215b25735cde956", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504100", "condition_id": "0x3afc9dd478897e89e37d059dbcecc9fef19f08b5e8574492b54a4a374c152663", "token_id": "54578145740991627106776358224370605288925176372880063456056568320620965462817", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Armin Willingmann be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4ff4b7eabca4639269ba6b94bb50b8f7f0be3497e7a4cc734a8739811bc2aa97", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3504104", "token_id": "20626950709341027056667113029261080384466598855655814993644643196236036984110", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Claudia Wittig", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "12a1814fa366b5dc9d8c385f5f7841387c78b046ccda5a0d0693ff34cfc56676", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504104", "condition_id": "0xd22e8b8cc8fe699e958dee16554c3889f7d22f7c24a82f31618620f814840ffc", "token_id": "20626950709341027056667113029261080384466598855655814993644643196236036984110", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Claudia Wittig be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7239ac6a4a2c9d81c5f6ef4047fc9b9ba86bb4b8b69afc0cedbdb5ac019a57c9", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3504101", "token_id": "78722425691369813786208751473034567635962330701467921573367112741912614670924", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Eva von Angern", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ecf095d7c3b6737bb1644c97bb153151f13b471dcaa44397e456394790c0f4a2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504101", "condition_id": "0x11ae3564eaabc3db9b0bc544aa2b17e780f168f8946c18b6ce314d7c61501f51", "token_id": "78722425691369813786208751473034567635962330701467921573367112741912614670924", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Eva von Angern be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2cfab0066d741b6c287a6f08e2abf2141bc4d0f33f7dd0c6e7b9455a58ea0a44", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3504109", "token_id": "96530402323422283691988893157008499016895435376518966803021227338899506634844", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Franziska Weidinger", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3cccf3980bbeb506523bb6d3bc01b52ba8db7f57080d8d117c521f9c6007045a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504109", "condition_id": "0x9c9387a57d57052eb42b84983a6fe0cf7cbd09a26b06857654805508d027e17e", "token_id": "96530402323422283691988893157008499016895435376518966803021227338899506634844", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Franziska Weidinger be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1fc4d6217da2ecf30b7039e028c214458e1bdad91bab18cc58ee8a78bc733626", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3504103", "token_id": "82451962526530462535375098208539738219674916731136549206035379681344463612683", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lydia H\u00fcskens", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d65c4cb5b90bc1d2d9f66bf91879f2f60ff41cece8d14d02a8aef97e814ef944", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504103", "condition_id": "0x644f72e152a4e937d91142eee3195540214c416e46265352fbd1b01f4b0d54cd", "token_id": "82451962526530462535375098208539738219674916731136549206035379681344463612683", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lydia H\u00fcskens be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d329c23c4cafe8e0597661be41239c99a875a06b0c284006147499523455af5d", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3504106", "token_id": "56716527048384748439412680129097131141260592770992696762462471572263105790344", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sepp M\u00fcller", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2b39a169cf11f8ca8c3dd210f7fa31c846167944352e77d70f9b4320b5c3ea27", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504106", "condition_id": "0xadc89bc065d1a6bd618695bbe484cc5c319bdcd00626cbe001d5aceadc002091", "token_id": "56716527048384748439412680129097131141260592770992696762462471572263105790344", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sepp M\u00fcller be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4c46f674f3f3d6601a79844055ec248277ad7dd0d768e4e3a462ee40f674a185", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3504102", "token_id": "68358667243090222654962860067188318440044832310978995993024370509453957400888", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1358fb0c3f5af1f32161386e2256a056f297917ec513750d17b3885cf96a3ffd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504102", "condition_id": "0xaa0f9028bf921d40c7ccbe857f0db9466d401352c120290f24f20bfbf0c403e2", "token_id": "68358667243090222654962860067188318440044832310978995993024370509453957400888", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Susan Sziborra-Seidlitz be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aeddee76b144faedd2b6fdadd8636d593e1fdc45976e674a2471aadd608f81e9", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3504099", "token_id": "74992885723500969082099636683734690315873034944073788160350685586140474641412", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sven Schulze", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1c9120a0c35725c162db744630bb06eae906f123b9bc0dde07e66307a9842019", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504099", "condition_id": "0xd4a0412f91ddb4bb4062bf563c360cb2645adce35c1395a6d5bf439afe9cd6ac", "token_id": "74992885723500969082099636683734690315873034944073788160350685586140474641412", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5ceeecd1993b39362e7b6acd01ca926c436585a41d25c215b81aaddd37e9a7ec", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3504108", "token_id": "10523234052825086087110923072192608395220295336429609567652992597752164873964", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tamara Zieschang", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "871bf6c652efe20d7f5415c09cb08dcbc313fe38a640d161c29573de4f604e39", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504108", "condition_id": "0xb2fc7f50fbd1042b9c07437140d20358472b96e74dbeaa1b979f4d326d0e8aa4", "token_id": "10523234052825086087110923072192608395220295336429609567652992597752164873964", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tamara Zieschang be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6422701c891325f17485fec971f4506963ea2ef65b7095be0f7e2929ee529ee9", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3504105", "token_id": "96287292280816156254238189870657468724875675947472973776347140484947732739188", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Thomas Schulze", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "349a85b9607f4e965efc5ef70a54c8b97d21fe7ad71bc0b47f9fd0383d5069bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504105", "condition_id": "0xe774e73bb94565c5997a82e7c873d2ad7474b13ebb89f8a94d5c8f62962e4aff", "token_id": "96287292280816156254238189870657468724875675947472973776347140484947732739188", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Thomas Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "469a6aabfc081437dc535030ce26496034d58c3ae0a5c72f42e16c2713e9a18c", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3504098", "token_id": "89412363520320292775393527123928064360465929570689477273645914506192139825240", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ulrich Siegmund", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9f12c2e4f0147845a5f55f3a37f0d2b0ef9739d74643a09c18d8ee127c72d9b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3504098", "condition_id": "0x87335e877a46e289636d66bda62f4e950dd2e3b63ade63ed8481b34c06349b1a", "token_id": "89412363520320292775393527123928064360465929570689477273645914506192139825240", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpr\u00e4sident of Sachsen-Anhalt following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Chief Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chief Minister takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-06T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "76409e4199fbb9e5086bb57dee8616cf7b916d852a7f46bfba226256e45b5fdc", "event_source_sha256": "7225d973a20775a86c7d0f190145f38a3d1f4bf878daaa42d9c37e8108b1b5f8" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986741", "title": "Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "3415257df4635794f70a9fe349832cc5c745fd58f1194da5a906690000124e64", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356514", "4356515", "4356516", "4356517", "4356518", "4356519", "4356520", "4356521", "4356522", "4356523", "4356524" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986741", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356514", "token_id": "14785690377101893190813702244161238229135502445222782982576963514363607411997", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f0ac19e11822f231237c27337ddd21a2eadfaf43d63dd14f1e188123df256806", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356514", "condition_id": "0x4388ebde51e08888e3089e8c739b4053797d2a490200a057bfb4314aa9996b68", "token_id": "14785690377101893190813702244161238229135502445222782982576963514363607411997", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c5cef794e13212db3c943a5063e6a7dd118dc95625debe5a37abc60395648ab7", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356515", "token_id": "70386076269481301500393498666656326901244150046008056738507078599179366943380", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3d23923f29841beba585e8fc88b30152679c0219aee0014595dc4d8b0f445692", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356515", "condition_id": "0x6b49e93715de31a6835049267a7be444092d7f93170c7f4fc18ee800c2840cc6", "token_id": "70386076269481301500393498666656326901244150046008056738507078599179366943380", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cc4d570daf63eb7a3a252c0bc8ef2744c14fc9f8dd83b18477bac6b10746d112", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356516", "token_id": "29138506667394722690741173530054331444040314170459803102150569697653388015279", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3ba4f1e783ef970493cc8e06e890fc6c0e0748495a5c85b8d6e882406e6b4385", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356516", "condition_id": "0x80802e4f018be2ce9734a60691beeab5e4c26cda0fd4e8ca17e06ce420f99fba", "token_id": "29138506667394722690741173530054331444040314170459803102150569697653388015279", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1479a85a2b51bcfac63a4dab54c5ee3efd4e7d374551dd49953a474c947d378d", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356517", "token_id": "93632039102567721031635358199217405225342977680546838198873138431890267319266", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ee889cf6cf6f9b1bdf500f8b948ae0c3cf96e709580ba1b7b230098f6a096e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356517", "condition_id": "0x2e839ee9dbb0ab9d11361d8e35422f39c7ffaead6237a3cf73a7abbaa9cc39f9", "token_id": "93632039102567721031635358199217405225342977680546838198873138431890267319266", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bf710fb6417c373e7a1b1702b378b4dc3a5fde471c14a66c73d248032a7a3144", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356518", "token_id": "104195011819567315458509032273608450449969917026924591125658670961935682356504", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "789499504b96719e5ab0aeb13cbbbd84e1a9ebff08b55f7c136509a589cd319a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356518", "condition_id": "0x9db30540be3d9d3872299c34875795d15e8f2440291b3dd8fbfdb2d62a08cbec", "token_id": "104195011819567315458509032273608450449969917026924591125658670961935682356504", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "89b7b50f253def87170f4fec9dfc7ba01a04e9578cb9c526a2997d48bad99065", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356519", "token_id": "109699682932172580782926169869667000167097003518607685147844925690487328047834", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0b92b793c5676548796753ebad974c8501c1d5cdd6bea700011a2f34c6501c30", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356519", "condition_id": "0x0814e8720cfa75b7803024a4e995ee78d657fe54c6d1190723769e132665ddee", "token_id": "109699682932172580782926169869667000167097003518607685147844925690487328047834", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7faf0d7f424ae24eacf082aae86226aad71aa6b0f4659a8ff9cefa6f0e3a8dc1", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356520", "token_id": "64348772449153259313176605869269905405589369697882035552509021050051652214690", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9e021d8fd2a10af2889e6994c4cf885b3e00cde8bb8315e629351ca2b5bf09e9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356520", "condition_id": "0x4d2d016d6be764d11b22784184a0fdce12e06cf290066ae67da7cb9388b9654d", "token_id": "64348772449153259313176605869269905405589369697882035552509021050051652214690", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dd9aafebd4cb9aecbdbe8639770c16eb19fb110ac6023cce527390f83c84b5c3", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356521", "token_id": "114877476229359876362525478292146310562196930942470748316414440600940398780091", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7df375d62490170acaab664e5447f03552ec0e00aca8f3d107b73c722d3bd547", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356521", "condition_id": "0xd7598a8b3104ecb971896db529c133b33b141d94935aecd8ea73f39b7a791ef8", "token_id": "114877476229359876362525478292146310562196930942470748316414440600940398780091", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "de8e9946eec62eedd7001e54eae5c371696d358b04458bd869470112323f5346", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356522", "token_id": "60637905837911219876932323656139751953899103824274544937401938630410278506159", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb805c46680a18ce4012d67e30b10989b984bd907f9983b949e9b7d7e34279d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356522", "condition_id": "0xfc49f4a3371747d52d896724d394a21543faacc6894b22d794af9be939126f8b", "token_id": "60637905837911219876932323656139751953899103824274544937401938630410278506159", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ed9cd11d014a00f2cc6caee74de260a7336cc74d27adae844e67de4c60f5a551", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356523", "token_id": "15005663282056789121083616752608396315577340179427761846061115757490575561437", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fdd0e179f280818a153d9ce9f084013091271447832ca52cb3bb6dff6cb18105", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356523", "condition_id": "0x33e2008de70cfa662e426421e096eabade97e37423a398e053b7d5a0040fb60c", "token_id": "15005663282056789121083616752608396315577340179427761846061115757490575561437", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3a17738af13d7f6bb7797ebc7e1a2c14d4ab27cc141edf34b75eb14c91cdf0c3", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356524", "token_id": "32576312314918672058912041226590084650690891068028067378776902198693305035581", "outcome": "yes", "label": "37\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9e45e31c4bd1886b7b14437e061afe89694d3baf97abc929eed5df9a43c673a7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356524", "condition_id": "0xe25d6635af4bf764ac4a44ad5fa538d235472569d305cb7ff086e4ed3eed696a", "token_id": "32576312314918672058912041226590084650690891068028067378776902198693305035581", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986741", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6d826615a9de0c2defed4258fc5c10b04de2d92c9bdf25239463db209e9c5335", "event_source_sha256": "4f8498a17bc764cd4289bfa673a15af08dac6f78633a1391053ee8ba6c298f4d" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987249", "title": "Highest temperature in Austin on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "cd573a46bbd223517a1bf50bd9e05f8449de7b01d1c16040c64e9da4e925eb9c", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4359155", "4359156", "4359157", "4359158", "4359159", "4359160", "4359161", "4359162", "4359163", "4359164", "4359165" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987249", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4359161", "token_id": "61020752225750276961533996706137058863948306309582255082186166852527209449983", "outcome": "yes", "label": "100-101\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "907396db19d03d57724de01cb80957bbe28be83d5b4c47f9a98f4e49b79589ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359161", "condition_id": "0x9a6cfbc143d8d97fb6b3072654299f05f6acf21dcd6cec0820c9dc13b6df1a4d", "token_id": "61020752225750276961533996706137058863948306309582255082186166852527209449983", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dcb81e77592785a1b723e67e62948535971155206d063018abdc62504bb1f705", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4359162", "token_id": "79363660365683499738127990829500309028829596384613260607057565480864233850767", "outcome": "yes", "label": "102-103\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "20dd95ae2cf992f4cf6330fd0a37cd049ddde640f6572fbbe8b9353ec30579bf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359162", "condition_id": "0xa7589916a0e094223c46dcfa4f9e16ff534010b588abf6e11dcafaa09dda250f", "token_id": "79363660365683499738127990829500309028829596384613260607057565480864233850767", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0908cd3778c877dbbfe5af4211b0628e97fffdf58283f7641b26c07f5a48ccc3", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4359163", "token_id": "80748333656809236678728996429074720065826039522744861486959675719531599493873", "outcome": "yes", "label": "104-105\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "195cf6ca65ebcf035f334075555a3d9fb6df65e92d9346e0efca2534365f45ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359163", "condition_id": "0xdb6664c566a413e151a184b1804a0c35c32068bd68fba6af40a02cf1f2045699", "token_id": "80748333656809236678728996429074720065826039522744861486959675719531599493873", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "98f133c20204d8d17c74e6e1c45b1741dcc272990a5e4251f6b2947905c97d99", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4359164", "token_id": "10638376272003045494534097094831052629016933585357292620288952177831840761553", "outcome": "yes", "label": "106-107\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "656d07424ced67a616936ac06240852b3554b5fc30c6d9e39e637d01fefdf35e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359164", "condition_id": "0xbc977233d3423b06c6ff51c1e72d54e6235e6f7e5fa022aa9bd2c4705c95ddff", "token_id": "10638376272003045494534097094831052629016933585357292620288952177831840761553", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "29828abb0058c93382b28b748a7bf76cea2fab7576cd02ae81197337cccd1175", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4359165", "token_id": "105339211466642793516731261216185022248361861838420437288583587212471087263043", "outcome": "yes", "label": "108\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fafcecbebe0b47d42ae8e878bb343cf9b648fb03bf75d4d32bcd80b3f041af7a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359165", "condition_id": "0xe2541bc6e957d0d8f4b8b4130460da603c7a28824694584c26dffd172be1f681", "token_id": "105339211466642793516731261216185022248361861838420437288583587212471087263043", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "44c41d529ad10e69aa9efcace6b9f7f1c81a734e1518cce0a57a1ffe9cc21915", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4359155", "token_id": "31442748601494127496539031231809126287326391823981193333752355644110717545108", "outcome": "yes", "label": "89\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b26d5b49f49132a200a339db2e5d5abcdded6907b447a4fcc6531e3de41aeb91", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359155", "condition_id": "0xaca9086abdd0da795d51c2fa3d1943ad20b309bc2cab41ac7975f8639467d3dc", "token_id": "31442748601494127496539031231809126287326391823981193333752355644110717545108", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be 89\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "925434b9fe96e51171139181b5efff10d89d1a44f0cb8339ed0c779977ded976", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4359156", "token_id": "51795048336907326119186474931610962007025330176177622297159120102753893639005", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ff82cbda0ed2f8355d817cbe50dd4104b15e30be5c87e658ea161e671ec3065", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359156", "condition_id": "0x7f8b7ee54eb3668c46b0dce36b3c63b023a1e22d757fe5734d31ec6caa2839f2", "token_id": "51795048336907326119186474931610962007025330176177622297159120102753893639005", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ee3da77fb5085c4b8de68603e350be7a070be524583eacf0e7ad3a5f64f79001", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4359157", "token_id": "39503570417461022398133656947509744706298205408299131258072490856990743491958", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "81707a6891a3ba9a688d22cf7e44d95d161d72dd13518355a284c8e92f2162d7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359157", "condition_id": "0xf90ba02f07e6acf08679c543e6853ef0aa13ae219b704d9034c57da680cb24cd", "token_id": "39503570417461022398133656947509744706298205408299131258072490856990743491958", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d12388658b5882a41d28fd94971c4090617e10c233272671034cc02f53c51ba0", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4359158", "token_id": "5913647106393563805265052271140587544942939455584606242693095026580526578088", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94-95\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f8551437dc9c618911a5bcebdb1425055e0d05f493d7d52f69e08ee4c54d8198", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359158", "condition_id": "0x2c126546463ae23f8049eeb3e1a91de9c8631e234a33a316404a381b35d0047e", "token_id": "5913647106393563805265052271140587544942939455584606242693095026580526578088", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "56c387251aa6552d36edd7bd2ca348d49c320cc4ad83410a8b573700cbc04a54", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4359159", "token_id": "55451914103561779022769061993374789967199603561330353359015538446469250234202", "outcome": "yes", "label": "96-97\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e27a2a86e9c1b43e6fd17c0b350d51149c5510f7bc9d5ec4992f2b910638c7ff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359159", "condition_id": "0xdf7f75a629d11b597b29d6ada5822bd55817a3d2022b767eab1628dc7504bd58", "token_id": "55451914103561779022769061993374789967199603561330353359015538446469250234202", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "caf69bc8f6a44884c9c92525ca9e15522810b98264b1fc8daf4c3d5d15d304eb", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4359160", "token_id": "97033725548458363946590828124202122409753966654611956309463056126948228256622", "outcome": "yes", "label": "98-99\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e1df9d680fbed6d4876b19204bea5db7d6fb53ffece4b8d892063da592934d1f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359160", "condition_id": "0xe4613cf3d293797273fa4daf6717f97f93a1160e9a28dd79b222dc9dc870228c", "token_id": "97033725548458363946590828124202122409753966654611956309463056126948228256622", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4d2b3cabb48e77119070ea089efe179e1a5bb199123a569318b9d08246cd00e3", "event_source_sha256": "a9eb75567d78b3d62567d406ff484d712116b4addc34af0e24c8952f16fffbfa" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:200782", "title": "MLS Cup Winner 2026", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 30, "semantics_hash": "358057033a18e65d18cef8fcd080a0b7496194e396926d426add6125d58802d8", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1349143", "1349144", "1349145", "1349146", "1349147", "1349148", "1349149", "1349150", "1349151", "1349152", "1349153", "1349154", "1349155", "1349156", "1349157", "1349158", "1349159", "1349160", "1349161", "1349162", "1349163", "1349164", "1349165", "1349166", "1349167", "1349168", "1349169", "1349170", "1349171", "1349172", "1389918" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:200782", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1349143", "token_id": "98860253812823050063139637560732946426096668703679673601434971154563134664716", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Atlanta United FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "16deb8421beb208991104a6bb85af155a18bbdf9937b3faf10e9e6901c78af0b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349143", "condition_id": "0x4fc98f65d07f52afbf73e4fd3bcf6901f2fa2391a208e22e200e89332934b34f", "token_id": "98860253812823050063139637560732946426096668703679673601434971154563134664716", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f3b8479ef1d42bb6b7e6432f40ccdd4efb072ac191045a4231e490a47213dd57", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1349144", "token_id": "105542566695304445999109338936258060254747699547624769683563292779086534879492", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Austin FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f630e09045d86f93137d4bec6cfc8073d302ea3e14945ad2d94b64032eb7b1b4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349144", "condition_id": "0x20ab2877f9ce57868952b77327276b849ba052e5114ca724d600984505e3dbed", "token_id": "105542566695304445999109338936258060254747699547624769683563292779086534879492", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6f946d418a94332d97e4cd59ed5aeda882119b52107c17df48d18f76d01cd164", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1349157", "token_id": "65275287896624388647278884827442443176110617715575477423763689486312628980983", "outcome": "yes", "label": "CF Montr\u00e9al", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ae6b26fd7bb516e5f482c888133ab72d4ce4b6813e9fbe91e540fe1530f61cf9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349157", "condition_id": "0xb4c20e4b46aaf7ab65f74179d70de44bbd3734937d05da6e39d722a18f4b3646", "token_id": "65275287896624388647278884827442443176110617715575477423763689486312628980983", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will CF Montr\u00e9al win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a0c41ceb6ffd3885e5ae457a4066dc7e67cd6733b4a9bf454a6452a0db8b1c7d", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1349145", "token_id": "64915347545172379244677979694997883696947214572976500616776600777820871917355", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Charlotte FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "016aaaaf69114aa9120ce3b6abec3ea9b141cb94248e134c0bc87057f2eaee8c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349145", "condition_id": "0xdd40580b22ac93932fdae14c22d6c59a05e02ebf2313ce3eebe60ebf16ad425e", "token_id": "64915347545172379244677979694997883696947214572976500616776600777820871917355", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ef4a0b39773577037695513e2fc719be98a8f70f23d2d233ab23e1b2760a6b26", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1349146", "token_id": "26148898339757666694155421496521780768550747480153801072310040445194666570115", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chicago Fire FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "584b9c6b859868d347522430b89121eca39fbad1a243b39a35c2f3011c2c249d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349146", "condition_id": "0x56a64fe9092457dd13b7a99083695e1d1cd0088b3ae562ceece4ae1911aa3c46", "token_id": "26148898339757666694155421496521780768550747480153801072310040445194666570115", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2fca9c7c0c04ba9c06239c363313308f80e32c901e66668c1a912643b3979e48", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1349148", "token_id": "25425790535689273122788127075979672980859799745980461310223009479658392548915", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Colorado Rapids", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "05438faba868852ad6fad83c9fa55dcd36b895eeb1e720b2f9dcd7e25a2d0c93", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349148", "condition_id": "0xf7b1b44658d158d01922745364ca2734fc4c24ed5f0ba165fde0264eb81b607f", "token_id": "25425790535689273122788127075979672980859799745980461310223009479658392548915", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Colorado Rapids win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7be6fc77045d9b7888cfc9ac91e6b1f9991242ebba16e4344f00cafb0e51560e", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1349149", "token_id": "115329875096232213541480053358370427380078167716854938204948516737804645441006", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Columbus Crew", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "626aaec44c103315f2e8e715c59fc9cebd1e324a5722298b6a3959ea380677d5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349149", "condition_id": "0xbbee2a1565cdd53ac3fceee4bdcfee23e9ec63f8222295bd7d08a457a3caa222", "token_id": "115329875096232213541480053358370427380078167716854938204948516737804645441006", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6ec3c2b7ac76eb4a8d37d3246d6438fa4d93fdb435a66ffe6a5a1f402769e637", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1349151", "token_id": "25494902896741597760057093313223680183028458624297276233011304606652943976108", "outcome": "yes", "label": "D.C. United", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "21814dd90dd21eed872f116100f853781b1b3d6ce8c461833919a5f49f29d1c7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349151", "condition_id": "0xfc34e75773ed0ca6791db803af9ace2651c04810c3d33daa79ad3ca6e01ea082", "token_id": "25494902896741597760057093313223680183028458624297276233011304606652943976108", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will D.C. United win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a205e4c40c437301da1dbbb860351e1beb7981d3d9ebb45c617dbc435545e26b", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1349147", "token_id": "75285015642705921283826475061000469389504675970711082633420980122630210889079", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Cincinnati", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8a433cf6f57a1f6f0e06ab2788594d744bd8be8ef7c0b70e3cf6da08f562295a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349147", "condition_id": "0xea96140746679016b3b848b6e690b2dba05c1be1bac6db282d94413b2f28d303", "token_id": "75285015642705921283826475061000469389504675970711082633420980122630210889079", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "908f6cff543f5a90be607e9fcb13c899c1164536806d9046db4f470e2da2fbbb", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1349150", "token_id": "85186607695790882958983542611083554598869917573491880520954590525861297957988", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Dallas", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "06c6d478e55d689c80e59baabbbd0db041a1f7c4e310c0eac9f5b91fee46661b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349150", "condition_id": "0xfd400a600d2344802c8d2bd19bd837e94e7dae1d37a1057254442d8a3db0936c", "token_id": "85186607695790882958983542611083554598869917573491880520954590525861297957988", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c9d2ebf1f63f743de90dc770a8b25a1d11704c1c5f65a87a8eb8c44f7ffea13c", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "1349152", "token_id": "74963317185672343815171297683853564963785391939128567686323305759457296068805", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Houston Dynamo FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3eaa1ccc99b4b498f97c264e30874512665c34c776c7de94a2e899a0e940ce36", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349152", "condition_id": "0xe5d244c625a3e56d5c09a50114f145834ce71e679ffb5a217471f0f84f2f3a50", "token_id": "74963317185672343815171297683853564963785391939128567686323305759457296068805", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8e7c6ad926995f26792a75f865e59dbf824e90c5a4eeafddc7ff309dc9b16a89", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "1349156", "token_id": "34215103566839885910350774244658713146768366751315354196689270332803814839943", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Inter Miami CF", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "78c89d21c30b348a6169afd6b2de9132b0adc48c18fcde9d4e37114085890891", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349156", "condition_id": "0x484d3e1f00df54f5084984da97d330cfc1a898f952d7fe87278944b459864ba9", "token_id": "34215103566839885910350774244658713146768366751315354196689270332803814839943", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d5c604c2fb1689b3d16f9eedc4504753c5c00ff47180cb7aa1a834ccf4fc2758", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "1349153", "token_id": "56570559631898088334485137293549744529572983136696668409236012772148056003526", "outcome": "yes", "label": "LA Galaxy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6dfedb514ae8aa38b607da28ab74e98765dab4779a4aa01260bf16367c77bb1c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349153", "condition_id": "0xe895f9e797814789851381b8d794c38582879c8298e652b45a519825ce7ccc92", "token_id": "56570559631898088334485137293549744529572983136696668409236012772148056003526", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "de77e93455ad637873205b8679c6c48b894d7bc27b8857327d95c8be214a0b45", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "1349154", "token_id": "59710720946541122485125952194316460399027337976519673598882936581712402413955", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Los Angeles FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b664c776476d0ad661235a4f1da2f32f506ae2498c868a7dcf45a3e936e37d0d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349154", "condition_id": "0xfa4b4e1b72cbe5f2ed5dcdca162b16bc77d1c15575ad16fc03f41cb78d72e0f8", "token_id": "59710720946541122485125952194316460399027337976519673598882936581712402413955", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "93697ee1e4552fe2d812bf5ffd42433b64e863ab4169d80d4742c8cbd19db33e", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "1349155", "token_id": "108071188042572154558347189583927423989661732645929795404813077328380747535256", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Minnesota United FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4db8d871c419bb3ea250e9ea1dd3e3609a69f430c4e8c20a0bbf22dbc9bb0546", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349155", "condition_id": "0x0c71de9a9203b356c56f6e100a7cd166d5a38cfd0ec726adce6f4e2746b70040", "token_id": "108071188042572154558347189583927423989661732645929795404813077328380747535256", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7910ca8e400361bb47def829a4318181e130b5049a7b8bdadc39fc0932e40b24", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "1349158", "token_id": "24353565352056625945923727154002889487458189444080290090757501005828429906938", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nashville SC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b6e6486a2c2b38d40f89b17844a44bc997668accc0418c0298eee2e08afb37f2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349158", "condition_id": "0xbdb8bebb7a28a35d1a3f87d1340404b664c9bd5d32127ff71664a44ddde5da6b", "token_id": "24353565352056625945923727154002889487458189444080290090757501005828429906938", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7d2d2ea77044308274b853817f17d6196a60221256a5775bbe08d931de9af363", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "1349159", "token_id": "107533603002710440585653266323870317543611623404586800306244787050627602735148", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New England Revolution", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "16f01a1c3d479bbac4961f8bc527e5d53b583b2b98a29c54dff7f93703c8e9f0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349159", "condition_id": "0x5857e76789a0741fcc37372b6ced835089d02ddb391d1aba99e5e3df7bc9e418", "token_id": "107533603002710440585653266323870317543611623404586800306244787050627602735148", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cba5e616efecdae5ffa355d8691df2e4ece93274f2ef933dfa557b16b460cf04", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "1349160", "token_id": "1849645670235846302638615955399133944668519404888215976871708427234153927144", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New York City FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bfcf7eb289754a77d31413aa900100240607bc50d44c4c0aa2cef89c91f34a93", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349160", "condition_id": "0xda7193e2495d3a9a68c31665d23f516bda7ddc8fe18a81f7dc56798873610236", "token_id": "1849645670235846302638615955399133944668519404888215976871708427234153927144", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3d155025f62e31fca8739d983386f097f02eb4f1600096299cee7b97ea751423", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "1349161", "token_id": "82869736673978628341408110431380578209365274504783262856560259213366394978235", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New York Red Bulls", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "afa8ddd7093623427f45a9c854ad145f008c6feccf845b85dd7d0a8f69557aec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349161", "condition_id": "0xc83ebc94c95d2c127a1948e60d5dd517d53c998c23731334c2d17eccfda872e4", "token_id": "82869736673978628341408110431380578209365274504783262856560259213366394978235", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a016b2a2a7944fd83ca13fac52e31f153291fd338cf6a6626c6ba0fb6d2c843d", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "1349162", "token_id": "74397828296323343196166047694283985077132677648825859176663063495649543850250", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orlando City SC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "16bdf98f99a580e7c7e770c61e78c22d0bc8bc44f2a977107c89cda0590ab1dd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349162", "condition_id": "0x4a08c641f9dea7e6b8366cc6cef5758e955552051aef4bdc7d5f50c7ae1066b0", "token_id": "74397828296323343196166047694283985077132677648825859176663063495649543850250", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "eff7c8a0349ed9cde7788230db8979dd486744928ddaea76f69a023ec167cc76", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "1349163", "token_id": "65469798507889404285915381033521409591820878438645793816841098411494558332643", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Philadelphia Union", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "33f53d9fb5c6fc5e573460dc9d05e91576602dae883dc0671dffdfe83ad2b0a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349163", "condition_id": "0x453030e67b67b385dd40b3211850a7a451235d8f8ed041589ed387d28252692b", "token_id": "65469798507889404285915381033521409591820878438645793816841098411494558332643", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2b6126a80d28fcea715b9e92ae15d7fe34cb9f72f402a32f2c3918c40d03ed27", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "1349164", "token_id": "76578478031149931955253532632469941778395228075447577152401418956564345303011", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Portland Timbers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6915e72a6fd0c1f97ab74c66692cd16332c67cc9e77d9ad8c736d5624904b9d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349164", "condition_id": "0xd784299a136fb828bd64fb71cfb97a13441cc1bc3c0fe6f0c6d05013cd22795d", "token_id": "76578478031149931955253532632469941778395228075447577152401418956564345303011", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "eb1eeeaacc53a684bec682a2dd314151d7ab34a77a96386c4c117103940095a9", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "1349165", "token_id": "114223607638432722673708635004572154335400999412912587842768551939500361355582", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Real Salt Lake", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6b1319d4a01972c43e1e91b8ffec75293b89c5badebf7cbc14726a72b9e52239", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349165", "condition_id": "0xe825cca503fe83bc4ef4b97db242f42c1006b4eeb834ebc76c6eee4fb525f0d7", "token_id": "114223607638432722673708635004572154335400999412912587842768551939500361355582", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f9e33c392df71746bbce31cf14006e5db2731015e25812b8d23cfa33471556b4", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "1349166", "token_id": "91547759797114634204022129729568408961524134322581560517656754663754175926397", "outcome": "yes", "label": "San Diego FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "33e48b466cc80e87cac5060713890947a81d9b6fae2b02f0dcc9ab4d9dbca93a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349166", "condition_id": "0x1167ff40fdec61c475580f80421c7e32b29b6d4f1b5c91217057fe0aed77521a", "token_id": "91547759797114634204022129729568408961524134322581560517656754663754175926397", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will San Diego FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e83303a481028b27c45ad5463a0e41f31f91010b6b4d6f888902eea032040a5c", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "1349167", "token_id": "81119773052891775821920721095385802155330895016204596516121823281272853716086", "outcome": "yes", "label": "San Jose Earthquakes", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5c422e8a49b5bd5c39a65a52a04e2ee92cca818a054e57744045769651597f19", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349167", "condition_id": "0x3b08ae92e63b8d3c505a66f5b64979469cdf907894510f11b4cf5b2c7ac3dd27", "token_id": "81119773052891775821920721095385802155330895016204596516121823281272853716086", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will San Jose Earthquakes win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a52ba8686de7b2d20be70d00553f37ef096cb0a6ae38f5fdb828aaf8cc72d866", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "1349168", "token_id": "20509957320357703322777282914256500505443083705628329444478480468143184201534", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Seattle Sounders FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5c01e4194f681dd76593d9a06b783aa3a9d02ecb2bff33b4adc934be99cc897f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349168", "condition_id": "0xdf916c5f55ba2f73ca8a92460ec26696cdaf55ff8dd103c8437bdbb4e5ac6890", "token_id": "20509957320357703322777282914256500505443083705628329444478480468143184201534", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Seattle Sounders FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3657a347b81708acbfaa56b65c3c725ca9c7d33cd4ea82642edab5617d623942", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "1349169", "token_id": "53092550301467363744962145325863151179654010960244954555026506259097403130541", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sporting Kansas City", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8dfbd62eefaa45e55aff9910e169f99a55a2415a23c7da57cc69b7b8fd1a9cef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349169", "condition_id": "0x3b8ac3e29933893ede723508e9f479379452665f8c85bc6a10dd213a54e954fd", "token_id": "53092550301467363744962145325863151179654010960244954555026506259097403130541", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sporting Kansas City win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d42bd30af05ba493a9ae69e091e6064d06a3e99826f287eb8092dc0b41e2f147", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 27, "market_id": "1349170", "token_id": "38753905059001915768997367469589111334649639704457897535405621683687306202320", "outcome": "yes", "label": "St. Louis City SC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "13098ce452637ad74314b66e21938d75488e9b7d5acf5cc576af3afdb5656abf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349170", "condition_id": "0x599d1c309af762d78ef21c3bedba221299e08443cc2edca0dbb7357398761fed", "token_id": "38753905059001915768997367469589111334649639704457897535405621683687306202320", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "45138e493a830b92248cc7f852e7d70048bb9b5025261e12031693b333b8bdc1", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 28, "market_id": "1349171", "token_id": "42335990546310621247445195387932799535387326563871405747692157775123222622808", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Toronto FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de03e5dfa394d61229d2c5b073b941e5340fe38c653702c142bfb30e5d081a4c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349171", "condition_id": "0xc28ce947b32874ea66e4e0d531b0858b32c2a21075e85704fc66db90a7d7f086", "token_id": "42335990546310621247445195387932799535387326563871405747692157775123222622808", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Toronto FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d84607220ecffe6d8bac420fa65e248768c31086363f8fdaa832682bf2d455a8", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" }, { "position": 29, "market_id": "1349172", "token_id": "79217367442690238638917486333357105644244950668519102690785888214816107087529", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Vancouver Whitecaps FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "819f468595b8f60fe057a6573c071898490d4f2fd7f1bffdc967b8cd591509bb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1349172", "condition_id": "0x25bf49c93f524a86fcb640a93ccabec6cd377efb54f4112c2dbf6febc2845442", "token_id": "79217367442690238638917486333357105644244950668519102690785888214816107087529", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. \n\nIf at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-19T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "200782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ba461b67ca745d49073bc55a1fb68bd72676e6fbd9309fbb86dcb09a2afa1106", "event_source_sha256": "6537fd3dab6ceaafafd2153d2b6359239ce752f3e0172693a070e4a89d751354" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987074", "title": "Highest temperature in NYC on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "9277248e39e1f86b5c9104a7b7fcbaefea5455982494b002f144047ded9af7f1", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4358646", "4358647", "4358648", "4358649", "4358650", "4358651", "4358652", "4358653", "4358654", "4358655", "4358656" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987074", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4358646", "token_id": "29443654421148712106750532876003903890563744000429937965121942921959925104056", "outcome": "yes", "label": "75\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8ab35aea07a1702cde4e889b934d0b980e52ccaea2ca0a012deac761510201e9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358646", "condition_id": "0x68c758f5ed82873b561d81cd3c3ab5c60cb58d7daec551933ed53700b42805c7", "token_id": "29443654421148712106750532876003903890563744000429937965121942921959925104056", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 75\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2589e39c4a72ecbd93e0cb8c2e7ba05f8167c9b04f71c1417cd6e4b23b661587", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4358647", "token_id": "48165167556779779827762620291992422553708970478909091316923515161751764195099", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76-77\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1e80967c807e97ff07552e4bd8f72e9aad7d1d2471541e181d474e07fd241db3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358647", "condition_id": "0xaa0e2ba31a7898bec1fb696028ad60704dc3f260cfbaf2a0f6ed3bdeb890816a", "token_id": "48165167556779779827762620291992422553708970478909091316923515161751764195099", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "741cee93a06aeb34b8354c7e06b122a818be193663a0454e4ad2ee1a44514634", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4358648", "token_id": "17622733095513855622556556367409679355101853234956842278868789264628856558875", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78-79\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e3fca4c1f78628765555be0eb3ecbc9d01606bebe3082cc3d6a3eb811103348f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358648", "condition_id": "0xbc3e09caf1c64b4d6c799d2c235e418ae0bcd99446e3a95ca711651bde70468e", "token_id": "17622733095513855622556556367409679355101853234956842278868789264628856558875", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7b7b8bb1d9bb0ea92e7cb5006a5dd1e265a57315747827c2b4204e261ab1165d", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4358649", "token_id": "65472036641595736111291389174325786038084471323100705800927550670271770428152", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d3208aba5b7e681f38e8bf22152387df9955142fe28bec4f76593ce073c0fd7b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358649", "condition_id": "0xf07b8d1e5965eddfe8ace1536dfcddc80dff9c16565e4665f20481a6282a287a", "token_id": "65472036641595736111291389174325786038084471323100705800927550670271770428152", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a9a8dd67a9c50bc4931be68e13503f5f090d70fe23ab2cdc29ff23346d5d7535", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4358650", "token_id": "98983443125465737249073792970677759947137261753477002879455846992634753554174", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "23bcfcfda15e0e37b34854dfedeb7b83fdf504c46e826b837596d6007092c99e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358650", "condition_id": "0x9711b67b6b1c25be027f023d5d3a42d13442ef5ba488dcc0964f5bd47aa84f3b", "token_id": "98983443125465737249073792970677759947137261753477002879455846992634753554174", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b7d96e9b484bc56303fc1ec45c8c0c2eb91f1bccaf1daddd1b9de7832b2b657d", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4358651", "token_id": "65171811345723150156396566640260304917924379154055915005329345169377785680418", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8d9209b8035442714fae4038138f758f36c87eec30b16c7eea2417ac90688e73", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358651", "condition_id": "0x1c0d21f484f61ef2920c78224538ced6559e79e04f274d4e1f28cda6708de11f", "token_id": "65171811345723150156396566640260304917924379154055915005329345169377785680418", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dcae423cba854568fc7588d4fd80052a152fe3384ab664d14e3bb857c24458fc", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4358652", "token_id": "60610156014832583057800002316538420364716260641461028750135166341032933569498", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0fe04df1d7aff3221c36095996c87c6e337e3d5a5c6979108cf8474b50f9d88e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358652", "condition_id": "0x663351b07b7ef04c7fc337a80fbf662372800bb3ce26f5cffd9d707acc3c6ee8", "token_id": "60610156014832583057800002316538420364716260641461028750135166341032933569498", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "47fbe5cae31e30ae75e222ac5ce1cf4fa59317852b18edeb0f22ad8c0b539d0d", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4358653", "token_id": "75195890453994770768629544597827063155235591508189718265682732283585192312467", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88-89\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "74b92ee3d2028db1d483ec5cd9431df4772edb830f5e81872e3770b66fb8b327", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358653", "condition_id": "0x9d13ec238c4723ad26c8cb5edcd30dd40e8f1044c33ede09b8db56e5a9403602", "token_id": "75195890453994770768629544597827063155235591508189718265682732283585192312467", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d419366a4b88425db22c481fcccbccd551cf9103865cbcd45695c5f060122d25", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4358654", "token_id": "99638874201804893723237421137544782126005943517119345647936073113503422253726", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6a204b07e17942de7f3c6515c67b0110128cc9775d590f69a6e363589d08aba9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358654", "condition_id": "0x8fb9e8fcade701232ba8b9ef8fe870f527724a4a1512ee0ef4ec791ba6a451ca", "token_id": "99638874201804893723237421137544782126005943517119345647936073113503422253726", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "33b1044889cc7c248fbe947b0f74877957c01b0a5907b1a6576e723819300238", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4358655", "token_id": "101078178819873856756770605216491537390800156222045326075705720085172584781944", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8db357dd81d438472dea33e0012c59976e7166121c7a9cfe861191c1a13b3581", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358655", "condition_id": "0xbe7638e05126ba1093e04caf196fb02259cd78bde8e1b30adca2d9552b234291", "token_id": "101078178819873856756770605216491537390800156222045326075705720085172584781944", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b9f2f63dce3d364e44153c46bcd0474214720f86b27352eca2e0e11cae5d03b8", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4358656", "token_id": "44394505021100781214458337025224777826069971398550273053520152796283456792378", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "43d3927ded75b49799bbaee440d06653487bd2d7124ef6f399fbb332cbacd56e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358656", "condition_id": "0x1d4a1572254764b4b07ff202d94dad3c65a74ad90511acb7a648905cbfe1e976", "token_id": "44394505021100781214458337025224777826069971398550273053520152796283456792378", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 94\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987074", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "374b6d175881f8dfd5b50acdad41c7e411ba77271321cd1f5bfadce1d2fb426d", "event_source_sha256": "982922dff4e2bda73355125e74c2af7f33a1e44b232d284e46768b818f20e060" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:548858", "title": "Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 10, "semantics_hash": "55a910fffed7105ed0b7f1a5ad01c4a920929d3f047d8e7025dc2560398dc6b4", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2412744", "2412745", "2412746", "2412747", "2412748", "2412749", "2412750", "2412751", "2412752", "2412753" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:548858", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2412745", "token_id": "56301838179579394383326309870910994868607811662960859222061983298807293606663", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$1.25\u2013$1.5T", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "863c37d0847d7fdf8abb70e9cbb41225130bcc61ebd0798234040282c377eceb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412745", "condition_id": "0x67644dafb1cb9f5dda7cc1b5666e93c1ca539da38cafb17b4ebca6493a04e25b", "token_id": "56301838179579394383326309870910994868607811662960859222061983298807293606663", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "beb2cc66220f1d17081da1dfcffe2cf3e8645ac74d7e07f7cdbe385b87f6f8f9", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2412746", "token_id": "14887282092770509848305647762516934764168109933492314637062192765707086600213", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$1.5\u2013$1.75T", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4d320c0ec95d968a15a392fcad09f7a78752bc0a3d5ad0d11e21c52aa1aee21f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412746", "condition_id": "0xe02dadd92c84112fce087b6f260d62c8df1648e071acaef35b0851c8dde64163", "token_id": "14887282092770509848305647762516934764168109933492314637062192765707086600213", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c5649642ae3a9a32796ca9cd6d1c15123ebc5f7a2aaecbd227ba033fa5798598", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2412747", "token_id": "45517673568329213011628206692415591806951323843085365275618265124514828297886", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$1.75\u2013$2.0T", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2bf2d6494094e3094687216a5022fb404da1873415e79234fdfeb4fb593c1d64", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412747", "condition_id": "0xdded1086ea6aca11f88b997328ff3b0f5bb9374e5ecb450422c862f67c9f3cbe", "token_id": "45517673568329213011628206692415591806951323843085365275618265124514828297886", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d0b9a411ffee064e52b36d5cf1584bd8805f799fdfc639e5bc4cddef0f146790", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2412748", "token_id": "101166634565581720937827182708299504800783187448258381646752188234040854930073", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$2.0\u2013$2.25T", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c0fd6a1d7f47f9a9b222233564f6a8aa5be523613a21c629c3529464f2ebf7a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412748", "condition_id": "0x3d555d528a9a5f94a733741d75a3f707731f5e42237006aed81e191d9dd43d1d", "token_id": "101166634565581720937827182708299504800783187448258381646752188234040854930073", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4987bf8d7780aa8e6e09ca015cb15cdea4f4fe65597baa9c2a86e4fe8706a00e", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2412749", "token_id": "97145925630941727125934602759565140318388384333201797239491711756496603712050", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$2.25\u2013$2.5T", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "180aeb480dda5682aaee4d82ffc63fa5ff70c09e59752639bae74bfc18025af7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412749", "condition_id": "0xc52d95f58a395fb61a16c87d96eeac8b4d52b53d48eef9d45df1c7270bd08ad0", "token_id": "97145925630941727125934602759565140318388384333201797239491711756496603712050", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4af03f110f8dc9ad6e5c180b76093408802c340e8ed2e9aad97ae7af769a1f2c", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2412750", "token_id": "111436677536349466198317159638261738605135481721043169950421795114917164855183", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$2.5\u2013$2.75T", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "80208735b561cd3cdfcd90eeb4a63d0140010df4731cae070420d5b4b769ecd5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412750", "condition_id": "0x76876411a19595cd5881170954806cc1c51ec66528e0739231f2aaabeceadb36", "token_id": "111436677536349466198317159638261738605135481721043169950421795114917164855183", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b83c093c7ce9b10f4e69deba51f90633cb55fd0e38dafc1b735bcada29980317", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2412751", "token_id": "53902677158633419509963663796122055298463627296341662559063577118402724284624", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$2.75\u2013$3.0T", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "327d946a91aca94f87b83d9c6343af89048a9968392a1735fdacee9dbff4f93c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412751", "condition_id": "0x8344e39c752c8d5984f45e3b8e079bb11c239214600eeb1fef0b51b344e99ba2", "token_id": "53902677158633419509963663796122055298463627296341662559063577118402724284624", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0f27ad72c4066bbcef9f6fe6c1371014b89cd77c8688a62b489823f0c5a4cdeb", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2412752", "token_id": "26664280622629407478832895512837601703997167704538642212577285812882259796777", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$3.0T+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e4aeea7138fdb662191cd137a32cc71f9cda7fb622169e8ec8b6355e02803ac1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412752", "condition_id": "0xb0d2fa1aacbf2e91248f2d69d9364e6ef644177de0141e23313c5b2a28f5cf60", "token_id": "26664280622629407478832895512837601703997167704538642212577285812882259796777", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ae57092d975f6083779c6998c700a438ae68ec0a46165b7e7a151119b22bc3a6", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2412744", "token_id": "112320928806010548033202438997015358299610795310513429342055221960679493917", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<$1.25T", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "174673ecbaad8ef9b5f0072759d1e5ec4c2ee7816d91d7a38bb8c753d6101332", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412744", "condition_id": "0x800376dc64e4e2376a495ed0df4a789192256c821bb4d1452acdd5931bca2fa5", "token_id": "112320928806010548033202438997015358299610795310513429342055221960679493917", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "25d80c56d18f5910766117ec8a763b1b391e942613d54b116576769729ea767e", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2412753", "token_id": "61384696186251209143896776425290954166574314160100170305191977932165151583313", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No IPO by December 31, 2027", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "808e2da172802df69ac9012e0bf23f2682bb67e5f7e6af361bf156fce91a06fa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2412753", "condition_id": "0x8e4cfba82d83a14165a4fa84ca61c2ca83975dff28ca4fc65c96ffb6b206beb6", "token_id": "61384696186251209143896776425290954166574314160100170305191977932165151583313", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by December 31, 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:55:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "548858", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "acf922422841e77850b619bd51f3af24e91743039b49000de868715043702d8c", "event_source_sha256": "8f2653a8802a48e36714ae1ff519a362ccb567294253d8af3877a665f87c069f" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:315364", "title": "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 29, "semantics_hash": "29735bb2a8c05dfabfe5842d0587105e93cd20a15fffcc6051bf1cb8819ca66f", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1747716", "1747717", "1747718", "1747719", "1747720", "1747721", "1747722", "1747723", "1747724", "1747725", "1747726", "1747727", "1747728", "1747729", "1747730", "1747731", "1747732", "1747733", "1747734", "1747735", "1747736", "1747737", "1747738", "1747739", "1747740", "1747741", "1747742", "1747743", "1747744", "1747745", "1747746", "1747747", "1747748", "1747749", "1747750", "1747751", "1747752", "1747753", "1747754", "1747755" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:315364", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1747741", "token_id": "24297061321181036312628592988208502731824730074477795662402184590895318680113", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Baker Mayfield", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7a526dcd0cbda6d9fd3acd5762aacbf99e7783d45adcdc81c2e09e844088cdd7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747741", "condition_id": "0xed37f1f6bf2283f1a9be1eb9fcaedddbda916f2416a967a134dc9a8c6099462b", "token_id": "24297061321181036312628592988208502731824730074477795662402184590895318680113", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Baker Mayfield win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "48cf02e4096670223ddb9b9d6a45ddd6f38283145a9ab97151034726315a2698", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1747742", "token_id": "62273143233100772782309657509010960672627012721014797731257055357287921014863", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bijan Robinson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2dc9484c9de72d3d13d7fe93fd2f8cc773b487fcb891af7d572792a47f0281b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747742", "condition_id": "0x9c54f3f862f30e56981350f2637f4f99e04382b2e94b7dba17f5e218b3171430", "token_id": "62273143233100772782309657509010960672627012721014797731257055357287921014863", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bijan Robinson win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bddea29ee90b5c9066fbeb376c8372ff63932be384268e404ee48db206b56039", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1747739", "token_id": "60863252788205445243263405695989313862315982968096813468708716758086528231369", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bo Nix", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ab55cfd298a16788936c1c2dc83df82c1e5209d16a538a88caccc5a214b99502", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747739", "condition_id": "0x52b301fd98bd85c66db7648f5148f785d4e36e5c252dd29c7f101d0e042eede1", "token_id": "60863252788205445243263405695989313862315982968096813468708716758086528231369", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bo Nix win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "15c2a451c5c64ffdbcb46c2f69f4a6a704eb8ff56b9197a8fc757cf7212f421c", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1747735", "token_id": "60836332096592091354059068740633968351782196890659123544703075076678546712708", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Brock Purdy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5d3b569c64da78ad5c747a333eefe5f093fda88dc47c66313bcad51b3062128c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747735", "condition_id": "0x6e6819aad914476a8d548452d962d51fa5e0444aead63f2b2b9169a8b028beb1", "token_id": "60836332096592091354059068740633968351782196890659123544703075076678546712708", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d2f6dc64d5f8cd147748345b96502f32e20144a477087c8843b2acf351a10229", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1747730", "token_id": "93345316029434719813145394154529294016563178823882367035553641756769395349971", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Caleb Williams", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f4f21b0e9982e316b2b3daf5bae6b5821813447d40069fb8fb66ed32a7b345dc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747730", "condition_id": "0xd7089b9b1843279db6ad909214d21f26929b102ab918ddda36e2ff76757cf0db", "token_id": "93345316029434719813145394154529294016563178823882367035553641756769395349971", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2eb5f7c927e13c684a341e9fe06d6103ffa4993f0e1df8ae3ac817e6057f2dde", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1747725", "token_id": "39209253812643459685760776249722568129414971439776124169747189847949764369041", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Christian McCaffrey", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9cff0044d6a54202f7baccf87c926bc375dea89dc39c8ea97c8309e1e3f466a7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747725", "condition_id": "0xb031f5315f69a93cf6fe85f2d1a1d88d88afd24c86a2ad5c08fe619874f3b45b", "token_id": "39209253812643459685760776249722568129414971439776124169747189847949764369041", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e60339a1104a5265abab45aabc9993fbba8f35591cc5204a93728fb51ee2757a", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1747722", "token_id": "113287449232986461247101354990576149597635760068799215325315400971590188040604", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dak Prescott", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "620c3944ffcb9b420e4883dd12b0d8fc82d33b137d43e0b280e632d4e5e6cb07", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747722", "condition_id": "0xba3bb016db3960dcd2e32a177a23947530bd3966618aa047e2cc44f108bc32f0", "token_id": "113287449232986461247101354990576149597635760068799215325315400971590188040604", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7cac2da87847b33d6c7b8338f5f0153979263a899b60208b7e0f80cf63ff75d4", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1747731", "token_id": "86393895934776202194829446912239235068821756594349353775917342455892377486025", "outcome": "yes", "label": "De'Von Achane", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e5f84e862f9efe6261fe2fd722eb4e41d7b917ab3be879787474a9eeda051839", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747731", "condition_id": "0xca69555845f1e6669c7a49820eb3c8e83d26bc26100951ae78aea3746f5ddba0", "token_id": "86393895934776202194829446912239235068821756594349353775917342455892377486025", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will De'Von Achane win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bffdad7d64be01e1d27d75c3cb12e2b3d37f8aec9e0b2d3631a35f98120c8ac0", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1747727", "token_id": "93782169665775325302214108173391718423545597560130497674687992508061344082360", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Derrick Henry", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "893929f93d649d6b4c21d96b714982b4e3fd369910a9ae0ca1c6e7c530187e52", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747727", "condition_id": "0xc7ada88d01ca17c192b0a224ab528d8f11eec93f0ddfc6eea4682d9ddcbe6c92", "token_id": "93782169665775325302214108173391718423545597560130497674687992508061344082360", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Derrick Henry win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "86796db57ddfb6d9b9a5c4c30bc63de0fb1afa033a729ba98514486f46d1c71c", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1747719", "token_id": "94260379449821720474782141724757848353607897391076165474769242725941036874318", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Drake Maye", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8beafbd0175bf4cd9a5e1463833f6bf7d0f64ecc1a04a50e493e0e5d9b8fb01b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747719", "condition_id": "0x15956234a2c722e77162d65d5755c4bbc3564967a8d7a3a973995365a0c61058", "token_id": "94260379449821720474782141724757848353607897391076165474769242725941036874318", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Drake Maye win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cf8a56e7b38f5e7f0932870106fab3f7661b9d90a9f7b5dbed7490d469829c59", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "1747723", "token_id": "49290394449847843818171074713255022617306976373372467911715005683830358195882", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jahmyr Gibbs", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8a35ea106fe11fb45ecc09198e400a3b1319b5722da41329fe7bc88e56d85891", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747723", "condition_id": "0x9e2820e6dd501127d0478c0986b21c3e6091e260e4f21b80c171fdd56e038de5", "token_id": "49290394449847843818171074713255022617306976373372467911715005683830358195882", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a43f261405797e0ff3081d9f21a5aa7930e12ea83778f764411a2097166739df", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "1747728", "token_id": "95471510283559725223771127989732081885796217069031519133325505375611788881709", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jalen Hurts", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ac096371133522b88d293f59cd4a8d771f452cb96dfe76c09cc07fab89f91d74", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747728", "condition_id": "0xf1f62992ec6080bb82206dc8f9213b7ee2fc356967c6eb307cec5afa7f954b80", "token_id": "95471510283559725223771127989732081885796217069031519133325505375611788881709", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jalen Hurts win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9ffecc2eb680c007ff0eff318698e2d52fdc5767ebff665d46d2f966ec82842c", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "1747740", "token_id": "31696272002408763606852120169127533611189307788172685624101010710548786487430", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jared Goff", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2435d70d4d9c2f5a7afbda9247db1f0e8274c59e3187c34735f0b722efc8d49", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747740", "condition_id": "0x401555497028601ccc3f205bd72bc686175b07fcf5c8c7901919d99c6bbb7c31", "token_id": "31696272002408763606852120169127533611189307788172685624101010710548786487430", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fa5e1dbdae5ec35657a64d389bff61cdbe100c935551d7b43a5b1a41f602cf46", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "1747733", "token_id": "104329946052651116788931116571149843412066083247518852704489273731896137618330", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jaxson Dart", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2eec1b1912eb2d4af941c0cfadde47dbe07b7157702a7d92768bc2c3454370ed", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747733", "condition_id": "0xd9b14674d5d2b36d1266f5b5cda5e3c1cda747473214faddc44c39f502b0f135", "token_id": "104329946052651116788931116571149843412066083247518852704489273731896137618330", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jaxson Dart win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "840abacb2fefb7a90ceec530b388842dc53220a56341b6a3b2b5c8e90a24dcb1", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "1747734", "token_id": "13829760539976654397839045116422203716423716022481005444542493221833712138535", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jaxson Smith-Njigba", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1ca432be954ecc0bab00d21bdf254cbe1b4e9284ee062dc768d7a6b28f4ec806", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747734", "condition_id": "0x40107b6507c0049643bde815207ef7fc5b2225e11972402958e01853850c3841", "token_id": "13829760539976654397839045116422203716423716022481005444542493221833712138535", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jaxson Smith-Njigba win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7ac5ab7d2161a5fc9610e07644fd00401ab9a51a3d632540263e62f6f188cf09", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "1747717", "token_id": "56085647788977958772677850433789596873040971524736787506790923452922090197258", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Joe Burrow", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d12656075e34e05052844b01a9196a1c4569aa7fedc133f0cdfccebfc438acf6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747717", "condition_id": "0x355608eef04905ef4a53e229502e9dd335143f67d616e9ccfeaadbfc2fb80fe1", "token_id": "56085647788977958772677850433789596873040971524736787506790923452922090197258", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aa9c9f1483d08b8e6c83e253918a4a39783e4bf4e39cbea7ed55e5c6e6df9171", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "1747736", "token_id": "51114785992827272073626352604476575631893844031122245231209511441613889068084", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jordan Love", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a0a2d9c49441d56d6b607522738d9a72a23d000ce7de93e8001aee94bf860023", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747736", "condition_id": "0x76aad06c2826fa597d86dd96e8adca87c9adced9e373a60b4b6ab36f5be5d38b", "token_id": "51114785992827272073626352604476575631893844031122245231209511441613889068084", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8f0efc58affe5beea79d3a80b82e31fe223bbf05d3e12fab65f5472f8e6db482", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "1747716", "token_id": "72554379457076068924178992406618004387139006514251661777015378509685757026260", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Josh Allen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "63ddd105bdb721a6ff9bd5575914222bbeab6baf9eae9f7f9179ac83a04cb9c0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747716", "condition_id": "0xd1375d878771db8beecd19af2a1150708e950cc06593ae0f58e0bd2de5396caa", "token_id": "72554379457076068924178992406618004387139006514251661777015378509685757026260", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2e53c5d540777688de642346caeff37c80d4bb3025f38c0e6bd6dd0b6b4165f3", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "1747721", "token_id": "107509550057469424478813966748388433865224991818906072454813347573553031397722", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Justin Herbert", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "11d454cfb70d4c7d4067fc6161c7f835097399f4bb700a8652983bfe7594119e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747721", "condition_id": "0x705a58f860c9884dae531857d908bd1cfd2263bade7b703a59b2bea525f9859e", "token_id": "107509550057469424478813966748388433865224991818906072454813347573553031397722", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3732c24dfbb9f4ec6c8d3ad2f7faf8940e862ea64bcab899477314c2f331a408", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "1747732", "token_id": "30655588307751141075419077461824106421820456912492554954645774773902273788702", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Justin Jefferson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "677351adb71a94e40e085586a53dab19e0781119e433e902329c5df5dd29cf0c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747732", "condition_id": "0x4d70d339476cdb82372055ee9ec2288daed320cfed8c106f40b40a28df6325cd", "token_id": "30655588307751141075419077461824106421820456912492554954645774773902273788702", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Justin Jefferson win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "29cbb3c4a7dba3b38ef7e0b002be2fa9dcad99d9eff710f83594182203d65b51", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "1747718", "token_id": "77902897444693705685173571030815529749550839274018763099928315238444761052983", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lamar Jackson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4d416af9db7388f3bb4eca715861449459f826e3087d5a6e9f02a05079f95fa0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747718", "condition_id": "0x3b774c2f0ccb7f794fb7445fafa41feda55be9080e4e348c914d82e809b266be", "token_id": "77902897444693705685173571030815529749550839274018763099928315238444761052983", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7c402e04c4acff0c33ca182fb515da3b8ea5720dc0f51c2cbad8926abdc7e2af", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "1747720", "token_id": "42822096002666800608598412836947844096211886568035018844784844942981792859944", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Matthew Stafford", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b3bf9a67368caa13215734810af0081598325ecbf74a85b581b176a89b177477", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747720", "condition_id": "0x236827b4e4f4786650e61d86b301c642e87672b710e2498ecd72fd7d8615450c", "token_id": "42822096002666800608598412836947844096211886568035018844784844942981792859944", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Matthew Stafford win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "26fa258f94c3aa10c52949b2c653b16db94b8ea9e6d80eb275345e7b88339f40", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "1747738", "token_id": "39951015869468199071157843557516941038772469950778787884604620238578673598820", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Myles Garrett", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a9a34dec0c31d2170dab6e0a98d3f2b90250965300f5a709c19d359d01621d1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747738", "condition_id": "0x8e35f0988ad4a213f762b6914ba35def948fd44b0a249a979783ddadee5f86ec", "token_id": "39951015869468199071157843557516941038772469950778787884604620238578673598820", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Myles Garrett win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d0622012c83c4762429d7cd01d12af101201ffcebd6609eb7f5929e4da0135d5", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "1747724", "token_id": "103835956283927204379447449034574799863405233384549325769494364784335909426030", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Patrick Mahomes", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fb17221d464451b8d7afce5a7cd2a5117916ea85c34991d97233488c6f465042", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747724", "condition_id": "0x5d41b5d07bc3096d92d35674e7bbc1af421243a69c8e313659e254e9962a59b8", "token_id": "103835956283927204379447449034574799863405233384549325769494364784335909426030", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7c2c890c4bc2a86e4fc610462a799bfe8e3beac20cd39710c289bc79fc69282d", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "1747744", "token_id": "53008597410888604818027492829246668186580308389527749260792679264605057925198", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Player J", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "44657ba3754395075da88eef5ca281abfa0ba4cd00a549b135d3cebe0f6e2cbc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747744", "condition_id": "0x9e9bfd705fb9925f3343a6ab77127a27067fb029d79552632d88dd10941c2a6c", "token_id": "53008597410888604818027492829246668186580308389527749260792679264605057925198", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ja'Marr Chase win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b470fe1f5e078117a61882e5b4d72e206f240d5982709f68885ea85e8d7f4249", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "1747743", "token_id": "110937040893660643809692523661754347626618619912551850123269384140167344052872", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Puka Nacua", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b4fc50a42c299c0e5f9ff965181d67f9e21a56867b61ab77ec1936b1df594af0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747743", "condition_id": "0xc57961fa415c4a2d760b6a494760d490832c67b2aaf8901b703bf175b4ef15f9", "token_id": "110937040893660643809692523661754347626618619912551850123269384140167344052872", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Puka Nacua win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "34b3703b1785dfde4673694a1fcdf5fe32907e93c0d56fd55f70e0dca4e61497", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "1747729", "token_id": "74409842557010149340567878113641199420944049905100864708950921607778923573393", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sam Darnold", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2679eb1a4bf0c8791a391966bed8311de1ab471d1f2f351a98a8b6aed4b3c16b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747729", "condition_id": "0x4396884bb897b5a3304fb09d8897bcdfa621c886b1c74b0139d77591bccb0912", "token_id": "74409842557010149340567878113641199420944049905100864708950921607778923573393", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sam Darnold win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "598a30aba1d438066df52e213d71cf4fba42edd92377305e1fdcd82cb144303c", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 27, "market_id": "1747726", "token_id": "50725126081332231326316618463147754349727846914753203074651295418703389957980", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Saquon Barkley", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3af69d9b08a7b409d0cb379cf4866f080c11cd1756f2c7b58dda7f03d04a1fd9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747726", "condition_id": "0x48991225485b44f4a8eb484951bbea293a2a480e6f23edac4d40dfeca303275d", "token_id": "50725126081332231326316618463147754349727846914753203074651295418703389957980", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a9e08749310ce8dc592afe8cd7c8254b01b15457a9bf80a533d2f83f8982de1f", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" }, { "position": 28, "market_id": "1747737", "token_id": "96037917188786410625350951693060897394788287431686346068805411583610188907090", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Trevor Lawrence", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ef36df71eb130755bb67f5774da8c1970b0bf483b7f2de60db79f0df13a994c9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1747737", "condition_id": "0x13e17c518f6e6f5238044eac1452cd2f3f36e368d5f803978301a8e7214ef74f", "token_id": "96037917188786410625350951693060897394788287431686346068805411583610188907090", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Trevor Lawrence win the 2026 NFL MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.\n\nIn the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-02-15T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "315364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f40fbfb1a08d56f4134525197a2735cef43288613507225c250c1e800b85fe76", "event_source_sha256": "1b66562c287ac2c24f5487fddbee5bbb2ba20ad4ab2db294dd85e8a34e6042a0" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992252", "title": "Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "b0288e1d550205257e7024b97b5e11666dcb8ffee388818ae1042e3b20884034", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400057", "4400058", "4400059", "4400060", "4400061", "4400062", "4400063", "4400064", "4400065", "4400066", "4400067" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992252", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400057", "token_id": "27687811271146125747802979891952308831651424885296083442507528370980751480540", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1c300864d6823a9a74431e8dad6bbf6018b5a90ce9401ed468ffee9daaec46f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400057", "condition_id": "0x2ec1d2a82d01ebcbd52669504287566c6d9d4de658336e6b306d09e1d3f50631", "token_id": "27687811271146125747802979891952308831651424885296083442507528370980751480540", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c998ee7bd7eb2d4214dc1e57000ad78e1e07e8f69449648e0c2ce476ef47131f", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400058", "token_id": "1183555020971165129913565746373537515185475093355694322335644532351906778672", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c6d341ac6920d01910e3cd2aed159a97ff737a2715bd175d2fd399c1d63b1a65", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400058", "condition_id": "0x81df1a44fa0bead72c7ade0da00a0f00793fd59ee5c12682d3012b69b9f14f5b", "token_id": "1183555020971165129913565746373537515185475093355694322335644532351906778672", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "10b8adf379c4033da9521d525a19ca5b41f8f87c70ce6a86da844528ea05947e", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400059", "token_id": "113921450623604133947545304468944016389347816446894395769520368233489149016771", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0c48deba5402fa3b8ec5d371f4ab8db20cd10f47fc531bb5d5e652e71c209f25", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400059", "condition_id": "0xc94739290f84421c5ed948d61f1ebfe5f679b733cf1c85853caf63f622ecf768", "token_id": "113921450623604133947545304468944016389347816446894395769520368233489149016771", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ad3c1a11b57d44fdd0d3f9e51eea6ad68c865b493ce43583893043481da81839", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400060", "token_id": "12129364603347982297201662970273348173596928980717147068988840404821181238922", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e8c177a10279c96401f7a1a966bc6b30bcc8b916b08f53a15e9b5f890576f845", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400060", "condition_id": "0x15d4c3fc5ca7b8983a9fc114fda4c70a42db278d7f5b810efcd6eaa33042805d", "token_id": "12129364603347982297201662970273348173596928980717147068988840404821181238922", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e94781c17819d1d6de96321d8d68be7449ed71f9b96da4aa91a02f6ee9ef9ad0", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400061", "token_id": "67925125693110400733016422747119477534905996440084736018200353275557308323249", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "67996d64697a3e24b28aa9f0666d4642fe5f986404df14afc617a89a66a766c8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400061", "condition_id": "0x70226ae2afea9b8a48c45d769a8d33ba776b1a9f4025440d7272986ea0957a36", "token_id": "67925125693110400733016422747119477534905996440084736018200353275557308323249", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "34042143a50dec042a5244e079fd590d4665d7c541220dd22a442d035ffcbea7", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400062", "token_id": "98292370663244070692294128622643720844639180076835170014063191183624991638232", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e1bbc641f963ac107bc8bec20bfba8c62d79aa4e9ce429fb2abe0fc295c55423", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400062", "condition_id": "0x0180d6d53c194289641d280d6d7fc8e4d2339208d323ca621431c8f52fc25fc5", "token_id": "98292370663244070692294128622643720844639180076835170014063191183624991638232", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fe3223db4ee5ee0cbb999d37f334a6f0aab881a427793aa7f6108f77f9d7da3a", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400063", "token_id": "69906216554668751595648293249224996741434398474613242250667203639917320656431", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a86f0de296bfd82dd7f611423482bb9693d7fe070481fec9e1acba2fd6bb1af1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400063", "condition_id": "0x2dec2adb0282a30731b7156873f9915a4e5b6db3295cfd27479cd55285f84289", "token_id": "69906216554668751595648293249224996741434398474613242250667203639917320656431", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d012695ea0133746c7c5a2097851fab3b16107e2d3aeb57b1061ca8cb5bc806d", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400064", "token_id": "43263472281562462396155965084404111826600223286207611558548428990846814340624", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8214b2d921335a10292217e7cb6196ad353f415c00ac86421ad12610d8c67d47", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400064", "condition_id": "0x028d6c020b51f159f98f5806a54e188b879e32af6205df81733dfb3177eee89d", "token_id": "43263472281562462396155965084404111826600223286207611558548428990846814340624", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c10ee1e22164b09408a581856a7a8e2c70de7ac7f6ceb8534ddfe48f2302600a", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400065", "token_id": "39244631612578027471261558049846909394993635892922902223134548879473926881690", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "858229a6c7cb32f12ff6d1b2a6337e0cc66cc0b735fd459433ce1fe5c602b8a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400065", "condition_id": "0xfb144f49a13fd065e021400a4f363ed9086a1b2b22677688158606cf3a39c50c", "token_id": "39244631612578027471261558049846909394993635892922902223134548879473926881690", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4608e382dd148375978d5e6b85abe53e77b0958d5536e33eb1c070fe167f9cd4", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400066", "token_id": "44039135906444538284712082517624315565611360644270724671456540144220539224794", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fcce193f0a46ed1923781345fa62d4ba123978869f935476a57404c2fbabd4ec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400066", "condition_id": "0xfb0507d2e667173fd7585f655c5252dfd73c3383d0becd9ba1be541497e0a2c1", "token_id": "44039135906444538284712082517624315565611360644270724671456540144220539224794", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3587803c923b1979791f454fa9c9bd27e04f884870b07232ba2852e9d5ab1dde", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400067", "token_id": "2792308411050237774826616033468387395547511795873303062414048058021179358354", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8ede3ccb44bb07b511c90deb8a74ded14e6631c04ee4d8167203cf9d87468898", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400067", "condition_id": "0x011a2f5d4f5a31833c15bf0a8bd06961ee0b8a159cd3e3d2cf94d4f30e820e9c", "token_id": "2792308411050237774826616033468387395547511795873303062414048058021179358354", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992252", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2d1db78ec40491f1721d4193ae6e8f7c88be6d9e8f730c45a0f58b1aa0bbfdd6", "event_source_sha256": "3fcc2e1903b86581166c7acaf81c17f0809314812dae4347ac07896fad6694c9" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986707", "title": "Highest temperature in London on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "6b8477a80b5319a5d8f03cf196d2125c2da11ec105abcf9203898616f95b85c6", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356220", "4356221", "4356222", "4356223", "4356224", "4356225", "4356226", "4356227", "4356228", "4356229", "4356230" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986707", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356220", "token_id": "40099367578049298116616204018727570975033085516314066869736347876943430826530", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "35c6ddfb098d004e5137c7720d32ac0ec8e1575de31b81ece44a53910cb9760a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356220", "condition_id": "0xb1afdb11d0a519fe5e9a07cceefd155fec624feb1b020f532f3c250173c51115", "token_id": "40099367578049298116616204018727570975033085516314066869736347876943430826530", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 16\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "af7b0f9099d95bbe57a933e7cc9bb5548cda180baa1f844a8e193959698a8b89", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356221", "token_id": "56031824254577386834024562120527407816884524436699978296501748943677429383648", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a064c2fb1733cb96f34a0d995ac7ecd19fb3aba22a337c9ab966120eae57f565", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356221", "condition_id": "0x3fe4071cceae3310c6db2c8ca789fffa46930078c633b81e794b05f5a3921ade", "token_id": "56031824254577386834024562120527407816884524436699978296501748943677429383648", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5a8ce6c18cfd5838e9d6b9a2dffabb52f77cdf2616b884136793ece5a222206e", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356222", "token_id": "79575001388253753402594838241765249484715238461504812645136923062469386396135", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7dc8930e08709145825acc8f493f0c3dd9c8a6da39637dfb8679050e099e7652", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356222", "condition_id": "0x68288a86447c397f41c9d0084a24ebddd40b2165dcd12da9215e86dcf5e00981", "token_id": "79575001388253753402594838241765249484715238461504812645136923062469386396135", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6cf05e5958e1c8d61d947220ee0d004bbc7d0fc12c5562b61900d397d00cae66", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356223", "token_id": "81836320570253103281454903112864952113917317973152801836258804840936140955288", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a0892faaafe58df1dd1d1a6c1915b3c0757e215c1968ab28cc0acccdf9342490", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356223", "condition_id": "0x6b5cb13256d911b5efa4a2cbfe9e3962ccb21ad96f27e5d3bc7e0594e9042c77", "token_id": "81836320570253103281454903112864952113917317973152801836258804840936140955288", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8a4dc307152ceef51a13743258383119aff31589070db2e99bc4fc2aa02ebf36", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356224", "token_id": "82398067663586676190991717002538582621357384529639111449718429087740048929670", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb261a19f5bec58004cb2ddc54bf697f5b16c081c15b976fcd3bd823ab18fb09", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356224", "condition_id": "0xfcbc215144a3f9af85f961edc1316d99aa85f27eaa6c0d459450de4df2cf521e", "token_id": "82398067663586676190991717002538582621357384529639111449718429087740048929670", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7d501975009e43d489a7605e4400e5bf6357e1ae07bcb6a9233975fe52445bb2", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356225", "token_id": "19560367680999790443225395732413224935465931421881253241975530892979064826173", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "02e7a60233dd6629c32d52000de7758c5dd2e1d42cb478b0dcf577925a7d1d8f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356225", "condition_id": "0xe950d46d7a8865623d833e76f513abcf493a53ee137c0459f47d7a9d340dd4bc", "token_id": "19560367680999790443225395732413224935465931421881253241975530892979064826173", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5ef7c0829d8ef751a619aa2064b6a1b02cc423d3ad493a71d4f7ae578efa3214", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356226", "token_id": "12460187028990684462548186073123056651376425405241392407241753634302968022552", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ce72971df25423bd6d7fc785d1430805dc123e6900a6f649896d613e10545b04", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356226", "condition_id": "0x611f87119db5c45b8f95939941f4e6ce21143be47f032f8b5a5f46b3abbe6b58", "token_id": "12460187028990684462548186073123056651376425405241392407241753634302968022552", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bfefbb90f90bff3551759ea69335e2bfa5fa8e9968de61ef32ba915003c1699f", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356227", "token_id": "985733077894385072426194946973393557911071246424460003640832996243474421172", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "53b2a763ab7d316268ff3b29310816e8ba9e4136c317823b9563b95456526a53", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356227", "condition_id": "0x67abc5104dc43dacb39db563ef2a4a966189d8b97975b86d5a6001b33ed62097", "token_id": "985733077894385072426194946973393557911071246424460003640832996243474421172", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8130da72facb038d24abc71ae803adb5c02ba6686279db690f04c2dea1c2ad82", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356228", "token_id": "107722470148065741608693553527432043414903723187544232094606924584330141001730", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dbdff2213fa4dd017d1ee92091cd332425097ac3a057aa2e099cf47cf18eeecf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356228", "condition_id": "0x219240848e312d71522b807d56817aed2c9e2a0fc1a0f8bc0bcb0c8cc8abd9d4", "token_id": "107722470148065741608693553527432043414903723187544232094606924584330141001730", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2fc71aa7b78109604c97e6cb13c8245d099ec0087fcc130935f55bf3158f5d3c", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356229", "token_id": "51222699110021701402256669622099115794994789336631746374205520690539088903241", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bfd42ef03e154acc01ad5a2d362a3d44deb8d78b950b1f0b43482f70877876f3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356229", "condition_id": "0x9d0cca6b98b72c9d11d5fb8b3c04d53d0fabcff0277dd0b3bfa849558f78942d", "token_id": "51222699110021701402256669622099115794994789336631746374205520690539088903241", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "974ed6e694c21b96b8d213d7adba058f69c65766b044395846482fdd440122a0", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356230", "token_id": "225698028421486029421492555571202028608066887984092389233617300498803424641", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1e600086695d6148f1cfec9065381878ec51362b4a94bfc37d49467a9eb3f177", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356230", "condition_id": "0x19143985dc18798ce522ad1d60279a74d1de73450c971d943afd6d817e9cec0f", "token_id": "225698028421486029421492555571202028608066887984092389233617300498803424641", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 26\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986707", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "aa4988dd8648150fbb9fc3868800c238df2a38e1385efdf9e106e7756e022179", "event_source_sha256": "bbbc26add63f9dd9ee3b6b42652446c60dec7e7c31493bbd91dee81a9eae93e5" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:995638", "title": "Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 14, "semantics_hash": "5a3e75d5330514d492015543f5cde960fc122bcfc330ca882b47bb1a4cb89ee7", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4418944", "4418945", "4418946", "4418947", "4418948", "4418949", "4418950", "4418951", "4418952", "4418953", "4418954", "4418955", "4418956", "4418957", "4418958", "4418959", "4418960", "4418961", "4418962", "4418963", "4418964", "4418965", "4418966", "4418967", "4418968", "4418969", "4418970", "4418971" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:995638", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4418952", "token_id": "105933866811164757559652661896134769107054285643121163376777005688723885684592", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alibaba", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "08fdc3fc3160b3203b33e9a20033470b0cd5af96eecb194456e2266b901534ac", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418952", "condition_id": "0xa3b1ba89ecf80721ca6c595af4eaecfc39814d51977ff64e08878e10cdf080d2", "token_id": "105933866811164757559652661896134769107054285643121163376777005688723885684592", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alibaba have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dcd44fcf69ee1c025b35c0c034f643cc573de5c60ddb2db583476b1007fd2aa1", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4418954", "token_id": "78188466192913124346433950079785751584914549691041824629957392966733589132702", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Black Forest Labs", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2a6f815bb03d5639797625f6879943ef9eef20bb878161d30a851ce47a45e626", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418954", "condition_id": "0x5854d6db9a2fbb5ebfa3aa3d8978666fcae5844f252b34bb92483717cd337100", "token_id": "78188466192913124346433950079785751584914549691041824629957392966733589132702", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Black Forest Labs have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f2e99b999600a1a13403007480cbb148a7880c123fc7f06a0a8598375fe715b3", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4418948", "token_id": "104130927514338273127009404923303418107821785767732592341895424684124285294024", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ByteDance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "04af4ca9568ebac70cf74f3f5b7939f0bb2d40c1c28fb8a02d8f6486f347058f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418948", "condition_id": "0xf31b733479e190521052ad408450a2aecc800c868bac55ee903f0724398d7f87", "token_id": "104130927514338273127009404923303418107821785767732592341895424684124285294024", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ByteDance have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "98d33e192ab3aedb0dbe883078c78348dca2879e8c84aba94d896983417622f4", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4418949", "token_id": "48485750622961287567301314136819825538768005188689651632481381765065512192706", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Google", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7314509e0c79c95480d3a666d924d953ca9eb6fa4b62d1609f49cb28735b4506", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418949", "condition_id": "0x2a56cb018524e95c6a36ad35e3b2c54b05d5a8447325212f4f88b9ca55edcc42", "token_id": "48485750622961287567301314136819825538768005188689651632481381765065512192706", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Google have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "00803c25c8b8d48637115d7670b7ed1949e9402f75f344d33d6804ab6049f0b1", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4418955", "token_id": "44508987493615112945444675389959336749629792705028871570942581229268852595766", "outcome": "yes", "label": "KlingAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "82df509a2cb3f8e89f6964acac5b507c473e11acd974d31e5f46ee21cf5f8cb1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418955", "condition_id": "0xb8f17864806eb1ed9e3adc99b457e648ced7fd59ccd84670d98c723368245857", "token_id": "44508987493615112945444675389959336749629792705028871570942581229268852595766", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will KlingAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b9bec2cda347817672852c799403f82ca26ada5259dc1a44970de75cef37c56b", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4418951", "token_id": "6007198410219321154806554985819322262135549329621417093234144499788047739228", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Luma AI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f355390ae9ca46a8f869cb434ca1ad23aaa18349cffe755616f8c7a15a5f6d48", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418951", "condition_id": "0xc9a04e60da613b897280c5a6bbe7be9277abe74506bf634e811a0e0453c39e5e", "token_id": "6007198410219321154806554985819322262135549329621417093234144499788047739228", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luma AI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a0fb3cb579f54d9d884ec0ca7ef3e08e4eef90a45ea9aa958759083d5f62810e", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4418947", "token_id": "86520487581873645000617407529944116463712188982482344822131646065930487357071", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meta", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cd2ea79fb522de29b00a4ec642a510a22596540a932281d4b84d9fef2b5a0717", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418947", "condition_id": "0x63657c63932800623be57058a7f251c4b741c285b64310f4453e0a96d82f293a", "token_id": "86520487581873645000617407529944116463712188982482344822131646065930487357071", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meta have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aedb54871715adbb548345dc2edc0fe9cb9e5348f5b9e2ab618c592755f75c0c", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4418946", "token_id": "42847522131657101263238363473912288345529333965341795268253609735853059789967", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Microsoft AI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dfe263dd28af65a71c719db9f12b2e0ae465e7ae650f0e23d081d382cdf7e4a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418946", "condition_id": "0xcf9acd0c45de2a76070bd53ca59c7f40b25900b75f1904fd2591d1d8c7590628", "token_id": "42847522131657101263238363473912288345529333965341795268253609735853059789967", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Microsoft AI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "14dadb834ae2366cfaa1e311786bcfdd7841d14f9f6d10701fda53ca9b9ff3d2", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4418944", "token_id": "23596444143736687147427298212031145129135968542610957829188124101433850553943", "outcome": "yes", "label": "OpenAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6e39b37c81d97c3396bbc70597a9e088e4b9aefcc20159aa5e62f6387306496a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418944", "condition_id": "0xefc18b3119121b0e892e8be653e433b59041aeebc1f7fcf229c463774c23f263", "token_id": "23596444143736687147427298212031145129135968542610957829188124101433850553943", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d97958bf0d0a79bd95c953508db9c2c0fe1c089b0e376c6a43b40cb996413e01", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4418956", "token_id": "3856767372484118854097439964604303225918689029779068352619343455500570649373", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pruna", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "baf157ba89776cbe20020470443e31a03112d8bb15cb31d7846637eea40cc0d3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418956", "condition_id": "0x24d3da75225e40966889a9ed237539ac27e1bf0b598ea3f2a807abad203eb88c", "token_id": "3856767372484118854097439964604303225918689029779068352619343455500570649373", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pruna have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "088a0d15d0549060ef6252cef2d17f46351c35541f285a3038517df1b62770c6", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4418950", "token_id": "15789625365235682531027898264220233074806008660328458680999423850136689279384", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Reve", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7d10a1425fa76bdcbcc6973dac68dbe730886ad4cc1773518205ec11e4b646ac", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418950", "condition_id": "0x4db7de5f7c79cc6f167a084bcd3493170e0042d9664e36fa297c3e4c9fa88c2b", "token_id": "15789625365235682531027898264220233074806008660328458680999423850136689279384", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Reve have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3c1b2da1c752114e15a0a6998083cdacb6370484fb2b7335271885fcbcdfd399", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "4418945", "token_id": "68040146109783765375931593670050855422760192899535315502546902163403212392618", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SpaceXAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "891f04f32775f4039eb7803fcfe8fa49d6fc79caa00fa21b9d3c3ba2a1d9a9ef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418945", "condition_id": "0xf8a0ada3bd2a9f9ea3a0a6c9803998f5b0ae2e34c5d34acc9aacef980b28bf7f", "token_id": "68040146109783765375931593670050855422760192899535315502546902163403212392618", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SpaceXAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ec058f10f250d4df72721ca33786cce495cb5beeb625f7b5784bbfaedda01d84", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "4418957", "token_id": "31152910823560609046618914114063796021178059276124064836543803071165711213395", "outcome": "yes", "label": "StepFun", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4f532ac685d8c6d0968a618c8950afbb9983017d7461933872a99a40e06986e2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418957", "condition_id": "0x8a34f94f37608be50c03775aa4771568e2ccc7ec2962078d7bd66a31246f24b8", "token_id": "31152910823560609046618914114063796021178059276124064836543803071165711213395", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will StepFun have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a882c959e53e37a4900e96991c5647a39dd424421f5b4ca4c605e9bea17e1f2c", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "4418953", "token_id": "63907850400097252356624468539864504595007919231423464072543379382626588225470", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tencent", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "06c10e7965ae902e24e7ebf1fdd40f2b85ab0f41b59e242d8ff4bf2c0a6584aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418953", "condition_id": "0x1ae52d39a4604d4f64067a42098034e2eb61b9641f5db6d2d06f56e496390c26", "token_id": "63907850400097252356624468539864504595007919231423464072543379382626588225470", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tencent have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Image Edit Leaderboard when the table under \"Image Edit Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Image Edit Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit (Overall) filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. Models marked \u201cPreliminary\u201d at the applicable check time will be considered.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Image Edit Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995638", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "901057842264f5a52e9a57b0aa12fc363ecd63008e6d29b6c3e081aba20d04bc", "event_source_sha256": "672ce2134e6f94d7332d96254fa5b02157ffffd6ed272be013580e95be63089a" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:117784", "title": "Top Spotify Artist 2026", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 10, "semantics_hash": "6a1d94d8377e8fce3512a4a4d64120cfc57485b5203619e30cd17af97076553b", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "995702", "995703", "995704", "995705", "995706", "995707", "995708", "995709", "995710", "995711", "995712", "995713", "995714", "995715", "995716", "995717", "995718", "995719", "995720", "995721", "995722", "995723", "995724", "995725", "995726", "995727", "995728", "995729", "995730", "995731", "995732", "995733", "995734", "995735", "995736", "995737", "995738", "995739", "995740", "995741", "995742", "995743", "995744", "995745", "995746", "995747" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:117784", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "995702", "token_id": "84559926953146780213236573115780107039976526543427713229500373094335659185505", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bad Bunny", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1f573957dfd7d188e531e0c62f562232df6ef7a67a31586d493b85af47f43358", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995702", "condition_id": "0x938e6a0a011f9534ffd2d86c65dde3aeb7c66ad06cee29ead70b832179c3b6de", "token_id": "84559926953146780213236573115780107039976526543427713229500373094335659185505", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d932a9f97f39c3399b48d53b4a706b82828127bdd30f9a4e5727dbb02b689f18", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "995711", "token_id": "68682941687946159092109471523402081762244652970943030009984394444937274201240", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Beyonc\u00e9", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fe9732f48e313e8b55dac85adc4b2f03eed39d4fb39da035b366fc6814694ff0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995711", "condition_id": "0x3936de01f890af302ca75727b772fe6dffe915ce638a08809042a3a81dd346c0", "token_id": "68682941687946159092109471523402081762244652970943030009984394444937274201240", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Beyonc\u00e9 be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "46b61b7b751c8c76d28ea426b190e86db0b3e6936ab919f1efb17a6ebaa245e9", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "995707", "token_id": "109408722309726159994284194907981745959708334274938135190768342039858793034476", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bruno Mars", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c91113e30018b0c36667d236d9b8cae6acfa751d5f901a5dfd8f8cab993a6992", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995707", "condition_id": "0x29134729ec74a0dbab6ddad9d9a745e4c0b83c59682bdc4b76412c9635d66627", "token_id": "109408722309726159994284194907981745959708334274938135190768342039858793034476", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a843568db8327d325053005233446b0fbf8862ddee99b8a02b6a9750ef21f41d", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "995710", "token_id": "76756244323959292580621865343466747413597132817678365592077495382609595329059", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chappell Roan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "57231bb5d6717db41ffba1972b4b1e25320f5c8ff62d2bf879ce0c906d1c292f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995710", "condition_id": "0x1cbe7cbbfb481ed76c054bc4c36c6fb966a2d1671d908d0e89e1f22b0adfa1d6", "token_id": "76756244323959292580621865343466747413597132817678365592077495382609595329059", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Chappell Roan be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aca1063d0e3d77081b951f90a50aa4603e41b79d88a47a669bc2db5231c92c74", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "995704", "token_id": "12369294935701377203300019700047987848793450009787501327274207549237196997903", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Drake", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "165176168a5dc09a8180b182f04e753207c3d4ed96f63eecf1f3035fb4df2594", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995704", "condition_id": "0xa087422678cebf674c69d2c86a13b89d153951f067f753e0c2044eb991c0652f", "token_id": "12369294935701377203300019700047987848793450009787501327274207549237196997903", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ac0d12ebf136cd108dece5da3b097fdf31c0cc00063615f1dde397ece5d3fe30", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "995709", "token_id": "75055518491634343238225754172066804322353911200619603473770017059656868007002", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kendrick Lamar", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5c37243d5e50abad36984f157164aae0a6eaebfe28128f6f178098de6d42b3b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995709", "condition_id": "0xfdc642275936ee1281df776b1b8a67a35eefbf9095c1266fd178dfa6996ebb4f", "token_id": "75055518491634343238225754172066804322353911200619603473770017059656868007002", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "49894932e29a089af3a62a9f88188121fa8a2ffa7e799608b1e8c52fbad2b5d5", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "995706", "token_id": "25265857280574792887110878653665871891927967464924536706348687031929049209739", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Morgan Wallen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8d84b7ba17e14df8ed1494b20b2c647297fecc3f427e7583fa6045fdeb3993dc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995706", "condition_id": "0x021e7689a90ac39c268a39ddff6269fd0f41ed84ea6833f6e5b7d900569e6d8b", "token_id": "25265857280574792887110878653665871891927967464924536706348687031929049209739", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Morgan Wallen be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "55729456135edc308ab071e10bb4a363367e492cf483100cc6752944a49ad110", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "995708", "token_id": "87783727256798391598144762644215659792411859939354027829302503274879035245702", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sabrina Carpenter", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1c899270b1b6bf00e5cdd361491174f9a7c98a295f6d09715291b634dd2583c8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995708", "condition_id": "0xfc64306c19c1faab6dee0e3d3bf4b1ec35599692a11eec762a7f54d25bc268f2", "token_id": "87783727256798391598144762644215659792411859939354027829302503274879035245702", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ef8360953c941d55ec4647bd76b61335474330ea9f4c5453b86f3c41c9428313", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "995703", "token_id": "30455848075861160607924869725570428601171045624621952729814709348346858289488", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Taylor Swift", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7f20a3b920689ba049cb3e21ab98d73a348581044a2580ed66509603ed5efc17", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995703", "condition_id": "0x0afa82ff8cb4dcf8c7a248ccaf438597619d3a6a4e4463adb109e1a1034d6e10", "token_id": "30455848075861160607924869725570428601171045624621952729814709348346858289488", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "550b8bf850cf18a32409aa776b873f42d786748200a3a75a4b5240837d7969f6", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "995705", "token_id": "20552877126021963309330960377901114870262231239849696600236708023505406755774", "outcome": "yes", "label": "The Weeknd", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f4d2f08e49db819ad75f061ce392ceb6a869c0fac0bb65f1aaae17f6bade64a7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "995705", "condition_id": "0x91ebc8bf88c5f99dd4550cb75255766f638d1932ede36e8eae78a76df0c15455", "token_id": "20552877126021963309330960377901114870262231239849696600236708023505406755774", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?", "rules": "Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. \n\nThis market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026.\n\nIf Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. \n\nThis market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "117784", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1827430c68ddaa4b7b9b5140e09571e4961573faa5cc0eca2ee8f710d19f6a0a", "event_source_sha256": "238a84c58d4c5082af768ac3175239df69027dd05113a58a560c8c30343960e7" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986719", "title": "Highest temperature in Milan on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "d682c8c1c76675f2c03620ebff0501321894767ef4e04ad3e9e54ccd8596a4fc", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356352", "4356353", "4356354", "4356355", "4356356", "4356357", "4356358", "4356359", "4356360", "4356361", "4356362" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986719", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356352", "token_id": "28130467124803341303461030237000138176580768971910505497327842211623741269381", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "68231d4308cd9ee28226fa7717483bd30e4eb1656fccfc8bee6257468ccd568d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356352", "condition_id": "0xe712b65a24f46fed638efe863364d149f8bb49c5fcf1a6aa4a83c090c2d54123", "token_id": "28130467124803341303461030237000138176580768971910505497327842211623741269381", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ad55007e973d555fb1f738a1c3620b883aa84c2cea913aa150f48ab8ea21c763", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356353", "token_id": "68334317545942608612394984047448103736666019997181132924814359200497262499725", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9266dd6af76ef74d36d94c92bc24dad3b61b0098e115f7ee23a62ceb9b0248e0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356353", "condition_id": "0x8b98d73c813136a8bb3bb4fd49a3fac2f4ab922686c5ddcf0f4f4614ef3e3055", "token_id": "68334317545942608612394984047448103736666019997181132924814359200497262499725", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "233513a45b9351e05cf424d506f64879c534eb5bbccf51440b393999e9318531", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356354", "token_id": "24421595877370218395358742799952213288102006235245223176960297100030187227245", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "690c6870afc3a0ab074705105e36d49def2bd181c0a53020c3f06ae6d560a182", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356354", "condition_id": "0x50e0a9cb7431d33529eff342f8b5ef1162c0713e562a843972f6e71e984381a4", "token_id": "24421595877370218395358742799952213288102006235245223176960297100030187227245", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8472c02717c1a6d1eec9631a0cd0f7d48a50329b0bb61ba2e66ed779c51cf340", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356355", "token_id": "6851065020932599411794016273346735228782721943873125794816249613511514259607", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c396eef63221d8daccbe1cd5a2da1bafd9eb5a8aba3bb298ddc67ebbfa5e67d6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356355", "condition_id": "0x8ef1f7e57366e5fa42ba3a30f10ef8ecee28d00f81354c390b92010064de30d6", "token_id": "6851065020932599411794016273346735228782721943873125794816249613511514259607", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "40736b029756e7671e5f8d1586efec845b7cbcd34c97216b4ab2123f6ca382c2", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356356", "token_id": "109111494091133423299441307337641926163594840171140172872059361884863586326142", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "173892893aeb1040abeda1306f507da5500480b89992df235a8fddce14bd7e7b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356356", "condition_id": "0x514632d4c70b85b01efd2e997f89c284cf4bcb7045cafae7e1eaae9afcab1b37", "token_id": "109111494091133423299441307337641926163594840171140172872059361884863586326142", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3d6b5e55997e437cf1505eca4692abd7902758258c21366b0801667eb18fff9b", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356357", "token_id": "37790792493249650048932455226914992772847997985090334919048408387364781364228", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a5b69ec916692d33bab770834ead003733150150073a5c8b3e9148dca7a5d8f0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356357", "condition_id": "0x028d10cd7e1af062f76336b44e079537985a35d869ea3a40d8a0a2d29184ee5c", "token_id": "37790792493249650048932455226914992772847997985090334919048408387364781364228", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8c7e5e71e6233602d51084d45270173dc453dfd92abad67d700ff9d16ea77732", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356358", "token_id": "83798266290145028456169086202088675314335969167043193110491224651115471108017", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "371ae32bfc3566ab20c9fb69735f54a7350091bfc4a654c2898c3c85a6f8a857", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356358", "condition_id": "0x6739870c413cfb227475d7f81df7d43abff44815140f3655be46174c7ece6cf4", "token_id": "83798266290145028456169086202088675314335969167043193110491224651115471108017", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "64251088b378159412e649ab811ec6d8bad110002081a0421838e4e16181de42", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356359", "token_id": "104080176097383813883575619201942451280323250692402864382729008267561763840448", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1c2f3c30cb384e07295a2523d606875afbe81f70225627a4ed11b002a2999615", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356359", "condition_id": "0xd6c25eecd6065acb1380504ae1205cfb709a9f162f50551069d7d43a1312217b", "token_id": "104080176097383813883575619201942451280323250692402864382729008267561763840448", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f71fe3c3f1a3088f4c96f93e74f0a6b4c58e1f0068eea40b7e4b35f9ad7da38c", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356360", "token_id": "42392768818703592213833847375711572495010565198443563203988219052705167340397", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b39b6a9e5c0b1ed24726e12911adbe4812d5ced6250709a34d225f42a44d608d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356360", "condition_id": "0xe43255dc4d4c034ae29e0fc83eaeb27ca327a06e77eac6d74e05ef71b28f9958", "token_id": "42392768818703592213833847375711572495010565198443563203988219052705167340397", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b829c5f12a18d281e9f9f2f72c29adc7b616267a9b36d3a93d909d8e28af8fdf", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356361", "token_id": "10760568554331821503964716846065774572289767781526316077961482652288007832697", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4d5472c85b14ccab2b24ab4271580691f7994b786b976cd689b9a1be106e63f4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356361", "condition_id": "0x20b33545999e4c0abe1c9b7a93fd9f4c2091f04686b34e84a1b1a25ce1f01758", "token_id": "10760568554331821503964716846065774572289767781526316077961482652288007832697", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9e862d986d9810db976bb1c2bfc466a877b78a45f1d00047ed613c7bd44bd362", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356362", "token_id": "94705033066110397755618264856290862732920021050219363038700882106414408426957", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a437e77b570fc3e9b6e988f2d608db2214f287b6e57d54f8ec49a1e48b878143", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356362", "condition_id": "0x62005b2b4aeab6ec3ff5052d79df93edb765062de58fd8945a6641aec2a3e157", "token_id": "94705033066110397755618264856290862732920021050219363038700882106414408426957", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986719", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2078e754fb84b02335fbf7133f42505cabf3ad34676d2cdd5f0d6820452cbbf0", "event_source_sha256": "d486b30feb400ead8baf7a60ffa64ff0a06acd68a50821005c8c652aa7be32f1" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:205029", "title": "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "explicit_other_outcome", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "09ffc9986ca8e208a8f8a32ca9afd1df9dea04ab90d0a9d1e40927b6ba570b27", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1366007", "1366008", "1366009", "1366010", "1366011", "1366012", "1366013", "1366014", "1366015", "1366016", "1366017" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:205029", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1366013", "token_id": "74970159510592493365491323778496021428254857628787750938391931595678615272366", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro 10%+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a8a3e8b0196508713e9345309d92c1d453717b19f50ab6afc57f0e7cd27dfffb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366013", "condition_id": "0x277dfee905afb258ea2a73842a7ea9a8cba4e3d52597d33f69bc7d159c52f3da", "token_id": "74970159510592493365491323778496021428254857628787750938391931595678615272366", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2bf18b820c864472e9846c214b3576fe8096f1381a3ae0aabd1bf31d6cc2afc1", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1366012", "token_id": "104163730910213129535412784044547089656279554877287473050849076919118163831116", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro 5-10%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c3c6cf8038a50f10179b3e61fb542102fef82c07eb214edcdd7f041b1dfdcc21", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366012", "condition_id": "0x3a539f4052dc3340948b9f56119fbee92919f7bf9bb3cc73fd7feeb310d030d4", "token_id": "104163730910213129535412784044547089656279554877287473050849076919118163831116", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5\u201310%?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7fd2756012e134490c41d82541efc7e7fc53b4d22aba9fb26fc4330c46e042c7", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1366011", "token_id": "94495166556994695319220591877877326867271103412306477867919432683718476975192", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro <5%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "07db893b1244b7aaa49ff487d0919b1efd05c04bfbbdbda0f857d7b28a25873b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366011", "condition_id": "0x25966b196ffc1682fc77df0298784831a60aea8abe03b9aa4fc219d1422feb9f", "token_id": "94495166556994695319220591877877326867271103412306477867919432683718476975192", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3bddfc7506901059b6f7a5f526a9d2f0fc68b76a0dfe754af88b2261e1610f92", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1366009", "token_id": "111501008889215248446738380766334499893429002495174888541812674365305743816241", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lula da Silva 10-15%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dca8e9ff05da748b6dfa9429caca540be8cff2bd18c08c7bc524ca1440324ddd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366009", "condition_id": "0xd99603add7350a5ff33c8dc609ab0eaae2d5d18162bb00eeb63c38c81ae038f8", "token_id": "111501008889215248446738380766334499893429002495174888541812674365305743816241", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10\u201315%?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8530945aedcd20d69e28f23989eb3bd8b62c368d86860ace39487da44dc170f5", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1366010", "token_id": "56009151213187635954366185401352128499401353317237291178150142441551329323017", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lula da Silva 15%+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "03f209684e0d67629823ded9b844116327a187739d1656347e292907dc8c719b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366010", "condition_id": "0x9dd4229c1346ba75c83a20b8176a02bae4f16a1dfd37f8b5a413d1ea69d8e03c", "token_id": "56009151213187635954366185401352128499401353317237291178150142441551329323017", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7cb4c193ccadbd6834027d39898a31fb843ee9c7228ffb1d5feb5ba86041ea63", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1366008", "token_id": "48407765042087399444287625227087734986428382872828112503518998286869389847258", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lula da Silva 5-10%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a44d8296e598f48a5e16c1d2cd73f68fc5a2ef2738e97f4b2b77b9d30238b796", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366008", "condition_id": "0x5377b12dd060efd8e3597620f120648f1bf99452a95eb70374b128d9ca133227", "token_id": "48407765042087399444287625227087734986428382872828112503518998286869389847258", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5\u201310%?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6e538ba3ce69e5ff02f307f7dfd25e79c8dc663174d21479ae1378ed1739e630", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1366007", "token_id": "111141743875022425014082366328706246366536998743881258465740846069926282242834", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lula da Silva <5%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e2d99b50f5e79387a57818312dac17e62739334e22e9a6e4960cd611b9c44ba7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366007", "condition_id": "0x5d5b8feb963ddcc0f4688f7ac0c0d375f99945b7a07155d60cd1a306c6b3054b", "token_id": "111141743875022425014082366328706246366536998743881258465740846069926282242834", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6507e48f0423ac93279abd6dfca857e45ef01b0a21bb3362289f9118b9c92437", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1366017", "token_id": "74306749719457212671387730053142004427663532632544536840572498618977716344069", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Other", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "280c27d093a628c3f038ab034b97dd503fb7fce38c14d5a8c409b4825e997959", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366017", "condition_id": "0xf0918b480dabee05030dd06079dcc206f9abdb14f89821deacc025fce5cef2aa", "token_id": "74306749719457212671387730053142004427663532632544536840572498618977716344069", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7f00502c181447a3aaf1db7f9fcd452c59e0b6a7132b990dc9f17187cefba521", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1366016", "token_id": "48237610808655602451252745673035721002146805186546999349082405380140320056791", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ratinho J\u00fanior Victory", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8f94f0d03a0bb240dd9e13cb555250584b1e8f320034b206b68c3a356de2a5bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366016", "condition_id": "0x1ebb9c918900fedc11089b62d09353ef7e9986ad9ff94fbce786e2541c1e3980", "token_id": "48237610808655602451252745673035721002146805186546999349082405380140320056791", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Carlos Roberto Massa J\u00fanior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "60b9cc86c832fbb505b68710a182af70c2d71a99500cf3e15929eb95a176b37f", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1366014", "token_id": "10454882518429916448752742772766159951084470578369066727370400009390341769549", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Renan Santos Victory", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7ce4c35bdd40b31463fed3c77830adf5943da055937dd56be0ae3cadd8d6556e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366014", "condition_id": "0x819cc40b88572690508717385d9397af991f8bc929f764fa73c99e5e10c1e55b", "token_id": "10454882518429916448752742772766159951084470578369066727370400009390341769549", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d38697ff1436a4c6333850f9ac89ddcc97e330bf74824feb1b153790a0e6629e", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "1366015", "token_id": "83269757217555629943134578848786647915368681844160716033008008468705095911501", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tarcisio de Freitas Victory", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3eabb1c4c8a2bea1f0fbd54c1cfde76efc057bf49a0c4d1f49dc892a506d4088", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1366015", "condition_id": "0x6f98bf552b696e6698beb205cf3849a80696c9c03ef500435d01e9c57e4315e3", "token_id": "83269757217555629943134578848786647915368681844160716033008008468705095911501", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "rules": "A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the next Brazil Presidential Election.\n\nFor the purpose of this market, the \u201cmargin of victory\u201d is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.\n\nIf a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "205029", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1e8ab825d04bedc7d660945a7f431307625a787eda1a67a83852e77a641d4e65", "event_source_sha256": "5b96ea89bd8a300b90585e48ce395a33b794ffc8b8365c725d0660eeab52f8a3" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986503", "title": "Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 26, "semantics_hash": "40f5ca89d93127a873979892c64e3265ac9a73c97558ef5ceee36b21598a35f2", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4354768", "4354775", "4354784", "4354792", "4354803", "4354813", "4354822", "4354833", "4354840", "4354848", "4354854", "4354856", "4354860", "4354861", "4354864", "4354865", "4354866", "4354867", "4354868", "4354870", "4354871", "4354872", "4354873", "4354874", "4354876", "4354878" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986503", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4354813", "token_id": "42130464208177527483156423027487408325738347405654093634629239983694888284146", "outcome": "yes", "label": "100-119", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8436033a9f08ef3272286d63879cec7b9f8c0b898cfc9c2f73e56a61a991da6f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354813", "condition_id": "0x365ab376a6ef9df4967fa5a6aa1e7be755050715b9c91dd17a3e56220ef7071e", "token_id": "42130464208177527483156423027487408325738347405654093634629239983694888284146", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6118918f478145ac3eee73b8738ae906406f2f6abe234f0a614383690002016a", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4354822", "token_id": "105110213805685705673680653314744691770339225502934178835515512341398855687672", "outcome": "yes", "label": "120-139", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "93d8dd0eef50ef2a968466439d2a8ad9ab7c0979bbad6d6a8db6b15983b6267d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354822", "condition_id": "0xb131d26b0881185f31be5bb997abb5715efcbf0f7fa87c0320c387ff90415ea0", "token_id": "105110213805685705673680653314744691770339225502934178835515512341398855687672", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "32040e95c2d24d733de43751d842eac5467080b94def08d46336697b6b892d31", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4354833", "token_id": "101857580020892448111886119569057842288430824457562865154194455210120974272248", "outcome": "yes", "label": "140-159", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fec04862f91fc3e56075e48db78157ab25e1f4ec10ec1263cc02c18d442f7868", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354833", "condition_id": "0x5a1cd869e48d61085d696c208081832fe98a21d0b08d8457177102a3779d4ea7", "token_id": "101857580020892448111886119569057842288430824457562865154194455210120974272248", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ece60ba856c43a61c8a0ea2550d4496cd4338a96841b405d75f7475b91e2f94e", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4354840", "token_id": "21073944466209022418836988941856349977676797472101106627683388961898565846088", "outcome": "yes", "label": "160-179", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f675f3ec5a99a3b5d12ed4e0b0aaaa159b5e94e0f1c42fdd420b6da106bc7e93", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354840", "condition_id": "0xc80307dfabb96cffbdd615abf23082104fdb777015e76c5779a10fab9f1c5dbc", "token_id": "21073944466209022418836988941856349977676797472101106627683388961898565846088", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "581b77f58d60565355cd86051212e1446b906a8ba11e9ce20dcb8f5ad031bf78", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4354848", "token_id": "74711379555529340176668827977879596278954460052897534213403500228415372600292", "outcome": "yes", "label": "180-199", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eef29793a22f9df8128b5c633a3d0cc11ce179a597addf97cbdc9cde7cd34765", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354848", "condition_id": "0xc9edea0ed9ea7ac560b2231302e153f64a059e09c08d8ed14b496305728d0770", "token_id": "74711379555529340176668827977879596278954460052897534213403500228415372600292", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d0d023f2146a9ee12e642d593d0bef5215999f29b32c4ad6db19e57d7154e40e", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4354775", "token_id": "56440664805828229757529747113981013762128826035880341503259544284135200881115", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20-39", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "70f1e8c79de518f416d1c79d9fd9e7dc1a2b3bd342a405a3ba79a218cc7b6f43", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354775", "condition_id": "0xa0ca66c5ac023089ee2833eb0a81ad944de856b67baa0d696452c0d7113b1b1d", "token_id": "56440664805828229757529747113981013762128826035880341503259544284135200881115", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5d1cf05aa7c0f0c89d51d266cd9a221bdb677af4d042a9ba2ef7ad78bf6a25be", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4354854", "token_id": "7607194062239026367183830383431150648846185906871265260068885671842900567590", "outcome": "yes", "label": "200-219", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "78814f2ca4d7946b6c2506056060ab823f5cb216dc9715c478b896530966c2b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354854", "condition_id": "0x5899cb29acd77c44c2c832b031f4d3db09991cbee9441dcbfc78ae3733f12e7c", "token_id": "7607194062239026367183830383431150648846185906871265260068885671842900567590", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9afeef117d2bf1a51e3f49d8e812c628e88dc789fc8559ec6f8ea5473a6cb2a6", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4354856", "token_id": "40070145238378000798724655737841169262432342493990719547604292181062418562244", "outcome": "yes", "label": "220-239", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "adfe0aa2addd0a0b4d5ceab92ea0668db497aedb676bffced203ffdff52ad154", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354856", "condition_id": "0x628bee7486266ad03b6d7c0e64667c60d6d73a5d22b113747be2a77c4e26c580", "token_id": "40070145238378000798724655737841169262432342493990719547604292181062418562244", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4185d75334e9924df2891648680de894456674c2480a6cf506d1982ee494fd6a", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4354860", "token_id": "33364059134809173975265840974732279039383921340591487795107174696294347964701", "outcome": "yes", "label": "240-259", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "91c722723b2056d6a04e5ba90971bfe3e5231a86183eb6e0b8b34996184d7d49", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354860", "condition_id": "0x967c7742cdf23f843b4aca4ca36abd466e30f93b355c943adfee8221f7ef4b7f", "token_id": "33364059134809173975265840974732279039383921340591487795107174696294347964701", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c6265cc9b0e22f5f59f4fa0d1e7dc96b0e2d442d98d7aad2bc64d0195dc44363", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4354861", "token_id": "90161419627398305639606177400835956704524507417021957895305779276212224901525", "outcome": "yes", "label": "260-279", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd865a99c8ac3abf3c4e03c8dc294486aa1d05f3cdc2df0e274bde57ed332f64", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354861", "condition_id": "0x36ca388f5ce7e8570f12ac9112bd8210b99394adc2683775a7d53b02eae0109a", "token_id": "90161419627398305639606177400835956704524507417021957895305779276212224901525", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "26867432474e4bede15cae8a2b42ba2bd4585875875396d2c25919bb82b9f037", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4354864", "token_id": "40838082471260209237411552056108628882928098357879058318430947498244433748159", "outcome": "yes", "label": "280-299", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0b16b7bc3c5cb55993ecd1140f33a6250123bbbd302a759fd70af1aa106fd9fe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354864", "condition_id": "0x1ed4c66816f9b71581c49b612e6317473cbb991773555a87ba402c30311b360b", "token_id": "40838082471260209237411552056108628882928098357879058318430947498244433748159", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7c2a1ceb09362e155322d6ec7d201a35b91ec67ba8fb9849bbd57b2808d669e9", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "4354865", "token_id": "27512046605109873448007631509996344108700502285014819518727955953718959014770", "outcome": "yes", "label": "300-319", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4986025309a3cc7560121c8cdf2b07d5687487931014483ba729c4847feebd38", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354865", "condition_id": "0x0febe7493630d949f36a4ba0b88392cdaae4974f7b59c031ae12e01ace244b3e", "token_id": "27512046605109873448007631509996344108700502285014819518727955953718959014770", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a7bd2d4a0d962f524720ffe84cb8946d2b2d39db9d1c8832e76350211f660027", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "4354866", "token_id": "99529251277102926398266618335635908641894861361852200668766349662679048770043", "outcome": "yes", "label": "320-339", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8cd4996c76c42a73ba1173a39af95183ecddb4c80bf8cfba837f11a6b6a161b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354866", "condition_id": "0x13d8ec1aabcd78d7867aa36721ae92cf57565dddbe293dcdf4579b4f18cbdbe0", "token_id": "99529251277102926398266618335635908641894861361852200668766349662679048770043", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8cfe396bd4058401f956bc170c94f16e991b767f50b46c3d79e9216bfc138636", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "4354867", "token_id": "13795398043302799807830665675439586157940923560905034537255347671789973522596", "outcome": "yes", "label": "340-359", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "34eb861cdf2eb552f04ed0f75d546366c99ca6e299fbc3d29c48a8e4f0af37d9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354867", "condition_id": "0xfa409481a6ad335d6c0c9334a0df15c2aec7a64dda352f631cf091fe1667ea9a", "token_id": "13795398043302799807830665675439586157940923560905034537255347671789973522596", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ed7617a21ff30bd396fcf389f949d8a3cb60418ba643e791cc0aa5b261c95ad5", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "4354868", "token_id": "57274421865741970814603516622932467300826768671374128391122702549414502835189", "outcome": "yes", "label": "360-379", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "478900be94b726a49c03adc53866abbdae48756b7a841b32b89e6f6fb077a6a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354868", "condition_id": "0x29de707fcc894d2aaf6c18ef5ed0e0d76f8b1997262b50953b37e7a54529c615", "token_id": "57274421865741970814603516622932467300826768671374128391122702549414502835189", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "efc2a3da44cbfdb72795e3819bb95a5e79e67f40cb0802750d9585c77bd79e6b", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "4354870", "token_id": "64572987025786501805728299763900888959946874866249681421871217840975221189754", "outcome": "yes", "label": "380-399", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8985c52dea41f1c269607ca825de2455651df9a6ef78c356e66d46d9291910ce", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354870", "condition_id": "0xd5b0be6f31e9636ebffaac25e0b74437a028de01322478025defd5f7e614964e", "token_id": "64572987025786501805728299763900888959946874866249681421871217840975221189754", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2a6a9788450cf168c799ad63f4d0aa8562ed8003562ad03e2bd2ee38f528ff42", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "4354784", "token_id": "49747378349978985474125180774940042370589874593737387108181871283742206838652", "outcome": "yes", "label": "40-59", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b0b741fba3c935d343235a03d116ea8730fe70273a022fa53812aee06320d874", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354784", "condition_id": "0x4bdb1e2e03c558b180ed7ea2818e31986a29a6c6ec040d0254b703ccce8816e8", "token_id": "49747378349978985474125180774940042370589874593737387108181871283742206838652", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "92ca057be3ce3d9b404dc5ef545ad0d5662882fb9943a44b2ecf935c2e986f11", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "4354871", "token_id": "35909272109142659150222923237571832055844379757927953210514685871659738119255", "outcome": "yes", "label": "400-419", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fcd97c1b148254ca19642a5d3ecccf887839dbdb4b9cb313c4fd488898b85268", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354871", "condition_id": "0xd86ed07f17fb7b9daa305f7e85aada6798a0c028faa5a5b396f06be831f9b33a", "token_id": "35909272109142659150222923237571832055844379757927953210514685871659738119255", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0d086a3704a72df6e52b211a28278e965b0880b94e48c4598531a25a9d6b3219", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "4354872", "token_id": "49260433918920421402628153623040145405899833047262760237659821930277684464313", "outcome": "yes", "label": "420-439", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "687ffef6767247229a2a8a9d32df645163541da640712e626be2301f80065757", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354872", "condition_id": "0xb75b2477a76345d55a311d03e1820131de6c5d76f31b494d4cf7f621c674ebd2", "token_id": "49260433918920421402628153623040145405899833047262760237659821930277684464313", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "00e5c7e85db37a4477902abbe7bc4e7a62eb31ee4d0a41ef7b2a85ecf65a6fe0", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "4354873", "token_id": "35158841463750359747114309835296443661676274307823850639956264842238160456291", "outcome": "yes", "label": "440-459", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c645e18da5b8aa757d336f43e09946227676e49fe127a28796c4495bb5d9c5fb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354873", "condition_id": "0xae9460deba24e545a73e2b512b56cd6ba86a0f3ee1a3e77b1410188f38a70b2f", "token_id": "35158841463750359747114309835296443661676274307823850639956264842238160456291", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "186e123d4d2746adbe284b9fc3ce7b371b2d832aff1cf611b6d022e87d6c1266", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "4354874", "token_id": "110204476537734340163870476110498736480977891426257130393688392791724882362536", "outcome": "yes", "label": "460-479", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e994d4323bb0768d374f17a6b1263130fea8b103d4ab7895d46e0b190fe3c5b4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354874", "condition_id": "0xd03ee2fa7d168ec0c7eb0a9ef9b80fb749ecbfe8ca14be2de469b7f9871023d6", "token_id": "110204476537734340163870476110498736480977891426257130393688392791724882362536", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "15f448d46dbb36e3ac953eb661a614ea09e3292f164eaae60417f394279f3f67", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "4354876", "token_id": "71528340623108681792054121980430385972947129249427540454723890655613840894380", "outcome": "yes", "label": "480-499", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fb4e7fc4f3fe250acb19bc83af40700d212d84f74c31529dd8051dc674a541d5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354876", "condition_id": "0x551c13c1ef9a3fc70f19b7926576b6e7064148db51d8f294c075b8e35e222cfb", "token_id": "71528340623108681792054121980430385972947129249427540454723890655613840894380", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b7d761d9a9f394cc365f1f120c97f11689f3f08c911903baa5b4ebf52c497f69", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "4354878", "token_id": "9146838300327025402218811941056039416981862427475442370087682910583713847151", "outcome": "yes", "label": "500+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d41307d0cef0548100c6abe64f09336cebc101d033aeefe71c29e30903254ef5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354878", "condition_id": "0x86dee3f66a2eef2e129f1a0a675aa658f83cddd99ac7277d24d1807934d7cde8", "token_id": "9146838300327025402218811941056039416981862427475442370087682910583713847151", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5e48ef31f27037edb1548fe01d40dbcab0d1981b8d98800e777e67dd162344f6", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "4354792", "token_id": "64445803069783401327011485994661263621677957336437061041205203160862548700000", "outcome": "yes", "label": "60-79", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f2a8af79a630498aab49600d6c758458902cacde5047f7eafd2d476df2600b0f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354792", "condition_id": "0x7307b12e19a45a1ebf7417e3f258d13bd5d0b09da1eb972f6d6ff1ed90a237d7", "token_id": "64445803069783401327011485994661263621677957336437061041205203160862548700000", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "96ed90b526f1956f303842f1537039503064d0436ab8362e0b2b685281e150db", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "4354803", "token_id": "28023010820038153957462825932220109221209845490212074923416228363377953709675", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-99", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1b924c0d92de06396bfb8aeabac34785f410413fdea954f708304231b697bcb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354803", "condition_id": "0xc80a2461e91c83416bf506692d4fc0510453af2d4cff1ed45fca362ca00052a9", "token_id": "28023010820038153957462825932220109221209845490212074923416228363377953709675", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9b4f291935c58fdadf46d3e733011552307f0545f2c84087ddaa5bff385502e2", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "4354768", "token_id": "56658030224919478105678684644540974780239070282001985764260783764577407983971", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<20", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f32912839d87370c3b7cb0de2d4e0399a347070f8686f1684f336da055794a07", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4354768", "condition_id": "0xb2a45b515fac0431a0187556ea76c295789f95c1a1f9b1723b65eec27c8d9982", "token_id": "56658030224919478105678684644540974780239070282001985764260783764577407983971", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 11 12:00 PM ET to September 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986503", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ca35c7dd3b75bcff125ec23347d3658377d1c6307121163032f462d541228d26", "event_source_sha256": "ad5ce935a2d2b135a41cd2dc9009f023520186951cf6232155ef5bb6fc1308fc" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986608", "title": "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "306e697cc898d43b0badc17e8e10602471b4ed6d8fbf8db585d016a125b9ed25", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4355618", "4355619", "4355620", "4355621", "4355622", "4355623", "4355624", "4355625", "4355626", "4355627", "4355628" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986608", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4355618", "token_id": "46265007338011256315410361239779457203111475024073374597976940919739391269517", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4f0384d5dc66c3653f4439ca6008cebdf2a4d173e72fae8aafdf7b29c6ca57d1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355618", "condition_id": "0x1ac42dafbcdc09e2d2236db5696d5a0da9e3ffced7d8cc963bb15773d2d34e8a", "token_id": "46265007338011256315410361239779457203111475024073374597976940919739391269517", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "afd007e220c146222fa3b4ba0e20c9be5d09d552c4ba8b26a001f7089a92ad44", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4355619", "token_id": "29630461461121256345180466217085892367977439425960035694267170738199083994334", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "31e59a20f71c11b8bbd6e4870c11e4ad7a9f57be106906c55502e8712bc10607", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355619", "condition_id": "0x32936306ecc49bab8e1de1adf798df973ff71ef400ddbcfbf30f39963e9fedb5", "token_id": "29630461461121256345180466217085892367977439425960035694267170738199083994334", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "668005f921d722116af0348ecb10b39bdaec5fa05e09f41ab95c8df3df9674b6", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4355620", "token_id": "42887209526214532368044642999435997935667341831876088019819977789661204649017", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c3cdf757ccfe76afcce6f0ba10892967a958cddab5c6e517fbf650e04400123f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355620", "condition_id": "0xa332ebddf3b503fc72c138ed6cb6c322c6d7f239af02a57f82376a971b8b293f", "token_id": "42887209526214532368044642999435997935667341831876088019819977789661204649017", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "974b6a3414a47af4b4b119d6554fa8cc1506143ee342e4d85893ecfafba80bc8", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4355621", "token_id": "15784502395756343001648654159799207114174608182309088118094809909329645973306", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "80113033563d9cc881ac84260e8c3bdcfd88c97dd375d0602ed13f0b1586bf7a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355621", "condition_id": "0x39621d8f4690d3f3668d7f85069b0522c36e7e5edea74413f7e6b1ab3a50095b", "token_id": "15784502395756343001648654159799207114174608182309088118094809909329645973306", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5e035e7fb309038036c88fb336164b005751b429bedc21c2ed7cd2069722c6b8", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4355622", "token_id": "45705868053298827532204630040598857246246864364403121247090067152091604219409", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bd0c3161589f2d3780264e576841845f131a1729aed08d0be7287505e0da7c4f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355622", "condition_id": "0x0cad44df9caa2d3c6ff6af0dc634ac1a18174b4a54cdb7e31106509496925515", "token_id": "45705868053298827532204630040598857246246864364403121247090067152091604219409", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6a586271e979681bb63207c82eb798030c4832efa4fc55b6aea31e0d9fd88c56", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4355623", "token_id": "22519330268400974809602082657579125327928378277114545232062393825591163527272", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "62b4575320206c4272590a6b1d16217cfd30a0d0b875abf27eab7aa9c4a62a31", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355623", "condition_id": "0x7db2a28c75c9df1376814c6c428f824d8536d4429c70aea4a9025a98e607b9cc", "token_id": "22519330268400974809602082657579125327928378277114545232062393825591163527272", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8f31f0ef819ede80ae6814213b96c1b90a18d9f12ad886740df65452012322a0", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4355624", "token_id": "98177661918569665460158587143610302362720163004979978742545011493719592941500", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9afaf92fbceef636b2a301f58823fb784f8299efc686519ba7370ed2e04bea86", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355624", "condition_id": "0xc9e033ab1d66f266c7d7660f8a367e57d823bdb1a76edc6961e83a23620ad702", "token_id": "98177661918569665460158587143610302362720163004979978742545011493719592941500", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "12c2129b35d41d9423b928961c07881a4f8f7e9751f22fdfa0545bbf2a28de70", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4355625", "token_id": "48627507821654135392881939311939564326972905820238912544840000382473230972454", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b2c5adcde32d61ccfd984fed848aeda2c474283829e5bf6281523a256f192811", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355625", "condition_id": "0x3bbf63d8d4e421eb9ac48ffd87dbbd11a4bb2eb05b25a038e3911d1a1703607f", "token_id": "48627507821654135392881939311939564326972905820238912544840000382473230972454", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "90acac7cb7d532c443a2250499b63118aca3ed3a59e04bc317533189b8ef37a6", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4355626", "token_id": "77633196164494275381820670771047477672264463542290945834212096104820887529422", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a9be1d18e1add885c402fda66ffa34e00120a7c448dd03eebcdbaa2367ff544a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355626", "condition_id": "0x16018c8370a69029adf930b4886f3150dfc9ab53b74f503a2d394ac41f34611a", "token_id": "77633196164494275381820670771047477672264463542290945834212096104820887529422", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7031b3da6c1749a37e66a63c0d273ef87985c9701a789e894d4942cfb71edf51", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4355627", "token_id": "30853675893292959949950261991827955586769813039092377020754670153219032430601", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f40017392ccf0ad2385f70743ea85770a1e71d2e53b4e19a9d2218a624adc1c6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355627", "condition_id": "0x5555ffa3e3cbbeee0246520b5730b7406d2f4f7a1fcfcb31790f289114cc1ea4", "token_id": "30853675893292959949950261991827955586769813039092377020754670153219032430601", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8055dd100c1ca2f10678203d00e0448b26258d6561f96ceb3ae83736af93b2b3", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4355628", "token_id": "71788624626843985990333759217042938165832950225519461698247143025753223657910", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "300cb49011460fefe05f3ffb0a6cfd19cfce0d2ebf8785b16cb3e2ccbefb6ff6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355628", "condition_id": "0x7ab9ab0bd1671e337b5011c999689f81effc30a6a432071117fcf6468ac9b613", "token_id": "71788624626843985990333759217042938165832950225519461698247143025753223657910", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986608", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0abe6f434c930589e6032c56f5982bb20ca3801a6453ef172ea1d59a9ea6178f", "event_source_sha256": "11ff4a24acffa798090e9484c37762aa9cd95b161834f16f9bf00e2d647f1ad4" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:959620", "title": "Ethereum price on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "d485f716a6032bf80cc0bc51810c892090d7bd871117d741ed7fef31061691b8", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4190627", "4190629", "4190631", "4190634", "4190636", "4190638", "4190640", "4190642", "4190644", "4190645", "4190648" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:959620", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4190629", "token_id": "106999107469412103891453709591653111551144018122815024238875354875361098699359", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2,100-2,200", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f9584b34d04187a80dc587de8c69be32144895745ff303610cdb7df84e435ce8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190629", "condition_id": "0x3228e9bf8f0a390b3b53b05b904ca4cc224d9215acb94db8e8cdd6eb53995379", "token_id": "106999107469412103891453709591653111551144018122815024238875354875361098699359", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0fcd0390845ed71014e683b78dbf3336a24f654949edd3433a5b96d91a7e8fd3", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4190631", "token_id": "38807715834617148303585240578070208526786018623241570988592391609980011933342", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2,200-2,300", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a5ff30dbb79fd27158e8f2faa91d8cc3c032b61808d8ee0a171eda8ce457b81f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190631", "condition_id": "0xff239cc921dd6d619ae890ca48261e99a6e2b28ec7c140120c2b37816eaab0ab", "token_id": "38807715834617148303585240578070208526786018623241570988592391609980011933342", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1dcdac799f10cd2d45ad8efabc7c3091ac9959674345de3dfe19a51a9c8a20ce", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4190634", "token_id": "80425449738698258524479662756550987040031150615594201309725502695990527944177", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2,300-2,400", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2bfb3a18289eccb02c755f2ab081c14209caefc7475cf9264e1d7837fa53eb56", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190634", "condition_id": "0x7d60917a790457171b7e5bd8f6d16d5fb715ccea995bb4fbd86657a540b2c7ac", "token_id": "80425449738698258524479662756550987040031150615594201309725502695990527944177", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2665ccf380cc54630089dc60f32c8d74dab562336693100a765876e13e13d8ef", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4190636", "token_id": "82598097311423307502794593598478443265679972865143605559521730160132563160811", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2,400-2,500", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7e4bc360a2f13f6a81b4e2f0fe8d8937bf9c8f4ff1cee096f07cbe6448a86e5f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190636", "condition_id": "0xc158b3de9b8e90018d26983c06519733b571914bc2eb9fcf23264c7baa293400", "token_id": "82598097311423307502794593598478443265679972865143605559521730160132563160811", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "530249510740c2dd19c9abaaa3b8a06467f4850889eefea15dcb4147816646bc", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4190638", "token_id": "39451409908718037214504489921232294620992218530439727361893613627358286370563", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2,500-2,600", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8f7b035b5846c83492441f421ded0bbd7095b8d1a5db56810cdc9582dd956777", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190638", "condition_id": "0x404358fb757ee73ef2c5e3d4d67a5b0747845bc139d10930155fac05106ae32e", "token_id": "39451409908718037214504489921232294620992218530439727361893613627358286370563", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c01b6dc6b19e04f14ceace9cebc01a88130db22ec8b542eb7f6c509b28ba7a32", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4190640", "token_id": "96925216220690188241606611024959548367653120777927945580418483770969919899199", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2,600-2,700", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2bb0a27be1f1bc8aa124a6fe5336183062d63de46b55e5992fc20f7b0268adff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190640", "condition_id": "0x62c47c3ad5512cb1497a4195f072ed35f90cd2617b7ed690c82ea9dfcc13070e", "token_id": "96925216220690188241606611024959548367653120777927945580418483770969919899199", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8b01ece5299dc850139715d2b63b92e46c92ebdc728817a402e96c3ba7762f33", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4190642", "token_id": "38026783557640176877854479981825286704783052517878389467930543768686853798146", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2,700-2,800", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1b1c608b6e87f3236b0aa74814bc81eabfd999e5c2aac64f323699dc9757b3f9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190642", "condition_id": "0x1d8436c4838ddc7e4dc339acd024d7635484b98ae3ee70e9b78ccdf07841df53", "token_id": "38026783557640176877854479981825286704783052517878389467930543768686853798146", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "965676ab86ee1f2b8ba93ead18eb776eb43d487a3689b956de52eac1b03de116", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4190644", "token_id": "45392470408719388373041170069488544820756375210537121094905151931955515682970", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2,800-2,900", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1f75ede373c3d874806953d144d18a6a4889676ce61c45517fed0b19cf335409", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190644", "condition_id": "0x16cbff864536641f4042b689b564dc7be8d1f5a3fec6af90aeb2169d85554fca", "token_id": "45392470408719388373041170069488544820756375210537121094905151931955515682970", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7b2a2009d1a4c108a64f006dc38eed64b126498cf2aab3091348c9d9f63582ee", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4190645", "token_id": "43362655969360561217293188273709191478107710555355348401826770300142965612148", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2,900-3,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0b95240458f3343188ab361a07295233b1c3a872b0f9d979f910a0f107f4f8f9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190645", "condition_id": "0x523a1f2cbaa793ac412a783db5f473c08948885caaf95d15331fb4671fdca6da", "token_id": "43362655969360561217293188273709191478107710555355348401826770300142965612148", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a9a982f47c9138219f8d5062b86ee02a6b7232a3117b4e86693f3f7f330398f5", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4190627", "token_id": "82148314412392932100875889219576041465900538105324298418273743155112418062119", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<2,100", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "619ca73eb87f12e32c301c43ee8774396204ac49f174a319f9d2c7857e6f6893", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190627", "condition_id": "0x4ec1340cf4da9bd71d0fe09ad1e18a97134ad3e7b47d290b3b3ea57514087cfa", "token_id": "82148314412392932100875889219576041465900538105324298418273743155112418062119", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,100 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "31398aaf70336b02852563558180e5792bee374db90889478d8a9422abba67ea", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4190648", "token_id": "111405952287815463312802570867585502782187644905697954105840286657341105702868", "outcome": "yes", "label": ">3,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bf4cf541b3175e7bc677861121701cd7e2cba84e39117a2c81c0153cb6f8f9ff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4190648", "condition_id": "0x69dd639cdc65dbbda0b4cca165a60fbaeec3464b5b58012b5e1dd2de960a9a57", "token_id": "111405952287815463312802570867585502782187644905697954105840286657341105702868", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,000 on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959620", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "58c501589c70a1b3efb45669448f527773ecda3a1c1ef493bd78f2b406946423", "event_source_sha256": "3dc21dd0d967430c1e86c11e42211d40fa84e158edf4212c60a3243640da456f" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:940186", "title": "Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "cb8e2fa70bd52fe6623ceff2a9a68c55fc0eb7d0c30c87995bf2408d11cab6d6", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4019525", "4019526", "4019527" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:940186", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4019526", "token_id": "27375701786110757148158587930512095135324396450359659969140525228210399748968", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af144bb49922bf5fbfb95b5f047c2fe7a0b2c8e09e67f9dd50a66b6279586284", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4019526", "condition_id": "0xada534a76bff6359ccbef6e8575d0329c29eed4a95c774e2d6126dc5b57aba4d", "token_id": "27375701786110757148158587930512095135324396450359659969140525228210399748968", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 12, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-12T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "940186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4f0336069f1fc04085e783f1f4c9a2ded4de009c8ade492f2205209c32676dac", "event_source_sha256": "a79811fc37481214e4f135e2633648a272e1359e268546ac0e54d06d19f37fee" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4019527", "token_id": "13046609520073901018978389152136302723669134722664551812894310652436510144270", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "27d77c3cd9bebf3d1a42d2990b048e7bc527d326b3a3add74ad64214018187fc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4019527", "condition_id": "0x8c98e3f64f8b8c1a1a024e7e2d9479626e44b1129e18a94aa61a50d803337bc4", "token_id": "13046609520073901018978389152136302723669134722664551812894310652436510144270", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-12?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 12, 2026\nIf Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-12T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "940186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5b365312983f0e9e9c212871fce984d91da394c84042d7b6a3bc3f2e8c6a3867", "event_source_sha256": "a79811fc37481214e4f135e2633648a272e1359e268546ac0e54d06d19f37fee" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4019525", "token_id": "99949119284698255227721477869491768581607505173358212985329185504744666733704", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Real Madrid CF", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "72a033e4f5eb55d3d7a0f4479b2b5f8c383a2145aca590b912ce245f45f22c89", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4019525", "condition_id": "0x2762ff210a8315edd51d402795b30f971ba92adfa0f654247b3ec3b3b653f18d", "token_id": "99949119284698255227721477869491768581607505173358212985329185504744666733704", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-12?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 12, 2026\nIf Real Madrid CF wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-12T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "940186", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d07d4d25d4683a363f042b2d3d21cda5af9b0b946981948ab232b536ed070e0f", "event_source_sha256": "a79811fc37481214e4f135e2633648a272e1359e268546ac0e54d06d19f37fee" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:147974", "title": "United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 7, "semantics_hash": "777de6bb0652e3fd28575e78ccaa84246f1b0e5a753102fe72edf5e22b187299", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1125100", "1125101", "1125102", "1125103", "1125104", "1125105", "1125106" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:147974", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1125101", "token_id": "29437823723140217357074249766661895936487312248581068076596261606725152484192", "outcome": "yes", "label": "280\u2013294", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b0a1a3002787b8d9205c1e629327791595e63aaf42e04eaae158dae240a48d1e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1125101", "condition_id": "0x070312637ff200867e1316b2a4e31c7f2492610c78dd0851608c23f6ef9f3d7a", "token_id": "29437823723140217357074249766661895936487312248581068076596261606725152484192", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.\n\nIf results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market\u2019s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "147974", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9db32f7f7bbef5fec69afbd2645e5e850e4f4eec979bb0934baf84b357ff83c6", "event_source_sha256": "1c0b1692e87648a96101e5bf3ec60056d23da0501d07873cbefb970ceee76fd6" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1125102", "token_id": "64185329950651325995811365760471851443559550508668407058343096277276377997961", "outcome": "yes", "label": "295\u2013309", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8ca7b6cc07f880f76a1d4d04c520ea2420fb31d48eef81dad517619a8126f4b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1125102", "condition_id": "0x0a9bb5f9c32f57b1683bec4170da0a1116876f2bf0665a1ec9bf6c6db76d2f57", "token_id": "64185329950651325995811365760471851443559550508668407058343096277276377997961", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.\n\nIf results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market\u2019s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "147974", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "52786afa3c049816fb8d69c78b06f3b4555bc72cad36d5883d00d44f3be5fc0d", "event_source_sha256": "1c0b1692e87648a96101e5bf3ec60056d23da0501d07873cbefb970ceee76fd6" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1125103", "token_id": "55194946908077358946678288054444144925253856497002247503827745964051403029179", "outcome": "yes", "label": "310\u2013324", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3f32207195708f2a8dce0b6238740a29cc709253c64493cfe1e1d8221c734bb6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1125103", "condition_id": "0x8e41c5c2c887553ea7cce7f3644b50c62c8ab55238b50e939048f6d71aae6d4c", "token_id": "55194946908077358946678288054444144925253856497002247503827745964051403029179", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia win between 310 and 324 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.\n\nIf results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market\u2019s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "147974", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "52764f1559009966827f78a06d5fcb399daa0c47cb6e6d30e6a6e274675c0a67", "event_source_sha256": "1c0b1692e87648a96101e5bf3ec60056d23da0501d07873cbefb970ceee76fd6" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1125104", "token_id": "36654380138980286408755216940812345632701505883007076173124647888379931416486", "outcome": "yes", "label": "325\u2013339", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b920b7775c1f42b87bf5fe4f0f2d0d27fba39948887433842e6fd0b222e29357", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1125104", "condition_id": "0xe62ab836381dd820968f6b58ab546958aaa63de184c48bc6e0522d551807e1b1", "token_id": "36654380138980286408755216940812345632701505883007076173124647888379931416486", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.\n\nIf results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market\u2019s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "147974", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9523e50e88e86c220af61b21e146c90ea0f6bc68638254e8d43ad160d2d4a9be", "event_source_sha256": "1c0b1692e87648a96101e5bf3ec60056d23da0501d07873cbefb970ceee76fd6" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1125105", "token_id": "64222838365566779811156446052958889905531155913373673203287843797393909396341", "outcome": "yes", "label": "340\u2013354", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b9e45859b9131b92654095305977fb8c60da32ee732e22b286516c41ef7beb72", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1125105", "condition_id": "0x5ee38949a4ba69f716052e5139b03953e2ecf79e8130d583f92acd87e3c1ca68", "token_id": "64222838365566779811156446052958889905531155913373673203287843797393909396341", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.\n\nIf results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market\u2019s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "147974", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "86b4bdee9881713709d94f3c2e0c43e76a6a832e3df9ffb6de2bcf9cdec30ce2", "event_source_sha256": "1c0b1692e87648a96101e5bf3ec60056d23da0501d07873cbefb970ceee76fd6" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1125106", "token_id": "67032868629198244197151679081284498411007663096019552211176387895758573646847", "outcome": "yes", "label": "355+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "77a0c687bdf892858705db6cb549e21c5fa5a9e07099373246e1b61bc22a5915", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1125106", "condition_id": "0x2421eb7f6db120f7fa8a4bac72805d412a397b3d99bcb1202a05cf9b35f63176", "token_id": "67032868629198244197151679081284498411007663096019552211176387895758573646847", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.\n\nIf results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market\u2019s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "147974", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f04b1d0192945828aa102fbdac0fabeb322674aeb3b1a71be3143edfa9efb581", "event_source_sha256": "1c0b1692e87648a96101e5bf3ec60056d23da0501d07873cbefb970ceee76fd6" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1125100", "token_id": "26864710114110854020382485231173523573999433514840714492045583910038521396538", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<280", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "166b9754aa1379c7c1a82686852ae6d8069643b1088f910858c03a2b407c608f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1125100", "condition_id": "0x430751274480232547064a75eb29ceead00b95cf3e21709911a147cfada04e16", "token_id": "26864710114110854020382485231173523573999433514840714492045583910038521396538", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.\n\nIf results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market\u2019s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "147974", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "575bcced700c9952c8d7b2b8b5893e4ac3c3d670b143350bc283f70805982ace", "event_source_sha256": "1c0b1692e87648a96101e5bf3ec60056d23da0501d07873cbefb970ceee76fd6" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992267", "title": "Highest temperature in Beijing on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "6bb8bf4cb863dcfab9d32ec80db866b0213e64f47ae0f358454f0c943206c853", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400142", "4400143", "4400144", "4400145", "4400146", "4400147", "4400148", "4400149", "4400150", "4400151", "4400152" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992267", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400142", "token_id": "40257100181551946881344278964241243656290943489053866980702615237033819664037", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4877fe69297edf137870e21ff4087a40652e5e70c4c752f9a45717cfd680d8cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400142", "condition_id": "0x300d77d364b7f9ac5e573602caa826d02ecc3dda410068820de7abb320d30aa6", "token_id": "40257100181551946881344278964241243656290943489053866980702615237033819664037", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "61a208112b8b111066ec829a96b4a28472c14608efa68a56508d734c92a101d3", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400143", "token_id": "113286294865186786084462482104326947259615421347488562414799035626714682229964", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "da1546054f9cb10e9df077ddb69994d2857a0e8f451e019ecd45237f5e718c92", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400143", "condition_id": "0x777673eb74131accd150d04e452b7bcc07073bbd42a3e012639b61b211af9973", "token_id": "113286294865186786084462482104326947259615421347488562414799035626714682229964", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "166f21ac25cdea4a4c19d22cac0d0442030d2720d110cbb13758d58bca95bd7a", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400144", "token_id": "72391400438782929916302316213568407162818164564612865777435891331955020023819", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "65d5b22dde06dc02dec98d500ac64fd4c769c6fe0cf8256f1e72d2309487d4b5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400144", "condition_id": "0x1a2f156903d9d5dcfa110db4ed09bfae9cd731df1fca1160daf097d9168a8a05", "token_id": "72391400438782929916302316213568407162818164564612865777435891331955020023819", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b8cf09eec638dde02fb8a3237c4ea0a45b401f38101eb7cd6b0eb708cb0471de", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400145", "token_id": "46728252211162158688986172519738477298639799915653937470308213914035114620313", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "69670932e74be780c1903f00f3328721a2fc83283d8d566c4be763862318de1f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400145", "condition_id": "0x400b29bd0beb53e147f91776e0747a5e1beb39ed15ddcb6a7c63c19d54fe05d1", "token_id": "46728252211162158688986172519738477298639799915653937470308213914035114620313", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "561d62d9b4dd7906671f39ed26bc32e122340bb979a1e0bd12b3447afcb978f1", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400146", "token_id": "9704044957062963749481179460779205159100661519909193477791978919727501572751", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3daf467d0a2e1141561c0cffb67b0b6d0900e770cf78aaf412bffc2decac7333", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400146", "condition_id": "0x0c8f159d4a710b00d869de58c15986b611bd9e77f008a326324a2413f8ed8346", "token_id": "9704044957062963749481179460779205159100661519909193477791978919727501572751", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "162d455350dcae33284f42a1e29a77596500c84e028b2d588508c26daab18897", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400147", "token_id": "43989180471031503619588619231356962234002137255480608001626444141994904103587", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "05e4fa5b97194c95b26314be786460f9af566583d01933af11219678f588fcd2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400147", "condition_id": "0xc5d358a228db8ef38742b246845ea47aa167a74796c0154f6a68a00050784738", "token_id": "43989180471031503619588619231356962234002137255480608001626444141994904103587", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c4842430ab0fe2d49c4ad18eca27c03dd67c111221808b7849938e0c534274ad", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400148", "token_id": "39900757263363600825669307813298710583164916971747650491966116371225108114055", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "075bf0604468b6485701807e79eb7f7d5e8647f610986c95885b91edb6b88017", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400148", "condition_id": "0x7eae8d2b6746e43fe751e302c88ca29482e270705f12aefb18f33ad2dc67281c", "token_id": "39900757263363600825669307813298710583164916971747650491966116371225108114055", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "78c8fc0941b50a78815fe7432190f095ec218f7cce4a0eb6f7d7320f90c42daf", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400149", "token_id": "54267699112543963004377393352089538168499856641364486935475733589551209316400", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "313891436e913f33b99a4f403ca3568a93153ac2e0842b3ecbf0ebfcabc2b5ba", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400149", "condition_id": "0x80197b9f4cc2881cf8400f52c02274501dc1d54078f80c1d46334515efcdb2a8", "token_id": "54267699112543963004377393352089538168499856641364486935475733589551209316400", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6a6e8b631e7772762985005ef6c0ec41fff7f0e54daeabd377e0e1fcdbb91e62", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400150", "token_id": "61991694342693556278861837489990187653517587661962159640137722223643950799325", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a57a0242e5bbe45f3746b6f9778a9e8024d6fd0b366ecca24002057b22ea6d90", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400150", "condition_id": "0xea0876be5fd5c264f32babc2953dab54c7b125613710cfb90e0765499b0bdf2c", "token_id": "61991694342693556278861837489990187653517587661962159640137722223643950799325", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f217ed72f412060ab19d987cef4f4c2575bb0118644f98564bc1a1cccf76d318", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400151", "token_id": "32047246312020616539966476081075179789625239529186727750903669825772206742084", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3de9e745081fef73b56d5e4709878df9ee88771d514437990c49f43f6f8b893c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400151", "condition_id": "0x1db68750e8201eb48d2a1a29cd4223f5cec9ee4e8ac8ae0e7c6bbe3b298bd85e", "token_id": "32047246312020616539966476081075179789625239529186727750903669825772206742084", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "056f1426915a17f3f137fb7d43c13264e348a39dedf265f1d4966f3fb925f67a", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400152", "token_id": "95895225477612995049453978454949903780059391522655936380441383819923636164795", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6d31ad626272a28d37090725d079b710677b8d8edc37d5f35e8a2a5988b9904b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400152", "condition_id": "0x11a32fd62ee6f98f128dd09fe9db5a8d839c318b0bae4afe808ef9e4ad5090d5", "token_id": "95895225477612995049453978454949903780059391522655936380441383819923636164795", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992267", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c2d149b763da8da579184fe55f9adb1c67b67dd2795c0247a321ef71a31dd889", "event_source_sha256": "b60b22dfbb5c1592d3ee708d46c6e97b61efee2e475c9b7f95493e58719a2740" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:983380", "title": "Elon Musk # tweets September 10 - September 12, 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 10, "semantics_hash": "61f1f24420ee43f511f3182efae64dcc3424541698cc92561101efe999f12c14", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4338481", "4338482", "4338483", "4338484", "4338485", "4338486", "4338487", "4338488", "4338490", "4338491" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:983380", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4338485", "token_id": "50474964921876040625655860103368224182460615733735274852117107569293259372756", "outcome": "yes", "label": "115-139", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6d4581efdd492c7b4224cc67a690803d9cae697965b11e7aafaa5ca2bf4b64f0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338485", "condition_id": "0xfdbe4cea187108bdb68e18f0d92626098f15294d1cc1241e3dc030b89ac121c6", "token_id": "50474964921876040625655860103368224182460615733735274852117107569293259372756", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "438564262fd0d0c26e8c11d1e0b981cb387b072b40159f17082c00e6fc356568", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4338486", "token_id": "95307367724263612074842982393043936524742214281297023813448185147722876359949", "outcome": "yes", "label": "140-164", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "765ed1a9b61f323a4c8e78a0945712b2b2e53cae302083e29d69375711b7b4a7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338486", "condition_id": "0x7563d75c53c42889a83ff1500d68ddbceb52380a2b4ac7d013ce1992b173dcd4", "token_id": "95307367724263612074842982393043936524742214281297023813448185147722876359949", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8898fc4f2408fa87bfac92045fbd5c3facaf5ff2a0e8dd882f7e5d7f06d92426", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4338487", "token_id": "14617705189698872755282308137148384891220780816311883543013256107482723591369", "outcome": "yes", "label": "165-189", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3564ad5f896a29b90aea96b26bed0ffcccbd1d853655816224098d5b63b4c0b4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338487", "condition_id": "0xd7a547381dd72288e3486f5fb03fe568a48737d29bee43fab50f0c7f42e32d72", "token_id": "14617705189698872755282308137148384891220780816311883543013256107482723591369", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "56000cde9085a56181ada35d471cd6b94d66ab9ebd154c24c04c118d0278969d", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4338488", "token_id": "68344365996542771162700107008197593194231863312212659226042774459528564401767", "outcome": "yes", "label": "190-214", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4628981349db60d60bc7d48538771f9eed8374093b5d13e234c3f26046fdd665", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338488", "condition_id": "0xa955442b65e57d3d7add3da6a3d81bad2edf89cf2e435dc664ee985fc9842bd4", "token_id": "68344365996542771162700107008197593194231863312212659226042774459528564401767", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4ee42d84e55bc4efa3dbc156f5241a9d2745dda81dedc3386c67b051bc612fdf", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4338490", "token_id": "57069472956279182071811708771226923213507499809871730843751044899258988221994", "outcome": "yes", "label": "215-239", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "52ec96ead97eb7a4fefd25db5da64106fec84a3536e3a5236b18a31e14b20340", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338490", "condition_id": "0xd8a91f4dfb79c5b42c9ea261ba56d5822ff021640d3f32765d4f63d0847bab57", "token_id": "57069472956279182071811708771226923213507499809871730843751044899258988221994", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "38bd0c7bab377335f47b2c6c828a4fabdcf525aa6768ed825870d4cafb2a6a9c", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4338491", "token_id": "39004815611931825048887492392579455726682569243303386300696931487248727810288", "outcome": "yes", "label": "240+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd1bea2ce8a2aec166ffc35b9b736bebe7e06e761c819eec902824b5ca9709b0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338491", "condition_id": "0xd925b94c26223396fef486874c521acaf60eb9f976015c6f3c8de61d2e22e8f2", "token_id": "39004815611931825048887492392579455726682569243303386300696931487248727810288", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "edc7b6f60252254f0db7bdc3cfae5c65ae1bc8c979a39946c0d7224037b7546e", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4338482", "token_id": "100447178803775315111827224660868530416343863981215379642904547910873866955318", "outcome": "yes", "label": "40-64", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ed62aa902db2f79751884162bb2103631809be6c1c8ea3bfb268e7b3ecce0ea9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338482", "condition_id": "0x180e08dd1206804e31e80e107d9ccf1ab632d9bf779906820d08851230ed681a", "token_id": "100447178803775315111827224660868530416343863981215379642904547910873866955318", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "97cf798d23aca24b391f86ecb2ef5e1e367271256e1bcd7fc67518b7c4e703ee", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4338483", "token_id": "79484219330150439069912797518574393055590312602263547256862595161613874028875", "outcome": "yes", "label": "65-89", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "950c9fb65624daf9431542720da10978b56bdc9778bee8b1dc589bb32171e9c8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338483", "condition_id": "0x310977b00d23e250f894cb5e4dec632c5c8505dc8d7ebdf2563aae9366bb5bbc", "token_id": "79484219330150439069912797518574393055590312602263547256862595161613874028875", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0312c7eb60d76d6dbeaa9791b9ec446e3f69323b14d395f639aa7478f4d45371", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4338484", "token_id": "79536422759853625069705912998373934660762616838627129739474869426522024949412", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-114", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ab2fd226865c3fcb52bd6fc81ab8b148076c5f51db263d042e2accd3f5d7b73a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338484", "condition_id": "0xbb8e67f9c6262b1093a469ea73dd8dfb7d669c3d0f8fac972c9240de7b7eac8d", "token_id": "79536422759853625069705912998373934660762616838627129739474869426522024949412", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e016dbda4e4a2e88ee9f23c5acb20ea555c797204b25dab4dc2fd4d39aa9dd60", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4338481", "token_id": "18111295892315448483516832091465825899554069546458281859451480299900292858563", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<40", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6228efc4dbdb505f89f4d9f88eb68e3b02808b5d6f6da9e7897e6960ceca07e9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4338481", "condition_id": "0xf4a4dcfa0c2271779cbf7be1873abd717f5586aa9d5dc73a5b0073df7daddb88", "token_id": "18111295892315448483516832091465825899554069546458281859451480299900292858563", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 10 12:00 PM ET to September 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "983380", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b94a679711cf7d3e99b58ef3d2f3593de90cde26b46e35307fffe1630b2b9680", "event_source_sha256": "3ea521fce80ed8548441197678b8892fc5075dcf4e3803b4411b2b14a54631ba" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:995361", "title": "Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 6, "semantics_hash": "aaa8cf42f61d39aa7cad81c870a3bc9c78d0cf1077533e3e631ac7454a737db8", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4418517", "4418518", "4418519", "4418520", "4418521", "4418522" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:995361", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4418517", "token_id": "45002854920632205842375008701834494919687123999359447430484085567728548529599", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ef7df312736b445d5fa9058516bb228bfe9464a8a22f41d47840e3ff3da08118", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418517", "condition_id": "0x37480d7442a4e2cad30726a1df4daf53ddc659a51c074c32862d18e26476d035", "token_id": "45002854920632205842375008701834494919687123999359447430484085567728548529599", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No solution by Dec 31, 2027\". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.\n\nThe eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7e786cde1375fa5929fb38a8ee724d15996135dc6a14cb8808b37bb1e002dcb2", "event_source_sha256": "cf036670d198a37efcad3eebb15e6cf226da1db1c01fd5a9fa23c8a16db1379e" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4418518", "token_id": "2476725205019729631424404750329035688450353560388947855064478812097488396326", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hodge Conjecture", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2a94c753c026f9b9ebbc33381daf0f631017c7d2387a838f9b97709f4dc7e3d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418518", "condition_id": "0x3a7661a4b181d38f3067775c136988b8b16b1df4ca36a7e52b62572495ba6f15", "token_id": "2476725205019729631424404750329035688450353560388947855064478812097488396326", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No solution by Dec 31, 2027\". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.\n\nThe eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dab7724adc62b86335fb8bb25ef463d771b7c72649fb0e23ee5c24bc08d5774a", "event_source_sha256": "cf036670d198a37efcad3eebb15e6cf226da1db1c01fd5a9fa23c8a16db1379e" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4418522", "token_id": "30500546747312370672108002034406431538511288799914390408472695258565878727559", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No solution by Dec 31, 2027", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "054ef318c59f3c941aee0350bc18d39afd91b0d9c6d01c8aafc1be616413d0b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418522", "condition_id": "0xd56c7fef87fef04dea3cc6f1e4085b92c649fb55949fe8a607e03dc58d6e17a3", "token_id": "30500546747312370672108002034406431538511288799914390408472695258565878727559", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No solution by Dec 31, 2027\". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.\n\nThe eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7efba0535c4ac67822a4a3b31b468c355835964aaa1e280d6f8e22e1cad78ffe", "event_source_sha256": "cf036670d198a37efcad3eebb15e6cf226da1db1c01fd5a9fa23c8a16db1379e" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4418519", "token_id": "42350636821320607409137206631220344948522585860907233938867086058208067378263", "outcome": "yes", "label": "P versus NP", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7732c2b3b1d9a2ce197555b0bdeef9cd89557812ef3c811174679d5819431c29", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418519", "condition_id": "0xc0b0a2ace09ec1ac4917f9632c3fff25de94573fc2d736cd126a5911bddd7105", "token_id": "42350636821320607409137206631220344948522585860907233938867086058208067378263", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No solution by Dec 31, 2027\". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.\n\nThe eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c92c7ca10242e27d35ee6a7040532d50788f06fce0a0ec9dafab7ce1bfa38d03", "event_source_sha256": "cf036670d198a37efcad3eebb15e6cf226da1db1c01fd5a9fa23c8a16db1379e" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4418520", "token_id": "86049549412527110401342651601582558086024426696929817872551303258295908746274", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Riemann Hypothesis", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a9458f334f1847d354dca9e1e481ddc3b66400388cf17b330c64b150b9e0b479", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418520", "condition_id": "0x73a0ebbe09bfe1cdbf0d4deb13f55742d15dd8803845099557aa3afd776804f7", "token_id": "86049549412527110401342651601582558086024426696929817872551303258295908746274", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No solution by Dec 31, 2027\". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.\n\nThe eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2525d7480fa718cdf2b6c76fc2968e0b9d668fbf2414e798551322121751f1d0", "event_source_sha256": "cf036670d198a37efcad3eebb15e6cf226da1db1c01fd5a9fa23c8a16db1379e" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4418521", "token_id": "87258957446167628400774072344996016047563723429033361753715807011875444523296", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yang-Mills", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "edee1a2f1e99e1e37898017ee851fc2f7152d6699afb452c914bd8e4eab4c9d9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4418521", "condition_id": "0xfaa1feb3313ade3fd4652b958f6ede1c91ba26d3f9b10434291c5082b9b42a79", "token_id": "87258957446167628400774072344996016047563723429033361753715807011875444523296", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nIf no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No solution by Dec 31, 2027\". If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nThe qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, the Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, the Riemann Hypothesis, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/). Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify. The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers. An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify. No further confirmation from Clay Math Institute or any other organization is required.\n\nThe eligible AI labs are Anthropic, Google, SpaceXAI, Alibaba, OpenAI, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, Moonshot, Meta, Nvidia, DeepSeek, MiniMax, Meituan, Amazon, ByteDance, Mistral, Tencent, StepFun, Microsoft, Harmonic, Axiom Math, Math Inc, Safe Superintelligence, Thinking Machines Lab, Reflection AI, Periodic Labs, Apple, IBM, Huawei, Samsung, Oracle, Salesforce, Cohere, AI21 Labs, Reka, Sakana AI, Poolside, Magic, Perplexity, Anysphere, Kuaishou, SenseTime, iFlytek, Baichuan, and 01.AI, together with their subsidiaries and research divisions, and any other company with a model listed on the MMLU-pro leaderboard (https://huggingface.co/spaces/TIGER-Lab/MMLU-Pro) at the time of the announcement. Announcements by any other company, organization, or individual will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the eligible AI labs and/or their official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2028-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "995361", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8c8417e632cc7f10e1010f2fc68054b57c0ff88b56de3e898b406f5895a9c4a7", "event_source_sha256": "cf036670d198a37efcad3eebb15e6cf226da1db1c01fd5a9fa23c8a16db1379e" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:59234", "title": "Alaska Governor Election Winner ", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 22, "semantics_hash": "66380a0269ec1238b2fe669092d600b8e191f88fa972620c6dd9ca2565e224df", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "635003", "635004", "635005", "635006", "635007", "635008", "635009", "635010", "635011", "635012", "635013", "635014", "635015", "635016", "635017", "635018", "635019", "635020", "635021", "635022", "635023", "635024", "635025", "635026", "635027", "635028", "635029", "635030", "635031", "635032", "635033", "635034", "635035", "635036", "635037", "635038", "635039", "635040", "635041", "635042" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:59234", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "635005", "token_id": "112101678667388918252758604047145833695065509511438805706635695881082938013669", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Adam Crum", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3984ac623f9b61f3dc98d34a97814c85c14aaef991e837049af6e90ab9938f39", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635005", "condition_id": "0x807371dcb1fd0b3e3b406d8b2afa2f72285a896ae5198749a04b7d93c7b57529", "token_id": "112101678667388918252758604047145833695065509511438805706635695881082938013669", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b03c16eb456406d966539565d217e62c5685e75224dbfc72b91bb11db523a545", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "635012", "token_id": "64751505184958139146196081658481476813866015817972108997333100399972093820939", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bernadette Wilson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "77dba1bbcfdd4ffe9413b05ea78eb0d63236dc197499f38f08b25700921cfef8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635012", "condition_id": "0x9aba5bf074182d803c1b6a10814497875562ebb1c62483b36d2a305fc49e0792", "token_id": "64751505184958139146196081658481476813866015817972108997333100399972093820939", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0cdea29796ee0454dab73996c24205c34b95663cdb278d44b6bb95b2e92e52da", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "635024", "token_id": "89440386514063730127176054212356569265462224863655993641953910953752586860824", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bill Walker", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "478db4fd6b49b632bbe33f0dc09523667812652afaac3f38b690060dbe00a8a2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635024", "condition_id": "0x1aaa09e9174c89de226b4ed98bbf3992bd0b7abd287a32dc9d495ad1b0e9f9b0", "token_id": "89440386514063730127176054212356569265462224863655993641953910953752586860824", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a656dfea354f9f8557980057785458e9dd001d80b754469bf551ad87b052e2b3", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "635018", "token_id": "106363031797138111754039591152977193305538801813676060053033754519035914760518", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bruce Walden", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "40d1ab3930d90b29e61de5676a433b93539d12fefa2ec6b9b00e323657448992", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635018", "condition_id": "0x0d87ce304cab9d63b941d93b7d8052d0b8c9033ef5383a2436ede5117f029dae", "token_id": "106363031797138111754039591152977193305538801813676060053033754519035914760518", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8d333931250b0a5024d1292e93e1ff6ef10159cb4bf14ea49767eefc825b3d0a", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "635003", "token_id": "39154002125405197763794707136923968604358387984246909531145654626829957893230", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Click Bishop", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "61be4e037e0fd27280646518c34816809273a5ec76534a5dbf443d12ce8477a5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635003", "condition_id": "0xb2fddc90e11d6c55351bfbd5c01e67323f4d177f55f612274a90da92d1ae68db", "token_id": "39154002125405197763794707136923968604358387984246909531145654626829957893230", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0a8d67aa0bdb0c8bf99b57c59977ee3a9c2471b3252246f1164e550251d3198c", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "635004", "token_id": "23047817297095829703205789623007814925017477005361786493221231421140774736099", "outcome": "yes", "label": "David Bronson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "45f01df9ff25149fce5e2374bb3cb66e5402bdfda7821c1587b8068bfb94c765", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635004", "condition_id": "0x8377be7973fda37582973f6533625ff035bd7ece986a9762d12b1cfb81baf057", "token_id": "23047817297095829703205789623007814925017477005361786493221231421140774736099", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "29b328f13cf6f38d0df898a238ebaccb9785fcc3dda222f4622bb558fe0b2f9b", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "635023", "token_id": "94275275907070640522712534747053008279341178769916658518917564436899584909430", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Destry J. Payne Sr.", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ca9f3e8961bfa37e2c10ffeea4fb97e4a881a2944cf4c604acdf7e83be65fab7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635023", "condition_id": "0x13aa3adfac590cb337445b0a96faef834cc27d3a4d417c397b43b96a4d54e751", "token_id": "94275275907070640522712534747053008279341178769916658518917564436899584909430", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "44161ad35626acbaa4b1cff7616f66814eb0f2828fda9121ad780eda778128a5", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "635007", "token_id": "48980909355655999335735137257645181263137606430167981969161035375590984102791", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Edna DeVries", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c4071ef0c137d577de738e6b8ac8be383e46bdbead29e755b575ea24eed472b3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635007", "condition_id": "0xe2edbfb83c9b0256b10c93e59f4677d942792ea014274d9c00dc72a38b3c2592", "token_id": "48980909355655999335735137257645181263137606430167981969161035375590984102791", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b73f9d3ddb2caa0d356f6c56d5e21d951738ac1305b90440f9a81340701bfb51", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "635021", "token_id": "90372155390861985927725007208426512628481630954974454396465379243202196045659", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Gregg Brelsford", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2a58ba5af90078d6ad5a7a72f72d1cb7740943bb26289af0966e096f44e4137f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635021", "condition_id": "0x4fd145201e8036b8c040dd9797c4d79c8eb7f1053fef07920d8b2a7bdf6f8170", "token_id": "90372155390861985927725007208426512628481630954974454396465379243202196045659", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c3bc091a58616521fd1ee050d641feb16edd4dc3f953bbb06af05ff3cc7bdf63", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "635017", "token_id": "95635456605992781069478891718039467857246490713143468096085991589901671594183", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hank Kroll", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9c83e95175207f78aa2f584bfb5439845ca5dac6c0866dff6c66b2c964d713de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635017", "condition_id": "0xb2d876d58365e2c4c8af6a84df51a5425c8a3084b6485d7f4a10af29ce8f49e4", "token_id": "95635456605992781069478891718039467857246490713143468096085991589901671594183", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "528d1596f19e6b94388ae573120403dacdd3874a0a0172503913229b95afb99e", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "635010", "token_id": "94636756301597598205450967882875575281158446830532208819280555769682215362951", "outcome": "yes", "label": "James Parkin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bbe4dba8dcb6515e6b7227b9108fec673bf6e28e273ea18079977d3d0c1092ea", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635010", "condition_id": "0x6ff8d96a792130aa08cfb1e8e1488aa9d4eb4ada325d46af666bb6a8d0e2b0b0", "token_id": "94636756301597598205450967882875575281158446830532208819280555769682215362951", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "092139b3b90b32a0eaf1d840e59e011a04bdd4f16c78f287ac93d923d98feefc", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "635022", "token_id": "5086764460439224896909495789484939252244135243589938028556782950980839670109", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jessica Faircloth", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5dc2cac54bf3e72c3779ff6447a85c7ec469c798b5aa4eb2bcaead23860ae69a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635022", "condition_id": "0x3742856e68e342615e2a4ffbbd53e47b631f2d7097ef0713e41fb2fa2bc9d901", "token_id": "5086764460439224896909495789484939252244135243589938028556782950980839670109", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "707d70545d62613ac277d1799a5531dfae55ab88d447438cf927d88e03897fc7", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "635016", "token_id": "20244362049417025533374049121400436676833898969884666612361039499958684857530", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bfa6ba649e69b78419bbe7df2bdd3c79c902d01b2b16a1edeaa80358462ac8e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635016", "condition_id": "0x43cedce4a6af0136d37d53408fc965388baee3145db6da72a5b5da8d2746ced3", "token_id": "20244362049417025533374049121400436676833898969884666612361039499958684857530", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a64bd67556fffccb51a686a789b51b3498e97a697296e13497cf9a7cf2607147", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "635020", "token_id": "22529706558204688498320021777045565403912945442011622921877074565980935596194", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lesil McGuire", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2526976dc5548f485ba26914a0cdcfb4882f94fafccc74925cc0ee7828f12acc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635020", "condition_id": "0x9ae7125f02766aec1a6b8fc3c0fa8a536a424d07b290f870eecfbac5bb3a8f3f", "token_id": "22529706558204688498320021777045565403912945442011622921877074565980935596194", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8e0d171b4ca20873fae1128888b03460063ac129536e98588f522b8084549f9e", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "635013", "token_id": "27870085196735337387089467371194098802406160667325183183674887905666301487196", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lisa Murkowski", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "43c3a918e980690e9ef4162caa12f9e45eee91a1387e92d9f0c6946af83e546c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635013", "condition_id": "0xe4016942ae2f6c1b349ff44253cec219c4e09a18b05ff44e16ba500fbfffac1e", "token_id": "27870085196735337387089467371194098802406160667325183183674887905666301487196", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e5e814bcc0267fcb4a2550a8b9a5a3e90cc55c4ac88f0ec073c032e430d67579", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "635015", "token_id": "115303242217186990312218497459537227886423425931711349439197270624601721951066", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mary Peltola", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0e04be1669888383a6fc84436ffd4817275be52c9ddccc26cf096631352f9667", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635015", "condition_id": "0x74a5ea8aed0261817e6be4371a73a9647bf143857c62bc66211c2d9b97d091a5", "token_id": "115303242217186990312218497459537227886423425931711349439197270624601721951066", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2642bc4b8d532ce76e1ed7363194d465966c42983a68c05b458b811da6ab936d", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "635019", "token_id": "28604200858776949725443771900532479947528528058757267516640410601091432067720", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Matt Claman", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c380dee0aefd3d8312d1537a92b396da9a28a45a58ec81cb7d57b61ffd424590", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635019", "condition_id": "0xef25acd9423c7c1aeb1a85a2f2e295ce6bcee19abd84a8b99c7e84713434abf3", "token_id": "28604200858776949725443771900532479947528528058757267516640410601091432067720", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "63a99d7a977efb362baf38d35350b936107d4cd32eefa64e1d88a3e44909602f", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "635008", "token_id": "41775449479665930068266329795278714167204411479685732105862933499385131340367", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Matt Heilala", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9887137f87112c82cb4f35beb068917fa6bff2d6d6158dc0f81c317e5ceee6d1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635008", "condition_id": "0x9e7789f9f3bb79883fab8c7c35db58a8834ef442a67d30c780cca57a5f251dc7", "token_id": "41775449479665930068266329795278714167204411479685732105862933499385131340367", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7dd5cc00bf083b056d71083ac3a6bc4a8ea307cc21e128c8ae9dc4a9df87c083", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "635006", "token_id": "59674642039945632434991200982713662256203307690119588561924436416775168289415", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nancy Dahlstrom", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2812870dbc349b5ee3f664797259e944c5325820aca5572cf06d9c8f1c64009a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635006", "condition_id": "0x90c810df015547545998cc0952258c102fac052861896acf6d58e17938cce0c7", "token_id": "59674642039945632434991200982713662256203307690119588561924436416775168289415", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "248edebd0a5e69dfb67487713d3c4e58b138895b7009c8f145a56c323938146f", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "635009", "token_id": "29296582863501339972029548154128549466562842084431320516838210161873614946088", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Shelley Hughes", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e1d614f5fa86b5946279600b2ba1f2931127caf6cf26599463feb0c44a51b6b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635009", "condition_id": "0x12923582cca8ff08ea1bb23e4e042b80e11fae9974d528d9f19249e5ad131f2a", "token_id": "29296582863501339972029548154128549466562842084431320516838210161873614946088", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "96c8c0af88a4f1d2cbceae61a28c88b33e22a386d23540197caf9b82fc3e4c10", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "635014", "token_id": "88923835626751439335001852098823598444201043849577093630790185644778054232354", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tom Begich", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "72ef44983064dcbffffbcab3f5001c0300a172b850d62325ebf8decc229e97b8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635014", "condition_id": "0xb120cb1c26ad4568844f8e7ee7a91487d5cf4d246fd40410c1f3d4061bfd3587", "token_id": "88923835626751439335001852098823598444201043849577093630790185644778054232354", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "052b830a3bab82ec92c274fffa81f4fe01bda1625918c9f0953f268ce96c3b1c", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "635011", "token_id": "93969985011170776056000925561172416309286101442856109696106983204369499012978", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Treg Taylor", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "25f78fc69be37b9492f6dcca9a24bee4132b3b3e75cf617ca544aa129e833aa6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "635011", "condition_id": "0xbc9964ab2e4e4886796e86263769e34451476172200f99e378e74adc6e202663", "token_id": "93969985011170776056000925561172416309286101442856109696106983204369499012978", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. \n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59234", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "617646bcd949e161072e1462e5727a1130fd2cdd8c7ab44b49bc5742806d938a", "event_source_sha256": "4e8bcdc2ff05681d6472f458d77bff52968e15792f51c3281c71d4b2a45a420c" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:994115", "title": "# of views of MrBeast video on day 5?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 7, "semantics_hash": "e713f462dc14ff02365e34f4e5a92be6615c6db328885148b9252300117ddfd2", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4408519", "4408523", "4408529", "4408534", "4408539", "4408542", "4408545" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:994115", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4408523", "token_id": "29583680126260477426426138939572319934591365401465014265111958864574870576031", "outcome": "yes", "label": "70\u201371M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f4e58970aa2da80dbf0363d8d02b3522b356be36d8ad5eed2aba86d8a37c9405", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4408523", "condition_id": "0x654a27474daf3144f76552bf6c789482fd1e554fb838823e58be293995197953", "token_id": "29583680126260477426426138939572319934591365401465014265111958864574870576031", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers only to the video \"We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth\" posted by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE). Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE", "close_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "994115", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e563846132bc4a9eeaeeef24959fae7ef87ebfc7a44c9c409259ee5d47d63581", "event_source_sha256": "e709344dc3c62a39ab6a77583b89debcef8853aa7a4f0f0765bda49052c7c5da" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4408529", "token_id": "102837965411651230844385170065302767108326712430342099655079906377841199965054", "outcome": "yes", "label": "71\u201372M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ef96c1101db3d85c02928785fa53ef45d4440b88c80c2f5fca63c3f2dd9cab2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4408529", "condition_id": "0x0bc7c68ea480d16bb3928a058ee5619aecd469bbdeddabc72c51a655b168f81e", "token_id": "102837965411651230844385170065302767108326712430342099655079906377841199965054", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers only to the video \"We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth\" posted by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE). Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE", "close_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "994115", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d939d0364c0544d8aa660f291da3728eec63167a1862b2b7ebe727d598dc0aa7", "event_source_sha256": "e709344dc3c62a39ab6a77583b89debcef8853aa7a4f0f0765bda49052c7c5da" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4408534", "token_id": "16101265954707687225726495003787313393015203720650931698005253077869382099293", "outcome": "yes", "label": "72\u201373M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "03c11549c65a3ab4630c6cb2c5e5e8c490b49fdc06b31faa1c41ae3ac5b699ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4408534", "condition_id": "0x2832df521c5d51bb1888ff1389d00b54c82b191973a9efc115f4030750e40f72", "token_id": "16101265954707687225726495003787313393015203720650931698005253077869382099293", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's latest video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 5?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers only to the video \"We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth\" posted by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE). Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE", "close_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "994115", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4e011102592eb90f4497e06790b6763b7ebfb6a6e8f4cad6e653c84098fa82b0", "event_source_sha256": "e709344dc3c62a39ab6a77583b89debcef8853aa7a4f0f0765bda49052c7c5da" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4408539", "token_id": "98443682079195244584344136107155106978895196375334405797977402984239132755234", "outcome": "yes", "label": "73\u201374M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "76276d8a177768b2d1ddbc68654605e1827f0fd905a08058ceda6b30aa9a2196", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4408539", "condition_id": "0xabd2c338c85bb7ced47e090fe0a94290716cfd3bf5add0699cfc8ef63fd4f366", "token_id": "98443682079195244584344136107155106978895196375334405797977402984239132755234", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 5?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers only to the video \"We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth\" posted by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE). Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE", "close_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "994115", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "21446c1cab1a2103085ed916f1702281f5692eeb4cc182cdf90afc8dcbe9d463", "event_source_sha256": "e709344dc3c62a39ab6a77583b89debcef8853aa7a4f0f0765bda49052c7c5da" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4408542", "token_id": "78959915130233494977937069078869881834914477259748012664027054378260690274670", "outcome": "yes", "label": "74\u201375M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a62a74dcbb61d82c0bf0d4c3817033a01f1719bca085b295c43e61e314532a19", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4408542", "condition_id": "0x8aa9767b55585b6c3a2661b5acdd8be7610359581047d25af3636c511a9ddf11", "token_id": "78959915130233494977937069078869881834914477259748012664027054378260690274670", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's latest video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 5?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers only to the video \"We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth\" posted by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE). Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE", "close_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "994115", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9f578df10ea96f082694cac370aefe208e990f7d63359ed2f57cc7fa57ad7f2b", "event_source_sha256": "e709344dc3c62a39ab6a77583b89debcef8853aa7a4f0f0765bda49052c7c5da" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4408545", "token_id": "45554437602056906564539666613716217441350430851493301809044871898132601618699", "outcome": "yes", "label": "75M+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "75c1ca527438de7d8131f4e34daded6ce687f9bfe4ef79ca9c57027c385805c1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4408545", "condition_id": "0xa396460dd0cb777c79f04732989cc71f1334999fd85a9aed618e3d6b4b667939", "token_id": "45554437602056906564539666613716217441350430851493301809044871898132601618699", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's latest video get at least 75 million views on day 5?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers only to the video \"We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth\" posted by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE). Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE", "close_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "994115", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "25c857319005208c5309a787a21d9b4aefdf42b6326a731d3471ec151c69a611", "event_source_sha256": "e709344dc3c62a39ab6a77583b89debcef8853aa7a4f0f0765bda49052c7c5da" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4408519", "token_id": "39946778230505388359640748464811115720375165580103332912630411466740264477516", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<70M", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "26302a304d14e1d1547838de8ce6c07469538053a8fa797b05f77359d130f274", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4408519", "condition_id": "0x9a3d3fef0b9eca97e41299bf31b7d0d0abbc58fdd33f5a920ca1f14529dfb231", "token_id": "39946778230505388359640748464811115720375165580103332912630411466740264477516", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 70 million views on day 5?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 120 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 120 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.\n\nIf the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.\n\nNote: This market refers only to the video \"We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth\" posted by MrBeast (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE). Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gTKS8SAwUzE", "close_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "994115", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e619d9634a3f09623704e7d6095777f134c521aa18d76609973bcc8ac1cd7abd", "event_source_sha256": "e709344dc3c62a39ab6a77583b89debcef8853aa7a4f0f0765bda49052c7c5da" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:606452", "title": "Bank of Japan Decision in September?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "5216c43926e44ab1f9afa0d586a4769b20a810f99275469c7c7e16d8b9eb0658", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2589853", "2589854", "2589855", "2589856", "2589857" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:606452", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2589854", "token_id": "14790339096127835191094158003502642292076090553540577256888146225082447185780", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eeb65c78ea21dd63d13caeadaec93434a4c17dfd6ed1c84fbe3a7266da10fa7a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589854", "condition_id": "0x4dbe315b8f966874291965f941a94b8b84ef44415be0f92eb8abbfcc595c8c6f", "token_id": "14790339096127835191094158003502642292076090553540577256888146225082447185780", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan\u2019s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606452", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "48590c2920ab30f0abb31177490a5c3d747b152ee0c9cbd0912b25351b5bfc1c", "event_source_sha256": "c6862addf201dff05b12502a8e756d4fb4e2f485137067b53f9d617174513f30" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2589856", "token_id": "34224127560083720453608705144696778706696450679056926524338211964623002524966", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "df4e9fc510a2364d9f666be35db744709bece4f2d92624d6cb9f23e924a187c0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589856", "condition_id": "0x424a35de2ed7150339423462d110256fd1a40b6a5f07c0002433bc89201798d7", "token_id": "34224127560083720453608705144696778706696450679056926524338211964623002524966", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan\u2019s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606452", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bc278ff5785ca1fd45610d220f578c077f735570c891a9f31886945d0e507ffb", "event_source_sha256": "c6862addf201dff05b12502a8e756d4fb4e2f485137067b53f9d617174513f30" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2589853", "token_id": "105368755491807281332566560733484149104312401286156930579447921269581073123581", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4793b6d2602c90f55f8fe879459f06cb5de12f7e42892db9a670d741748d0324", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589853", "condition_id": "0x1f51d6e06ba09e2c46ba74f900b2edfd368fb1af12377650f5c06fdbb0be97bb", "token_id": "105368755491807281332566560733484149104312401286156930579447921269581073123581", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan\u2019s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606452", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "699315f02178e3ea054f7035183f88d65ce154239721b4024706b135748a0722", "event_source_sha256": "c6862addf201dff05b12502a8e756d4fb4e2f485137067b53f9d617174513f30" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2589857", "token_id": "103132202609309728827090712113710241319061353485478554519590882633645711636771", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6abf9e12dba320e21d07c79f2c85afe8974c09dc8be7f98670f7c35986df1671", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589857", "condition_id": "0xaa49a7412f36c5902e19bbee7570abd3ccc7b51d72c76c0f8526d9a1876d74eb", "token_id": "103132202609309728827090712113710241319061353485478554519590882633645711636771", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan\u2019s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606452", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "34406955be48d8e59545e1c48157124e8b4dc79634c0995a255047f6f8e006b3", "event_source_sha256": "c6862addf201dff05b12502a8e756d4fb4e2f485137067b53f9d617174513f30" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2589855", "token_id": "112431461021505836897916787462152469473019876346204991863467631318352621795701", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No change", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c524e44343e0329a9635a89c5acfb201d98f525dc795caa7d9b102ff3abc11a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2589855", "condition_id": "0xb64e4e073ef1242216ceeb1971e4fc5bc9094532558e89014b240992baac0c35", "token_id": "112431461021505836897916787462152469473019876346204991863467631318352621795701", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the uncollateralized overnight call rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the Bank of Japan, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Japan, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 17-18, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Japan calendar (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Japan\u2019s September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T15:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "606452", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "307d5cd2b180cec20d6721ddf80bb101e0ee182631beb6794721596f2faed54a", "event_source_sha256": "c6862addf201dff05b12502a8e756d4fb4e2f485137067b53f9d617174513f30" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:57672", "title": "Texas Senate Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "daded069128b5b4574abc8d4bab6490326d9b93325f7ff9e010077a98840a831", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "630963", "630964", "630965", "630966", "630967", "630968", "630969", "630970", "630971", "630972", "630973", "630974", "630975" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:57672", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "630963", "token_id": "15290572385458522370285732869432740297199321382471116558439914335588167718663", "outcome": "yes", "label": "James Talarico (D)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c6fcc1bf1f0d5a143c583da0f38e0c94e23b1d4d44c594990f42f2caac648093", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "630963", "condition_id": "0x34918035a590555ba1fb1d6a019d766ab6e557d63e7f3140b63b4550eee7f417", "token_id": "15290572385458522370285732869432740297199321382471116558439914335588167718663", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57672", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "95cff596efe544c9032945178e657ad9641729a3310f924e42e1ec0ecc2f4ffd", "event_source_sha256": "58320aea357c16f228c583a31b2a9fc768d334075febdce147e3c18ddf0dcab6" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "630964", "token_id": "21265207456609426291246075480390336499088453711419597084147957999650569091884", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ken Paxton (R)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0405444ceb401a60dcabc8cecda2acece476d34d26d85611471ed69e521b43e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "630964", "condition_id": "0x94521176f57d2ce81dde01e0b7699ca4279423042d37ed53908f0c8bfefe7e14", "token_id": "21265207456609426291246075480390336499088453711419597084147957999650569091884", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57672", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d1c9ea5cabf69ef5d4d463d84b24b0034c5a852e60dda82346fa117d58022e16", "event_source_sha256": "58320aea357c16f228c583a31b2a9fc768d334075febdce147e3c18ddf0dcab6" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987248", "title": "Highest temperature in Chicago on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "d8bad3e5db8d5e52a0493e98963844c30950027915b2ec8a3d1fa3b7cb30cecd", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4359144", "4359145", "4359146", "4359147", "4359148", "4359149", "4359150", "4359151", "4359152", "4359153", "4359154" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987248", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4359144", "token_id": "68980550464122738335041239340361251676157617626337910474500126169938572831521", "outcome": "yes", "label": "69\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0d000920467324b9e418cf8942f5be1d1652fbce3a74bd72bfffbb755b9198de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359144", "condition_id": "0xd21ff5b4328a8e2e1064fed18cd616e9b15910313a0b79f9708e2adce1660bb8", "token_id": "68980550464122738335041239340361251676157617626337910474500126169938572831521", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 69\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e4da5b0848645d4578aa49054a586ab2474c9981636da42dcd3b04395d0b6a52", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4359145", "token_id": "46092819263676246282980418377970514532524504097496393557509695486717964031250", "outcome": "yes", "label": "70-71\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "edf0768ecbe1bbaf1a849e594fced19cec4d2168627571d8ccd0765365e8b6d4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359145", "condition_id": "0xc825cfcaaf00a23307c175b580c41dfa522be848641e49736f17a7376efcb2c5", "token_id": "46092819263676246282980418377970514532524504097496393557509695486717964031250", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "32224b7e53d54b7ecb8395d542d87e324c375dc0229e269f4f660040698a4b5c", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4359146", "token_id": "4718327243202903669761491728409632278565705368303404833809924101240584254201", "outcome": "yes", "label": "72-73\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "736a0c5fffdc4c728e95d9ad05cb2b9ea4fbdc13a3828672669aadd6ee2fd4a2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359146", "condition_id": "0xfbaef8766b083ff0dacfddbfe49ad86fcc46606adf1f858b4ae45a1b366505b9", "token_id": "4718327243202903669761491728409632278565705368303404833809924101240584254201", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5201465bfb37c8ac4c4389fc163c89842c20f63975db876df05a490fdf76b492", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4359147", "token_id": "99468675576453023635377753597340340106896731318640725353929353631744574256468", "outcome": "yes", "label": "74-75\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7756ff286dcdbf9e295624471185754011f95440c75603617d5be961bec61849", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359147", "condition_id": "0x743168ac77a28b1d63036f5c8591bcd0711899227bb9b362f79dacfdc439e762", "token_id": "99468675576453023635377753597340340106896731318640725353929353631744574256468", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e06486e1ed89fc88f94614639cf01882e8df7d41d09227a262640a27fcaee3a5", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4359148", "token_id": "18044815839621831108559336219788153642884394548512504108599758986069493531054", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76-77\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c8837e1b80391b63cb66f0c383d737a86a455eff9a794a3fe3cfbf71be17606a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359148", "condition_id": "0x2a982e9a455c9fc70825129e66bce11b5d010c155ed48f31325c43e245090e9a", "token_id": "18044815839621831108559336219788153642884394548512504108599758986069493531054", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0bdcc0aae44c87aa436cbf164c3c270a1353bb39e9e236389eb51f82498bd8a8", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4359149", "token_id": "34282396618659702398406693547143639113208244425458003406320514733250469451211", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78-79\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "514f17fe5deb1fa65f18fae907445d4d734a4996c9a10dae9d5eaa3fdd5ae8f8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359149", "condition_id": "0x0bea1dc01787ba87ac80023933ad81408fa6f5769d763476f7fae200974f6407", "token_id": "34282396618659702398406693547143639113208244425458003406320514733250469451211", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8738e04645fea61f7755dd7cdfb7d2354788479214154df3f3ced024b615ed27", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4359150", "token_id": "33678648975750458585002348085012799381520702310711908924230409195181955763036", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7d38c6f9da336a1b429d6c61425b8ca6752167139f716e1c57be4d213172f73d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359150", "condition_id": "0xc210501fcad0515b0cb64c90f6185d0fa906a3da432d2eb153387db28d2f9db7", "token_id": "33678648975750458585002348085012799381520702310711908924230409195181955763036", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d24e85ffeff000d70c5226439659ebbc513820226be097e12f8e0641b33574ad", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4359151", "token_id": "51838460051284115838847394671699971705128541799614035658381632354918528748307", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f527dc57262891026771d8ce3fc1c95d84b916253300772a1542fe6ed957a62d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359151", "condition_id": "0xa5167448393862291ec7666675c74f9d2133c75f81e63c5640ad0c7515e8f9b7", "token_id": "51838460051284115838847394671699971705128541799614035658381632354918528748307", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "781b19d32ee2bd80383e995f4a93bfac176a9b0c4ab9e6039a1f32daa7fe1147", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4359152", "token_id": "7011510278846981460086587865864818718274108550433382277179562570135423374421", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cca019f80519333ab979f90847dc4f1e2571d4170f1cf5f7f30865446aaa4a0e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359152", "condition_id": "0x874ff77e8e62de26995973c4605390d394f4cc1bc811a03de50759d099909a8f", "token_id": "7011510278846981460086587865864818718274108550433382277179562570135423374421", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9d2bd51df3d7ca2a7b18a8846ce3578303b5d76b855c4ea612e4a4f4fd314ac0", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4359153", "token_id": "25880466740021378285416395589017669610460072716979171724262801153026911189770", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f8dd6ef19f2f748cacd69099dd4dd81c8c40d795bd4dbeb6773bc1e887fd01ef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359153", "condition_id": "0x0fb0d690cc98f671d8b29e0fc8dfe126a10d6418f735e43eb01213738ff4b5e6", "token_id": "25880466740021378285416395589017669610460072716979171724262801153026911189770", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d6205f94b9785d279fc244e9a4424f4017c1dfbf8098a70157488d623f8fcb44", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4359154", "token_id": "16542442058016391445157788367685329922888146973105428029249065682081389028540", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "51117ca79104590a1281599db64f6d1c867ae32dd350589a97581ab3dabe455b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4359154", "condition_id": "0x8c69a35a938a0a02bc1d05ed81b7e333e6cd574fce1cd06380003a891be95d80", "token_id": "16542442058016391445157788367685329922888146973105428029249065682081389028540", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 88\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cc7aa8c1f3d95bd26e164e0aa27d242a96fe4bd3e38c2c2a885f69ee21315e0c", "event_source_sha256": "e9b94b3b6ca2ed3702007544a3d9c285a864003e71b49f00833c3bc58f5ebd55" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:715392", "title": "#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 46, "semantics_hash": "68ce23539392cf6e1fcad5f89f7401f63ad3f3e284e33dc91c11408b2e163186", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2965140", "2965141", "2965142", "2965143", "2965144", "2965145", "2965146", "2965147", "2965148", "2965149", "2965150", "2965151", "2965152", "2965153", "2965154", "2965155", "2965156", "2965157", "2965158", "2965159", "2965160", "2965161", "2965162", "2965163", "2965164", "2965165", "2965166", "2965167", "2965168", "2965169", "2965170", "2965171", "2965172", "2965173", "2965174", "2965175", "2965176", "2965178", "2965179", "2965181", "2965183", "2965184", "2965185", "2965186", "2965187", "2965188", "2965189", "2965190", "2965191", "2965192", "2965193", "2965194", "2965195", "2965196", "2965197", "2965198", "2965200", "2965201", "2965202", "2965203", "2965204", "2965205", "2965206", "2965207", "2965208", "2965209", "2965210", "2965211", "2965212", "2965214", "2965215", "2965216", "2965217", "2965218", "2965219", "2965221", "2965223", "2965224", "2965225", "2965227", "2965229", "2965230", "2965231", "2965233", "2965235", "2965236", "2965237", "2965239", "2965241", "2965242", "2965243", "2965244", "2965245" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:715392", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2965146", "token_id": "95794768704622773613510328860597677953658388591893792723726415021512058489527", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alysa Liu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7a626415bcb8e2b53b3ed6f2f30ab0f23ba747eee06ec2f8d1bc0d60f9ee1f13", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965146", "condition_id": "0xc3b10498403a74cd62b0f79eda1e120ad2aa0a7474fdbd397ecdad26f326134a", "token_id": "95794768704622773613510328860597677953658388591893792723726415021512058489527", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d802f7a942af7c5ee8f90ae377cd462e8fb5e9522ad42301113622e69ff8ed8b", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2965173", "token_id": "62508378638503187387958723183905656509268218523943907042777670178676529087216", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Angel Reese", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af3290dd0bd86fbc61e199785ce34293d81f658ffe3bbb880b8a3bdbb61c6183", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965173", "condition_id": "0xcebc35cfd1308ee36008880b7514ddf0edb9cba40c4af0e19a8d04340ffa78b7", "token_id": "62508378638503187387958723183905656509268218523943907042777670178676529087216", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Angel Reese be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cbe6bd31c139dea1214fa28dcb44e21aaa7ae7fef22e9c5a00618c3538a1df33", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2965178", "token_id": "102083610070172188175266918284075956429338499762678290586064864913675328787087", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Anthony Edwards", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6108d97e8d4a4377657371122551e8cbd340514468d908e78a9603392486c6f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965178", "condition_id": "0xeda91083527fd85af62e72c89d9a8ecb6bc05a1b37a897f48ef052272fd11144", "token_id": "102083610070172188175266918284075956429338499762678290586064864913675328787087", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthony Edwards be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "55c835103efc2a82f3f9df67d3c92c82bff2cfe78c47464e52b285df633b03cf", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2965166", "token_id": "73963366540222944129697398077343517720137048961363369034039778539073930172269", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ariana Grande", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de7246b044f47804bc8ef793e60a85386de6c7f0035586757c38e70e0dc25651", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965166", "condition_id": "0xac4478e0aff07ebc38d7e88eb99f07c35ab6af5746cccf48a26272e5bda3a4cc", "token_id": "73963366540222944129697398077343517720137048961363369034039778539073930172269", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ariana Grande be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9e0bc32549bd39296dac37eeceae20fe844282d9be25c9b8435929b09e58fa91", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2965164", "token_id": "97832584704398073553493595917688425612777486437962220822174832891418168706654", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bad Bunny", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "13727979ca2228ab1ab276b16e5e1924d97196273e3757fa1ae2e966e8fcb0bd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965164", "condition_id": "0x364c2fa0c0d9d042e45f48034072d316c02da25b9e91f0f8b58e27ae6cb4be8c", "token_id": "97832584704398073553493595917688425612777486437962220822174832891418168706654", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "84ee5ed6d5bbb513ef2fedde04082813c7596f9850555aaa64f1029b4374ea91", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2965187", "token_id": "57839284277277171750498182599510446846600550324262012529849592172569027896704", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Benjamin Netanyahu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "abddae7eddabeef84883416a261f7eb4667a3079478c13af50ef6a6abef2a46d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965187", "condition_id": "0x366e5b830eaeb94f661dc52a15eea2f631227b564ccd3082a24aa8e601a2ac2c", "token_id": "57839284277277171750498182599510446846600550324262012529849592172569027896704", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7dc8173803a8e18918dbda8076e4e56cd2558b1b36bfe51e8f25fcb41c66fa7b", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2965159", "token_id": "54368085396126742073230567223309233600915676738636756867388110581973457633600", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Billie Eilish", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f0f2c35a0dac249831f9a667aaabd928bae664e4fdf99b6d72618f7d7fc41580", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965159", "condition_id": "0x552ba7bfef828ee37f487a7f4d7c6c8fe40799a6c5b1c74c332896fd8425bd22", "token_id": "54368085396126742073230567223309233600915676738636756867388110581973457633600", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Billie Eilish be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3d2a3a271a118ca0d04290376c2fb39316e0d0a954ed94d8873cb2c3231fb169", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2965163", "token_id": "37284229492590144904722437262464657890178453805134493334546308567743400284015", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Caitlin Clark", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4dd50907dfe525a906d2c4dea9db51a24eb9db592f2f0c6e9185b920c16f7665", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965163", "condition_id": "0xc974977623c09e4d774b6348408e6d329e2f3ca69058ed8651a5a401364ae8af", "token_id": "37284229492590144904722437262464657890178453805134493334546308567743400284015", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Caitlin Clark be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4159c5ce0da107068a08edc225f809dd55156ad73dadb95fed9bcc9d0f4f7b6a", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2965174", "token_id": "91043102419568212997787684394172091805427097292751786584162138751764320283241", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chappell Roan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e6ef5d32f54948fceeea3e457511edd2be896d2e8d9fc6cf0607f29a6272ee48", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965174", "condition_id": "0xf25525cda930c4a70910e56a223d5c952df13c95fabc9f1d1bd5a3a567895fc0", "token_id": "91043102419568212997787684394172091805427097292751786584162138751764320283241", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Chappell Roan be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b2f32c8cd7ba96767dbb8a258f4f85be7309a983293fa488b2fb38774f5455d8", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2965150", "token_id": "90915700917771709832969742238282256192361835756814811889024059001407312435654", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Christian Pulisic", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "df5158a250c0772fdfb9cb3341ebd95d8f0c0186b7ec4c66d167e8d4918e2b1a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965150", "condition_id": "0xa66a59f228db52461d93ced2de99bca458626ef8729e770d4b9950723630e8c2", "token_id": "90915700917771709832969742238282256192361835756814811889024059001407312435654", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Christian Pulisic be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8df1c50949a065bef97244e591134bd9dc1c610873665c26180075d12e9bb578", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2965143", "token_id": "38353969323242320964593130208448454237999898320588900247171853520057603272393", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cristiano Ronaldo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6fe2a39ef8a911c47b89be058d2e0a103797f4074f739ef79d2f5fc5bbd8579e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965143", "condition_id": "0x43d06b127c908e9c1af03d9bb99d6abdde158b8cdb21b51f2c83da0bb6403bbb", "token_id": "38353969323242320964593130208448454237999898320588900247171853520057603272393", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e3724557e2bd8469d1884890c252ca61c2161bd9a1ddf6fb16ef0181bcf9413f", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2965155", "token_id": "47147033600167185804494137631421984766188021873332479068739695154441423877787", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Donald Trump", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "866adf44cb254b9f0f2752380ad85067f183efcc75f3aaaa2c47fc053da12bef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965155", "condition_id": "0x1ea2b1c0091848e75be823c039081f7db66ebb48af0e5d286da156fce773722f", "token_id": "47147033600167185804494137631421984766188021873332479068739695154441423877787", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2f64a463adb36fb320e8a1f375f49f99461bad17723521c4db516da2cb37d36c", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2965158", "token_id": "97077555919327607829953761777777285809282903208400963181690761394302840111734", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elon Musk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7a3cbceb098a4e7a5d11cf3d2c9c925e417bf4ce80418a7a2d79b7ad5cc7b6b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965158", "condition_id": "0x9301d09621a83d26260c438799b174f3954498762b6f247769b4007500bd935e", "token_id": "97077555919327607829953761777777285809282903208400963181690761394302840111734", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "32b9f09243d7270cb8cbd916a9cfb250527b96a0b8b7cfb7cee42e0508090b0b", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2965149", "token_id": "42763546566178461772684530128901019882323405073391430881960821895784464184892", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Erling Haaland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "badfd65117eb873e0e3cbbb209b37c5ffc0966f42c9a71d07f3581f621aca0da", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965149", "condition_id": "0xcd462181fc898582ae627d94d336c5992dd00942db5e40f1b64cc81fa2dfd1e8", "token_id": "42763546566178461772684530128901019882323405073391430881960821895784464184892", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e0a1f464d8a2af0ab7a182045a00eaea041c6bedfae3fe1a2246e985ffa4ac70", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2965183", "token_id": "1266580536830435831117244654894284346935614210482552063816575488607287869474", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ja Morant", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6b221db8a41f1975aaa32f4805153c7cf9e948be7f23cd3315063a8500b19bec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965183", "condition_id": "0xbecf2f44a8c40f47f9e064ce639b90d404617e9c618c9ad726e21c636a43d0d8", "token_id": "1266580536830435831117244654894284346935614210482552063816575488607287869474", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ja Morant be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e4cec8d75d2ced8f9bd5cc02f96e40b5ca05f526e10b21783f7f7c4b70602a19", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2965165", "token_id": "98015370538880506659217677718849668224040306569000283321238759233642426209420", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jacob Elordi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "914ce78a464ad2156be90f3ff7bff7b9e0ef384685158911a49adcafca178479", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965165", "condition_id": "0xfcf37b9a82433ab3a636cd7cab52b49a3e0a3c94fc5580d4c8d6a78e85eeeafa", "token_id": "98015370538880506659217677718849668224040306569000283321238759233642426209420", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jacob Elordi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "32d7be4fbcd3de688b2ce64b05622af1ae565012fe815117d71329253ca3b8f8", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2965184", "token_id": "17935252533421014287979257112638565223716384812528177656352857121455445020629", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jake Paul", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bb44a0ef93f2bdd575ab40e140fed6af83342cb4e50da57d28f140a2f2cdf3df", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965184", "condition_id": "0xc83a74191a2c9caf6d51314b1e3dd1088f9bd2524f8040e0287c9bb156f82674", "token_id": "17935252533421014287979257112638565223716384812528177656352857121455445020629", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jake Paul be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "27c6d438b8f693d73e002d254f8b6b1acdb16dc76fd9af1e09ca7b8a0937e8e6", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2965167", "token_id": "33937493746989589092876097015421857212196221277628816594747440774671050926609", "outcome": "yes", "label": "JD Vance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "28e0301d025dd33ffca3f85c1b7a8f033838cdaa0bfd0df63dd218ffddb76b4a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965167", "condition_id": "0x3d9f2a08192fab4a6b6df41717aab651b48ebf974043f32a9edcae981c9ffbcc", "token_id": "33937493746989589092876097015421857212196221277628816594747440774671050926609", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will JD Vance be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f551d74b90718cd716cd20b23b59f59a5dc584655fcaa445b51dd53d79edf617", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "2965170", "token_id": "4883577448597569688825553895321084052602567845784643411813895208388638413789", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Joe Burrow", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6bc5097423509eb7cd6e4d5d27de1509e178b74e26c32219dddf66441c1c1f0d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965170", "condition_id": "0x6f203bbb7124a2f00aa7f276b5391b3bb35c76214cc97414a2da96efb6065b86", "token_id": "4883577448597569688825553895321084052602567845784643411813895208388638413789", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Joe Burrow be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6e593d9925c142cb04e2ab9951d0ec21b6b01a6346fc5b34ef2c29fd276b8bb1", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "2965169", "token_id": "42812993968720422147175277967988317466791693557379748569774817573097955227490", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Josh Allen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "72545a5e3e0891e90fbd58ff868e5582e21865fadd73fb931e7574e0d043584b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965169", "condition_id": "0xa47b744c21669c4850c282d0e63a9eeeea7eb54bd99aa5240c0ad6d8888e95aa", "token_id": "42812993968720422147175277967988317466791693557379748569774817573097955227490", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Josh Allen be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "209127ea5ee1d419bd68a12d31f8e381c8be6ec337b0539f9dba43b91bc6a5bd", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "2965151", "token_id": "51609101123221778102284822919582761485038679353783967865638276979537803962469", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jude Bellingham", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6e9aad5519d580abea76d4def2d0ee48b44c9a890583f757ec638ad8a5dcdbc6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965151", "condition_id": "0x9cdd0ad4836125498c7210a8f6230b89f3c14a9b5e731d933717d8cd97331282", "token_id": "51609101123221778102284822919582761485038679353783967865638276979537803962469", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jude Bellingham be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "29ebe3e24a26fafc8df364dc7dcead77629e6553e675267223bb2db1e15ee5ce", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "2965142", "token_id": "74549882610766342605423954365731837989462647300540345219939331060647244123016", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kanye West", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d3bbcb3d4c7eb41f268c195ba5d27d7c7f4bcb3257545faf178bc622c91b886c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965142", "condition_id": "0x19740035744348691fd4c070d314910347706ee4d9b9f48157ee577660b31b06", "token_id": "74549882610766342605423954365731837989462647300540345219939331060647244123016", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kanye West be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "750c9e8c3875220846421950d90c1f0767f18621b04ce5bcf7df7ea9d77c1918", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "2965148", "token_id": "110125082492592865358219388184876967955531578925935701045426083631211553812508", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kylian Mbapp\u00e9", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96548896cdccbd0505fcb3843696c268acba3dd36cfb22dbe0b107a7d31aeda2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965148", "condition_id": "0x7ab48a846ad3cf9f62a947e7047138d395bd7f814aec065d2106caec6c7bcdcf", "token_id": "110125082492592865358219388184876967955531578925935701045426083631211553812508", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e2214a504679dba5742b809ea47293ca81125c6d76af034bce71f27b781bd501", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "2965144", "token_id": "16734137117012850098987613950917762270220722761866045711518765003668527934270", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lamine Yamal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c23d6e50b80584a212b015151b9ac9c1f9c51fdc5e0cd8c0d060acb88753ffc8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965144", "condition_id": "0x095b13093577208284ee086e45354d8a9c3c9ba7762996cf6b210771eab3fa54", "token_id": "16734137117012850098987613950917762270220722761866045711518765003668527934270", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lamine Yamal be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "378e590eb6c45701b0cb73fbd571ee7ab180561561acde3ce1011802a04c889c", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "2965161", "token_id": "18394673838999692598763741961239900714009288652652725063030846518304170550242", "outcome": "yes", "label": "LeBron James", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7ca996b25cc1bc47a3a64e75b1f1e136cbced2907773c3d39449e82df1eeded0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965161", "condition_id": "0x119f3160a2f1c083719b680831b156aeda7c6a7fce6233278aa476138b5f8cdd", "token_id": "18394673838999692598763741961239900714009288652652725063030846518304170550242", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will LeBron James be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fdc479cae0564cfd31d23093fb97287f34ad71fb1b9467edf01a573c0896f1ce", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "2965188", "token_id": "101336879104217791878636147544692375899978911235466810219868978609951784533532", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lindsay Clancy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7367496c9252791f205f736ec76c3df649353673abe3b12578b2e394e55f3f83", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965188", "condition_id": "0x4350034be066b7f44fcec5f1c89fdcc0f9e0a0f34add9f563715ae1515d75b03", "token_id": "101336879104217791878636147544692375899978911235466810219868978609951784533532", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0d3ff6dd5f7ad6d6f907530f5f523e8ce9194567d7783c4be9363ead3afe94f6", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "2965147", "token_id": "114740172860498115188038554130091936610363761758543501656574221778960067144267", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lionel Messi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "362ed969df118ae3e5266dde1d152c40a04b3c872285e230c00c076d51c0d00d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965147", "condition_id": "0x267cefea77806cef625c0cb0b16de76a798dc49fff168cfa3264487caa27b905", "token_id": "114740172860498115188038554130091936610363761758543501656574221778960067144267", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f1b4f7eb12175f4da4487931cd763878329fbc60726392dd793745bcd6fe1e8c", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 27, "market_id": "2965176", "token_id": "47150575222377087545044489461675886700096626750103106947562656799908403682453", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Luka Don\u010di\u0107", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "252ab7347723de0550af1cc8a6bb8fee4874219d9fcfc6e7b965ba7adde245ee", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965176", "condition_id": "0xe639154d3d85d9a4e25e026235cc7cbfd5580a4f15af4e56f426df6d1fcb4e04", "token_id": "47150575222377087545044489461675886700096626750103106947562656799908403682453", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luka Don\u010di\u0107 be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3a7dc302d4142206a41eba0ba8dadf9792b95b37bc4c6ab40d80c83f8b044a57", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 28, "market_id": "2965140", "token_id": "110734517448791771977886486595919055832156660109759450031721684976275911516180", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Matt Damon", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "360e9664d64b47a61e9ff66692fe9d9ba06abf1b59b7aab75bc29ce94c4fb923", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965140", "condition_id": "0x7fa574d01f3219e49ab6dca5ba296695ef26b0054992fcfdda91c1e1bf8a3b8f", "token_id": "110734517448791771977886486595919055832156660109759450031721684976275911516180", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Matt Damon be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a80fcbe120ee799db127a3720df6a77e07a0fffc61fd80b03f67b114276d29dd", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 29, "market_id": "2965145", "token_id": "73120480306978747731539920637285679805474870852083894698008449913525829262195", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Neymar", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ee377b19cbcd8c1f4f7b878b182389ede084c842cb649b8f3b956e6b15ec8369", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965145", "condition_id": "0xd922da41f8991290d5e154c5ec0ee07cded5a3bd7d377033e9dcd79baafce7af", "token_id": "73120480306978747731539920637285679805474870852083894698008449913525829262195", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Neymar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "50bab4a157f09d9f21e535f754c83f618b0352f5f2c72f44ad0ef0b9a81fa48d", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 30, "market_id": "2965186", "token_id": "56504677351334435735580562819225081826349063763562764442259548671008751926384", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nicol\u00e1s Maduro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "23681b810f5857d379218169bf1ee917aee3ded781880e230e0cf1a453e99d22", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965186", "condition_id": "0x809342858cd959a479d720255797ff9fd8c827cef7bdf8b740f4ac44be34466e", "token_id": "56504677351334435735580562819225081826349063763562764442259548671008751926384", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nicol\u00e1s Maduro be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ee74028db5f56b8fb8a820b29c55da82a42967242dfeb122a5b354ecb4bf03dc", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 31, "market_id": "2965172", "token_id": "77500306319050975127453148031461084076216314389500126464356740809081486127162", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Patrick Mahomes", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1db4bef5dd351a6789b0d2836bb8c575b58cc71404fbdef353d837fe3374795d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965172", "condition_id": "0x826858ae9de01c1fac6abd75a0a2dfe7d9db3ce7d502e7e6dd58d9b3bf7ab698", "token_id": "77500306319050975127453148031461084076216314389500126464356740809081486127162", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Patrick Mahomes be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cf5805758900bed8fda91b136f0d9456bb90ff822e1b980ca5e5d29b6daeb198", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 32, "market_id": "2965160", "token_id": "74169342366842648551135073725303768672353728621015309495177744116256883767901", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pedro Pascal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb9146b925a6d51088758faeee6b7026f692904774d8feed20be066a97134c51", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965160", "condition_id": "0xef313fcfd9b6109e67bd6a8d700946526aee52371e434a1eb910fc6cb070e662", "token_id": "74169342366842648551135073725303768672353728621015309495177744116256883767901", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pedro Pascal be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2bd8d02ebd2d4193fbc78c9139f72c255e53dec2d046198d7ef7a6518dd1b3c4", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 33, "market_id": "2965141", "token_id": "44464191432530725037083312978380006034270608412759843548380742421964204568594", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Robert Downey Jr.", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a09a76c043eb0d21ef92dcf18bb84d97e057bcce026cf086778305e77d489090", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965141", "condition_id": "0x1cc9e5e7f9648a54151b8431385fe5b7ae52c95e30ad23437a49ce6e9be88561", "token_id": "44464191432530725037083312978380006034270608412759843548380742421964204568594", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Robert Downey Jr. be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7577383bb320ab25601ac50638fde11790efb821b0139804596ce493f6d80265", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 34, "market_id": "2965157", "token_id": "16522170340375006111803959775609088944684243036910917732483822167448476910071", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sabrina Carpenter", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5d687684cb596bbbdbec6e95f341ebe4473b8e86af3eb75cb2c0dc459a629b24", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965157", "condition_id": "0x2af8bb8acd2b0b2d5da4fbd929de23467bd51b83cea2bc306f801e119d23ede3", "token_id": "16522170340375006111803959775609088944684243036910917732483822167448476910071", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sabrina Carpenter be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "26ea52ef0589571a5f97042344a32b5942fcb5a7d6967eb05f5e1970707757c5", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 35, "market_id": "2965175", "token_id": "61462809849201851834094210820112919012234744117094344449436398701801782053320", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Scarlett Johansson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0edcca08a73bc119fa394a2a05903abfb9b3b15fe940dbbfaf7b35b0384e6c48", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965175", "condition_id": "0xa5a39a379b61c74d2ea554b22075e6b5394d82e8494bf49c417c3079304e82db", "token_id": "61462809849201851834094210820112919012234744117094344449436398701801782053320", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Scarlett Johansson be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d2ac9e970e0884a5ff1f6c8db45a2ef75e0a66bb942f6fdd8c568034b8309a86", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 36, "market_id": "2965181", "token_id": "14771104427271075423198332288269986483796953696596392912635645346656056893078", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Scottie Scheffler", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2eff326a8827d230939a3ef9ae45fa9848a6dcd7483181e85ac00ba1591a04e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965181", "condition_id": "0x7d66ede1e85c130330aa746a3b30c6e3dded6246689bdc6135f9994fd70c513c", "token_id": "14771104427271075423198332288269986483796953696596392912635645346656056893078", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Scottie Scheffler be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2e2bfe599db8960693db7ef0603e91c66c9da6f9d2e465d7eff948911d962da0", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 37, "market_id": "2965168", "token_id": "9908073342239866555622583832632257971833902322125195506338434112883131255076", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Shohei Ohtani", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9cfd95bcdf94f1669127112750493b411062cb9f8fb59d5e131a986c143eab7a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965168", "condition_id": "0x7dd696278e7167509cfcac42ec59912aa8d15c7fd83858d961b24e502ec3a118", "token_id": "9908073342239866555622583832632257971833902322125195506338434112883131255076", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Shohei Ohtani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e9de48625a5cbd9f173a4be9f99f4fa65ab46813638f9c0c26e9f339734b13bd", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 38, "market_id": "2965179", "token_id": "92172621456145983670628740084108839632756878046210506869841552125206101735061", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Stefon Diggs", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2d710bfa34939ca1091d5524f043c2a5e1ab8c36da4b20f63bb4cda32640183d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965179", "condition_id": "0x66831d1aead1a6992ad7fd98230afefe941ec547d2b79cef9db946ae4a93bcbc", "token_id": "92172621456145983670628740084108839632756878046210506869841552125206101735061", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Stefon Diggs be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "095d7b6d49b42356f6e8badfdead0f9edf7651e02fde97d8b0c187b30305a4db", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 39, "market_id": "2965154", "token_id": "52349032155243017505722781939708439932692428126234101307584423929696183034388", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sydney Sweeney", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1f0e1f0378ee711164985c113d1848fd3ba42f6e029253ae291c46c09c54c489", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965154", "condition_id": "0x031016ca9697126c96486dce3f8c4077eb6668a4e3f9dbef446cf05935d72e66", "token_id": "52349032155243017505722781939708439932692428126234101307584423929696183034388", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sydney Sweeney be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "54aa2c635806907c74e1822ca68632ea9c462a35b731078b6f23e7be3249c79e", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 40, "market_id": "2965156", "token_id": "95763188448957744479991306466747833240880447374479926754249439912151372317369", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Taylor Swift", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8f056a22dace17502af50c0bfa7c038f6b18c1c0756c2b2f22949ab01d82c0b9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965156", "condition_id": "0x784f42f9c453dc344159de47c67405ec6d2cd4a026cdb30826888de607966318", "token_id": "95763188448957744479991306466747833240880447374479926754249439912151372317369", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Taylor Swift be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2a870e2ec59a0cf8021df4ced6bdc58749acd81661945b328be583f8f8e26466", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 41, "market_id": "2965171", "token_id": "10204827066214473738324249072324979095970513502037217688783842765956297628590", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d02c8376bead52d456704cbb64b76365d254cdd8a0ae0b87c732012bd12a4b60", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965171", "condition_id": "0x3abb4616ec92c355a304c41e797c7898412b9e427629ac764c097e166fa345e1", "token_id": "10204827066214473738324249072324979095970513502037217688783842765956297628590", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Timoth\u00e9e Chalamet be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1db7ba4d85655b08064d06a94feeb4a620e13b231fa35f1e7c8cec9b9cf589c8", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 42, "market_id": "2965162", "token_id": "43884228197286471422953449942392984653907945605337637153359892589368251701596", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Travis Kelce", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c4ee01dadbc39b06a61736c6da3104a9cdd748b529d0223aed897782bf3f4dd6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965162", "condition_id": "0xc37396354054abd05117b6ad1bbd34ffd8696d3624e8cbbb3f641a01b34683d9", "token_id": "43884228197286471422953449942392984653907945605337637153359892589368251701596", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Travis Kelce be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "05b8c1a365c31fcd1c1d37101d0a6fd931781e28991c1aa755fde636057430fc", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 43, "market_id": "2965152", "token_id": "98513677931389275503783158999768150420079961849559789026778334845733883939631", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Vladimir Putin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "84512f5955d70a0ed183b86b9d5c00b7ba26d45a445ae03a9cf18a9d501de773", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965152", "condition_id": "0xc08317cb87419add79e986c57ed99015b41c813891996f01e3285cafeacf07ba", "token_id": "98513677931389275503783158999768150420079961849559789026778334845733883939631", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Vladimir Putin be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "38dbe4e8a5fb24e806f49f259ceaea0d00662a1e0ce6b348bba312854ba78db4", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 44, "market_id": "2965153", "token_id": "38557863190544354515087117742074893845680376540288474052624349234869539872404", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Volodymyr Zelenskyy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7487df70f95e663431fc3141425afea9b2faa841deec84f8f800284e586dd808", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965153", "condition_id": "0x811573cde25cee8939a9d049a4e59bcadd120ab2d24803f48e1d68341e5cb647", "token_id": "38557863190544354515087117742074893845680376540288474052624349234869539872404", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6aed2012bb31ded50ae55e2ddb06c66fab52d55ed8ab1d6580fd0e079b96c871", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" }, { "position": 45, "market_id": "2965185", "token_id": "7991112317073657435956259780429260107006850302931590213276667379172959636938", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Zendaya", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c0193aa25e8750aad251f7b725aa54d405de660213ee22d46debf65ee6cf2a71", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2965185", "condition_id": "0xeab192237e0cf4021dd4c34f165dcd31e40b97d02843a68538c85d2701a4464c", "token_id": "7991112317073657435956259780429260107006850302931590213276667379172959636938", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Zendaya be the #1 searched person on Google this year?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the individual ranked #1 in Google\u2019s official Year in Search Global \"People\" list for 2026.\n\nThe specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global \u2192 Trending \u2192 People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.\n\nThis market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther.\u201d\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "715392", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a251a1cdf4bfb088506e1b5d4dd8197e551da8dd1057b4818cfc629f442ebfad", "event_source_sha256": "e7edd98eb4f9be955c16f67afbe2793764036c7b0369616cd4e6c13a3bd6ea1a" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986723", "title": "Highest temperature in Madrid on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "99a5e2845383f2d798a2f49c934a4623ae68e5fdad7ecc1b14f26f22c2d35702", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356366", "4356370", "4356371", "4356372", "4356375", "4356376", "4356377", "4356378", "4356379", "4356380", "4356381" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986723", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356366", "token_id": "100568887266571156963403312692983237160848329580570321805546955878044722860764", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b72c1e405fff48b265ce5008b614b1ec6795136f744aab32ebfc46685936eb8b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356366", "condition_id": "0x815263f0cbfd990db1508e69bfc8f4ed742c27ccd89c24f50104f208596d1af1", "token_id": "100568887266571156963403312692983237160848329580570321805546955878044722860764", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b81e9581c2288cb13763f757f23a0e25c231a7fd34c63c732047f15d92f1e5a6", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356370", "token_id": "22492648062859298010456619980096768167251396333858002590038499470706447360639", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6a2a843bd415323408b78de9aa044325397c04654bb001db9c7551b7bbcbb12d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356370", "condition_id": "0xd0d2550ebd07733fd4c6bf2694d401b4fea678e4cec641f5de9514737aa0866f", "token_id": "22492648062859298010456619980096768167251396333858002590038499470706447360639", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d08f65472f3c4e0ffee45f3ec1b5b43cafd14d221697aaa7be5c2f2941c3c79d", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356371", "token_id": "49076299323808904596390405361983568302363758283373123103546929300831914735407", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "342aced7312713354886486372050a9f71a5720c2cc60f3b08c62a0bcab0ffec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356371", "condition_id": "0x133ad9abd366325e0eb33d8ac7a21c3d726fd4839b5559efa8e76bae1ed010ef", "token_id": "49076299323808904596390405361983568302363758283373123103546929300831914735407", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "92d58af88f78f2bc9166c635724cf742b9a76a5fe35a8ba60bd37f91da7ce304", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356372", "token_id": "28335114462629488529029233219801241924664915697184194016212826913792913063046", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c4fb45e39e9ee4e11029c54647fb22a60d22d6b40c2e55364d23280aa9fbeec8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356372", "condition_id": "0xe707037f0224353550ddbde6975bf28c2653afe4c7ffc797bc751cfcbd2efe57", "token_id": "28335114462629488529029233219801241924664915697184194016212826913792913063046", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e59cafadae4da323c35f53bd43117d94d0064445dc0cf0ae51cfa6b960f2a776", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356375", "token_id": "64566977052145037364838048653612819180068123284447966730960304053340874183223", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "58db5f5514b3078269a627e160942c64079c373c046da3cfd535d9f2e896e09d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356375", "condition_id": "0xfb2d45f8a808d66cb0036889859c0adcaaf8ede377bae30958a6be15319eba3a", "token_id": "64566977052145037364838048653612819180068123284447966730960304053340874183223", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ac406230f5bd3a877582b63958e400537f80c879acd72a8a87037a27a75c864f", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356376", "token_id": "100271865477894916608140220236868768359338332922168396134473080637215761732145", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "34d79a9d2871f3b0799d055e57090b999e1ca50ef209a18bcdb0af4e74d92ac8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356376", "condition_id": "0xf3a14b17535fb97adf19f574d166feef54525c7a588d89c9ad0cb70befffe6d7", "token_id": "100271865477894916608140220236868768359338332922168396134473080637215761732145", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f19f931a8aa5ea7d03096594dcfb64298bd05c1568f381418436d6f8f26906dd", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356377", "token_id": "115442899063500655504103598553078921485190502585699380535965673646553345677695", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "896acc2439793a6132747ab0ac7a7f7e2dfda9e6301c6952ddf17761f9ada123", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356377", "condition_id": "0x3b75f0ede6a7262f80c95c91ec42d99795cd90ab7bb16de6c2fde9281c035129", "token_id": "115442899063500655504103598553078921485190502585699380535965673646553345677695", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ac357917a411f056e04678194b1a55862172c870e9759cec7fbe1b1c29f8020b", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356378", "token_id": "31785643680023185678834461904256274058530431238709454564865329654954766810794", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2e96b26dc21600ad5c55e087fc6238841f6bd44bd589304e998c9fb57f5ac17f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356378", "condition_id": "0xf41e4547f90e16cebc13b7d74c0e8a18ff6559931d730738765e931af742c52c", "token_id": "31785643680023185678834461904256274058530431238709454564865329654954766810794", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "be67c98c2e2e00037f1314be1219b6023676d78fccfa56b200de50b7a31d2416", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356379", "token_id": "28835764559349203441254392026613465448957681302284629429797433786931271003", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "68ae33b4664f3a1dc311ff1a7cc1eb0b094403e0a425aeb511e0a8e9c9d8d88f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356379", "condition_id": "0x2fc5dca57687540163263e579aff1b59c29a1493f23194a5635bd91893d32d7c", "token_id": "28835764559349203441254392026613465448957681302284629429797433786931271003", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7b04b152a9fae7828b4be25fab051f15b5d288d7240cf6c109c63d64391a2936", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356380", "token_id": "46950766392200161865969336489579181653044586015935940778207886577550839392590", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a307937412168266d64cacfd892802875604d80bddd70de173beaf2c2d880317", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356380", "condition_id": "0x9f56fd11d82546253d2decf32ac2969404540a491308f8660da6be62909899ea", "token_id": "46950766392200161865969336489579181653044586015935940778207886577550839392590", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b889ab1c19181ca68baab488d5ac672e0e85b3761fbe572c37f93fb33b4c4a9c", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356381", "token_id": "22846650098288619872880849125126418478434468747061968161166844378518835722810", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9d1e64a46d524c8d3e36cd4d24bc5f01455f46b3418aef5ba8f4c42b1b338bd9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356381", "condition_id": "0x5189bd72bf33079c398feefcce236e4a39dbd59e0ff2f91d82cf175dec826237", "token_id": "22846650098288619872880849125126418478434468747061968161166844378518835722810", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986723", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "74fad961d4238201b6778a8c60617bbdcd4b7b098cf72926010b50f7e064061c", "event_source_sha256": "5609878a6877c96389e0d458953ae39ec5a47c7884feff52d0e9a1308427384a" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986736", "title": "Highest temperature in Moscow on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "c65a8f06e9b402c62da25252678d84e8f5451007e92c8f99928b306805d81a09", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356459", "4356460", "4356461", "4356462", "4356463", "4356464", "4356465", "4356466", "4356467", "4356468", "4356469" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986736", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356459", "token_id": "55794758024697328738335950612866160785557431237438043364752757020198960547313", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1202316e08a58de0fd4737da7bfb5092955c60d7bbd2e1f4e38d9052c3db669e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356459", "condition_id": "0x09ad1576550f9bfc9e1c085a8f2b396a60545e1754d917cde74a06bc554c9e00", "token_id": "55794758024697328738335950612866160785557431237438043364752757020198960547313", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "266d43333ae0545b2179ae1171febb9f773985406c427078260fc171be0f2403", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356460", "token_id": "78586383107802970941314425868497186885341298152978101736712972665181559655696", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f9559afb3118b45e885ebf4f8a86ae81659cefd4ab0836b68783a71fc9664f2c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356460", "condition_id": "0x47b7ec91b00f9bd04eba7c8f70f0087c3236c64b8ab73b0b2954a965a32b9c29", "token_id": "78586383107802970941314425868497186885341298152978101736712972665181559655696", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "10182d5381f924f53d7f95c7d8266688bc976c2d546245f69b0c438cc3d09e72", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356461", "token_id": "53625518839240553745191720837356609844778642754521302818635037662423370095391", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d919f3deaf35d34398fd0f544476db3956594101dce89ee2929527e26b718e97", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356461", "condition_id": "0xee1aabc74f91794aa354d6342a4bcdcb833a9655225952cdaa7c98997f5daac2", "token_id": "53625518839240553745191720837356609844778642754521302818635037662423370095391", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0248b4dbfcf903efeebc8969d29ae080f181ba9d1127d9fcd18f272f3370d2ee", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356462", "token_id": "18476698333171184373025605189399254941163604470188837922180378398043764610129", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5cd10f242bbcc951f09b0ae2d6e068c7f26904f682e0d0ea5197113510142453", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356462", "condition_id": "0x7c3a8190632756e698b6f86e8915d6a7aa4a29a969ee32795f49a6244f3860cf", "token_id": "18476698333171184373025605189399254941163604470188837922180378398043764610129", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "354c36fac834f850a8272a4aa91caf7acee0337a09c692d6721ad62fb648885c", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356463", "token_id": "92379425371012346186197217095238469268825000471320740446128139015913783320047", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ec33916d6d9a67699247ebec7f47e622a62ccb04c1b3db7e2a6b88c009a50f46", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356463", "condition_id": "0x38c7da4891c0aa5c4a4755dd51200068e0c35183471b518815ce2254de7e91bc", "token_id": "92379425371012346186197217095238469268825000471320740446128139015913783320047", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0682261d9de983cc4718dd426192d3e03113625f68637ccf9930c41dd6dacdd0", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356464", "token_id": "6190097407835482299284182195784987921689224978590745843926991228503977076328", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ad9131b8bca028dbc79ce6440dd4e14bcde712968efe86da90950489c3c83cb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356464", "condition_id": "0xa0e99b3cf5852c5e2ea6e781455fd3156fd73331b1fdef9798fa25307de72b82", "token_id": "6190097407835482299284182195784987921689224978590745843926991228503977076328", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a9c6112074271d45ae59f021bdfb4b3fefcd4b6428d0c1b8f56d705239ca10ea", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356465", "token_id": "103193088657707465857695298853269762087829571833953989189007969022631158510289", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4c657576ee6f7e651c0f249230aadc5fc37b1b1a2e7decddef3b5876cb210757", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356465", "condition_id": "0x38a6cf50af687fd25d090c66e44a6c719be00c226b9fc391b29fe53153f3f98c", "token_id": "103193088657707465857695298853269762087829571833953989189007969022631158510289", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "437ccab55172cf531facc4e3957421b70b171ba168a15c273bcec7d02b7c04fc", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356466", "token_id": "16386026036259610468080697941423829156287237451752892945300380355749892633024", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d09d821d005677295930bde44f92952ca59346ea0fda8f70abd968438d334f50", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356466", "condition_id": "0xfda878f82eb8c60dacdeea076ebf342b5b9cf36590de2c4c1acf1546adffa9ec", "token_id": "16386026036259610468080697941423829156287237451752892945300380355749892633024", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b78b45abadffab841a0348482dc0bc11108e559f6e3308b4a42073861e768278", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356467", "token_id": "115145058374675874200218625237983865057171226713696096335375345463792373766082", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ec172048314245f4bdd9dd85091d70d1cf13adf07a1688094d9de575fd07d5ce", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356467", "condition_id": "0xefe3817d52aa4e3cd33d2c48ab0d458ba5d62614f200315bad4682bdc4a01ff0", "token_id": "115145058374675874200218625237983865057171226713696096335375345463792373766082", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d835499804ce5b8abd84d1e7334f2b18ccc0b234a9e5e8248191de5ccc0584f0", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356468", "token_id": "36433224830325612141965156971833022504443570023006946338653224811139152655079", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4869f8858253d5b5321833f237a0a16c0807f3da519a271afef7e73331cbb35e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356468", "condition_id": "0xa2d4a4eaf55b8e73520d44ce983cfd5e1ef82e4f0775da1c872f2b2c7fd5e3d3", "token_id": "36433224830325612141965156971833022504443570023006946338653224811139152655079", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b5b9d1a87530cbb655563f7d10532928f41732ba5f8cf959c57e72d661f75346", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356469", "token_id": "31688490329469820622967662199440332055568847745242024574754653399251123470107", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3918e91b19018f2111e16803325357fc47fd84e98ea8619c102dea727d7ee31b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356469", "condition_id": "0xc1916b85106bd7ff3971deabe4ea67d61b273cf6e12160938ffd6f65b2d9abf2", "token_id": "31688490329469820622967662199440332055568847745242024574754653399251123470107", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986736", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b41c2ac5135fc143979ef491c00372cbc4f20df7aa75f6149c0aea3bec20f04b", "event_source_sha256": "3d66dd36bf1016bd380823db5fdf9c0a1a2b64cdc240aad1b3eadc06877992ab" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:937407", "title": "CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "f051ebc8affb59ab2f257d1b5f8bf9e5898a1cea0caff6c143f366f1f521c05d", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4007166", "4007169", "4007171" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:937407", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4007166", "token_id": "20946426650183839863033165157848452056781720632901068686075135869830887838402", "outcome": "yes", "label": "CF Estrela da Amadora", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf2a3400572f441a28dfaeeb0c8e55b8660d85d958e3d72ac1ba68a5b3117ad6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4007166", "condition_id": "0x0d757e6ae7ec7f574d15f324a14d19a3d639fc918693d8fb2725e08d33c37bbb", "token_id": "20946426650183839863033165157848452056781720632901068686075135869830887838402", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf CF Estrela da Amadora wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.ligaportugal.pt/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:15:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:15:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "937407", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "14d7079e2a6f86498be6804835aaa76378c23c0975a35d4d4fc08af9b6f9aa1e", "event_source_sha256": "f8b87970a848e5cb62d103ba7456771120150d05391d8f5ea743ff862d835bf8" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4007169", "token_id": "110808432215237910291954663511647290545399597085617840476243362558741253562075", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ed64fe56378d66a2f53516b9c015400c3043c5eca9400ca6c352cfe6d79b4f5b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4007169", "condition_id": "0x0896f4a0e4374bc34702ae77544d0fbdacf47a72879f7f8cb34a0accdfbe79db", "token_id": "110808432215237910291954663511647290545399597085617840476243362558741253562075", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will CF Estrela da Amadora vs. SC Braga end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.ligaportugal.pt/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:15:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:15:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "937407", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0ab44bf228c98c84e712e1b4d5a9264914668c6df2baa12b9a31839ebc904d4d", "event_source_sha256": "f8b87970a848e5cb62d103ba7456771120150d05391d8f5ea743ff862d835bf8" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4007171", "token_id": "84727410971104689420605367682615549478670704199141043431254349084790446242782", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SC Braga", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb7c592c899c229c01129198b34641915caf4c7a330404cc3a81ac006dc6291d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4007171", "condition_id": "0x32898df77ef1a3e6b836f2bdb6e6ec0321cdf38237d039b9eb0bad8910e0b7b3", "token_id": "84727410971104689420605367682615549478670704199141043431254349084790446242782", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SC Braga win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf SC Braga wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.ligaportugal.pt/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:15:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:15:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "937407", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "980d56be164f2e6e9f86a0d5b3e4ddbfac1fd3f65234fd53b063349af75452d3", "event_source_sha256": "f8b87970a848e5cb62d103ba7456771120150d05391d8f5ea743ff862d835bf8" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992253", "title": "Highest temperature in Singapore on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "2b2e4d45e93db41c2e2ee1820f433a3412c30f4d06a7caf77c4fc99e082c293b", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400068", "4400069", "4400070", "4400071", "4400072", "4400073", "4400074", "4400075", "4400076", "4400077", "4400078" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992253", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400068", "token_id": "33838321302432060787576518009766605300349998154592260855822469899645029153919", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1aacb389ba7f99179784309c2b7aaddd5e65090d33b2ab21703938e671574734", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400068", "condition_id": "0x0914f6afe0efbdc7517633696ce70086de1c50cf9f80d290c5cc8791a6b68dbb", "token_id": "33838321302432060787576518009766605300349998154592260855822469899645029153919", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e9e22104aa6d4a604e1ff984f9b30651582fb3e8aee1d8f2c5cf2f1cadb3bfc5", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400069", "token_id": "3399687254861654197200302867180342402272630656498202756965059669657017053073", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f97acc89dd606c3d99af0c9cee91c1d1ebb661eaaafd8eedca0a438e0e1100a5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400069", "condition_id": "0x67ea85fcaa76352a4c9cd5415539388b223675387d81a91e670bb6263c7a57f8", "token_id": "3399687254861654197200302867180342402272630656498202756965059669657017053073", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "13dd09f62e1d6d0faf92579901c14d3fb6681eaf4131fc7aade3fe397c373517", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400070", "token_id": "67873771358245779534112928191009755688118871388312126048049067620337535399909", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e147b15e959542569a593d25e98bc3d04bbb3f9a2f65803fec9e091e18343210", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400070", "condition_id": "0x638e20b903b1754cf3d3a3b569a4f0ec25885fa9dde8a7ef6f7c35a63118c0bb", "token_id": "67873771358245779534112928191009755688118871388312126048049067620337535399909", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "021188bde4883d0722de9324f6e667b77e52be48cdcf8efcb147fb502ac1809c", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400071", "token_id": "54817156354221178058299783155373687145487255135804258731557756336342143441598", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "48ecec73fb9a6fba53ca6f28a4dc916a5230ef785124aed724c893123ed6428c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400071", "condition_id": "0x74647d6971e3345aed198aff5c233d213ac8a574b3cb078afe118a76e21c3d1a", "token_id": "54817156354221178058299783155373687145487255135804258731557756336342143441598", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e4de8c2fc579afa94bcf1a6508bbaffe4ce233a8588c6cd5ff4d9d70e3bb4f4c", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400072", "token_id": "73808691913553486325906566036461304046013953957863620254481724030032169631652", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a7ff4e4042388ee161884466315bc3ef8434901f854ffcd07bd4c9afe1eee24b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400072", "condition_id": "0x6a0f7d0fb8d0f2a8c759f1032a3a84ccb721f2fe28d5bfd437d6036647b70b45", "token_id": "73808691913553486325906566036461304046013953957863620254481724030032169631652", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fe5040d28093c31202ca15438692b7c807581a2813bfc197c1f74ba1b48c250e", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400073", "token_id": "52460383677241108528424123706972453191740510973596897089428092740486995914436", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "62073caf34aa64f1affd583430e0498273d57fdc6c6286bff4176e4b2fb4aaf3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400073", "condition_id": "0x360ba635b10c64a372f66db3514e6cfab3f0cb1cc0d5cb466c5f0aa0a5f70481", "token_id": "52460383677241108528424123706972453191740510973596897089428092740486995914436", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ea3cd3dbdfb5fd58c877d0cbbe1967a77f1cb676b39751dcb597a7f3e7a54fd9", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400074", "token_id": "75613836410569750633135276215951088842774777629121986593016292998542759696582", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7bb90119ef047e955615a4a4f7c4e535ec3302b19d8c80f3ab9a45b5b63adbaa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400074", "condition_id": "0x88610809cf4d3b42821cdb7fa2364e361b4c01386bf535cae6470a27df678f35", "token_id": "75613836410569750633135276215951088842774777629121986593016292998542759696582", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a84201dc97adba0ea219381522b6c32c1bbd279f608da58b5bda05537fa67585", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400075", "token_id": "105804026874974197553677618445627024121255816355995226662182989263183946040942", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "28cce39ec13934108fd8bd65dcc48b2aaca7186a57c456f7679c2a2e7f5bd205", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400075", "condition_id": "0x80843f6e9409ba973693e492249a7de65fe284775579aec23dc0356f437adbbd", "token_id": "105804026874974197553677618445627024121255816355995226662182989263183946040942", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b839558b9f28739526360df16151dd2ccdde76a21acde260ffbfe869594a4d24", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400076", "token_id": "43446930736767364920673255754910380100677873128307195293354663771836405808154", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e40de5066e5526c79503a064b20cce9a7e1dfd7b1cf626344df8c9dbf11dec63", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400076", "condition_id": "0x06c98a118c46bbeef7c163c579104a572be858ac725c04be0de6efa79956c233", "token_id": "43446930736767364920673255754910380100677873128307195293354663771836405808154", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1393e0adeac2251f77fa3fb8850925c0a79eecf7f7978f274630f693772f0494", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400077", "token_id": "2199045759225456899354081223001909383110074558223839594573504182760281320071", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5d8bbe8fef29d5e55263e19701cc89ec6198009a1a47d89d6a8cebddea0d9002", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400077", "condition_id": "0x37bd2d255afc4db26f2a38517dc5596c3d24b4c7543ece68c370a98b181ed698", "token_id": "2199045759225456899354081223001909383110074558223839594573504182760281320071", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2d692c60435ae38345f66b27bada09b1a45f6bfc957cc7d9bf5fd512b9b1a42b", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400078", "token_id": "106796203978939073271962715068564250248043099898635936965941591685122020774591", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4663119167edca2c4331ac581ab3ef950d90e7ae92e2ff6acced061f6e95b9a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400078", "condition_id": "0x3eae9e975e2e52e223fa95547a7aec99f2d6d7808c4bbbb035eb72f48b93b09f", "token_id": "106796203978939073271962715068564250248043099898635936965941591685122020774591", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4bb43e94dca39e433c4aef06b56cd22791f5673e063219896a877bca90ce03b9", "event_source_sha256": "2bc9eb3916cb37be2dd774a3ec9ac6753522b488bd2c05e03b33829ade9436f5" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:428819", "title": "Israel Election: Likud # of seats?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "b9b1ed58b5a4da6af86cf107a2d59bca7416ea4adca66ac1b09c68a8241b004f", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2110576", "2110577", "2110578", "2110579", "2110580" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:428819", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2110577", "token_id": "48560811763958966949427836985261310673228051233722196622761044916688062540356", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20-24", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c36af2e9ffddba60b9c9da0cf00a240bac3fc370cc55a4b105839e5f59871546", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2110577", "condition_id": "0x3135bdbe2e03604ff34296d209bccf73d7e90b47f634bf47becffaad852c064d", "token_id": "48560811763958966949427836985261310673228051233722196622761044916688062540356", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "428819", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2b6320c77389dfc44a9d1f59d54717c688842f20521400e138312d13077899b4", "event_source_sha256": "42d038ea2abef7744cf069c19ec129a18df5da5b340de3efe981353a3958e73b" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2110578", "token_id": "35426463782545874068474526119520321582933339958366001423364580004443309941419", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25-29", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7f4238bfec018ef05d61e6bc9b8beed796ab488c9ccc1fe7ae594ef69191d555", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2110578", "condition_id": "0xd63e1e2db811ba09972cbac9810edcca72ffdc1d195c03547ac0be2fb7a3c3d7", "token_id": "35426463782545874068474526119520321582933339958366001423364580004443309941419", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "428819", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4b78a62864d2d3b63481b7f31805431816f9952e231821e969fdeded33996839", "event_source_sha256": "42d038ea2abef7744cf069c19ec129a18df5da5b340de3efe981353a3958e73b" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2110579", "token_id": "47617027649104766887294669232031918628837692334181076286693699298360483181002", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30-34", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "24d8000e213c4e4f308a4b9ff74ccc3376f82ff24996a413603347d1e8f171aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2110579", "condition_id": "0xc855714184ac46005a7897c68f274147f0abf1fde791421541edb065fa65a1e4", "token_id": "47617027649104766887294669232031918628837692334181076286693699298360483181002", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "428819", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ca48f7052da7f17a329ee8adb145f5c25495c9e4be8b2532fd5be11bc8e681e0", "event_source_sha256": "42d038ea2abef7744cf069c19ec129a18df5da5b340de3efe981353a3958e73b" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2110580", "token_id": "60606617344503240835351427277911212364624625909548592079777259944602378541587", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d1acf4ab2ac7a40050828b52ca38067a6a59c0b1d8cd260a591d7fd67bc276ce", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2110580", "condition_id": "0x78b3aec55f914a149fc110ffd4dcfb008ff94e2df4a451b396f7c14a572d6aa7", "token_id": "60606617344503240835351427277911212364624625909548592079777259944602378541587", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "428819", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4c68426e5828777d64c7ea5c4191fc14da46cd4dd6fca2fdc11eee7da0f7d259", "event_source_sha256": "42d038ea2abef7744cf069c19ec129a18df5da5b340de3efe981353a3958e73b" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2110576", "token_id": "43933925453172274492141877287654518668346343973234472530950455719945928796681", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<20", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f70fd057634444d64ffe8f718319b35cae96d08b223195e7a3c1ff9b8a4784c0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2110576", "condition_id": "0xb3c97c349eca27060cbbfa2bc1beec1df512fc90a859f08439318785c461dc86", "token_id": "43933925453172274492141877287654518668346343973234472530950455719945928796681", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?", "rules": "Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.\n\nIf the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel\u2019s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-27T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "428819", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e022a9dc326a0415b0fe15edf33cf6a8ca55ff49aa319f12f1cdf7ecbce578c7", "event_source_sha256": "42d038ea2abef7744cf069c19ec129a18df5da5b340de3efe981353a3958e73b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:838711", "title": "Core CPI MoM - August 2026", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 7, "semantics_hash": "d360b7b87c2b34d2fd6e8e1427e2a2101c86b5788961ce381afc710e7b6295f5", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3539685", "3539686", "3539687", "3539688", "3539689", "3539690", "3539691" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:838711", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3539686", "token_id": "94845965611974215936878491977753293595100306803782909168044786416574901031933", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.1%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4b6fad791a1b7f01bcede5a854ed3ff1c33e40a9557e9157c56dfee54859d321", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539686", "condition_id": "0x8933f3414e99d25217527948be25b892674d3b79f9d3269bb943c10c8c55853e", "token_id": "94845965611974215936878491977753293595100306803782909168044786416574901031933", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure \u2014 the all items index excluding food and energy \u2014 not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6a12cafdb9f2f00e8cfc2e551207930c2f0fe704cacbd727486e0b064f902a77", "event_source_sha256": "6b6e8a255dcd53d2120974e434a34d9f2e9c140e43d69d1cd7b031f3b26d6788" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3539687", "token_id": "62389524085487534523899712332044572176886590958623969587529644299844470210078", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.2%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ee5d29f61b04233fd56e0f7f23ef3c511234621280c8c1aaafb3f82f5ede74ad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539687", "condition_id": "0xb6c569dd8d4516f6532ad3db7d6bde314539885fef48b8ffb3bfdb6ec5adcbc4", "token_id": "62389524085487534523899712332044572176886590958623969587529644299844470210078", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure \u2014 the all items index excluding food and energy \u2014 not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7fdd2490ee6ce16dba9064748eaf6597c38669c6cd980a9d79b88050e833145c", "event_source_sha256": "6b6e8a255dcd53d2120974e434a34d9f2e9c140e43d69d1cd7b031f3b26d6788" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3539688", "token_id": "64368830477432477582522534288767253727710406730994687443511307805252003060742", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.3%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "82b009cf4d520cef0940c6dccb50f326b1d3c309bee3d71f9a9aa24513d3e92e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539688", "condition_id": "0xd376c91852ee89f3f4e7c6d54dece0f80d7d24f586e8a72970397607deab14f5", "token_id": "64368830477432477582522534288767253727710406730994687443511307805252003060742", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure \u2014 the all items index excluding food and energy \u2014 not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4436808a0cafcd1619bb694e6fa637dee72194c4de47fd9aa831f554b2a17891", "event_source_sha256": "6b6e8a255dcd53d2120974e434a34d9f2e9c140e43d69d1cd7b031f3b26d6788" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3539689", "token_id": "111940764407448803642695081267364683017276415616084103706166517737209128893370", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.4%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b345ff4206743de9f71525eaa8663ecddae862d881a53732166dc4dd8dcc1bc6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539689", "condition_id": "0x6572ba014dcdfa5086500da04351418ecd4ee07d089b25a5fb7754815a1244c6", "token_id": "111940764407448803642695081267364683017276415616084103706166517737209128893370", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure \u2014 the all items index excluding food and energy \u2014 not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ecad137f572e49dead30bcbdf799bf30e9809ce8400f8e1ca08883ec10a3a3bf", "event_source_sha256": "6b6e8a255dcd53d2120974e434a34d9f2e9c140e43d69d1cd7b031f3b26d6788" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3539690", "token_id": "93798372155573515860687572462441092158878522833955478593646949117842940043448", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.5%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "09c36d838eabb73582f736f12b436c97e6b67dffba646764d790a04e7d9c52ce", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539690", "condition_id": "0x6b0ec39c75af8182b65af299dba197c1d936ef37f70849bb3d5f5d749e192131", "token_id": "93798372155573515860687572462441092158878522833955478593646949117842940043448", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure \u2014 the all items index excluding food and energy \u2014 not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a3321e8e421f2088a8d3f59dc72b347c6c24a18491ac9d74d43a012bbfdac22b", "event_source_sha256": "6b6e8a255dcd53d2120974e434a34d9f2e9c140e43d69d1cd7b031f3b26d6788" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3539691", "token_id": "115112166241515406399183069188768994391036635530762284852088083541510296922836", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0.6%+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0ca32dec43c73350bf7daf2f8f8d14ecd2dc1b9da926910521b3095cf39dc941", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539691", "condition_id": "0xaf1b35ad71316dcb6aebed87c2a0fd4620679a3e51f77bd1883b159500c9f485", "token_id": "115112166241515406399183069188768994391036635530762284852088083541510296922836", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure \u2014 the all items index excluding food and energy \u2014 not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fe798a234cec545e7e02b5e8356660d63fccbcc4d9ef316478a795096d3ae945", "event_source_sha256": "6b6e8a255dcd53d2120974e434a34d9f2e9c140e43d69d1cd7b031f3b26d6788" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3539685", "token_id": "95589972135157814902008409239267819317793379759534573660252820281349898101494", "outcome": "yes", "label": "\u22640.0%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "903b835adb6a64fcdf93bff8c1ffa61a7f51eac49966913971941c4224831431", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539685", "condition_id": "0xeba03a8de7e15f8e9fcad824b2539755414190ef5bff3dff9c2b2aaafa4750be", "token_id": "95589972135157814902008409239267819317793379759534573660252820281349898101494", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in August?", "rules": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in August 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure \u2014 the all items index excluding food and energy \u2014 not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dbe44b886f43c09f6fc6f3accc9b3c3dd68ff0b3320ceb9eb3dde17a3f38b362", "event_source_sha256": "6b6e8a255dcd53d2120974e434a34d9f2e9c140e43d69d1cd7b031f3b26d6788" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:32224", "title": "Which party will win the Senate in 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "ed3c85559e223d8a0c1c305ceec797ae3389591a5e4bdb0bdeabcb389ab523c4", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "562793", "562794", "562795", "562796", "562797", "562798", "562799", "562800", "562801" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:32224", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "562793", "token_id": "113287701564209339913693347405685749986285999146352375265161592243948562084773", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Democratic Party", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "98e8cabff12a857a380cec403edda4a9944e94c97c84f5a2ab7aff7774e55b76", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "562793", "condition_id": "0x307a1ed89d60b61002dd5bbf00e1408c5ed2ab3fcdb056191ca7ef9bc34d38f3", "token_id": "113287701564209339913693347405685749986285999146352375265161592243948562084773", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party\u2019s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "32224", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7cd953bf832291197fc9165f21fbe9b3c73ca594066fe0adf448c340188c94bd", "event_source_sha256": "8590b1a04b51b9a9c72704f1102b01fdd72518fafda4ae31bf8919030e43f3f5" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "562794", "token_id": "51939490109676186832507970701169130490548061087912630009168726706475001411420", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Republican Party", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ef8d2544ab460c4920b701a1c7318cf3b9982bfe9b034391d4e3ba58263ae2f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "562794", "condition_id": "0x86bfb53af7250a40928975c551d12c185b762fa4ce0b40c6a64a50c946d72587", "token_id": "51939490109676186832507970701169130490548061087912630009168726706475001411420", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the 2026 United States midterm election.\n\nA party wins control of the United States Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber\u2019s voting seats. If no party wins a majority of voting seats, the party that wins control of the chamber is the party that wins half of the voting seats and holds the Vice Presidency. If the outcome remains ambiguous after applying the above criteria, the chamber will be deemed controlled by the party with which the first selected President Pro Tempore of the Congress that convenes after the specified election is affiliated.\n\nThe following rules govern the counting of seats for determining which party wins control of the chamber.\n\nAll regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026. Vacant seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.\n\nFor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.\n\nFor seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current sitting member of the U.S. Senate who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was affiliated at the time of the election.\n\nSenate members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, a party are included in that party\u2019s count. If the caucus decisions of members of the Senate elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.\n\nThe resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "32224", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "10fb36528ebd33288cbc72dfe97c042e92c6011c2e3d65a3c87a7569007a8867", "event_source_sha256": "8590b1a04b51b9a9c72704f1102b01fdd72518fafda4ae31bf8919030e43f3f5" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:502875", "title": "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 9, "semantics_hash": "ebf777ea5939a25031c14cdd6de37fed8cfb41c88b2504c28da506963623c24e", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2304329", "2304330", "2304331", "2304332", "2304333", "2304334", "2304335", "2304336", "2304337", "2304338", "2304339", "2304340", "2304341", "2304342", "2304343", "2304344", "2304345", "2304346", "2304347", "2304348", "2304349", "2304350", "2304351", "2304352", "2304353", "2304354", "2304355", "2304356", "2304357", "2304358", "2304359", "2304360", "2304361", "2304362", "2304363", "2304364" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:502875", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2304332", "token_id": "46988902198740996859751793095440760656946385372680729930152242933167498313120", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Centre Party (C)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a0292f866dc786889d755ac6727561d1a8bc0a78ca38668871617e962915173", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304332", "condition_id": "0x1f8af081ead4ac3bf4155f604cf7d6e2d4fdd8f1bcbbcca84cf8e0ff2f858064", "token_id": "46988902198740996859751793095440760656946385372680729930152242933167498313120", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Centre Party (C) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502875", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fddaaa9453e1414fbb5ca91559ba7e434d48e828bf925b0ff7cb903910b1591f", "event_source_sha256": "f4ff4bea11ca8904209e0405116455aa93dab66ba76e3a1e5e8011f51544ac17" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2304334", "token_id": "25942922740872781062621722414005477445111446974059828558807769879342025131812", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Christian Democrats (KD)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "870790753d05adf634e3ef3242b58417dbe0959855540354fefd6d014d719f9f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304334", "condition_id": "0x6bc3d43a7d7b4cd5173c7a3e4ee31b097b71f1e7013e12873a3a31827d573015", "token_id": "25942922740872781062621722414005477445111446974059828558807769879342025131812", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502875", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "acea5a5247aff3ba1f89945c4cf3440b079da3b7e1fb3b9a69d66f96e717be90", "event_source_sha256": "f4ff4bea11ca8904209e0405116455aa93dab66ba76e3a1e5e8011f51544ac17" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2304337", "token_id": "62641233478117945681326957754825810852154428208232797908006084750131272116669", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Citizens' Coalition (MED)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d888c3373664be18f129839cccc14bab0b161149af84e0641c4edaae394b3dcd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304337", "condition_id": "0x88e30780c1bc453974a34fa8c3f30f5a6e27771f5a943ca4831ee7aa4ce21ec4", "token_id": "62641233478117945681326957754825810852154428208232797908006084750131272116669", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502875", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f7d4e155df08faeaf76df41d90229ee3ccd55ecbc91ee9641cacb5f5b4358577", "event_source_sha256": "f4ff4bea11ca8904209e0405116455aa93dab66ba76e3a1e5e8011f51544ac17" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2304335", "token_id": "44911842326530177326271528214650650822810140983737370197610451332053684073421", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Green Party (MP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "60732e413ae2335edf95199aba7ca10bd9ede26a83f14e8fb52c4ffd920b1e4a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304335", "condition_id": "0x33f3ffb4cd939055a7039776c8385da9dfa3a88206d42a80c37ca3d1767a472a", "token_id": "44911842326530177326271528214650650822810140983737370197610451332053684073421", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Green Party (MP) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502875", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "28c7aab7e51d88c3ad85e01b5cb798c219418b445062f9f3138a33d26c4f3f52", "event_source_sha256": "f4ff4bea11ca8904209e0405116455aa93dab66ba76e3a1e5e8011f51544ac17" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2304333", "token_id": "29081100718567725424693495994923532898608327533061798854710448950122706687004", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Left Party (V)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "42c55c4a3ce5d414cbdc3b1c6b0d150077aa7b2c1d4865717313fbcee35d1496", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304333", "condition_id": "0x079ed31d3145be72ad42f227f57587d046d02240ba72b742b5ef71cd1995e61e", "token_id": "29081100718567725424693495994923532898608327533061798854710448950122706687004", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Left Party (V) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502875", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6e65236e380765091db47f2c7294fbcaf89a585c72114a4631f1f2a986a939bb", "event_source_sha256": "f4ff4bea11ca8904209e0405116455aa93dab66ba76e3a1e5e8011f51544ac17" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2304336", "token_id": "65650687918858627109184360313082317789974024292793126128266944883301859898243", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liberals (L)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "081d3bd7bf765e0dcaa83c1b9fc815a6e2aed75460be33bcca884b436e53f872", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304336", "condition_id": "0x78982ace7c0251ff0bdc5218e83bc9158c54882e0c410067d0696d8d2203e66e", "token_id": "65650687918858627109184360313082317789974024292793126128266944883301859898243", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Liberals (L) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502875", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "492b66828b97f7677634a5ed17d2bd5c72b64fd1a79c7138c5ec27a1e76228b2", "event_source_sha256": "f4ff4bea11ca8904209e0405116455aa93dab66ba76e3a1e5e8011f51544ac17" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2304331", "token_id": "79009848869433557696993168179458289308906328029023769142847962809397515523379", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moderate Party (M)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "343b9ed71dd653a6903fb4356bcadf5bd976cb9f521a153d97b68f8ea70276e8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304331", "condition_id": "0xbbb881b0ecfbfbd6bdc5fab54fc82871a2daf99417e51106f58ad1abacdbb65b", "token_id": "79009848869433557696993168179458289308906328029023769142847962809397515523379", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502875", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1d6e0996014f789a64c65dfce3666d4edc7093ae4e468cceec88e007be3644b6", "event_source_sha256": "f4ff4bea11ca8904209e0405116455aa93dab66ba76e3a1e5e8011f51544ac17" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2304330", "token_id": "79407368312325642649129663281021505136974919123785062185108115301590083588838", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sweden Democrats (SD)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9f8342f152cff93dc55718e6c06158a04cef1eb33b7ef4b66c5a6633690edfd3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304330", "condition_id": "0x939abe4a38f670b916138202bc9045767299998dbb3c3fb389146fb17f24a477", "token_id": "79407368312325642649129663281021505136974919123785062185108115301590083588838", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502875", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "519e6075728990e6b3762c181681ac50ac91f9bc300473595db943ca5327d5a6", "event_source_sha256": "f4ff4bea11ca8904209e0405116455aa93dab66ba76e3a1e5e8011f51544ac17" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2304329", "token_id": "41415379096485880925448231839276652692160807607298777929348554837508730403514", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e5273cfc6419f1617889dddc249acb0d006803bd6c17bfdc880ffa4be8b3f692", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2304329", "condition_id": "0xac6c0ac47d291c30123b6564bbe434ba3519d3bb23fb9b5bcd8d0d37355a64be", "token_id": "41415379096485880925448231839276652692160807607298777929348554837508730403514", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "502875", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2875b7c4fd61322b86455b593e5bc0eac991f7a430e7f83e692585c82f61e223", "event_source_sha256": "f4ff4bea11ca8904209e0405116455aa93dab66ba76e3a1e5e8011f51544ac17" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:899513", "title": "Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 46, "semantics_hash": "af694c84f72328dcbc9bd21f92c06e3d0d158b7e5ed43b4bb9f60759d1af2fe8", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3829885", "3829892", "3829898", "3829903", "3829908", "3829912", "3829916", "3829919", "3829922", "3829925", "3829928", "3829930", "3829932", "3829935", "3829940", "3829944", "3829946", "3829947", "3829948", "3829949", "3829951", "3829954", "3829959", "3829963", "3829967", "3829970", "3829973", "3829976", "3829979", "3829982", "3829985", "3829989", "3829992", "3829995", "3829998", "3830000", "3830002", "3830003", "3830004", "3830006", "3830007", "3830008", "3830009", "3830010", "3830011", "3830012" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:899513", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3829912", "token_id": "27565770140068083805403582734755314422310784210464261120286646427024570969805", "outcome": "yes", "label": "100-119", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "21e1d735608e0641bc0a1338b8559c992770ba765085aecb64d63e3c94f79cad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829912", "condition_id": "0xe6a4114ecbc0f3931736e58f5c9391011ea6b7d82de26979315da2e554ccb27b", "token_id": "27565770140068083805403582734755314422310784210464261120286646427024570969805", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9b5b2af28aa2b0a15baa2ef95e60174ea840c32d6fb343336cb90dbaf19b4f4c", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3830012", "token_id": "88747376625663385152674184248803368960926156046708532089125893719209139788173", "outcome": "yes", "label": "1000+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ead3c9483ec6a2c1e9a7bb68544774568e677f3c1b2000bcd9b5df687ac14210", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830012", "condition_id": "0x3618d9c49bbef404b9a2b28bbd4ca6b80f07bd0429018147195048cbcc52cde9", "token_id": "88747376625663385152674184248803368960926156046708532089125893719209139788173", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e9e8c3fbc6e7f97e89ef01b18e28ceb6d224bd2470d88927fc71adcb15cdc1ec", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3829916", "token_id": "13735227545613885646369054758604971415442586537843783639574250322506522105791", "outcome": "yes", "label": "120-139", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "77265df94d0aea25b0aa0858eb7799464441693cbf84edc5bea7f645c59c54a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829916", "condition_id": "0x8605e2a40107b5e063ba5da171c097ac6b81691fcfb07c0dc57971223e2120be", "token_id": "13735227545613885646369054758604971415442586537843783639574250322506522105791", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "95ba0d9db84d086b78d270ef37356fbe293f38c846084f942bc94696cf7a75b8", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3829919", "token_id": "7225468360091723857760654250142870605504678717512774222403636837108473380415", "outcome": "yes", "label": "140-159", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cc213e1d6b81a738346856e67cbcc8d2fc3fec4d4d82e00bc1870dfdecd6649f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829919", "condition_id": "0xb13a4f5cc8cf3b6d569d5b830f7c6bfce6a01a8ce6a98e99c00309aa4cbd4a52", "token_id": "7225468360091723857760654250142870605504678717512774222403636837108473380415", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "db5424df655dca48432242f266ad7085c44b5e2c38b82a876f4b2cc40aaef9c3", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3829922", "token_id": "17573781237232575854407351177376352806264873544028140076000735022108595958910", "outcome": "yes", "label": "160-179", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "27d4ae6b4d80f045c48eb59a5d6330944b0be4ad1bb58222693acb859157f45b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829922", "condition_id": "0x59689d7fc2fc6a74097166a6a3fa3d4569c082dd1b2b2620c64b94a0a761c3b2", "token_id": "17573781237232575854407351177376352806264873544028140076000735022108595958910", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3645cf86338b2672e5e0f798ba54631bd9a1e858bc4f68a1f2ecf536ced47eec", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3829925", "token_id": "53657856267665271852892321220744292408371307884764829981190438584739017830845", "outcome": "yes", "label": "180-199", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d87de755864089a641d9bede968babc9553068add2242f745881fe92ab713f12", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829925", "condition_id": "0xe12f8ecaa6e5eec38da8acd31a8ad0a7906716212512ffb4fcca5be51004d34d", "token_id": "53657856267665271852892321220744292408371307884764829981190438584739017830845", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "981a66b464e02982f8329232fce732c4a61bd6fdaf8965b9d56365adabc1728f", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3829892", "token_id": "22212234504582158350821626951193140712963388988374227937984520678898504214541", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20-39", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5717ca4fdada94235a0f973007ee2cfabbd61b7a0be6210e5fcc86b012cf5f93", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829892", "condition_id": "0xd765e2a263bef5c7723db4ed2b009e599b907b099ae85af437f16304231ae982", "token_id": "22212234504582158350821626951193140712963388988374227937984520678898504214541", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "146f331c006916eaebc5812c1867e961e29a685da14bc76b037c6593260eab34", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3829928", "token_id": "40958478154200395682200821691610055560045225604622960981016683152145030315346", "outcome": "yes", "label": "200-219", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4b47aa1abce70cd685a2b105682db60d99957536f58f01a0c7ff60c47b956df9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829928", "condition_id": "0x25e73550036d552f4518bf882e809fa8239b6d3dbb79dbaeffa20d97217dc1fe", "token_id": "40958478154200395682200821691610055560045225604622960981016683152145030315346", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7c14bc3d1f075975dd0b128842184bfb06da3ead6776ad538659fced7557f5f7", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3829930", "token_id": "34250917855825267919608363885472425683235959500057830565176384777717545859205", "outcome": "yes", "label": "220-239", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "affa4397872ffa54e59d636177cc1a42545a802f818a3d49cb9fad5280d198f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829930", "condition_id": "0x38459a924c8bc4c90684e0e3fcf08b5fb439190e904786aa41d4ffd97a3358e9", "token_id": "34250917855825267919608363885472425683235959500057830565176384777717545859205", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9bc9a9fbfb248316de993a56ac3bc7d40aef88b3627b756a42e7c86178a8d682", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3829932", "token_id": "30027296242752151460148367452926694123307529353606512021643830630114708307936", "outcome": "yes", "label": "240-259", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3c4c3d71f6d132f32ee477f66c1a3af96f6d7ff75f4c1328625e4af1b07c01c4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829932", "condition_id": "0xa816379155dd3a1ddd29b08734f11853593b3ebdb801c5d6ffdf80471fb45626", "token_id": "30027296242752151460148367452926694123307529353606512021643830630114708307936", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "886a3a2717ce4963e9ecf8a97f992bf9bc8683e52d3f1653ac5aa633792d0b82", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3829935", "token_id": "85854312996058661620294659012105509485907613438410497980357438590845474427407", "outcome": "yes", "label": "260-279", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e20159f8e31ee5acd211a63472dcd07b842159765ab2cb8fd1813d4a4c186896", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829935", "condition_id": "0x58eda9b18170917570282e44f8cf541cc8c529c97f1b4a5af6e58a5a01a6cd56", "token_id": "85854312996058661620294659012105509485907613438410497980357438590845474427407", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3eef2e2b20d7a01d77bece61b389cf1433aa7c5d4a34fdfb80f4426319c4f4c9", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3829940", "token_id": "63268589310874183413450275149751970428887036799920012136953406534713587442747", "outcome": "yes", "label": "280-299", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "345200b333114daddf6a7249daa4e28936cc9f6762cecc5fd7164dd5458d7cb8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829940", "condition_id": "0x50a9f7663df8052677c3853b84abe3b6daf25c267f9c655feefccc4bd05ca9c6", "token_id": "63268589310874183413450275149751970428887036799920012136953406534713587442747", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "534bd8dac6d19aad515c274072b93580bc64cae5df8c42cbf58d612510755dff", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3829944", "token_id": "60129172183454980352481924433692857567895558789385138434949889904184549263268", "outcome": "yes", "label": "300-319", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "047b5bd014fb274eaf348fca6569d78a86148f896ad810d212b06f9a9b8c9b82", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829944", "condition_id": "0x321b88ddc6dada56c0bfbac504553e33f76e3c61a5a8812368d2b3bec837ae1e", "token_id": "60129172183454980352481924433692857567895558789385138434949889904184549263268", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "40cbfc73d3475e26c48168086ebf2e22a0088f1c0e07976a9bebe208c0109d70", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3829946", "token_id": "91060578531109416467119762801579699390398385851999842019821575083415712197032", "outcome": "yes", "label": "320-339", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "50620f57b0a82a7fb7025b993e792ffbafab51c1dd4f28a080e25fae530757b8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829946", "condition_id": "0x0c7c197254ab1cc949eab028be91ba55cc5b72f245dbf0f15e4c19525f411371", "token_id": "91060578531109416467119762801579699390398385851999842019821575083415712197032", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "465d54fc2bca0bee7965d04f965aca3c306f4241634731bfe26cf0a07310074f", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3829947", "token_id": "94660345056564279086895000926672750268697546923851894949708585283967774659284", "outcome": "yes", "label": "340-359", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b39f3bdc778c7e5a43d05fc66bbe28e291b2e8d913a61507b3dd2226bdd9031c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829947", "condition_id": "0x4acc224d0d800f0abff52984c15c5bdc806a86eb6672f6427635cc647fb7e989", "token_id": "94660345056564279086895000926672750268697546923851894949708585283967774659284", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "08f29c8a2e811e9ab2cabc8583f8a122170f919102e13257373307033d4b20a6", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3829948", "token_id": "1027907226520204769437576589884069970414423216692992696343442980269064464592", "outcome": "yes", "label": "360-379", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e94927bfb6bcb70bc7aefeae6c773e9eef67c9ddf73e6fef44c9cf397c816a8b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829948", "condition_id": "0x726a087d62d3e15b8a149417284d4c4d4c0f43b7a719eccb5cd636ebab0c57f2", "token_id": "1027907226520204769437576589884069970414423216692992696343442980269064464592", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ce42a0b06b90fde6414996ca8da798d700c61bfb12b7ff982573a99af2f6a0e8", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3829949", "token_id": "28823231175058225238810911993261875894831527685491841773612310335662808228194", "outcome": "yes", "label": "380-399", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "74e87963b8fc8e118f63d4d7dc054ae471c5acba60091bb3da821f165bfede95", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829949", "condition_id": "0x4841fbe339cb2cb444ac222350098ceb1c3e65e58b7a7c4e201a21dff5cbc584", "token_id": "28823231175058225238810911993261875894831527685491841773612310335662808228194", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c77b03fd26c7abb9a636989c2f126aa65b7bad511a0953f611b4d00943fbc75a", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "3829898", "token_id": "63946508164829902081513911586129830533966818724897195089935508763399592815157", "outcome": "yes", "label": "40-59", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "08753f387ee2b60f3dc2c2ad85158343aa2f87cd6d52634c5ab3541796da254a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829898", "condition_id": "0x9363e394c777e6ae8f5ee1dd9ebf7c08615576178cd021e2ef06f363640f2de6", "token_id": "63946508164829902081513911586129830533966818724897195089935508763399592815157", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d26a3136514805df96f15cce2f62ae09f2cb6a227f67578ab20eb9e6f4b990ec", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "3829951", "token_id": "18451921126486454097199969484571064036501393578016041190323633333077657830547", "outcome": "yes", "label": "400-419", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5233c47eaf052681df56c114f6b087b089664b2e15630e34a904e7ad6ca3c2c7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829951", "condition_id": "0x6f4687d4f3aa7535ad625abaf7a0379e965f089c738453cda0418fa18f46c244", "token_id": "18451921126486454097199969484571064036501393578016041190323633333077657830547", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c0f3fcc6a3f6d927868587d9e5d9660581995d54e8ffb5b5b6d57801438de747", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "3829954", "token_id": "27083042983954723216616843694065145551448240484280001995880946559075512056393", "outcome": "yes", "label": "420-439", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d6c60e18a4a2199ed6941202e26e3df22c06ecfb353b3c2af7292c3d23262f0f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829954", "condition_id": "0xbbc579988987cdf84f5bad576160e99e8f26f9118bd34059f79a46976c0ddd77", "token_id": "27083042983954723216616843694065145551448240484280001995880946559075512056393", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9058d278be2bb72a213844205763196d03f69bdcefa8f4f196629d10b4ce5a4c", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "3829959", "token_id": "21154868573637570614194818071769887052702267929463281733604908807474368830614", "outcome": "yes", "label": "440-459", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3d1c4f848f430096d5e607923867e04437b3c5fc14e783daf771a1d9e6726246", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829959", "condition_id": "0x1fceaa9a1317765ad7abe24284d1910767f63dfcdc87c2ade0aad1b3c1880387", "token_id": "21154868573637570614194818071769887052702267929463281733604908807474368830614", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c9a23437e3db87453f2519b9dc2a3db03a6524ebbd8ea4898dc16d2fc9553797", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "3829963", "token_id": "49954249756395846461990921768413114942361658421545361938027270411986714552723", "outcome": "yes", "label": "460-479", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "023d47471f636b437799591b77c8983ee19459ab4495772d41d6b0aedccd87d6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829963", "condition_id": "0x2d6f42bb9ffd8e3ae365d35ddfb422a283313944a776bb59f1c6d770ce1a9f7f", "token_id": "49954249756395846461990921768413114942361658421545361938027270411986714552723", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c59d31699cdf576408129078ec13e58b3f538a88d1fdf504e62d994e4c9efed6", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "3829967", "token_id": "106329733237828681478754124009245278604928548966162516089004771643245937419364", "outcome": "yes", "label": "480-499", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bec07ab7dfa14e25f03fcc1a1d14e3bff776b9e1e9e282c765ba483e1db878d3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829967", "condition_id": "0x7bc8279e8174de311b74dc1c9fa1ff1f559a633975aa39601fe180e91d7c416a", "token_id": "106329733237828681478754124009245278604928548966162516089004771643245937419364", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "497de2a15c6bf3eceb3534a3adc931537f06455423d8b8d095fb9437bf7334d0", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "3829970", "token_id": "84200399710233210056003925303570377704469577261404018684249103954629893239878", "outcome": "yes", "label": "500-519", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "07f6060b39ed2c201667dab84b5aabe6b78070516f5a3a44f49c668e72cad505", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829970", "condition_id": "0xf0bc43fb3a59167b76a8f10cca0ef841e8e9a1f48030c47e3e5764a1838fa9d1", "token_id": "84200399710233210056003925303570377704469577261404018684249103954629893239878", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "407aa3b0e8407710be8af8f9ea066f05db819ddb499effede941295112a15643", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "3829973", "token_id": "67403360104076709823985173850486244699558529370821849864831873416069389188442", "outcome": "yes", "label": "520-539", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a76b2b1ba0592b18ffa8f1fdb46c7900431e33c90c158f7f636aa617518788fa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829973", "condition_id": "0xed8a2b6a64c4cf571da3f20d65663f0597be3863a3f2a3c07265f8314e37ef1b", "token_id": "67403360104076709823985173850486244699558529370821849864831873416069389188442", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "be5d4979c6373fc8713902cd1ad320b1058e1e3223d41c706e6185067f28c7ac", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "3829976", "token_id": "6760245027570078872597693201403724973618835001659413443991859890452307815545", "outcome": "yes", "label": "540-559", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "01b96bd87949e20c12bbaff4bd53c1ac4f47cdc20a7b8a2dc83bdaca5e6358ec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829976", "condition_id": "0x0b8ff002447535e7ef6d341d7d8805ac3fd6dfd7fb0b2e04b6c0e8e3fafcf532", "token_id": "6760245027570078872597693201403724973618835001659413443991859890452307815545", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b4abe320d7d7381ecc5411336386a3733b5bae3e92125ac4d8e5cb5b3e5adf58", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "3829979", "token_id": "25482069703561640652572452652860137986839821179071773614490328627313695396270", "outcome": "yes", "label": "560-579", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "370a208731d95dec006c9603ac5b124e742b6249218d1d5895cbfe9712492e55", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829979", "condition_id": "0x59475d44cfd1e2c3c2f49288005764c681d63061366b1158a455da16519b3b73", "token_id": "25482069703561640652572452652860137986839821179071773614490328627313695396270", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b5dc67adcc7f9bf84798859cda5980e3f7359fc753942346a975938bbf161e72", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 27, "market_id": "3829982", "token_id": "21857124383422083970052882553844499882168702827289232142272928257956291795659", "outcome": "yes", "label": "580-599", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "054f9d22fd0c626936d3d14eb091be850fb27bb3861bca94c4795df23e0a9134", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829982", "condition_id": "0xc6ca70035aa0b884aa71355c3039b5d90e0f366d81364f61bad87211c20eead8", "token_id": "21857124383422083970052882553844499882168702827289232142272928257956291795659", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "720853dc09733960d36ced0baf64d594db2178f556e3f2c4448fb0636fe606dc", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 28, "market_id": "3829903", "token_id": "56056224091240506914425693952455918482133723007685284219330284643151675432715", "outcome": "yes", "label": "60-79", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c811445cbf9a60b3d174f7ea8429f53c6a1b1721aa08e263dfaa1a72060390db", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829903", "condition_id": "0x5e3cc4bf8225f8c4e7ec8e82052edc1c6a19afb3dbf2159b8c7e4b2473a7cb47", "token_id": "56056224091240506914425693952455918482133723007685284219330284643151675432715", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "08259f75a926b69bb6c4eefc965379b3e8f0a2c47f949e3e3684a328ce851359", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 29, "market_id": "3829985", "token_id": "77313499291300756091872207239763137107320661338851742025685294299319626847405", "outcome": "yes", "label": "600-619", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5816f4d6bb615ea0b54cf22c5958e30472047cb1305b95ab75c65368a5dff1f1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829985", "condition_id": "0x51975bdc28dea0488150bf79c228d655f9d12a134cc5174c7d2dbc0f0624a904", "token_id": "77313499291300756091872207239763137107320661338851742025685294299319626847405", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "62e006a72728742142fcfefe0a31486975c7c5305534726abb49e3150adb2bb8", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 30, "market_id": "3829989", "token_id": "77131169595562963390244919525808962411079762654683364636056529549209394425816", "outcome": "yes", "label": "620-639", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ba5e9a1a10a77b502d2b0ec385ff0805bad62980f58abbaf5d066ebdf9cef76e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829989", "condition_id": "0x26ec96c2b3c5ddc2683277cdf2bf4d23142cca3b6aedc3b3f092e2b9b470c6a3", "token_id": "77131169595562963390244919525808962411079762654683364636056529549209394425816", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8379146c0994e2a67856a884772fd8ab71176eb7e1d04049f16dc1d39ea08604", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 31, "market_id": "3829992", "token_id": "50749061362282252492039908950557046457405861887930285830874403361414689596876", "outcome": "yes", "label": "640-659", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a08385f594ef06e93588b58ea6b16f6c2ab74832ee0f2eb1e3ffbc449d7616a2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829992", "condition_id": "0xcefbf089138b7e51de9e2aef8878556d85a57b0d8e7bab2ca042193cbdbaeaca", "token_id": "50749061362282252492039908950557046457405861887930285830874403361414689596876", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7aa5940ea55e7c1c9380b1a8437376147d48b09fcaf9f5a2af9be66080c5ed8f", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 32, "market_id": "3829995", "token_id": "69984797564970409246829635858543655643978901859330366895058935083411698229666", "outcome": "yes", "label": "660-679", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "50f656356da5292846ccda7ab42885d8318f44b9013f086a5439abf26476b9d3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829995", "condition_id": "0xf7bd397c58eb1cba45daa60d9dc2378d635f8548893835b8be36b17a6b6ec5b0", "token_id": "69984797564970409246829635858543655643978901859330366895058935083411698229666", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "827cd0fab5387542691914f4d04a64295d86c6da93879daa503cb2c93e00a90f", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 33, "market_id": "3829998", "token_id": "104641311903886593335531205263710248394021821993774963711555237126156698385199", "outcome": "yes", "label": "680-699", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dee84dcecc98a701ec4b96fd8fa4a12d3188011daee29435bf6fce955f140fb9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829998", "condition_id": "0xedb8e6b7844e9a62b7cecb4e1da25fbb8e1dd86f6b601c2ea49e487cf88dd9db", "token_id": "104641311903886593335531205263710248394021821993774963711555237126156698385199", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d95724323c91491dab8bea5c924f0826b7e279e74f28fbad13b44a5ab004905a", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 34, "market_id": "3830000", "token_id": "45459517133430256991910555577422415287683193642703403489929763002397303232003", "outcome": "yes", "label": "700-719", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8cf8ffb66545be070f3c424a0026353423ad78831d59498afbd9a54ad043d6ad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830000", "condition_id": "0xe28ca318e347a5c54eea36b656323b34d25b7fbf91f55879e8187579962b51ed", "token_id": "45459517133430256991910555577422415287683193642703403489929763002397303232003", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "368fc7275a46d353426784a84d913922b71cf7e0c71305cb5b9c7b8b7151234e", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 35, "market_id": "3830002", "token_id": "11711069863887354782397770015978992676768958191350601002648742976178552713883", "outcome": "yes", "label": "720-739", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6028dc8a86cd250c517c465efb4ab8cf5d31fd674fef8a2b125487d9c6932a1f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830002", "condition_id": "0xafb5d2f0a74e6b966201b5ae38e2558977a2040aedcf2ffedd844adce49bdffb", "token_id": "11711069863887354782397770015978992676768958191350601002648742976178552713883", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fdd9c40aeb5602031f29a132ed0a8ec24f4597c98cc6a6dc2dab67421d785fdb", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 36, "market_id": "3830003", "token_id": "90743219743834800379813955914235235559014927118909099884702621017836283469331", "outcome": "yes", "label": "740-759", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a4f816cb43ab3bb03825e7abd54de92521ac1cbc31cc9c94ae0c268c82c5baf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830003", "condition_id": "0x887ab496768dc4ed2467b76e5f58af3808271cf5a2b30f51ff32df2def3342ed", "token_id": "90743219743834800379813955914235235559014927118909099884702621017836283469331", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5fa685953de6060ea2afb9422f7eef53f5f43968f8357f5eb763d7502f41cf9f", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 37, "market_id": "3830004", "token_id": "70522129333771914716971021415816944008452851383457853404561826333424454843876", "outcome": "yes", "label": "760-779", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e256a1503ce3d4092a48fc87b56ef85f43f2ee3b50f874fb61ad4831aa1c6b3b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830004", "condition_id": "0xf77a3fbcf19cb0946d5fc9c7f952cee1df6ebce8aa518ab1ae547fd3288a431e", "token_id": "70522129333771914716971021415816944008452851383457853404561826333424454843876", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "841444d2735bcbb781da4879b4f91c450e0361174d380c901f7da255621a503d", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 38, "market_id": "3830006", "token_id": "12829709728230238700528700117642217373032329575415742104851564859612672923735", "outcome": "yes", "label": "780-799", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fc6295813ae8d82553e9b2f0e0d1dacb08d7b965b68b89c217d47f27e654c436", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830006", "condition_id": "0x66e6145bdff77afbf74448a8737215e7443091fd8fad71cbf2fb2954c92c42d9", "token_id": "12829709728230238700528700117642217373032329575415742104851564859612672923735", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e1990c8a8239b6221c468a48971cf8f7b3d3c5e77dea642d37536161499e025f", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 39, "market_id": "3829908", "token_id": "8596664932146895301246413648725935751340693992829187287132550792976530013932", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-99", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2c1f4d315bd2e6ac065217c10402dea485df74a87fa159bac42b5117f906fbac", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829908", "condition_id": "0xf0d84a14d54c7c06554bbd9af219bee6ca89b5334aad0bd545b29f1d6cb57569", "token_id": "8596664932146895301246413648725935751340693992829187287132550792976530013932", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6d99ec4855114d51b9b4e84e09585424f3ac0a5fd6af87a31b92ca112e2fa2fc", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 40, "market_id": "3830007", "token_id": "71996178905016869477647076972552714344674111409609720299388980939312948412280", "outcome": "yes", "label": "800-839", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3d867c697c11f9d9feccc247e0ce09b6f693fe70d49b31ea4114b5fa583bf49d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830007", "condition_id": "0x9d5be9ca9b4bc4e76bfe70ba181f79d115555864eed5cc758cb8dacb13d24558", "token_id": "71996178905016869477647076972552714344674111409609720299388980939312948412280", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "260adc1c390825b987bb55be1bd3d82f0b42a3b4579389506e5fe7c24806f387", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 41, "market_id": "3830008", "token_id": "11944441025464469378905022394768128905612040175931669473638027289495454591113", "outcome": "yes", "label": "840-879", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bc689a256082c5f9f9739a5f049018168b5dac6747128172e69a0d8b774f2de6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830008", "condition_id": "0x96eac2ec65d0fed1091ed817d49ae41b8bb6496829f43faa1f75827feb4cafd2", "token_id": "11944441025464469378905022394768128905612040175931669473638027289495454591113", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "15dd3712d6402b5bc9237af1cbd23cb47a9f35c42282b1f5c966beb7f193c334", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 42, "market_id": "3830009", "token_id": "15852792585514750786313308470400301759678488329235694296815036219507601598324", "outcome": "yes", "label": "880-919", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "520ee82ba685d7dfc2e11f98adb9c5e81dba81b226bdc3b692fe47640334bc7f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830009", "condition_id": "0xc34ab143af5b954fecfef799cfb7d967aea04f93ddad91657fe3ebc109f46b0c", "token_id": "15852792585514750786313308470400301759678488329235694296815036219507601598324", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3ccbc870c02ade219fdaf3b32a57f371c7cd95987d3377970dadb28fc636ab51", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 43, "market_id": "3830010", "token_id": "112193536656532318891760252643150989825692030543719802598506242348038566896334", "outcome": "yes", "label": "920-959", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d6e0fefbcf93026c3b1602dd41c0838704ad5d9e241296960a80d239ef40ec42", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830010", "condition_id": "0xa9846bdf382841bc4d1e3eb0b91dd0a0620f215838407994bd4c708428a4bc08", "token_id": "112193536656532318891760252643150989825692030543719802598506242348038566896334", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "88ed06a6e3fc1b43f91528527d71d472da9f564b70209090f3cf1bf86c1e49b5", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 44, "market_id": "3830011", "token_id": "57691110295647156954046400294198698790366963266588014684527687647520316730038", "outcome": "yes", "label": "960-999", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8dd6a47734e36e2e94377e07787814c6fb072c5e0d737335402a3f0b878b9557", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3830011", "condition_id": "0xd47bbb509f44e2f6470198d832e4bc9374d1de19fef92f5f5bb5e736a78bb466", "token_id": "57691110295647156954046400294198698790366963266588014684527687647520316730038", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6e1710ebb6d77bf2049db4ee53b0185aaf5fd7d128fd859e48a7b444976c297e", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" }, { "position": 45, "market_id": "3829885", "token_id": "68297856918505838560196821720350417509174484060733695496137494785164346971475", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<20", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0f1235b964fdc17467b721e1d389a2a9f7335056e37f6f8967c8a2f5b279ecb9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3829885", "condition_id": "0x7bdd2fc9ca5a18852aed6a5a3ce33dadd5127bdd47b673fca1b16fb41075749f", "token_id": "68297856918505838560196821720350417509174484060733695496137494785164346971475", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/elonmusk", "close_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T04:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "899513", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "77a05c2cc4acbb263fffff9de6ae8a75567360a25cefc08743765f8690c0d72e", "event_source_sha256": "b0ea078a22a434fbb53cb491a4d3985adf4bd1af89a68fdb252dd0f7a17cacdf" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:843044", "title": "Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "19e19027bee43833532c02d285d5a43e6ec53e53ba3d120dbd94d736decd2255", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3562235", "3562236", "3562237", "3562238" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:843044", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3562236", "token_id": "99651778517916963441459208598519583860483475242015325647224805941293647284639", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27-30%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e048e16c97c1164112e01e6a23d1a69f5a83b24e149a30b52a92b2c6f0e15313", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562236", "condition_id": "0x35e937709794b25202be03105093aef831d7532d3252bfa11a6f51da10a395df", "token_id": "99651778517916963441459208598519583860483475242015325647224805941293647284639", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843044", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6a87c0fe0510c991ac26b83dd55bd392b74b1bb39c1f81c2f24bfc7d51249a60", "event_source_sha256": "8754c29d8c2607141f949b0dc8841ea1c513ab1e66ad270d115986d1850dc3cf" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3562237", "token_id": "90810844147678618792127649990617155066860651809053371749397688811834026822499", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30-33%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d16f0d617d4365ae77ca9dc17c86709fda095bc08fe7e782e03385629d374ce2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562237", "condition_id": "0x9808730a8bbfe89e17269ca089880b3d5e6797ff795509ced55eb42f332a1cbf", "token_id": "90810844147678618792127649990617155066860651809053371749397688811834026822499", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 30% and 33% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843044", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "901b15462b9064e6c8de0a1d66ca96274e954f40582e1c2014f8c4ec3b82125d", "event_source_sha256": "8754c29d8c2607141f949b0dc8841ea1c513ab1e66ad270d115986d1850dc3cf" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3562238", "token_id": "22038719280661208075124609019138674501808732620982519925592486524998563881317", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33%+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1e38e710fa198406803b5dfd533ede1f8ad2f12af5320b25de9e6bc71767d61f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562238", "condition_id": "0x296523379cf976d372237482ee28cfabaffd2c17cc226f4dbcd7b07efaab0cd8", "token_id": "22038719280661208075124609019138674501808732620982519925592486524998563881317", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win at least 33% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843044", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "14f72f116bf503584306806e999ac001183762bcf5bacc49b3353590e4cb4a59", "event_source_sha256": "8754c29d8c2607141f949b0dc8841ea1c513ab1e66ad270d115986d1850dc3cf" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3562235", "token_id": "101937734913631974610277211837661392894274934995967408564821834276542212328240", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<27%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "72d925a106f786cc6e7601499c54df985db8c788b711011bb6649bc1137a9bdf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562235", "condition_id": "0xb3804733212765a88d94de21d0e0434ce453e7c39c64b1ac69e56dbf32c954e9", "token_id": "101937734913631974610277211837661392894274934995967408564821834276542212328240", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843044", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e7b8473995308af9059f29294b2699ebdc74990b07092a60e777e68a0a406a50", "event_source_sha256": "8754c29d8c2607141f949b0dc8841ea1c513ab1e66ad270d115986d1850dc3cf" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:143443", "title": "Venezuela leader end of 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 16, "semantics_hash": "b90444d820afb4b1b7672708f31d080a75f9fd6efc0e1f9de53893467c33739a", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1105740", "1105741", "1105742", "1105743", "1105744", "1105745", "1105746", "1105747", "1105748", "1105749", "1105750", "1105751", "1105752", "1105753", "1105754", "1105755", "1105756", "1105757", "1105758", "1105759", "1105760", "1105761", "1105762", "1105763", "1105764", "1105765", "1105766", "1105767", "1105768", "1105769", "1105770", "1105771", "1105772", "1105773", "1105774", "1105775", "1105776", "1105777", "1105778", "1105779", "1105780", "1105781", "1105782", "1105783", "1105784", "1105785", "1105786", "1105787", "1105788", "1105789", "1105790", "1105791", "1105792", "1105793", "1105794", "1105795", "1105796" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:143443", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1105753", "token_id": "14828058791696346976751024458072495125359450860754215130677654093999617502961", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dan Caine", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1e2165b63349390462419b3c55ebb4d744f4f10f9a842df04b4b3b12b1b5cc53", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105753", "condition_id": "0x1198bf982483cc6f0a3d3de63d7703117ed19c5b5a9474541a2a3b6b0b5e51f3", "token_id": "14828058791696346976751024458072495125359450860754215130677654093999617502961", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2ab712ddbf1afc7df7470a581f6eaf5f269183e3a092e99c409ba6b35da48d44", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1105742", "token_id": "38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Delcy Rodr\u00edguez", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c0f955fed02c457465df5bcfcf88cd1fbf91a02cf62e21fab2bd34015a2891fa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105742", "condition_id": "0xa01d48a973e40770719dab42faf1aeae5da4376d9eca46e77265c7551d1be0f7", "token_id": "38667196958602416137463628517439560119304765709104570192447644733106171420112", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Delcy Rodr\u00edguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dbd3db9734eac120271f5afdebcd461a622925219ddc126f6eaa737a06add7b0", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1105745", "token_id": "63520322965196077858161646392631185222879535067184355961912182985450749868276", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dinorah Figuera", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a28b059ae38067b8f054911dbcef6c97b87e4eacc6d9796969d0f14fcdf758fa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105745", "condition_id": "0x86a2f168603fae962d925c91b23fba47c0c7436a240056785de25e998bc30811", "token_id": "63520322965196077858161646392631185222879535067184355961912182985450749868276", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bdf9a849970db54e796dda79ac8aabcadb438e0b7d8c36e4bba600a8e1485b40", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1105743", "token_id": "112746945158746257741635529019662641558199388176511485763810876768315276888838", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Diosdado Cabello Rond\u00f3n", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c6a7075b35052ce9a2805971902dd70f296b053ca5c7f387ad53c3f4c8a1deef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105743", "condition_id": "0xd46931250308613b38c1fdad5cfeaeaae05818bc445668ad4629f12e92aac690", "token_id": "112746945158746257741635529019662641558199388176511485763810876768315276888838", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Diosdado Cabello Rond\u00f3n be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "02531d8792d10ff7168ea19512a3dbc4b0b1aa00f79542776106d3ca98786495", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1105746", "token_id": "14211065675584872409434951928382202221234755265148030622924500315944266691558", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Donald Trump", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "15dfffde0f5dd1b06f00f5ea07c3b10a2b09fa5e896b33ff8658563b618327cc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105746", "condition_id": "0x746481a9f7ac20a4959a11ea5d535522040b0dfd7c21b920d5fe134a93c2c26c", "token_id": "14211065675584872409434951928382202221234755265148030622924500315944266691558", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6018474bdf5ceab0487aed94bdd3cffb05b6e07d12552a49bfbb132af58c503f", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1105740", "token_id": "85482789936744260311999371350699987044247644306653001528276695717482676507600", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "488795fdeeef3c8a29ef8ea02d602bc40cc3d70532b96dcf158c284d61410d9d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105740", "condition_id": "0xb122b2a17c8dea01d5e8ffe04316bbe011f9bf80c989bb82afde2f39a3fd4441", "token_id": "85482789936744260311999371350699987044247644306653001528276695717482676507600", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Edmundo Gonz\u00e1lez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6e35e5e425e54e36ae489e6b784a59dfaea75f4cbe9440fcd3caf020b67c12b4", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1105751", "token_id": "29837838565073869827145553292583668903967817176034246371462591974518514238766", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Evan Pettus", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "611bdcd4137993fe697450b98efe57fdc74a0c0c664735194ec937da9a3994e9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105751", "condition_id": "0x1dd7704a6d05cca078564bc0bac541261425bc9252acc5634639f5161daf45f9", "token_id": "29837838565073869827145553292583668903967817176034246371462591974518514238766", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2d685e870cbac53f2deade953359cbb8cd55480ab050dfa6b1051906fe9b373c", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1105752", "token_id": "102488069217181040733050347118082609606893446345922306325497036296077206149582", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Frank Donovan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9d460580b67b8128fc0987936ef33ffb27ccb27551931a583809729660aed1cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105752", "condition_id": "0x8063a2c9fa21c4a1470b33fee132d6d61fb5b7dcd667dcac3bb82ae15ad70c0d", "token_id": "102488069217181040733050347118082609606893446345922306325497036296077206149582", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "df935e62f1525185716e680954c2ac59c4ae29aa89060a98f2cb7cbb69c3bc25", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "1105749", "token_id": "42727638766042850249414793956193305049964960783968960523056590290643557215679", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jorge Rodr\u00edguez", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "02aab564f7311192b3772f7978fafa8fcd6e7849f57813e074dcff70b5602369", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105749", "condition_id": "0xcef0ea92825ef2e046a97ef9b628709d0071614832d3bfc9c6c8dc119a472618", "token_id": "42727638766042850249414793956193305049964960783968960523056590290643557215679", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jorge Rodr\u00edguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5577ae3967241b0ec63120f360ab722f72a55591c2f9dc6ab98328ffff185b78", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "1105748", "token_id": "86169745307861674090452043379261530418870357324952931974995649343490068237899", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Marco Rubio", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "723456d9368f93e0ff0d1b5cb03ce03822709bb607cee802298c3a2598d7401f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105748", "condition_id": "0x4c04cc7094bf35bd682eb4f0e492836b97392c213087a2b891d0b5d897a81eb2", "token_id": "86169745307861674090452043379261530418870357324952931974995649343490068237899", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c1b6318e3a1e1041af70670f7307300db6aa5b84098c6023637d7b6588bc69b9", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "1105741", "token_id": "111206023652925249192617904527998565944558514529537236601741996492948632883698", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mar\u00eda Corina Machado", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2798990f4f17dda2af30aa0b74b4994c21cb93cb0fdcf7b4e7d346275a1215aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105741", "condition_id": "0x70187b4770796788b9d1f3fc6652c596870a9a837b96c832441652588f26029d", "token_id": "111206023652925249192617904527998565944558514529537236601741996492948632883698", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mar\u00eda Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bc19b226a63fbf3f131660896b576ffb359ee182ba384082202061083350b43d", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "1105744", "token_id": "37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nicol\u00e1s Maduro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f181ab875d2eda15e64abb874f2acb067c142b1e01337de953b3db8f92ec1ddd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105744", "condition_id": "0x67f3f8d0a0ecdfc008c99650284a4674388a8c3029b0eb7ca0abd65dde8d996f", "token_id": "37090128566507509913630589460372620352013766554886380785463533062224343545231", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nicol\u00e1s Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6862e4a88fa0ffc183b39becefb49988441d2d9dbce5b06ad298aab012f47bbd", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "1105755", "token_id": "17704927682411404638982382980949594324217253655714867278953651574552110090318", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No Head of State", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c78a1fc80640f64cb07d70a400525a8bc3c04a0e63162ecbed60667e77fd028d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105755", "condition_id": "0xf752269473fe416c87c8da63dd21c74581cbe3f3920cc904b0d59cbdfa173ef7", "token_id": "17704927682411404638982382980949594324217253655714867278953651574552110090318", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d1571de5c835f43f5b6e70b59b8bcb6e1a1a8ccb35eb52eef61c546e71b6cde4", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "1105750", "token_id": "104769838619091338531297529252838473576191240472079657441003392006780754738080", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pete Hegseth", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7a4e21c649e71eb59100f61ef7a9ac36db6363d4bf2cacb800042351e7f07565", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105750", "condition_id": "0x4197bf7e572f1dd731669d33d05532c6d3b8cba71fb83dc69d789110e39c41b4", "token_id": "104769838619091338531297529252838473576191240472079657441003392006780754738080", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "25c7176e6834d64a36638584ccdbe8362336ee12b1aac7778eecab6b0fcc43c3", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "1105754", "token_id": "63041927234014862550752749844577619438319946530923167906649363118591050055991", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Richard Grenell", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bd83ea6dac62cc124864202f51597f4becde15c5aca5f0fc3387f54037ef323a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105754", "condition_id": "0x831493dce463d9adcad78c492f2cbec6ecdac31f4e8c5a894fdac68c130549d4", "token_id": "63041927234014862550752749844577619438319946530923167906649363118591050055991", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b7503af2e443eff6ccef5d6a6b3b5857a718dd7828143dcd38a835d0c2c52a6d", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "1105747", "token_id": "54906963185407778588520250373893528650769447293260978407024082288131033892651", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Vladimir Padrino L\u00f3pez", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b8cf7304872e27e556eb68175832f895953666e09c262d2dd7770f76d283e9d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1105747", "condition_id": "0xbe63107b6f2952cab6bff292332b1574d5f70323a5a830bdc7e6129ab3c3960d", "token_id": "54906963185407778588520250373893528650769447293260978407024082288131033892651", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Vladimir Padrino L\u00f3pez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, \"officially holds\" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. \n\nIf the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). \n\nIn the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. \n\nIf no individual holds the position this market will resolve to \u201cNo Head of State\u201d. \n\nThe following do NOT constitute \"officially holding\" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. \n\nNote: this market is mutually exclusive. \n", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "143443", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "14a94a3c9d2327a6fdccf1e6f716799a4e810ac1c4b2fd90973becc6c16a3b16", "event_source_sha256": "448dfe2b5ea82cc6a1e824867431bd6b621b49ba07d628ba18454c6be86bc4ad" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992246", "title": "Highest temperature in Wellington on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "a26fccfa61697e7e1ebe00b6272ae57b05e6fc3239313639daabfbb5344d4dde", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4399991", "4399992", "4399993", "4399994", "4399995", "4399996", "4399997", "4399998", "4399999", "4400000", "4400001" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992246", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4399992", "token_id": "77901564012670745123827072326125505474199880908453581771064613998531667470277", "outcome": "yes", "label": "10\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3ccbb87e03199492871d45865813f2afe80f86c9d6420ac49ac2379593f41113", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399992", "condition_id": "0xda213fc5ea1b309cf1b8db9dc5dcdef5eb6ae71c9b56dcddd86a9eb6a503a639", "token_id": "77901564012670745123827072326125505474199880908453581771064613998531667470277", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "43b2d851e39a27f06384d2275288de3c147fe58cf8c031a6bcee9a9f6ede415c", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4399993", "token_id": "14281478999650827506750959978910752193580334758126905380091095688396530005622", "outcome": "yes", "label": "11\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d9cdfb25c9b5e9fe0f8c6c2072ccf29977fe53d1132e6303a1e1df80bd155bba", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399993", "condition_id": "0xc9aa3f4baa2d3c8daa05bc608f1fb070e705aba0ea7de127eb220f8b921d77be", "token_id": "14281478999650827506750959978910752193580334758126905380091095688396530005622", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "248331471db3da4a6d8655888ad791424be09fb2d7a71de70c9c496fea4db5dc", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4399994", "token_id": "101243427374735630755768340459681549419248782402842906865656385711121892831790", "outcome": "yes", "label": "12\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b731d831f1c4de3497fda14f4c75e1e5cf19b506989bd8f08821d4b3369c8118", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399994", "condition_id": "0xe6bf63cfe93744cade06e507b7cd0e05451ca509912437950833ba3aef5a669a", "token_id": "101243427374735630755768340459681549419248782402842906865656385711121892831790", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e167ebb4bb47807d79133377a900fc6ca4ace0bf5a993078e2f724bcc44deca9", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4399995", "token_id": "31261729628874018168249457024869060458075342093045892262989195606595416903334", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7a1587979bc999313e232899d5f2ef230c7eee396e4542be4e5877b038f31e08", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399995", "condition_id": "0x1a9cfd7347160b75e5cf9cc11ea9a96f0749f45dd31b6a1aa103f8b7313f3e25", "token_id": "31261729628874018168249457024869060458075342093045892262989195606595416903334", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c4cabf74525031bd5d0c562ba58cf96f93bd78422a439c37905bcee062f32cb9", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4399996", "token_id": "69777352944030793705794452321910263985859429937263470839366970225207616466271", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "07457e023a58822c1dc1d276cffe69dfefbf4342c019397b5ee5f2bfc12a4785", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399996", "condition_id": "0x870914d07acadc41a70d32c323fcc2e9ad65f500c8a328c8025ad0a4a07760c9", "token_id": "69777352944030793705794452321910263985859429937263470839366970225207616466271", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a2d63e1119309d7624e681d3d0dc0c5e3a755094069b529c7baa57eb1611e056", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4399997", "token_id": "32973713167376483255873707276801313424492826351255803027138103074348098279482", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ca531f063cb3d2c0241c0c946f76cb02f7ab6c2ca0cc218ce16e6a3545d17e26", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399997", "condition_id": "0x2e309c33736d18618ff47c70f882f767c91914de74d3ab48d9096e132e6da6a3", "token_id": "32973713167376483255873707276801313424492826351255803027138103074348098279482", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8b123ae6b7c94a8af4905292df96a012d9f37631814d4576372d824e2dc719a4", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4399998", "token_id": "22218285175024274768925815992979712066457646429709015961644339630827421629400", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f06744ff540930c8fe7d929c455d2d1904d64b065e14427232ed9c07a8c8e9da", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399998", "condition_id": "0xd0ee6675aa767b2dec10eccfabe6faf28e9b317145448e416909357cf1fc8db7", "token_id": "22218285175024274768925815992979712066457646429709015961644339630827421629400", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "129ee5916df5241e58e31956d02c213717d446921044ee901e93dd5ca90e43fc", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4399999", "token_id": "110759719013382276119985129386484704447152990653668702380655284924664162944362", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "91ea37a75239ab2cde6be7daf3a9430a01fc42aa55181201ff5bdeafe987574d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399999", "condition_id": "0x70eabbcf74fc272b6c536b9e1faec9fca618a68dc510d4fd409184ef2a377c6a", "token_id": "110759719013382276119985129386484704447152990653668702380655284924664162944362", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5c5e3b4f7a0725677f69055a85f4e9b6e1db9e7f2279b0a0e960233336d809ca", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400000", "token_id": "99533831392107667807853996384930311967755629541539529344406606552159230786228", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96af4c42041a5ef2861b1bec7aa79baa7d9056c34f4a701b02a009dde746587a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400000", "condition_id": "0xce3e5c3dc8ac5dcf93efa2aac7bafbf8a4f6f7de7c260f82e98160d4558e75c3", "token_id": "99533831392107667807853996384930311967755629541539529344406606552159230786228", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d1472e58571b9b4d57fdb3590080c249fea7b00dbb6f5badc293bc8f9074009f", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400001", "token_id": "14714278266498932452569521875385645678543539816248006162598966577138726868217", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9d03f87124c797e38611cb4361f984a3898d318e4d9c2475ae95802b382b7748", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400001", "condition_id": "0xe6117e18e976587818650198d9e5bf7071189b49cff8011542d4c7f947f5737d", "token_id": "14714278266498932452569521875385645678543539816248006162598966577138726868217", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9c4078100346c36b9090d5ce9e043947242954d2f9443588f9e01e9b7c812598", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4399991", "token_id": "59515828046105025836234504050677137757665697381374164630293947831183276883221", "outcome": "yes", "label": "9\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8898152bbaa4fc495c2a04666f1e8643f9c901469add75ffb648428e0dbbf0da", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399991", "condition_id": "0x224e4e2bf3a10d67feb40f932a011ff1d985883e8403b9b7a56a0d62b7d79ec1", "token_id": "59515828046105025836234504050677137757665697381374164630293947831183276883221", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992246", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d9162a9bec09b1439fac5116fb313327d9037fb1dfcce8455d6a9b09b1fb60cf", "event_source_sha256": "6bde5bb2edf04746b7577cba2219b289583269610f985f03259ff95d6ffc305f" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987075", "title": "Highest temperature in Dallas on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "a506ab729d8566fd99d72d0ee831eb3f0c7d5ba07afb1db09e332b2f5ad5ed5b", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4358657", "4358658", "4358659", "4358660", "4358661", "4358662", "4358663", "4358664", "4358665", "4358666", "4358667" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987075", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4358663", "token_id": "114548285739289279250441790941958713789259496740576640363899890145914608299528", "outcome": "yes", "label": "100-101\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fb4231326b432abeb85bfe423ab2cc46d3470d71b4573be68bd5112e4521a922", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358663", "condition_id": "0x64906be1df3f60de3940fd441c00120d3f4cb0d8e89d25882327a15b72940e23", "token_id": "114548285739289279250441790941958713789259496740576640363899890145914608299528", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "52ee4477a855db3b09a1e3287c0f8e72ce7fd17cf1926d897c5f3aeb37cc29dc", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4358664", "token_id": "11890923602356066738758408254484753084160431554431990550407471960202503474822", "outcome": "yes", "label": "102-103\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "57d88e9d6a87336a8ea458c7bab9a231005962341735cfcaafcc8ed2fbccc92c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358664", "condition_id": "0x1def362f69b376ea326af13a086df7b5be1191e898c8dcf26309452fd9e0b90f", "token_id": "11890923602356066738758408254484753084160431554431990550407471960202503474822", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dd0be23a1f1a8e826070bc84b5fa3c8193d58dd17487936f10bf3ffd6174a793", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4358665", "token_id": "96944659477476096793327665295622273069839109673287685057858663533621411515079", "outcome": "yes", "label": "104-105\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a727dd4aa4049106e9fef81a6aaf85a228c6ccdee3a15d11108c453512d426fa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358665", "condition_id": "0xf79fbd754e6adf3cc292f8636e571679ef4b55aac900085e43b926f95d96036a", "token_id": "96944659477476096793327665295622273069839109673287685057858663533621411515079", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d7c13b60fff65e776ea2f5b86d626d13d84e756d85172e1f131b98db5875892c", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4358666", "token_id": "81578599855252658246184104723743624048183698669574149768717836215417042650583", "outcome": "yes", "label": "106-107\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "958a63a1c787416d02c549fb9c9ca35d4ef2420657e0ad3fb61483d486003937", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358666", "condition_id": "0x40640e15e3344774aef8b1cad63afa9404129a5fee8701b14a93468526dd2e67", "token_id": "81578599855252658246184104723743624048183698669574149768717836215417042650583", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cb84a4ce898c7394142687017773a073e37db69cfc8b74c335880205a8b27927", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4358667", "token_id": "97482429021450322978094811507413275952176813745459038644322809875264767035247", "outcome": "yes", "label": "108\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "93b3fc230a58e7c12ae8332a632e80b1045f56478892d78466e756be33ed1418", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358667", "condition_id": "0xef6201e5baeebd9122d274241f33474727fa6e52cea50114f95b67c4af7db7d4", "token_id": "97482429021450322978094811507413275952176813745459038644322809875264767035247", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 108\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6e3c81376b3318284b887f24a0407466483119bae7393dc9b8f1da97d47d9cca", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4358657", "token_id": "66072265281210503330499911721845000341393221282109457060377017404681616769097", "outcome": "yes", "label": "89\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f5936ea5dfe7d55b37e519155fd8b3d833a223d885eb25f07061b62786b85f0e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358657", "condition_id": "0x65a38842c71eeb766bebf6d32b68cb384e038eadbfa030b621c21eca2e3bba7a", "token_id": "66072265281210503330499911721845000341393221282109457060377017404681616769097", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "df1f7372311a24dca0020510bcfff1048f95d59f55160c64ed7cd0791def12e7", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4358658", "token_id": "71502313649536610323717888172635765917899937309398061044830877034109712032999", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cfb325dea3babf75af5ecf582ce4bb24db481fa019af1131b125f6fead033398", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358658", "condition_id": "0xe0988147b97d28b5070137ad2bf45bd9b68e17f6b70b9bfa3264f66767cb21ae", "token_id": "71502313649536610323717888172635765917899937309398061044830877034109712032999", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1f8ac26bf1de941d3338fbd2e4099cc3a1b8d17cd2f7df9ebf7a627139bc3c2f", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4358659", "token_id": "79747425756710024693214452459932817687105573205884957540499408209287914353738", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "94a018a2a46231210ed4f7bacb5256fb1daae9719982e40e887d60636aab4a81", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358659", "condition_id": "0x9cecac974afbb6eeb81bd8b21a298359f366ae30b2a8953e3ea4946978c24d07", "token_id": "79747425756710024693214452459932817687105573205884957540499408209287914353738", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "509ab46b296b0a892de52a7255573a1e6957dd9478a0f4c259f19815ce0de705", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4358660", "token_id": "102702984361741304268815670682030247524580424688050726239082938928195480803140", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94-95\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6249e5f090661e5f8c2ac300452d02a9bf111db31e7a83e9ec30c6c611a4ec50", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358660", "condition_id": "0x834860e3cf8be67e637ef39ae0ba4b94644a9149ae58182d1ee0ee3a89a87ecb", "token_id": "102702984361741304268815670682030247524580424688050726239082938928195480803140", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f60f55d3fc1d068f0128d0f48f80b9e5d9200e229a0fb1ca35fd79fb356e6528", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4358661", "token_id": "22852808698868286536278783399452851867247855570349685764299388796354322916036", "outcome": "yes", "label": "96-97\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3e33776a492fd7655b5a656488ad75c10bb5f6b6906bc51d9c4d27cb693029bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358661", "condition_id": "0x600fb7a7e997dd319f35fd0964791eaa448cb2babcf788bb440c3bfe2c78faf7", "token_id": "22852808698868286536278783399452851867247855570349685764299388796354322916036", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c1a25fdc60149b965d7fd5b354dd5e6bd521334be38cf39c065f8465d648f9e2", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4358662", "token_id": "5074924099985337774469575305765190283958207691647540657891946212986691434047", "outcome": "yes", "label": "98-99\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "52a60ba9a09d0a596a0565fe13306ff5a805b1542957c8500272194169723015", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358662", "condition_id": "0x9a76f4ae87c9c2ca16582b8d3b48c00c10c11f8eb13027bcdae20a4611d6b0b3", "token_id": "5074924099985337774469575305765190283958207691647540657891946212986691434047", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987075", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "74f99f4796053989c61f312c1cd4d3ea3fb6fd74aa0c31debcfa7c0128d1b2e5", "event_source_sha256": "6e51ff6ffe644ca167d34245ad70af442e56e45ca28a78ce367905778e5cd876" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:626860", "title": "How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 6, "semantics_hash": "c7a2ccad3942dda2b0606e532ba221ee93408888386f1d4d42f1d21c20f826de", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2657588", "2657589", "2657590", "2657591", "2657592", "2657593" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:626860", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2657588", "token_id": "48212098145377740184408589903036063734331037416987012205504249316343292412966", "outcome": "yes", "label": "0 (0 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7bc8c2a5a577e5469cafc8b9a72917dbfb6724a8bdd385809fe4dc841d344959", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2657588", "condition_id": "0x37f3cb5add233997c557c3efb2b129333d6f21f77f38852acd9658e047a8b857", "token_id": "48212098145377740184408589903036063734331037416987012205504249316343292412966", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "626860", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8aa58be568f31cb9eea9350fddf918118461e675b588593a43859ce46c3c827c", "event_source_sha256": "c55214f37cd7c2b7f2d550459fbb7e92d266d943a8f79a980c34422d4a829c41" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2657589", "token_id": "10794185539938166264529978232135935848891793868408465101932418600198129428212", "outcome": "yes", "label": "1 (25 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6127f72c35f70b475c7696ac7e6e9a3557a4b1ff0f3a2a6846aabc135f30cd8f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2657589", "condition_id": "0x9db8905bffc0df478b336591504245614c631976329df65efd7609f32167a693", "token_id": "10794185539938166264529978232135935848891793868408465101932418600198129428212", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "626860", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6ac174f34af6b48f300dbd3035f02e304fb30428ac760ab5d43de150af7f47a1", "event_source_sha256": "c55214f37cd7c2b7f2d550459fbb7e92d266d943a8f79a980c34422d4a829c41" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2657590", "token_id": "70385825801885444256285726169277138144171910910615374854814345084550291704671", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2 (50 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ceb8bd121d78b88e15faf3c4afe968a56f4263f6e724c06cf25b47f4e0f56240", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2657590", "condition_id": "0xff8ae213f43c3c61299bafb0b153b45d6e112f515601b71b59816de6908321f4", "token_id": "70385825801885444256285726169277138144171910910615374854814345084550291704671", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "626860", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7bd40f5cd7468d1a8b456df52b245f3c0955874bd5af726ef0c87d2fa6b8d350", "event_source_sha256": "c55214f37cd7c2b7f2d550459fbb7e92d266d943a8f79a980c34422d4a829c41" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2657591", "token_id": "96438150989152816621131326427517681181218251574081190345298122880398707966442", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3 (75 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9e4a630276acb3dafbaf99c5c54151c28d9b63c09be2aacf371a903cf8487b83", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2657591", "condition_id": "0x3a2bbd8defe7f688106ed3d18ce823181d86204f50504c5cfe77342ab826b37f", "token_id": "96438150989152816621131326427517681181218251574081190345298122880398707966442", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "626860", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d80b8238532f28d12fe89bbd487e8e0747d09f644bb3b0cb70565bb292ca48a4", "event_source_sha256": "c55214f37cd7c2b7f2d550459fbb7e92d266d943a8f79a980c34422d4a829c41" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2657592", "token_id": "65643782764165890158102488877443822070434466901778560639621366514130547528733", "outcome": "yes", "label": "4 (100 bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2b4a8a6d8b4918ab02da21f93474be4f480473ca27f42685df3f469e741cf7ec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2657592", "condition_id": "0x2efed6742706e86ea486c6065265b94f999fcbe0b15aeeb714be385ac340b034", "token_id": "65643782764165890158102488877443822070434466901778560639621366514130547528733", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "626860", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ff171dec58b0f41ec43cf178e4148af233d21be5532229f6661521afe182b1f6", "event_source_sha256": "c55214f37cd7c2b7f2d550459fbb7e92d266d943a8f79a980c34422d4a829c41" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2657593", "token_id": "9552212006811911876110045383042611929843879325814561292867963637251995141825", "outcome": "yes", "label": "5+ (125+ bps)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "62bee495fbc9659028398f0030c4fab002d53e9b090403a1a0b448e30d1e0380", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2657593", "condition_id": "0x5135a28f2ef22ac398144cc93db21e0156b3abf6c65fbb16e459065c3c7cb43f", "token_id": "9552212006811911876110045383042611929843879325814561292867963637251995141825", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the exact amount of hikes of 25 basis points in 2026 by the Fed (including any hikes made during the December meeting).\n\nEmergency rate hikes outside of scheduled FOMC meetings will also count toward the total number of hikes in 2026. This market will remain open until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, to account for any such emergency actions.\n\nFor example, if the Fed hikes rates by 50 bps after a meeting, it would be considered 2 hikes (of 25 bps each).\n\nThis market will resolve early to \"No\" if the specified number of hikes becomes impossible \u2014 i.e., if more hikes have already occurred than the strike in question.\n\nNote that hikes between 1\u201324 bps (inclusive) will also be considered 1 rate hike.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be FOMC statements after meetings scheduled in 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "626860", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7cc74493ca5e37891ea6ef26b0ecf51541936d05147db60b52159eba0f902b77", "event_source_sha256": "c55214f37cd7c2b7f2d550459fbb7e92d266d943a8f79a980c34422d4a829c41" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992263", "title": "Highest temperature in Madrid on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "41ee619a83ea702959aab5557a1d41d1708792819b5f573e98c322fa675d44bd", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400098", "4400099", "4400100", "4400101", "4400102", "4400103", "4400104", "4400105", "4400106", "4400107", "4400108" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992263", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400098", "token_id": "41147011261269619341967768374727714278086980325920393663734943626346054596453", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c07967b632d7cf1dc2ff4dfd02f3a32b562f83936990e0963f07c3eb3a47319d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400098", "condition_id": "0xec7a93304467ac9b780aa7048f93a0038dd5153bde8c8d4d544e01c103282991", "token_id": "41147011261269619341967768374727714278086980325920393663734943626346054596453", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bf5c1560c7907623b19a9fce63ad16d2c8a9038d739e71b5c9ddb13be8e5456b", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400099", "token_id": "61946211148605741234602916065511453296668533941825230060155376767692304693883", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eb790f36418ed6c7da4dd71273e06923be8306efa1c24761c44aa47a8acc0230", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400099", "condition_id": "0x92eda4845b9717b0a62e4b2455ae980a8003247fc4551530040d015fdeeced04", "token_id": "61946211148605741234602916065511453296668533941825230060155376767692304693883", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3ee899425641ff5696769882015315978b0bad53854d6f5ece534f9894e53a6c", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400100", "token_id": "67095115596974554321797328591659148455015923125945628046297082408782946550121", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5cfbe06aa983aee38aebddfdc59232579820f342721121ee113aecdc51c0e03b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400100", "condition_id": "0x6c6014a57f88308dd3eec9798228037833228698385f2944e6d3a4d6075e0512", "token_id": "67095115596974554321797328591659148455015923125945628046297082408782946550121", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7dd692e45d15980d854cdfc260cd4ac04f490a611fa481ac5699cc9721a53059", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400101", "token_id": "49203674082646800487903695929038558875980491545805331488518395963009371349128", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b455ca326463385a929bcb05a138d30d711bac6e08ae165c318ca30491a82dc1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400101", "condition_id": "0xa402b0de465ae0aeb8b093bee1b3d3ce8f429e1ab79134c2be2cddd5b0d635c6", "token_id": "49203674082646800487903695929038558875980491545805331488518395963009371349128", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d3d81e255857eb8b8e9de8856111e4fe6ec1ddafef6e572f2e4b152696107b2f", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400102", "token_id": "113262483052228438294935832177001341950373767241170234757400400603682708630113", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "986fa67d24c6e0e133d9fac7ef842bd809101064269f432c70d0ed8e594b3c8f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400102", "condition_id": "0x29fac27b03bb4ecf4aa28f262150258eda895f92666fd5715d9c7f7a52882624", "token_id": "113262483052228438294935832177001341950373767241170234757400400603682708630113", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "229d12b917eb02679dbd08d1ed34fd7f74f34fcf5cebfa666881cf72cd34910f", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400103", "token_id": "20372586855344673583769564520153853930799361818303437219792839480562590747389", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "92cf0413d9f871247ce148273fd62992579ca6ef9942843047dcc6cbf6a9ecd3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400103", "condition_id": "0x3d2c80353068f36bc29a66b8ce74e24adbb7b6332b648416484bff6bca80dfdb", "token_id": "20372586855344673583769564520153853930799361818303437219792839480562590747389", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "14a581dda33426049c9d75f5dbfa1ffd12021b79ac161679be80448cb6bf1657", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400104", "token_id": "41393287212896721226369096681034011277542921326657683449066413917086159907021", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "92cba77d37d97796de9c5a7fdcd1a5b4426eca1c4e99337732b337281d1d632a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400104", "condition_id": "0x529c61bd7be577e3adcbc0598296641715c89463b14f72f187dec9509f7fa28f", "token_id": "41393287212896721226369096681034011277542921326657683449066413917086159907021", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "09bc061edacb61f1bc33eb05ee11ec56faeb3a9d19b2411cf88dc9c63c1ad418", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400105", "token_id": "11397592808018427156983789968519304219335628649379502663464126834339727062653", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fb21eb073bde5ba6c491c9897e8de5fc67d4a18b7f25a8e28659b60fd407f9b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400105", "condition_id": "0xcdb1f2571fc4e57479d33210567ab69d02b2e020d9116332632ae1e55c714219", "token_id": "11397592808018427156983789968519304219335628649379502663464126834339727062653", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "31e7fee6f707b8936559b5c555d740bbfd948f5755ae814fc46dd143a77fc2f7", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400106", "token_id": "499341200282543253540277766742755543339385867207371217700173775355098860525", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7461c5cd1ae2d5b67a93d920e9c1ee2d28b38d66f6d70a9029142f8c13f6d645", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400106", "condition_id": "0xa5b7dfce00f66d8aa7198ffb90bba82eb9b51f1678b3d6da3c83d727fe893d84", "token_id": "499341200282543253540277766742755543339385867207371217700173775355098860525", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f637e01e8c4ce6a19f122895f9b255a4288beb74858810a65fec8f5795d5941b", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400107", "token_id": "16474388253758105895783932797421405205260058667600536742388801562562844570072", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8ac18947ea9c09de8225e4920ca3270297b441336dbb237d53068e1e6ba17ab2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400107", "condition_id": "0x24423c77fc2ba3f6f40a8aa76875750e34240a86b3c6ee345198b5e2233cf233", "token_id": "16474388253758105895783932797421405205260058667600536742388801562562844570072", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e207ae4fea47bd66b111def1905a0e858576596c61d0a2c83bb75de9a04e690e", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400108", "token_id": "70720539840391274765386356568189545284686223834286477309554362353620407663179", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "64bdcd0a2ef0deb72c3d49fb4b5c5be835e50d7a5eafe9681e41167ad5017ef9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400108", "condition_id": "0x9f2c4fdeee6403a6c6cc922963fa2b6f1686573585a8135a7151326a8704cbbe", "token_id": "70720539840391274765386356568189545284686223834286477309554362353620407663179", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Su\u00e1rez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992263", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "20d8db55f2da552d3ad1f05b5245a7b021cda4b1ea413652cc9a5440fe181cb8", "event_source_sha256": "e6966f9e683c6d21af500c5a6bf4db6c5997fbaab03a9246b91ad679f9fe5494" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987077", "title": "Highest temperature in Denver on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "5e1b1c10a1271881c942430b2e71961b6c89d16e9b04a2fa046213a79ec4dac5", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4358679", "4358680", "4358681", "4358682", "4358683", "4358684", "4358685", "4358686", "4358687", "4358688", "4358689" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987077", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4358679", "token_id": "53454312114327357210534842809394883864829025527862329192431047012151982850396", "outcome": "yes", "label": "79\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e1a93d08c5a38d4fa202b38ebf8bcd376d68ab2003e7396a1dddcc3e81c3ef23", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358679", "condition_id": "0x9b4df317c7234cf1ef6a1715cf96b7ef4f0ca04d389fadbca0e703c33e772ca2", "token_id": "53454312114327357210534842809394883864829025527862329192431047012151982850396", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4161887cddee0eb498893ddbc1294c393fc4b0c75e7e3a60dc63a33c109b8277", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4358680", "token_id": "6579538246109328224450032937501127612085244524708637014010029605250243467760", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1f8ecaea83905a0970957903afd1d0557637adbb99cb80ea686d0db37a8c328", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358680", "condition_id": "0x148b89aec1674f498f24fe24b56c72f496f338604970818106d41b15e9bff7e6", "token_id": "6579538246109328224450032937501127612085244524708637014010029605250243467760", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "eb222e0423e39633d898b2226f05fcc546c5286ae1f2e548aef547861b33e55b", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4358681", "token_id": "103986430262585335914223563680105967929262498087255190033269931900703454589392", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "807bedbeaff39f8de8cb31e85a3d39cf35bc9c5588f3b2443052068f298970e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358681", "condition_id": "0xb378829a35b2e843ed278320fee13e0a17b8c5d57eebc133afcb09820c69c762", "token_id": "103986430262585335914223563680105967929262498087255190033269931900703454589392", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "77d16af137bafa3981d0276afeec58bee44987d1c1811e2ed870d4994a47af17", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4358682", "token_id": "68599049619672645780422297592829697547182218381624590681721156734763644160466", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "75bbaf609569a31255b571c8f3bbcab48c7a9f3e78eff10ad971e243cb4e00f1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358682", "condition_id": "0x834d987cd1daa6f5710d9b12d21f05f3d58f10d3431bee5b874fa736e696269a", "token_id": "68599049619672645780422297592829697547182218381624590681721156734763644160466", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a7d4a60d09778c36ac150b84cf8719dee9d0a52391416d38f9a45eb6b7216999", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4358683", "token_id": "25123172225938202526902337951425928552347686064241564875711667695921017297498", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e3298711fd955553902b762f5336fdd25e891a0fd856330f40942b2022957432", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358683", "condition_id": "0x23073b5a980ff84e41157f0fb5af5f1b2739dcf5b3cc24954eb477c48c8593f2", "token_id": "25123172225938202526902337951425928552347686064241564875711667695921017297498", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a583956a42556dc70b0cb34bd4b994c26e2c36d271124be0b4c9ba223637cde8", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4358684", "token_id": "32238451998779886812827227003783026749403848526056190840275545875850547153097", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88-89\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3f9496e5f4a2106533d223cee4fbea99b90e49c1bb3fee892a08737bd557905a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358684", "condition_id": "0x5f66b1b734d7d73e6d913768e32e02e5f5a81ef914b9d13b20299c9e518dfd1d", "token_id": "32238451998779886812827227003783026749403848526056190840275545875850547153097", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b37ea6014dd2a20d83f87be6446ec8d0ebf3844d271633191539d9735d8e3513", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4358685", "token_id": "88397881677301420772730929962049395392177343257460324502175932774306647949557", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "02d4cac6b85608b9e8edb20c07221357b3cd92b5f997006282479c0e060ee340", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358685", "condition_id": "0x265da97a2989fa3ddecd2e11de75692442a181e2c1bd091734164ffc833336ae", "token_id": "88397881677301420772730929962049395392177343257460324502175932774306647949557", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "54a6eef6ee4cfd270f0a8e3cdca2ead64d1285b09f06d3bfb28a91b609766c36", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4358686", "token_id": "109454996053797220891590370708103766179060653019512301503440639622704614259933", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "32d6ddb66ba53cad6e28f2f3f8cf9d91cf537dd89003e58a780807d01b3468d6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358686", "condition_id": "0xda6ccfe8b9427796ef3217b0efe394e5060a50ffb64c1197e29da69b8bf0f26c", "token_id": "109454996053797220891590370708103766179060653019512301503440639622704614259933", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a885771bb1898b8a88b18ec18609688529389359c9340f972c5344514276d8b1", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4358687", "token_id": "101565256005598068294551406889265816826455024251383639879176072464534390858343", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94-95\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3d5da44e87a7fa9d604b33cf144c2744d3ef6e6d7c1f2d627d9a1a8ce60d527b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358687", "condition_id": "0x81328996318320fc273fb62b6a77de0605ec09077cceb995897d608b4254a633", "token_id": "101565256005598068294551406889265816826455024251383639879176072464534390858343", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e21054baac866a8ba55952fa9d2c6606915530168b750c7076dd8bd3cfa2f446", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4358688", "token_id": "28953392151910999592779076865949998648235852589017960135866334156865012449937", "outcome": "yes", "label": "96-97\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8fe1f4e4238c690ebe67ae93aab8f3bc913d941bc4cc8e0f9e4124f60fdebb1a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358688", "condition_id": "0xcba271b24b21953dbee390d72bf08c575158b7c244cfedeb995b81d2e2e8766b", "token_id": "28953392151910999592779076865949998648235852589017960135866334156865012449937", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c5ae1d42cba1c7fabcab0ac66c9bf7f6bccf33a8fbfa063345781c38e0c451e9", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4358689", "token_id": "15388159605666969132031586764068781624758071126662130884858640869012741314692", "outcome": "yes", "label": "98\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c5f60e25d7a874ca539a3b1a1a2351a756b69254a97577bee82f63b2b34d5f3f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358689", "condition_id": "0xc09d18cb9cefe22ec3b3ae82d6111f047fc4a3f9f7396c10a05a2c66c31edbf7", "token_id": "15388159605666969132031586764068781624758071126662130884858640869012741314692", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Denver be 98\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kbkf", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987077", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ada50fb1fdce92986b3d66e7e296baee2d2724402b6367d6037407c3a44a2a39", "event_source_sha256": "97c336d5d061d0acdf9b0baca96f8f6cd0435eeeb1f9222c593a23d3100be2fc" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:79831", "title": "Highest grossing movie in 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 14, "semantics_hash": "914ac85e4f123a5d4be7c2302d332b4416387fc1a19aa67768b31b2f754e8868", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "678407", "678408", "678409", "678410", "678411", "678412", "678413", "678414", "678415", "678416", "678417", "678418", "678419", "678420", "678421", "678422", "678423", "678424", "678425", "678426", "678427", "678428", "678429", "678430", "678431", "678432", "678433", "678434" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:79831", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "678416", "token_id": "89576274136595202327975910079635847102293810595609428633134997662847357374694", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Avengers: Doomsday", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "97b00521ef5c1448e94c977db858652c89e9bceffe54bf2a3772c1851370db69", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678416", "condition_id": "0xe4f4b614a6c2b4ecd8eb700d19c0e6533d3fbd1bc28193b2255394ef74006e6f", "token_id": "89576274136595202327975910079635847102293810595609428633134997662847357374694", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dbadfc83fe541688acc5a2cd194f888edbde04099639e03684f08921392dbad8", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "678417", "token_id": "14638736382147557338842612652233386099826537855795199008383311693716134328419", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dune: Messiah", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ee76ed4bac8f1a912286a1b0f582bd1a5dbccef09a703955ff64f3f03a74c287", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678417", "condition_id": "0x9c47ba9e666983bd8d82bfab790509153bf7756c43913f6ef269e33c8955939c", "token_id": "14638736382147557338842612652233386099826537855795199008383311693716134328419", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7e8104f68d9f83b11b16061feb78dbae630fa424c473894f3adc8a19a33026ff", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "678420", "token_id": "79655420644111201497901573343193594718952169146660360902129836935188812137856", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jumanji 3", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8ad4a0359c13b662182e22597d8e04fc2717e98a4f2978c0229689888e40e341", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678420", "condition_id": "0xcf8a237df51a51511c4f96bb4390480ad72b898ca8ec7e9a3c16c47c8e5e468a", "token_id": "79655420644111201497901573343193594718952169146660360902129836935188812137856", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2d916f8399e717eaf42aace0c8c09ad555deb91d67d8c1b7643d6647ae4a92a1", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "678410", "token_id": "17196840395897985508068905219738404185426248325860724675432073792594376353164", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Michael", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fbd80590d18cc9d27c87cb850ef76f121a04cab1a1f6353f00aa584d0244a45b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678410", "condition_id": "0xde9f827cb2d568db7801439693645a941a38fe6feaeb08b86087ad367d991704", "token_id": "17196840395897985508068905219738404185426248325860724675432073792594376353164", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "61cb0a004656e32242be6c4ea5ada642debbaef7b673051d81657f25c54f3c26", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "678418", "token_id": "69532156114876532200359507691813854018536364141484234266700655517679045565362", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Project Hail Mary", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "91e58069fa3d4ae655f2db823939810d54cbb100b6a6c694b03dcd816f7bcea1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678418", "condition_id": "0x242d251e7e804f79e1f237896b0f5e73caea72375dcb84e5a60d1cd0d2f80ef5", "token_id": "69532156114876532200359507691813854018536364141484234266700655517679045565362", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c203f21c12a6ff51b07f620ba2cff7f51f9352f58413774d0db5e61cf3540589", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "678409", "token_id": "17546146554206665273662853938002443411871542020107489725107067382874986311707", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Scream 7", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b5e61c0f9b79ef34a66b8e7a6b79f4c23d3164c506769625194c82b173c22c24", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678409", "condition_id": "0x894a61a2baa777adf1d03a263a4b2d8faa7e1ebc7bf6694a37701fae8add01d9", "token_id": "17546146554206665273662853938002443411871542020107489725107067382874986311707", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3a0a348575548a7df4ea52654df664ee3ec6724474c505afdb3517fb6f08b39b", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "678414", "token_id": "28161183422242370392388296744035422249088647252796713903067039294971789722479", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Spider-Man: Brand New Day", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "844a9fb09e57d829378d2a7b50cfdc489445bd1643335bce64d4f9ca677efac7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678414", "condition_id": "0xc4b07998e8f9bf6b95f079d6dc0529f3c6f59698d4e168817ad5f99304de6c57", "token_id": "28161183422242370392388296744035422249088647252796713903067039294971789722479", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6cd5040e1fdd82021458049b38ca191811571ce2d01f1211ee8febd901975332", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "678411", "token_id": "33829906046742072174722103484540898675572745421236643611603574983414238593513", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ce2e59f517dc3a79cceee8c0a8221fe41781dc34c32f6c43119c453443f2a2a9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678411", "condition_id": "0xc9b9f89ac915385c8d77edb73872c49e5bf76e510b74b9609e74e7f8d0339df2", "token_id": "33829906046742072174722103484540898675572745421236643611603574983414238593513", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "25ee37614ead51cd50abb6024336ef94ebfdf9b248ff0275c3b204ecf84b1036", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "678415", "token_id": "11843457046853865411318246276277262347846015033890306541739456521334478867512", "outcome": "yes", "label": "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d3ecdafc8f3b819bd86ba5cc385ec6238e7f9e6e7117577c7bcf8f4da0a4ab91", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678415", "condition_id": "0x625d0091f4c647e5497bd9b03f8526bd486d6c339380b8046e4dd5b3373046b7", "token_id": "11843457046853865411318246276277262347846015033890306541739456521334478867512", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3b62dd1802fdeee770ec6f8705fbbb1f85bbab88ce03a8ccf62c84242483c0e8", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "678413", "token_id": "21556669163785052148858748369786715040594704429426952390307023288865165566607", "outcome": "yes", "label": "The Odyssey", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2cbff943c4aa353633cad9de1e2b25e00335e00ff4e3f3c455eb116da1a463b5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678413", "condition_id": "0x6ec4fec4885df7f3ac46e5d0051beb6d8ac75de6a8481f13f245ff26dcb4b662", "token_id": "21556669163785052148858748369786715040594704429426952390307023288865165566607", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d67e74e3fba3aa30bca480edeff6e39cbb178348d7f00432e65180484e71912d", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "678419", "token_id": "51020513216536535954567404775362000484668846352577848437115610667663875702516", "outcome": "yes", "label": "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af82cad56a6ff9b1e67481ce7243788663ce356a1e1408aebc3a2c3531f3c213", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678419", "condition_id": "0xec181db4470b152493b58229862af3f6335b77cc719f5a0e7ed58c9f9848b992", "token_id": "51020513216536535954567404775362000484668846352577848437115610667663875702516", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3ecf910fbe6e88f069418e3de3535b7c829c050004b47a396fa2cbb31c1f8b8c", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "678412", "token_id": "19377648420863951364493422584672339128541444345359183847394616194343658816499", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Toy Story 5", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "716d371401b16de73f0aa6020a2779aaf8b4fe9e9d78b63b6255bea0f314aac1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678412", "condition_id": "0xcd57f3ad3bbbdaa96aacabd35f50c2d6e30f777e4a33876a4ab2dcd9f0b8c170", "token_id": "19377648420863951364493422584672339128541444345359183847394616194343658816499", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cf26062d510268301c5d036485e1abfe13f4a271c700af3da6c55dcd76c32d53", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "678407", "token_id": "81662326158871781857247725348568394697379926716334270967994039975048021832777", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Wicked: For Good", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8b2900a866dd2d3d72b0a65afb46c34bf73b01a6053c983a88be7275e6d0a020", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678407", "condition_id": "0xfd029ab3d6d27b6e1f3480dce858c97fb12e5bebd6fb50be7520102c56ba8ce1", "token_id": "81662326158871781857247725348568394697379926716334270967994039975048021832777", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "711510cd03fdd10a149ec738ac37dafc4dd99006639a92e4e147e74cffb97962", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "678408", "token_id": "79769731470890207552624565536908683195264825375067538606529732306877997041784", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Wuthering Heights", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9c63e3e8c52fdd1ef69b478f92ab59dbcc022699d028ba4bf46d28161a4e3d68", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678408", "condition_id": "0x221aaa62fed17db56fbc7983f88110a9c34861c3262154ee3315425378e3ae12", "token_id": "79769731470890207552624565536908683195264825375067538606529732306877997041784", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the film with the highest 2026 gross according to the \"Gross\" column on https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/2026/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses once data for December 31 is made available. \n\nNote: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.\n\nIn the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79831", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "85d4230501df70289d2c2f7b207798a6180398f2be85f1d48b6fcba113f2e4ce", "event_source_sha256": "af362354e0ca8d05c847f1e012d87a819acbd2f620b48b7e880b527523ac1010" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:838710", "title": "August Inflation US - Annual", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 12, "semantics_hash": "da7867724348555f2fbfb49f9b1385561c6c94023fbf1f2c31d99b93027256dd", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3539669", "3539670", "3539671", "3539672", "3539673", "3539674", "3539675", "3539676", "3539677", "3539678", "3539679", "3539680" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:838710", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3539670", "token_id": "115589117161151487625218177166150394104974759548200392194646275383215016804508", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.0%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5da57cf57a826c1b5cea78b293986089d513d467b14ae0292e0b27711c96a586", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539670", "condition_id": "0xb10a5fa939d4a22ef6888d90092239fb1911a94610219b44d605db499f48db61", "token_id": "115589117161151487625218177166150394104974759548200392194646275383215016804508", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.0% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0213030e136aed4511f159d77fa0682d70175ea0ec41defbb87213556287ef2a", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3539671", "token_id": "50093558737615393898934799626433723830873068502825713885800148225857934870952", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.1%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9df3e3ffce48b58acd466db506aa4b79f0f7f2884c9a3a6987b18e16c9281f5f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539671", "condition_id": "0xf5ce15bcea18506b7bcac6a95f1ed2ca831e505bf9520781f48ee70ec4c6dfb9", "token_id": "50093558737615393898934799626433723830873068502825713885800148225857934870952", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.1% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "27e6e7c2e67cbbb60f19ee64612ec3f2522ebc6571b38490ff495475ba1c439e", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3539672", "token_id": "36326104665947844663550055472150608031335258357235021832550809717719446200428", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.2%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6cd22dc998214b76e2152047b55d9a0fc3cb28018e6fa9871504d05632d4dd11", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539672", "condition_id": "0x09e0f4ead19cc9f8ccfcbf972a13751379c84f498168bbf1be38542fc8e547ca", "token_id": "36326104665947844663550055472150608031335258357235021832550809717719446200428", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.2% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ff3d03a3bf05d773229adaa7c78444e06e1a0079d3cd24c83701929d1f535232", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3539673", "token_id": "26063740770264847975909828483674339905169640280928913439648364858587094079220", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.3%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "541a376210acec54db32136098c93ba4c2ba1792781d3eb31b174f71c3b3ee61", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539673", "condition_id": "0x8153bb8767d01033f362f7b7b89bb3e12c3007442bf34e3e3bfbcc5b4fee9f16", "token_id": "26063740770264847975909828483674339905169640280928913439648364858587094079220", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fb84416891285aa5165d5b88524fb08935ba915542466fb7d18fac178040d6eb", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3539674", "token_id": "72877767861912491898413410013608342980810361251681698180583462936286964444778", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.4%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8e40fc3996eb960edbc2425046fbf49cc9a0be068eca0902ee6bed6d9aca4f4b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539674", "condition_id": "0x7155f240d44c8ab4f1796cb6decf0dd567e19de9c0079aed0726792ddeb29ab2", "token_id": "72877767861912491898413410013608342980810361251681698180583462936286964444778", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2507a22c080c3525110a7a424461311b385f8ab795995019556c107c30ed2189", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3539675", "token_id": "37115167239458644215784672393211604704410195130081732021361416141336418775297", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.5%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b1674aafd0b4577f1d43fe5f1d6606d3ca6360ff8f21b5700f56aeb337329ef6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539675", "condition_id": "0x91690c110a71a068d5033ef3114e941d0141415b4e797e22c0a136283e07728d", "token_id": "37115167239458644215784672393211604704410195130081732021361416141336418775297", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.5% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e44b30f8491a4ad4d2616d26f1db18a8e032d53263645284d104a90805a481cc", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3539676", "token_id": "95632069404250764949863033543643234017842487339046498836612133857486548041274", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.6%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "58a67bd513da3f320a36a0f83c2b0b260d05fe78041bffbbcc498dc8be48b870", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539676", "condition_id": "0x364cadd03f8fe6237fdc377afb93df97c4d766b063e39c7897b458047812a964", "token_id": "95632069404250764949863033543643234017842487339046498836612133857486548041274", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.6% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "68a97d51d15b6f7c325b6bee6fcda384b78ac70c6948ec79baac00c9fcd07c66", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3539677", "token_id": "11475457345978889957905295464256594480390404554058039341013040868040199908447", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.7%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d15d3fdb22655cf0635f10a1703aa11541600f5e35d974a90c4504cbfefb1cb4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539677", "condition_id": "0x211958971f5390d9e0c7593a81ff512fc36c674f0b4aae1186a9e185ce95831c", "token_id": "11475457345978889957905295464256594480390404554058039341013040868040199908447", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.7% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e8f39856eef3a74eb693d4ae7bd4c6e37afc5948cdd5474d4ccff6c570367faa", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3539678", "token_id": "16301343979873876983342137991058482836421415583636076670613118288096158101958", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.8%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5af5f3944a34283347cc55f19bd179116833a426f830387df882e343cb050ff0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539678", "condition_id": "0x07fb6279fb00b8c320066b2618ed8cc657429bf5e78517f210aa823d5c51baf8", "token_id": "16301343979873876983342137991058482836421415583636076670613118288096158101958", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.8% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9445ee6e5fe7287be85fbc83f1729538b36d94be2ffd1eeae8e7595c268171fa", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3539679", "token_id": "97644560759069626353861620010997444362730087599656695557688059866944442587445", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3.9%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f4320a9f23d8ac3ee508ecd81b5777c5085699c6cd74a9a838d5ab6a87973db9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539679", "condition_id": "0xaaa67f6b394b129ef10b0d28fb0e458b5a8ea40e09c32738bf6f77e035ebbdfd", "token_id": "97644560759069626353861620010997444362730087599656695557688059866944442587445", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 3.9% in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fab9f2dbe0d144863f221e15321bbde0aa2477467aec6d7a666cda7c12192ba0", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3539669", "token_id": "106840607505959910443331151571065295863165911028929867515186677513569814290596", "outcome": "yes", "label": "\u22642.9%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c6f6e68c48e77fd5a4dcc60af362864c74f058247e8e0420323bf3a9ff148ef6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3539669", "condition_id": "0xe484c6415870fe28012b423cb286f9700ef0f95dc7cf95ae0144d920af3a4ed2", "token_id": "106840607505959910443331151571065295863165911028929867515186677513569814290596", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will annual inflation be 2.9% or less in August?", "rules": "This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). 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Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "838710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "88ab15189ebf399c1f1484a3e760d77d1a7f0b840c1c1e8598c4904908122ecf", "event_source_sha256": "3523a350409b7802f71daeb50df5a6b8c4e5f7df5abfef732454af6b21187e51" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:770166", "title": "3rd Largest Company end of September?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", 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credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "770166", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4a08175e5d275f2ddb5588e54a3ec3628b7d38e08696f8d3fa60530e401c4111", "event_source_sha256": "6f62f30203bb626511e17e22b2899f4fd93e25add515fc846186db27a79f2f6b" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3212491", "token_id": "94924839524299593938014817027462501872342697433211186962945497601527436020147", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Saudi Aramco", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "299ff783e91578cb63605d02e0e904024e26fe766975b89919e1f1c114c99e37", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3212491", "condition_id": 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credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "770166", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "32de61247998c5aeadcf1462fb6fcf0f6b7fac8463f05cb707e938ac7be7102e", "event_source_sha256": "6f62f30203bb626511e17e22b2899f4fd93e25add515fc846186db27a79f2f6b" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3212490", "token_id": "63094441843852899744180090372331468228618164139604261259838303207186006839401", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tesla", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1a8ad518ff612107990b3a5c8dc2bdef1091b21b17ada8b1c2ed14fdafcf3c8e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3212490", "condition_id": "0xb777b107aa1161ebee6bdf39736290eff5476bdbeac6994480aab3b9d35f026c", "token_id": "63094441843852899744180090372331468228618164139604261259838303207186006839401", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "770166", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4b9b1e0a2615cc2ac85b3b24996231ea8389a11c10149780107c36e8576cb7dc", "event_source_sha256": "6f62f30203bb626511e17e22b2899f4fd93e25add515fc846186db27a79f2f6b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:988176", "title": "Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "85d2b5d82c2de747150dc623eb56a99f796e235d9bb635f215f460ee2172ca7e", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4363740", "4363741", "4363742", "4363743", "4363744", "4363745", "4363746", "4363747", "4363748", "4363749", "4363750" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:988176", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4363740", "token_id": "80862024013533716446926106693269596164687513705101237145015249815932544141323", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9195d7077451f6a68f7ff36f8ea46f5cad8092b867226f0d22973d03340d1221", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363740", "condition_id": "0x03d1c12135aaada0d6a7c9e51fb0dc02072fce5bf2bdf45ac652726118d1d01e", "token_id": "80862024013533716446926106693269596164687513705101237145015249815932544141323", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5593ef990a36437302e133e5e5069182c0b30f3f0b287edbf7c24e9917adcfca", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4363741", "token_id": "80240809032047132536431885066213680297256366698205838595428594297854153153403", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0ee7e14456583c2620e7860658a95baaef2a36dfc25e31a4bb8fe1b6a6847129", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363741", "condition_id": "0xbc3c7357332004ee181f45531bb51489efe8bc1750b4b5410ee19ee3b55d508f", "token_id": "80240809032047132536431885066213680297256366698205838595428594297854153153403", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "af2b9bffd12747b717b373074a379ef27387f00acaf6055a872ce9db2f6eca25", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4363742", "token_id": "67703119726870996883482541607721913602484753662489084825822373217197500402204", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "754002df3ca4a4e6b8745a7c5654a940681d334c739964ed15005cca190d0880", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363742", "condition_id": "0x7285faa0be306e73b17472d45f4e426d2114f262304badcc7a7ffc40a554c6cf", "token_id": "67703119726870996883482541607721913602484753662489084825822373217197500402204", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "75bdde22ba10f7f5c76f3ad0e8bc7bc17d859407f446256ed9e1747f7d0cf608", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4363743", "token_id": "90462904418093619011668897101817113350242519406507134993915678016667604720526", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "65412a9851c242baa4cd38a7d2c991f994fc2df7b75731f26ffbc0050c9e6ba0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363743", "condition_id": "0x4f909b23cec1ae4c8bb80b4a37b5cba43b183c29f307bab2c5ce0fa753b2e26e", "token_id": "90462904418093619011668897101817113350242519406507134993915678016667604720526", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "20d7f56a5d89428bb9d9bed530ab97419f21f3636474274e712a8a4a3d31dff5", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4363744", "token_id": "26540992217788516453711085563935835818189843088385322864871853800824112070300", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "648b669f3289643d9e79e5e4513af88deede530124ed71b3662596b2e3acd4d4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363744", "condition_id": "0xe8c4bcbd43cf8997fc687ab5d28bb2d165f8151fa083c40b373aa01aa1ec8759", "token_id": "26540992217788516453711085563935835818189843088385322864871853800824112070300", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4870fd9b1b4c6ebe7db6e0820179a98ea2063213417b721889d51feee6919df9", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4363745", "token_id": "98175462113612399359957734725249128658723631842248614165863238968906965505941", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ad2ca9107b15f621e9436baa7d6793c3de3365645c7ac855cecb854e67c6c1a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363745", "condition_id": "0xf58eb3f9d087ce0eb2fe81863c8e370d75d87efbaece79f244134fa9f874dacb", "token_id": "98175462113612399359957734725249128658723631842248614165863238968906965505941", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c0be9a9681ede3ac32e7d499c9b4bab0aba108604daffa18951593e6f081b8f6", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4363746", "token_id": "2470432472999522414285215167704446193900535902986925282909869755225429115114", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eab24cbe8bdfdbbf1fb80e829fd6010eb237f2c25dc7a38d54b60c8c1d784cd6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363746", "condition_id": "0x8e6780fbab0a9d79b3d9ac502c82bea6bc1a6e1feed6d1c36ad50c1a37670c67", "token_id": "2470432472999522414285215167704446193900535902986925282909869755225429115114", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3d6b1e3f0093a7e9545afa765430026052837c649a74c69e50d51af59acf9f9d", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4363747", "token_id": "109422367044554339151363284039154364193593122233196616515327032774905554026266", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f1db01ba13b9a21bdcc139e7a1eb412bd4b2827302be1b03bf0fabdae808d50d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363747", "condition_id": "0x428cd3d2939d4a1c69334c6f0a2fc88876a8e49b2a2478acf43667c4ae1f8555", "token_id": "109422367044554339151363284039154364193593122233196616515327032774905554026266", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1eb86a082812d8238a485afeaa44a5e27a2f14f8c32fb2f6677f24d2af3a0e47", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4363748", "token_id": "27537550947638160756177707022619399726878182221495364107129241659103632177009", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4b507829a2cba4e24bc4c57686262bc0d3232488f20ccd9ffd726b8068f05abd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363748", "condition_id": "0x337a606a047e9d5e361d29281c3bfea687d0d6997a93e263efdca7795403982b", "token_id": "27537550947638160756177707022619399726878182221495364107129241659103632177009", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9a5911e34662ba740fa624035817388667b125e5eba4ef8182a02892827267d7", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4363749", "token_id": "12950166584267301041527645065368912910378284004752775858979203246170694746893", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a0520305b87aaf0ecf096fd7108448a0972a7d9a5840b6203c1e850b1a175b31", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363749", "condition_id": "0xe982379444fa3c3d191e3e06f2319ddc848c1a4d63f01812adac3f79455abdd3", "token_id": "12950166584267301041527645065368912910378284004752775858979203246170694746893", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7ec2455f89c22388a9c255664aba1e25f8e24875684b059230bc65df75ec382f", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4363750", "token_id": "33054717606093754915370353754286486684069687730991835814141104711130899265974", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c9d16d69067c3ba3fa688fe55b5c4171390022dc5cf5f1ca27e01c4c15ea22ea", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363750", "condition_id": "0x3d4eb81641c29ba810a9f5bd04cb6b380712d00896ae9bd2e86c197c9b3833dc", "token_id": "33054717606093754915370353754286486684069687730991835814141104711130899265974", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988176", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1937ec93c369d8ebe56fab45b5dee02d187ed93d44ec74177a4a8819c73ea2b5", "event_source_sha256": "fabe27bd9b1ab10a2b26456b7bdf2de513317ffdbebb1e09f0ebf9ab11a56323" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:843053", "title": "Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "4dffe5980b66211246a4bc68bd2fca6312363de2bf0e9623eaa5d1d5f08beb74", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3562247", "3562248", "3562249", "3562250" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:843053", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3562248", "token_id": "89426082982630435760236042519244212932571884271930311577671345564814920359150", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16-18%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c27b3f11afa7b423da0a57e8a000ce6b45290e2e6561863e274c2b09f514a0a0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562248", "condition_id": "0x1b33d6010bc4f06aaa6f67a86ef7b5211e4d7d14522d25dd20a7648936421f6e", "token_id": "89426082982630435760236042519244212932571884271930311577671345564814920359150", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 16% and 18% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843053", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0538da14feafa2d9b4b9a1c705af9351361aa2959238f20b6ea3da26d4eb5ffa", "event_source_sha256": "915da089951201641542f8d0e0299f23e8d50f0f25cf8832deb1b77eb9e34256" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3562249", "token_id": "49578221819290988476890893513966193116538325980334248538540126173225958565965", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18-20%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ae60c0aa145d573c9637804bdc7324bc090ae67bd095f1ee1d9da4076e632901", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562249", "condition_id": "0xf3f42aab7e17a351281557da44e3115efc124ad9f66b7d3b5a9e56a3cfaec407", "token_id": "49578221819290988476890893513966193116538325980334248538540126173225958565965", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843053", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "77e9f5abf84288f919c43662d2ef5622dc76c51b1c1dcbbbd49d1f4e6b8949b5", "event_source_sha256": "915da089951201641542f8d0e0299f23e8d50f0f25cf8832deb1b77eb9e34256" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3562250", "token_id": "48747121763683369703628724804387872882799850194094560494985265604274150330408", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20%+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ce88392a416706d6c4611afe1f46ec129d9631f801ec4f321cd1fc91c9563031", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562250", "condition_id": "0x8d8d5999f58c14294dbf62c6dd06eb9ca1b7b3311d1e4c83522db5aaad01982a", "token_id": "48747121763683369703628724804387872882799850194094560494985265604274150330408", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843053", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b4b80beedc97b59a2a6ce5ee34f356aa2ccc9fb8d913a1e7776e4363137dc181", "event_source_sha256": "915da089951201641542f8d0e0299f23e8d50f0f25cf8832deb1b77eb9e34256" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3562247", "token_id": "83471442579365926089664681464093586502619550076744612330363478902919383349348", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<16%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "368e26c6a6c8970265783f2aaa907faebb8c2bab0e4de2c07052b4d843534055", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3562247", "condition_id": "0x11becc931a567c668301bd5317e66211b9ad494b11fa85bb8fa0f4d00902f748", "token_id": "83471442579365926089664681464093586502619550076744612330363478902919383349348", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "843053", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a2f58ebf69ce26c88ec988ee215c2351e9fb99da06cab2efbd6d2fb2d1f9f533", "event_source_sha256": "915da089951201641542f8d0e0299f23e8d50f0f25cf8832deb1b77eb9e34256" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:988177", "title": "Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "cc1af2690af3d12c6b6a5a5499938e76c24b827be065f6254f64bd59be372684", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4363752", "4363753", "4363754", "4363755", "4363756", "4363757", "4363758", "4363759", "4363760", "4363761", "4363762" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:988177", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4363752", "token_id": "114554706437721397913230108083637156261535369550470890824452242509068968532694", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a17a705552e172d8e9c3cc9d79beefb23e33976bd3850d135855dec8031d9f76", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363752", "condition_id": "0xb93940fe42a80f12366c72cde3aaee598d276630f5df0aeb81e49c2b72859aeb", "token_id": "114554706437721397913230108083637156261535369550470890824452242509068968532694", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2d5765e2f73b59327bee5bb81858410b89b593ec9d599c095c4164fde26df2a1", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4363753", "token_id": "62681564598796280699722720427284001251093188743471671900695882557832213920315", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f634dbbd8f05798d0cc56834861fd687cd8d041f6df9d9c8418574719c2b778e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363753", "condition_id": "0xeeb7f873ce2e14dce335453895d82b6d0e427e7815d0b51f0b325176116c88e8", "token_id": "62681564598796280699722720427284001251093188743471671900695882557832213920315", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "683158086a89bf361c7750ad2da5d9c9def46e065b33f56f3e654d46bceacec4", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4363754", "token_id": "50392860271026190930719919855964559404795443911234499070417738094001319905", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "705a6bf17a646d03cd75ee82e90a6721f7cac61f74d600394375e0b7d643b837", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363754", "condition_id": "0x4f65b2ce48e3091c8be951cb2e9340dfda28ce26e42b9ca3d252db2a378c09a7", "token_id": "50392860271026190930719919855964559404795443911234499070417738094001319905", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5673dcbc2379c91013ececb420596ca971e0b64b64858b3c6a0247e09e21dda1", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4363755", "token_id": "69161864321453156981499542301605306064923339564653800702402339564688560657909", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dc4f0bb87d696a1de50c03435bc67232eaa5d18defb739f776d8b3f52b2f0fb6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363755", "condition_id": "0x3717c0ea3f4a22886adb98bdac63406cdee80d7a417492a21e2e3573dc50b465", "token_id": "69161864321453156981499542301605306064923339564653800702402339564688560657909", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2d69db005b39a6c67340a98f5eaa6e068e2cdd78ad1c89afdab0b4a83a18e837", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4363756", "token_id": "49240657657123788868512322976440490745489158671638874488335183218094644847157", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af7d7d30a273aeab21a563a4b88ecdd6a1b6274661fb1b895e420a4fcb99d879", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363756", "condition_id": "0x03937cecf2c983b2cb0c013828ca89158d3672cd05ccf3d601827dd41490dcb5", "token_id": "49240657657123788868512322976440490745489158671638874488335183218094644847157", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9acf792bbc616d44ddebd378910e5b400aab5913d749e94250f146af326b9d93", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4363757", "token_id": "87712341574398937863877352024673067410996014715578540277301670307013112843713", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9b2e2f3549b4adf57109ecc425ecc67147553a4d958d0c4335b6e0727d7615cd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363757", "condition_id": "0x13ced3a2b3d631d10da378d9d201929a5bdff830614c377e5a2b3f89964b7df4", "token_id": "87712341574398937863877352024673067410996014715578540277301670307013112843713", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "75531d37f82f120f4e2cc3a361850030ff0605f1ff98e32b70ccfdde141db9ab", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4363758", "token_id": "44851804787913137628810386277732395957035689980294809698057996438109190626164", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b0dcd188175f8b7bb2b3a0358c5bc1295e670b3811e114ab8a370ba812958f36", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363758", "condition_id": "0x53089e5da42d9d89c8ef46d10a3c96c93d2c341249053746c02883afd36c2364", "token_id": "44851804787913137628810386277732395957035689980294809698057996438109190626164", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b99e8abc0f40502b2c257286cd600cfd4219e6cf65867f10224ec20cbe0e1eb5", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4363759", "token_id": "106911339067821739724919660853025717547971720949887653915228927973031712533711", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "24cfffa4519d318ea9c1be488edf2651db71c3b0c8f86b3f58b64ef304b3a7af", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363759", "condition_id": "0xf1a43c8d6d3a8b9b4a8ab17e58000cafc5e02ed27621ea2cebcf3df98ae8c9b4", "token_id": "106911339067821739724919660853025717547971720949887653915228927973031712533711", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "aa8194e396a22f9cd1d350362570725cc94baebbc31e6d91f8197d3ca01ec9c5", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4363760", "token_id": "54497490529041515410613408483593023194176849742172551877504185028838384998130", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "33d083ae53c66516badc8c51873e22fabcafad50d1e21288864fb7b746702dd0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363760", "condition_id": "0xe34fe75be015aa356e8e48d49c97b2cb360dd21d51ea835f33e34d5b7f98af63", "token_id": "54497490529041515410613408483593023194176849742172551877504185028838384998130", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b2adc3106a2d5ae4028cd83e22e1ec35cc93d1e3a097552cb7a90c6413a271cc", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4363761", "token_id": "110719780289240180794968086268502881480510593682847606784156519225078288799575", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d8854edc4d22b7f55bb401395448e7d54aa6ca2ec2cd7016e4035940fa27f5af", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363761", "condition_id": "0x353b73ce4aaeb6db08b02c14466dd595d0c8ad8b2e32aaaaee7312dd08d99fa5", "token_id": "110719780289240180794968086268502881480510593682847606784156519225078288799575", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ac3ab40d343adea96b7870cde952a1f8f0b1040cc7eb374f203a4fba3157b223", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4363762", "token_id": "102150697095285075161158817446582367594077582735453560587739787179058662127709", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2f6b68de50be068bb25e9e2f147a8d34f74c64c466e5dba8614978425dfb08f8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363762", "condition_id": "0xd5d56d53d085ce34c71d78b8b5c0c333232b19a5d165f3f1c371c782a392ed20", "token_id": "102150697095285075161158817446582367594077582735453560587739787179058662127709", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988177", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "748842354551e4c2fe399d0d65f5182aff47d6207cce1f9a398557bdb8aabfbd", "event_source_sha256": "51003b70d6ee4412881d7f426223bd2483061e1418a70fd0801ab8b1f7569f0b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:945711", "title": "White House # posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "9914045a5fd8d2a22b322f425e45f7a032cbf8fd1396805e5e0844a7a11cd6ba", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4050588", "4050597", "4050606", "4050613", "4050621", "4050632", "4050642", "4050652", "4050663", "4050671", "4050680" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:945711", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4050663", "token_id": "26820059212089742733881348692042089941196285967408750974950084016511177577937", "outcome": "yes", "label": "160-179", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0e8ade94411d1767a7994a0f4128a62836f44ebf9ce94db67cf85f20820fd1fe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050663", "condition_id": "0x40b5723c8572f3c61e5bd5423ead0bee10813cadadc0d6ba974666917fc6a297", "token_id": "26820059212089742733881348692042089941196285967408750974950084016511177577937", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will White House post 160-179 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/WhiteHouse", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5eeecefeb1f9574e16552ddaf6213c54e86da12a4004ac53a0d7670297ee177f", "event_source_sha256": "00571eb79c4bc76a03ee997851fed60da386b315b1394736a9673c9bdd63db3a" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4050671", "token_id": "93010284829849337389340709842664706826242695111648362044091231035311113293992", "outcome": "yes", "label": "180-199", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "39e7cb7e9958963afc769145111c892e6a7fed29491df91f6cb2a04de4926932", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050671", "condition_id": "0x02417d8f409d197de1c1cf49241ae451e8515e2ab1310cb737c0f8847128b18a", "token_id": "93010284829849337389340709842664706826242695111648362044091231035311113293992", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/WhiteHouse", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ebde9ecc8e2a9e53555945026f6cd251f9cdba9d8722bec14c11f3364c7452eb", "event_source_sha256": "00571eb79c4bc76a03ee997851fed60da386b315b1394736a9673c9bdd63db3a" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4050680", "token_id": "84811200478972511618038976487051758529957462645687105687601541353872564718707", "outcome": "yes", "label": "200+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3146c056b0cc3e8a2e5595bd5e8b5dc030a9dce96b8eb0ee0bf9231c6b6ac2a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050680", "condition_id": "0x05a995c5e50bf8b97aaa6e705d8e9dc2bb3ba70e429cb31b64e42f3587a866f4", "token_id": "84811200478972511618038976487051758529957462645687105687601541353872564718707", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will White House post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://x.com/WhiteHouse", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945711", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "274daf3eab80a23b124a6cfd07949fbff2a4799f65444bc40f7197db1d537d8a", "event_source_sha256": "00571eb79c4bc76a03ee997851fed60da386b315b1394736a9673c9bdd63db3a" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986739", "title": "Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "d9499d6fa6c585eedcb70b697e20dc98aeef1aadb15889eef6656a1827a25a2a", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356492", "4356493", "4356494", "4356495", "4356496", "4356497", "4356498", "4356499", "4356500", "4356501", "4356502" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986739", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356492", "token_id": "41050483880492939973564431197142964799785044549123101397973356004709067979091", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a04d954cdc7069263f096110c5a58e75bcda4308324a61d77adfa96a42d5dbdc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356492", "condition_id": "0xacc58dde1c4ec734d826852588f937541aaf4b8f5175776cb600986c30662f69", "token_id": "41050483880492939973564431197142964799785044549123101397973356004709067979091", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "82176dfeb473174e75e67a564099029e61b50ad8d83cdd735ed7cba17bbc60b4", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356493", "token_id": "77520281562995427879268946207356723515115078234847776416123866900885915769003", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a235e1122c34de64b299d0b5150c60c69b899f9a14fc8dae680636042420191c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356493", "condition_id": "0x5be7b2161fd38b12af97fe2880b7d9e72609086e7f3d9c57850b656aaab823f3", "token_id": "77520281562995427879268946207356723515115078234847776416123866900885915769003", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "305a17ce23282d7fa08f745176d9db42bf0b41878524f2b8b4ced3a7a3715123", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356494", "token_id": "53950584802473030954898570364896431566359056432089858618643461067922977648411", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0dd2f53cf4d67bc4b057f978a4d974b13092d3901c16ba69c47ad92951bdb1f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356494", "condition_id": "0xd088726342957936b344972ca6bf34d3d535cfdd57691b467693fd798a9188ca", "token_id": "53950584802473030954898570364896431566359056432089858618643461067922977648411", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a782ff8fb4095bc685171b1a281193236008a5993877e4c1e90b22d15565f012", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356495", "token_id": "68123103647057333011524205040487503564436251060256100196880823691500118876723", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "153bf01f3463c19bdd050d1848d87232dee9ad10134f4b417c8a16b79071820e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356495", "condition_id": "0x15474fc35785fe3df7214ca1bd4b5770f106276c26461988ea715f2eeb765649", "token_id": "68123103647057333011524205040487503564436251060256100196880823691500118876723", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "62a078eebf302da054e9de4e2dc2a7581ac40e2d7403caef3493ab32445cf0b0", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356496", "token_id": "107076257460992192647492090456330748592468310859013884742040541175163472839235", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "840f98aa507977e518c04f4dd92bf5bd2ad1240e56dbb2809fe0101c696a71f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356496", "condition_id": "0xcbbc0db644589a1af8dc5bec2ea5aafe3f053f3270411b51530c07158fa70fea", "token_id": "107076257460992192647492090456330748592468310859013884742040541175163472839235", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0a409a9a6431337405c6d1ca05c69b6e0b0da774cf441b8531c0e219f27d404f", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356497", "token_id": "105087098973251882036404260584315477446500211147690543518645237791937978926001", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b56c9486db667442a2f5683dfc8f9b8549d068344c9e9e0ed7ebfdb7de177e21", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356497", "condition_id": "0xba2dd40d337f8d50a093a294f745c0963865900e97631ae600340ada352466fb", "token_id": "105087098973251882036404260584315477446500211147690543518645237791937978926001", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "75d787ef3706cb669a36e5e45ebf9a2f25b643b8bfdccd86a665b4b0eec2ce61", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356498", "token_id": "17068229158033405423777267307562009940135534645706842542617029563097711119276", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6282f86dca62cddc159999c044f0eef5235e8fd44bae5bdf598638a2549c7d71", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356498", "condition_id": "0x2162d68cd13b65847820d6a4f122e761cd322a9f277fc73e1b25d67da88a7af0", "token_id": "17068229158033405423777267307562009940135534645706842542617029563097711119276", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0f1a71536cebf4a4421e56ee845e100e16dd3425adc97e2eb4611e3a674e015b", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356499", "token_id": "56985730464063983772522889088186963792257189238895796078338716812104039722323", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fc96c501f9ae07cc14cc260171d0c3d8c05fc480e2c106fcc89f0fa20333ae41", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356499", "condition_id": "0x3a9303402a76803c6846c140bb532aedbe65bdcab0a738c3f7eaac3bee69d947", "token_id": "56985730464063983772522889088186963792257189238895796078338716812104039722323", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9354baf1d018e74112c3c7d8b0e7fba26149c95c109bfc1745a4cb799b32b6be", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356500", "token_id": "81522190611460919664014830086123644159791252738436956101006363436768678854838", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "16c302b262476a33d0d6a5a6c4ae0ca6ad3bd5cf6b871c58fcb5cdd576b563f2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356500", "condition_id": "0xd90df115ef8eef09d3d3d2c88419cd891d6c270d782fd1bea4c700c945023b54", "token_id": "81522190611460919664014830086123644159791252738436956101006363436768678854838", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "67bb2bb2f2f5badf55f425fffff4d21c8b06cca8fcd431a56193f4cff4c7e0f2", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356501", "token_id": "49886096390678427595011187192160649081613070100077544334705567903750105894820", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "903bbb94ed5c366728de750e4517f2a525eadf1c43bfe54d599535003c02667b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356501", "condition_id": "0xe905d1de10fba38f6b4899e1a8da7b0b628834c073f69057c20f7dc19432d086", "token_id": "49886096390678427595011187192160649081613070100077544334705567903750105894820", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e158dfb8f70f64b0e1cad1cd31862547701cd1d9be93ea032f283e07ec8b9fd3", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356502", "token_id": "111836775234459702277891639705634802960249969070130543268086896495380099751694", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c26fddaa78307bf2fa01c67bec11c35124b42f6870f6e289cb9fdab564c6afd9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356502", "condition_id": "0x0c32cf0ba14c7f1d46095b79be24ca5422cc3c6a41eac4f6c68a0c3a14f542ad", "token_id": "111836775234459702277891639705634802960249969070130543268086896495380099751694", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986739", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f534432e4f8c4a2d45a9c359ffed0c92b92f4bcab1d026b924edd68c14acaf36", "event_source_sha256": "db01304c44fab3a3567369a8377c852dd600c2d743bfe637d2eb33e8ef6fe44d" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:830589", "title": "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "c4bc90b908872f8cc9894c8b682a9fa2e0b2a5b72d2a93cc63f25fa277206223", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3503309", "3503311", "3503312", "3503313", "3503314", "3503315", "3503316", "3503317", "3503320", "3503321", "3503326", "3503328", "3503329", "3503336", "3503337", "3503342", "3503345", "3503346", "3503353", "3503354", "3503355", "3503360", "3503361", "3503362", "3503364", "3503365", "3503366", "3503367", "3503368", "3503369", "3503371", "3503373" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:830589", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3503314", "token_id": "10364179379516139875811336434920805118490600353471266889887949654647087581148", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elif Eralp", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ba083ef38b6e00c4a9c9bae5e4beb068f5d7115e42e7bed53f8c20cb05c36972", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3503314", "condition_id": "0x7d7a5a1824571b55728a73ffb1666c07eee786ecc811bd084367e05a1bd38806", "token_id": "10364179379516139875811336434920805118490600353471266889887949654647087581148", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender B\u00fcrgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5bcb3bfc2ac755669642961a24df84e79a550de5d9ddba3890c779b81b3adeb4", "event_source_sha256": "6de74a687af1918c5fb1c52d0b6a0d70280297dd6ece85d4cd0f7e19bb7c8d37" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3503312", "token_id": "80511017322050079463020256385848865915254311655897389759561487115326107109964", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kristin Brinker", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "164144a19d289a6c3e5aac73c6935b3d0bb00cd19a9a9f45cd38fc73a448f60c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3503312", "condition_id": "0xf7724d4e6753802b967aacf38e22dcd7a9a9d31453276d88d4abc46ae262bc8f", "token_id": "80511017322050079463020256385848865915254311655897389759561487115326107109964", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kristin Brinker be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender B\u00fcrgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f5e35a211db75481a80862353e1373ecd8ace62518e86387e1fcb1841db131fb", "event_source_sha256": "6de74a687af1918c5fb1c52d0b6a0d70280297dd6ece85d4cd0f7e19bb7c8d37" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3503309", "token_id": "61826095063420368317655547622012416943864205150123116046903455386505595875619", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Stefan Evers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dfbdcd1010cf08566c143ef86a71af97b3f47c08f42e1d5c581116bb8b949491", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3503309", "condition_id": "0x2d1e20f3aa8c0edb67b374253b7cb75e92583593fb31c8c17dc872b15d65263e", "token_id": "61826095063420368317655547622012416943864205150123116046903455386505595875619", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender B\u00fcrgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e2d4434242312938e309cd148ef9242c26cfa8ffa05e4d2ad7d2e29e50dc436e", "event_source_sha256": "6de74a687af1918c5fb1c52d0b6a0d70280297dd6ece85d4cd0f7e19bb7c8d37" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3503311", "token_id": "85530983170124011462657332554038213132711204095353611602082958713565320425627", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Steffen Krach", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4e27a6de210695ca589773e54703e021058803d38d073f3a8b7f0ac4ca7a5dcf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3503311", "condition_id": "0x7d6122486f8c40f305a146572565fa5b3a02aaed9d1ff852d0ee11741bd23419", "token_id": "85530983170124011462657332554038213132711204095353611602082958713565320425627", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Steffen Krach be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender B\u00fcrgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0e582e72240b45cc4865aa291c7ab83438846e767611e350907cf1bb91b90ef1", "event_source_sha256": "6de74a687af1918c5fb1c52d0b6a0d70280297dd6ece85d4cd0f7e19bb7c8d37" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3503313", "token_id": "109640336763800753822922608583664877599747523092742605097838557281105662030828", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Werner Graf", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "54c74d20cb305f16e18a69da32b09c11a2915380c9e78830294916c3aa3c72cc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3503313", "condition_id": "0x2eefe14e57ae6bac28e23fdc0d428ab99fd1ad579a28dbf43554b629bc2b0a90", "token_id": "109640336763800753822922608583664877599747523092742605097838557281105662030828", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender B\u00fcrgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "830589", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ec23d74cca3158f9b11486767f7c7a290d074b1d158812dd196d6e594574d2b1", "event_source_sha256": "6de74a687af1918c5fb1c52d0b6a0d70280297dd6ece85d4cd0f7e19bb7c8d37" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:452161", "title": "Next Prime Minister of Romania?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "inconsistent_event_semantics", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 36, "semantics_hash": "44446cf85fbdcc099fd79bb61f8d460b6e6fdc1a8658a7d712115dd715914f39", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2166666", "2166667", "2166668", "2166669", "2166670", "2166671", "2166672", "2166673", "2166674", "2166675", "2166676", "2166677", "2166678", "2166679", "2166680", "2166681", "2166682", "2166683", "2166684", "2166685", "2166686", "2166687", "2166688", "2166689", "2166690", "2166691", "2166692", "2166693", "2166694", "2166695", "2166696", "2166697", "2166698", "2166699", "2166700", "2166701", "2166702", "2166703", "2166704", "2166705", "2166706", "2166707", "2166708", "2166709", "2166710", "2166711", "2166712", "2166713", "2166714" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:452161", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2166701", "token_id": "34195803886940357406940920219714481753734035035376798012658450308573013652524", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Adrian Ve\u0219tea", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8a370137af4ffce925e05b4ab43a241d1e39d87f40cddfc855d85b7ea77440fe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166701", "condition_id": "0xf594ba6176332f3b96609dfcc858de00ce1c79bda4ad3eb0f2e1ef60cd38ff14", "token_id": "34195803886940357406940920219714481753734035035376798012658450308573013652524", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Adrian Ve\u0219tea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cca9a9cd2affd2ddd4f4cc8183fbb4cdd1e9239dc908d0ff64b0f475781e94df", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2166692", "token_id": "53608778687946526087931275341829969687544820721765237719012884473441162777718", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alexandru Nazare", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6b4f2802f311dc584218805a304f1ce4b85fd1e17de989c299b1a7b8b4cbf1cb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166692", "condition_id": "0xabc341cc5fefcc1611837576594d131336784fa96210008da4e2004123917a84", "token_id": "53608778687946526087931275341829969687544820721765237719012884473441162777718", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e77445c6aa694e213f4232930ef90feac71d741594440daae3bdca14cf8979d2", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2166675", "token_id": "26479172258628694091142648798229116941388477645936253109619091483226831562304", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alexandru Rafila", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b18bdf14b47b7c3f98cb412bc219ee5978134107696939e8861e056235855430", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166675", "condition_id": "0x8b405f654944ea74ccb32cb60efeae1a8013769d7782e649269f3af25d54b38d", "token_id": "26479172258628694091142648798229116941388477645936253109619091483226831562304", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alexandru Rafila be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f156b66ca0e7d3b0c059ba7b2b4525e0c0e2dcab4c3b45265d9b843fce296ff6", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2166693", "token_id": "45440909385014932907726583841609624603951996284928337648737845097509142628468", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alexandru Rogobete", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "863ffa8668412b6800f07ca434eedc332edffe4c048c06c7be61d531f6594f11", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166693", "condition_id": "0xa6483210e84d0b7709b1476a0cb9d14abb9b40a050c511584718ad563ad5db3e", "token_id": "45440909385014932907726583841609624603951996284928337648737845097509142628468", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5a684088498e2d4f1e62f4332c9bf21d6191a4bb7bf36cb20e8a48ce9fc7cced", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2166668", "token_id": "55770769849392417059043784827550977697008190646960780994525353077574699714492", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Anca Dragu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6e6411f80f8c8a35818d5f725c8b918809abbb91c048fbbde2dc22059663cb3a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166668", "condition_id": "0x9e64a023fd819710361ff4a5f4eb4241644bfd85764437d4b3b1a91bbcd51063", "token_id": "55770769849392417059043784827550977697008190646960780994525353077574699714492", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anca Dragu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-05-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-05-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "299482567a38deb649020501a9778f00338c97490d15c1984853f2d754a39d4f", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2166689", "token_id": "1338378344666055006866591376483904132096932568968013182341730620266773676204", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Calin Georgescu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a0cc6729958ba7fb3fde409138b1304d63476ffae6190b16fb4da03bbddcf3a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166689", "condition_id": "0x94df411f98d858c3d9748cf35e61e7fe76a71d8d21c5c47ab81c3054a926afd4", "token_id": "1338378344666055006866591376483904132096932568968013182341730620266773676204", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d784ea80da0daf8c8ccb0b2c87a964afaaeae863624ca67b2d841bb18fa2bde2", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2166698", "token_id": "12897495513770783027728889481956667833698671316089508017030152620959924913970", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ciprian Ciucu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b91d1b4acd7f76f9f68b0288c888779f2d1a71f0b7409f7fdd97025b2a9ec45b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166698", "condition_id": "0x219c8371933c711cadd0edeb5f5d2d5de6665d087ecb73101d065f4725a35c20", "token_id": "12897495513770783027728889481956667833698671316089508017030152620959924913970", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cbdb24dffe38c98df099149acba3abe504fd4169f2494620a493c9d6e23a7e77", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2166679", "token_id": "35151655406124666829935964550584196447316046819542118791350085572804552915017", "outcome": "yes", "label": "C\u0103t\u0103lin Drul\u0103", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb1ddf7ce2f069b236f2b6a5af63b6307c1a019ac0c23c342d5cdee7cd33270a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166679", "condition_id": "0xa9f3bb38cc06e437a1b10b7e1936eb22fd53d06a1a910f44c27d097a18553f0e", "token_id": "35151655406124666829935964550584196447316046819542118791350085572804552915017", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will C\u0103t\u0103lin Drul\u0103 be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bce635c1ae3d8ce41152c0bc6d0a2f3bc9224a6c4dafed1e60bd9e0844ef01f1", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2166670", "token_id": "85809456241059244412179341065978090917861259273567129087652308105773712019870", "outcome": "yes", "label": "C\u0103t\u0103lin Predoiu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6fc17f5ddc130543e7e8358e35e9db4aba438163865aac686fc1c66e051159f6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166670", "condition_id": "0x6d2afae5d0ce636cc170d2b7c8ec7a7211e64a0e015a87519c1445810c77b7b5", "token_id": "85809456241059244412179341065978090917861259273567129087652308105773712019870", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will C\u0103t\u0103lin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c0a655e18acf1498d66f6014b7532e52b5701df5e0e24af4d8da7449812a0efe", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2166681", "token_id": "14958010928912299739034910519959304286775037682119920626257391288873368436076", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dacian Ciolo\u0219", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "823aa7cc900d02a69f292d619bc6bd686789352bf1bdf7b2cc87c318b0193a7f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166681", "condition_id": "0xd2d99fa77e1dd9cd6c63548e5a200b4f21fad976c6527a730b424322a400b563", "token_id": "14958010928912299739034910519959304286775037682119920626257391288873368436076", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dacian Ciolo\u0219 be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f43f238b363230e3a45b600e7fc6ba2612dfdea8474a52663d3da5fae55fa3bb", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2166696", "token_id": "82070797904471082074228027579044009955942983240596949890378784206949001777790", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dan Motreanu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "395eab1c048e675690c919eefa6b4aeeee967c26de5c0e20ca2699e4cfa4d933", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166696", "condition_id": "0xe30d1d95fa104e93dbb86a508724e4e29b9287a91e517e7a8b4f105dddd8fae1", "token_id": "82070797904471082074228027579044009955942983240596949890378784206949001777790", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b51613cefb39a4755ad0f947c8a3f4fbf66eebfc827a157a6b57c51dcb7d47aa", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2166686", "token_id": "113992457031021947717468012335422301827996225912296603744029820511970417495057", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Delia Velculescu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5a0ee419a4ba49e8164864ff674aafc6de64ce8ca3d2423bba8fc47253be744b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166686", "condition_id": "0xf82b579cf848070760c7f5d3c8b3c0fc284159c6f1b98e0dfefe5a6dfdd58aa8", "token_id": "113992457031021947717468012335422301827996225912296603744029820511970417495057", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Delia Velculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c3d00c796c3cc6ddf3f56e5ed7f164b55dd37492bed8554e12408bca32a062c8", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2166683", "token_id": "47152680478125658073974135880553872840479085805240380755340210096386243627473", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dominic Fritz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6e7d05a752b03832cbc95efc2fac4bd2b278b072ec505ee00fdda1aee1fc713c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166683", "condition_id": "0xfd21a82b0688d2eb74266e0abc071dac267cbb666b4868bf78165ae911e2afdf", "token_id": "47152680478125658073974135880553872840479085805240380755340210096386243627473", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9cc79375b8ff22bb3540c4c5ae0959e32ac94c3f0fa07a188ed2b34ddc790ee9", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2166694", "token_id": "5396729559300321027160175106390002856831900934578376822085555538044963697912", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Drago\u0219 P\u00eeslaru", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "08aacbbd917e683fc177d5118927183e7cfeafacbdd7d8e986737aa576e23936", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166694", "condition_id": "0x615b25977a01550627d19a6a6b67ab0d1958c47294f94f3a18d072dedeaa6260", "token_id": "5396729559300321027160175106390002856831900934578376822085555538044963697912", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Drago\u0219 P\u00eeslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bbc8ce9763e167d207fdbb368abc8fd5fa8452f0edd4e338131d36ef38073cca", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2166678", "token_id": "16440878312692213940798271664078746972691808487869342558324383065476826819983", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elena Lasconi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7cc892ddbdd5a799b38070f7d26c6f11f676ea3bea105d21f0a2bab2505f2759", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166678", "condition_id": "0x3ecb8103c7e47f4c92241c7964fbde09936c343691f6116654bab2fca0fd5077", "token_id": "16440878312692213940798271664078746972691808487869342558324383065476826819983", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "46c911ec498c935d05c742673760db646c45a37b0354d9f21d970c3d2ca0213d", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2166682", "token_id": "99195387996519089651335281024059774280033500503695509360342957989602026068025", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Emil Boc", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4835c62cda016c50d2ed4f72293b0308dc13c9b5c2661d6fbe28e6e77677d5e7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166682", "condition_id": "0xfcafd10171dd94d77f66c2f2d9b071794ba36d2e7c50211e83007bb11ec01b5b", "token_id": "99195387996519089651335281024059774280033500503695509360342957989602026068025", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e06b2983c7e56e35546cb173028588c4382a2058511981912eb175119157f336", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2166699", "token_id": "73073237485169728419225645332288899509584114415364903557818008231922464600397", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Eugen Tomac", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f07ca74b213d011b8d4e6d71d0b9a0c0a45a4517076722afaebf52f2eae4f837", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166699", "condition_id": "0xdd9f5893277ee642854775472c68410f95eecb0331c1c73c589ad2e1d02aa645", "token_id": "73073237485169728419225645332288899509584114415364903557818008231922464600397", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d9cd8415455a0a08b4415f57d6d3f290426f0295a5815f8d2f7675eb82ae99aa", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2166672", "token_id": "37042058471109785665100537482988528077810476791954068375720209043048687976155", "outcome": "yes", "label": "George Simion", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d61f43c4f655175fe3265bdb361fda7c6e20f9491b7296a8966e5b38e4e9939c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166672", "condition_id": "0x03c4888efcde763200fa880ba66b0e7b7beded9505989421ed988121f7321b1b", "token_id": "37042058471109785665100537482988528077810476791954068375720209043048687976155", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "457ff75c311be849f316311c0c72fdc191bb7ddfd6f42df6f5ca21dbe51794b8", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "2166688", "token_id": "30275601326637196976833534377038159854491004252880344209320499134555309564042", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hunor Kelemen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "141893356112874d99a4b38fa2845acaa379e67342bf186f2c3ba7fc8fa55c71", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166688", "condition_id": "0x20a47932aa2262d7f242f6e287383abbeb8b341ea746e1f4ca915e92f89bf684", "token_id": "30275601326637196976833534377038159854491004252880344209320499134555309564042", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Hunor Kelemen be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9ee17a5e768be103db13db62abc5790b815058d859b20fd8264fe7490e310cf6", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "2166673", "token_id": "103087129495427243022578878812208950075078058836234494129444144779046981391969", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ilie Bolojan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "46f2d398be0afb4b9858c675bca8c5bdc7bdb49556c8e08fd741d8e13ff7be37", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166673", "condition_id": "0x18d813a320236840e6b560e9da3bbad71d5dce7584f26ab0105e7a28baffbef0", "token_id": "103087129495427243022578878812208950075078058836234494129444144779046981391969", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "294f94f4753263f7fbce8c0133a22e30d9184ac4df173a1c93ef2741a690a73a", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "2166677", "token_id": "101069208114763396944648230573350306218556259422850055617824422514275179255900", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ionu\u021b Dumitru", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "55f753b2971fa0b34c001b0af67dbe4e493f3a19c951bc520d7f81205c609b7e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166677", "condition_id": "0xca57ce6c46669c59e52518fc5f8ac2ded301a4fe4bb8a09bf5a57129c5847035", "token_id": "101069208114763396944648230573350306218556259422850055617824422514275179255900", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ionu\u021b Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8308a4e12642af96dfc5bd607a856b225c73dd2edd912a455cc8b9fc6935e652", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "2166685", "token_id": "73724308339844712068049973366433637767793979862794229987430995864162120317930", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lucian Croitoru", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "079ec94a712a8d89ac28ad8d7d6d98375e02656b744b0fab3a82c4948cab9909", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166685", "condition_id": "0x716b3dc9ea643518a820b2323f92fecfccf4aee2fef8e77402a3db3849cd07f7", "token_id": "73724308339844712068049973366433637767793979862794229987430995864162120317930", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lucian Croitoru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a2a712e08dd3511ae2b5eff6ce0f12509b5ccecc1afbdf86a196e02312df42a0", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "2166669", "token_id": "30008453957152642057210578247783716935618509087234498452963356769810811742305", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lucian Isar", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ac997223e7b5e97157f6cab3c26534886c9420d0039ff0489657436b00dc561a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166669", "condition_id": "0xf1dd7ae36e34d287467618748a8c0ba7818393e3d5677dfa67f83d0547d44684", "token_id": "30008453957152642057210578247783716935618509087234498452963356769810811742305", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lucian Isar be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f35e9d7add72966d974752c1c91002c5dfa938a8ba1f12f93906b5bb7e0e90cd", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "2166674", "token_id": "38784468500182743838838222796796947277954530690088565877312422082931227900836", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Marcel Ciolacu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7456ae687b63e4578f1da7079e9b150f5a8c7081d605bf1db3cac0a034459550", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166674", "condition_id": "0x9eec207bf65db44820535ed798801a481944d502c73f4c65e65bb050f2775887", "token_id": "38784468500182743838838222796796947277954530690088565877312422082931227900836", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Marcel Ciolacu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a7291734f59ac7585895b4da9b5c45772f2b0bc832f2e010b3ac2421cd355bff", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "2166667", "token_id": "87346193323207371716611986181907152791553911485834635240027021174812937229435", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mircea Geoan\u0103", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "331efade114ad2398babf9c75fe72b96d425b9b151a415d8c70dd114019c76cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166667", "condition_id": "0xcf18ec177d891f1ef83de4d8ac6a4bccd0d1310281c64cc874d70c1885915a0a", "token_id": "87346193323207371716611986181907152791553911485834635240027021174812937229435", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mircea Geoan\u0103 be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "20134c0aa4b3f5377b28838b170979c8bd802feabfb7f348bc395b5e18069aef", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "2166666", "token_id": "16533807722963468351189200742140766678249269178141698853822800072598533537236", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mugur Is\u0103rescu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ab2c51cc835fac9a916f8b156e0edb32798bac3f30483aa465086444ca20c246", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166666", "condition_id": "0x3c513526979c384afff854809b6415f15d3e63d6a9aadcebb94ce2ccfbd84779", "token_id": "16533807722963468351189200742140766678249269178141698853822800072598533537236", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mugur Is\u0103rescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "71e3447a1cdf1baa0a1396580abc13f52e5fbf1427f397b8accab2a99ea7ed66", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "2166687", "token_id": "102107382555137002937508588691039295042840157809886918775238237607981726004450", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nicolae Ciuc\u0103", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c74cd2f4c54c5cf319b42bed1c7470448973e9a25f68d68e5253c15521e9e324", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166687", "condition_id": "0x2c555f7fe391e54f3f2ecd9cf7affc9bd2a0f63edb3c60d96ea78c11764bf6f0", "token_id": "102107382555137002937508588691039295042840157809886918775238237607981726004450", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nicolae Ciuc\u0103 be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1a9eb57f9f28d3a5209eeb79a0a4d7edfe8bc30946984955e2543d6bb0caa5cc", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 27, "market_id": "2166690", "token_id": "65386538369948765816004949659825885700972541105389268417679519047915823649199", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Radu Burnete", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fb0dd73fa0850262b428f194f1c540022bfa2d266fd07e7cf8e3800524f06329", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166690", "condition_id": "0x9b1e15b6a442095e549ddddbb2d1c7da16ec17d841741dc237434996a7103a52", "token_id": "65386538369948765816004949659825885700972541105389268417679519047915823649199", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6b3dff05d3b40c6a011c12453373af5ae41d98dd157c466f000541e559b00a03", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 28, "market_id": "2166684", "token_id": "56069480539866238750815190659599979455993104845672056333374067865844950426953", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Raluca Turcan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4aa71ee8f432b0761d4f46fc4585371c89faf635735e1c698c0073c81f95c427", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166684", "condition_id": "0x516d3b8bec5ebbe2bbd2a9989930017477e8720958b69636745bce8b2177706c", "token_id": "56069480539866238750815190659599979455993104845672056333374067865844950426953", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Raluca Turcan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "35210b1d48ab56d761bdd36dc0b5497f10cf0babc2fc043ff9510b3061c6f411", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 29, "market_id": "2166676", "token_id": "45306554326741021585132326032648023920375279777348902281057443376010076450260", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sebastian Burduja", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aba02098bd8ce66a942492368bb1f12597a660bee36ebc2170cb1a2350235b82", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166676", "condition_id": "0xfce8495dd74cfa2b430f7ca5d4f584e86706c3ed7b888c9ddd18227abd88897f", "token_id": "45306554326741021585132326032648023920375279777348902281057443376010076450260", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ad4d06ba09fd72d8958311033f7c9354249d4be5c55bf97aaf50808a94d86c21", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 30, "market_id": "2166700", "token_id": "51094600077031478170101815103525387770124931083820912522524225389464653526485", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Siegfried Mure\u0219an", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ecc341f5e6e58257c4020970c88ab864274762569a3b505a2b9df3986db3c299", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166700", "condition_id": "0xdc9e6c1f58ba04a2cf7e72f44a8a51880e977ffeb1ac971f128658ac5074b8ee", "token_id": "51094600077031478170101815103525387770124931083820912522524225389464653526485", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Siegfried Mure\u0219an be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "091d7d801d4dd01147a6972506e31199e985935205799ab68f7ac8ec52126041", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 31, "market_id": "2166671", "token_id": "80691587128531722325788759109439099893286278054858729922746237563588185080855", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sorin Grindeanu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1c92aa55ca91ab979c2ef6dc43ab52e837260b4cbf77fb48e18064fffba7a637", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166671", "condition_id": "0x12088740bcada66cff2875b94d76b34ce4a3cc12fbe775fd65c48eb60e6fbe70", "token_id": "80691587128531722325788759109439099893286278054858729922746237563588185080855", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "856ce6205825534d3ca6b0856131cbe370261dac220e76b0f5c3880fb81c3f10", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 32, "market_id": "2166695", "token_id": "52963691020951353136436224815049145216734199250994028791150664790538782829532", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Traian Basescu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b24a144906386ec61b824599efd52f971d0065eae889fab4b9054b39aca614e7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166695", "condition_id": "0x1a1f193e487a7a9f1c1c806a9e9d4f735240be63776f79da8053e9f493a733ca", "token_id": "52963691020951353136436224815049145216734199250994028791150664790538782829532", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Traian Basescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cd5d9ac5ef17ed45d93933379eca63ecf741b78cd6b6046d3826eedfdde17341", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 33, "market_id": "2166680", "token_id": "87976568203459782654234137339483877595539505970051676236285907217217633669457", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Vasile D\u00eencu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "67c0c878d284f318d789e7a426a7faef239c4c7cfc643d5174132f2426d16181", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166680", "condition_id": "0xd4dd41489a42ef4771f1328c215ff5cff5aa5d39e10b31af7b1a9e473c9df822", "token_id": "87976568203459782654234137339483877595539505970051676236285907217217633669457", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Vasile D\u00eencu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "273db2005cf3d93455ba2bb2b5c5d479d6720655f89a3f969c19443ba3367a4a", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 34, "market_id": "2166697", "token_id": "11635903871773499660352103301961790074302945379527615887941504332800862968892", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Victor Ponta", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "56c885f16f3b10a1170b85aafe3e2f2645c94aa95cd3b723f200eb13dea1a5fa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166697", "condition_id": "0x9f4b6fbf5e28a38bed68892fcc4c74a4ddc61cff87499dfb333cc8d346a2545e", "token_id": "11635903871773499660352103301961790074302945379527615887941504332800862968892", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e94c9ed603f357d65c3423a157ebc9698d7e0761e6bb0947a78942a01b52184a", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" }, { "position": 35, "market_id": "2166691", "token_id": "6423899890429690546658486015379929117273321571705099000047804207767517158538", "outcome": "yes", "label": "\u0218erban Matei", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bcac876f6abd87d636db0ad860a680d71c5f5822774d32b03bdec4fc9eefa921", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2166691", "condition_id": "0x62c5bc7742aba8792394eb23d24b4de0bcc7c16427977fe9a41dea0caa2396f3", "token_id": "6423899890429690546658486015379929117273321571705099000047804207767517158538", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will \u0218erban Matei be the next Prime Minister of Romania?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "452161", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8944081c2535a7a300555ece92414374393fa9558f0360ee0127e3839633bc00", "event_source_sha256": "4a25efd89b490c663509af750bedcbe2c9bff0626e212c8ce8e0916f09cc187b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:964864", "title": "Bitcoin price on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "9294e4d0e765603e6ce9b1d06cbc2b91bbba04cc36470cb7cf2e845158962798", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4216751", "4216753", "4216755", "4216757", "4216759", "4216761", "4216763", "4216765", "4216767", "4216770", "4216772" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:964864", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4216753", "token_id": "43996158520890199463016511821636556413313725146975415364755118876051320795582", "outcome": "yes", "label": "70,000-72,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "33e0021ceab559ad7ff9c70311635844797f24d26e3b8a3880103b2bac393849", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216753", "condition_id": "0xbcc7f6becc600183c262c2d26301796ac20bcaff2bbaa418056efdba04cd0ffb", "token_id": "43996158520890199463016511821636556413313725146975415364755118876051320795582", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a0004b30faeab285f4000feb68e4cbd511922c5e68ed608f2e2b307881db9e4a", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4216755", "token_id": "86614299932123308718892937758474439771014402673938172932610532429742673806223", "outcome": "yes", "label": "72,000-74,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96a9454f1212799592d6ef32469cbe4531ded802be0609df03a113fb198f45f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216755", "condition_id": "0x6be5eda6d6b6c0c4d2905979694e87d5ba150d090d2696559227924ba0eccf5c", "token_id": "86614299932123308718892937758474439771014402673938172932610532429742673806223", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6175181d0bc0f827c98002f5507cf9405ba26a43a3ccf10a2f137b5ca11590b9", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4216757", "token_id": "97526406431916781230068684802636864135466982787938089746902985493190048003396", "outcome": "yes", "label": "74,000-76,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "41b88dd9053985486a565c66666dc7a30e15618ddfd9f70172747070a1074199", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216757", "condition_id": "0xd4944dab9c61eabbc385e156ab3197ebe74222fe1e83a8a8988ebef6a019808a", "token_id": "97526406431916781230068684802636864135466982787938089746902985493190048003396", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "58e3d968d987f5ffaa0f206904a27c1e47e06450214d8fe3ef6865c92b2a709e", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4216759", "token_id": "83659775009291306342061935043251389862310106701623258122712898831101961890877", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76,000-78,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "02710ebf26f20c63619a4b584551f6566e5ff08dfa63923a81f47a2cc1e71c4e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216759", "condition_id": "0x7c7b658484f273a729421a0fb3a42e4ad36d84b89529531a6816755bd93909d6", "token_id": "83659775009291306342061935043251389862310106701623258122712898831101961890877", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "42bfa88e99f558e171d41b87da0a967e96fdf9ec3c8779910d37bcc2bce3e353", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4216761", "token_id": "115539371019182837730349919006592048766909644622298061949403789398776209739519", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78,000-80,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "617284ac7a6b4ca0a1d466453e36bb0de590171166a0ad137a2b2053b79b11e2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216761", "condition_id": "0xd131fee06cff20f846c416b73486521f912ef65f1465ceab38f7c448316ed52e", "token_id": "115539371019182837730349919006592048766909644622298061949403789398776209739519", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4f4fa82be60d0f5704ee3c7bded8e5f4dce8440d1718717cb480fe34706274cd", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4216763", "token_id": "113020402188796750504689518551388303395825176346986638622977726206164483811624", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80,000-82,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af66d205606f288602b6afb3905ff37f5511cf1a2cc08288afb70f2a94033ecc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216763", "condition_id": "0xefa8672adca95cc39bacabed0b04153e01042879ba29c6a901f0671982943e73", "token_id": "113020402188796750504689518551388303395825176346986638622977726206164483811624", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ea45e49c482340f4416c9ea3359c10a8d34c4e8c9aa20ce14adacff56f75ed42", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4216765", "token_id": "37540851869457629755026147482770678151828122906728747161168525153136046452390", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82,000-84,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ba9fa12c4cb881c4288f9d92e0a11742057b75e9ab2c7536ee0b0370bbc21af6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216765", "condition_id": "0xb08bef65625b2654afbd052523314d3f53611a270d8fceebd4a63ad49bd9f010", "token_id": "37540851869457629755026147482770678151828122906728747161168525153136046452390", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "72bbae7d839dadeead8fc927ae1b729d58f0712e43f8d6c22a5439a76bf96713", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4216767", "token_id": "27671828542474708654201012792120666279170643659779760920908416894098171455993", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84,000-86,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "baf5a2134b37ba434a8b06e9392ec2e27b2b23882c78cc161dce1b227dfa6157", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216767", "condition_id": "0x9f438e3565433a30ea5e75f5fb607eb215a29c3add9f45434aee0532f83bbc08", "token_id": "27671828542474708654201012792120666279170643659779760920908416894098171455993", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "163c2d083a9d548f68120cee5991cebd0da240c979b124dde4fec12f6cd9ca11", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4216770", "token_id": "92153878047176991088718095631018009018018898982710609942029546336614029292849", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86,000-88,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d6055bb67c641c49438c8c9ff8344a32de195df80f752af545e00f2f0dc742b5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216770", "condition_id": "0x9c774783a715850cbdba3f679f737ac73064152f3ac6b17e5fd9bc727b939e22", "token_id": "92153878047176991088718095631018009018018898982710609942029546336614029292849", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b5ee7d5a16ac93f49a236c37cd1458ba0fb4114ca4fdfde9ced570f0e202f26b", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4216751", "token_id": "73320774501374235720601092484735625351164194761007246763357508275538508211827", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<70,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "46673fc7037f3d2837a42c5122c7885559afb078b28e8341aa9f0e5a32eb032f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216751", "condition_id": "0xf7c3f68748d45ae17e669a8f55943f1e17d20dc8728d9078a146535c3541674b", "token_id": "73320774501374235720601092484735625351164194761007246763357508275538508211827", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d7996d1594a6864001a5349e5a84bc0f62620c6c13520d6aa9487a2888e57b45", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4216772", "token_id": "47497378379846511107497887266774898494475081361424148337894834544444704704552", "outcome": "yes", "label": ">88,000", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e88adb670df7e95cbd8584ec46b2ca9430ccc7d00091e772020dd89e3ebea192", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4216772", "condition_id": "0x2d4a4a0400cb3168a1825357e633342c41a778122ab2497879ad2ef451bc403e", "token_id": "47497378379846511107497887266774898494475081361424148337894834544444704704552", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the final \"Close\" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "964864", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d7a6fd6b348074380ece82fc8a37ced54d89080cf2c5b43d9c9e04933909cc7a", "event_source_sha256": "73545b8e2d6ed65c11a1bf5ff32933d80523d0d08b075cecaeb67b16d3e767b0" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992248", "title": "Highest temperature in Munich on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "1aca924d1c5cf5bb242eb664187469cf57d1c96293f9adf5671258b52d5defd0", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400013", "4400014", "4400015", "4400016", "4400017", "4400018", "4400019", "4400020", "4400021", "4400022", "4400023" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992248", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400013", "token_id": "49770478935734698074665807556714013605117288053942785117249697559612106595438", "outcome": "yes", "label": "11\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f040961ed7f0780a1b537ece4072065309519d3ed02a788b483d9f51b5557adc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400013", "condition_id": "0x73a88bfae9d27cc95ac98efa43f19fcc33b2b2ac18a90a7b8b410d27c2867b09", "token_id": "49770478935734698074665807556714013605117288053942785117249697559612106595438", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c7821a574611a145180db54694400c0330716001b92e0146359e153509650375", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400014", "token_id": "89253502381166280658718361930932193439778861678997793893282953277759506237432", "outcome": "yes", "label": "12\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "69eadba61ea4c3703522ef160b2e74bb614c336c89b5d294be4479895ba631a2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400014", "condition_id": "0x9af6f93983974816cad1510dd9da1ecf92d20b0dad8787c6353a03d2cd8307db", "token_id": "89253502381166280658718361930932193439778861678997793893282953277759506237432", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bbd6d5e842a8d326598309fd06de5143f75f805aa949bbc851c7ce98f0807fe5", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400015", "token_id": "83044258409621386933130382456997606234069361516327740012000213197995247332364", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b789c87a3a6f4cf86ddab12b58db1ba859010039236ca27863d27dfbb40769b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400015", "condition_id": "0xe89c79b882dc895f8d1484d08c5aa03b3b44b840a3979f3df956aebf9eb37d7c", "token_id": "83044258409621386933130382456997606234069361516327740012000213197995247332364", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b3040aff9cbed1b346d12171d709f5ca18c3fca8717d03819ffcda92343912a0", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400016", "token_id": "39225378608248211652743219018110264433191756977357475020566120600533205721054", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f087e3cce8dab5058ce6ebe3e0dbfe4bccd247613a0a9296ff8e27505344ff2f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400016", "condition_id": "0x351e2f39ce39ad796b790cd63ba027d7b69cb968ca6d33dd8d1800e49744dafd", "token_id": "39225378608248211652743219018110264433191756977357475020566120600533205721054", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9dbc7cf1ad2bc30f7ac43ca4aa6b79b266f71ea31f9571edd89bcc5eacea4123", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400017", "token_id": "47689873379184497804049251739962565151356208144292672058716458944631120307833", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "511a6aa1272e70240ab59e57fa80266cc08a2f0a91c65044427d42532975f696", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400017", "condition_id": "0x9ce4f8c207724963b79c3118ba2845c17a3dabbb1a142b77a7dc9d9be0537b43", "token_id": "47689873379184497804049251739962565151356208144292672058716458944631120307833", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "68b0dbf76b65b0920c91a65bd4053dff6ae178a922e29e7398fc1f85f918baa8", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400018", "token_id": "16168618317345017472900878878634570166133705113067719116666372868456172836912", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a385fcca5098b6588d13543375fac49dc700be2de736b8083340be62d74520a5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400018", "condition_id": "0xca998ae7a766456d06abca8118d7f0919cab1b0f0bc33dd29a7c505b72e1aa4b", "token_id": "16168618317345017472900878878634570166133705113067719116666372868456172836912", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8e86de59c8d73c4b3c7d3df0c93b30fbb8f36d287fea6f375abc0beada9eab61", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400019", "token_id": "76318470982437072747911645882114935804555783497683240197189668208095957518567", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "365142abf8c0e8670d68af02a330ac03e9bb8b2478dcb4dde939b024088dc90a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400019", "condition_id": "0x29036ff17e35be41b44b08ff0bf020846ea7c05af8355b19e8be99b5c95d342f", "token_id": "76318470982437072747911645882114935804555783497683240197189668208095957518567", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6144cb9319d709892b59e4f034fa71c86945da69792f09b0172727e6b951af66", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400020", "token_id": "103956964335647475996680263826862449153046874399761733746260115271395216133081", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e4a70ac5ff2001f89da8d6b4bb7c49838f9d1c57cd63dc1b6f9fc6db41983170", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400020", "condition_id": "0x438d6d5748e10ec86555c79f01ec9ed39e5e1f2bbb49eb2c371565db3d7cfa3d", "token_id": "103956964335647475996680263826862449153046874399761733746260115271395216133081", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b0797929370d80f8e2aa635ca014db5ade5c0b12262800c4c345c4619e7aa9f8", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400021", "token_id": "54987868622097407565440274334285237720580463019386745884945052849745854925664", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "315f4c0bba198358c4ffccdbe640791fd2ebb5e88104459721177acd2c9652bf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400021", "condition_id": "0xd848e6a84ecfb846d9f6ee56898dbbac612b8f13be16471992dc6a6493ef38dd", "token_id": "54987868622097407565440274334285237720580463019386745884945052849745854925664", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d61926fac235b8d6a4a953f498eb1407a550afbde2930929484082db2489a275", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400022", "token_id": "114750312773353561833723019814599779925410413604036070821530260989780734194024", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "76a11b85e75d455e24f4e293e7a45d35b5f2e72297b2fb387c4d76ba128ba00e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400022", "condition_id": "0x9b588fd7b25e4a572ce4a5250cb8e92f75731eec40ad41fb4d0c3c4a2befa773", "token_id": "114750312773353561833723019814599779925410413604036070821530260989780734194024", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "eb578d603df1d611c80e740127832369bd20dbc19feb8de6e49f3d6e140375dd", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400023", "token_id": "519918176533794556222384802278598182510631993091196485233503859565433919164", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "36181f37ad2e9e23512efb33a8c1d34241b0d824c82a1cd211f93f61def76e63", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400023", "condition_id": "0x77b96a601c9eb12eb6a52c9a82625a9ff8d0c980e4bb257365fa505eb3c502ea", "token_id": "519918176533794556222384802278598182510631993091196485233503859565433919164", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992248", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "51a615e4b30e706c971f65e9e82187a12ae641f7259ffbebdbfed1cfd559fd42", "event_source_sha256": "62f0f9c3bbed98e1e45fb2e04592556b4eae62720004b889ba07968c5d77010d" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931801", "title": "Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK - Exact Score", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 17, "semantics_hash": "34495a3ac4146cb7f16831975a9909435d6c821e41261ad2242b11c89c29f4fb", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3978028", "3978029", "3978030", "3978031", "3978032", "3978033", "3978034", "3978035", "3978036", "3978037", "3978038", "3978039", "3978040", "3978041", "3978042", "3978043", "3978044" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931801", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3978044", "token_id": "114661873414220887929735747069640796539239676324220893916372606079714480124450", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Any Other Score", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b638831341ca92ab04b18f9b9a352c01524bef05fdd85ad9c74a1a4305c97b52", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978044", "condition_id": "0x9a18e2afda5b9c9595a8fb328ec90d4419a93e23bf7298469eea6bfca4dda687", "token_id": "114661873414220887929735747069640796539239676324220893916372606079714480124450", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Any Other Score?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "89a6ab4bdb89ff43b8bdf022003bd3cad240757cbd34c7d7b6544418236ea20c", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3978028", "token_id": "9535385859710728208916282533487570753691705634585808523356829047987967543464", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 0 - 0 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2bc81430e620e86e4ed1c4058cf2ce989c2d3e3ee4998b2356d50e1b1f66ba93", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978028", "condition_id": "0x48425b46b74e9c0957091962e0380cc06e6a243549ef7f2c4f113a56d5f9744f", "token_id": "9535385859710728208916282533487570753691705634585808523356829047987967543464", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1680143d3976b625bf61f06028854d99418d7b8606c647acef1edc9a79c9cb77", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3978029", "token_id": "110576489493478589598740492786618672059260061835015830919807015399426671369065", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 0 - 1 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5512ce20be53e15d29999315fcc7799222efd927231b079246b94a68f756e3b5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978029", "condition_id": "0x33efac0fa9816b5eb01f5aa8c7edaf8e7810a966be3da2b5b1bfd858b55694e8", "token_id": "110576489493478589598740492786618672059260061835015830919807015399426671369065", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 1 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b0cee651a86157d81fea9cb7a73f6ca5845e1a68249073ea9cb07947f7141020", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3978031", "token_id": "104154047805632053602376650097383452297974633557448452554717540606188073018722", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 0 - 2 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5066a69932b7bb6afd4131ff905c51233d5ac654e8e467cd86138e2e901065c3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978031", "condition_id": "0x5a236e360e1f77928b22c65ec2ef70ef4bbbd8e314aa2f053d48c23fa10f7758", "token_id": "104154047805632053602376650097383452297974633557448452554717540606188073018722", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 2 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "239a1c51ff1ae2df91b603c1f2aa6f8753e01e3da31fd10b6a22fe10389082a0", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3978034", "token_id": "101282255982149460988290711021062908164675605973854698768567072091409724264889", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 0 - 3 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "754c9a6899642579d2d12e1b84ce75a543d0f043e8285f4266d684b741607a03", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978034", "condition_id": "0xc8b2e96f3ac32f3cddbb182eb849b8a421e73d3e74b7ca63a9dfb1aa6929f381", "token_id": "101282255982149460988290711021062908164675605973854698768567072091409724264889", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 3 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "087e9526cb3c5231451091420cb9f433f162bc200d95e99cd5b8edbfb9c5fa01", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3978030", "token_id": "79145403439998949647604602455448456181024889980980831549129121720031459662241", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f243a4556be481098a94097e04721d886d766f650a3ebd15e5252ccc615d28a9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978030", "condition_id": "0x181540f2ed6dea1fbcbe95b87c5fd8a33650b3a242bac8c645461970c6aadf42", "token_id": "79145403439998949647604602455448456181024889980980831549129121720031459662241", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 0 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e97e2b0ce1b9b4458f0a586e6935ff2300f3dcf3f90efeb72557aa52866d4aaa", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3978032", "token_id": "26737445705281843469347224261202524979981126066896691154477863132374102965952", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 1 - 1 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ffb4b55cc025e10b523733b23aa8840ca28ad3a6698dab07b6c97ff02c9cb41d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978032", "condition_id": "0xb745bd377ec79d74e5f4a3bf834aeed19f0bbaa0fab60ae6a49054f34a70cd1a", "token_id": "26737445705281843469347224261202524979981126066896691154477863132374102965952", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 1 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6741700e43cb06dfb540a315dcccdb23342510e42380b420e974bcc88f3d7580", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3978035", "token_id": "77694644117764091700666725626862188872145057195786233735083191780086763424120", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3563386d1a3904fb584731b9d313a68b6863ed0b49e6a60609ddc3a82a887f20", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978035", "condition_id": "0xbce7b2457172b46d6160dc6cbae9bb01f21821485523f746893f9d9f60977721", "token_id": "77694644117764091700666725626862188872145057195786233735083191780086763424120", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 2 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d0d8f3596009d9fbf10420503d374f22ae55693c7ad803c27d31e7223657f003", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3978038", "token_id": "15152828857593778796619215368261506873061562154604569631488122825309706359711", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 1 - 3 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3952bd201440f4ac2486f9e340ec7ada91b0554fb0c2580e8dfcb4448ae9a7ac", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978038", "condition_id": "0xe9a2cfda440e76e4703778f5e61b0fc91fd78c39090a5f733ec993a62447dc50", "token_id": "15152828857593778796619215368261506873061562154604569631488122825309706359711", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 1 - 3 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3345ac47b7006d2cadfa36632dad9946aa0c4a9cf53e9379a64efd96ac5c3d23", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3978033", "token_id": "7214263573887164551051429058808703368870793822555877755200830039072341509392", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 2 - 0 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eda170111ecaa9204707d7a54e46996f0e907279596701ae4080b1cee0c24833", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978033", "condition_id": "0x04c8a28dc514a1067033957b4cb1deefdb58adfa783cb6fd99dc92b1da0fa7ad", "token_id": "7214263573887164551051429058808703368870793822555877755200830039072341509392", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 0 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ccfe4c9be4428bc4323414a06d3dc02a95a2668aabd808f1ea89c9609b7e49d3", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3978036", "token_id": "17784034963174685038679668816257913755255247658472121146599169734089089755882", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6f45023fa253edd93bb6a7243f3b61fc9e98afe89d0d4573119fc66c4503d028", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978036", "condition_id": "0x236d8bb42abe65c83519f8d435f283d0a5e86f0847a36ff1af71edb6eeede3a0", "token_id": "17784034963174685038679668816257913755255247658472121146599169734089089755882", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 1 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a78ce0867807df477aae2f67015d4849c502ed02354db2856113fb8b08e9349f", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3978039", "token_id": "67726024533741652861231347970181032038712620838537091661533275981130877476439", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c639e7dc07582fd23efac2faed507ee777db210d7cb2a7bf2f3a3616dc7e3602", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978039", "condition_id": "0x4ffd1a7df7cb3478e5069c28da25452705b329dae3c7726f7d78daf3326c187f", "token_id": "67726024533741652861231347970181032038712620838537091661533275981130877476439", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 2 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "807cff4b81259202842de1525a8d0ed16ec69c59f5acdd96d30bb86fc7875fc4", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3978041", "token_id": "51149079081749007270034194428585668837650758779595281312254010132352989187429", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0208ea4e67ae1d77699cb1ab152c79a79d7bdfe3a07d48aaf1d8dab583e97c0e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978041", "condition_id": "0xea15d457db897c72ed43d319e04b5483027b2653407c409025a1bad3191338c6", "token_id": "51149079081749007270034194428585668837650758779595281312254010132352989187429", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 2 - 3 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6509f888d67caea330327bb7138ab896afaafccee56b851047832192449ac7a4", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3978037", "token_id": "95341925443908846977865135569486301558773975125960620064636361966855264215909", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 3 - 0 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bdbb282514a046db109499ffffcb03985c6683dcf88fd75cf23fa1ea32f9127c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978037", "condition_id": "0xea07040cb0fef4b2c63d76aaa69154d59c2a28c6faf8946209161b454b981443", "token_id": "95341925443908846977865135569486301558773975125960620064636361966855264215909", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 0 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e38404cf660a77f46c32df4d1dbb6fe8464051fb7ae9c1f924e3c987ab7e3863", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3978040", "token_id": "56466913408522588143741790484127120322172376540946202665510043689701558017275", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4b6b7ecf5cd352b4945523605d0a164d30f463340421493987bd4ce30be21a97", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978040", "condition_id": "0x1b27fef45a0b213a87abc750b1e5ab498e176b7ed8638b1c794b825d365989a2", "token_id": "56466913408522588143741790484127120322172376540946202665510043689701558017275", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 1 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f630430d9e3fab9055cfe319c154a6670d98ad7559586ff3e530d730c8d95030", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3978042", "token_id": "24138447091502033626206680151554464201635611413085045041361146768994660612447", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d30e30aa054778a324efd55594ece8034a73f176c3c586816e766360b7ea0919", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978042", "condition_id": "0xd682679a30f7ec623e391e741f9160a3f7853052c937134c5dd9148ef9e8fb1d", "token_id": "24138447091502033626206680151554464201635611413085045041361146768994660612447", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 2 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a9ff342a18b6010bb6cee18cd35dc12605efeccbc3944a591b0975b9fd5d3eb5", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3978043", "token_id": "109867212383194908892813656098786851518956273444202007689938246256673150771524", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Sabah FK", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2d53062b77af03a249a3391379dfedbbba08998989c73812828cdd7f5a09c2ce", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3978043", "condition_id": "0x16fc6896f2c5a48c6339d356ec044026035e33220c981d0552df7bfb5b981ff8", "token_id": "109867212383194908892813656098786851518956273444202007689938246256673150771524", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Manchester United FC 3 - 3 Sabah FK?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Manchester United FC vs. Sabah FK match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931801", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e8d41d7e464fa7553ea0d03d5dc289e55da4b991f4d5927a6d55ec958ec03a21", "event_source_sha256": "7d27967111d5fbe7df88c229a3ac7ea47f25f97e1d2a9ab53b3f0a15ea17a4ca" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992153", "title": "Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "2873e392f2621722f84fffa33417fed9442eb7520849113e48764d224532b32c", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4399217", "4399218", "4399219", "4399220", "4399221", "4399222", "4399223", "4399224", "4399225", "4399226", "4399227" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992153", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4399217", "token_id": "10844194896674101467822913858083148247159417308766279276685905427063132803411", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a82ecae906b4df61ef43c7a2a22604fdd4c35a5afc392fd5ef743b4327930e53", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399217", "condition_id": "0x095f8027c64da06a900a21d8a2328e585ecef171f00c9e6671c7bba337fceace", "token_id": "10844194896674101467822913858083148247159417308766279276685905427063132803411", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a9ad345646caa435a1b09d12a5c6404e535d2863976117e69552fa66f941a564", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4399218", "token_id": "38356123238067382083668037547445039930662929985788155708480024453340054436634", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1305fae03852d73e5e17a9534791bacd39040355733316946cf0e104db082902", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399218", "condition_id": "0xfce25b2614f4706df082a7be525a2f7da4ecd8e18320ba9ef9edeb233d34bfa5", "token_id": "38356123238067382083668037547445039930662929985788155708480024453340054436634", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "be519c9d1dff26af73556e764810b1fec9d1ae08862c3c022ad9cb4151f20f4b", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4399219", "token_id": "50903468246125360710905785133842844796632451476468055834099041348778879906055", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e0b086d4ffd43dbe3282109f05a07698ef87e9d270002c235b61a08a9c47fc6b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399219", "condition_id": "0xbb8a74110e30cef59e1de7060613f409b17af11fe8a29548eddf4590670e3d71", "token_id": "50903468246125360710905785133842844796632451476468055834099041348778879906055", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a96678a4254caa2f3fac5482ec5193c1b77dd469f27ecfe01b2d010f6f2c33ab", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4399220", "token_id": "73690555629494803443003290510895264750541821794934519337209939726471444260177", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dfb151903e3e704448d56e857a6cd23388a996c0188a47a2dec699ebcdfd70ef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399220", "condition_id": "0xa9f7bb6a510c0b36f1d76fc3cfd85586bd8d870ec58ce61df4f9410e824adcf3", "token_id": "73690555629494803443003290510895264750541821794934519337209939726471444260177", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b8bede46ac560dab14bfe8a06ba20d58f5ac1ae7952e66778a949cd825b01d5b", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4399221", "token_id": "55001391878223696760611590135790313994480706603021203299488332739257890759988", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0d8c5ea3d9c5a7d3135e6b0d7dbd9ee04ca5e0820a308487df48e4650931f35e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399221", "condition_id": "0x4b7b0c654b8a273bd0070c0c405d01ec1bc4cb1366026f37837036613a503869", "token_id": "55001391878223696760611590135790313994480706603021203299488332739257890759988", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d6d6bac81cea072fdab9a7fd2e5b08cc9d70b824c8c53527787cd14c55a1b6ac", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4399222", "token_id": "84435186850556055817027118171651382365365951351794752284334640171271861923833", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "caef3db835dfb54e741483f638e1ab40e268551c2d43ad9faaf78bce50869cf1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399222", "condition_id": "0xf3c3f13ddc7f34288c7b129567e456e615dbee74c81c7c0c1eae507ab32c4f92", "token_id": "84435186850556055817027118171651382365365951351794752284334640171271861923833", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0cb740a741b54c0a19ae64d6e860a600e06ecf514c807ce9db99c29bd432b877", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4399223", "token_id": "15694975261983993867830489901855125721841500220814669707220362171096214987834", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "04e4681c82afc785c11ec1e4eac0c4b571cfc906a1156bf814312363d0699ebf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399223", "condition_id": "0x7d828ed88fe8111992d84e7044083a7f21a6731e8838ac854e097675faf4a56f", "token_id": "15694975261983993867830489901855125721841500220814669707220362171096214987834", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5aeaf6f4dcf7364e697c5fa5458919e2066239df2042c49c0e8e745e1f72eb33", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4399224", "token_id": "56942964001804929228538883731143306912896368968169227657153053582904846530570", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "24724ae00213a2f4691034f96b2d9f8658d54b56acea961434eae9eaf88f8a97", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399224", "condition_id": "0x6906995ea2f8e1746732a73e6380041c741abba97582a59f2d2c50c52c423470", "token_id": "56942964001804929228538883731143306912896368968169227657153053582904846530570", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ea8d36111224b6a89173789f7febf2f47b0b303eaea6af4e1e7c4364cd7d5330", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4399225", "token_id": "67698741924069182120757293880490672500798234571412419080183455963843974251508", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9520cca347c3a1d624ba9e370bac9702290fcef50a26a9764ca0b7191a3b987b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399225", "condition_id": "0x63a7a5fc1398b074cd60b7d1cd1f4f28b61ec5eb08cca09c5ef65f60b139f8f5", "token_id": "67698741924069182120757293880490672500798234571412419080183455963843974251508", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "111e3097fa22cfd588ba69a286d2724744ffe2f50173e7cf62c9cfeafa568ea5", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4399226", "token_id": "8083489451198787647675609491846657187693228526544776210513781280172721669851", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "57ce9a1bd418689b56d2db81432381e07ba73207bbbb9b373951a2f57d1ab5cb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399226", "condition_id": "0x0e8311ef8d206e046260561f909be92e2917e6032a3555b895fb1a3dd3070bfc", "token_id": "8083489451198787647675609491846657187693228526544776210513781280172721669851", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1c92329d9ad4876c32dfbedba739e7d26598aeae938a2dbc5d69b0e03bd25367", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4399227", "token_id": "9326952385783348034420719772887794916263035486212648721638218151214938019514", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "00275f8955a8531373ce9161d0e3296999731960d064040f91fd681f1d8bc704", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399227", "condition_id": "0xe6148eb2ac2b75cff3cc1e733bec0e6bcf0ddb888ffc544237d017048e6512c0", "token_id": "9326952385783348034420719772887794916263035486212648721638218151214938019514", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992153", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ef0e47be074213c342600d92b090940ecc9c821230c7c966264236e13bcf5d74", "event_source_sha256": "1456bb30befa97021ceab0ee9ec9b0c4793bfdeb15e0126597105a4f8f1caedd" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992592", "title": "Highest temperature in Dallas on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "e72fb568cc9b8ba40448b78162d2e079835ae1aa6ac9fdf4cd5cd4a20c48cfac", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4401426", "4401427", "4401428", "4401429", "4401430", "4401431", "4401432", "4401433", "4401434", "4401435", "4401436" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992592", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4401432", "token_id": "55578278272069014119148253328793086875198300574890135365311595791880766868211", "outcome": "yes", "label": "100-101\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f577d13a17dd6f80ca988c8e9df0adc8e41b8c2067d07327674dddcaa6471992", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401432", "condition_id": "0x3c8fbad5dd896034c28711dd0fac62abed6e831bf03607a8daa03e2a76d1d3fa", "token_id": "55578278272069014119148253328793086875198300574890135365311595791880766868211", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "afcf5aab1a912a2787ece2f6a2226a46a691b5ab22bf9f17d1d97aa366e15dfc", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4401433", "token_id": "60745235579038735647521280995375283370859465219586450680014206860282594238442", "outcome": "yes", "label": "102-103\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d432ad72c0a24a0cdd815ea0115a2e3752e847ee27f011c1c466c2a5d104148b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401433", "condition_id": "0x526245eecfab34e7ffebfe4a62e4d893e216060b6baec4e0bc9989cfd73582a8", "token_id": "60745235579038735647521280995375283370859465219586450680014206860282594238442", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "32467e8b82bdf4290591d096df274a7df0079e7468335a7f2f276116ee5c0aa3", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4401434", "token_id": "82822499843531516965857297677318455165169866020066275565798965649795749720501", "outcome": "yes", "label": "104-105\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ac4889530617b1d2580185f8e1dafae443ed6fa0f32182330b5d84c37412c447", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401434", "condition_id": "0x1cd93c9381c85e20c8ac5e41dbd93b038da7f04061f7da161e5c09d5cc3cd39d", "token_id": "82822499843531516965857297677318455165169866020066275565798965649795749720501", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "81f75be1890742f007e8d5eba9ecdf078aac52ffbf24e85bfd4370c00c308672", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4401435", "token_id": "67496208811583185845839672028167857133487502800543496275502730313897064144261", "outcome": "yes", "label": "106-107\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "94a71aba517b32bbc8e4cb61e889b541f4c51fb75f7cf9a9727287c2ba85e551", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401435", "condition_id": "0x5f0be5a485b8724bae89a9a221039e50d60056fa335058d75334872164367080", "token_id": "67496208811583185845839672028167857133487502800543496275502730313897064144261", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "616e60a9e18a8594e8c0159a2d7ff81bb2cfe909e5fe64a4f73d5a2cf968123a", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4401436", "token_id": "55359910292254889848390778725911068813013067896699725024192184154338837705538", "outcome": "yes", "label": "108\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c343b5949386c8988c1e4f365c0cf795f31684c2c56233c3ff7e0ac25489bee5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401436", "condition_id": "0x59617b641eb106ee7f17f4b418bed81c0fdf0c267293422160dba6a97c4549b6", "token_id": "55359910292254889848390778725911068813013067896699725024192184154338837705538", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 108\u00b0F or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ee13674f072a9fa379325c1e65d0e5fb72682f5809567b5a3cc9f45ab2cae6e9", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4401426", "token_id": "59650196531566530596149934317983786964730876216219134519579065926770945937753", "outcome": "yes", "label": "89\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e72a37df1e6697adb2b8f133ff13a45184bbfd422dd054412ea53998ded853fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401426", "condition_id": "0xce78b78a1145dffc78810d416832f67a5661852fcd340c3c66be752e1dee3702", "token_id": "59650196531566530596149934317983786964730876216219134519579065926770945937753", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89\u00b0F or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f3bb19fc006fc845ab955f06b691349d0fcd0458919e2a1795dabdaa20029f89", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4401427", "token_id": "88209788298468367292489613875640671710951863409885018809657218384666948997072", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "beeb058cb03ef315e53752856a93ebe9f398b5d3d56828af031b1b423d7ced02", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401427", "condition_id": "0x985e3bc0a2bf9f7d352a4c27b0c446079c8ea31ea3e84c9c90ec02c86af8c4f9", "token_id": "88209788298468367292489613875640671710951863409885018809657218384666948997072", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7b753112d3d24888123e4fb6fabb824acf0f7e855a502ec2a083fb8923e9c851", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4401428", "token_id": "47730453542028301062674103448308482703544692197655387123890629704784476447768", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e024da6b6c843c2bd0ed86a3ce889bbccd29669fc084e83352d444de0648576e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401428", "condition_id": "0x3a750812ed0a887efa915aff23ffd29e14f1f1170e274b5ef4379f67a6996e1d", "token_id": "47730453542028301062674103448308482703544692197655387123890629704784476447768", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9eee217b43de976a33fc743f67a541d6aeee7bdd4ca4213f808bf17fc1f5f431", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4401429", "token_id": "111522120289659918661683818406200553351104348619453267207530588867617913777594", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94-95\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dc0978669a626e2c5327f01711ee91e4101af33cccb482b82779e9dfce9e6f3c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401429", "condition_id": "0x4939e0870e6b504fc020e75962bec7214635cec7c3062a5aca1418dbcaa45ac8", "token_id": "111522120289659918661683818406200553351104348619453267207530588867617913777594", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5caacaeea253c847ceab74ba0c4e4359841fc3e396cdd6f03017695017671461", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4401430", "token_id": "96362577594332144750722545070239887284307342777279952719816350744127302875875", "outcome": "yes", "label": "96-97\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "79fb3f3054d8f6841322b6c8c8dbaac3785efe6d0c490b3254e1568f6e530dda", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401430", "condition_id": "0x693e6a22f7eb0bf5caa9fbfa278be77da042073382efe845f307a4e10bda4d63", "token_id": "96362577594332144750722545070239887284307342777279952719816350744127302875875", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "34ef185e571a79c57dbfb4ec4f33c8f02b9a098921345909e067afbd440bd6fb", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4401431", "token_id": "42413420857631710531199176056817620419456670620246141653121886577881192047330", "outcome": "yes", "label": "98-99\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "22d52f42874f4cda7c28df21f026efce094c1051b67c234c0c64c7e9aaba63fa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401431", "condition_id": "0xe34ca04170b24565949086fdc49daed859b5e83a3cb62b6350a27affe39c9dd8", "token_id": "42413420857631710531199176056817620419456670620246141653121886577881192047330", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992592", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7f54301771e7c844dfe3367249c8574867f64d3f239e2bf548b6fab5cdb9dbca", "event_source_sha256": "0b0173ec7bf5cc3ebc04af111c5825bdaced759579adcf90fcb01f9ffa3dd57c" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:100229", "title": "Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "99dc35fae58b1aa26b21610cd1fc2c7226ef111c9f557b37d1b16a674f3b1319", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "897017", "897018", "897019", "897020", "897021", "897022", "897023", "897024", "897025", "897026", "897027", "897028", "897029", "897030", "897031" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:100229", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "897018", "token_id": "21591213681365549367447693686277753750427371656543547457746812794972887882879", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Comcast", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "33c3b60e2180d51b48584e385e306a311a32cc8aad10e74fb0dce98615b5f4c3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "897018", "condition_id": "0x6e23cb712508ca15d80ef2aa8334716a7a315a50469bbb66bef2a421a97a1c54", "token_id": "21591213681365549367447693686277753750427371656543547457746812794972887882879", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nTransactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of non-finalized arrangements \u2014 including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery\u2019s studios and streaming businesses \u2014 will not qualify.\n\nIf no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"None by June 30 2027\". \n\nResolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-06-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100229", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "875dcd1e014aeed8f12058cd1a0b06227e869b9037d92dd6363d9e3cba1fd9c2", "event_source_sha256": "36eec3d61301aa80aa9ca5655cb31fc9324cbfc9a073414938cb847dced132ba" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "897017", "token_id": "71621515493005505804032019343479076717370660677358537595954402101965328206829", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Netflix", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5a4298e1268305a014a37583f8c2c5fe2d16d1558792a3c0017dc64d1aaab8fb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "897017", "condition_id": "0x7ed08b305a3cca4f5b4e0c295c6b066e424a61358447b35d4f9bf1c2b56fe37c", "token_id": "71621515493005505804032019343479076717370660677358537595954402101965328206829", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nTransactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of non-finalized arrangements \u2014 including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery\u2019s studios and streaming businesses \u2014 will not qualify.\n\nIf no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"None by June 30 2027\". \n\nResolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-06-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100229", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ea574686f741558056b9f3a0bb6868bbca2e1fa878613e8363649b7f37155e06", "event_source_sha256": "36eec3d61301aa80aa9ca5655cb31fc9324cbfc9a073414938cb847dced132ba" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "897030", "token_id": "49926194611744648925636799110670225431413950541722856824815549402042051978566", "outcome": "yes", "label": "None by June 30, 2027", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0be948153df391479f78a8f5940748ee7345cd05e35c524190fe752ad18790af", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "897030", "condition_id": "0x3347f5c9c3b49e0165dbd1be6cc1757cee05fdbdc02f97352c9734c3ab765b26", "token_id": "49926194611744648925636799110670225431413950541722856824815549402042051978566", "outcome": "yes", "title": "No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nTransactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of non-finalized arrangements \u2014 including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery\u2019s studios and streaming businesses \u2014 will not qualify.\n\nIf no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"None by June 30 2027\". \n\nResolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-06-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100229", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ea92447236519a0e836833224210db72b07024b33c10b3ef95dc43158fc64c09", "event_source_sha256": "36eec3d61301aa80aa9ca5655cb31fc9324cbfc9a073414938cb847dced132ba" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "897019", "token_id": "23256019137586319539165692276469250213112768854758556344817552607255928262054", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Paramount", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7cab65ec2abcf7a6ed443aaa4231fe41f44258cc90e40975144add86a059245b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "897019", "condition_id": "0xa71785ae27eeaf2a9f7adf8f4f0d7db11e773fa2602b28c55399d31e91c3f2f0", "token_id": "23256019137586319539165692276469250213112768854758556344817552607255928262054", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nTransactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.\n\nAnnouncements of non-finalized arrangements \u2014 including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery\u2019s studios and streaming businesses \u2014 will not qualify.\n\nIf no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"None by June 30 2027\". \n\nResolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-06-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "100229", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "521aab0c438a38c97c94d88e3615c59cea339a8334f6e56d106cb4af1a8b992e", "event_source_sha256": "36eec3d61301aa80aa9ca5655cb31fc9324cbfc9a073414938cb847dced132ba" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:191675", "title": "WA-02 House Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "0ef403051c90669386d9c52e37c4812a7fafe54b3b112af7b61ed1221380090f", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1285135", "1285136", "1285137", "1285138", "1285139", "1285140", "1285141", "1285142" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:191675", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1285135", "token_id": "47302482618859195349350864869219454026785539311936615630935393266192368728392", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Edwin Feller (R)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b6815d416152ee193688bc7032bcca100fdae5aa2392bf5c884701d8dfa402ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1285135", "condition_id": "0x90f15a7d54cc507dabd869d0c92b870449703437eac9c7814518c81f46f6ab7a", "token_id": "47302482618859195349350864869219454026785539311936615630935393266192368728392", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Republican Party win the WA-02 House seat?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n\u200bA candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "191675", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f488630a5ea44506de5760781e7d1e7e373fb4c9a4b46f759ae80a8bc16b5309", "event_source_sha256": "cde4cc31b45473a51de70e22f4fa800cf8e6e7ff91451a5d7189473575caa5bf" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1285136", "token_id": "89022443090357848103252782438511586783925479158002758982878059554764423272380", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rick Larsen (D)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d43aafb9494d2b12101c4029397b517cb08a57f416801317b4558c2da7648fd5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1285136", "condition_id": "0x9442a1c06ed27a0deb2d54674da8eb4c98a63bfb397a88f9d795ee0966905474", "token_id": "89022443090357848103252782438511586783925479158002758982878059554764423272380", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Democratic Party win the WA-02 House seat?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n\u200bA candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "191675", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f1fb6b60979d87b65a1ee6cc23585e8710170aaaaaa74ab6b117fba6e7b8029d", "event_source_sha256": "cde4cc31b45473a51de70e22f4fa800cf8e6e7ff91451a5d7189473575caa5bf" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992279", "title": "Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "341fb7b3adff3fc60acb7e667c067cd4331c35371ce0b159fc5b3e0d10dbd489", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400274", "4400275", "4400276", "4400277", "4400278", "4400279", "4400280", "4400281", "4400282", "4400283", "4400284" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992279", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400274", "token_id": "6466395472665571350367453600982957160516232719218386295572418248975324686776", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e3024eccc8622d1c38411058d200c9ca5fbdad07e490ca769e0de4b7ce32f022", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400274", "condition_id": "0x5921ad6aaa302a6a394f2d29d78556bbb8b04c997c102c656af2ee05c6af4977", "token_id": "6466395472665571350367453600982957160516232719218386295572418248975324686776", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6b8e9339e9fcd54124b8479ca57aa3d3837bdcb98b5da2c3d00cef2d549f27a3", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400275", "token_id": "102888446839812413580437371065251820167155719457379507394720008484867809679961", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "42caa0f4db103b780b936528727868e03830366f1443e476130b3993cd9cdcc0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400275", "condition_id": "0x7786b5631633320a2e31c2ce2f1706b7ca95b273769ad31df1e8785a0bb08787", "token_id": "102888446839812413580437371065251820167155719457379507394720008484867809679961", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a48f05238790d5efb7148426d5fb2502fdc529a9e5ed429089e3ba7b2a9f3f0c", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400276", "token_id": "4238543118392369231300811824233551501706787060261264797256443734913928481205", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "76c64136517de2be99c1d849cb9a33081902f87820ed4373acb3439819c06673", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400276", "condition_id": "0xac08729186ddb818f548e66e2f35f627bac0b3fdffc18a911daeef7df5b1902e", "token_id": "4238543118392369231300811824233551501706787060261264797256443734913928481205", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ff4e9a4e353b65f8262c287f1b3f9e415050251e1363e452111d4f2a20f90295", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400277", "token_id": "113234148145130833040028292445107310882195078642387812508394366500011945745089", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96bff0cb9a02be1e92c6f73e4878e1afc611600f19c860df89da641f84977eae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400277", "condition_id": "0x57c1aa65dbd4bf884ea77a0ff4bb1e5d4748f3a05457cd86827a7c6eb798debc", "token_id": "113234148145130833040028292445107310882195078642387812508394366500011945745089", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "457e558103deeb530284dea8529f88b6d21b74ff2d3e934378666b7679001ca6", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400278", "token_id": "36792246414756656693013001085058836088493919197898841600758269621159913635960", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de1b9b1b3c326f4d842af1d42daf9bb366ef535971df7e7c0d9acbfd3225d030", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400278", "condition_id": "0xd21a847c09d1955acde4e6ca86f6319b014fd8a50254a22b447dfc8aad7e9196", "token_id": "36792246414756656693013001085058836088493919197898841600758269621159913635960", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f8cb5d9bbdcae81af48af508bf5f4fe2ef516755a25fa9312b3da752ee74b9e9", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400279", "token_id": "27722179522907773550442893255889054544215173111322491235882969205615300252431", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bd4327b0f063508c961a191b95184db423cdb033f923c8729dc8d409eb87b422", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400279", "condition_id": "0x1b4ab3c8a1d83bde66ab636d14e13eaff77db9229240987462a3bc1a235f37c7", "token_id": "27722179522907773550442893255889054544215173111322491235882969205615300252431", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a65446f47103e6447c4c76ded3dc1eea922f69cc3699c01a7ef81e5ff9864abd", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400280", "token_id": "46801295996971362567412454668344079464839153191090099101992476596616531939522", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "38293c249d718b6738d2c25d9dba4401ca9684d09831d7e7bd291c9ac523068f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400280", "condition_id": "0x1f83b6cffe48439c3f8c73412d62f1eed38042fda3b3e7fcd043d9f2511d685f", "token_id": "46801295996971362567412454668344079464839153191090099101992476596616531939522", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b08466307d196c35d3e2507aca2d411cc874503f98d7c358b486071a9be62029", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400281", "token_id": "49093687106604643093158782650293150339646273302225846571150224067932794977556", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "31872593a58929fca5d146bcdbf8b104a676b9e761cf407df41111d5f35d832f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400281", "condition_id": "0xeac4882a069479b30d7ba72926958765fdf195426c4bf0b895887e3e52a87972", "token_id": "49093687106604643093158782650293150339646273302225846571150224067932794977556", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f9bc14b485cc7587b3823e3e570595cf915a513816a5514515f5b80e0f4272d4", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400282", "token_id": "73996255884280364302229230088204999132383282277845805329224943967668947193792", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "edbe155cb02fa61319dcfe16ce384e93d4c98fcbb26c487cbffcca2531708614", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400282", "condition_id": "0xda1afb7f50f02ff9e52293f07c816a51421f13ba3e4974e18ee3c280c9532842", "token_id": "73996255884280364302229230088204999132383282277845805329224943967668947193792", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "715be3f612f5b9cb57c75ed64dd329eeeecb1730b4bafa3bcd209f9232a33b7c", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400283", "token_id": "2973919791959620676920002754959858950721993043440148704030777152077265752448", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c91354f94327c856d5c2ba00bfaf53d2a6e1861b0030091cfa9ee1fd8c979b6c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400283", "condition_id": "0x81589f64acdd4f0c534a2fc9e57d990cb41454ef900640d447d1d28daf49a416", "token_id": "2973919791959620676920002754959858950721993043440148704030777152077265752448", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ba1978c83764fc580dd5cee7a91f5a33bbe693b1f5b8e3c23725fc879772b445", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400284", "token_id": "60265884828090808948600354250952701634327174419185064144095681021059393537476", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9ca807f7a49b607596158011e30fa6e6ff96115af929a2441015042ac417c33a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400284", "condition_id": "0xd9d78d6cb4822c6e11b03abd1487c63f61bd2554725c528d00540e4e574f7a3e", "token_id": "60265884828090808948600354250952701634327174419185064144095681021059393537476", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992279", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "87a630ab3a1e74909f05685a78281a04f703212d93ea5803da712da8478a846a", "event_source_sha256": "9ff901f907cecaff3ad8ed5603c771a133adcb1d5616637edfbb8091ac6fc188" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:934157", "title": "AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "6997c09f7412d77417e7cbc94687e1b7fbfbe8844198f61bf5dfc2d7a79fa867", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3989269", "3989274", "3989277" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:934157", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3989269", "token_id": "108381465828819579246628272806926301456029927304926732698086584084902217912613", "outcome": "yes", "label": "AFC Bournemouth", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4e27fd0849a4c2eb1d93b3c8904135631e4136280d71d44feb5d44b66753a884", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3989269", "condition_id": "0x746c36b2b12655f49ca28e78e7b4182aad16085ad1ca312be5a060cec036883c", "token_id": "108381465828819579246628272806926301456029927304926732698086584084902217912613", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-12?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 12, 2026\nIf AFC Bournemouth wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-12T14:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "934157", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "51443ebcadbd77cd8e0c743d4fc84be1e0de1fe7d8085874ef8442aad72caef8", "event_source_sha256": "e54579928a808f980d3495001cf4268ac3287c48471cefabf6af3be11f428f4f" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3989277", "token_id": "111704978225550197115455277403495360389806694736193955435343034257332883155262", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Brentford FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c6063800fef87fef792924e9883a487e4dcf0ccaee35f8f76a4c931013dc39cc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3989277", "condition_id": "0x3f3db619be5f2e482533e91c8ba3f221d9757eb0aa5b89459517c2ec95759139", "token_id": "111704978225550197115455277403495360389806694736193955435343034257332883155262", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-12?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 12, 2026\nIf Brentford FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-12T14:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "934157", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "23e875352cb789e88c41305c32eea112ca9d8bec4431f45616cf66c7855969b8", "event_source_sha256": "e54579928a808f980d3495001cf4268ac3287c48471cefabf6af3be11f428f4f" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3989274", "token_id": "108629785588950646730193870098339789566269560061802460337679366704022995417447", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d236fa04d9fa1e463e485b7a26798cc7d69738f6bb2a28e958fb113d5695927a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3989274", "condition_id": "0x9068861a91bb02b48b44fd2dd7b79cd75cc7d2040351b5b98d6cfa0c673e4f17", "token_id": "108629785588950646730193870098339789566269560061802460337679366704022995417447", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 12, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-12T14:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-12T14:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "934157", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a18a32fb7cb77fa42c0fcdde97c87c98b239dc98b86007ffc94df57a88d26648", "event_source_sha256": "e54579928a808f980d3495001cf4268ac3287c48471cefabf6af3be11f428f4f" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:991804", "title": "FISSURE Playground 3: Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 10, "semantics_hash": "cfff339a80fa6076fe4ce4b8d27562679347b53c13a358bbcf7ee1d786097e31", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4396586", "4396587", "4396588", "4396589", "4396590", "4396591", "4396592", "4396593", "4396594", "4396595", "4396596", "4396597", "4396598", "4396599", "4396600", "4396601", "4396602", "4396603", "4396604", "4396605", "4396606", "4396607" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:991804", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4396601", "token_id": "107659777959664740137447211096987162452423300771278939451422488106768443218799", "outcome": "yes", "label": "5star", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9018ba4dc0f64bdd38eeb2c30889be5904fa7331fd8180b8a1f4c26238eb442b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396601", "condition_id": "0x591a9767c326050f62e3219e718c3856b7478f76f8ecd67ebf1d27fcd40c89bd", "token_id": "107659777959664740137447211096987162452423300771278939451422488106768443218799", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 5star Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f373f5c1adc2b7c4a52b047d43fd9d92bf93722ca0eec3eced5c77e0ff866062", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4396600", "token_id": "112139992920825097810461260606084358451322906857628285301622694789229120991777", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alliance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "06ba059a4f49f46520afda64f841f5315bd7d63084f3e7de54583270423fc6fe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396600", "condition_id": "0xc5d5b781421d06419d873446320d4e647958c9dc27c5d2424315692472177b93", "token_id": "112139992920825097810461260606084358451322906857628285301622694789229120991777", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alliance Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "59a3e8888449491649d440838ba1e302826228b54c86a6362690808ec1d39848", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4396590", "token_id": "72084248855376437477302070318866541835195277312640001578607065977314580576876", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Astralis", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0e4caba40cbe22ab8090cea9575067b646e81e4ef23ebadcda0f6b1a7c64c7af", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396590", "condition_id": "0xd15638b6a6caf525b9897edfaa9e468ab17fe991c4a919802315ddd2ed095445", "token_id": "72084248855376437477302070318866541835195277312640001578607065977314580576876", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Astralis Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9da3ce601ab6c647ac75b1f9708cacff015a407784b2fc423b7daaadcdc6ac99", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4396593", "token_id": "25001940683097137471222906174465749810777731829744288857437135374375549867690", "outcome": "yes", "label": "BetBoom", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "78ae104601c1299e22052e82503e053233a32572fda20ccb70b753c949210776", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396593", "condition_id": "0x1071ec11a28de8ba4466b47e5c44121f5691928be66972373e7cf61bd78757e0", "token_id": "25001940683097137471222906174465749810777731829744288857437135374375549867690", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will BetBoom Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aed16f929771070038be567ea380bf4a353da39085ef47d0d3d7eb14451e75c2", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4396586", "token_id": "5998566043147688948350470176250208758994332321849716732210122088533893673324", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FURIA", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3cd855fb72bd53ed9ca496e7c0d8b788b0715d7470b1929e4ec521ae1fa7b96a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396586", "condition_id": "0x58e6451fcf966d04a46707f038015718f54a3225a51c84ce61cfc7a6258c199a", "token_id": "5998566043147688948350470176250208758994332321849716732210122088533893673324", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FURIA Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6f3b7c6994c1154e0958fcd09706a559d9b24970d5d572ae1095b09da5c82dbe", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4396587", "token_id": "94877851102815868959000334837521512224965778681289764072352903328124443953694", "outcome": "yes", "label": "G2", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "85dfbcd62c64180fc8dd6cf33eadbaaed710322fe98c8509f3980eea86ad69a2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396587", "condition_id": "0x3381710d909db884313803b79fc30b754e6d4655d5e01d69016914eb5dcb4cc3", "token_id": "94877851102815868959000334837521512224965778681289764072352903328124443953694", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will G2 Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f42d26bca12d1fe09d4b179363ee0fd271199143aaf451c3527407c9800be9f5", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4396588", "token_id": "25608315540316339626128603494413561004735084935468665607987629304586347385904", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Legacy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0828dbdfbbf7030f3e6d7eb6c4d5a319c38ed5e6038671532c3fedeacccd5698", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396588", "condition_id": "0x398839d04cbd6f61e26e61fe83fb0463fbdba84cd11c2c52eb85e80386f7bb9d", "token_id": "25608315540316339626128603494413561004735084935468665607987629304586347385904", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Legacy Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d57c38a23d23fe7aa4a795da0bddd90ec91b06306b77e513db3e3662c34e4d15", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4396595", "token_id": "2450135553595406885647636663893827724467706173102384207467646156948942712620", "outcome": "yes", "label": "magic", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f4e357b6c063b849e0981446cb34abe7f644a6a59ac6df58a3bacea3433e6c59", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396595", "condition_id": "0x43559958169302fad8cf565b7abbdf5982fb3842915c4ae7bc5c8a0ef21dc2b1", "token_id": "2450135553595406885647636663893827724467706173102384207467646156948942712620", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will magic Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "586b8f70edba2bcadb7d31c8eaccaaa01e07a2fefdc0a07be19d7dfae8327f7b", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4396598", "token_id": "114303073185904088266838292751827721580872056748294501549378645991272279553007", "outcome": "yes", "label": "MIBR", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3d5a305a3d33ed5e1c94165661dc4852e188e00d937325d9c6433483807e07da", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396598", "condition_id": "0x6a8171bab45e10fbec02e2cee49544e0e23f44a601730f58787df5751ac38e6b", "token_id": "114303073185904088266838292751827721580872056748294501549378645991272279553007", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MIBR Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "13a1436e6843410ca44a040dff906cbb1788bc8b9610c5bf24803ae43d8cd90b", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4396594", "token_id": "82391995790914424037044027750962678065009681131618836538733352351390543292091", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PARIVISION", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "71b462e818840796ac597669f589eeced149418d007ac6c1d8294647fba3be82", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4396594", "condition_id": "0xd9da7ac106c4950b07c5969d6b65a307215cf62ffc5f418b927288f41b3b2016", "token_id": "82391995790914424037044027750962678065009681131618836538733352351390543292091", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will PARIVISION Win the FISSURE Playground 3?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of FISSURE Playground 3, currently scheduled for September 8, 2026 to September 13, 2026.\n\nIf this tournament is postponed after September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "https://www.hltv.org/events/8266/fissure-playground-3", "close_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-28T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "991804", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e95e035d4c062bc3767a454ee2858499c674be5b0606b06a77aa0543c7db80ef", "event_source_sha256": "7ced53352ace8cf0361dcdde31f26ab99d304f8a3cce06e8c0c32c57287894ba" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986746", "title": "Highest temperature in Karachi on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "2629f2c9c70e6214124cf29e81ae666babe3de287cc146e57f0bd798ce2fcf2c", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356569", "4356570", "4356571", "4356572", "4356573", "4356574", "4356575", "4356576", "4356577", "4356578", "4356579" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986746", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356569", "token_id": "8523323771569192536551653840549608732933793835232708408868678746664516537019", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1dab96c49f5722620f690ca7e6f4c8f21c727df26ef4c0e2bc418d500c9c432", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356569", "condition_id": "0x5689304a17c20b398f167b778e625be0b4bd802916a37191cf7e7360033734ca", "token_id": "8523323771569192536551653840549608732933793835232708408868678746664516537019", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2aa073528ca98701793bd003b993d0f4f9321bea4497597934eafc8f0764ccc1", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356570", "token_id": "91911254174442608717166566158151371267615901084485356891193934548645582486972", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5a22c241935e7125bd2949ce7057fc4dcb826e9929594e9c8ba07b1a4d4ac926", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356570", "condition_id": "0xf210eab5e04e13ff5e49e2f0d4e39a8d6e5a4bb10f7d6ddb65955c0b66103408", "token_id": "91911254174442608717166566158151371267615901084485356891193934548645582486972", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bb3432cfdd62a7e3db9d861d01a1aacc5673027d6d4cfd4a74cc6fa6ca23f262", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356571", "token_id": "63299638049783885854488503256187161152285854688658205280364032346624263880133", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1f1c82b9d2aa7918ae89f5eeff2076c927567177b91db6425568e984142910fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356571", "condition_id": "0x43ff31cef79abd4fd302553e50194659aeab03b9513b6546b53ed95d6de4d578", "token_id": "63299638049783885854488503256187161152285854688658205280364032346624263880133", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8514a9931002fe7eacdc5eda5f87afa9d050609e376b59ccd39c8b4b4c1ca1cc", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356572", "token_id": "108251307969038477622464948296128796281792168545021806713721044869786273871057", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "84c90473f95d99e9051105dd89ad5db937ea5857dcdec2d53c51f688b400bd7b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356572", "condition_id": "0x24a62740718cdabba5b76b81c78aaf54e193a893be02becc5b35a795a5bbd502", "token_id": "108251307969038477622464948296128796281792168545021806713721044869786273871057", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b1ede7640d824631c8b9a786c8efc51a76501803d0c0453ccaa94ac852dcf945", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356573", "token_id": "95256802139318630045217406794128684460105756647010007005278375507115455792658", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d373d260cb44b2148dfb8ae307bda80459024672f46787fbad3f1a4d5819f0f9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356573", "condition_id": "0xa8d56a736793946abc67aea4dba03a3cf8f99376f0bcbf9609311a265270271d", "token_id": "95256802139318630045217406794128684460105756647010007005278375507115455792658", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "901433d64ec32d7d3fe9d5ebf7ac9b2185c6fb346be163dac5931b8ffdf6aa0d", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356574", "token_id": "65740145693015190957790163674512165291009649578624894166582332442501375719437", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "df329989810b62e53d25c4556c36fd977e85585ba5ceb89d2060b5776ffacc46", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356574", "condition_id": "0x3b74968fc8d47c3c58b7f7a81b74825e6121a38c8fe53aad7dd981ad03d59a98", "token_id": "65740145693015190957790163674512165291009649578624894166582332442501375719437", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "328cca26f657c08c0b457bcd022859428459b2970968b6bcfd66bc2529cd77c3", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356575", "token_id": "104993429861275060544327043238995332020387890460071717445034717382162820258466", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "25c2f845b434c0e7823bda541e2d5078c28104925913e831b6b1f22b72fc381a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356575", "condition_id": "0x8c72dc7dd87d211712963a46b975c4ed6e38c3ec928169a4481d872938e59d87", "token_id": "104993429861275060544327043238995332020387890460071717445034717382162820258466", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "84548a87748f1f3c9126032235e957e5768e3128328fab67337b674b179a0e88", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356576", "token_id": "57152799614327502525292149322819058394397917528859020725629350735879098010347", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "14b8094cd27c21c70ef03fbae9b7bbf918f45dc1d1bcf3dd8b2a6eea7763ae10", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356576", "condition_id": "0x8ab3ab337198b79ff765e552cf159ae0a5a24a398364c1a3888b09d0cfcf11df", "token_id": "57152799614327502525292149322819058394397917528859020725629350735879098010347", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "961ef25bc420b114644d02ac5a0fea6275af2f8754d8018fcb09d4fd8fae3813", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356577", "token_id": "56522802361310643711932216610664327278278924782884241195592985511866806324890", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "720bbef6b3217f4e7d20ff364004d58b676da9f629a159262e010a1016c2106d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356577", "condition_id": "0xaf2722fab555cefa897094149e29bdf482f81b491aedf4ba84e4683d77168433", "token_id": "56522802361310643711932216610664327278278924782884241195592985511866806324890", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "73b482aef6b066443e08acfee41dfbe122dbb9c0f314058680de8c3494129860", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356578", "token_id": "18529657606554684420250776556004790962536405767015453000774716047237089333887", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "25951051deac49523b00194a4becbf52a4be1614bfc4e3ab557e9d655cea3bfa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356578", "condition_id": "0x60d42f4ad30688c94a255c8606108b1930504b386e1b93646c2cc9d32fb9252c", "token_id": "18529657606554684420250776556004790962536405767015453000774716047237089333887", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "53185510e603a1173142fc01f8267a801c0783c2b095f779041cb9d9e76a7396", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356579", "token_id": "35702775704720540974117082968919370624921078113853569192243104058678907891314", "outcome": "yes", "label": "37\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dc32216883879de324676ca502e7922dd1eb5ec3d33ac1559fccd5f9dcbfba4d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356579", "condition_id": "0x0abb72623e74099aef7b9209431ae09651aeb4b783aa246d87e4383598450869", "token_id": "35702775704720540974117082968919370624921078113853569192243104058678907891314", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986746", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7c2e788e6cabcf1769f69b2333fb5f0c5b4ed44e78864137b03c2fff367145f9", "event_source_sha256": "f99ab3072b43f00036b72a15039d3b6121ec2927891f2b26382cd12a10e669f2" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931785", "title": "PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Exact Score", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 17, "semantics_hash": "6494cf3832f3a118874c68655974497265a84579f36ae20f1493ac0f8bb96135", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977924", "3977925", "3977926", "3977927", "3977928", "3977929", "3977930", "3977931", "3977932", "3977933", "3977934", "3977935", "3977936", "3977937", "3977938", "3977939", "3977940" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931785", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977940", "token_id": "96035067528244534452661625929359536732349946280555943043759865010789097865948", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Any Other Score", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd0ae3976891f4ccd4ecfd604dc200ba1eef4b1b89bf2065051d70c9b7ed4d51", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977940", "condition_id": "0xbe2ed43b7a76cb4e6552fe3fe6aa73d4af4b433a143d8b8f31582e0cca075cff", "token_id": "96035067528244534452661625929359536732349946280555943043759865010789097865948", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Any Other Score?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9a238ee9e2517655c0686a190929bd29729d8395301852299701724d2db8081f", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977924", "token_id": "87439505419316722552333017868713655018062435022646875452957210408855633632493", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3f27c8a9f43ec6bcd8f6da1684b31122cf45de0a9e5dbf47cb3e3e77fea27054", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977924", "condition_id": "0x5453094936fb2af1af4b1cbd2ffa00ad84aee4a624d4dff198fbc040bcc2fe41", "token_id": "87439505419316722552333017868713655018062435022646875452957210408855633632493", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 0 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "979a8d036ead07b89ef5f501cb74f785b4495893b604922cfc37e470a3940779", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977925", "token_id": "48318712956413841660389428440656861035519334863194136575855372120173307174214", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 0 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "54261a160d545449e76fe98d15ec9680533a00e171f1cce193472de4d0dd2b8e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977925", "condition_id": "0x5fa9cfa57cc23044a17dee8f49e076580b3ec89fc1e862388c2a8805fb204e0e", "token_id": "48318712956413841660389428440656861035519334863194136575855372120173307174214", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 0 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "faa4ad18303c6fe042d36290468724490dce165cfbba4234b800a2482eb02c38", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3977927", "token_id": "56308600886340107615239328372974700533322527272050436324554817268214953289460", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 0 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1c293c37a4025c657d467c71eaf40f7086c64fddd370c47851675008a5392a9c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977927", "condition_id": "0x2a3d23220b09df4508d4b365ac31120ed32b148fd5d7f4e91e58c8d2952c6598", "token_id": "56308600886340107615239328372974700533322527272050436324554817268214953289460", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 0 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0487d5283e403fbb57c416817d3af63be313129c822d8f808e12641aefa7a808", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3977930", "token_id": "102496578596407022427915460706139880829388812343372504215245797664208196742910", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "40c081aee1ff4d390e15fe22691ce70f0cbac29ed2e1bdc5637e7543de620322", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977930", "condition_id": "0x243e90c869bd6ec46155db3fc977d9f5b955970e3fe0625690bdc7e0ebfda728", "token_id": "102496578596407022427915460706139880829388812343372504215245797664208196742910", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 0 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a2a2c8554998b7a4c1f1d6448b5807ee382c5221e56b8570ee5c96bd987be4ac", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3977926", "token_id": "39169141050691130171601710033213428674281938066491207817005744462410305451267", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "86086b94431ea801e9d8d8655bf779f016e0381b6670f170d1b4d6adc27a6de1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977926", "condition_id": "0xfd4459844b3fb080909f42a511792bb88dfde119aa968b81a6e1b2fe9d56cd1d", "token_id": "39169141050691130171601710033213428674281938066491207817005744462410305451267", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 1 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0e7515c2cf09bcaab99e82ab76d8e4daf3f56a17af2e24215297f2200174beb5", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3977928", "token_id": "57688997524072733823640837498214807241145103371878678749038943548355029730775", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 1 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0210e8b6984517343460fb4ebc424b2b3fbd1ff138b29a8d700ef34e7cbf6f51", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977928", "condition_id": "0xa2f8d93f84f67e4a0c90838fa9ee72d07540eca836444e96adc3f73cf07da214", "token_id": "57688997524072733823640837498214807241145103371878678749038943548355029730775", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 1 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "101e9baccbc1905741b2079c9666f9e493b95b5bc9100130b4e445cf3483e9f7", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3977931", "token_id": "108077538396778429609013022483477919061767710126031676817377246450445595588064", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 1 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "456bb4a6c0ce2666f5321ca6b2c99d68fe216de5efeb69f314e5adea1438ba1a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977931", "condition_id": "0xac2608260c0bbc1ab3daa19fa0395b209b21f60f0cd42f314feaaac7218710b5", "token_id": "108077538396778429609013022483477919061767710126031676817377246450445595588064", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 1 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dd7705bba50367c3472342fe146f4cbdd9c277b5ea13675c6a6e7925fc940cdd", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3977934", "token_id": "113804703211497212171774505760754501927247678656615422715602164732332832835135", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "651f76c8d56dbd04cabe47a9602d8586d64cd2054b83e590baa49470b1680e1e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977934", "condition_id": "0xfa5a73d51ddf25c9c46ff05eae552652919fb55ef6201d9a07e76fdb2588ae5d", "token_id": "113804703211497212171774505760754501927247678656615422715602164732332832835135", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 1 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2529045ad6caf5e55c3ce9b2badf7558fed8a4102240e1331cea9bd0adafa076", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3977929", "token_id": "107376483751157597721241173614324768101413936239888516871284543434510913048681", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 2 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "203be48a00a809840af5a8b94d197eacb0870c1e0b580b0e1fc2c191189307bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977929", "condition_id": "0xe9afce97f58c4f2ea7b466110ec9933aae2c873d8e36ac9f34b53f08f7260ff6", "token_id": "107376483751157597721241173614324768101413936239888516871284543434510913048681", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 2 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e58f60742aee52b2d60bb9f78bbc1d67be253a750bd72232617b0b26d93cd8b1", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3977932", "token_id": "25173093393422048021580278895410428128640260471472416358512632971901804983904", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 2 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7feec520e1b0b86b9f824bb6920a0f0f643e7f0909770f68db4e039030d4ccb9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977932", "condition_id": "0x11cd37971cc5d9bc68de71567e6975f5e0555c3825611776aaf620fb637f25b6", "token_id": "25173093393422048021580278895410428128640260471472416358512632971901804983904", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 2 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ee5d7d0adde480cfa9bdf8005781d8530c0ba2c2ef566d12eef7cc25f5bdf27f", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3977935", "token_id": "56556325622807262608690279183030439591769959578341615286264660187494084866884", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 2 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "95575bd97f88fe2fdfb77cb0988a5cbdeaa5dd625c1bd1fb1e1e03a2e9af323e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977935", "condition_id": "0x932bdce24857af1ad6ec91690b5a32047bafe009f407d471003cce282809aeb8", "token_id": "56556325622807262608690279183030439591769959578341615286264660187494084866884", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 2 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "31f32996a2b2706716d5be620a03a33bb28cb377d820aa9e5b3f6af87b855919", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3977937", "token_id": "110089707208742991383425062883662228021014517580960948358676997165743145676267", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f5d001990eb7fa6a66dda55eea53261de8c2d8d189c8cd1edd266d70148681f1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977937", "condition_id": "0x40238e8daf5ff4f548d82860bec7c9d721467d16267e7ec176a8061eff23f33e", "token_id": "110089707208742991383425062883662228021014517580960948358676997165743145676267", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 2 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "da1f33b206a766341c7320d9f75ef156fc28f50cdc5f5a37eaa3568c356411ab", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3977933", "token_id": "83216348101708015963161006261013624592179232102625710429206850263262520329899", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 3 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8154a5c22e0517256739c298ca9438a2c8d19627b929209e2bb3850e04bb3020", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977933", "condition_id": "0x307227eb5142286f73aa4717d7d7befba2abbffa5fb8eaac2808e8654dcbc293", "token_id": "83216348101708015963161006261013624592179232102625710429206850263262520329899", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 3 - 0 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0f342061d438a614e7ffcdfbcca10c22c971e74765d8ea599c69bbc6c386cf57", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3977936", "token_id": "66324058480563739460680761037373233944286367093307648129943851191582037404215", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 3 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9ad15528afc1981daceb051eac0464bb67872dc8f54890ebb3d55487265bc456", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977936", "condition_id": "0xc7c7ab9a35bbbd14eb918ba0686c7f8243ba6dbc8616270d8126ad5a54d73e0e", "token_id": "66324058480563739460680761037373233944286367093307648129943851191582037404215", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 3 - 1 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f8419ab98d2bf7a36b4dfdca2074377cbd302327034011ccb4e3ea2d2536ce07", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3977938", "token_id": "76557613891019431588281198396575052483148511564538583405470762780573802869164", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 3 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c41b4b8088767888bc461e33f274b914bfc0f444685dc9af627c17582f070899", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977938", "condition_id": "0xb26f0052cdede4b0d08cce5d7fb03df3eaf77084e8f6886cdfc67447e877cb62", "token_id": "76557613891019431588281198396575052483148511564538583405470762780573802869164", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 3 - 2 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8fb99483d1a001734b0d6bfd168d450c4e9b76cb67a25113fd37e1ab735fa191", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3977939", "token_id": "29426094104653733150209491410749334998972437074578934823738394175572492193379", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "98c6ad546abcd4bc0ee57d066d7de1e54689bf867ec64063deaade3be52bc508", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977939", "condition_id": "0xb931f3d02c26c6019425851b14f80503230b170aba407c6b75c8c1d98a7c8cdf", "token_id": "29426094104653733150209491410749334998972437074578934823738394175572492193379", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: PSV 3 - 3 FK Shakhtar Donetsk?", "rules": "In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between PSV and FK Shakhtar Donetsk, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 12:45 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931785", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "44ee7ff75327e2083b043fa17f55ed75f85aaf8ef1cc1fde5f8c13811d519dd5", "event_source_sha256": "826a60e52127f937a85e5fa98319354c7c63fd1314eb7826102365f984be5265" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992243", "title": "Highest temperature in Paris on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "6e94c8c7ad69bf3a41878572e6cf4d6777f1a0ea9ab6a31da799e905c073f027", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4399958", "4399959", "4399960", "4399961", "4399962", "4399963", "4399964", "4399965", "4399966", "4399967", "4399968" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992243", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4399958", "token_id": "62417781370582079163820193731057596819969801712537406621891385347356167800109", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "42835fc3b540b30a42aa886e098ae94c6be3b7488279a69aaf186078ea0a0a3f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399958", "condition_id": "0x205f332e3fece3bbe3efdd41724ff69ae41c0ee2d345c9101bee52b846b79d1b", "token_id": "62417781370582079163820193731057596819969801712537406621891385347356167800109", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ff9fa2488c83a67d2bacd98ec6816ce7a6eef392e224dfb1134d9d2942995095", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4399959", "token_id": "57220225178859694968669591503351342013144284566590118327377054655521908049730", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3254d51a44b8507fdb4c3ca85f7004b3319f0a1e3884721f61a9b5c703f1558e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399959", "condition_id": "0x7bd7bb263882ec3452c89099f98f1537b03779407ed07e2eeb78ad384b0d8e53", "token_id": "57220225178859694968669591503351342013144284566590118327377054655521908049730", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "42681c8aa9eea5c26b00b97f4326c455ffc140828e51bd5addbfad6558a42fc0", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4399960", "token_id": "75599578488392562227365005772137606887488636419877220880557140387845431392298", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f7c428d24fa8d8125da9f7c45b816871e2ed79bd7292db478ba8ba92b27039e3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399960", "condition_id": "0x522635b0f4a90b8b000a10b609d4370a969436dcba5f35a333345af0ed0e0d84", "token_id": "75599578488392562227365005772137606887488636419877220880557140387845431392298", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e9ab3b6c7face74990513558a1673187ec1f098f3b7a7a1e123d37381cc75618", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4399961", "token_id": "41414448711098698354243006059629835108716906119777703108461739224636064761198", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aa383fcd113f1a938f457ca3f3899fcf321b3fda7175f4472fe4d5ac50b14b13", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399961", "condition_id": "0xaa1628208d224e534c615b509d04485b5b390c0a8ac5f54ec05e6c032c5b4d46", "token_id": "41414448711098698354243006059629835108716906119777703108461739224636064761198", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b2934dcf4bd5b2174764c11348f12dd54689e08dda364b07e4cfdee8214b4ec7", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4399962", "token_id": "78568947090097375158749149432154853351414461644497897012327344906625224646136", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d6307ebacf6b121cc852609d60bfa3784469e1e2d16a3c831011d846c7eea182", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399962", "condition_id": "0xbab2fe35ca849ebd243ac941e7278762c9f5b269b407098c929395921b53ada6", "token_id": "78568947090097375158749149432154853351414461644497897012327344906625224646136", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "81dffb0901302ea9c2c759162e24fd91fd9b2c468955239351f8c2d9e26b5a04", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4399963", "token_id": "57278078251456223190554997524543088143166939721937867425804532039995230881430", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c1cde645b6b5446808e55092e13439ff76714728b588ea7870990c5b48029b8f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399963", "condition_id": "0xba112c3ea28e43657aa21d52f9c7cc27b42ddfea2174b4afd38fd917a51f2b64", "token_id": "57278078251456223190554997524543088143166939721937867425804532039995230881430", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1164cd7707d5515552991d87ee61e865350f6140bf8f72b3f8f6c6b8cd7f944a", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4399964", "token_id": "21795543989332601046850838906933825050326267478525100629882425203512601846572", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7f47472d5478bffd6f03660b0913245ba64c082b6e9c81e40d9585da18a63db8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399964", "condition_id": "0x754446a186cb47a9f01d256b7554254fbcde31c4f1db9a629a573ce642a903e0", "token_id": "21795543989332601046850838906933825050326267478525100629882425203512601846572", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b3132aeca7a7e8d52867be4267e0f564bbdf38ceba4b69337cc7c83370cc03cb", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4399965", "token_id": "36911543885713283247442064623155682916185723367821034361247939110816156078716", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "448f99664c118fa698753c174384dd5412e7f6b899e3fbc0e9645b4b67db14d3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399965", "condition_id": "0x5ca174b25643712ecf720170a9f8848bf69f8ec15442f845a150230a29c31754", "token_id": "36911543885713283247442064623155682916185723367821034361247939110816156078716", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "14242efd197400a200b885e0fa90193b135c7db0727c119292bbba597f1c21a7", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4399966", "token_id": "26264915003016222687230978848335869940982541806370148821815281667425108723557", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d325c81efd6110f3c87569a36b19681ffb25113de46c2f93f4d30197743b01b0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399966", "condition_id": "0x7250784d732227325c291fdc3340e72fb6377c7588c24d67c5bc4431931f7236", "token_id": "26264915003016222687230978848335869940982541806370148821815281667425108723557", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8c00727b74cbe78733496535e0d4ab402622b043035aa1992299252015d7cbe8", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4399967", "token_id": "7984047902217866051413506889111663307022861067196956016505698082444896269633", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5de5350e2acc88b54453851721ec84c50566f199d2a1fb7afe00819ba5c7a79f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399967", "condition_id": "0x82d4e162054ed205be39087106c9de164000da6d3544d91fc569318ea79e1cc6", "token_id": "7984047902217866051413506889111663307022861067196956016505698082444896269633", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5162983127239540274f2c18a7ebf3b26fa7c2277aaa9b59ea29cca2a21f9045", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4399968", "token_id": "72671224632257927793436013040461111293949047980148999042577383072254277432694", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "77e298ceac7b81c624cea0983100b40d2be4f0c27ff16abf7f2e36528e01f0fe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399968", "condition_id": "0x544b059488f3901b50d2890ff13f395fcedc9d28a3c1253c3650e5a40d515063", "token_id": "72671224632257927793436013040461111293949047980148999042577383072254277432694", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992243", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7684815f1016920455059a9018393e35101814f97ce45e6366ae6f3b4d1fad68", "event_source_sha256": "f14af65a645750cff577c75210065297f09c7f803a0c3848f207662548cbcced" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:871869", "title": "English Premier League: Top Goalscorer 2026-27", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 27, "semantics_hash": "1abcba9153cfefc4a3fe120704c6064e41eaf59a0fe9526d8565d4bd55cbf882", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3704229", "3704230", "3704231", "3704232", "3704233", "3704236", "3704256", "3704260", "3704287", "3704294", "3704302", "3704317", "3704322", "3704326", "3704327", "3704329", "3704331", "3704332", "3704337", "3704356", "3704361", "3704391", "3704397", "3704414", "3704418", "3704425", "3704426", "3704427", "3704428", "3704429", "3704430", "3704445", "3704456", "3704468", "3704492", "3704498", "3704512", "3704515", "3704530", "3704531", "3704534", "3704538", "3704547", "3704561", "3704569", "3704572", "3704584", "3704602", "3704608", "3704625", "3704638", "3704654", "3704659", "3704670", "3704673", "3704678", "3704683", "3704697", "3704706", "3704728", "3704750", "3704761", "3704770", "3704773", "3704776", "3704778", "3704780" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:871869", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3704230", "token_id": "24814339408719531894238121485213695218010556471018221891923420767960582832346", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alexander Isak", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e3238d3dfcdc78ff196c8b18ea4518aba25395adcd4669e528842e211f02a95d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704230", "condition_id": "0xaaafc98e7d8a0cf4f14307b13cd4413620ff887ccddf548d1173dae2a7a23cd9", "token_id": "24814339408719531894238121485213695218010556471018221891923420767960582832346", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alexander Isak (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8be06795b00b6bff6bd5406fd676bb8664d07eaf17adbe52dee22ed74900b3f4", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3704327", "token_id": "29521097003261907257748577465081834133682424466701125332417288912968744067394", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Antoine Semenyo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4625f33102ebb661c0a671833886181e76475fb749f22532331a53077c24f6f4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704327", "condition_id": "0xca168949937b521825ebdbdec527a33c48bd1fde5310574dcda3f5fa3e5edd0c", "token_id": "29521097003261907257748577465081834133682424466701125332417288912968744067394", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Antoine Semenyo (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e1a13e5e0e7e73c4b4803ae530156f109901a91c0c38f15c5b35aa705d101cad", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3704287", "token_id": "44297321243601487447021069131793653463006294654907014638326929709653347138413", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Benjamin \u0160e\u0161ko", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0699a97ae06c25c7b8d8b6cc70e181a689288b9ce5e91bde4e9db2aa69119f45", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704287", "condition_id": "0x61c7713118d168ee431794c4b88c05c7e9246c9dcfb438cb13ce7ebf40bfa442", "token_id": "44297321243601487447021069131793653463006294654907014638326929709653347138413", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Benjamin \u0160e\u0161ko (Man Utd) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f380835fc3463b5b5479008fc179cade78c27f9d9c59c887429b7e0b0ed095f8", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3704427", "token_id": "38475784297780762791027558985910597501527563517299505655672854278638964605237", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bruno Fernandes", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96055bfd0033908dbe85a689641b40763584145d13619973b287feb161a4c3af", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704427", "condition_id": "0x8ce7a2b2964aeab1ff17b578ed20b7aecbdf3ceee65ed9657d7a3031364b341b", "token_id": "38475784297780762791027558985910597501527563517299505655672854278638964605237", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "553eeac70941129892ea30420884096e24ba925c5de3d81ddc31c60982a51a47", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3704418", "token_id": "17704168422668936398265244831434127167312508748319669929670003168635485808175", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bruno Guimar\u00e3es", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0be16476ecf5bf4929e77d24eb283eb720204d1a968d412a3538c7f7f61ea2ec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704418", "condition_id": "0x81abe444d0163dafe60bb8f38e541d79f52a17e1375b3cd8c0c60cc4cf658de5", "token_id": "17704168422668936398265244831434127167312508748319669929670003168635485808175", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bruno Guimar\u00e3es (Newcastle) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "78cd271cde4110d3647d95dfd57ad7dfed410211690ecb71c9be5286d59a92a4", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3704260", "token_id": "107745209724797722700670856053931897564017598638709965507704606714421152616139", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bryan Mbeumo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f4b6bd3538fc9558451c2e5895ea5267e91440cfca2fb20ec4bd8af63aa10b8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704260", "condition_id": "0x38a5db4a91bb48fb69c655152ce710dd03a504d8edbc28415019a5034599ad31", "token_id": "107745209724797722700670856053931897564017598638709965507704606714421152616139", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bryan Mbeumo (Man Utd) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3fd8fabdba29bbc539322eee06802d961cc1656c8feb4448eb3c01995e8530ab", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3704425", "token_id": "55938229266375785583243924976045218974444673088923237692023655152993188771215", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Callum Wilson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "75eecb16b7dad13f4469d07359798c2126dceeae60552191009d6d5520ac7267", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704425", "condition_id": "0x6b58c4a92b9433d59b389a188eda65e873876eacf45ec34b1c6d2708bf0f0d41", "token_id": "55938229266375785583243924976045218974444673088923237692023655152993188771215", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Callum Wilson (Brentford) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e76dbb8a2fe0c22e6b295720c69d81370d60c23e792ab6ea2d480fcdeeeb20e6", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3704356", "token_id": "104786434994075300460115639485542598233029682095109585707250485415338956197457", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chris Wood", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ca53b347ad56a3cf6c071ab3da1e24d8f8687c5ac14860cf2e4a6dc5a5bd8ff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704356", "condition_id": "0x1b316e1b9c25a10727644db5f5b31418c8f87e4fe9453aeba2d0a5d561f1280b", "token_id": "104786434994075300460115639485542598233029682095109585707250485415338956197457", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Chris Wood (Nottingham Forest) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1e1abaf34db7ff7c9575760a2286b7d92ee1c3cafaa37e6339134c1bca4d2f7f", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3704329", "token_id": "38278757841221209292876924486243140610206353364561161524289184987215933511495", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cody Gakpo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cb05d405d9d64a60dc3db83d159f15e72c18229ae8c6dd7e719a0088421966c8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704329", "condition_id": "0xdeeae16e6e07e0d17e2f96d8a421ec536584e77311c40f35fa2e22459dab8651", "token_id": "38278757841221209292876924486243140610206353364561161524289184987215933511495", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Cody Gakpo (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "75fb5103673d1ba5464cb434f5f12e4fd8027b6a3a3eac3f596eed861147c26d", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3704256", "token_id": "41546668653941966815199501842404438799002924110048372069309491724595194652559", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cole Palmer", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9d86f7e2f3079b61a47af49b16bf3ffd6d8c6a1a5c7266b7fde2efc1cb24a4a4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704256", "condition_id": "0x54f336ef641770657efd72a938f4bb71468796aac824b3bdba1ae98f8b806c15", "token_id": "41546668653941966815199501842404438799002924110048372069309491724595194652559", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Cole Palmer (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "90a82ae6050e88b85e927279fcfd4e495a2e48844e50a1c177365b006c99e8dd", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3704332", "token_id": "112420635250630186302652937523796709688044400053733067259029035758151983324008", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dominic Calvert-Lewin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "95c45397088c58afdbabef24ab50c922f399e31a4e1472a95bf3cc8c4d0f955f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704332", "condition_id": "0x2c9e875c83981f54d05c29bd789835dd4ef01550b4885d8c80a6f7056e77d909", "token_id": "112420635250630186302652937523796709688044400053733067259029035758151983324008", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3fa1026dfc7f62eae44beba2f28821e032e106fe0fa8c3b790ef1e053e916cdc", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3704322", "token_id": "93760065707348080369672613301369817717190083707931302293967544704770516661435", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dominic Solanke", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ec52424766c045fdfcadf1549553d47a942178cebaabec1bd46c1227eb52f6ec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704322", "condition_id": "0x7023e14a528cd36dfb06c170fd305a1876e7c0d0958474f3916aada62a21bc6a", "token_id": "93760065707348080369672613301369817717190083707931302293967544704770516661435", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dominic Solanke (Tottenham) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ddba0d055025e5cae433afc27de82c42d2c914c7362a80291a0aa76a24df7777", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3704229", "token_id": "71203276388548087838135382575389055086960257937141562761749185728535956435144", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Erling Haaland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "56d7faa30899d29b3bd5f3395bf1d713b411c241017b231ad513d6d43a297930", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704229", "condition_id": "0x8efaed82785c1d4413e1575c13dc41968bf06d69a56ed2c5d88d44fc65915280", "token_id": "71203276388548087838135382575389055086960257937141562761749185728535956435144", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b91ae06b3ebc7e21dfbd35b3a5d53fb5524b1b4c1cf73523cb5be7aaf0224b0a", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3704233", "token_id": "24432724136890648062541144986406379669778805543697630638215606818299481787929", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hugo Ekitike", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7e7817cbd3885f9995dac9d1e4b63cdf17317fed56d97f8e23fcae59309141b9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704233", "condition_id": "0x5618b4d3a312103bee68991beccebc5a18e624f6f198b5edd04534cfc04459e4", "token_id": "24432724136890648062541144986406379669778805543697630638215606818299481787929", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b5d603fda23b1ab9e936c1a89e7ff942c032a04a3091eec6902703057ddbe24d", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3704294", "token_id": "76221299390228526724602910150493641795072598319931250314604361062980889242914", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Igor Thiago", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5da5cda1f903d114d8d347e12b10709cf9c38f65b93af2b0482d40fe54ccc40c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704294", "condition_id": "0x40ff830b3fea9af61c6f9411eea6cf5bf44355dc4bcd85fb52295f261fe32f5f", "token_id": "76221299390228526724602910150493641795072598319931250314604361062980889242914", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Igor Thiago (Brentford) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "514fddf445f43c6803f34d7fc42f80b911af0abecf0c77bc561a543a5944bc87", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3704361", "token_id": "35570491551853891977041133221176891067576359791971806879311514862189827515129", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jean-Philippe Mateta", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d8bad1424caec37344d50ed8622fd40a3cb8880adb865f0487939bd9e85865ff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704361", "condition_id": "0x8ec63f7b26426488fa18c91602affea837af29adaa898e13fcb199b931256ef3", "token_id": "35570491551853891977041133221176891067576359791971806879311514862189827515129", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2570e1f63f5f6eda3d8bfbc61e16014732338b23b123358cae38e413fdc85737", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3704414", "token_id": "76699943255839572447517448711821943658863176860137309786263562320404345976508", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jo\u00e3o Gomes", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf1143141c78c397f052cc62111adc313d9e2e7b29c49205b475318a5ec2aa3b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704414", "condition_id": "0xd2dedfea78149010d59dff4c49c048d6ff8b7f64e200a1cf31eea8870c871507", "token_id": "76699943255839572447517448711821943658863176860137309786263562320404345976508", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jo\u00e3o Gomes (Aston Villa) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ce354281ea7bd4c55cb1b176b7cd032f5d4be34b05fbf8e2db6667204c16592e", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "3704232", "token_id": "886715830911173245732499939783465763215868099730550015992048275410567531859", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jo\u00e3o Pedro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "97188934aa361c70722fcbb3082ec35908a126915baeb1a215c2a4efcb6cb93a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704232", "condition_id": "0xd0edcac9e821538bca71df5af26b57d82ae4530cdfca443fbca3ab9f86891f0d", "token_id": "886715830911173245732499939783465763215868099730550015992048275410567531859", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jo\u00e3o Pedro (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "71fed6ff3add5ac00237831e3f155aad0fae7c33c802460f7cefcc6f0449b624", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "3704326", "token_id": "42143982645011158410148265836110466643716975183728354360535786801319743171906", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kai Havertz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6b12bbd8cf89502531888443f508224968bd5bd1b4e049b7d4dabdc4d559113d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704326", "condition_id": "0x09e78fc98ad786b36cc0e535648fbd1c68629730188b17145c785bb21fdd86ac", "token_id": "42143982645011158410148265836110466643716975183728354360535786801319743171906", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kai Havertz (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6c6b6051c085e69841351038a44d58b5c7579cfa628bd364a11f013c7aab4b23", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "3704391", "token_id": "55074961823382490899412138561829857900587633768639452518985399793687408589734", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liam Delap", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0b18c68b0a42db70ab4160a112368efc16be799ec479b852eafe71385b0417a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704391", "condition_id": "0x9ae0001455543d187a80e3b9b73b7797109a40d601fd0f6a0795bc389ac1ab3e", "token_id": "55074961823382490899412138561829857900587633768639452518985399793687408589734", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Liam Delap (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "138e0e49b24358ea9078849872321fffe76fb04d7a9384fac48b7679474b4ea7", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "3704397", "token_id": "92536731678238736886785553973869923699638460227967986280944499750273436441857", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Marcus Rashford", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4356c29876f628ab3ef7ecf31c91e31b0a678cd11f349ea4d3a77977cb75086a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704397", "condition_id": "0x1b6e35fe44886b766df3219724433561e8ff51bc1043cebcef699acfea431905", "token_id": "92536731678238736886785553973869923699638460227967986280944499750273436441857", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Marcus Rashford (Man Utd) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "00aba823ec897b784220080de3ce3359a3292cf771f58bd15a2a6e111ddcfb52", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "3704337", "token_id": "85200990251396765690171664710158896307503236334502995779290064321117498169305", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Morgan Gibbs-White", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2efd84aaaee5cf67730ad937abc75c1f175d295b8407635254a17e82ab1ab3c6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704337", "condition_id": "0xeb8c26f23519b431648ef172476c019c7939d6d8da4310b307e46ea93f639367", "token_id": "85200990251396765690171664710158896307503236334502995779290064321117498169305", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Morgan Gibbs-White (Nottingham Forest) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "16334f5120994995573702ab2ca24fa80fddb9fbe31ba21b793ea1619ca8632b", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "3704331", "token_id": "30222058171558529739792277798220588931435633512783829971703687463893103077975", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Morgan Rogers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6903edca9aaa5efa08e5458c04fb3ee3c752896b577706ff7f0800aeed983926", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704331", "condition_id": "0xbbec7e73513a0f2a30d17098a1c26ea892853bcc10d5c675113f62c20db19d88", "token_id": "30222058171558529739792277798220588931435633512783829971703687463893103077975", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ba799696721e379dd14ce72d9ffb3fe6f7ab047ec866c6054bbbee0704d3cfd6", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "3704317", "token_id": "109648749721436111969865964378364653510479598460220378972111453977642782706280", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nick Woltemade", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96592565c8c37839092f33c3fc440bb6091797e3ca8e051ef3939dd2feb72d56", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704317", "condition_id": "0x911e957ebe67b7b683d32e12e07411cc6d85febb92c6f5e6e4591bf03c0e1412", "token_id": "109648749721436111969865964378364653510479598460220378972111453977642782706280", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nick Woltemade (Newcastle) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a789b13b38a02ccb4cf6d7cacd7e3598fb11b8a14fd3c715dab6a0080f928872", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "3704236", "token_id": "112006746993089912388142302716437053156094113222537056203352433833483164018717", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ollie Watkins", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "605249973808ac0c2893206369aafb44e4ceeee0064dfd4a21f0675d0e9bf9f9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704236", "condition_id": "0x0a989757d415ecb1df9e2d9c80c6a209867d9059bcd11ea4231a5bb92a0135f9", "token_id": "112006746993089912388142302716437053156094113222537056203352433833483164018717", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "342cdd4de99f5a58b24402b2234ccd75bb1d6ffd272ed04bbc59ad5c4fd194cd", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "3704231", "token_id": "79545027814364798286831317327876238752826233320430082344682088573955704049543", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Viktor Gy\u00f6keres", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7f2611641ad238f967e982957f8bba3a79bde8f618849896bbce21c850dc1839", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704231", "condition_id": "0xe9c7a1f8d65ad24b0a4c0e48bbfd271998e6a6f4f1ef66f900944134cc318741", "token_id": "79545027814364798286831317327876238752826233320430082344682088573955704049543", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Viktor Gy\u00f6keres (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f9ec2dc5e0375fcadab1def542913245f16b85b1b6eac3093a0dc8c87da6bc11", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "3704302", "token_id": "97335429669129106101832080879474991021510836738452299971625392207054337851451", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yoane Wissa", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e0d86ba4412015987d0d8b798f0aa5f2a452d3c88a5793aa13d30a82edd3a2fd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3704302", "condition_id": "0xe573dc47f6110975983abb400836bb5a4a89d68d79d2e57f17c919726a41ff10", "token_id": "97335429669129106101832080879474991021510836738452299971625392207054337851451", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yoane Wissa (Newcastle) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals during the 2026-27 Premier League season.\n\nOnly goals scored in Premier League matches will count. Goals scored in other competitions (e.g., domestic cups, UEFA Champions League, UEFA Europa League, UEFA Conference League, international matches) will not count for this market.\n\nIf multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, this market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.\n\nIf the 2026-27 Premier League season is canceled or not completed by June 14, 2027, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official statistics from Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-05-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "871869", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5b066cf766a8acbb85b793457ffa36bc85214c350da62fb8f0af5d89f1734d6d", "event_source_sha256": "1b0961e464201dac49fd440e3c4bb875e10d02eaba3be3575b01c71e0b2ffbc7" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986737", "title": "Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "be2179e5c38ce34653a69627f4e6e4e4b0e9bc882e014b1878e02795eac28733", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356470", "4356471", "4356472", "4356473", "4356474", "4356475", "4356476", "4356477", "4356478", "4356479", "4356480" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986737", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356470", "token_id": "1258519781047133316659263504186170697095984112067846334191400760903255018104", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0e60aa8c7010692f8213469017342782b874480beaff33aa406bdf7b39157dec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356470", "condition_id": "0x5cf546f672b3e80698dcc5eca1c4aad5816025b4788c949bccac5f9e8c44303b", "token_id": "1258519781047133316659263504186170697095984112067846334191400760903255018104", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "178c1636d8423385f64ec7667bb7bda544d36ba766695b862ccfcbc306a796ea", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356471", "token_id": "48975684845032087562048721833566835607920090622509417339107375385174174290562", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "123e61e1e5294efc2272e954ee0bbe39939c355df6fb91f25139ee610f5e5776", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356471", "condition_id": "0x822be66f13cb953c4c2b1c29786c742a8ba626a0aa5ca3a81fc6ef9bc7f6ffb1", "token_id": "48975684845032087562048721833566835607920090622509417339107375385174174290562", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d94aaa7b5229f04066ad71755286503c1e0d605bbf78a1d03a58b46041290444", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356472", "token_id": "101417507609852074819094627030254583997686800826014126864459173821896701076996", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8e6f659badda3e6e55a53a1d46a3667675529bfb00d936c2cdb5e5fe760df979", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356472", "condition_id": "0xd64face474f8ac085a60a3eb2c0ac5ee9534517ab3af2e3818e14c48d6db6587", "token_id": "101417507609852074819094627030254583997686800826014126864459173821896701076996", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "07a30aad03918245a7ee0090fcbc8bafb1214a9eab3d518a4e5872b8d64cc0e4", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356473", "token_id": "69078808729097281373312356080519298766293743689258794875318592291542308798483", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1e09e17651b028b479c0e99550f59713adfbeb5fb95468e95ed0badee90e554d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356473", "condition_id": "0xd8a6aa2d540a25cd765b020e4b05246011ebd204bae199830e11b59ae5ddd48e", "token_id": "69078808729097281373312356080519298766293743689258794875318592291542308798483", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fa79691beb735ededa5d893e517eae01399b752044f9f669f2b89fc43cb2220c", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356474", "token_id": "87585089796209095386837057465890165925217172755237426345563424780784010603758", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "29a61b0776407d5d8eea5dd0d5704df3baeacb39ace50461497010732b1f1853", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356474", "condition_id": "0x16ff5f45992ba6744280a32de7a483f5576d8cd16da4e0badc081eb280c25bcf", "token_id": "87585089796209095386837057465890165925217172755237426345563424780784010603758", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b9e2baf3f727ad08d47ac5ba0999751723f3df177bb27a0a0d13a346697bdcb4", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356475", "token_id": "84579107383859436718598376663683043758040105970769079465084279526716027787052", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b7804b0244f13ddcd066277d2b970444d93df2c562f045ca600c9519528d04dc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356475", "condition_id": "0x8cdac15754d5b9d7dc893cef2ea4648e284034a7efec71dd5eadae9259416f98", "token_id": "84579107383859436718598376663683043758040105970769079465084279526716027787052", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "679d18b4b1397c3e66a203216319c2c0863823e3a5393f0f63848ca500787458", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356476", "token_id": "88580840007658129047351408657825261525927907304765557338713078596307216479646", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "128ad61d85c4d72dd733bb7a8e64c6ac4fdf0d55243d9627fe03a13352a9e3bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356476", "condition_id": "0x01f96e62206b0f5a5075fdc387c5f787cb29562d441a6ef129acf61534a08fea", "token_id": "88580840007658129047351408657825261525927907304765557338713078596307216479646", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7808ad630b23b60e8ca8be8e0ce8a978224f6a2280ecc16c351b283587482ef9", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356477", "token_id": "7550397136090350764489452009242483166996022799942218675099088763344108063251", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "067ff32be0799b7d2366ba10b52b447b88bda6a82407762d4df669f784ce28b5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356477", "condition_id": "0x19eaa0342f926a0cd406296063e98544bcfb638de7047baa3467e6148da48035", "token_id": "7550397136090350764489452009242483166996022799942218675099088763344108063251", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "99419c2e24431fa77cd89aebd7f1fd0e13b1e9cc3b9be237e8b2399959fe6fce", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356478", "token_id": "43453733460600500468953343334523945831818045010667100921134577901229627843593", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7c0a90e95076fd9f04f7298ee432ceccb5ea802ae18c18f0d0f72495940193c7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356478", "condition_id": "0x33fad8fac5d7dfb081cdf6e92187b7004f131f76f56d3f9db41ce852172ee272", "token_id": "43453733460600500468953343334523945831818045010667100921134577901229627843593", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7751c455483121952c0f1191b0eab59cd0065482ed904ba283d7145b988fad48", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356479", "token_id": "77270323715417388778790179560958071370771957852841249180888864763211537913140", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1e65eaae2876ba2c849477691e0ad12b64bc623033a15e8a92681582f116755", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356479", "condition_id": "0xbeb53b72bbc4eca0b0e162e8be6054351520c58c7139d5e83423dac7a9b9200e", "token_id": "77270323715417388778790179560958071370771957852841249180888864763211537913140", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "275707721cc8f7ae9575b1ad056a36f5fa111d44332ce45f0d795ba4c679b4ea", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356480", "token_id": "3103854727910588497573967121529359375679366172496444776104746433805508456012", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0505c070a973e5c6700505594919b4986db31c02984d76232c2a81b4af388f8c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356480", "condition_id": "0x4738760fc3735580d35756ad131c43edf1442df8f87030b018b661e627657737", "token_id": "3103854727910588497573967121529359375679366172496444776104746433805508456012", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986737", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "64d1d313265746ad076b0a554e956b35b44a8f2695b8a1df2b4b188fc55ce333", "event_source_sha256": "f8f46f9681bb70a8a59f721a3900e1b3866557e8280269e2fb6f0bed893fc6c3" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986740", "title": "Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "2c5a76d274787707f08eadbbcb7861ffa1127aedc36a07a305529e47661dd2de", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356503", "4356504", "4356505", "4356506", "4356507", "4356508", "4356509", "4356510", "4356511", "4356512", "4356513" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986740", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356503", "token_id": "38441042444785895952854797622140051075702824522193960228126900093059926629742", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d64c6e2af544e936fb46394c9936dbd623a0033a0c4f8ef7bc13eeefc280aba2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356503", "condition_id": "0xf618f1fed6f7939efe173a6596dff929cf816de81dd0b83f8ac4e93849c25c97", "token_id": "38441042444785895952854797622140051075702824522193960228126900093059926629742", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "30d89f71dbc35a0348ca1dffd30563af70206c4061cae94520926cf8c799cadb", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356504", "token_id": "25821028442226920338050428432574676024338181465517100259593066268072654545415", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "299e655375e996340e141f7413e06fd8a53e8f1c11c1dd0610176c24b39ad308", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356504", "condition_id": "0x59af719e0dea4b57210ab4b3d0fe1cd32e49a8e87cf4ba8e1ad1e051e95bb8f4", "token_id": "25821028442226920338050428432574676024338181465517100259593066268072654545415", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3309dc074c18033fcc3a7f35287791898dd9583ef9e622415ca1d4e2d9b2168e", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356505", "token_id": "73458991673279938762643814135895738235100356193045998296129541838267653377345", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "819c8ac0dc9e652ea2bec56303598984c5eed3c6cba19e2412547a49b754aefd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356505", "condition_id": "0x47d2bcb166297a704590da93594d59780091d65102cd563b98d300cc41adc195", "token_id": "73458991673279938762643814135895738235100356193045998296129541838267653377345", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9c66f5f4614984881b03f1295039356344c46ceef4b6c4ed0e751dcf1e41de19", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356506", "token_id": "102968522446718092155015801060943233545862024493196867360837581274725099186490", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7ee50be84e762b19edf562d861578f28d827b2164ba3b31cfa06061386aa9cb3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356506", "condition_id": "0xfdf0ab7dcac40558e2af59113b6a6b039ce74b1fce253ddf8acf1bb30aeae53b", "token_id": "102968522446718092155015801060943233545862024493196867360837581274725099186490", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "94882686c8c60b9c1b92cca5ed252c6439219876fe25b71ba5acb729099ec8a1", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356507", "token_id": "85484993559186543730970654403155163587323346282914889918290702947456160615121", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1c79336cf90f18391b82c37929794643d0fc3eaf08a7c6bb56e2f747094754ae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356507", "condition_id": "0x5cb71856e5b91eca12f12f9e10348a2ecd894cb7811bca4ee6dc4547c7167d13", "token_id": "85484993559186543730970654403155163587323346282914889918290702947456160615121", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "50d2f45142f95fa98a56046eb95aec5eedf6010bb871cee204e0ab30171ddeb1", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356508", "token_id": "45091205013579058312983463003305490071084519862729286297380069650557291396757", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d8dd6132b32f1c9e7c717561841c19da27f832ef7c92234df92b7f8a12814cff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356508", "condition_id": "0xc874c13454966930d59662dee557dad0a6fa6f7b7e7c6ca6f7acf9fb47461b70", "token_id": "45091205013579058312983463003305490071084519862729286297380069650557291396757", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "24b676fac901d1525bb88ebda731b766079b384f0e44862b6ff2ad0685adc81b", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356509", "token_id": "25684164545392005536962281167754405970668948147660811555417420317901368286256", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b5d0cf01b8186b6992e01a0ff8fbc29a7d23fd66740b00365eaee21f011cb75e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356509", "condition_id": "0x0412b37e7270cd2a23b4fc5cd61a29bd037e9ec0b0aa99c827a256f0f566e7fd", "token_id": "25684164545392005536962281167754405970668948147660811555417420317901368286256", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "466ca20872ecb52c13ca06f8802b1678f0ae2754bed6d11bac074818469de93e", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356510", "token_id": "96828755833116169902634618621001525027526635166723898935968731896314039163762", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "975a9176ba20338def6dff897300d673f99a1188f874de10e50c70392448ab4b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356510", "condition_id": "0x3a05a5c3ea44185f3b2c424556c9fb112de6b5bd45ce95f8186b918d89e38f0b", "token_id": "96828755833116169902634618621001525027526635166723898935968731896314039163762", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6d36ed3099fa4341fe194dd2e60ee3a43ad1dcb1d395c68f3109b7c42b98f0c1", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356511", "token_id": "15873016283594790278149288095304671397311999066647704850637827583977295870231", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "523ddb4506fd9bda425b390161fe444e0271e56dc4b818f962d2b2736802c1b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356511", "condition_id": "0x0f0b982f2c66a2256181ec772440f192c82793d66bfb17d90d1934ee51278dd2", "token_id": "15873016283594790278149288095304671397311999066647704850637827583977295870231", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d4977e39031f6ae927d2ab7e1cf57c63d0638cbc3cb9bc4827f014a0dd386255", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356512", "token_id": "76976048353772028105295307087627768179305744872061993959809624579610872015304", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "97ce331a9e160a4c7e3fadac37105b03577c56592882f57b45d64606177017a9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356512", "condition_id": "0xb1a328aa71a5a7b0584ac312e907e19d6f28919a0eb180d826186a4b1eaf5138", "token_id": "76976048353772028105295307087627768179305744872061993959809624579610872015304", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3990192abbfec4536047afa9a7bd4d1a570cd9692e82d4710095ce6444800181", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356513", "token_id": "45263317811855370534806292030775972246820361276316343049058736918830387872237", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "653971c95b82924847199637ef62fe6482cbede5dec09dd3cf925830521f7925", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356513", "condition_id": "0x898defe9b64daa60c550ecae804d6244c4a94ab44f2eceaf945ac30cb819a280", "token_id": "45263317811855370534806292030775972246820361276316343049058736918830387872237", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986740", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "73021dd3827e022138d6975207390885f340b5ce921cfe00a41e6dcb85d96ea2", "event_source_sha256": "ed86c7bb4d840c1d2662bae130814a74597cba38e1e0587436936b45df6d5cbf" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:945710", "title": "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 4 - September 11, 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "d72e9acc34e33b30f31b3ef15fcd240f31e8a38aa39c22f0fc346366d0f9564f", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4050590", "4050596", "4050605", "4050612", "4050622", "4050628", "4050638", "4050645", "4050656", "4050665", "4050679" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:945710", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4050645", "token_id": "82396431224829835937013804039124265063435544518519140414661608756468346607867", "outcome": "yes", "label": "140-159", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f83f4713a9ce7e06c7ce6574211ec3224558a68a11dc42b528f4dc0e61f76ede", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050645", "condition_id": "0xe61d45855ed2d2c6a3a89c8bc6063747e3bd4a9fb67a7cee7b21c0c0576e0de4", "token_id": "82396431224829835937013804039124265063435544518519140414661608756468346607867", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3bfd2aab61e8113715316dc6fad6f49efa044e3c50ec63ff758f392021457e8f", "event_source_sha256": "c7d4d00c1dd9d0a738dc78565d1a853650992efd0afab472009ed18e8075e6bc" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4050656", "token_id": "104348647130525662317022737976295737239377333831230644094337736513676557950433", "outcome": "yes", "label": "160-179", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "72cfcbe3d7880c329594e16c740f4040e1405e0335aeca6e73151371d932b9a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050656", "condition_id": "0x618452908b26b0deb5e7bb5b1ff0f851d458e2bc09326c7c28cef7502acc185b", "token_id": "104348647130525662317022737976295737239377333831230644094337736513676557950433", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5fcf8122f9ee16856b691139326357edc60e305c9f80d62ab5fcaa403a10326c", "event_source_sha256": "c7d4d00c1dd9d0a738dc78565d1a853650992efd0afab472009ed18e8075e6bc" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4050665", "token_id": "99699768811626388451056595359982750365101605679474275896173558352551960357563", "outcome": "yes", "label": "180-199", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3d49e5427c8ff5fbaecbd4ee324d7083728c28021d63f2610c09bac753670f7d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050665", "condition_id": "0xdb39555c50fcdc88a02daa6924226986d10cdb6894f012e380bead5335fbdc6c", "token_id": "99699768811626388451056595359982750365101605679474275896173558352551960357563", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "453ceb7555d4f6ca89023cb25ddb8f509cd2573ea5bfaa1d43ee6940b05006b4", "event_source_sha256": "c7d4d00c1dd9d0a738dc78565d1a853650992efd0afab472009ed18e8075e6bc" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4050679", "token_id": "92080093236482900245138320743866483452296284501483629706004559733596647437673", "outcome": "yes", "label": "200+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aa64ea68883e1e4a5a49f9c169b9a0589d827a5b9eeaec89d7e0d3358b4f106e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4050679", "condition_id": "0xe03950cf867bdfa658de21eeb37e366006c767725086d26acd65a685ed890649", "token_id": "92080093236482900245138320743866483452296284501483629706004559733596647437673", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 4, 12:00 PM ET and September 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.", "resolution_source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump", "close_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T16:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "945710", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cdb3e78d1aeaf052e575ceda412d73446382c6e510a686716f8a669068d0fad5", "event_source_sha256": "c7d4d00c1dd9d0a738dc78565d1a853650992efd0afab472009ed18e8075e6bc" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986601", "title": "Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "ffced202e0ad89fb58421a8a39521c7d722dd7d737bd857b0cfc08feb784f793", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4355541", "4355542", "4355543", "4355544", "4355545", "4355546", "4355547", "4355548", "4355549", "4355550", "4355551" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986601", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4355541", "token_id": "54610585762333167010449903583626975619295684515725759101958245462756152016051", "outcome": "yes", "label": "11\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3c5df2d48ce348606fa6b363c54817cce87319d040e5efe2de3bbfd8591c37e0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355541", "condition_id": "0xc635c9f49bd8a29b151294b4b45792f7d4c4ad8f16c2ed706dd90bf0fc3c273f", "token_id": "54610585762333167010449903583626975619295684515725759101958245462756152016051", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a5ca50a77b0455cc3f7a4c4a1493c90eab2e7eed0c3467aab9fe5326fb77749b", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4355542", "token_id": "114483723097027692455097072819599564233208643642586133144424953853971062515765", "outcome": "yes", "label": "12\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96c39db1d7ee8da26dc820d4e54cceaaae44b9cc99e6151d5b36fbc96bffb503", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355542", "condition_id": "0x1cda736b731873ac240df302ac47be8daf0ae17d3535e2ffc33d1b226bd22a8f", "token_id": "114483723097027692455097072819599564233208643642586133144424953853971062515765", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4c269059f75cbaab3bb78bd22e816edb88a1d63eb7b7758cd0d5b389c6aae3b8", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4355543", "token_id": "108315051146987044534244580174701658746673670459693891279832198299065237238712", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b26bdf84d786e7a1f4c40b96ae96da5987b67c1b1c8625b098c383c1860f4b3c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355543", "condition_id": "0xf147247ccaa7328a336036638ae9b7480a1c8369f5a593ae29f7d8e411bbb5d3", "token_id": "108315051146987044534244580174701658746673670459693891279832198299065237238712", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "224d863eb316fa6d2cdb151cf9554e965b4a6cdd7299a430f85e8cce72d065e6", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4355544", "token_id": "58507058367748947896548334328934861111330354716375615798154612375243555004378", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f892d755653161e92309570f7caea87197c53e5f5aef5971fcf2fe6830965e0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355544", "condition_id": "0x1d12b089df3dd265c09c979a74060f8b1995d2fffbe4d98017e6565caa1a64a5", "token_id": "58507058367748947896548334328934861111330354716375615798154612375243555004378", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9ef10504662d8bb11ce13dc63eef32fb6db42c45b0a3e0f7629e2f5540e09adb", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4355545", "token_id": "13107403531132839787545507682818790149275930468481238505448875687041194509133", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "73a65a15ea7a83c3e8f7c4b56d61b180b645d3b6552b997713f8b05d6997d51f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355545", "condition_id": "0xe2bd8c12d73cb8ed2bc993aa803352103c6d01352bfd0a30803f994be0471343", "token_id": "13107403531132839787545507682818790149275930468481238505448875687041194509133", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "12fec746ba062f4252bc3190b1d4b01544c766c8467941336ad983f7cf3e96c1", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4355546", "token_id": "18547365834639023516090217195092810368069497476368669367962402995829822612238", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "95398e5a41f2f5bb9cf1c69318f6773ffe1e6ebb0acc7359a9e28e62844582b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355546", "condition_id": "0x6ff5165a1d6c7c05e501edca70044b54b515035f017d3a6c7b173d756706e474", "token_id": "18547365834639023516090217195092810368069497476368669367962402995829822612238", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1d20a2ff1bf6880f809315baa54bc1152cf30dc0fdd4ca5fe71d0deb3f70cdb9", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4355547", "token_id": "34490548281189758873551093707421870561292808839896172503362926488457146885972", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "36f1a7656b6ea7d14bcfd7b32991b4bb1e089efeae778f151b56293ef918e99f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355547", "condition_id": "0xe9667bf445793abf7619d0ea4d849ec2f2b750a5567931c3f3f1fb21c853c91d", "token_id": "34490548281189758873551093707421870561292808839896172503362926488457146885972", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "65377d9002f97548e72db6a953241ce0cc935f522b57f8f70439dffd2f3df18b", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4355548", "token_id": "31614115976303476275938985985798865085814709217606605754105813693343454726600", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7177cd0b924deafcd293ab2ed7d449243506387b866e303efc160be5d5612869", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355548", "condition_id": "0x87e08c051d5860b087f2331313b9ad97f98dcfded63ab4c00760c427b6d4b2db", "token_id": "31614115976303476275938985985798865085814709217606605754105813693343454726600", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e8810afb0efbad41ad036ed766c1b7c9a442b7d444a35b935b6a3f41d633fce4", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4355549", "token_id": "69605379791553659255723504800954829171785209246918216297832096036389486570124", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1847f7c2119d6cff4b37256b60fbeda47bd375dd8242767f7312342864cef556", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355549", "condition_id": "0x4256c532fcd05dcdeee255e34c30a7a16a2ee7d11345aeb328bdce54b361d3c9", "token_id": "69605379791553659255723504800954829171785209246918216297832096036389486570124", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d711134c9dc13e7e6b75efeaf50f2d9e61ef9ca27cd81975530795a9530cab07", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4355550", "token_id": "64216155433403556725767276302312617880219484583452059495079896979576153417030", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f5a6936396356deca4e212422379628081d69b5b3ba1c1987a89b535c5bbc240", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355550", "condition_id": "0x10a0217924dcece927842a6672df94987d1e3bb5555618d667f326853b80757d", "token_id": "64216155433403556725767276302312617880219484583452059495079896979576153417030", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "41356163f6261dda444def25018c21570313159b49f9b76a976ea5c2a6434002", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4355551", "token_id": "48210046843320474324128014465118243588335291788669781418367688798356041806708", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "847a9d3910dd173ce967d3716700e756f03014f1c424b08e050d4ea134c84eb1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355551", "condition_id": "0x222af9fce7e21818dad7f4a5cfad15d6db9d16693a865ed2c1f5da59812935b0", "token_id": "48210046843320474324128014465118243588335291788669781418367688798356041806708", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986601", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e52c44050f419a64afe6d760ab70a38bb11e15912d64415a53d6bb2a6b363b03", "event_source_sha256": "aed251850bde530cc8e60a1ec18b0aa74d6eef63a8e6b638d5a655fad3b3e5f2" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:896061", "title": "FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "4486b8100f287708cdd2fbe8960809fae7b8372b71e4c4cde94e3e1295e67c53", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3809067", "3809072", "3809076" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:896061", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3809076", "token_id": "60075079015443898098722903625949243685495509977159104443326357654365685317684", "outcome": "yes", "label": "D.C. United SC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f487cf3f8c3f8631fa85a956f9f636522706a1b6c4fcbaff90f765707826295c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3809076", "condition_id": "0xc0f89e9c4b0b50244ddd1a43cad7e83b3ec6a54bd37d23ad819ad5377b52e05f", "token_id": "60075079015443898098722903625949243685495509977159104443326357654365685317684", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5, 2026\nIf D.C. United SC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores", "close_time": "2026-09-05T23:30:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-05T23:30:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "896061", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "709fa5d0260b7c423ecad49abc77bcb815eb840fb8a149d625cbe7761d7bd8db", "event_source_sha256": "4080a1bd4b0e2b160dff9a568039b11361cb586b5e28870117eff61d848a6460" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3809072", "token_id": "12387002476165879929564719564931753513701407195663881699825554205824697716965", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3ec795984ab3f8b69086be279ac132601130d2a9c891a56c9e7184388c568161", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3809072", "condition_id": "0xb19c56e9a69c0082a62dbeb93ae0fdc133e3b00fdbc8d78534ec361d4095098c", "token_id": "12387002476165879929564719564931753513701407195663881699825554205824697716965", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores", "close_time": "2026-09-05T23:30:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-05T23:30:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "896061", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "48146cab3b0d7baf84480215dfbca6a58c87d7f86bf6c520f88a3580a4f609bf", "event_source_sha256": "4080a1bd4b0e2b160dff9a568039b11361cb586b5e28870117eff61d848a6460" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3809067", "token_id": "104485202983245728772121096907878772676602182687297303574148561717520483291258", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Cincinnati", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "db4d7732715b4141e0b923d3c75ae4dcb487b4cc65db5c068580f087b796f0cc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3809067", "condition_id": "0xd41e70b42d2326b8007a170887b69f84f815ae7d2bd03e1eadbcd0487870a988", "token_id": "104485202983245728772121096907878772676602182687297303574148561717520483291258", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 5, 2026\nIf FC Cincinnati wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scores", "close_time": "2026-09-05T23:30:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-05T23:30:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "896061", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "321af6b3b03dc83b11f38dc25ae60ad527d850477c5ea953e29140ec4aa828bc", "event_source_sha256": "4080a1bd4b0e2b160dff9a568039b11361cb586b5e28870117eff61d848a6460" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:881782", "title": "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: SPD Vote Share?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "2a040db61cfe7d8f44ae00c96fbcbe5c8e2c8187d657770d184df91e8bbc64be", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3748583", "3748584", "3748585", "3748586" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:881782", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3748584", "token_id": "50320576101721927535368064913962959370458357578919730950549656059791375567451", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25-28%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e28f71d5c6bd1a162d3317430bd27cc6b13c63811bd469c2a10688e4f891278f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3748584", "condition_id": "0x2ed5ca74bbf7aa15f2e96411cff9bd947de89ece14463367638462ae1a55e00f", "token_id": "50320576101721927535368064913962959370458357578919730950549656059791375567451", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win between 25% and 28% of all valid second votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "881782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4f5b94bc452458150fc6fb9f0f2e949a0863f2b9f245d3c17e021e1cd33dccd8", "event_source_sha256": "ad5cf1c797530c7cbd82702f8aea8f244460c6bd8cec1bd8f8cad3fdd8c31a70" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3748585", "token_id": "78906608961571475080811166867728528055407664901541141676539840348247092006644", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28-31%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a993a686d007bfe294ee53663c11fc43baae892f48f8bba8e01243234f43844b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3748585", "condition_id": "0x7b3a27fb72a723b53d1b47efe21264a4f6e48db0835bb7eed0591cb190e6f6f4", "token_id": "78906608961571475080811166867728528055407664901541141676539840348247092006644", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win between 28% and 31% of all valid second votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "881782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f5f54098efe8a1a45fa04a02aac7cc3cc78c87012b66f1ff464b97eead98bdd8", "event_source_sha256": "ad5cf1c797530c7cbd82702f8aea8f244460c6bd8cec1bd8f8cad3fdd8c31a70" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3748586", "token_id": "22750166353305381956205730381528939687504260658411876378513456698242359405670", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31%+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "53a1c515bb255cbb0108b9f72bcf609a2e07bd9af13d4e9caf485f38ccc79733", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3748586", "condition_id": "0x9970e2e7f8109ac10219af16311143192fb03ea6da0877c60f15a3c9cbdd1f39", "token_id": "22750166353305381956205730381528939687504260658411876378513456698242359405670", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "881782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "20e42039af076d81b6e8db09ebf13ea4c4ab61302e9050b28dbfc329e6690647", "event_source_sha256": "ad5cf1c797530c7cbd82702f8aea8f244460c6bd8cec1bd8f8cad3fdd8c31a70" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3748583", "token_id": "72008137698690638283278083760410972384010790884732925027267141407189607364093", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<25%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "45b9b71563c29d50ff21757c4619e367e0a1c289d29802f32e007b3b2cf12d5a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3748583", "condition_id": "0x4243e5d25a9d372cdd51ace0ed0c983cea1ac6f53472c9386d3e39f5ca441c27", "token_id": "72008137698690638283278083760410972384010790884732925027267141407189607364093", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win less than 25% of all valid second votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "881782", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "12d5da5bdd27b7bf14b27f89df40fdd81894a0b69c0364dd63693c5f00efba23", "event_source_sha256": "ad5cf1c797530c7cbd82702f8aea8f244460c6bd8cec1bd8f8cad3fdd8c31a70" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:59233", "title": "Alaska Senate Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 7, "semantics_hash": "ea1536082da1e018289b561315280c4c127970136b26b9d87f0f38760ca2d21f", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "634974", "634975", "634976", "634977", "634978", "634979", "634980", "634981", "634982", "634983", "634984", "634985", "634986", "634987", "634988", "634989", "634990", "634991", "634992", "634993", "634994", "634995", "634996", "634997", "634998", "634999", "635000", "635001", "635002" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:59233", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "634975", "token_id": "20310786951537091150920478212676759242565921145568245906943451694162568762258", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ann Diener", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7e5aba6ff0bee94f8e3fee9140935ddfd5c95097f6d9d2b5fdd22a41665fad61", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "634975", "condition_id": "0xa26ab383a1f115fa8d2b0fcbac29bcd6a9843ec8c1d160b0a122917230c3c96a", "token_id": "20310786951537091150920478212676759242565921145568245906943451694162568762258", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59233", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0bda0cdd727606b5f66f8b8b1e284381a144ad79df49ea892137e9ff73bb7a2f", "event_source_sha256": "0fb5d1670927b62aa83316197f7b2c33ac720ce52c7a6c181de7bf1b5eafd510" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "634979", "token_id": "31278241752941344554610792783012172134444604028259739462416674476234786013273", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fb18f031a14f7b6e78372e7e6a0b14d0e87fb544b2f3351cb85fc2acfb29a946", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "634979", "condition_id": "0x10d6e079450f84c35ab6fae1857352c9cb5ed5c63d25a918854ae26ab76af12f", "token_id": "31278241752941344554610792783012172134444604028259739462416674476234786013273", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59233", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e4b52704fa9f1d606b0bed121487d04958cc247dba80a297706369a72da780df", "event_source_sha256": "0fb5d1670927b62aa83316197f7b2c33ac720ce52c7a6c181de7bf1b5eafd510" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "634980", "token_id": "67134560637395660573557297151091376379195027709682746465847662052614726627045", "outcome": "yes", "label": "David Leslie", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "34d4554b043a678de53819bf44a5f2814c5631a0cdbfb29d4a47fda92d701a4f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "634980", "condition_id": "0x809ee6925f52191d93cf13f3221f36cd72d7f71c121b7a07ca854a8fd4e6db97", "token_id": "67134560637395660573557297151091376379195027709682746465847662052614726627045", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59233", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "30d530ec961221aae5809127de54df7d899a5f87171d0db2250af46ed3f73570", "event_source_sha256": "0fb5d1670927b62aa83316197f7b2c33ac720ce52c7a6c181de7bf1b5eafd510" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "634977", "token_id": "29311755935786363205680204536643787054260832125056777867606384726291200747800", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dustin Darden", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1724d02693cc6cef47e92632ad4d115d56f261e66063663d5d4ba3d1db9ce97e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "634977", "condition_id": "0xec751bd3e1cf4d22a1dee41ee85c7304bdb7b6ed6dccc807e88ef2603b4a6449", "token_id": "29311755935786363205680204536643787054260832125056777867606384726291200747800", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59233", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cfbb3c7bf8b65235b9963914a272ec8c8065490ab19a79437e2e21e2c510ff4b", "event_source_sha256": "0fb5d1670927b62aa83316197f7b2c33ac720ce52c7a6c181de7bf1b5eafd510" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "634976", "token_id": "72139607190315861034411702195742538105117960260100800877125381826122747504258", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mary Peltola", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7236a3171fef9bb699dc0bf9fe3a2dd219d86bd28c5ff2dafec3c4f3b3040496", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "634976", "condition_id": "0x19d2ff72e389d190c183e6b114817301d29eba651d67d75a38ee201a05188fd9", "token_id": "72139607190315861034411702195742538105117960260100800877125381826122747504258", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59233", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6de91daf373ccefe884750f8b6262349c4e21bf3b4fccd578df20c614ffe829a", "event_source_sha256": "0fb5d1670927b62aa83316197f7b2c33ac720ce52c7a6c181de7bf1b5eafd510" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "634978", "token_id": "59588004575158257289531312065982350985369269880352045258164216668046489178917", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Richard Grayson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "91d9edb97d09d097de3710d58310dc2fbcd36f5f62f3b5a7fc7ff4506b7346a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "634978", "condition_id": "0x998ee2bd25cea8e07eaf1b1f1be82ba6c3ecfd74c28a87497786103d84fd06d8", "token_id": "59588004575158257289531312065982350985369269880352045258164216668046489178917", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59233", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "97a79d235185d65c414c1b452ba9ce76115adfbaa6c04e231cf68a3d06f0fc9d", "event_source_sha256": "0fb5d1670927b62aa83316197f7b2c33ac720ce52c7a6c181de7bf1b5eafd510" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "634974", "token_id": "2618138322856109565904469085316346602627882727483900432328802655317079880335", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sen. Dan Sullivan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "16f5026e2ad06c89670d3fe6645de87b662275fb85eb42d1d21783827d785724", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "634974", "condition_id": "0x741bb46008b72234857c5118c8365ab3c2f69dbf28b30b59de04f173b8a778de", "token_id": "2618138322856109565904469085316346602627882727483900432328802655317079880335", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.\n\nIf the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "59233", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4278041d26b6217516eefe0244085bc79d3af4bfe5bc034e81bb8ea7c6066411", "event_source_sha256": "0fb5d1670927b62aa83316197f7b2c33ac720ce52c7a6c181de7bf1b5eafd510" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:842915", "title": "Sweden Parliamentary Election: 4th Place", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 9, "semantics_hash": "7900fba2b34fd087dc03535e7cfcadf23ea5d687cf8a29be8aff2879ad6175b0", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3561655", "3561656", "3561657", "3561658", "3561659", "3561660", "3561661", "3561662", "3561663", "3561664", "3561665", "3561666", "3561667", "3561668", "3561669", "3561670", "3561671", "3561672", "3561673", "3561674", "3561675", "3561676", "3561677", "3561678", "3561679", "3561680", "3561681", "3561682", "3561683", "3561684", "3561685", "3561686", "3561687", "3561688", "3561689", "3561690" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:842915", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3561658", "token_id": "103048843313813225622511237276490638449244809355985055149114435173164398779144", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Centre Party (C)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf09cc2dc5aa82d312b15160261de724771eb397d141b58a13b07b3ab8d84f6a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3561658", "condition_id": "0xceb417a3077ff029666c26876748f13a86b8942544077b521a69f48c59b2e572", "token_id": "103048843313813225622511237276490638449244809355985055149114435173164398779144", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Centre Party (C) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "842915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4d06bcfb70e5f2464cab81a143b218066bb16108db7eaef9594f4e8247319a13", "event_source_sha256": "c6fcd4feaa84d3317e046a59905eabff4399577d8179d906e078d6fd3c0129ff" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3561660", "token_id": "87611087099562745958400870356590879226885251274791709211479690121312625660459", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Christian Democrats (KD)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7335581393b6750c415561403514fa1d0f6cebb594d4005ba23f945fb6d71fb5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3561660", "condition_id": "0xea17e6576d309e1b9dd459b36a3e0e595522ee227df8f41066acf97cb8036a29", "token_id": "87611087099562745958400870356590879226885251274791709211479690121312625660459", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "842915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "97078c3bea6aa85579b0880c2e101ea9847808cb587af4dd893c7a6eae497aed", "event_source_sha256": "c6fcd4feaa84d3317e046a59905eabff4399577d8179d906e078d6fd3c0129ff" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3561663", "token_id": "66965119502374283750205241077834298829539639630608180298996673656055256740292", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Citizens' Coalition (MED)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3029820fae128051a6edb2d39991c587a35072703f17e48bce0ea62b238d6016", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3561663", "condition_id": "0xa1de40a60274f63f4950a724a57517c97f20ff6af9fab50a2d203b7f26d14dd2", "token_id": "66965119502374283750205241077834298829539639630608180298996673656055256740292", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Citizens' Coalition (MED) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "842915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2e9d71371cade419f5bf40cbb59fe97b866a6900e1d3ed4fecd906adc9514bf9", "event_source_sha256": "c6fcd4feaa84d3317e046a59905eabff4399577d8179d906e078d6fd3c0129ff" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3561661", "token_id": "115245913297402346939697352227019426554064658205367406774908980043250757197799", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Green Party (MP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9f333714a83755657f8fed955e44df95876ec7f220f6d9086f1b9ef23edb1d9d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3561661", "condition_id": "0x13224cf214547d24655f92e6972ca224674275bdbbfbf7d9fafb94855aafb55d", "token_id": "115245913297402346939697352227019426554064658205367406774908980043250757197799", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Green Party (MP) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "842915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0d24f4ee548cc2d2a59192e1e51c9744c71395949c6abb0affea80c6a764d019", "event_source_sha256": "c6fcd4feaa84d3317e046a59905eabff4399577d8179d906e078d6fd3c0129ff" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3561659", "token_id": "110203993905240827154185754735122393066222924406372432499177433483064111945527", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Left Party (V)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "02f4d760d60691264809f78ce6678a1220ec5174a17c1e18ef7512f61077a9a8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3561659", "condition_id": "0xc0986d59c913ffbf40a94966e77829ecffe3e0e5bb287713bce5715841409031", "token_id": "110203993905240827154185754735122393066222924406372432499177433483064111945527", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "842915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8c51bbb490a57a13414e2bd96a2eed2f394462ce3aa3f749feae7eb8090e3aa0", "event_source_sha256": "c6fcd4feaa84d3317e046a59905eabff4399577d8179d906e078d6fd3c0129ff" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3561662", "token_id": "33952533677671604005092427864758430915267803328754921853206757422015224584130", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liberals (L)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0eb30a3bd6c4ef77bf3b429d8287fb08c14599b2f8e649523df8d58652592d6f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3561662", "condition_id": "0xaa4aaf43a8650b50cce6462894ba3726e2a23876b024b93a05258ba097169c0f", "token_id": "33952533677671604005092427864758430915267803328754921853206757422015224584130", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Liberals (L) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "842915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "50890a61351af6b9b406b71ec2aa5c2b746d1a90596284df0591e00d67262fc3", "event_source_sha256": "c6fcd4feaa84d3317e046a59905eabff4399577d8179d906e078d6fd3c0129ff" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3561657", "token_id": "59479514748349374763892015958874709511855209943154833260288133717166287199654", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moderate Party (M)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ff7f126b794456f71906a6d561ffbbe54a84edab2929dc801e9ce36def22742e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3561657", "condition_id": "0xaf3f292444404f673176829a659feec7d99ab77b12a760d6932c83d573956e34", "token_id": "59479514748349374763892015958874709511855209943154833260288133717166287199654", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Moderate Party (M) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "842915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "46c5117451584e041860a2d9eb43fac2bdaa5237ce72645daf72dac4bf8e67a6", "event_source_sha256": "c6fcd4feaa84d3317e046a59905eabff4399577d8179d906e078d6fd3c0129ff" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3561656", "token_id": "81122136708288905226754215080438746947300867878170881280811405336030193424226", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sweden Democrats (SD)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b99cb9a27d6c27339343e17a1b2cffc1bc204a2a0d0e30b31d78d26ba74a43f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3561656", "condition_id": "0x27d00485698de5e80c7670795f1eb06884af90f449b60add1f2aecf31985d032", "token_id": "81122136708288905226754215080438746947300867878170881280811405336030193424226", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "842915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "255ac7a911c458b630a123d04fa53181b8bc365c0fc6ddcb54e0665c2366a9cd", "event_source_sha256": "c6fcd4feaa84d3317e046a59905eabff4399577d8179d906e078d6fd3c0129ff" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3561655", "token_id": "70393578116448344834933387055668806900457149480553519361709977853741525415015", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "936373e2041430b5d0381040e30623dcf0354b0209245faf9862cdc2a94a6b34", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3561655", "condition_id": "0xcda41fcf0cb8d6b79a35883ace3803957ae478ac7664711a9117a2317beffded", "token_id": "70393578116448344834933387055668806900457149480553519361709977853741525415015", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.\n\nIf voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "842915", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0d4bd4d3d44b30820908ae997768bf2a92de030375ffa42e31b656ab96915220", "event_source_sha256": "c6fcd4feaa84d3317e046a59905eabff4399577d8179d906e078d6fd3c0129ff" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992268", "title": "Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "cac24fff9dd7c7bef72d123d04b7169d352bc28d18200455cb27a3158b01ea69", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400153", "4400154", "4400155", "4400156", "4400157", "4400158", "4400159", "4400160", "4400161", "4400162", "4400163" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992268", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400153", "token_id": "52617264344338893108484263135919086426232071516546109025145207801391752074077", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2d7dc10b200312afe9d4abd8e0ba0341eebfb6b7d1968cd33e4818c6bcda73bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400153", "condition_id": "0x9c78cac827a1e198153139fbb2e8ff7882031ff8bffee62f39c44ed51d31408c", "token_id": "52617264344338893108484263135919086426232071516546109025145207801391752074077", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c35de03132030a6fc829844729672c4d673d77f85989a2cf0cfce0b33c18b6f0", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400154", "token_id": "70270876957571553523154720020307755757165779048603858982927740012562892469504", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f9dd52261c223163208821cd3963bbf056acc476631e8b33fb101e51677e2969", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400154", "condition_id": "0xebbaf2608376135294fc3ce2a7afb9d2ee21e56871d96642b63b6b52531e0245", "token_id": "70270876957571553523154720020307755757165779048603858982927740012562892469504", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d7b276151a74a0a960962c0ff19fc542d889a84db939dab5f797ad98d4980f08", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400155", "token_id": "48806320694050609303229625220997548879764358305700592092335865589927092990983", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9c42d80ea421ebfc1992b1f6b6f6159be448ab8f748d1920bb3d41262a433482", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400155", "condition_id": "0xddc2a442749dc5b4b683ff387341e4c2dc0b662ab5879a5da69a733374d649b4", "token_id": "48806320694050609303229625220997548879764358305700592092335865589927092990983", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3aa8b4132dc7cfae2146973de5996f63b02371b259f64a8cbd96f70ac3fc2c2d", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400156", "token_id": "102224771287625983597769842110580820531752053438788412976606703031562210403225", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d21512eaf649e96a92650efe55ee93367261f6e64ada698f0fb5ed472de62a69", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400156", "condition_id": "0x99732c7d18e04c1a50bb005ee73ea29ba5dc38dd80b176072fbb4a8b7f109935", "token_id": "102224771287625983597769842110580820531752053438788412976606703031562210403225", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a435c8eaefb0fd4a7cca60cc871007f5aa9c3e552d4896fa2d08528504a7466d", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400157", "token_id": "83902333997939013845571244092882931844420806733507089107923311524790857375357", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4f342f4ab4358b1fb8b5196ede69cc2ac175d829f35608d4da186534e4d737e9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400157", "condition_id": "0x00dc3bd9194fa4c1761371f0765299494cda3622da6d01fe52a1208b97b5d1a4", "token_id": "83902333997939013845571244092882931844420806733507089107923311524790857375357", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b7b94def7728eca07c314ed572e3f67b4593debe801c89d37f6ef3f126ff7d90", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400158", "token_id": "50376920011813500384053041188434482882104993924631391304563054942107232333896", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "725daef60e09b44e418254e80e309a457d26291240ab20c9e9151ec14b4717cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400158", "condition_id": "0x8d27e3df273aef355b71b9b56add9dac4339b324c3010b98579eec326b4e4d0e", "token_id": "50376920011813500384053041188434482882104993924631391304563054942107232333896", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f624f533e70ab35c20794b686d5bedf68f3f8cfd5469dd6a6423f4772c3ce584", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400159", "token_id": "62278106720213105293668413414863355327926581044912668301875999537111898198066", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2037fbb781e0a1bd6a1ae037b6750bd9eb61dca59ab6b7b301c7078af887b94", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400159", "condition_id": "0x04e5db90c7cf3a67b17ea91615f1a25debb88e24b0df7a569a737fef8a90d970", "token_id": "62278106720213105293668413414863355327926581044912668301875999537111898198066", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9f2b073198fa8954b1fdc77de62734dbc5f3a9f64057b3dbcd138553913caebd", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400160", "token_id": "69984910907466221845125902718521841532342594758467650541001028492931029258937", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5eaf2d2386284aaae9177c980b86a9fbfd6cf40b2a8c5d2fdf09eb1e29a1e449", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400160", "condition_id": "0x23f047bfd5e2574e4b674b577101d27d1faa4efcbf7968d7fdfbf72fe7d771cb", "token_id": "69984910907466221845125902718521841532342594758467650541001028492931029258937", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e857d319a48bfcbdad9bf12c5e00067b30888f83a0fda84152f940c5c78fc616", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400161", "token_id": "24773340787711154684697247090399255644697133558133463120843910888897864245235", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ecaccf690c902c890e3797efbc7fda8679631861a49f05a31f49cd4f933c0c90", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400161", "condition_id": "0xda92af2ca2ef742418f52ca0760582474f6adf857932e6fcba40cf15b5ad5720", "token_id": "24773340787711154684697247090399255644697133558133463120843910888897864245235", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e9f0c271580fde0beae9d546bffe2ee37f395fc5aa716a2f58881437f3471ccf", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400162", "token_id": "101442618753023242050005374355569711679674510234684029701445942730244091591503", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4df74ddca9e51bb99e7025015d2379f63df14bb3e85d105dac6018daf4295141", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400162", "condition_id": "0xe5a037a682664e8c7c4026b9f0b08ffd47ff236203d7902b6c36ba387b2d37e3", "token_id": "101442618753023242050005374355569711679674510234684029701445942730244091591503", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ae416a1394eb28ac9c8744f9596598e8c62ca152dbe7a553cbe3f814cdbc95d8", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400163", "token_id": "21566780552723606974989755591461159949355741664974459028464653729957518709649", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bf30ea01e36e2d793094e9d9a2b3be332a75431947ee333a5be3f2c22b59ae87", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400163", "condition_id": "0xb8f240e3ca39e9381e4c4491a56a61a0aa204ae1f8dbca8bd5624ba7ead69866", "token_id": "21566780552723606974989755591461159949355741664974459028464653729957518709649", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992268", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d201c08711a71b2a5e01d03ab7ce89828e21d7838d9743354bd55d5e766a93c1", "event_source_sha256": "a063e9358761f32ba95d737c9de48a8c5daf3a6f10f766b7860ae6ad8a63a8c6" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:805199", "title": "Oscars 2027: Best Animated Feature Film Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 8, "semantics_hash": "d5a3d9cac18e14b008b03993d20d94d30d51ecc4c78fb41348bc3a0d2c0f7929", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3377352", "3377353", "3377354", "3377355", "3377356", "3377357", "3377358", "3377359", "3377360", "3377361", "3377362", "3377363", "3377364", "3377365", "3377366", "3377367", "3377368", "3377369", "3377370", "3377371", "3377372", "3377373", "3377374", "3377375", "3377376", "3377377", "3377378", "3377379", "3377380", "3377381", "3377382", "3377383", "3377384", "3377385", "3377386" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:805199", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3377356", "token_id": "15777864815080863929846334155405719626102501664905105934378430333679171744611", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Forgotten Island", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "44ad8e9d25e71f452888a42f84da3280712ca819c2a4da0dd85e9a2b1ac17693", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3377356", "condition_id": "0x3cbc28842fe46af25f83699bcaf15b57cbe3a7f6fb2ae7ff24507d1f3b2ea9f8", "token_id": "15777864815080863929846334155405719626102501664905105934378430333679171744611", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Forgotten Island win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?", "rules": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film.\n\nIf a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "805199", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "778229ddb6be24169a855c0c5b63122f313c5a900f331d17cd13cb69c89c3c0a", "event_source_sha256": "824d2a9288b9e6d3dad5d83d18f1adfceadd08ca1a45b57f583665175d21141c" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3377354", "token_id": "76197844066157720169106276224957513894012420854328057493599833642581482814916", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hoppers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c5237ef95f4e697eac77f46cbeb43c9760d9564c27a6b1da54843f5ac60ad0b3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3377354", "condition_id": "0x77716656613180660cb7dea48509167b95b9f6f2223344b5bf610ab9d8fac6a7", "token_id": "76197844066157720169106276224957513894012420854328057493599833642581482814916", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Hoppers win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?", "rules": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film.\n\nIf a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "805199", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e2e1e4bec6688c71a76de25903ea9a1b2e33439facb016b784d6634e4dca3924", "event_source_sha256": "824d2a9288b9e6d3dad5d83d18f1adfceadd08ca1a45b57f583665175d21141c" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3377359", "token_id": "100878724530162085592585951645164716088093004645568382103365040436850949177534", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Minions & Monsters", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d39ecfbb147741c1a3fa6d1d7927413d6945ffcb481ae4524122add332921517", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3377359", "condition_id": "0x214d78d6f9fe08a210b22294c741043420e0662ad2ec9ca2af47057b5cb96e8c", "token_id": "100878724530162085592585951645164716088093004645568382103365040436850949177534", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Minions & Monsters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?", "rules": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film.\n\nIf a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "805199", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b1d5723a0999a2f1c20ccc0aeb3fa18c65c853f009c10b2a80c240f1da4adb35", "event_source_sha256": "824d2a9288b9e6d3dad5d83d18f1adfceadd08ca1a45b57f583665175d21141c" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3377355", "token_id": "40929622778729818388133636955775929005162117280491615166266874127026724035276", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Ray Gunn", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "50ecc7ff4776a5c9581ccaeeb72e088b44c52202d6a7c1f3bcee26439a26df71", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3377355", "condition_id": "0xd812047d4845e36f103d3ae8d605f736cfb70f6c26c7a2efeb0bd319e8bd5f5e", "token_id": "40929622778729818388133636955775929005162117280491615166266874127026724035276", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ray Gunn win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?", "rules": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film.\n\nIf a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "805199", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aeba5c2a93578209f2c623842160c0f06f49279d59eb58d7e5bc5c0e4c3b4715", "event_source_sha256": "824d2a9288b9e6d3dad5d83d18f1adfceadd08ca1a45b57f583665175d21141c" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3377357", "token_id": "82680215216102171666026684919303819987470864752324476751498676250706776325363", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0289803e8cc8e18f429484ff7bbcc4d6ccd9242559c6e57f5eabff6700487df6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3377357", "condition_id": "0x2ff1615d8bcef5a2bbc5d5d7126859414768780f62440f67cd9479b5eef7a1a7", "token_id": "82680215216102171666026684919303819987470864752324476751498676250706776325363", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Shaun the Sheep: The Beast of Mossy Bottom win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?", "rules": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film.\n\nIf a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "805199", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a15412148de0c8729c6733ee9b0e05e140564ba8fd3f9c3ec29454ca08988ad6", "event_source_sha256": "824d2a9288b9e6d3dad5d83d18f1adfceadd08ca1a45b57f583665175d21141c" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3377358", "token_id": "41676963341213938875802493444387027799330172243962281345662901218875440834733", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tangles", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f18d14956e947cd4356300fd71e30ba564dfc8c0c9a1b7d7070c51790ed12100", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3377358", "condition_id": "0x167a85052f33d2ac71e3e2b28576a6939627018c1b2118918f5b7053742e37a3", "token_id": "41676963341213938875802493444387027799330172243962281345662901218875440834733", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tangles win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?", "rules": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film.\n\nIf a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "805199", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "49a8771005357073086e0d64418afdb01a7fa1914b049672a5c8eb1dbb5600d0", "event_source_sha256": "824d2a9288b9e6d3dad5d83d18f1adfceadd08ca1a45b57f583665175d21141c" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3377352", "token_id": "14182858235097888792027072013347117128936767252020492753646028787073962499814", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Toy Story 5", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "826ab0de3f4c9ae6a37efbf16fa92831cdfb1de33c7c3a1c94722442050c70a3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3377352", "condition_id": "0xf8b74a5783479245302dabf9998545b8705379cc9910bf980a224bf3c35e3440", "token_id": "14182858235097888792027072013347117128936767252020492753646028787073962499814", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?", "rules": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film.\n\nIf a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "805199", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5224ef3ffe78b25eb3e5814d5655b8772560e3dae22c8696e328b4349baa4ff6", "event_source_sha256": "824d2a9288b9e6d3dad5d83d18f1adfceadd08ca1a45b57f583665175d21141c" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3377353", "token_id": "89597655531530433138423269731684179266399316402878477493927466923100816390022", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Wildwood", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a7e8c50863d2c1b79bd3f9aa7be7a1b399b6fcece5a2b6733ca404148c650209", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3377353", "condition_id": "0xf6498a32bc8d215c254251b271db327eea683b8804580b88d1544853b9fe5032", "token_id": "89597655531530433138423269731684179266399316402878477493927466923100816390022", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?", "rules": "The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film.\n\nIf a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIn case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.\n\nIf, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-03-14T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "805199", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d9ae55c01ee19c2a371f935f573ac08c8061d1a16443c68079a1fba541f07a04", "event_source_sha256": "824d2a9288b9e6d3dad5d83d18f1adfceadd08ca1a45b57f583665175d21141c" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992251", "title": "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "36fd161d24a3e0852590eb2fb8f6eccc3ba753c69c89fb80621972d7b0e788cf", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400046", "4400047", "4400048", "4400049", "4400050", "4400051", "4400052", "4400053", "4400054", "4400055", "4400056" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992251", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400046", "token_id": "67452380351093105639082391258537466450140217322518971459549579372570648334983", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eea10c4756770f08378844be5033089ac483ec5b171c2c96f493c1eaa1a2c2aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400046", "condition_id": "0x3f2b3309b4b8858ff6f39f5ab18b1ae61063beff1f95befb06219c4221169790", "token_id": "67452380351093105639082391258537466450140217322518971459549579372570648334983", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "641dcff2fe51892d92965474c0e874d63bec6887e897af1387e0b79122100def", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400047", "token_id": "12388871925634130620158982338621374360051754390898688280720598391313380449778", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "14808535898e9da867b712765018782f597f437375c96d1b8697ced18aefc707", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400047", "condition_id": "0xd1424ae8a59cf12f6257db51fed0e4593b7af9231089df55e2c5854c4b4f53dd", "token_id": "12388871925634130620158982338621374360051754390898688280720598391313380449778", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "189dd818118ef4ec31887a6001e919e441674653997fac1df492d11f7ce098df", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400048", "token_id": "27618770568286478602233857907356445729790233785006254142616140322816625120172", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5c424acc0a14cac0af3dd7b6c468f50f98aa6fafbd9f59b5d1a078a369b33803", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400048", "condition_id": "0x24b3a3ae30cf0669b7343875357e3ccbb1ba5d45bd281b0154cbbf747eccef39", "token_id": "27618770568286478602233857907356445729790233785006254142616140322816625120172", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "355e5bba8987170688a34e670c44a40707a1d96286e620d485830003948fb8c8", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400049", "token_id": "3102983704638886454055874893640755642627692839776816298928664024564786214094", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a20246377f5a9b18583175a50e544bfdcd0e694e8c9a547c970412ea20d5f8c4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400049", "condition_id": "0x36b6ac1c0148de7f01b8b0a97269332b3f2a5e71bc9d4837b1642aef4e82330e", "token_id": "3102983704638886454055874893640755642627692839776816298928664024564786214094", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dfd71d09b8b6db2373a105e623084033c2ce458e8693fcc7336a331555899b2f", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400050", "token_id": "70216189402771960980314347928126772558061570848664489304856622574562318298124", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af73cfcb562651a91d05c9b39d60ec81f67e5ecca1036ffc22fd5cbd18e60510", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400050", "condition_id": "0x4450a3d3c83079636f0c06abf9a9c3047975c8f3d83a089dd4f3385b1c4aba08", "token_id": "70216189402771960980314347928126772558061570848664489304856622574562318298124", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "602c49e1e47f4bc80a8834568dcd93b1d683a2ec2919f376f152c3d192c30c8f", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400051", "token_id": "76928694809965907758275790219027019371354802779413324622446341967385737835316", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e705372ccd606c03e846e7db6fda6c44483451395e1efa5bc09e9a1bc1cf1a69", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400051", "condition_id": "0x2bffbcdb37dbf96ed82a2e28f7c66133e81bd9c38a146e11497d9668c238fe3d", "token_id": "76928694809965907758275790219027019371354802779413324622446341967385737835316", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "789350e9fa600ecb9d1dd917680fb34c70db6773ee18d62298e248aaafdba2cc", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400052", "token_id": "32061180938677251066701435025057365895077742495067167016445853879471891397979", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ed8386ac3f8e29521d1534051e802315161dc507f5994d0043fd632d7bfe456", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400052", "condition_id": "0x1326c735ba84ab761791851a6d37b6155814b1509e596748940e28e119e4e774", "token_id": "32061180938677251066701435025057365895077742495067167016445853879471891397979", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ac1bef41176ccb1f0080a7b30a1748238195e247a2f466656eb07db4cee19bc5", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400053", "token_id": "45776026279107884559626436928339646227516061142115692904383776253720009655020", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1f3192b214ec59e2172b6016d784b326496e7a86f8d7b219e03a87b3cdcdf1f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400053", "condition_id": "0xca072d0cb589babe1f418e1aaaf8764d76ddbe0a3049873c98f2de50ef105131", "token_id": "45776026279107884559626436928339646227516061142115692904383776253720009655020", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "323b7ebf4798161e34beecbeb2be26b3635d57d6a34036191ce1f5d0c3cabcbb", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400054", "token_id": "111011417495002231071820521949851104829088336973466397250706754192305745884609", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ce0ca6c19679cc59d66375effbf1634ede041f936a45734420dc894fc8f08fe4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400054", "condition_id": "0x5c8d2a3efc0deb82e0649f705eaf64482d4b049359a5193e4c4e094a7baef1e5", "token_id": "111011417495002231071820521949851104829088336973466397250706754192305745884609", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "08d091773410216556bb8c8f131e18fe65437b2ae433c409f670b69d5338e78e", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400055", "token_id": "21475503899580425782102899939772892070685923184023572800466059398222054269974", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d5b3dd482001f34a59719882a8c9c9b7035cfeb6a7ec3e1ffdb5a82bd31fc6b0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400055", "condition_id": "0x683f70f15d9f3b51109f2c91baa33dd645891253d76f1e7050b38e1d13b9177f", "token_id": "21475503899580425782102899939772892070685923184023572800466059398222054269974", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a0be6a66eb4e9a208bf917123dbe475d6b17d35d34ac91085ed8e0495c8b10cc", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400056", "token_id": "83347287161007315961882139785407770158515446849602605962812272284017810618141", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "00c619d66e51ac7e5088631f0d310c167b83157eda71240c92d794c1e92892cd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400056", "condition_id": "0xd508f1a647aada3eeee747aee074330a4c6dd5b684952f27cea6231ec5c2e329", "token_id": "83347287161007315961882139785407770158515446849602605962812272284017810618141", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the \"Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)\" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant \"Daily Extract\", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nAny revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992251", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "551aa1e7f08faf968637b5d8db9a47b645a01a5d058c5e5367102558b93c0177", "event_source_sha256": "16f9e2a96c0fbae9079cdb75303bc84b5e0639f8d068df5f2461da10edf289a3" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986742", "title": "Highest temperature in Jeddah on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "f150ababe99786f9527ea5eceb21eb47778406620df17a26d6f912b5fd7d43ec", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4356525", "4356526", "4356527", "4356528", "4356529", "4356530", "4356531", "4356532", "4356533", "4356534", "4356535" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986742", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4356525", "token_id": "49256389442732434095008361445028099226793277875444829466462424233731324991595", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "30fbaa9a7c2d38ed6616ca290b7ffd9013cf5dc2aaef441ae9eb1fb172b7dc1d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356525", "condition_id": "0xd668a9e0004eb48e991beb31b818484eae98830474533c8ed681bcc7a7e61561", "token_id": "49256389442732434095008361445028099226793277875444829466462424233731324991595", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1a2ea5b4ff12a6c6bfc2fc0132327df916f7f8c34915f3ec78234b3ab22316b1", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4356526", "token_id": "114212061861785853930260106450268851200136380510408845706526383343250945411456", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "914b141d884c28bd7a829482cdb71267e34f75209d61a9e2c59b07a1ee460eec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356526", "condition_id": "0x64dc3f138164ddf488288fb709b6d659add83377392fe5439dc8288fb3914114", "token_id": "114212061861785853930260106450268851200136380510408845706526383343250945411456", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b0c8d301e658dfea17d3a4d7fd0982dfb970b158b3247871f1e880df914ae038", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4356527", "token_id": "46236920289216595752596682190726547136760347264002819851693228650107958797730", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "06d411dd3a0067ad4db4299d0360e0dfe36adb24181a57e1c78e504579542930", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356527", "condition_id": "0xb758eda09f470f8c17f2b9a11dd7cdc367c1953d58a85fd51dded2aa5517f6b1", "token_id": "46236920289216595752596682190726547136760347264002819851693228650107958797730", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 31\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7b395cc103a983c78b019d4da183897d34538797a82baf9df744f90ba72edc71", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4356528", "token_id": "43886886470460092388251588013963623454526723555905311170538388867814901335333", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "15d2c9df2e4f75f42209d4eacef8b688e5274e5535a8d1f53eeb85b06d831c54", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356528", "condition_id": "0xea744a2e67616e521148488bfd6ecec2febb9d06c6c2d59fda67fbe2faf676dc", "token_id": "43886886470460092388251588013963623454526723555905311170538388867814901335333", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2d093aa4c0f838e5053cd4d07bec6dcb5167f4a114ab61bc19633ba0ddd9e374", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4356529", "token_id": "54324992844439546869584899189774750230995780176345460908703028858220804032158", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0877d3065ccd4a422eeb37a9495eccc43cf2ecda9e3017da0d240733082bb8c2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356529", "condition_id": "0xa589b6949e8609773d099d54559358fed000db5f8d3cb232f3d641361880a5fe", "token_id": "54324992844439546869584899189774750230995780176345460908703028858220804032158", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "327d2fe7ee0921d05ef36ce9b264c957681d12e610620b2e8306d11fece8b920", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4356530", "token_id": "66166428368506350959109100675339765172109303364149534805645791516501540887727", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2272c51ab92a2ea7a6e6e739f5bafd62d5e851c136d2da1429b55c7f046bbdd7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356530", "condition_id": "0x635bf5295f80bea25c93bf10d7d8e53244b343f4a132fc31a87236f46f67abf1", "token_id": "66166428368506350959109100675339765172109303364149534805645791516501540887727", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a3d11062d1780f2077e68ad46e6cc964b9734f097af48722f13876df514af32f", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4356531", "token_id": "56134565667211221728349738749848413037625984091958983352046024187971709737385", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4028850695920605633b6369fc4b8bd767c7f938c2df854df32d68dfb2bd2b2b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356531", "condition_id": "0xf83c45a5d2a6622842ec2c867a1052a7b4721b54c1983466fbdb4c8d690c8b19", "token_id": "56134565667211221728349738749848413037625984091958983352046024187971709737385", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "491c808e8c70b4281ae98a3c03e7f78d09e5e103d9270c43a0fe66608479de87", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4356532", "token_id": "78434618590079804386010244123549201126213940475827501539834394210485004455707", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a6e48a425f96e94256cd0ad1fc5eb5a6bf4ca4de4887b4253227b3116e25b2ba", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356532", "condition_id": "0x1647e8692dcc981b04e44613e65384ffad2420d0c6c375e4cd4cd4a174d9541a", "token_id": "78434618590079804386010244123549201126213940475827501539834394210485004455707", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "02d6665d0522c2f4f52040ea8c3749c69a0e521061ea87a1d2cd4d2564f5c40d", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4356533", "token_id": "115220322288082909405504330400890411444416093378181234155101226213130452788550", "outcome": "yes", "label": "37\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c2dbcaffe988fc0da47fa11ec787590d87517307f6241edc34d47d526e2b3fe0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356533", "condition_id": "0xfd560548613e57abfca9d1237dbc74432f7ab767d6ce3d20fc7904be51a8f613", "token_id": "115220322288082909405504330400890411444416093378181234155101226213130452788550", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "055f9c8adecfe09cb652c9f77d0b6c9a4cebd954afac6eaa107f4d13eab54fe5", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4356534", "token_id": "44974487908147081536922484568803701193836475774966470617046139268976280345762", "outcome": "yes", "label": "38\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "75b2b567df55ec2edee58bfa37f99b4a4daf1f0f5f6c1d3a9465ba3c46497551", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356534", "condition_id": "0x98a979e1449003bb5bbe36607886336acee8221581020a1c4c62a6a47344e4f7", "token_id": "44974487908147081536922484568803701193836475774966470617046139268976280345762", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8af969e3a43accf0df14ea024a63be0675b1dc0c668b7d4765fc4a9382398700", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4356535", "token_id": "35842430470847205123214955662458874523646677862987925283952534180957818086460", "outcome": "yes", "label": "39\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f2f3a51b8af61a61b13b5c8cea64ba64189b35958828d6b40a0fdb27400bf1f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4356535", "condition_id": "0x8c092cc8c526e858eaf9181db3942c3d4f3589659e28a292a2b98aed1a5d0206", "token_id": "35842430470847205123214955662458874523646677862987925283952534180957818086460", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986742", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b24c94b444e551064326616a9eccd92916ddd11b0cd6dbacebd600f3bd984997", "event_source_sha256": "331172b377d7af23575786a7d8b26ee6b8be91b456a36820a701bba4796dc6fa" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:653446", "title": "Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 22, "semantics_hash": "5d1b8c5846d3c0ac615f8f3ad5c4c8825520f6b65dacd9e592d74c0709bc8ad1", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2750298", "2750299", "2750300", "2750301", "2750302", "2750303", "2750304", "2750305", "2750306", "2750307", "2750308", "2750309", "2750310", "2750311", "2750312", "2750313", "2750314", "2750315", "2750316", "2750317", "2750318", "2750319" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:653446", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2750312", "token_id": "21836864028662724925842960546571159167784056525419862505537052673162956441728", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Abbas - President of Palestine", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9c34c948ad1d4ca6d73fb5789b4d5212bf1a00321ae55a43ff2e703443fbf231", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750312", "condition_id": "0x87b4fab9ba12e7ac29735b5fe63b9398a95d4e46185c55a3a52433bffae9cee7", "token_id": "21836864028662724925842960546571159167784056525419862505537052673162956441728", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e4dea4c1001747c5599196f354131f9d3015a657cc464b1e2ebed6c631de1cf1", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2750318", "token_id": "78744282853406081840155860541140390825995300994383000727289970342061850497289", "outcome": "yes", "label": "al-Sharaa - Syria President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d96f1962dcb15c7ce06599d17232ea2a80485494ed647d8ace0ffd405864163e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750318", "condition_id": "0x31ae3eec28ab6568bcc3d610f3857b4a3040b5842d57127e041bfee3cb54fc29", "token_id": "78744282853406081840155860541140390825995300994383000727289970342061850497289", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "53bce36d0b68402762b71d009e322e39cbba98271526f824910f7b19cea47cfe", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2750303", "token_id": "35754919099710377493502319026042257582043078444914262544090793816860314847327", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Albanese - Australia PM", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b0de1818ab3efb118556da09bbc52fcf87942c6465269e23c5a75aa0df467b18", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750303", "condition_id": "0x9f0323ed0b198e73a4eeec1822d0eae097941ddad3d7f796937b8e6e004b3d11", "token_id": "35754919099710377493502319026042257582043078444914262544090793816860314847327", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ddcf0a2e585353c2964be7bd4e12cb382a3a1632067195eea2ac1dfbb8692bda", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2750316", "token_id": "34227974932321614305014093538827739280122536240249516535279092205018889124147", "outcome": "yes", "label": "D\u00edaz-Canel - Cuba President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a37b3d1c623e65b0c8392ef5491ebcf69a807cdc4417a86d478f50869955400a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750316", "condition_id": "0x8dd5ac33cd5d2b942c3f51d519648f1bbd75e854fa77255973f034bcf51f6434", "token_id": "34227974932321614305014093538827739280122536240249516535279092205018889124147", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Miguel D\u00edaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dc083002fc6f58037cadf7684413b3fbdc901572ac602dc3870ef7e8c3618742", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2750299", "token_id": "39868984890129916696639666500844270239687876876622600999226376265598181658097", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Erdo\u011fan - T\u00fcrkiye President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "92d8a60996e23b2d74d15233f28ac3628f350ed622728eef7e2d8427cedd49d4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750299", "condition_id": "0xbea2bc8100eff35242663564c967af9444681f75a3c16f6223d5fb48bef567fe", "token_id": "39868984890129916696639666500844270239687876876622600999226376265598181658097", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "26c8b95f6a2d86b126edc2b427d26feb14175c0b7be485a4a01c698b17c17b10", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2750300", "token_id": "8971736566110089015535823305749600402305639525827552874633237882541244843831", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b96f4e19ba48a11b917b3754771b963e9dc7c0765309b08c02cb0b053b8a666d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750300", "condition_id": "0xc41ec7ef46aeaf92c52a0e47fdaae094064d58efb9c5e3c73694d282bdb0ef6b", "token_id": "8971736566110089015535823305749600402305639525827552874633237882541244843831", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "026b2fc3b587dd58ff6de82df329a922ff7a03cfb76e8cc745d06fce48e0b5b5", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2750310", "token_id": "21188623963285024610955329042775633634646645353657070139543474120304792621684", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lecornu - France PM", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "58de235fae6b418eb19ec532759933d796fa6ead212746d812f6450cfe077d0d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750310", "condition_id": "0x9dadfa633cab5b1f3b7711a47d16c9e352dc57654e1b746067bae3f82214435b", "token_id": "21188623963285024610955329042775633634646645353657070139543474120304792621684", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will S\u00e9bastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5444e723d3050716f424d616130df120a51650151aa058906186d26d716f896a", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2750309", "token_id": "61664390748763855142701254485361453404349645890763302896095006066648368721274", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lula da Silva - Brazil President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "48c64baa825ff3578e2949468d1fc851103778ffe1586b3656888078f2ec60ba", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750309", "condition_id": "0x0716a90a7a2e642eb65255c22187174165da4518ad3811c543df3eabcd08c9dc", "token_id": "61664390748763855142701254485361453404349645890763302896095006066648368721274", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4a07f76bfde84540e442095ff3dc60f7db05115222e04089b7f9553ef8b6393e", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "2750298", "token_id": "59305882068380023228693610423087549375705431730703496786186377446545536598452", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Macron - France President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fac2138bdc2f18665b7059803cd861656ce42f1b60bf3c6ea2b7d709294861b8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750298", "condition_id": "0xa269db945d01305fc42b3bfa3e01e95ee17619a5e490e26236d969401c79e2ec", "token_id": "59305882068380023228693610423087549375705431730703496786186377446545536598452", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ca9881dc864e9e2506d8ae8e8f6b2dbc5e97fce2265ab9981fb175b3e5706839", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "2750313", "token_id": "45284687392627883506392579446057671177910123037356731247810576465198379255398", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Merz - German Chancellor", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d1e6720c0d3c577dabaf2d48d73b3b262296b13f1bd0786cd47ef01c95979681", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750313", "condition_id": "0x24054faa76513d7d4c87d0f7d9fe8336317da6406d05aea6e623f3aed9dd0c6c", "token_id": "45284687392627883506392579446057671177910123037356731247810576465198379255398", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4aae3401220b0fbc63f710aa4376128185b876047ce59fab47b19e58ff58bf4f", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "2750305", "token_id": "56488451938939109848263684324970484352725467413483488617123223639250744988161", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Milei - Argentina President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6499346d907665ca327cb4389f50513225646bfa4799b33dbedb0ceb663caa0e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750305", "condition_id": "0x139b8911f111f845384ee15d68afc49a956da1fc4a3d7ee591f6f64a1f53660f", "token_id": "56488451938939109848263684324970484352725467413483488617123223639250744988161", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5edc28c7b472ab5b465efcb78af0645ffbb3e9c6151e151348575fdcd698b5e4", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "2750302", "token_id": "93686489275920475528859958954371257010123638875258596645843494435268991938476", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Netanyahu - Israel PM", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dffb27167b4b9add73628c42dffc10a669355c30c0a0366640ec59bcaceedb24", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750302", "condition_id": "0x780fb498b1f10fe785545ab25b2129398fe8fca4fac25471f37884d02264fc09", "token_id": "93686489275920475528859958954371257010123638875258596645843494435268991938476", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a068933d031db76ddb1507addd94b8593f5675ef35de04703dcc929b03392e6e", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "2750304", "token_id": "67609725354063035275227195957283414854178988535093071690653811937749469367348", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Newsom - California Governor", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0c4ebc4e4202add4c62e836888fb55802beddb88df235a90f272d41768284829", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750304", "condition_id": "0x7947bc114b6a3b869470b02cd50bfa717c1411b57fd060071dd168787304f114", "token_id": "67609725354063035275227195957283414854178988535093071690653811937749469367348", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "877e903a335d6cb60a569939ebd8092524ae83988b37d769f3bdb5c74a8b1908", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "2750319", "token_id": "61739059723378834449840109934045252302791535422930838093523877308955890707762", "outcome": "yes", "label": "None before 2027", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3f05aaa93b26268f52888126fe29056fb8852a4a6d0a73d79aea5e137cbcb280", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750319", "condition_id": "0x3b5a8f61120f2fb2a808f117b950d7c37ad3ee0953464ba69927c31d24cde918", "token_id": "61739059723378834449840109934045252302791535422930838093523877308955890707762", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will no listed leader be out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "82b384fc11788407a81bb375088d168918821311607b0056eb57665c7f7d99a7", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "2750308", "token_id": "94286378282117253598718534188363074356562814623322524213961022398014869696456", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Putin - Russia President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "47310c9096b0f6d1182fd10f14b29ce6982e6faa00ab021aea65b8ac1fcc0719", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750308", "condition_id": "0x21724762698f7be4a65bd5b076782cd4b27c7762516fecf88ccc0b4430492411", "token_id": "94286378282117253598718534188363074356562814623322524213961022398014869696456", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3b33340249661a6ecfcfa9d94a29dffa6e19a6a64332b9b7fad5946384e6fbc6", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "2750317", "token_id": "14876411310072300626084497449337615241309178227015749760535484435129910426844", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rodr\u00edguez - Venezuela Acting President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c1b9bbaa050ca3181200b7e2d0b7f66f95d9c503c9afbe179d0800e3f5486896", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750317", "condition_id": "0x96c949597678892339dde0918f28906ac12f1334c0d6a539d7884c944b4b39bc", "token_id": "14876411310072300626084497449337615241309178227015749760535484435129910426844", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Delcy Rodr\u00edguez be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ba6aa7c4a346fd2bbcb814f9ef62e00653cf568a44ffc2d4fc1d4acf079071ee", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "2750315", "token_id": "77371502071308163804269307794857251617485030952743599559532367829645727716444", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sheinbaum - Mexico President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "23dfab80241fc3c05c6ec0b674db921cba9b040a104305922ed396e2c0024493", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750315", "condition_id": "0x932d0a12bb0c425408ff82bc99a242e2e4752d939a2f2a1097ef37af368783af", "token_id": "77371502071308163804269307794857251617485030952743599559532367829645727716444", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "773bc2e92d524a75f94deda1349c52161405209e7624551d17d54e871bdd78c6", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "2750314", "token_id": "24680904555152850557646190476111126267437732561739668312088054400624469655385", "outcome": "yes", "label": "S\u00e1nchez - Spanish PM", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "58efdba61264e566cd6bc050b01090ac271120c292bcf6a716c2c95fbc0d9f80", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750314", "condition_id": "0x0ea6e9ff415871b64273a991ad7560f19d38a25449b996fa83655a5e8f818821", "token_id": "24680904555152850557646190476111126267437732561739668312088054400624469655385", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pedro S\u00e1nchez be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a90fd94be1554b2a46fe7a4d17381deb51a3f53c15d447fe95471af31985de5c", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "2750311", "token_id": "85897388209000721235393994783461348926703697784252865021671672504330897693669", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Takaichi - Japan PM", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "58d6bf4fb81a7f5f2eb0e79dfab1e589db5df668665a10604e190d04fd8b8bdb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750311", "condition_id": "0xe727d8f1cac667930c9b7cc9b443a079ff3cfac47de4933957ba741282763cf0", "token_id": "85897388209000721235393994783461348926703697784252865021671672504330897693669", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8d4899e29d8ef1a29e269561ff4c78eda99d81b367cb19e24451232f2b7f17c0", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "2750306", "token_id": "63458242222006253125422533461836576193269510202481819730015596138415383585732", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Trump - USA President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "990226eaff24cbe221e18439ec0ba65b518056e51b53a704290c83fd2e40a96f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750306", "condition_id": "0xc3d229efc876fce37afbaf3e467b50ab64a4747ea8c5224bc7cf7e8acf465ffc", "token_id": "63458242222006253125422533461836576193269510202481819730015596138415383585732", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d5a55e36bcbaf3182d7e7a0da65d61fb32c802f5e0d1ff960708451191b514c7", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "2750301", "token_id": "50157995524452567574105562640215214625357153524053675077336675513448529094134", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Xi - General Secretary of the CCP", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dedd698cc9cbe46bfdfca7a971c28a42ce712f431f576ba8320324479371bb39", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750301", "condition_id": "0xa97ab95c88a44476af89bdfe180676c6e014c25c45022f91356261dbc08ed6d6", "token_id": "50157995524452567574105562640215214625357153524053675077336675513448529094134", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cb7c326edd59fec3e61b83a7bf3f54c8f23651f303b02bd853d8c9d0c81db343", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "2750307", "token_id": "9832840359181173217418270735851083111766368574540654941614964275778988692876", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Zelenskyy - Ukraine President", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8405762241952db352843a84006c7e629d7c8b077ea3016685dca20879924764", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2750307", "condition_id": "0xdf32503b14fe232043d9db63ae787db13ddbc8374f4d1d016fd7d90d68e87147", "token_id": "9832840359181173217418270735851083111766368574540654941614964275778988692876", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office.\n\nAn announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.\n\nOnly permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.\n\nAdditionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.\n\nIf this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cNone before 2027\u201d. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "653446", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0d2a20337c37cc70357fe2bcf22261b4d24dfeb0f00512ad950510b9dd85d6ae", "event_source_sha256": "41e20f93a0a6d3e97648dffa14013c3a2b841e061958f11fd4dcc5f933719695" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992275", "title": "Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "e20dd8098f25915b0abfada55103ca27b6b7f10e80f8c3916932797f403797cd", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400230", "4400231", "4400232", "4400233", "4400234", "4400235", "4400236", "4400237", "4400238", "4400239", "4400240" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992275", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400230", "token_id": "76645847190872001559342753892323352231410232311322198708224524391604381270072", "outcome": "yes", "label": "10\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8c87a46cc087a218d83ca340aa51ce826f00f9a61f2cd51920d56fda1447cad0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400230", "condition_id": "0x40cd7b0e1e5aa551457591a8252278e3dee1fc60bf42bc069e119ad2f6186b41", "token_id": "76645847190872001559342753892323352231410232311322198708224524391604381270072", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fc3c8bd1f082f923df6c6683205d3fbe30cecb1abd44e0680a2f6c13cde0b3c2", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400231", "token_id": "31178571539259447470614620007198031164316549924853405050890959501004733793704", "outcome": "yes", "label": "11\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a061ed8fbb85f97aee1d1c17dc4170a96d4c2072fedad376d51f3f60bc7821e8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400231", "condition_id": "0xd383d8e7edfb93671c42c4eadb4f290dd2ee441fc50d80ba6bccb725d01b670c", "token_id": "31178571539259447470614620007198031164316549924853405050890959501004733793704", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2371ba782bf0e4deb4ba24a179b97acefdd846f43b7c5909cabe4c8d928ffde7", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400232", "token_id": "113112530490266854924055642838571172205993793093740432352989922026219717211914", "outcome": "yes", "label": "12\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f053bd32849ddc36f25de7132a102cf2c75bf1baa412a9e04b8c0ccdc8f0e9f9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400232", "condition_id": "0x2cbd0ff16787d9b3db8aa25cadc51e667a98d926470cf1b144a3d8eba7f6ecd7", "token_id": "113112530490266854924055642838571172205993793093740432352989922026219717211914", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d76cf77b85c568707c5717023378711990c56418e108d7a0c9ecb8788f516195", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400233", "token_id": "12690531891330174240650499768559051754649899441408776190616454412045444185126", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "777cd62d229427a2e34ef0b9f2c8ef95a1c72047f4d8c1fb6f46208e3cc5b80b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400233", "condition_id": "0xdf0230687e40a13fe3a577ec125df543d7f4aea77e9549538ace67599890f78b", "token_id": "12690531891330174240650499768559051754649899441408776190616454412045444185126", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2eabe9347bfe9ea544541e14d679fd38bb6a121b0620023a582326718519b573", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400234", "token_id": "72517485647056250754344233352106493357808275958825950341643109183013352024513", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4efd3b175287aeca21cd7252af220b6f72cef97a844b8de6fe19a20a1a54e748", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400234", "condition_id": "0x4efe1c3ec5440108213d4b66f5ddc57db5b158a6079fbcfe0dae4d759cd0be29", "token_id": "72517485647056250754344233352106493357808275958825950341643109183013352024513", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "99e313f0e6388676451d741e58a2a00f1baf99e08fce7627f0d9a9caebb26804", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400235", "token_id": "3955767739742887726918905285907056520501169075644949128696020618460211811035", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "15de7ce550179566f4a103e57626ec3b1e4b54cc79133263429799eadcf20011", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400235", "condition_id": "0xba27763b7bdc6a727fb2449d68752773cf3fbeb9786f433f9b40e1da4aefa2c1", "token_id": "3955767739742887726918905285907056520501169075644949128696020618460211811035", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c6c87cb443d124e709336d6b4b666ae17a9ca907e2c3b5757739ea9f64e0fe7d", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400236", "token_id": "45533127098701930576511396061265428709507953712534764045074259969449551243940", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1ba31022c7eea4e5a7432f75fd06f67619e561f9e708a9a8431dfbd3baf31e44", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400236", "condition_id": "0x7a82aa3b812c8e18fe2a5de3f2b8fc37d2680cd6427b22c301cbbafc393dfd89", "token_id": "45533127098701930576511396061265428709507953712534764045074259969449551243940", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "335e40b7ea42ca1d7674d1f0c8b12ac6c4f6b1f6785d3f73ea1ad26e54163767", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400237", "token_id": "88944199139132358556480414090373227161270945048860602287145670281793007535542", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4415876a402057dc3c2f3039189e84305849dec96c7d7c916988625f275dbc92", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400237", "condition_id": "0x746e200c1e4c04f02a02e91682c2429e9ce19f4860efe793c4963803a389f213", "token_id": "88944199139132358556480414090373227161270945048860602287145670281793007535542", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "60644a644beb357edd38b36298e958edb0e9126615be50e9fa3775d8adcaa8ce", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400238", "token_id": "98604771218872576714485937383605691475647932006805557158009395604857335925448", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "381e135d4e6e233de66c924bd3beaf91181031ef7a9fc87801db0a1e18530168", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400238", "condition_id": "0x95d23de7080d6ce82f6bd88251dfab57b2edfaa209cef4d86e14902e7eaddb92", "token_id": "98604771218872576714485937383605691475647932006805557158009395604857335925448", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5947376b9c0a65891ef7a9cbdabfd38b4d6b5097ed4b0c25f27f9a56a71a15b4", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400239", "token_id": "107116766997717886995716904816944356926678670204170170150468685054268864697418", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "15fb1dce97d783254d0ae9fbabc7c58fea2154d7222710c8047e2421d6a75f19", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400239", "condition_id": "0xdec66b3dfaec66f1c64931cc50c07a492c141f3216edbd680ae572f6aeca6942", "token_id": "107116766997717886995716904816944356926678670204170170150468685054268864697418", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ea197fad8e7cdab7347910e2590abc2f5f35e58374a50d7c08a066e3e7a3ef4a", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400240", "token_id": "5030113784298624849968456280170596005584021527110294688663575816602463388573", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "934783227801e7702791d21f82f4a40ff08565c5234477442f53d041d930f023", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400240", "condition_id": "0x5283c449d8712441f42fe6923be1c9e68c171d051cb1a208eb49e10b6080ec4b", "token_id": "5030113784298624849968456280170596005584021527110294688663575816602463388573", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992275", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a47e4a36955a8727c2fa542f72f0a7b3739737d46f327f6d6b365cbd8451442b", "event_source_sha256": "26e319a74f2ac8f70c1b80684ecefb355ac9325ab7c08648d968f646dc5d51be" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:149565", "title": "Russia Parliamentary Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 8, "semantics_hash": "85c424a0238c9055836740a0d5f43bcd31687a12ce5b38ef889644a54bb57060", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1129894", "1129896", "1129899", "1129900", "1129902", "1129903", "1129905", "1129907", "1129909", "1129911", "1129912", "1129914", "1129915", "1129917", "1129918", "1129919", "1129921", "1129922", "1129923", "1129925", "1129926", "1129928", "1129929", "1129930", "1129931", "1129933", "1129934", "1129935", "1129936", "1129937", "1129938", "1129939", "1129940", "1129942" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:149565", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1129899", "token_id": "86637059184846146106273387368634049771733897054863596659190825970578785393185", "outcome": "yes", "label": "A Just Russia \u2013 For Truth (SRZP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d7f70485a2e9a5101e5ae364b50047e32326d5e4b54bece96b091a2cb42b6031", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1129899", "condition_id": "0x57de5cb5861ac19516a631dabfbfbf1b0ebd28693fbd6412cbb24582f3304dbc", "token_id": "86637059184846146106273387368634049771733897054863596659190825970578785393185", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will A Just Russia \u2013 For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149565", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fa0978a901c928f977dcbab4f08b9a747ab7ec189124ca9a0c7cf42f0cfafcb7", "event_source_sha256": "a263a6a0a0035dffcaf3dad4422f0610135bbe1c04579245dd65ca22006b1889" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1129905", "token_id": "6983842997649921370944903188846646076537973515278516261878443127654529665484", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Civic Platform (GP)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e8ad8857d9cae00ee5aee3ef80a95e0371f46bb9709fa6ff734aa2eff79c13c6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1129905", "condition_id": "0x48337ab13ef050f08a95d9bd39d1ece42923bd4c315bf82d8c2b86cd97af73d9", "token_id": "6983842997649921370944903188846646076537973515278516261878443127654529665484", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149565", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6a9312e841fdee91d5e68f2f75aa2bce22611d879c26dc3fc12a5ca1fa1465f9", "event_source_sha256": "a263a6a0a0035dffcaf3dad4422f0610135bbe1c04579245dd65ca22006b1889" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "1129896", "token_id": "19318402870075338484676353621718958130193574406203829814625446954916050166879", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1e3af3bf166aa2c2308b24944597f3c17595adf96edf1ab0a6eae113339a0f4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1129896", "condition_id": "0xa3c1c05d52f3d986e33f024926b5bd7897ba7b29862e61df551aa04ff2bf52e9", "token_id": "19318402870075338484676353621718958130193574406203829814625446954916050166879", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149565", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "300a0f1d472719e1b2604fe55c8603c7315d47aa9c4c19c671efcf9297123e07", "event_source_sha256": "a263a6a0a0035dffcaf3dad4422f0610135bbe1c04579245dd65ca22006b1889" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "1129900", "token_id": "49351624970463981658523370402897066348881922156652029202904907968424901710939", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5472c5a6ebc88b1121c4c2e2f85210433c1886df8763f67e46a96644075b8495", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1129900", "condition_id": "0x0a6e54cc0154292155762314c6e220546dbd1ecb7a29d213188963abade7c87d", "token_id": "49351624970463981658523370402897066348881922156652029202904907968424901710939", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149565", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ef9413dd702a2af9c9cf31ef7ea6242995e73f5dbce527bad8986d5dab32b2bf", "event_source_sha256": "a263a6a0a0035dffcaf3dad4422f0610135bbe1c04579245dd65ca22006b1889" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "1129902", "token_id": "91645738397164378773586390899289711760760466600330032950720533723420696658040", "outcome": "yes", "label": "New People (NL)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "99914fccfb1ed3bad2a37f1efda631f7b3cd95889dc4edafb8bffc7e5d91d759", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1129902", "condition_id": "0x93657cd9bb7f8f7d7721ace577bc44194716a3f1e2c9dff20e4e454ea51a8842", "token_id": "91645738397164378773586390899289711760760466600330032950720533723420696658040", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will New People (NL) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149565", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1390c2db5845784f04bbb1f801c2078cf5c1ce9d4813181ee52bafdf9547b051", "event_source_sha256": "a263a6a0a0035dffcaf3dad4422f0610135bbe1c04579245dd65ca22006b1889" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "1129903", "token_id": "115774041769226272848546086764018417993324159251864692690623186827914271983368", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rodina", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "92c65b8a4880bd9909bbaa8ce210933dbc0474ad32c88b2c7964a2f4c4067b52", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1129903", "condition_id": "0x109932ecdd80d64f17e07e962940e5d386301ef0351aacc2faf2d379a7e3ac23", "token_id": "115774041769226272848546086764018417993324159251864692690623186827914271983368", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rodina win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149565", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "25aff59eb9d0b6e135cb578cbbba136f822a82ededf8faddd7d091ab4d8c6a74", "event_source_sha256": "a263a6a0a0035dffcaf3dad4422f0610135bbe1c04579245dd65ca22006b1889" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "1129894", "token_id": "54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030", "outcome": "yes", "label": "United Russia (ER)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6e979d909be90321c598b1d1154ac2145cd5b9d379a89fe525b1e1fe2a0e8fe7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1129894", "condition_id": "0x94ffc785f73c9d70c0c9550b2412842d025d20d02f9e9e20a18cc4598944cbc5", "token_id": "54057248988363035974143180194809082793011092510899400087326333477908849736030", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149565", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "de482c396b57e93c1fea48b9a31bb20ed16a99597ab04181677aaed30bcb958d", "event_source_sha256": "a263a6a0a0035dffcaf3dad4422f0610135bbe1c04579245dd65ca22006b1889" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "1129909", "token_id": "3735044960809318928872142234128106208374653068046086767052023064933057758641", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yabloko", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6a5dedd71cf2a743e4f9d560298be87a2776b90c6896c1c884e39cb3ed35a973", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1129909", "condition_id": "0x9baee50ffbb610e39ec73a6a31cc61f2bbb12c3c9a50d499fde64030700b3cdd", "token_id": "3735044960809318928872142234128106208374653068046086767052023064933057758641", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yabloko win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.\n\nIf the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nIn the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.\n\nNote: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "149565", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a1b8831e14b8f5830ec0986148fbf82e7a845f943936d627981a1e373ae23cdf", "event_source_sha256": "a263a6a0a0035dffcaf3dad4422f0610135bbe1c04579245dd65ca22006b1889" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:57659", "title": "Minnesota Senate Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "34f59f07fabba4bf17508aa029397cc1904f0d893819f3e3b0ac658149b9273f", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "630818", "630819", "630820", "630821", "630822", "630823", "630824", "630825", "630826", "630827", "630828", "630829", "630830" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:57659", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "630819", "token_id": "70179930004460104520571721963263381325865077807861641105900318902168490512539", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Michele Tafoya (R)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "29b6e08ca74a8bb342acd7145cbbc95687f7f1d418f902c4e3bfbbadb98cae87", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "630819", "condition_id": "0xae1d21f8632f37e11493fef7307b4d09c6b27697be5c820806a840559b1b2e06", "token_id": "70179930004460104520571721963263381325865077807861641105900318902168490512539", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57659", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e16de194e654264e2ae5faa260569e1cfe1f4c1f74182b96319d605855c3901e", "event_source_sha256": "ebb4b4acc1a1c5a956826aa704488d4cab94bbc9bc5941024d44ee12b5cf9ac9" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "630818", "token_id": "5210147086444382339849101722545511095151948730486562412029285471203011774407", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Peggy Flanagan (D)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a20351f3d20c629faa3ffa669b3912845ef4e61be951f196ad536e6d096d13f5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "630818", "condition_id": "0x44b642636473fb07f0c2319a1d25729a36134969076ffdbb8979cbfdda612b14", "token_id": "5210147086444382339849101722545511095151948730486562412029285471203011774407", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57659", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d2872ebcf3684ec95b90161a614df2dc3ec70d31783d87028fbb9c136b74b89f", "event_source_sha256": "ebb4b4acc1a1c5a956826aa704488d4cab94bbc9bc5941024d44ee12b5cf9ac9" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:864365", "title": "Paran\u00e1 Senate Election: 1st Place", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 9, "semantics_hash": "e0ff688784497bbf966862072da604e777ddd0cb7ff86755a772c4a11de095e9", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3661841", "3661842", "3661843", "3661844", "3661845", "3661846", "3661847", "3661848", "3661849", "3661850", "3661851", "3661852", "3661853", "3661854", "3661855", "3661856", "3661857", "3661858", "3661859", "3661860", "3661861", "3661862", "3661863", "3661864", "3661865", "3661866", "3661867", "3661868", "3661869", "3661870", "3661871", "3661872", "3661873", "3661874", "3661875", "3661876" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:864365", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3661841", "token_id": "25124759314733557350195231127494291340637328436274404690810841821558908803073", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alexandre Curi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "322eff3658a9d0c5b872d34e173746e6cb7f053d5edf35531960bda93979201d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3661841", "condition_id": "0x0121021e2f12a4b600dfa667469063f123e4cde480f76f69e3e850e89b3421ef", "token_id": "25124759314733557350195231127494291340637328436274404690810841821558908803073", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paran\u00e1 Senate election?", "rules": "The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paran\u00e1 is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates\u2019 listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "864365", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "52e3624453c6d71b3d3cb66f7d0e51a4e425f257d0519e2e33f65ade507736b0", "event_source_sha256": "af42759a3601e8af261d5ef96f4e9635c44358dde81b54f3b271a4dfd87804ba" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3661842", "token_id": "43079017985274886633428656171069777911246698135525160126226147327194056512955", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cristina Reis Graeml", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f913b07920695554d971376a33dbd0c2ac1481649451389e46d527acbd16dcd8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3661842", "condition_id": "0xb23eabce82be573989d6003c57a0c46855f4a963ec84a75722e789c5cb1c9555", "token_id": "43079017985274886633428656171069777911246698135525160126226147327194056512955", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Cristina Reis Graeml win the most votes in the 2026 Paran\u00e1 Senate election?", "rules": "The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paran\u00e1 is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates\u2019 listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "864365", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9d0cdc3c66e8324664507838c3d02acf69f74e04e3c9fdf1890da8d77c6605d2", "event_source_sha256": "af42759a3601e8af261d5ef96f4e9635c44358dde81b54f3b271a4dfd87804ba" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3661843", "token_id": "98420299973194657752122664721578840731832093957121888432046329374951216611579", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Deltan Dallagnol", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2f1b291822163c381f752a3a6710d3c3b2b1efd3f6a38f8dce1ac60386c8c15", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3661843", "condition_id": "0x2505e0f70da688aafa66d1a83b8250a73570f08cee8526f2c04510af09e914af", "token_id": "98420299973194657752122664721578840731832093957121888432046329374951216611579", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Deltan Dallagnol win the most votes in the 2026 Paran\u00e1 Senate election?", "rules": "The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paran\u00e1 is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates\u2019 listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "864365", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b4007ff8ff968e819b81bcaaf4a7b63429414e4b6b9764674568ecc0808e7fe0", "event_source_sha256": "af42759a3601e8af261d5ef96f4e9635c44358dde81b54f3b271a4dfd87804ba" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3661844", "token_id": "12043230251940162991894988106335410877052665557005498139355989805608089387613", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dr. Rosinha", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "41c9d493d7e96dea26e500a24bda90da131a130f40bacfd4efc223b4b894a934", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3661844", "condition_id": "0xfd8e608b22992f790b1a9cfae643804501297de9c83421f8003f64936d91e28b", "token_id": "12043230251940162991894988106335410877052665557005498139355989805608089387613", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dr. Rosinha win the most votes in the 2026 Paran\u00e1 Senate election?", "rules": "The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paran\u00e1 is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates\u2019 listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "864365", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "15228caf0c5ab3f7b1fb4008926fd304abda18fcaed03346fc633c65b0e9d6d7", "event_source_sha256": "af42759a3601e8af261d5ef96f4e9635c44358dde81b54f3b271a4dfd87804ba" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3661845", "token_id": "32126311584383121649284321217170683235155157041192825558629906542248297806728", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Filipe Barros", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "446206c9e2c7ad39b6e9a9284a5450850338233b96afa2e9135d6a916de71b68", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3661845", "condition_id": "0x53c2301310fe9235e79c58656f6ecf755526707f7dde419ed7b788d81d11babd", "token_id": "32126311584383121649284321217170683235155157041192825558629906542248297806728", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paran\u00e1 Senate election?", "rules": "The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paran\u00e1 is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates\u2019 listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "864365", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0cc6dec11245b8893c372382df2b577e00e209d326275cb8f22f6d2b669294bc", "event_source_sha256": "af42759a3601e8af261d5ef96f4e9635c44358dde81b54f3b271a4dfd87804ba" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3661846", "token_id": "66429144570653134192088293941478708582783444129159320082293962366298763528366", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Gleisi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cef0a148e282b571528b7e29e0cda44f5ef033279fc7b28110f7af385c12da40", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3661846", "condition_id": "0xcaebef7bcdad1f676fe5fef33da45f3fe8218cbbe33f6a87ca8222f8bf6b9db3", "token_id": "66429144570653134192088293941478708582783444129159320082293962366298763528366", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Gleisi win the most votes in the 2026 Paran\u00e1 Senate election?", "rules": "The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paran\u00e1 is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates\u2019 listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "864365", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "29e4d1e7f4e5971b66455fb0025cee7f6c5a2e60a51ec625d16cff3a6be49509", "event_source_sha256": "af42759a3601e8af261d5ef96f4e9635c44358dde81b54f3b271a4dfd87804ba" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3661847", "token_id": "29701224253321495203540779942419860318471296278990244323828081483240240372714", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Joaquim do MLB", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1421363c8ac1ceb60d685d3ed79d93323b1f5c59faad8403443aba21628a4b30", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3661847", "condition_id": "0xf67b6961fac688720b992665290c1c4742d353f6598f34eb11108769f1bd0fdc", "token_id": "29701224253321495203540779942419860318471296278990244323828081483240240372714", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Joaquim do MLB win the most votes in the 2026 Paran\u00e1 Senate election?", "rules": "The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paran\u00e1 is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates\u2019 listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "864365", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e1fdb9cd726294e69ab1cbcb388855371a51129b0d604dbf611651f9f3908d9d", "event_source_sha256": "af42759a3601e8af261d5ef96f4e9635c44358dde81b54f3b271a4dfd87804ba" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3661848", "token_id": "53804311485573902799642205510967434934591936881549057311196474130471842421534", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Karen Guerreiro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4edbb25879def499081da95d6c4cacdd7137c39118fccd0ce14b1cf4d183a8cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3661848", "condition_id": "0xdc44a399925979cb49c6bdd65d212e6ebf5379a3402c85d8b3bf39b9c5186259", "token_id": "53804311485573902799642205510967434934591936881549057311196474130471842421534", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Karen Guerreiro win the most votes in the 2026 Paran\u00e1 Senate election?", "rules": "The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paran\u00e1 is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates\u2019 listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "864365", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "348c53e2600d43d3cdff64fff171d60122b605c3a1fedbd540f1f764620980c6", "event_source_sha256": "af42759a3601e8af261d5ef96f4e9635c44358dde81b54f3b271a4dfd87804ba" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3661849", "token_id": "28112412624169022762815335511460383482968706161182847915273296608402920299647", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Marcelo Marcelino", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dc67c2d8cbd39e513dd23ed56b2a9ccf46198bf0acadd596f166ee12eacc2647", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3661849", "condition_id": "0x5743f831c11d2b551f6aad03339ee29edfd9f6c768b86cfa6a24784f1bba9da7", "token_id": "28112412624169022762815335511460383482968706161182847915273296608402920299647", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Marcelo Marcelino win the most votes in the 2026 Paran\u00e1 Senate election?", "rules": "The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paran\u00e1 is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.\n\nCandidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates\u2019 listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-04T06:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "864365", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "116c21ddabe74f70bf34175b5284ab0f9816ac0e907820c613b38cdebab9ef0b", "event_source_sha256": "af42759a3601e8af261d5ef96f4e9635c44358dde81b54f3b271a4dfd87804ba" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:806378", "title": "LEC Summer Split 2026: MVP", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 50, "semantics_hash": "8c0acaf281c6a8e90b138d6e9c6601ffc3bee14919261a6cba93c141eae24f10", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3380741", "3380742", "3380743", "3380744", "3380745", "3380746", "3380747", "3380748", "3380749", "3380750", "3380751", "3380752", "3380753", "3380754", "3380755", "3380756", "3380757", "3380758", "3380759", "3380760", "3380761", "3380762", "3380763", "3380764", "3380765", "3380766", "3380767", "3380768", "3380769", "3380770", "3380771", "3380772", "3380773", "3380774", "3380775", "3380776", "3380777", "3380778", "3380779", "3380780", "3380781", "3380782", "3380783", "3380784", "3380785", "3380786", "3380787", "3380788", "3380789", "3380790", "3380791", "3380792", "3380793", "3380794", "3380795", "3380796", "3380797", "3380798", "3380799", "3380800", "3380801" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:806378", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3380761", "token_id": "58978800238534898703842637828697159383485866856682124106261794941124984980139", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alvaro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "51afcd76e04a2f6a02ae2f3a82c8aa254a234a9490a3b56402114aacbf7b6632", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380761", "condition_id": "0x88c31169fad828bd4b500e4615cceeff4a3fe4bee81731b31ac4b5a589fd0af4", "token_id": "58978800238534898703842637828697159383485866856682124106261794941124984980139", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alvaro Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4644e646fabd651250f60b1a52edd72241bb6a5f3ba53b48150b1084fe4df5b6", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3380746", "token_id": "55690845673200589936636477374732993543118008060499075010896344659383943326384", "outcome": "yes", "label": "BrokenBlade", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6a7ce37e775a5a6b1360c12094d0c167bd84295d08222884491bbea8d038cc49", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380746", "condition_id": "0xe0993d8335d0dac2cc8d83b713ada8aec931abe1b8b8d4d430d0d8f69e9d14b2", "token_id": "55690845673200589936636477374732993543118008060499075010896344659383943326384", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will BrokenBlade Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4e0a63fc735b687e1328fff67048a2e0f320863f08ce142684a6b76d647cd8d8", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3380756", "token_id": "72641651405174198984535026349808970549782557497203335408632954872397260483864", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Busio", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d41e8ecb899345b4684296390d3df0a6ce0e9abaff3cbecbeffc58de5b95f0e8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380756", "condition_id": "0x7b085fdd4c1a2d809a3fc6d0285d4b79bb161c0c8d515818f990adcfd344e91d", "token_id": "72641651405174198984535026349808970549782557497203335408632954872397260483864", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Busio Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7f3deed4984f8301cb16dcb1942c8ac6b8d03dad320a48ad3df737749fc1abfe", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3380757", "token_id": "27318990658990223288036861970485842957040068993346361102290019793948154470313", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Caliste", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7acd812f5b684fa12faf833acf48f664a1f51a264e4878f57659e9d819a54354", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380757", "condition_id": "0xdf0ab07edc24b3da2363536f47c7929cedb468c29425e7efbb69816e921b5a35", "token_id": "27318990658990223288036861970485842957040068993346361102290019793948154470313", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Caliste Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "de6d281d3ae47b9ef5ca625404cb5327f0ac379b8f6657d0d19f6f75fc825ca9", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3380758", "token_id": "112740651195933194579027594298787613796632189956480143745214106626684676020338", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Canna", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9154535b6bed51829c2582bd63c14a2b8c3b39cff20bb9a10eeaab07f6df94d6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380758", "condition_id": "0x427c90f6a4a73a3c741711292192f52e6a0e8b89fe9fc8b7d8cde4a2a6102cc3", "token_id": "112740651195933194579027594298787613796632189956480143745214106626684676020338", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Canna Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cb27f6f2532bf16b9116ed4004cfc383884dd046ded9d9f07f5b64286b38471a", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3380747", "token_id": "26390006028749511424297508824616820713170357970837574390868883734949138491615", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Caps", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6d911dcf62f08f19eb702ca0aa31e6f81e9cc5f816bf09e18a3eb6f98ffcb2c5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380747", "condition_id": "0x1d598190ff4159d3262aeed25fb570d107140ac59fde2a938542473af8c9491a", "token_id": "26390006028749511424297508824616820713170357970837574390868883734949138491615", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Caps Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ac934d3632ddb2fec8fa1d8f16ab86a1de2c9a6b80ede7e7b9dcb74cfd562400", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3380786", "token_id": "68233478987246094545480765318080935242143806251608731935347195427806166164841", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Carzzy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "26b9d71bcd95160a2d05a43090554f4279f46e7e41ef847e7fd2abbdcbe61e23", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380786", "condition_id": "0x6aed3c529fba0bb4200063fa997826f8fa31b1f916096fe11ff04d81e416bff0", "token_id": "68233478987246094545480765318080935242143806251608731935347195427806166164841", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Carzzy Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "745358b4f696d57aef45e1d19c1c7aa1f5c526729e44f0eba05f75f627ab2282", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3380781", "token_id": "61242219618906788074225062798882777247489050473818189434376864779544505021069", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Daglas", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9d58e35eec3d74987c2830fb1c0fe05bdd9744dcc1b03ae0f4f16026cac6ac76", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380781", "condition_id": "0x1dfd181106ee786ee6afcdaed4fb172bdf3a836f9b74b79cedfdf0e3f302e60b", "token_id": "61242219618906788074225062798882777247489050473818189434376864779544505021069", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Daglas Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2ef999ccc5366d7f30ade4c92701175de335f053d4847f3df67cb3a15abf76b8", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3380762", "token_id": "12890083894007303099554939686507826260031534388725207420507603131631882673988", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elyoya", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f64ff7f9d5ff52e108a5ce98a5a8fdc9ff407eff2a4bab3d72296773fa657cbc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380762", "condition_id": "0xd69557986e1cfb4039c02eb2b936a7ff84c830316795abb8cad1cc852bfa4a0b", "token_id": "12890083894007303099554939686507826260031534388725207420507603131631882673988", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elyoya Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2824451b2e75953151ec0a400b94109e90659fea54cab904bd5b2b698db83599", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3380787", "token_id": "74359531545825448446855111196157584748438063501410403802449456191677722845895", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FIESTA", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bc6f009ce657c1f683e7c71a0cd74c9fd04fee2fd3a0288f4cf5dd83444d3173", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380787", "condition_id": "0x4a42fe6efa978a2526fd3a0c0090dcd5244b0f0a5b05f847b1879a96199e701c", "token_id": "74359531545825448446855111196157584748438063501410403802449456191677722845895", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FIESTA Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "396ec9f54d97fc4a6ccebc1a5d29258f434dedac4073ac1d8f00d76eae2135f1", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3380751", "token_id": "43764722240727195828604132911007741062749992714716367573552088020155042563375", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Flakked", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aa634b2e01fcf31e4c2abbb438ed15236a8af938a4c39e6db5e8a40f97a34093", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380751", "condition_id": "0x5e43f3779b3d2a818d47fabe4c7c3cce7e8b0e853464ab9be1521f27146e9b95", "token_id": "43764722240727195828604132911007741062749992714716367573552088020155042563375", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Flakked Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "51b81fed14e55c76ffa73e638b29745e44bfcfcbf09addbb8b5e5260b00679a0", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3380788", "token_id": "30167300596444836041292330808151416604601492290669287794855888735421830091453", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Fleshy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4c8431e244030866a95807cbd58879a4648d3ed71fdc9972339e5d68450540b2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380788", "condition_id": "0x023188aea3ed97ce86bdb6e4eb1c0588e5fc6fdf0985a1fefd571d75062505a8", "token_id": "30167300596444836041292330808151416604601492290669287794855888735421830091453", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Fleshy Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c290a41b23b71500830aaec42ab6458f1564fe4979aa3db75dbb0160cd25848c", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3380748", "token_id": "97547138015841827260788261654949370108764437038128424401592951216235784206907", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hans Sama", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a5fd7a300ecce0fc5ffc08d5051d207e32925dfa23e8cbab87388468bbc5a589", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380748", "condition_id": "0xf1a683d982e30a2e69e3cff86a5e5c4663004a924ba30f27b0bf7d0e4930afdb", "token_id": "97547138015841827260788261654949370108764437038128424401592951216235784206907", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Hans Sama Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0c9c5eb74a7ec55b24cd5b15985196aedb722802220eb20c230979d61f070191", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3380782", "token_id": "19444346661412093802854426806797365725353562600664259350292861117622032292820", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hype", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b964a69dac16c6f2c30e0b5ad69bf2c9724743037f88936986258aed26a60b84", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380782", "condition_id": "0x97ca924079e4d17da6b923a3322b8b17bb8cf2e4dd0a42e51ef5e2a66cb0afcc", "token_id": "19444346661412093802854426806797365725353562600664259350292861117622032292820", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Hype Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f01a4ad9a8de58bea427d944024ab0a834ba5a8d767791b4a0194387db2ec720", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3380752", "token_id": "81367159747438601983467467257812339905620172855288697318699667029881268172182", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ISMA", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "581ef09dc12604d2b700c485020e4a26b4a7017e07074cec169276620ebccb4f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380752", "condition_id": "0x23cf1dae2b8c19862f6050a71b9d9403876577e6a5234aab9102f50b96527a2f", "token_id": "81367159747438601983467467257812339905620172855288697318699667029881268172182", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ISMA Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8f0a1442527c5768405d47f3ae52e55732be1ff9b1a5255897f6ef7e532379a8", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3380753", "token_id": "110598403886199028154495399332853062040477540199787561789911407252090575570937", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jackies", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4e76bce507c4b3dc63f5c503db24c60ac4e50046828c5ddc505cc1eb617033ab", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380753", "condition_id": "0xd9ee31df390345a1ab0671b4281cb24195a36fa429021489853a3fe7377fed23", "token_id": "110598403886199028154495399332853062040477540199787561789911407252090575570937", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jackies Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "40fd61b7f46f654861c4fe2c15af2971ec9559eacefb95d882a90ddc4edb5048", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3380763", "token_id": "10752653373027416536148929696075866920512790813858585295315407245909287722142", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jojopyun", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a657c6b2304d2c0539c2e3601892053a6e502d1d112113ac15b86d4854fba1b3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380763", "condition_id": "0x07d60952cf6ebde130f5ee863cd0ae7fb906c41744bf0a83a9c2271bde119a9e", "token_id": "10752653373027416536148929696075866920512790813858585295315407245909287722142", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jojopyun Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "271b31bbbf3e428a70b71a519a2b4888dedf9d3e83c7dc99805962c38e15df9a", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "3380776", "token_id": "78646586490001571960265535919909027026782639910659284033794388417635174220576", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jopa", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "14a5d6745d0f70a79182656d43ba9d71bd95bff9d722decad0fac922152d28dd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380776", "condition_id": "0x0d2286062136fb83227ffd363dc2c657e522806acdcee0a7ddd8559d9bdb1743", "token_id": "78646586490001571960265535919909027026782639910659284033794388417635174220576", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jopa Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c3087fafefe14e5f8eeff1f53e30e22683e8c2c99ff354db882a80716bc6281f", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "3380754", "token_id": "6511519082728732564388322904042320772132258995319162183206077288097251914595", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jun", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c9a19f2fc418eb06b94844f76635c330cacdfd04a665cb4333dd9ce2ec9ad057", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380754", "condition_id": "0x9d1f06aafe433a90c77e3a7d0258eb2a6dac6b1e59ff9c8af60fa02c99f4bccb", "token_id": "6511519082728732564388322904042320772132258995319162183206077288097251914595", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jun Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ec46a182ddd38dd6f36424715a543f2da2e6f4bd9ab5a84411781333d5f63ce6", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "3380759", "token_id": "110774908475452768537703477438063440464276136927911324567687420088822708638344", "outcome": "yes", "label": "kyeahoo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5839f119b1f0b0088f7b8fa2afadc304f8e426b8458003b6e8ece53838353978", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380759", "condition_id": "0x84074a4d1d684b25462f0166041243a9eed15be0f96e36d95bfe831c4307ac46", "token_id": "110774908475452768537703477438063440464276136927911324567687420088822708638344", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will kyeahoo Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b3efb508011301126ae78a8edcf3be4935de94fcb5e16c46f726cdcb729bfe09", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "3380749", "token_id": "82936510098330309281661193663624192249476641979166300099036501277125737241018", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Labrov", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "53400a3b3b5c5626df4fa3ce1f41e7cc8155ff0714d59362664ef635a404e335", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380749", "condition_id": "0x023d23070cd8470f4fd712cb8f7503fa1218dddc17c937728e62debf7947b77a", "token_id": "82936510098330309281661193663624192249476641979166300099036501277125737241018", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Labrov Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0464a5d17dbee5a36b110cba38bc299dabb656c978fa7740462e82230d14e7ac", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "3380741", "token_id": "19357575484083332309641138989456325121818696093187046404248900177783939472099", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lospa", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d74bd42facb8eaee11f33ee5ee99c91418b42fcfa03e0508e08002498b1e45de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380741", "condition_id": "0xa8d954b332e550a67d1c0529353d08752a500f1452cf588a9cd03382dddfe3ca", "token_id": "19357575484083332309641138989456325121818696093187046404248900177783939472099", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lospa Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aef14631d84ddf09ab17dae16abc5f1bbe592ee1be9203132b3168c050efe5a6", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "3380789", "token_id": "19393857087110928825104491299497656661929683808062480849317596727075457815246", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lyncas", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c2c52465eac2a1c3a2a2660ddbe624a1c8d5e916980d347995b3df96710a41c2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380789", "condition_id": "0x4d3bbc071af903a24445123c0909679a7c63acdf66c589ed0eb02d840a0c61c7", "token_id": "19393857087110928825104491299497656661929683808062480849317596727075457815246", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lyncas Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0e20b204de1cd5b9870888dd0eaf9e166f1967386d357af5350b30b5ae55e6a3", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "3380766", "token_id": "36643046565645395900022094854612926050357613499390601893403108323013842107834", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Maynter", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1890ba0019b1d056117b1a7e8b9e38037c91686e0dc162be59a7ce83e06d0f74", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380766", "condition_id": "0x01348e3a0cd1928e0e90e8e39a8f23edf1e1f49bd28ba70cd1115c1de15fe696", "token_id": "36643046565645395900022094854612926050357613499390601893403108323013842107834", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Maynter Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b834d409fddc6990ed880344180e86d408df1840a6fd8b2752b530b161714df7", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "3380777", "token_id": "30166531363970294787729364827459197004525576053558362996503599709614646807766", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mikyx", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "909f62b3a852d7623dc4a41dc6cf1a2d229a6a519dc2fff18db9e808fcc1bcf4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380777", "condition_id": "0x99b5ecc774025f165ec7b6d789c53a02e22b952a21c6a30ac253868fc6d6db6e", "token_id": "30166531363970294787729364827459197004525576053558362996503599709614646807766", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mikyx Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bce6ff5c9cfea6c6b2a240a3010bf43338a07ba6cc0ce730c15a7fbf6ef4efe4", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "3380764", "token_id": "100729060795285451553198872181112516014652961618916460105546140749514350750626", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Myrwn", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "20cdb34e9cd38c96e0718b2002fa884645ea30b03c659b722aa4fd21ec2d3207", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380764", "condition_id": "0x9507e293e201cc6b7ce6675c6a2adf986a820599ad3d556ea786cfd32d7bfb08", "token_id": "100729060795285451553198872181112516014652961618916460105546140749514350750626", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Myrwn Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "117b026f058da6ba4ec7487358f74e1fe8ebe3da1e649bfeff0056b60163437a", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 26, "market_id": "3380790", "token_id": "95471890442558526088902082443291964171783703536860720462084792460692495323609", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Naak Nako", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1074e19480ac3c3e77cc12fba9a6bc56cf55c5d2bb53ef2e3bdf20e0924b96f3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380790", "condition_id": "0xeac996b36f0dcf525e637f919ab4f82f95227a49e0b5f93ffa09cec627e07cea", "token_id": "95471890442558526088902082443291964171783703536860720462084792460692495323609", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Naak Nako Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2df86673a039ce8d3bd3d31eec44729c99f4c3ad3ce0ca6477c9c20c3326985a", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 27, "market_id": "3380771", "token_id": "63034093542780967306211079137800128202491068046590199760826543394872000537464", "outcome": "yes", "label": "nuc", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de36d63ffcc46f059ab5181ce29f1b5b12a6f2341b4bc0dd933b177d6e59d2d9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380771", "condition_id": "0x944303e3996feb09652669699d97a1783c773862c62c0e737c62740b7470e797", "token_id": "63034093542780967306211079137800128202491068046590199760826543394872000537464", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will nuc Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1af12d2a9cb555d79ec4d91b5cec2e2a2a0c36f163eef1ea49d7be252356c1da", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 28, "market_id": "3380755", "token_id": "92739542078552973703606461882065108073002124656326588110610912819714894252870", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Oscarinin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3e8a3c13cd04919cdc0a95fbd94cae1828c7445bdf42d8527075c59070de49cb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380755", "condition_id": "0xe7391e023e57033b7ffa8f28a24a8feca0b1bc446a111710fea0e711d4d81065", "token_id": "92739542078552973703606461882065108073002124656326588110610912819714894252870", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oscarinin Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2b810d9412069c00adacb37bb3b73038458da7702c716dce925208e257449a3d", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 29, "market_id": "3380772", "token_id": "17500812326027220873992776434470246651108529735268100806188262413088363630657", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Paduck", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd89f11dcc0b59b1982c01ffe1274fcbfc3fcc8dcdbee4016c030f56f70b9d7a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380772", "condition_id": "0x9bf2fa1827787809c7e0248e0ee0317e381655cb5edc8a744ed48b9f0f4af6e3", "token_id": "17500812326027220873992776434470246651108529735268100806188262413088363630657", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Paduck Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a5c153e4f8a31da39c8a253a7a3b484460ac3fd96c91513e8300881318b5e5fa", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 30, "market_id": "3380767", "token_id": "91155215849861857325639821360890465502386714368784523729510146759775262622585", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Parus", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5b6c9bd9bc72a813ca0fbae6817a394a00dc9891e149fea8f5466911fd92d810", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380767", "condition_id": "0x7f5db3e531f2b4db944603359bbe8e6142b1b320c1cb821f7497caae53131646", "token_id": "91155215849861857325639821360890465502386714368784523729510146759775262622585", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Parus Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f6dae0dea4e73b041acd4e78636918c04e147efee2a8e18390e9cd8853c34bbe", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 31, "market_id": "3380768", "token_id": "51618781013681239840933773157594192609301238194115576966626947195166142139705", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Poby", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d343496b03d3006d724f6c9d6a85cb9653c699fc045ef0878defd7419360d376", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380768", "condition_id": "0xe7c3a26f9ebb7e1511005f60095e1b4db15e5af787f5464f407cb28806a6eead", "token_id": "51618781013681239840933773157594192609301238194115576966626947195166142139705", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Poby Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2fe8d0d8b441486398fca0b36d61bfe69184d430f0b994c479353d2cf638ea35", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 32, "market_id": "3380742", "token_id": "24234917033040559347953484539697012332249968982644635076658981580450476271540", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Razork", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "524493366855087e301ea98102e98291a7e017783dbb144a818ecc1e2bd07406", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380742", "condition_id": "0xce28617d6e4b65c6977a8ffde1489ce2c4c6f4fb41fe2a0dc1993a5aaef18d76", "token_id": "24234917033040559347953484539697012332249968982644635076658981580450476271540", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Razork Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6f0005d9e7e60d6d2cc3f829446c86279e965c7524abdb7a18110bb9dcaa3e07", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 33, "market_id": "3380769", "token_id": "25603377055209115509644331602644044107399198401786345622553009211974408629753", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rhilech", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "40d5650e467d320d5c7fe5609169f9691bc7616909c90d2eff988ec18b12efb5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380769", "condition_id": "0x93f9e21e92e70efd992c5a5a314caeca0dd9504a58820731f0f80b38c820fc19", "token_id": "25603377055209115509644331602644044107399198401786345622553009211974408629753", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rhilech Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "da016aa005e3800af857982187123d538b3f4a70ced16d7ec69825d2e4281b3d", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 34, "market_id": "3380773", "token_id": "85157748590720188508735407454084299593008378341136122402783575339002742751626", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rooster", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ade8afb85b438eb7a15d5904dd05a02e4f98c8ddac05731ef709a64c17d3f386", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380773", "condition_id": "0x3b207367cee5c1efd64d10359ed97a71648cf7be70eb58c11af9ea16801689e8", "token_id": "85157748590720188508735407454084299593008378341136122402783575339002742751626", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rooster Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "be9a52099fe29d498512b3f01611a6b793fe9f3dd124c93fd0012da290522fde", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 35, "market_id": "3380770", "token_id": "108230245386222734627834290145914782506857730527694296823821075010713263763769", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SamD", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c2613cf123c27d500b3c071f6b07ea7993332ff2c87fca2301431d409420890f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380770", "condition_id": "0x6502a938cdeed2d7d90a69fbe569bcf2aeb5da5b8ff357c85d6571f6201012f5", "token_id": "108230245386222734627834290145914782506857730527694296823821075010713263763769", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SamD Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9b9773bc20c4e08a97d5baf661bb0172e8fa81d401fc8ac34603801490853126", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 36, "market_id": "3380783", "token_id": "90978384095732626244135415168900541333948798239903141222731741879092134557815", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Serin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a0cc8a6f04cdf3253c44c61c4842410812072dd99d63dcd99e5ac425fd6a16d1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380783", "condition_id": "0x223c7f54e5428f4698256c94340251ef789257a73e035d1e204717f53b8be22b", "token_id": "90978384095732626244135415168900541333948798239903141222731741879092134557815", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Serin Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a66e0562a3ecb109d22eb1adf58a893826594af5389d271befeab760dd759aed", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 37, "market_id": "3380774", "token_id": "2191149361288900864253282062925165295913854660669846303141185851496287690467", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Sheo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "20fec8c7c4bbf25cc5bb44170d427f3608a63db64a46144a585429768d320237", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380774", "condition_id": "0x3ab2196d45a924c79610e9ff5b78e035e743f338c03f216ad591dada99069a88", "token_id": "2191149361288900864253282062925165295913854660669846303141185851496287690467", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Sheo Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1de51159f52bf1d443c02b8d55060e62fd94f289f428cf245b6431618e82610c", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 38, "market_id": "3380778", "token_id": "11900887037640982643938642511708730855109147241346451450709727905407116362893", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Skeanz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1cbffd0d867b5f39c5454a695f75051e97ceb8f3649efd999ff3f7cc4f0f6102", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380778", "condition_id": "0xebb9aff344a1af6784147e601e4a2e476b8c204e5f23431ceccf2f9a17ba4012", "token_id": "11900887037640982643938642511708730855109147241346451450709727905407116362893", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Skeanz Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3cf58a2e760a30b3a45ae988973a9f1f513970d78f9634fe24e0b381cb63e37d", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 39, "market_id": "3380750", "token_id": "32340763237732586063858751023894282799115147579573324840406950097422037535974", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SkewMond", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "399ef37ee065fb5e5788a4918b63f1320fcd8d94af1ae398e576e0045816b2f2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380750", "condition_id": "0x70df83e7ee475998667bf1ad22d0cf80dec9a8095ab718dc6d548373dd433680", "token_id": "32340763237732586063858751023894282799115147579573324840406950097422037535974", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SkewMond Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e65d9a1422825c5201920d89f00ac1c0bd5abaa9f228adf830331c36529932b6", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 40, "market_id": "3380779", "token_id": "67064249594788557310335311530772670347763008858041998662205090058387525531846", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SlowQ", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9eaf63e3a0b98923a9879245c5b1c71ceff22c750957706dcbba2b1961efb84a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380779", "condition_id": "0x2436cef057ef790ee66874574d031065c5bb5d41eebbc7a3d107032f629b0a10", "token_id": "67064249594788557310335311530772670347763008858041998662205090058387525531846", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SlowQ Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ba44643f473785261a01c12cbfdb72fd43741364046b68c3cc9b6bc8d54c5e0b", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 41, "market_id": "3380743", "token_id": "97929480838413377066107246282791022169951671764471353981598674248180541322190", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Soboro", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fd255a6517a64ed9bf7f79655e75864c5f4b29c6f712300186520c48f503d1f0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380743", "condition_id": "0xdcfe569ad01edc81fb61f80552538ac866bb81d973c1314c064a8de385d7990a", "token_id": "97929480838413377066107246282791022169951671764471353981598674248180541322190", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Soboro Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "09519f7935ad10ea1d1f58a20d866f912bd49d13f5d9fc88a27d7b3d389955ff", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 42, "market_id": "3380775", "token_id": "62313192214722108415344226666295690138870857615758566461369926675140623804836", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Stend", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "86745fe63c1b9c81bae6dd2b0a61e1a61436b92ec04f813e5aaf9ae79db66006", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380775", "condition_id": "0x485d94f5ae9adb23c41b4de3f7645db31a042a8fdb942a2d77618157e7955530", "token_id": "62313192214722108415344226666295690138870857615758566461369926675140623804836", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Stend Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a71e617a0ffe59e62b96202d034bbbd666e14204c43867c3b8d4b0f23249ec1e", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 43, "market_id": "3380765", "token_id": "90066921793373897593372527114823413343270315324685496633734487684390650863102", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Supa", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c818b318b684d6746b3907fe194cf2e513d0c03ec5f4eb877a0217224d353fd8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380765", "condition_id": "0x967e167fa96641f0db1c40e595cfe06e3515d1564869db2ee6a2e8da7e60a881", "token_id": "90066921793373897593372527114823413343270315324685496633734487684390650863102", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Supa Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4963d525888bae82658aad66369651ad9a74dfc437cdf7504cb647a7b9be7560", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 44, "market_id": "3380784", "token_id": "52600923894740897821250219955999028913160504087203531742107198604344369489400", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tracyn", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e2c3c50ffe9e919236df62937c6bd2e4f2eb5d9ceb1d22b1bd3270f44c724e0b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380784", "condition_id": "0xe7aacf0da37a681f4ba61102e702fc4ba96f5aa75f596acd39a0cdf7d983c84d", "token_id": "52600923894740897821250219955999028913160504087203531742107198604344369489400", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tracyn Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "520cd240a73c1961cbe59145c9c0502a77cdd19470115686c541f56728fb95b4", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 45, "market_id": "3380744", "token_id": "55432177128018831336174611806051210229982743742381671239342418416130354721032", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Upset", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e516194a8653333215ae02ef625469941feb955124f654b7eb429f0e958ffea3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380744", "condition_id": "0x14147b68a1742ef106025ba397be768e5e59dadd1f23ee2d007832d7585c7b3d", "token_id": "55432177128018831336174611806051210229982743742381671239342418416130354721032", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Upset Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6bfb02cc07176041f8d51c9ff60b5d173a018e3eda78a90281aa7d4b5c379254", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 46, "market_id": "3380745", "token_id": "50684366299844257420605421857348050717594043705422442860310319192913468950969", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Vladi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ef0539f1124b0c075a2b7efb196b44a7a4320449593e99b6feb1bc2c83eeac03", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380745", "condition_id": "0x9f6a3835cf4deb3a282d838f859e377f13c3ba47c5d3e92fc30b793ebc3ce3f2", "token_id": "50684366299844257420605421857348050717594043705422442860310319192913468950969", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Vladi Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8b52b187c76067860943b9162e3c3c574b6fb6da29d5b97771a5e1cbdcfc5b3f", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 47, "market_id": "3380785", "token_id": "88146974091086178303078802454988729986046233583644606007842636720998882361314", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Way", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9d9691de1199000e3f9f928b5c9904357a6577ec58d8152e0610ab37360fa8e6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380785", "condition_id": "0xe5746a593e27a27b0d60208905fe8901a30a515dd235c18fa1ab05ff037822f3", "token_id": "88146974091086178303078802454988729986046233583644606007842636720998882361314", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Way Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9f073141ca2e510ac031a140a04fc5786c3c91fdc56e40e4b1810ee5344b0839", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 48, "market_id": "3380780", "token_id": "108041547648421079539264353659878476820016451998227470320925167073743870279331", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Wunder", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d54218d11f70c65c0bc1b23c662a9a2bc48e72eab98818af7d3498c97349efad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380780", "condition_id": "0x46821f14694b2fac456108094ba50768b9e6b0ba7fd2cf386d027eea97b60dcc", "token_id": "108041547648421079539264353659878476820016451998227470320925167073743870279331", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Wunder Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a6579bbced293f361a1fc62a5052f6d03175555cae8d3247e26028634f8f8cc6", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" }, { "position": 49, "market_id": "3380760", "token_id": "113440370570669145825931444220279948358723973773778495193431907542371772472266", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Yike", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c1cbfbd168d3bc5e71ddd367010e15b9f00fe990f95df3e5c55bf534b4c6adc3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3380760", "condition_id": "0x1aa06a6ced32de60586822650fd9e1b196e633e9e568900c652eee78fa7d4426", "token_id": "113440370570669145825931444220279948358723973773778495193431907542371772472266", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Yike Win the LEC 2026 Summer Split MVP?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player named regular-season MVP of the LEC 2026 Summer Split, currently scheduled for July 24, 2026 to August 30, 2026.\n\nIf the MVP award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are named co-MVP, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe primary resolution source will be official information from the LEC / Riot Games (and supported by Leaguepedia, https://lol.fandom.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "806378", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1948ae895a78a1d4244d45f750ae774c01366550c3f072d5d6c2c0283109d3d1", "event_source_sha256": "dbe017128693011c96300139f03e337b1b48cd55e040c25a384d5805b67db272" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:988179", "title": "Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "40ee4d17a30cb046879f57b5ce26039ec3fc3f5bd6f8085e815e1ff5412a41f7", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4363775", "4363776", "4363777", "4363778", "4363779", "4363780", "4363781", "4363782", "4363783", "4363784", "4363785" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:988179", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4363775", "token_id": "62269627152272362680241388414288441169328085411675817687091873328754764090471", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f810bee58ab3997329b5e387d7ac07fa63113a898b3c7e9c85241fbf47ad300", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363775", "condition_id": "0xb37d6fd3225bc5b26071ab120813b1d61969928ca0a24fd4003a7195d9dc5aad", "token_id": "62269627152272362680241388414288441169328085411675817687091873328754764090471", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1473c00a3c196794efbf99e906536965192ce0308d8c245ba9b925fd459f2516", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4363776", "token_id": "79975012181514968779392578308941853293797912959236312070851052356629419188587", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3f7c6ef3b25b38f87bb90e207b72c873195c870299159c9be5ba9760622c0dc6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363776", "condition_id": "0x8c5737bfc7286d74c9e715f0a52b4b709179a58e2cb21cc9649e336645ed914f", "token_id": "79975012181514968779392578308941853293797912959236312070851052356629419188587", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d64bce11399b4fcfb180c1174d9d76beafbb4144753ed3906c256a6273ee3553", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4363777", "token_id": "98683590994469425660047357426646521111386606756370404976043275844456312442095", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ad0f0c3a104487445160798ef5087258deebb155253ac638b98f76a2c375b11", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363777", "condition_id": "0xb49287b8c502c59a900a85257335efe51c5335a4ad04c6ad3e977e3d561676c1", "token_id": "98683590994469425660047357426646521111386606756370404976043275844456312442095", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a2e80f1c9a1fed9a9246d869586bb0af96de96c542be5de0c1a46e77619ceebc", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4363778", "token_id": "11824633244984334124084689866703230704703980467881386671400903926894659711099", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "28e6421da6fd8e0cee6464d63efbffe7f6d6b3eeea02a07faa2f59487f85a22b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363778", "condition_id": "0xa702d766b11c8e685b0a8c78d6586f0d73d8a85efcb8eb97ccfdcf72f5c90c32", "token_id": "11824633244984334124084689866703230704703980467881386671400903926894659711099", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5fc07c57a90283029ef581e6eedbbadf1cd33d76cd9449c936f3570ef43446ca", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4363779", "token_id": "34746276515315639222686613674436724192883655543255926265398568584896330265015", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "18809cfdc3df579a0cddb26317f35678b142ffff38d25060f8163ea43e282d20", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363779", "condition_id": "0xb33ee4166d4a843a40e869142f062a8cd6b82a46885d6da898047c730c677da9", "token_id": "34746276515315639222686613674436724192883655543255926265398568584896330265015", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e60acbf4f98ccc9c64536b3c2391098b4e55242d3744949b6581152225b6141e", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4363780", "token_id": "114751911376202840531869371018398450879698735483531362353962694003063201247138", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "07cc26a86c147b79b00fb1b70cf7e04edff4882ac9115faa7c4cb43245507628", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363780", "condition_id": "0xb50b256204b3d83b84d0ca33a477a4ca3c4e4fd0c1c57c2ba76a1e475a073c00", "token_id": "114751911376202840531869371018398450879698735483531362353962694003063201247138", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "51aba02321d498c1ee1574274dde9152925bfbd606fa8e25e3010b7904ead835", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4363781", "token_id": "72649263940907200568358194602868629056708002729187908261599640199108451955808", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "887f221c03d4486d653f38e67f42534e24965cd43871f26d7fff71a8fddbb715", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363781", "condition_id": "0xcb3feb4cc70620fed21d5279601476360e02e0a29e23988a3031b94bd45058c5", "token_id": "72649263940907200568358194602868629056708002729187908261599640199108451955808", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "677ddf44e389799a3bab4d06923ca1688706b8ad1e12d778a6951ff18e9060f6", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4363782", "token_id": "54044349885464723201680792668317881514279449923340113013126231843168232996845", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "14e42e4f4200b95328fbf7ef76f5dd7658f70499036ff0e7087df9466879ab19", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363782", "condition_id": "0x662a90c70fe14d253f4016cae7f3630c45415b65260fbc85a250f6b7ac6ac9e1", "token_id": "54044349885464723201680792668317881514279449923340113013126231843168232996845", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "334308d540e35a3d5517cf7b1ccefcf69b164d993365d51c4ac461298b139a9f", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4363783", "token_id": "71480911629964700098335180446854284787625731441595168615303939362266833661933", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e7d7e57c781309ab2f7b6eb7d60a8a5b64701269ff1b65da1ed1d1fd4930cd43", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363783", "condition_id": "0xcc10b53cf572201520adfc71237d1fb881d0ac55fb778fdfd21ea70070a0e013", "token_id": "71480911629964700098335180446854284787625731441595168615303939362266833661933", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c111079f2fb33e6e116ff212533db478a9b2f2da1a421d252c066a3cc08f9de3", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4363784", "token_id": "7495347985384097179346464761801355921751634805091871932860381005689089872497", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c0a320b80255a395bf439be52821e527b98d2526c02742e8832e8f7e35e47ad6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363784", "condition_id": "0x4d4a52cd8e0e60f9f1e6fd1556da05e3f642da3c3373ed1ab440911882877865", "token_id": "7495347985384097179346464761801355921751634805091871932860381005689089872497", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "88af47d35de83aec9336d83edccf7a5e3a65970995b5103929d7e007c5382eab", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4363785", "token_id": "1947102543487322687207803886510841253387303198300280272108387874191919582405", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "42b038e4421ad8942d53d2f443cfa971109d71aad1916f1fe4819b29926c52b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4363785", "condition_id": "0x743838b53ffb717312f4d749633f818d6cbe63f69f2bca758b52d65f52ec1d88", "token_id": "1947102543487322687207803886510841253387303198300280272108387874191919582405", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Ju\u00e1rez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "988179", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e0c52bb973573510b8d877919e3ccf4d3f650ba7f42686fd6c13cb50fbf8e8bf", "event_source_sha256": "7cfb362dd26a79168ed6a0d0eadb1a07a0c65b74e752fd1632e712c01f07d26e" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:956493", "title": "\"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 6, "semantics_hash": "1531ee6a026f82b75ebf1577467892fe534efa7f42469e7e77b95399eaec1c83", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4176861", "4176862", "4176863", "4176864", "4176865", "4176866" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:956493", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4176862", "token_id": "56128703782996573319377942793904113519505925916184261939912584466394941631660", "outcome": "yes", "label": "38-41m", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "184ad15529618dea93fa43698b5316113dfb03c0cee103728737bd6611b38ff3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4176862", "condition_id": "0xe64ed59c560d8693bd645c21a1b9f4b28e7ddcad649f8b7540b3f7c8c7224293", "token_id": "56128703782996573319377942793904113519505925916184261939912584466394941631660", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956493", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "15eb14620b4d4f294862a62960379c5e6bfb848191e8fe2f3c733b0eadf3fd24", "event_source_sha256": "10949edac104bd66d144b98d6847bef2064182558bb97859a629dc1c42789d57" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4176863", "token_id": "68916277922877094419861500710654067332347632451773911424766564142400213006061", "outcome": "yes", "label": "41-44m", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "94ad33e0531ea10dc6568aa0392f636450067b4b0422781c66eba414351f675d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4176863", "condition_id": "0x51134cc356ec8486795bd7084a9f76678390a5aaf7a5d77764b1c1d1c806afee", "token_id": "68916277922877094419861500710654067332347632451773911424766564142400213006061", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956493", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f57d8530e66f29d66baa6198717c6ee5e1001a0f6332e964f9dfd2f4761e03e5", "event_source_sha256": "10949edac104bd66d144b98d6847bef2064182558bb97859a629dc1c42789d57" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4176864", "token_id": "17878480289360906984793678551229539194225141525325251864568671420344663652942", "outcome": "yes", "label": "44-47m", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1784986840a43b548f5b139c195694e22b9e8437ef71988dfeb197ba26ee123f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4176864", "condition_id": "0xb099e092aed40b7ab52b9bccbbb27d73b0fa33142b658ff71ce079f8b2855626", "token_id": "17878480289360906984793678551229539194225141525325251864568671420344663652942", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956493", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7530644a67c089df1772a5b452313d5d5fc480747af9a54e04537aa3bdaae0fd", "event_source_sha256": "10949edac104bd66d144b98d6847bef2064182558bb97859a629dc1c42789d57" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4176865", "token_id": "96875985778353026471218151665794053247167215001662077626779483226373394171397", "outcome": "yes", "label": "47-51m", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d4a9faebc0884c6fbe4452cc80408bef5f7d7e3bc802521c6fe3549807eb9474", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4176865", "condition_id": "0x66fb918e1aed1c9a037fe63e18f9acc4f8a914b5e16f8f67830aa5e23f9e7988", "token_id": "96875985778353026471218151665794053247167215001662077626779483226373394171397", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 51m?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956493", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7db353724566de298d104ba3ae2154963b759ec5d76f149ac497b45964d315b6", "event_source_sha256": "10949edac104bd66d144b98d6847bef2064182558bb97859a629dc1c42789d57" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4176866", "token_id": "33671578332267942287402435038962859710672865875649558995859161566739331456530", "outcome": "yes", "label": "51m+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c28926cf7a09d0aa9f5519ae2e32f3e90ffb3b0edd889e90648aba185a24d93d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4176866", "condition_id": "0x7dc9a7a41accdaecb9b460c3472cf05ffb2846f9a298af831a36b060dcc1f386", "token_id": "33671578332267942287402435038962859710672865875649558995859161566739331456530", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 51m?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956493", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "723b7f6d5988b3633494594bda258fca931b6432d21e5cde956a3f03728460ae", "event_source_sha256": "10949edac104bd66d144b98d6847bef2064182558bb97859a629dc1c42789d57" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4176861", "token_id": "94511792632721931523437545753448491786434831520679351112058643763688061744298", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<38m", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f1e6fa9f7f9b97aa4cbcc34b0d3419e116ca5610dfa53a6a5f6dffe00e0d0e41", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4176861", "condition_id": "0xbb9f185f4d3ae107bc884a2bdb83911864ed90535bdb3d1f36dd9389c3ace6cc", "token_id": "94511792632721931523437545753448491786434831520679351112058643763688061744298", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to how much \"Practical Magic 2\" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The \"Daily Box Office Performance\" figures found on the \"Box Office\" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nIf there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.\n\nIf there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956493", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e8d3272a712c8be253e8512f99e0d96d41f8d58b75a989cd1903a311bf8b0569", "event_source_sha256": "10949edac104bd66d144b98d6847bef2064182558bb97859a629dc1c42789d57" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986253", "title": "Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC - Exact Score", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 17, "semantics_hash": "75dd9c848b60fa212124a7f170e95ac66207243ef3406a02f3536cf4361f7be3", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4353349", "4353350", "4353351", "4353352", "4353353", "4353354", "4353355", "4353356", "4353357", "4353358", "4353359", "4353360", "4353361", "4353362", "4353363", "4353364", "4353365" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986253", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4353365", "token_id": "50656678774390727336655284775321265087139538981613866812995202580503271246399", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Any Other Score", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "31eebd30feb2a9461257794516aaaca89a7a0d317be19d458a9442d25f3e06cc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353365", "condition_id": "0x3e2fbaee662cf6c17f5f8618f821960919a58fa4dbf9e90479274ec9feeb7434", "token_id": "50656678774390727336655284775321265087139538981613866812995202580503271246399", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Any Other Score?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "20ac010c08c845b5c19132763c08e60f558cc61d7d8440a61fae666559a95b18", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4353349", "token_id": "79773152951164234486117449175027526257633184885920072457947589098188946699606", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 0 - 0 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6000957d66b45b0912a1fcc9226cba551bf86db4d0851423ab3fbffe02c7b889", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353349", "condition_id": "0x5890a758b6596f98a7168db45e80ce35a8ea1e017753d692903ba0a58fe341a9", "token_id": "79773152951164234486117449175027526257633184885920072457947589098188946699606", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 0 - 0 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "725ab2e6d449f1aa847f77328b05867bbb8d3b96d78188bf55b3542d15ce0185", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4353350", "token_id": "40542910374162091931567686989152601818954189754176465988148860588550597529217", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 0 - 1 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9a816b8244775759dfab795edc2b151b8d31ccc47a0a27a0c4f33b645988a642", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353350", "condition_id": "0x1852d713a1a980f06ff9b73e588e6238ba8702df0404eca7c3e1a803311ff858", "token_id": "40542910374162091931567686989152601818954189754176465988148860588550597529217", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 0 - 1 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8ee2482b20bb5eeeaa8ca42e5f2b03745bb45ee7a88c18465f818e29b7504875", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4353352", "token_id": "107766659069779424232246545993150874488298451878784324139322567936196715352491", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 0 - 2 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3fd0dc9c943b89496977586570e6eca0adff7155ce047d59ba256f9cca897a75", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353352", "condition_id": "0x1a21fe8897ceffb9360cdab4eba510c9b0afb28293f35eee8462d4f2e2fdbfc9", "token_id": "107766659069779424232246545993150874488298451878784324139322567936196715352491", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 0 - 2 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2ea6f8c07eb1596a326983afadf5d29a3262a2162090b7f28df547899438a49a", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4353355", "token_id": "27594181081628928531624765863345064042250301927143496299653821947444623083309", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 0 - 3 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1b5f4363d9513f08128e425f475d5f469c7602aee5b6c237b6883ac2d6f9423a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353355", "condition_id": "0x2e3dd0acec974bb53f8bdc41874475626144b4de0e3f802d9d95106045c06004", "token_id": "27594181081628928531624765863345064042250301927143496299653821947444623083309", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 0 - 3 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c29f6e809d0706bc4fec14a76eaadf21bf54b8eab9b1b652ac1990b7cf4f5e4f", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4353351", "token_id": "75375111636912903478889072036011996724989450234875389435724648977809348138648", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 1 - 0 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8bf5951361810ab0911464d759b7f2329f33f6964cb233d4c31553aba7ef4244", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353351", "condition_id": "0x0ad3a4cee05d13f7fd021d63672b3aac9049a9ad1361508fbbfb96a9ba59a1f7", "token_id": "75375111636912903478889072036011996724989450234875389435724648977809348138648", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 1 - 0 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "63a05e7eb6f1dfbcedbb7a1a9879b78b540fb7a9467b79b19b2f6a937254bc1a", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4353353", "token_id": "59980509866764795361879098176376403981048946453343724823771903427911272896186", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 1 - 1 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9c6132b1970c898f709fdde9f461f9708a04effcd66a9c9fa70a940b5d3add16", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353353", "condition_id": "0x0a239d46689d565d15322b375b4da4b096e05332721df028c40058db7472c8b0", "token_id": "59980509866764795361879098176376403981048946453343724823771903427911272896186", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 1 - 1 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e7ea1854fa3a5da1a4a0f68a7d4e6f7620609672f0e5debdbd333596f545d1ea", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4353356", "token_id": "40860384530940689303365340487457592563414557301769498696984805175355228051724", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 1 - 2 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0969b4b381660f7a0f52e8460f2bd560f3fe182fb8e4a67faa8dd32eba26bf6a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353356", "condition_id": "0xc4f1588c0d31a27d8753e118a3c4f669169e5b41e1638484e330c400da9918df", "token_id": "40860384530940689303365340487457592563414557301769498696984805175355228051724", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 1 - 2 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c716590e57da7f8e8bc3d4a17bc9fcaac37e7ae509f8179ec2048744b4efcf06", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4353359", "token_id": "93257323483102239486656867725065462067789255402578749993048671096451177554782", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 1 - 3 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6441c39c617fce0d6aa32b1d0e8165ea075db1380dc19fab67e79b49e7aa2103", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353359", "condition_id": "0x582c88cc92dbefd1ba6a9d405e8b932e742c31fe0b84d3cbd6873cd089ad1f05", "token_id": "93257323483102239486656867725065462067789255402578749993048671096451177554782", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 1 - 3 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f15dd82be44d440496bbb1f96eda10c708f63993542825c27eebe32be3e797d8", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4353354", "token_id": "12195312589649054456455424196968532378157436132373999382994637693764585044066", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 2 - 0 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "71158c4db05a303a6e928444b9a3b7ecf72a52bda0db7728c36b86410a2286cc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353354", "condition_id": "0x6a55a4564bc0eb61563176fdd180e118163486cfe7b6fb179d5659e50334380e", "token_id": "12195312589649054456455424196968532378157436132373999382994637693764585044066", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 2 - 0 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "141b25504447513bc115bfd235691a63ce3b6d54b141242e3a6f81e5a53d2dd0", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4353357", "token_id": "16733660240017820068784380731881435455436067397576866899200285469548895938710", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 2 - 1 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3a5736a8d85a9d18a76d32cd3f464a09f22af636d9091cf1fd947e9de69087d3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353357", "condition_id": "0xaf61af051e8c9176656d560f6f7ec096b527d6956edaad52fd71c8257270527a", "token_id": "16733660240017820068784380731881435455436067397576866899200285469548895938710", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 2 - 1 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c6f2b57c639b8f4d97987c6fcde3eb6fe98d588f2e50286d1d8cb139a463840f", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "4353360", "token_id": "67787063927021602859863779606741544904925312004551443164741342193374803939701", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 2 - 2 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d194fe0125b81c851f979bc44359e7d78b1501ec4ec376e2264f98ff42524731", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353360", "condition_id": "0x5ef04415ff590a7476ec807be83e4a5019977be5ed607e4d95e53a261ec3fd53", "token_id": "67787063927021602859863779606741544904925312004551443164741342193374803939701", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 2 - 2 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "03cf9f2c716f5aaf7992f497b434fbab04d0b4470d6990ff003dcffbd1afe42b", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "4353362", "token_id": "106024783372478712167951742610650850683488513240957283889717611063603504929132", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 2 - 3 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "871fd91805cb533c1b16fe9af4ab996c6f52a156b901d16dce23ad71fb3eae04", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353362", "condition_id": "0xb8fc804e378b0939fe8cf0eb1f7001f1b14838b11901ce7966291093d8378619", "token_id": "106024783372478712167951742610650850683488513240957283889717611063603504929132", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 2 - 3 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9022a72074332bc4054c20b0195f1977d54cddd33d662b603efc04125f42409a", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "4353358", "token_id": "47155018746305329040767836222130870132721131049113070968580661455824049108861", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 3 - 0 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cc035abafa8ebeb4392dc0e75681add7ad70b4fb45cd27c25754e1938bc56398", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353358", "condition_id": "0xca888aace935fadc1fc171fd081022358bff0a7e0ab645639e39182b88e4eab6", "token_id": "47155018746305329040767836222130870132721131049113070968580661455824049108861", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 3 - 0 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0acc439fd63dea46b8711e26358d35aa0d90bbc949ed0e20496c43a10df0519d", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "4353361", "token_id": "34901349939397432751246968483793911562353422953489392384431291143342079613038", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 3 - 1 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bbdf5a1396a23ecbed17923272ae9f377f2f94cfcd6cd97a0223093989946d32", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353361", "condition_id": "0x4772457c07695f9500ed4baf2e19a4bfaeaea39d85c25e470022ab209c5b8f5d", "token_id": "34901349939397432751246968483793911562353422953489392384431291143342079613038", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 3 - 1 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a294f457bff4e9bd9f32b461d28e54af3958842187befc067fa07521c90df95c", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "4353363", "token_id": "32464409598223693594847283028877338220825463748076463839963327867274449610116", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 3 - 2 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ca7ea151d192f824719cff7191a1e03f7e569a0791c04537eafc94c37a60b7ee", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353363", "condition_id": "0x7e7a0dfa679391396c20be9b4ca3ca11f0bd7788019a31ef8da51d090be37b72", "token_id": "32464409598223693594847283028877338220825463748076463839963327867274449610116", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 3 - 2 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "739cd60974a3873924a5d61316f5c7e30ce1cb7848e917dfa95dbcd1fecbd3c5", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "4353364", "token_id": "77664774732972217225363058544975831616320522504484899578886008479952370440800", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Orsomarso SC 3 - 3 Tigres FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ef6f5ae3cd2580f23ff37d3af0d224da327c3688a6d817d9088de95380f67fae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4353364", "condition_id": "0x646ef298c9c57d30154225efa9cbe510d1467299a11331875695406d7181e32f", "token_id": "77664774732972217225363058544975831616320522504484899578886008479952370440800", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Exact Score: Orsomarso SC 3 - 3 Tigres FC?", "rules": "In the upcoming Primera B (Colombia) game between Orsomarso SC and Tigres FC, scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC match originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to \"Any Other Score.\" If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to \"0-0.\" The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://dimayor.com.co/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T22:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986253", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "51a6946e7da2de723ead8e719e130112e90d82717b79b5da437caf57510778a0", "event_source_sha256": "156750189d2fa2e0cdbdcb99f899fb82ab94ed94b914d3dcde5918d7ff08f65b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:841230", "title": "Which company has the best AI model end of October?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 21, "semantics_hash": "834765eba7639ca6428e48a5a52bf6db40763a11d0acb76274291fe69592e357", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3554657", "3554658", "3554659", "3554660", "3554661", "3554662", "3554663", "3554664", "3554665", "3554666", "3554667", "3554668", "3554669", "3554670", "3554671", "3554672", "3554673", "3554674", "3554675", "3554676", "3554677", "3554678", "3554679", "3554680", "3554681", "3554682", "3554683", "3554684", "3554685", "3554686", "3554687", "3554688" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:841230", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3554660", "token_id": "46274795831689890353517554954730793678416689605876093623537937403036004594409", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alibaba", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96318ec3358bfaff8d7bb2c99f105d199f16790b788c626a4ca4b547bdf7869b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554660", "condition_id": "0x08fcceb9a490332da07f63af3fb65f5816e441794964f3bb3ffb64845854d393", "token_id": "46274795831689890353517554954730793678416689605876093623537937403036004594409", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a04db691f4f942c4a880beff502026e5825c030d0da5aee349887a8c201e227c", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3554668", "token_id": "99896133681614362945726463030671527664551067455077890462267298282621322547777", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Amazon", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "248e36ccbb51331cdc1538449e435d814cbd46fe66148bfad6f3a15d3ad2bf60", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554668", "condition_id": "0x385a6dff135bdce30f5ce415c64fbe3d408f4ce5968598e688891804879cb732", "token_id": "99896133681614362945726463030671527664551067455077890462267298282621322547777", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e7d2900166810f2b1a2793215b52269333b715cb909861f2db466b29a30285b6", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3554657", "token_id": "17398972530137600675762712744895375915722542439211248541948693649429200536957", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Anthropic", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ca26ee53ad72decaa13decca676f5acfec14b60690e7a1d1504ab84e17638b74", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554657", "condition_id": "0x8091d617a6b1a70847d357f59b7d1d303b7599d376ba92729705e233b3716940", "token_id": "17398972530137600675762712744895375915722542439211248541948693649429200536957", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1ed64cb7a93e5259a89774b05da8fdc98074cd67e499246f89fac3a5037073f1", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3554663", "token_id": "26376905198258307615043280066979313063967375338707538491047959844840661737795", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Baidu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5f88990d5db2e9da7f05db7a191512255d6217cf464838e904d8ab9d38f12195", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554663", "condition_id": "0x36b76a6c7f259e5049a9f56664e90566d743d8cc8c6894c3d624c9ffe474c4db", "token_id": "26376905198258307615043280066979313063967375338707538491047959844840661737795", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3d732e64b6d6c76a77eb4b409eda2c12ce05e3ef3cd78f426802ca3f5195578c", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3554669", "token_id": "57321381881979281232941979194072838210922837050502326446088967785727539630871", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ByteDance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0f7d9fa1ac3d2bf17044649dfab2d40c4fb148550d600e4ee989766b904e7141", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554669", "condition_id": "0x73a2427ea525844a8bd20096e1bb6968033b6daa329f56787dcad27670af2b6a", "token_id": "57321381881979281232941979194072838210922837050502326446088967785727539630871", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "31ce187465582c0777c687d85f9e277973b78122a506c8d7b501033010391ae5", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3554667", "token_id": "34386357091211667570276625678924245594806905197866962525270427868982135901950", "outcome": "yes", "label": "DeepSeek", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "17f25bd92e622a69ffef036f3531a0d271ed767c2cab34e31c74827d334d262b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554667", "condition_id": "0xb15c88021fa0ba847a620186522d4ebc4199815bd534f54e1d7785971d494ae4", "token_id": "34386357091211667570276625678924245594806905197866962525270427868982135901950", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "42004ceab9c099d3bdea4f0fb01d9e4231a755201e6ea210e8358276d98290e3", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3554659", "token_id": "111088620532234518037120406087772586039940496346205331791940213760503764823657", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Google", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9ef496c141d112f2cca031225193b766745d4c66eb5e8f0d51c2a991b713278a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554659", "condition_id": "0x23858cc44dce48e23f754240a0a71595f38f5c66d9a0eaf612eb5a737ad1e66d", "token_id": "111088620532234518037120406087772586039940496346205331791940213760503764823657", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "19d437ff2a84663ee24045a676590a911e9e35a94adc89544fe0e52005f1d377", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3554674", "token_id": "35735249877134647944519824366079649743893851605506861622407210560004144868788", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meituan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "941a5c1c42db321dd8bc78ad600636eb2908cbf734e858d610d24b296ab57fa9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554674", "condition_id": "0x276a079c31046b59d09d28ebbd3b898ab3a27a3b473f5aee3e84f970cf386a56", "token_id": "35735249877134647944519824366079649743893851605506861622407210560004144868788", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "29d95f3a19ea1cd507b51850afcff24fbfaebc3e56c9acc8d3a14d77ba386ec3", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3554658", "token_id": "67850294165032849315961593437114430140885475241403319796869289837049761569452", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meta", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e5743aeff86487f6bb2c8d119a55c5ed225b3c989a9751e0f93830af13e4f4c3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554658", "condition_id": "0x1cf218efb6ef7336fd0f60cca5c4b9e7ffcc6263359fa1827b84ef2d96fd982b", "token_id": "67850294165032849315961593437114430140885475241403319796869289837049761569452", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "660f358df5fc50ce9c6a71a89522f0070501547332b5088ca65b19b6dca106b7", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3554677", "token_id": "30781617848067342289760830612272605534009730146271997002570583325734100910961", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Microsoft", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8afdfb8dfc60bf47983ab4c58a816e5f85765a2e8c32b8be1f943cadd3153f9b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554677", "condition_id": "0x39e4ca4acf1b74b555653287c299cae7b80b6c8853e95a59d7a905e25862a0fb", "token_id": "30781617848067342289760830612272605534009730146271997002570583325734100910961", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9880041dee96742cc48c6ebce77a1681f60396a34c3ff569b3c60a77209ccf4c", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3554672", "token_id": "37796140676006388869527059472375687891264800028372591646520096853102231229753", "outcome": "yes", "label": "MiniMax", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "50f8e460b36e5789581935ff528bbe425258fa0004793e45602b32a72bf3795c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554672", "condition_id": "0xc7454461a0ff3cc911225012022268d974b3ebc89b9e13dc4e22ac05493c6b4a", "token_id": "37796140676006388869527059472375687891264800028372591646520096853102231229753", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "35e22c9b02cd6a63dad26d7acfcefcd3672a09f6e245c74c8859490c8b6a7630", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3554673", "token_id": "89736761705399448809722005438316235304852386523695309164275189545105284888707", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mistral", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f628cd0b765844b73c508583ec39eabc93bd529407417ba37874130b5ac30914", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554673", "condition_id": "0x10752ad277ad3f795280c3bc9bf93b6e81aaabf40b1943558005fdc6f09f9fe5", "token_id": "89736761705399448809722005438316235304852386523695309164275189545105284888707", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "56e39db722d3cdd216762ed1cec017368966dab089e21a8898a8c025290c5532", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3554661", "token_id": "69933113107652185818115764646609294026925367308002705366985764292349964623886", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moonshot", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9c7dbb06642e63a311c2645aeb19421fce9095573ccf0a8073be3df8cec70993", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554661", "condition_id": "0x8f8ef3a633188c4630a9520d14f9d5cb1eca5da219e3071ac4777a7ec8849bb3", "token_id": "69933113107652185818115764646609294026925367308002705366985764292349964623886", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3451be5a309a21a6b44487122c3ccdf905e6622ae317b539b7e268a2f7093aa2", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3554670", "token_id": "64455926152107502704929962395172669301407223428786705051830529543523391167700", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nvidia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e3056d834c98130da3fa4c7d5f770a93a78b2da4da783c9fbd69a4fbcd95c336", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554670", "condition_id": "0x0aa84811f7db149ad9f76009b38cf3cc535d705e6cf6f3e148e1ef4d13bc0b50", "token_id": "64455926152107502704929962395172669301407223428786705051830529543523391167700", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9ee0bb5d9fbf3c6e98f3ce6ecba9213dcbdf0451f8982c518f25a345c8c8b6c0", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3554662", "token_id": "14665933826044668598628417965486222344112965532414111462458988627922152138169", "outcome": "yes", "label": "OpenAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ef5b350aed6fb20267f590d289845035da806551b4067fd2623742610d82e537", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554662", "condition_id": "0xadf826589a83573dbb33c5fcfcfac6fd3d472dfa4a0a0779cb9491dbcb8e9223", "token_id": "14665933826044668598628417965486222344112965532414111462458988627922152138169", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3db280029f143654ed5c1e38e0383d9004d0cc2d7b7716c5ff59ed2fd9128aed", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3554666", "token_id": "12392051881879218823156179525702200729490695684251109124187686720873987356471", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SpaceXAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9a412bfe20237a95c46781a1508a6ce0de04d06874f114bcd63ee4fc0d01f015", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554666", "condition_id": "0x962465dcc3c36bee9631f0d0bf56d9ab9713f936287038962a44040c0dbd30ad", "token_id": "12392051881879218823156179525702200729490695684251109124187686720873987356471", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "756d4b23bb10e7c340a813f0c18bcdf0a2b6c5f7f09f5fda10c889671f777ce0", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3554676", "token_id": "55194486083110896079068226450502505782743777696721082259819168476086536935205", "outcome": "yes", "label": "StepFun", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c96cecce73e679417a62d5020f3615b14bd6d191c48c84877f97b07f640e6b1a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554676", "condition_id": "0xa8cf030906dc12fe5b241d27e31aa5f961d1a45bdabd6af69fe2061be308cd9c", "token_id": "55194486083110896079068226450502505782743777696721082259819168476086536935205", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ea9964e8a28ca707c6816c17c045a40bd8b4f1674fb4d974f6c9855d6f04835f", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "3554675", "token_id": "55402377678313899827832643788511039277391748475397715120071186832172405962264", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tencent", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9e86ff6bdde2d8129e712740cbf1fd30dfa385713d2347d3db9aa93a047142d2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554675", "condition_id": "0x31528e5406134013f6aa935d8cc509910f85c7f5958873c2ca17f07795995870", "token_id": "55402377678313899827832643788511039277391748475397715120071186832172405962264", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b7befc8c749fab267f233b01953bf15a9e8ea193be3af6f8f333767becc8f3cb", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "3554671", "token_id": "17401700566127596952739188691587181282435267980568575951918254818223531167396", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Thinky", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b1cb262e5f2e124cfa34ebaf1c6d84c229459ed4a2fc0e6b7cf5a7488304d59b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554671", "condition_id": "0x9816afbfa2ca4955c1940ef990960a0007d492fe4e61cfe2795b22d159706032", "token_id": "17401700566127596952739188691587181282435267980568575951918254818223531167396", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0b805794fe6531bb0cd8d4bc53667f18a1bd1d1e508f2acc10572d2df7ed2d43", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "3554665", "token_id": "79032365695064793585444588312625350117542101643168772731686621805293512200963", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Xiaomi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "95652f3b7cbe59beb6b92fcdbc086872479969934a42b58c0e5cc5158aa5e524", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554665", "condition_id": "0x7ebfc8b7f5ff922d0bca14491b4ee7fa000c385c625f1e105554480e7e2e01d5", "token_id": "79032365695064793585444588312625350117542101643168772731686621805293512200963", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "12f206d8ca5e7893b9821ecb3c2ffac3d66f16959fb4e7acc9139a69161aed43", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "3554664", "token_id": "106427778536231021393184897279164635725774393259725336162265941100688406613130", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Z.ai", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "33398e1e2adad2833fa3d95c1522afcf101410821ef951328744998f374c65c7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3554664", "condition_id": "0x936e9214622d008a19009118d5baa2803af8dd61ade36928b4051d16feec56ca", "token_id": "106427778536231021393184897279164635725774393259725336162265941100688406613130", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nNote: Models marked \u201cAutoEval\u201d at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "841230", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fb7795bc8abbd5167f05084fd1a3c6986a643e02b924a41e92686bfe81cb7763", "event_source_sha256": "45152bcefcc380d90d7242f78c132491250e9f3d158d3ca1d45eec0a885cb81f" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:510690", "title": "Oura IPO Closing Market Cap", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 8, "semantics_hash": "75e14724b1b40b42e67da725e5c0ab12b5c1da91712caad0eb335f51a36f493b", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2324604", "2324605", "2324606", "2324607", "2324608", "2324609", "2324610", "2324611" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:510690", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2324606", "token_id": "69281000125767344825544665038149494164447433516249956390456549885910955599666", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$10B\u2013$12.5B", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7062f42f93acb0c67b85fed6026cd612964187404c966255cdf96eef8c964610", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2324606", "condition_id": "0xc80aca25d68cf36c84f6df6e1c424b08e547dc3d8bd23029d36470cfe129e42b", "token_id": "69281000125767344825544665038149494164447433516249956390456549885910955599666", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before January 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "510690", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9e940efb088239c263a0d8fdf1758f6de07f36e158c492fc9eeb87814de1bb92", "event_source_sha256": "6d7b6faa9e2d14bede86ca4a8f2ca3fc27b8fe5674a5f675b5a899bb80240978" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2324607", "token_id": "71966323859810278641813622233610176426388643026623740807543702968778909632529", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$12.5B\u2013$15B", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3c6f9a3690627c133b96bb8052ddde44618741ad5ddfaa8c6aab13f6a58fe0a1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2324607", "condition_id": "0x791fdf75b48cc0dbe72afb210d800504ac5ee625a2fab8ceef413b50fe3487a4", "token_id": "71966323859810278641813622233610176426388643026623740807543702968778909632529", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before January 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "510690", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5e82d0b88763fefe005839b9003fdca6152fca69158a66b506cf7f9ba60a2258", "event_source_sha256": "6d7b6faa9e2d14bede86ca4a8f2ca3fc27b8fe5674a5f675b5a899bb80240978" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2324608", "token_id": "42167087320463635512055230312523374080210690330601179242753004544172545298861", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$15B\u2013$17.5B", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "944d723ce78b875e87a4e7bc2e689ce4c05105405d5a5e6375bc87f8c0c769ee", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2324608", "condition_id": "0x470cb4d422132549e81681852197ddec3f8039a41898d6d6625dc96c149bda30", "token_id": "42167087320463635512055230312523374080210690330601179242753004544172545298861", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before January 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "510690", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fca8ae5fd3f75928d6937f915a56e4f8d82d255e91545b0c0e97d8ae86820c3f", "event_source_sha256": "6d7b6faa9e2d14bede86ca4a8f2ca3fc27b8fe5674a5f675b5a899bb80240978" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2324609", "token_id": "37401851097880157346458777791334493931537976908333287029456144348807312636343", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$17.5B\u2013$20B", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "162d71970ac113d40d0fc2cc5fa802f3de6af2bb6ffb005616f442574860946c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2324609", "condition_id": "0x9956b84d1b094a7ba5531f5702bbf769e5a3353dbce2b2c7da69d8bc8a4899e3", "token_id": "37401851097880157346458777791334493931537976908333287029456144348807312636343", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before January 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "510690", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d0062e328a7b95ed3eb1bc9145a7bea96c7cb713789a639882c4d3824ddb3883", "event_source_sha256": "6d7b6faa9e2d14bede86ca4a8f2ca3fc27b8fe5674a5f675b5a899bb80240978" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2324610", "token_id": "62802014102903317440435669083095562147108755654122315149472051745290344126491", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$20B+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "120b423579ef22791ed5fc7d9410f8212446eee8f948f962412cdead03a8ddd0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2324610", "condition_id": "0xe44161a824b4dc606e43596e7cee266329880ef836e2e3babf6a1a0205661b2a", "token_id": "62802014102903317440435669083095562147108755654122315149472051745290344126491", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before January 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "510690", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3cf54c4181af823344161273b0e0532a1942fb5a788e79b3bd2cdbc26229cb8e", "event_source_sha256": "6d7b6faa9e2d14bede86ca4a8f2ca3fc27b8fe5674a5f675b5a899bb80240978" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2324605", "token_id": "12689182484229854877669526860350721774940981883026493278950506200273140206090", "outcome": "yes", "label": "$7.5B\u2013$10B", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5b7c2cba5ea35bf5d3e15a208043d5a45f2bd02cb691dabdcc8de7cc76e43596", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2324605", "condition_id": "0x704e4ea883b17433c66119bde289259b3c7d3668a0101df9c66fda9350f17fd2", "token_id": "12689182484229854877669526860350721774940981883026493278950506200273140206090", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before January 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "510690", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1de9980a2f339d24167fe466da7c53486e22f6b670d81fd8cac73bd068c13ff7", "event_source_sha256": "6d7b6faa9e2d14bede86ca4a8f2ca3fc27b8fe5674a5f675b5a899bb80240978" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "2324604", "token_id": "86298667182609307970229106799652210459933331086903884933167999846072287961743", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<$7.5B", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "429cb07ef573c53c227a98ccbdbb67b6553f09479007de866bdd5330c01f31a9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2324604", "condition_id": "0xc1219243f9bab179c3c6f5a895cdd38a0fc53f301507644bf67c76b696ea3647", "token_id": "86298667182609307970229106799652210459933331086903884933167999846072287961743", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oura's market cap be less than $7.5B at market close on IPO day?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before January 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "510690", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d15681dfd26c8653ac30330eaf1f6aa5019ab5ebe323a3300ed9e6a4561c631b", "event_source_sha256": "6d7b6faa9e2d14bede86ca4a8f2ca3fc27b8fe5674a5f675b5a899bb80240978" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "2324611", "token_id": "83209464544472798965372289711681557190267728325173104703728940184641911622186", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No IPO before January 2027", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e726ce73be8ac634311a214ee23310d46f905c10a929f622065f1147c2b6f5a7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2324611", "condition_id": "0xbfc5804406e3254b98ff869862aebb77dedf35b54374b3c8ddfee73168cac219", "token_id": "83209464544472798965372289711681557190267728325173104703728940184641911622186", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?", "rules": "This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO before January 2027\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company\u2019s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange\u2019s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura\u2019s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "510690", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "18a59f25d5f124255998b51b1f672dc739f6d9bbd986590f1388285d03553615", "event_source_sha256": "6d7b6faa9e2d14bede86ca4a8f2ca3fc27b8fe5674a5f675b5a899bb80240978" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992242", "title": "Highest temperature in London on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "af6224c2b2b1f15edda93899af0e36756a45e682dab689f00d9c8bbbc231b3c1", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4399947", "4399948", "4399949", "4399950", "4399951", "4399952", "4399953", "4399954", "4399955", "4399956", "4399957" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992242", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4399947", "token_id": "25510674473772763804020473379291320719562046932371954672171958827180976174876", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7fb7f765eca4be8d8e1828621043796ba0e5ea2041500e6b22de98bc1f286104", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399947", "condition_id": "0xfe2f95978391316e5e2097b17f4b38d354b1c495baf9c05bede58b8044cadc8e", "token_id": "25510674473772763804020473379291320719562046932371954672171958827180976174876", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 16\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2782fb4e8f4e6b6b1606cc1b0e0d8f6d12c6c4fcf4f6eb28a353980405de93fc", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4399948", "token_id": "95814320671331332907217828714910309340779837371907220316068811658099690416980", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e1a743aa7fe5f2ed41fbffd6964112f0c74a48751ed28b0c0518e19edd294b30", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399948", "condition_id": "0x15a859dac778a7ec0386802cb3c7d2fc4a8c8a152030e2ada176d7311659ae8b", "token_id": "95814320671331332907217828714910309340779837371907220316068811658099690416980", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 17\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6662a0604b3d2dceecdef35d4165908485098204985ef5ca31bbf9b453a34f88", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4399949", "token_id": "92391216987252905423986792596269016699112383250104872855507381997132119236202", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "657524693652724682188f483b05e9453a204f49a88d2a98b6e239a6afc08475", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399949", "condition_id": "0x75e505f262825fc6079695ab1125a0e175335aa19ddfc952e1160c54f523d4e1", "token_id": "92391216987252905423986792596269016699112383250104872855507381997132119236202", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 18\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d02ea563913c26eb80116cb62c674e315ed04934363073900b8b307fc4f2621d", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4399950", "token_id": "113386450626033377866967420813118398895914194337241605427029391077747892836726", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "166a555c66d59ae33a72dd7c1f5d5146595ad0f87e2571d2b5eaa84a7a7acc7c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399950", "condition_id": "0x497b1f010683a30bf1ff4bf53abcec980f3933ee425b041c4404ec33a904abb5", "token_id": "113386450626033377866967420813118398895914194337241605427029391077747892836726", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 19\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "23a8ea121da3a96840fee16000765c7744c5e182bff5d8ff351a0f30c3b3f6cf", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4399951", "token_id": "78682865145599693200970407272492609956735752969291396575617978273222370110277", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cd608e8e5843a8cf2e120b84f36d90ff33295c68e632cce51f1809861069e11c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399951", "condition_id": "0xa0fcf17f604b35f747a5a4f8649dca3efc538e1691b9c1b744aba1f5c49cf83e", "token_id": "78682865145599693200970407272492609956735752969291396575617978273222370110277", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 20\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "690b825b6b13dc284a99f2e5f1b46ba764eed3a0b2d629030c4aaae2e84562c2", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4399952", "token_id": "97035302663358726879339515776931948971197455334462936914742936936964076386738", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cf3e26147289f37993bbc8b62234004a067870ed051cbd457e282d6e02de81a0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399952", "condition_id": "0x242e5b24eaf99c4f86487db163e1cdc15d9d3b2060fe3acb24cd459f4b8a735e", "token_id": "97035302663358726879339515776931948971197455334462936914742936936964076386738", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 21\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c66238a9de82546d92104f8319ffc5a1270837da79cb82bf2cc328db3ec8605c", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4399953", "token_id": "31236417426424124321102336369254577517611785765914338166715122097889412585383", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b03bca754763b2ceba462ffab86b765c9bca0da41ee9f14b1e0247b5a5b2d637", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399953", "condition_id": "0x0b3832a41cd3f6b9b0f44f17e2d1a6e2813b28806b2934146c79102551647362", "token_id": "31236417426424124321102336369254577517611785765914338166715122097889412585383", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7df2cb5653339d5f2f73481fd42485f2c56311acb1e88f62b2346def268974ba", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4399954", "token_id": "68617988669836510128646400570528603069597091976116866241530642575899900687337", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e4252305eafd156db4db840648ac136fa537bf1e361562dbb76b8358d39b1b54", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399954", "condition_id": "0x90863aa152c5ef1bc2d67ed686ce81beef94cd5b4d3e362a1b39b6b3f31207d9", "token_id": "68617988669836510128646400570528603069597091976116866241530642575899900687337", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "28fa20f75dd79d0ae84981b29e8ef8b5cb6390c869f02db9a51fed027da00a50", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4399955", "token_id": "50230435269163203870250370462124983377887622058852541347194975783795936142965", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b8480e6a56316ccdd38bf86b83268b29fe9852b22cae6f273394711645caebd1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399955", "condition_id": "0xa2e567cb5f704c47ac2edf519654d92f14299927a632d9d4e36c02a72ff2fba1", "token_id": "50230435269163203870250370462124983377887622058852541347194975783795936142965", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 24\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d0a24be73a4f9e0f6c351639db401c7e3e15db07a4aa25b16f9fbada1d2553e6", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4399956", "token_id": "34507121537262981647108490246193575856937320628437175714463794462798267162716", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b5184593e29b405edfce23194ec1c2ade6a3dc1c1ebd42de287bba69146e2abe", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399956", "condition_id": "0xd908e5ffa174782db889dbd1b4dff81b3df9634b0f8e5c02dbf644eeb48d3542", "token_id": "34507121537262981647108490246193575856937320628437175714463794462798267162716", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "645f4583ad08c6bb12f9ae47987a8a31045a2159f42f40fef8a954f909afd0f1", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4399957", "token_id": "93042245968327892225199762611883737117380250242584791457211421682465080520126", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "945d3f4b907c4073b0dec930821566d0c22342c82b821fed6eceac6612e606e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4399957", "condition_id": "0xe09423c74f7d5fb517fbf41fe87211796bbe66894eccc271078ed27329588b77", "token_id": "93042245968327892225199762611883737117380250242584791457211421682465080520126", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in London be 26\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992242", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1fe10b010946d7aef4c6b92c54aec4cecad2a3b1e8b91f1428bc0f60f2b058d4", "event_source_sha256": "88681950257587bc004ff36b689a8b178bef3df0d29b59e2d735ed34f8f8ead6" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:57669", "title": "South Carolina Senate Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "55f8c3bf25a84ec4381fe5fc3b186466bc54ec240620e02fc7960a6ec8152cc4", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "630924", "630925", "630926", "630927", "630928", "630929", "630930", "630931", "630932", "630933", "630934", "630935", "630936" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:57669", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "630924", "token_id": "30718966535311015751929217398361750334834655110246828806892843311659716192347", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Annie Andres (D)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "49694ddb95d4a29aaa8eb744b8cf2487716520c8a3435dc5b9ea3b39b89183ff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "630924", "condition_id": "0x4de72138204727d2821bff847d8158819ab5b591db1b5b263676126cbb3a0430", "token_id": "30718966535311015751929217398361750334834655110246828806892843311659716192347", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57669", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "243fae3b9fadfc6cec82d3eab0d00fda1713550968865aef2a35abdc1f658a47", "event_source_sha256": "f0db6e9054292c8bfe0d9f64ab905df0c5a6ad6d2a465e88dd3426aa2660842e" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "630925", "token_id": "84368524152268016512433556151474175385160499638069024812438264090070245734708", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Darline Graham Nordone (R)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4cf0de05c6a1edccf108cd6a830bbd3d1e98e1a2a5697e3945fa1115303c2cd6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "630925", "condition_id": "0x1c017cbb38a9d0ab233ebb265b25c78290317e6a2470657ca18a73a112397b55", "token_id": "84368524152268016512433556151474175385160499638069024812438264090070245734708", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.\n\nA candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.\n\nCandidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the \u201cDemocrat\u201d or \u201cRepublican\u201d options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven\u2019t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "57669", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "04751ff5d804ed4783162c4823edac1fde6f0273ecd6a71318952f404da24156", "event_source_sha256": "f0db6e9054292c8bfe0d9f64ab905df0c5a6ad6d2a465e88dd3426aa2660842e" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:956597", "title": "First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "a1e2dc09a048a6073af4ded9eecc73b5711ad2d78fd2fa5fb77dc1bdc5647c7c", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4177243", "4177246", "4177248", "4177250", "4177253" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:956597", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4177246", "token_id": "41881813710089727854405675208080554765410855994744600957959857571752815444932", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Artificial Inu (AI)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bdd77029736adcf465d8d25ddc6dd05b84fac567388cf891e7e0e1a77f6abfcb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4177246", "condition_id": "0x9269181aab86b3e08b94b22b47391ec8db8d38893ebc20105e99c95361892cd7", "token_id": "41881813710089727854405675208080554765410855994744600957959857571752815444932", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Artificial Inu (AI) is the first of the coins listed below to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as \"Fully Diluted Valuation\" on CoinGecko and as \"FDV\" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used.\n\nThe coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are:\n\n- Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat\n- Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/\n- The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull\n- NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet\n\nA coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. If two or more coins first reach the threshold within the same minute, the coin with the higher fully diluted valuation at that minute will be treated as first.\n\nA momentary crossing qualifies, provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nEach coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for.\n\nIf no coin listed above reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater by December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\" and the \"None\" market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956597", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ea85494532d6c5dd23eb7a99e7a92cfcf72ac90abe88e91e84f7e2f429931d19", "event_source_sha256": "6138058c4ffb9deeb1ff41ae52d4699db7d940810aa4cdf0b6e6e6dcc549fbf5" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4177248", "token_id": "100095308514866779595156619884970653343377747212523553131981677449886530723007", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cash Cat (CASHCAT)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f278ec6005c9a39570c54306a19d2c6ab4b3491ca7f29a1931d9f3015d22a395", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4177248", "condition_id": "0x5fcbd7a2b30900eee910716c0c4df3626ba6958bd4d57d44b3eb51155ead7c0b", "token_id": "100095308514866779595156619884970653343377747212523553131981677449886530723007", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if Cash Cat (CASHCAT) is the first of the coins listed below to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as \"Fully Diluted Valuation\" on CoinGecko and as \"FDV\" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used.\n\nThe coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are:\n\n- Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat\n- Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/\n- The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull\n- NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet\n\nA coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. If two or more coins first reach the threshold within the same minute, the coin with the higher fully diluted valuation at that minute will be treated as first.\n\nA momentary crossing qualifies, provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nEach coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for.\n\nIf no coin listed above reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater by December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\" and the \"None\" market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956597", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a361569f107333181cb5a9f3384690d74d113cf32d89d3610bd79612ba5df618", "event_source_sha256": "6138058c4ffb9deeb1ff41ae52d4699db7d940810aa4cdf0b6e6e6dcc549fbf5" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4177250", "token_id": "90666984891650584743111418268256825271453217894165221700030811590802129305165", "outcome": "yes", "label": "NetNet (NET)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "14699508c1fd117195f04913316dc266598789bfa39c16d8e3efb3a9c87fe934", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4177250", "condition_id": "0x0ed8d6de8e455b3ef685281e4b27595ad3649443939b93d6fe7e56a774c643b8", "token_id": "90666984891650584743111418268256825271453217894165221700030811590802129305165", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will NetNet be the first to hit a $1B FDV?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if NetNet (NET) is the first of the coins listed below to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as \"Fully Diluted Valuation\" on CoinGecko and as \"FDV\" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used.\n\nThe coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are:\n\n- Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat\n- Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/\n- The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull\n- NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet\n\nA coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. If two or more coins first reach the threshold within the same minute, the coin with the higher fully diluted valuation at that minute will be treated as first.\n\nA momentary crossing qualifies, provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nEach coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for.\n\nIf no coin listed above reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater by December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\" and the \"None\" market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956597", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2b426ccfbc46125cf682f8137c780a6ba629cabfdca27fc73c935df8b6ffa293", "event_source_sha256": "6138058c4ffb9deeb1ff41ae52d4699db7d940810aa4cdf0b6e6e6dcc549fbf5" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4177253", "token_id": "96679847080996265101141156903374746058336805809616090088730210726427675819741", "outcome": "yes", "label": "None by December 25, 2026", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c82c987c0719358031e5cf59c200b3f701baeff8b9c1b765e32167642f7d82a2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4177253", "condition_id": "0x820729aadc283c1acec9aa0fab994d0aae15dd372c29df515134cd0548650d13", "token_id": "96679847080996265101141156903374746058336805809616090088730210726427675819741", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if none of the coins listed below reaches a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as \"Fully Diluted Valuation\" on CoinGecko and as \"FDV\" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used.\n\nThe coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are:\n\n- Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat\n- Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/\n- The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull\n- NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet\n\nA coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. A momentary crossing by any coin qualifies and will cause this market to resolve to \"No\", provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nEach coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956597", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1658579345c3cddd2c98f01dd9c9e1f846a0885261ee3bfad14febcd339f6c92", "event_source_sha256": "6138058c4ffb9deeb1ff41ae52d4699db7d940810aa4cdf0b6e6e6dcc549fbf5" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4177243", "token_id": "74100688721891144797638591337415652647556600588621270501864766794968076980536", "outcome": "yes", "label": "The Black Bull (ANSEM)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3d7ec5c03d02305001f601f709804ebd15b8248bc5ea468441c7fa45d99d2923", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4177243", "condition_id": "0x79ea606820280a4c420a90f5508d06b9dc6ca8aafe8119f1ce673fcc885c0746", "token_id": "74100688721891144797638591337415652647556600588621270501864766794968076980536", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?", "rules": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if ANSEM (The Black Bull) is the first of the coins listed below to reach a fully diluted valuation equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000 at any point between the creation of this market and December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nFully diluted valuation refers to the figure published by each coin's resolution source, shown as \"Fully Diluted Valuation\" on CoinGecko and as \"FDV\" on CoinMarketCap. Circulating supply market cap will not be used.\n\nThe coins in this event, and their resolution sources, are:\n\n- Cash Cat (CASHCAT), Robinhood Chain 0x020bfc650a365f8bb26819deaabf3e21291018b4, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/cash-cat\n- Artificial Inu (AI), Robinhood Chain 0x2E8c31162b855A2ffa90F6F8634643Ad6F111e18, CoinMarketCap, https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/artificial-inu-ai/\n- The Black Bull (ANSEM), Solana 9cRCn9rGT8V2imeM2BaKs13yhMEais3ruM3rPvTGpump, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull\n- NetNet (NET), Robinhood Chain 0xca9c78dd337a67f6e0077f65f5e9218719d30edf, CoinGecko, https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/netnet\n\nA coin reaches the threshold at the first moment its fully diluted valuation, as displayed on its resolution source, is equal to or greater than $1,000,000,000. If two or more coins first reach the threshold within the same minute, the coin with the higher fully diluted valuation at that minute will be treated as first.\n\nA momentary crossing qualifies, provided it is verifiable from the resolution source or from a consensus of credible reporting.\n\nEach coin is judged solely against the source listed for it. Differences in methodology between CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap will not be adjusted for.\n\nIf no coin listed above reaches a fully diluted valuation of $1,000,000,000 or greater by December 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\" and the \"None\" market will resolve to \"Yes\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the source listed above for each coin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If a resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or stops publishing data for a coin, that coin will resolve based on other credible and publicly verifiable sources.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-26T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "956597", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "95f52f14ab459e0a87e807597538808c5a6428b5d79887c6edc361482d553dcb", "event_source_sha256": "6138058c4ffb9deeb1ff41ae52d4699db7d940810aa4cdf0b6e6e6dcc549fbf5" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931783", "title": "PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - Halftime Result", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "1f8602104d2ca4375edbafa9376ba7c37f825a4583f554e25cf26308f7732636", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977918", "3977919", "3977920" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931783", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977919", "token_id": "68765049905338957886372738486775287523834928487922490716135591845560945011433", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c0f0b41a6cd3245d4c364667d2c0b6063c9b2404c1aea652031544888bc626e2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977919", "condition_id": "0xd6aaf8ca50f788029382173b70e14517b79db506f84a87e73cef9f1c1fc4789e", "token_id": "68765049905338957886372738486775287523834928487922490716135591845560945011433", "outcome": "yes", "title": "PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Draw at halftime?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931783", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b494d66fae27aa254751dad079a257a2a76d2f76ae80fada5aac9e8e5240f443", "event_source_sha256": "0f20e408d57e17916409db66ff62d45c13d666417ea4633b33a41126456e5ced" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977920", "token_id": "13484992441217385435410803068835921576332972650165260800252136574897919441785", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FK Shakhtar Donetsk", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19f7dc22c4c60eda0e0258c2605e6611a802a078b4093ebdd647173c220be11c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977920", "condition_id": "0x259545553ae9ef16f0333f95040bb2aa1bfc74cafb756a06884f8b5e1959f770", "token_id": "13484992441217385435410803068835921576332972650165260800252136574897919441785", "outcome": "yes", "title": "FK Shakhtar Donetsk leading at halftime?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026 If FK Shakhtar Donetsk wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931783", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fb924c147c25ce4bab3f87ce35358c8dac4c52b1722f3486e10ac53c74881bb3", "event_source_sha256": "0f20e408d57e17916409db66ff62d45c13d666417ea4633b33a41126456e5ced" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977918", "token_id": "43364436506844122713829943858376799320749765325999136880984754937040637424621", "outcome": "yes", "label": "PSV", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "464d8ff47df909474d73a224faa137532d277172d58801732331a04e890f0764", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977918", "condition_id": "0x554f2d3b42d92d836f09c73b1f1b0d6756b7743f386b0abce25a7ee4f591d277", "token_id": "43364436506844122713829943858376799320749765325999136880984754937040637424621", "outcome": "yes", "title": "PSV leading at halftime?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026 If PSV wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T16:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931783", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "060aae4f55e69aa4cafd5999f9558856065cf9c80fded945e7af43bd5f6ceea9", "event_source_sha256": "0f20e408d57e17916409db66ff62d45c13d666417ea4633b33a41126456e5ced" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:828358", "title": "When will the Danube River return to normal levels?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "incomplete_event_membership", "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "ba622876cc75335a9e6b05e0ea3fdeedba08e12e634f1312df42c72ace2dbfdf", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3491784", "3491785", "3491786", "3491787", "3491788" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:828358", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3491788", "token_id": "16571768774529771053834180768889530739279226357826426438662459965204508103912", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Does not return by November 1, 2026", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b29b56a5e7a295e8eb96044a72d52cb4be3f040f4dc81ee3fa049500a6d1ae5d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3491788", "condition_id": "0xa553b580b636c27bc8eeb11064ecb21538dac9cae5fe5b1a117b368d0893db3c", "token_id": "16571768774529771053834180768889530739279226357826426438662459965204508103912", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?", "rules": "This market resolves based on when the water level at the Budapest gauge (station HU442027) first reaches or exceeds 93 centimeters, as reported by the International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR) via DanubeHIS. A reading of 93 centimeters or higher is the Danube Commission's official Low Water Level (LDC) threshold for Budapest, the minimum acceptable navigation level, and defines \"normal levels\" for this market. \n\n\"Does not return by November 1, 2026\" resolves \"Yes\" if no reading at or above 93 centimeters is recorded at the Budapest gauge at any time on or before October 31, 2026 11:59 PM UTC. Readings after this cutoff are not considered, and any return to normal levels occurring on or after November 1, 2026 does not affect resolution.\n\nThe resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 93 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 93 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 93 centimeters for any period.\n\nThe bracket containing the timestamp of the first reading at or above 93 centimeters resolves \"Yes\"; all other brackets resolve \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be DanubeHIS (https://www.danubehis.org/results/HU442027_HYDRO). If DanubeHIS is unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "https://www.danubehis.org/results/HU442027_HYDRO", "close_time": "2026-11-01T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-01T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "828358", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "84c2827d9421103f497af874765950f8cc6f10ba0f1ffb4b503d9539f54ba441", "event_source_sha256": "af73b992d78f9aae12c3433371a21c3c4a75ee4db0b7d1c945c0ecb866077d11" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3491787", "token_id": "21058302503261525125327629133199769148550356389240468585374090790146589703420", "outcome": "yes", "label": "October 1 - 31, 2026", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "201b8ba320f2ad16e513e88376f8f21fa4cc28103c2a5eed719dc3d2f0003203", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3491787", "condition_id": "0x242e95ad01b8317b1514da563a24b9f7b1187957820301508a86f5ce4a6155df", "token_id": "21058302503261525125327629133199769148550356389240468585374090790146589703420", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?", "rules": "This market resolves based on when the water level at the Budapest gauge (station HU442027) first reaches or exceeds 93 centimeters, as reported by the International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR) via DanubeHIS. A reading of 93 centimeters or higher is the Danube Commission's official Low Water Level (LDC) threshold for Budapest, the minimum acceptable navigation level, and defines \"normal levels\" for this market. \n\n\"Does not return by November 1, 2026\" resolves \"Yes\" if no reading at or above 93 centimeters is recorded at the Budapest gauge at any time on or before October 31, 2026 11:59 PM UTC. Readings after this cutoff are not considered, and any return to normal levels occurring on or after November 1, 2026 does not affect resolution.\n\nThe resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 93 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 93 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 93 centimeters for any period.\n\nThe bracket containing the timestamp of the first reading at or above 93 centimeters resolves \"Yes\"; all other brackets resolve \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be DanubeHIS (https://www.danubehis.org/results/HU442027_HYDRO). If DanubeHIS is unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "https://www.danubehis.org/results/HU442027_HYDRO", "close_time": "2026-10-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "828358", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c59d43c93330c0b21196d2f4eea7709c6e555b3eb42926cc40d8aeaef8579421", "event_source_sha256": "af73b992d78f9aae12c3433371a21c3c4a75ee4db0b7d1c945c0ecb866077d11" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3491785", "token_id": "114581278293479213138441183136606152482168986247644315375296331871304157694471", "outcome": "yes", "label": "September 1 - 14, 2026", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e18c6481574fb8497088df582cc885187cb664b7827091c95227df0e8fbee688", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3491785", "condition_id": "0x2bca5a10d50fe3ad6166bd8873f63bee5752c62011b2de0c38524492b8793932", "token_id": "114581278293479213138441183136606152482168986247644315375296331871304157694471", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 1 and September 14, 2026?", "rules": "This market resolves based on when the water level at the Budapest gauge (station HU442027) first reaches or exceeds 93 centimeters, as reported by the International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR) via DanubeHIS. A reading of 93 centimeters or higher is the Danube Commission's official Low Water Level (LDC) threshold for Budapest, the minimum acceptable navigation level, and defines \"normal levels\" for this market. \n\n\"Does not return by November 1, 2026\" resolves \"Yes\" if no reading at or above 93 centimeters is recorded at the Budapest gauge at any time on or before October 31, 2026 11:59 PM UTC. Readings after this cutoff are not considered, and any return to normal levels occurring on or after November 1, 2026 does not affect resolution.\n\nThe resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 93 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 93 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 93 centimeters for any period.\n\nThe bracket containing the timestamp of the first reading at or above 93 centimeters resolves \"Yes\"; all other brackets resolve \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be DanubeHIS (https://www.danubehis.org/results/HU442027_HYDRO). If DanubeHIS is unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "https://www.danubehis.org/results/HU442027_HYDRO", "close_time": "2026-09-15T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "828358", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d908bde411a15b9ae6893d8fd4e0a78914b24ea5d6009cb213f0f49e47131028", "event_source_sha256": "af73b992d78f9aae12c3433371a21c3c4a75ee4db0b7d1c945c0ecb866077d11" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3491786", "token_id": "86008332463055652437938710495682236157078976911891698174497488283189927244484", "outcome": "yes", "label": "September 15 - 30, 2026", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e4ebd527dcb9ef0474450d6b77ad2cb8f1c6b9718366924a61f822fed14415b2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3491786", "condition_id": "0x3b29a9a472c35d95fcf8b23c9c8f54fbcf95dc4e067f7784e370fb3f01b48eaa", "token_id": "86008332463055652437938710495682236157078976911891698174497488283189927244484", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Danube River return to normal levels between September 15 and September 30, 2026?", "rules": "This market resolves based on when the water level at the Budapest gauge (station HU442027) first reaches or exceeds 93 centimeters, as reported by the International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River (ICPDR) via DanubeHIS. A reading of 93 centimeters or higher is the Danube Commission's official Low Water Level (LDC) threshold for Budapest, the minimum acceptable navigation level, and defines \"normal levels\" for this market. \n\n\"Does not return by November 1, 2026\" resolves \"Yes\" if no reading at or above 93 centimeters is recorded at the Budapest gauge at any time on or before October 31, 2026 11:59 PM UTC. Readings after this cutoff are not considered, and any return to normal levels occurring on or after November 1, 2026 does not affect resolution.\n\nThe resolution is triggered by the first reading at or above 93 centimeters recorded on or after the market's start, representing a rise back to the threshold. A single reading at or above 93 centimeters is sufficient to trigger resolution; transient spikes count, and the water level does not need to be sustained at or above 93 centimeters for any period.\n\nThe bracket containing the timestamp of the first reading at or above 93 centimeters resolves \"Yes\"; all other brackets resolve \"No\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be DanubeHIS (https://www.danubehis.org/results/HU442027_HYDRO). If DanubeHIS is unavailable, this market may resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "https://www.danubehis.org/results/HU442027_HYDRO", "close_time": "2026-09-30T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-30T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "828358", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "12feb1cfc51b5493a9eaa82afbae554879d73d0dcb81dd6d176d79e60b9d77b9", "event_source_sha256": "af73b992d78f9aae12c3433371a21c3c4a75ee4db0b7d1c945c0ecb866077d11" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986609", "title": "Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "5e4488b7be3793d83cc4424b98819515f4742cdc8d47bf6a0b6eaf2324478fd9", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4355629", "4355630", "4355631", "4355632", "4355633", "4355634", "4355635", "4355636", "4355637", "4355638", "4355639" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986609", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4355629", "token_id": "63953776063075037908198954730386312318514108856568079577964031988312420165292", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cc0e202297bb140b9d1e6aca8bb552a6bfae129da17651852a2ce551fbf49463", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355629", "condition_id": "0x02f8b66e6188eacf0cb9cbab4aaa304017226271bce83ffe84dd290f70203a95", "token_id": "63953776063075037908198954730386312318514108856568079577964031988312420165292", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "19c20c0373abeeaeb7343f84cdea9d0c5bc91c7fa56f33efe4e04542bf3a6e5e", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4355630", "token_id": "14419481661188132046314098883735662021029898333441355981461437047481601803313", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "25cff61de297430813bee6d2036ec0f0a45c64dc68cf380f270cc39c66c3075b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355630", "condition_id": "0x0d250346e0d83a7a98da4c845df4c88ae100bf707356938fb419b3a66dd997e8", "token_id": "14419481661188132046314098883735662021029898333441355981461437047481601803313", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1e29a704736162b4d3ba71ff8cbe8489ad4f39c5b7d20737eeb437329bfa82d8", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4355631", "token_id": "106069537340689184507466510513948662589285627264467885666637843456999131216540", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e04c41821cc459133fa3c4990ef11a2465fc54877cb434bb1c0285f476881de5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355631", "condition_id": "0x0fbf68dc40229840807089be139442046038652b0f6135c91e89de3fc51eb602", "token_id": "106069537340689184507466510513948662589285627264467885666637843456999131216540", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "54a88eb61db8731764e281739d3abefe581516e344bfd722b6f4e9075d4d0a8f", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4355632", "token_id": "32674977035157073049570704997969192532270157855327262108312031223963705711290", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "63b73eb31e2f326706de207a6f9e532474d378bc8a6ff017f4426d9381a6ad05", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355632", "condition_id": "0xbf6d3ddf0d5a9b631ade71cbb52ff911964a7c3d313b294dc4edfaaabc1e9d0a", "token_id": "32674977035157073049570704997969192532270157855327262108312031223963705711290", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5aff9f4a86fa4fbb4fca48660a54caced12b28a75edbe67e8e893a28fa05fa56", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4355633", "token_id": "58007196589307382812473571177200141786783819848483038120452877126851552547679", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ab49ef34fd4175efb5c93ff9ba3b41f50ad9a3aa4c296c74750a86abcc9ea6a0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355633", "condition_id": "0x955e9b380a7b957bc60c10c9a4d47f41a3e589771f23de173695f664a7882ede", "token_id": "58007196589307382812473571177200141786783819848483038120452877126851552547679", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8e95889fc18e378a896c5576accaab43f9dcda943463a78c3370c5c9e4580dea", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4355634", "token_id": "6450660782764064738711319209449531523219313467538013117889448610285173882192", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "144e82af06cdd23e72d0168563ed4863a35ccf8a836031bce5eabc0a5f9464dc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355634", "condition_id": "0xe14c3b340fbf6c8ae31210644a4217efb54876ac5a8935fef71af3c5c3c1d41c", "token_id": "6450660782764064738711319209449531523219313467538013117889448610285173882192", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ceb8d7b7c4880a0e2a825bd43e27cff58730cc42a51981cc8e3124a5e546fe4d", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4355635", "token_id": "43021278542359103015693719648379771257039437921423198575309969532039485596191", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96d39830130f02488e29bb8f12e71148708417ef053b09a7b3e25e535cf4a180", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355635", "condition_id": "0xe9ac23815d9127827d688ec1f059d4b8935111c46366cd6d5b5090f9669677ff", "token_id": "43021278542359103015693719648379771257039437921423198575309969532039485596191", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "82469699ea8fc1fefb40602adf52be4d7fa65cd382fecdb7b01bab74e247a067", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4355636", "token_id": "77035460502472508907686542402012714919294006062308797954830906234257552595335", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e8ec55a528621e5271b9a9b931a83818200689efbcd6a5b7e6dd216f8c112da6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355636", "condition_id": "0x5189f0281a2876af524de9f10eddc75a99fef40951f65829cd10a7c2c1bc2df8", "token_id": "77035460502472508907686542402012714919294006062308797954830906234257552595335", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dfd7a04a714485a77fd738f283edfdb18c6c19a3c3369fdc9cb653bfd2f88c33", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4355637", "token_id": "59507282084577511376270913760511473848463608892868617117509274306623626136800", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dcab93492a8f22040f47640a8dd255beae699aa23f2b5dee1bb057f4925a9031", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355637", "condition_id": "0x014dd2cf0e28ad76cbd3c9bfebeda1d5e573eb47b6c8a05cd8436aa38cf72343", "token_id": "59507282084577511376270913760511473848463608892868617117509274306623626136800", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "40c0366a6d5b3e38ffe2f0bf2d627965076cddebd7a4abd4e21a90fdf481af09", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4355638", "token_id": "99059554890380304107575051895198608486697166677762197885015768480452664642052", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "40f60b12d7cc04f7d7f0d1b181be35d65cbaecbbbedeb9a401494c44994c40e5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355638", "condition_id": "0xa95bb1e1ef0df1f44988498b267b43c73f39fa5b0387e76e188d47f8d861a63d", "token_id": "99059554890380304107575051895198608486697166677762197885015768480452664642052", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "51bbd72d195f594806f97b9139fce138c7eaf77603d8e68ff8e8f1efb0bbeace", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4355639", "token_id": "72900133452937260762220984005282586926632096920048606383250840285680216525562", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b32498f027cbd28bef1d3d323a7c59208246938058a377012de1723b5e096250", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355639", "condition_id": "0x87fdac4d201b25b005ea039a86dec13a2ec8b3874102fc6cb9153c88708080b9", "token_id": "72900133452937260762220984005282586926632096920048606383250840285680216525562", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986609", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a0a104b82a857fa29b6a2f4d14227fa03f999b1e14d46591792c562fb9e70163", "event_source_sha256": "d6658adaea4c4ef35ba7c70ac18dabd0611a55332f7f55e22af8414045f88eb1" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:191511", "title": "MN-01 House Election Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "5c61abc0d66bd2247471e076b254e6eadec2779060715eb4f5bf354584c078c4", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "1283848", "1283849", "1283850", "1283851", "1283852", "1283853", "1283854", "1283855" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:191511", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "1283848", "token_id": "58414915443056575600546845688231939406497093430617962204950899073959516863962", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Brad Finstad (R)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4722a9c80a52281fc342ec9560b918abc84c42de3a4413ca9f3695d9d044787f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1283848", "condition_id": "0x4f63b7dddfb9bec2d5185e732dd3eb8463d825bdf5efadf87eec600e96e08ab5", "token_id": "58414915443056575600546845688231939406497093430617962204950899073959516863962", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n\u200bA candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "191511", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "344dd0a52fef943377e8421eb41e5de26224c0aa9147ae7240e80336f2927908", "event_source_sha256": "a12e50fbcbc31e6f00b5dbdabe74a9b310e98f2069eda7d329a123586e9a1d01" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "1283849", "token_id": "53556044615407667948482140924138670085564709060050296606327145637179427254399", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jake Johnson (D)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "23208aca0a1ebae042e2395313001beae1c0da04d0117267794d99fed145812a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "1283849", "condition_id": "0xcdadbda6f89673336dc76bd48a5765d942494452073e366d9cefd37e6b37dd7e", "token_id": "53556044615407667948482140924138670085564709060050296606327145637179427254399", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.\n\n\u200bA candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "191511", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "878340fd0471803777883f396f7a7767b7b5103443ca7f15db52441dea350302", "event_source_sha256": "a12e50fbcbc31e6f00b5dbdabe74a9b310e98f2069eda7d329a123586e9a1d01" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986599", "title": "Lowest temperature in London on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "a50ebaaaccd7376e244a81ea594aa09bfca1ef9e3aafcae2e061645905726ae2", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4355519", "4355520", "4355521", "4355522", "4355523", "4355524", "4355525", "4355526", "4355527", "4355528", "4355529" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986599", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4355524", "token_id": "39929962360090977938250555331644993518433675657694146865166617328149073870083", "outcome": "yes", "label": "10\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0d02916163ae98680f6208ddbdda477266691e861c5a369abb3cc6a68bfb4dcd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355524", "condition_id": "0x058d4df49034f565788f282ccc646455caa79e2b8824d41b30d5bf054e8d39c8", "token_id": "39929962360090977938250555331644993518433675657694146865166617328149073870083", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 10\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0c7840d2f345df5d6d539fd87102c99a3e21783e4aee92c39f43a8d5f54bce93", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4355525", "token_id": "48929150499490058760220058942635052242842451881429403030437988090105889439803", "outcome": "yes", "label": "11\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "40a9aa8feabe9fd6db8eeb2d830fef060565fe1fcac426aa28542ae8b4255550", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355525", "condition_id": "0x16328b1a407337afd9857eaee0a43e99f7f58ce11d746e69c6c21f9254ad4c72", "token_id": "48929150499490058760220058942635052242842451881429403030437988090105889439803", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 11\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "aed255e46094bad1a5df9e3607af762f95183e2ef5255e4f1009be927fd598c4", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4355526", "token_id": "102982027999050567807964786938486083407973025845130425341359172091564475139392", "outcome": "yes", "label": "12\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4946e9d191ba1ac2f51d92784c516c3762c80c25aed0c7efcf3d0f08b30e9d01", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355526", "condition_id": "0x41632f9cf563473105c3b02c546686e8d81ca8ad386809b0147a3c69000918b6", "token_id": "102982027999050567807964786938486083407973025845130425341359172091564475139392", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 12\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0c96aac6040992391b732a9909dc1009be1a4afde144ec0d08d6bb6b4cb13f74", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4355527", "token_id": "80981532853855927396233713643278178442048725147496791988782557515621294961851", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "036833a167961b8e2e192c1ccad9049ce9535c05076ad1278b9576818f1207b4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355527", "condition_id": "0x1478a415c3e54e5f57c6e25ca385d8ced745f705c8a155c647e8178b37fd9117", "token_id": "80981532853855927396233713643278178442048725147496791988782557515621294961851", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 13\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cadfccc74092fba30525acb0838695c3aa2c756268e8bc38e2d212c08b218bfe", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4355528", "token_id": "30269965027752203106420104399271980893341740420467984566535333004392937136471", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8a38f2203f0554cecab67e2790b47877b9e3ac9312b31c47631ab18740c95a79", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355528", "condition_id": "0xc5c252ce9d5de39bf6990966ffb4ca4c42fce99e2e4a62980afa3d0c6d800292", "token_id": "30269965027752203106420104399271980893341740420467984566535333004392937136471", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 14\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "24fa21873de30eaaf9e8fc852e4e5f19237b86995584f70268d24b9aef34d12a", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4355529", "token_id": "71919837083198182095007378836982371025868465831855571614174216916916839364946", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9dfa4b560b1b82474d4d148655d279091d74b06d3494e994db174f6030dd3a70", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355529", "condition_id": "0x5f9ee8f926bfaf3e8529de169191bc35f38ac044c04b724e70321ed033cacd68", "token_id": "71919837083198182095007378836982371025868465831855571614174216916916839364946", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 15\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9db9b1e01343b4b6872ddb402da566881727193ed45d90dfc9d83b33bf253810", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4355519", "token_id": "19688311233973742942000421325373458184655481341909634437578763605521416037724", "outcome": "yes", "label": "5\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c0ca2e25aa2cb5f4f5034cc5b2dfd88c86e35f717150e7b469c909d0952671aa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355519", "condition_id": "0xc5ffb70007b3486db2e100016596286a3ea4f41edf7c3f196bf58234844aff7b", "token_id": "19688311233973742942000421325373458184655481341909634437578763605521416037724", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 5\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5c04692e86a774be5f33fabc1898d2e6cc4bb868b102026eb593c2ee8152af5d", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4355520", "token_id": "69778347273283333729538207477646053085689868881344016392667344687974853180368", "outcome": "yes", "label": "6\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a33d5fe36e6948e5dda23dae8b5bdb10fd298defafe8557693d0f435673434ba", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355520", "condition_id": "0x67a436e5f0b3f80df24d3e68c67767ea7bd43ef65949ad2d4a6a37c8603a9bb4", "token_id": "69778347273283333729538207477646053085689868881344016392667344687974853180368", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 6\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "11e4eb781f5d87e49f6449e2eccf977642a4b0cd7f685e5f53cc708884556b07", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4355521", "token_id": "100779095327096576293292276372665538023879336123002193970770948999076232987782", "outcome": "yes", "label": "7\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b87057f57e8e2752dbd56ef503ecd53a245439b62e1bf6630e3fda4d1a794434", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355521", "condition_id": "0xcedba7200135434fef878ae1f299695f47feac4e41d70ca616c5bfda6cabd68b", "token_id": "100779095327096576293292276372665538023879336123002193970770948999076232987782", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 7\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4bbd124fe741cd194a6b4e4d240eb5d2e0d7ccf9202f3d5d7505a15a0bf4b5f8", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4355522", "token_id": "61428538713341470132480144924876064630265298511517348016947994524344349186719", "outcome": "yes", "label": "8\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1060f7e0a30538a16bb3aa0e4c7c176fafd62e8347d9465d3297c9ac141e3e9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355522", "condition_id": "0x7c446ad7d484710b7d165949076c8455225e55d3c6b1b14f1e12217b83968f3f", "token_id": "61428538713341470132480144924876064630265298511517348016947994524344349186719", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 8\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "68bb5bff471cffcd2bd679889ae0bac22675fbef46790ee824ad6d77dc024c73", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4355523", "token_id": "31661265693822871251124667465158698066982949881506866961991237996271598238202", "outcome": "yes", "label": "9\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e1f3422c9e666a2ce7e5e17a963cb15eee5ef6ab6b5b2a26753b69880a4e8bcc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355523", "condition_id": "0x7157d4a464f3b75115d136d76cf35553c24ee72cde98cb1a54029c256a9cf3a1", "token_id": "31661265693822871251124667465158698066982949881506866961991237996271598238202", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in London be 9\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986599", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2bb334439cf73e8887bc83dfb3fed300a2dba9dc6551a93e897d15d529b5ee53", "event_source_sha256": "c7aa1ab04690823d595305df9652b02703bfcd3abd745787a847053e4b979526" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:881715", "title": "Berlin State Election: SPD Vote Share?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "aafce72076826304f74982e214951f431d6e19a982328b4a5ba81a1881b1239c", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3748352", "3748353", "3748354", "3748355" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:881715", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3748353", "token_id": "20466144234726512505820433687160438844554050375411335975048380058952292556567", "outcome": "yes", "label": "10-13%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2b017b078675e493f338407d44634e21f22ec6d3a0c2ad979024635b4a818759", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3748353", "condition_id": "0xf905d2dbd3d057acc0542673764656f21280778685683288f8bf0276e95a2297", "token_id": "20466144234726512505820433687160438844554050375411335975048380058952292556567", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win between 10% and 13% of all valid second votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "881715", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "55bafed8074bdbc890e7092a45ce5558cd441689d75d9c7d68b332358425d0b9", "event_source_sha256": "4ce935729553fe616a6f9fceac20cc0832efcad707bc982d3c5d9910d807c698" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3748354", "token_id": "90478699448305830761985240587148226295404890323186369655360944400357146780295", "outcome": "yes", "label": "13-16%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ed161c6d00c786d85dcf9146354a7f83bb28b46d0dc9c6166d2c3f86b9207d22", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3748354", "condition_id": "0xd1383c1804c7f7567c94dfd413e94b0edd57956a7b4f5d28658bdfd50c334596", "token_id": "90478699448305830761985240587148226295404890323186369655360944400357146780295", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "881715", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2b48813851942b6efce74a6608583ae28f91f704e51d5c82a76440f7721ae913", "event_source_sha256": "4ce935729553fe616a6f9fceac20cc0832efcad707bc982d3c5d9910d807c698" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3748355", "token_id": "61011710427426831800189155113454804412946272421037692742027384644604523398051", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16%+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3bb34f03a4ce741fd3c79125516a41887c8476b59bdb954c270828e15039e8c2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3748355", "condition_id": "0xe3946ba9ea135466cff3043139359cf59d64068011c4e47b713c34d7895d6202", "token_id": "61011710427426831800189155113454804412946272421037692742027384644604523398051", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win at least 16% of all valid second votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "881715", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9b5a95d3d90ed4c4e21bbb77734466374bdb0a5e612322f6d175e08751f01967", "event_source_sha256": "4ce935729553fe616a6f9fceac20cc0832efcad707bc982d3c5d9910d807c698" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3748352", "token_id": "58479848902455200805834305215001631248240337184498982239770317947355543533655", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<10%", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "819b27a43337d21da71c4b34b26ebb8d0dac3d2f783efbd57806085edef6fa4e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3748352", "condition_id": "0xefa25c3fe5e01937afc901c2bfd8c76d0c335bd07bb08a49dfb8559507cb587e", "token_id": "58479848902455200805834305215001631248240337184498982239770317947355543533655", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by SPD in the specified election.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.\n\nValid vote percentages will be counted only where the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "881715", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d3e6688adb86d3a1660b1a06342cb8ce59d0c24b41002382d15e1955544fb1a8", "event_source_sha256": "4ce935729553fe616a6f9fceac20cc0832efcad707bc982d3c5d9910d807c698" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:844466", "title": "Who will Trump pick as the next Press Secretary?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ 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"outcome": "yes", "label": "Ari Fleischer", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "75731a61f4f1a216aa533f1db915a4bab97253e58be141841986b497b17bcfcd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566312", "condition_id": "0x544b43c2607cbcc0a0459ed78af8ac2475a7147d5d3a5e6a4e875d9289b5a286", "token_id": "38462872747385386773463669553119286513403401880643231905753582718547226742112", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b835a10fbe8f2b86460ff6a449af475d4a09bb9973020fedf3c2e4972b3e8dba", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3566304", "token_id": 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abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f1a4e58abf079dab12181e91ef4c2897cf794c95d1f8ef53ff35292f18e5efcc", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { 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replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f038e58ed886383a8c4dbcdb3a123a108b2e3071b33c5ffe38e13b3f1ee705dd", "event_source_sha256": 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replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4f2f1eafc709946e0aaae4566eb9f86cea50cba8af8007dcedd9f8df43136299", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3566301", "token_id": "28446419613649387791614145922110270064447753774643900178355744435852601452315", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Katie Pavlich", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8a9a373111272274b3e1f6639890c2700acb452dfb2eb277143e77098dffba84", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566301", "condition_id": "0x14ba54ce8792cd14384dc96c9b61e6d08bc61dab36a75873169d2aed480b2a6e", "token_id": "28446419613649387791614145922110270064447753774643900178355744435852601452315", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Katie Pavlich be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "02e8361574e1cb43bcd435332c0db62cbd438e203c8c84097ae5dfc31a6e1d56", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3566309", "token_id": "84346031026040539962922561854655365158890481932634267053920237799139337265849", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Katie Zacharia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ce78eca735af16a922aa86dbc2ec974d53c69a566d83706def8e32ff2359a1f2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566309", "condition_id": "0x4684342aa00e78eed7214f1dc5bfdb063f152c965084835ff4e7ae7fb480dd82", "token_id": "84346031026040539962922561854655365158890481932634267053920237799139337265849", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d066bb01662b63cdf438e6700bee345580107ed5093fa61fe7ad49dca04957f4", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3566305", "token_id": "56887006778968198706169897266160966948675756299006539478250362950099586769609", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kayleigh McEnany", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "38a022cfb5748d57676f22d3ef65a8b0877f40ef997335c22f40781615fc58d4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566305", "condition_id": "0x40a724194de553ff5079abe2fd683af62ad447683a1ef0450224f20f9671fe27", "token_id": "56887006778968198706169897266160966948675756299006539478250362950099586769609", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "aa55f43292137acfb17645fa6637f7e8cf1194538acdb23e3cd17d0e4d6828e6", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3566295", "token_id": "22748632962862589982542038030080479023923072009269930841210986661243487081831", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kush Desai", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "84426a241d59eb7eb9e9c7c53925a48dd032758ad0b0c602f0ffbc82d2552738", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566295", "condition_id": "0xe1f6e880e717ea46d8c3a0f9825c9b555bee70fb3647a8d506f2984882692115", "token_id": "22748632962862589982542038030080479023923072009269930841210986661243487081831", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "94757d72fc2c6bc84d73c0419eed4e7f6df45de273cd1253daf429e30162eedd", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3566316", "token_id": "18424692518083637577084585684458868296952999735621024197998311782640074109622", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lara Trump", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d95147c4759ca500c3fd51fdb69e053760abb4eda46652c5cd0eec4d8993a04e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566316", "condition_id": "0xc08a0a02b3368f9da998c6f00bcb1b952a78a859aced21d6a4212b3cc8c3ab6d", "token_id": "18424692518083637577084585684458868296952999735621024197998311782640074109622", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lara Trump be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "33ec9234558f2f1f1179699a5a7a900b2d5f9a1d190486e951682f9f244a2ecd", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3566298", "token_id": "17676734222191543748673648212568472488901930928826153578843338000988833211755", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lauren Bis", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d9720b1bcf45b2a04d1b01b3b7f66bc87697083d62af15eb343dafdee688b7a9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566298", "condition_id": "0x8311d6083f78d119a80dbb604bebc78d2c4882510613e6161e96703b4afcda13", "token_id": "17676734222191543748673648212568472488901930928826153578843338000988833211755", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a342868fc99838fb35dca2dbc7b14144c500526349bb33035d44835d93d7cad8", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3566299", "token_id": "20921633585859071783532585228979089968808739015615218723194883877564304309232", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Liz Huston", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bf467c63d99be128394a3633bc2064203d78d386f79271c37fb2f321aa5c03f7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566299", "condition_id": "0xab752519727b68280268f4e9886b712bb8aa74cf99c1a28950cea2f496f9365a", "token_id": "20921633585859071783532585228979089968808739015615218723194883877564304309232", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Liz Huston be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "43c7943226812ae88df08a5dd9182ffd04d9ae18afa662d64429d605b7584434", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3566293", "token_id": "56433123144430266529070084374574214405768583073179169357803491737582715971690", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Margo Martin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "094a828438929327022fb0ccab35c16a728f1b47b6b98a1c2244abbb6dacbb4b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566293", "condition_id": "0x5ff091188f82b2f651277d5a4488b17b97175be18c945e8eb8042458b67c2688", "token_id": "56433123144430266529070084374574214405768583073179169357803491737582715971690", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1a28ad47d0bb52d694e8ead0696904c5985d4ee382aa93bb92f5b0f2d1a28619", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3566319", "token_id": "101848452531091916397248831729228437050333410821190583071178361331861155823454", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Maria Bartiromo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "57707fcaf474a6be0e2925056aa6f72b7b445ebbadd0ab053dd1dabbcab1c85b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566319", "condition_id": "0xecbdf222a86c4a58e5c90fa94c7ababe5f82dbf26d1f0671b3d64bcbf81f4131", "token_id": "101848452531091916397248831729228437050333410821190583071178361331861155823454", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "a86fca1f5eb9cf86330e4118593e2e3b83ee2ce5d44df923a6b7d1d89af437e3", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "3566314", "token_id": "15548844739406723219693888237177576714783095879947273223706096877360178923184", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Matthew Boyle", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8e73ac2667d68532711d701b0d1bddc35f3a6708b93ef08f58fdd5c6c7464242", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566314", "condition_id": "0x6be49d5f1e69464c55f58e2a255b8a66a911d3ecb00e1135016395d0dc940aa0", "token_id": "15548844739406723219693888237177576714783095879947273223706096877360178923184", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "890df8af53c414d836f9c4d21f8681e82dd37954186c56e0090f1c5aa02059bb", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "3566308", "token_id": "40614808309881255311081469951057775092786326131531189218321884421588289159671", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Monica Crowley", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "85e3c21c3a5ddf38ef7bfa0754090de57b2b465bfa45d473efb59a766c1e314a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566308", "condition_id": "0xc201fa06f8824d22622b75183e5fc051aa698c3667ad7b4b0eba4c547c8dc8c3", "token_id": "40614808309881255311081469951057775092786326131531189218321884421588289159671", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Monica Crowley be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4c5e39f2ea8febdaf6cfdd7055b7bb7012fda6db15b7b283728f624549a23275", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "3566311", "token_id": "75467185672581912555984330080971131798202105885967200516548355475220804720295", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Natalie Harp", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a1dcb652594f43b95ad879cf47b80bb41ace522bf1b0780b3434cebd873ecfc5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566311", "condition_id": "0x846655866622a018c2c8d77400ec04c981a026b64a1c3e5a2430eb8edffc5ce5", "token_id": "75467185672581912555984330080971131798202105885967200516548355475220804720295", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e4c5c66983dec89a647e945fead8534df057c1fe8376f2dccd5eedfea216110b", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "3566297", "token_id": "23951953008066588629057657936812248246240999717560313413280367462754920738110", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Pat Adams", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3c2aac7c573061e424963522d80fe09d56fb6d5e412da3b9e6bf95089dee9470", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566297", "condition_id": "0x51dc1845b98189a33507ec372e56f714c4b12be184653af420c1572bff0f2876", "token_id": "23951953008066588629057657936812248246240999717560313413280367462754920738110", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Pat Adams be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "73acaa952a7d01bb1ba2e348018d0c70fa2c6448bf3d4d16b8d80e6773f7e434", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 21, "market_id": "3566317", "token_id": "86345251210241361353013184296029631835694002998878076955177005118517413528583", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rachel Campos-Duffy", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8ead3a514272205c3d442786d8c3e739c43f78ac60b49a0606ceb5f3f2da21bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566317", "condition_id": "0x95f811b7bb02f8e94b908bd67c7708ec34cf1656aab66709aca7669050b80ac9", "token_id": "86345251210241361353013184296029631835694002998878076955177005118517413528583", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rachel Campos-Duffy be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "78029452918552ef0928629561a75bf2d1af1663f6ad298c6081cab49daf4ed7", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 22, "market_id": "3566306", "token_id": "1912123006659202393239555952183008613139794898030657820154477280141921306103", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Scott Jennings", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d1e88c43af8a6dd0f8eb0f2ec21ec16d2bcbd9b79b66a806fe466524f15a9504", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566306", "condition_id": "0x8f38b53c21eb19bc2f5765442d027063c72ef28a1e38e04931c289e7b4385ba0", "token_id": "1912123006659202393239555952183008613139794898030657820154477280141921306103", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "98e8dc7e5561b2dce956c3f76ba35a163f368fd1d96d9ab97bec0c83c8daea01", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 23, "market_id": "3566315", "token_id": "54333442171036414996210424420596401634257957916947222840641355466148662437766", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Spencer Pratt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5c0e3ee2ad6db603dd74394fd10006d53c86bdf45ae4ef6f1ebef9183bec15b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566315", "condition_id": "0x0fcef6a7f20dd082863549ad50e4f1b69e62aafd9f35517ada6f8baca3b423fd", "token_id": "54333442171036414996210424420596401634257957916947222840641355466148662437766", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Spencer Pratt be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f495270cef09faccc81d79980aa3a616c20cfe6c3406cacd7c5bc3198c4a7975", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 24, "market_id": "3566296", "token_id": "72319756916478580757522174269590410608103233772098716277353219572741127460019", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Taylor Rogers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0c6e313f8ab2402f038d6b1f3ee94114e4397e3eac6cf7e5882955f695befc67", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566296", "condition_id": "0x5677208e5fc7322d46ca01743261c0574ebb727a868f772d1a36a388418803ed", "token_id": "72319756916478580757522174269590410608103233772098716277353219572741127460019", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Taylor Rogers be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "76c837b65d89f286c59e79c3a382e65c23dbc1dc61d848f6355b7c9ef1b51ba4", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" }, { "position": 25, "market_id": "3566302", "token_id": "29227432683446851058533401912822498527577571585646167138667685349225271740958", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tricia McLaughlin", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f336caa206cae4ee3af007ab690081eb92e9d252c632ddbc38574eecc71c2a75", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566302", "condition_id": "0x0e9ac5a559607d6a894377bde746959078bfa8a5fdf139821e983491927e8c80", "token_id": "29227432683446851058533401912822498527577571585646167138667685349225271740958", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the next individual who the White House announces has been picked to be the White House Press Secretary who replaces Karoline Leavitt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. \n\nA person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market. \n\nIn the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nOnce a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844466", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b374891b1d1b99da6f1ac11de331cb6238bef841b72f364fec73f5a7cffad5df", "event_source_sha256": "6b2814c3cd975b98efcb2fc31d49bf1920d13d6f7d63467a83c96652c71d1557" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:954492", "title": "New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "fewer_than_three_outcomes", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 2, "semantics_hash": "df70ebba551a8b8f7e3eb0f482afabb087bb51a984a5895923df39b896ab50fc", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4154414", "4154415", "4154416", "4154417", "4154418", "4154419", "4154420", "4154421", "4154422", "4154423", "4154424", "4154425", "4154426" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:954492", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4154415", "token_id": "99571433109239927338507189375013460048316935463418904383465842700437652794947", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bruce Blakeman (R)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "accbf448bcc01e19e214abc5d57e4992c81b41da7d51083921feac3eb2239334", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4154415", "condition_id": "0x223c92aa804e0209ea37985a19542239709b51ead6fe8f232f4f46327c4c66a5", "token_id": "99571433109239927338507189375013460048316935463418904383465842700437652794947", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nCandidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. \n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "954492", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ba400933c1c0cc7628277d56e67026e26959acba21080ed86f9f7e3b79608d4d", "event_source_sha256": "972259638fa272f4960ec859fe62e0656876a76bcc5b2e372fb87443d80f4c94" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4154414", "token_id": "66578601074229873264940280297099351047809445317318069738500794993779965030027", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kathy Hochul (D)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a53709fc560aaa7c912d4171e10e3661c2514321c4e9661996f779978ba22bd4", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4154414", "condition_id": "0xd2e24420a2915a5178418c6af1a6b534f52ef4d5ceed16bcd6d455479b672143", "token_id": "66578601074229873264940280297099351047809445317318069738500794993779965030027", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Nassau County in the general election for Governor of New York, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.\n\nThe candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nCandidates who are listed on multiple ballot lines under New York's fusion voting system will have their vote totals determined based on the sum of all votes for that candidate. \n\nIf the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nThis market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of New York, including the New York State Board of Elections and the government of Nassau County.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-03T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-03T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "954492", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5a67a804d07aa9af2594afd39c73b8bec1e4e0801366b46647d42d4dea682a0c", "event_source_sha256": "972259638fa272f4960ec859fe62e0656876a76bcc5b2e372fb87443d80f4c94" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:959364", "title": "How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 6, "semantics_hash": "a7eec17594fa52a50a979506787f341d6df37420e77d604dfe6d598dbb8bc29b", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4189404", "4189405", "4189406", "4189407", "4189408", "4189409" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:959364", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4189405", "token_id": "26576266935743860572624610753161906957511115453056489214089149389724219734904", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20-24", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ca8026d690a20ba094e8b65f87f40144fd597bf942ca88c6413165a92508ed2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4189405", "condition_id": "0xf7ed66f708de5ed6f1896615f25266eab92cdff43fba9d4d77cbe7ca4efcbb78", "token_id": "26576266935743860572624610753161906957511115453056489214089149389724219734904", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from September 7, 2026, through September 13, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "02136eacdfb6d6efd2432c57faa44a702351fbdaa6f98961eafe6f9db01ad0d1", "event_source_sha256": "6c4c36cb9e42d2542d7ce070fde41becea0598f2f10a706288a1b3ad38a1e747" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4189406", "token_id": "55952343827820465533305715092212489184180786183302853062205812482531231916034", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25-29", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3450d3c1ee7ca349f01c27c695778f568cebe56db86d3e845d1f5194e67a19f6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4189406", "condition_id": "0xb6a28e6f11f8f1a88f1fbfd2653fda85a73d0a57af71ef311bc909f663ada0d0", "token_id": "55952343827820465533305715092212489184180786183302853062205812482531231916034", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from September 7, 2026, through September 13, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "cfb166dcfb45fc4f346342b41020f3fd024c64ea138d1d733e1115b8fe017f76", "event_source_sha256": "6c4c36cb9e42d2542d7ce070fde41becea0598f2f10a706288a1b3ad38a1e747" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4189407", "token_id": "11501974352065463494478154846920609303700046606519857435428466172259763703384", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30-34", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ed19e388e04dde883ef19fcd7047a2099d9fd2bf1c72c3c1758d919e6ab0dec1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4189407", "condition_id": "0x8ddabbc4351ff113e6245036b11f925113bb8de781935fcd92a1cd58d801ab16", "token_id": "11501974352065463494478154846920609303700046606519857435428466172259763703384", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from September 7, 2026, through September 13, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "262b8e2247cee51b198cf53178243efd5edd4f9e2c62e9c304fdc6add98deecf", "event_source_sha256": "6c4c36cb9e42d2542d7ce070fde41becea0598f2f10a706288a1b3ad38a1e747" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4189408", "token_id": "28338339205271188052223015402610106939139820048449479705739700307720099454258", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35-39", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fc45bbf081756ad8f4bacca5eb6bac5b251a28539c9d3be810f93c4364848f23", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4189408", "condition_id": "0x182cc2b0a8136b60ce39ca9f880bc2ab50b980b4e358b7caef8868dd7e3a76e8", "token_id": "28338339205271188052223015402610106939139820048449479705739700307720099454258", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from September 7, 2026, through September 13, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "93a28bf33e6dec6dd80d6193c078837e46116aca3472df44dc06a962ad407df1", "event_source_sha256": "6c4c36cb9e42d2542d7ce070fde41becea0598f2f10a706288a1b3ad38a1e747" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4189409", "token_id": "30266951489665031274271488482593344655542336880613545142954839248168501848206", "outcome": "yes", "label": "40+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "60f05989175fc3420c953971d4ad212445f35e63e1c5defe063f932dbc9d57a1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4189409", "condition_id": "0xf3998b0095839101c111c770529488a768ad6748151d71d0c7dd248d75426b9d", "token_id": "30266951489665031274271488482593344655542336880613545142954839248168501848206", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from September 7, 2026, through September 13, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f4736709890891b3bbc90657e8aad3969ef680c17fb163850a0ee7da015a9523", "event_source_sha256": "6c4c36cb9e42d2542d7ce070fde41becea0598f2f10a706288a1b3ad38a1e747" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4189404", "token_id": "2156967348403128507495908461512423922301367766327542992075194245588825474103", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<20", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6c9c1cd07ea6bac572f8a4ff5cb006eb7f72d3c4f19022cb931d323c956509fc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4189404", "condition_id": "0xbdcd7621c6836784f3a8f1999da4a3e82f47cc56d555d19462abdaeb4344318f", "token_id": "2156967348403128507495908461512423922301367766327542992075194245588825474103", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from September 7, 2026, through September 13, 2026, inclusive.\n\nTransit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.\n\nThis market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.\n\nIn case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources.\n\nOnly revisions to previously published data points made before all relevant data has been published will be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "959364", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "74235ea67afcc1596cc3d3c01e72d3bea6b39e8ce1fbd8ccadba1dbf8760b241", "event_source_sha256": "6c4c36cb9e42d2542d7ce070fde41becea0598f2f10a706288a1b3ad38a1e747" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:939687", "title": "Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "69b8cf18d60bffa497ce22caf11baaca49c9792a6fa7bad178ed6952b376e215", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4016659", "4016660", "4016662" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:939687", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4016660", "token_id": "115460306736694504527429042567490369639849157684303037107604296008754725039067", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b91849cee8ace14a9cafd9e52e754feb7f2d225240b90708c36c1c897642cd9c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4016660", "condition_id": "0xdc03d7262e5f1c3efa66e52f45bc47361b738f65aa7b05a5da4922ce196640aa", "token_id": "115460306736694504527429042567490369639849157684303037107604296008754725039067", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.ligue1.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-13T18:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T18:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "939687", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0b9f3db73338bdcfb05bde7f7446694e7a26303879f0e5a1130228996324e24e", "event_source_sha256": "eab346e124c2c2bc0508e62745c6c561b472200c24c4cef8cbe08615d89bf620" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4016662", "token_id": "94553050471664125532234279347808514277108326597077265865782317999731567066971", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Paris Saint-Germain FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "66a202802947ae5c0d44646cfd63337ad14585097a6449cd5ceb74329b882c09", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4016662", "condition_id": "0x593b6b78d055c1760362e3231769860deb55b868f397b9dd02eeb10f8192ec16", "token_id": "94553050471664125532234279347808514277108326597077265865782317999731567066971", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026\nIf Paris Saint-Germain FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.ligue1.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-13T18:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T18:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "939687", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c5424e5a308a20f89dcc34e7682cf9666eb5b51c950418c2f5231c9ad33d775f", "event_source_sha256": "eab346e124c2c2bc0508e62745c6c561b472200c24c4cef8cbe08615d89bf620" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4016659", "token_id": "21420315715408588137571776159281459629441808838628971877126751164553142471916", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Stade Brestois 29", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3bbb84d0fab000a2ee054109ddc1ac62d8d029a861aac7ecb1699c68278d0ece", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4016659", "condition_id": "0xf7516d445f688e89fb0790162c20e70d89ba9edeb5fb2ae18b0454e97abff00d", "token_id": "21420315715408588137571776159281459629441808838628971877126751164553142471916", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-09-13?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 13, 2026\nIf Stade Brestois 29 wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://www.ligue1.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-13T18:45:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T18:45:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "939687", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b05d9e4001941986c15b07ab0fc502006325183d1442eca7e6b0f669f2b8f697", "event_source_sha256": "eab346e124c2c2bc0508e62745c6c561b472200c24c4cef8cbe08615d89bf620" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987076", "title": "Highest temperature in Atlanta on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "f4d051f6b9f800113c2ee3577bc37971741e071e2eb5638dd291e2046bb8cb2d", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4358668", "4358669", "4358670", "4358671", "4358672", "4358673", "4358674", "4358675", "4358676", "4358677", "4358678" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987076", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4358678", "token_id": "100588282662780828452784918908815451957705622326959320102542937406452565977293", "outcome": "yes", "label": "100\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4f329d6442684ecb2f96bfe3487bdbc1e1a930bcfae026c5942e6a524c7fa375", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358678", "condition_id": "0x835cd3bc6287563a5c0625fa73219602f557d91b315dc5503cc85afa280655da", "token_id": "100588282662780828452784918908815451957705622326959320102542937406452565977293", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 100\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fb20af680a3e91043c22b794f1298ffc4b0e7e038912309427af846e64b1f0f6", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4358668", "token_id": "85402111753304727869092791724132454597968046734333193964998527923441620314730", "outcome": "yes", "label": "81\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b2af3b0a6f9ffee1273fe679d50957a613c39cdab389ec264cab353a3bb43118", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358668", "condition_id": "0x5596c96ffe35a70694b9e5e66e3923d600d5993ef296e7d4bd0c9168362bf656", "token_id": "85402111753304727869092791724132454597968046734333193964998527923441620314730", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 81\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0b547f658f3484e275b63a840b0fe464510897e45aa6f4dcdb6ec69083942a5b", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4358669", "token_id": "5929909817122678395080209234258904164208103202282340651509974485703668789365", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e785348a165a9f036c278070fabd8bbcc930bdedc4e9c123d5e4690dfdd47c6a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358669", "condition_id": "0x463c70295f1f996fbfe1dc4b96463942f1cf6eea99c77fe788712ea22c2e456d", "token_id": "5929909817122678395080209234258904164208103202282340651509974485703668789365", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7b0c06c13ed26bc0baee2c5a545546287748b0a779b88856bd71e444a961d1e0", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4358670", "token_id": "94395231987955822281326487956747223822127618045492739802794872385893924785303", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19109232bd85976a43b274e9390e0199a1dee66cb208754b01a4df1f67310136", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358670", "condition_id": "0xf0b96bcf3440366e9fbdb664bd11c8414dd495556413e362c04824dff6fec5a9", "token_id": "94395231987955822281326487956747223822127618045492739802794872385893924785303", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0db6d7fe8c8090dece7e841d2a6546652fa00a107ec9154571d496e3e53b1225", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4358671", "token_id": "69767005060517583172263909020862065946413572824639484543959267671825361995430", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b7499b11be5bc5cf5f3ca8932220d6cd9873039ce0e01f4a25219fd02fa8563b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358671", "condition_id": "0xfb392c50ee97a92c83d7d8d4ce96340a6ae965bfe3c3950ffb9ca89f5409b936", "token_id": "69767005060517583172263909020862065946413572824639484543959267671825361995430", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b3f02fdbae243c916facde3ed24d1c8c522b4db08cd8a64bfa2ff08c16674c84", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4358672", "token_id": "13412288047299026691274021899170730763563925880873800984101608774884080325760", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88-89\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fc1b3e7b1dd1dadc38cf1b7fbbc0ad2ceaa42f017f4f87cb5f74a952c95ccac3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358672", "condition_id": "0x5ab1aa0fc5728201abef14a6d6fd2b3cc1561d7bca1780bb07d554ff8fc8b248", "token_id": "13412288047299026691274021899170730763563925880873800984101608774884080325760", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "da4e28d6e163f46d31f124fa8211e65f41c0059edfe35033443b8b30273f11ab", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4358673", "token_id": "95072627787282905288674959478197469811843849030142564279837999444500892501230", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aa0ae6faf2cc053537d406508d6637f7b06ec12e037f64bcda4a5d54f94cb2d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358673", "condition_id": "0xb2b9e4dbcd01c9e7518e147fc7922b1116a63defbfb4799fa5f6d86fafb96253", "token_id": "95072627787282905288674959478197469811843849030142564279837999444500892501230", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3214ce8f3b8448452424ca8d0404be03a18fe4cccfb1cc7de7f757f29e7d7c13", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4358674", "token_id": "67011588518647217253511893559475836597467400754320230771586603319655911685605", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "89051b29bbfe795efc62e39a6490b715c0f6bbe3d719b448a162be359a74985d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358674", "condition_id": "0x45b821d6752b1215d384849b4e02884990c9a37b94b7dbf6f02d14343b6a7353", "token_id": "67011588518647217253511893559475836597467400754320230771586603319655911685605", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e37e532144b0e551b0e066bfa441e985d0e6fb3fd8b133b6cdce265733724400", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4358675", "token_id": "58972432949919827871043095939274493187001175181992565270995084835019660793601", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94-95\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6ff03e36074999f7689506a2fd54c62e8630d2ae267bca4b496a6390cd1e736d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358675", "condition_id": "0x3e0c6e896bbdc9f45763b2f59c6984733338be5b48cdd96631206fc90b0f2b07", "token_id": "58972432949919827871043095939274493187001175181992565270995084835019660793601", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "579270181b173f9edf2c9874c7774ba60080cfc1319e9d9e25d6005fae5f2be2", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4358676", "token_id": "46085355161580906035557081739043563873475715466790964068653222165156454810267", "outcome": "yes", "label": "96-97\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f3220b8c3dda7d491ceeac5843f5652de5c52fa05793cd506e0e8c89f3c83aef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358676", "condition_id": "0x43cf2490bca4f37c55bd53dc3fdcc64817d2ef9e8ae5e833262781e99853f529", "token_id": "46085355161580906035557081739043563873475715466790964068653222165156454810267", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e49df2d849162bec15572d82ca37ea59ffb78126eb727e4ac7de156d3bdbfac8", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4358677", "token_id": "23711265356407404112504769683141605860354614486768273064450196021985146961789", "outcome": "yes", "label": "98-99\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "966eb313235ef05f5d7b1875455640ecf569c01f2e85dddc965345ebd65b705e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358677", "condition_id": "0xba3ae753ab52ebba3390f10f87515923b459e0894bc29fba0deae4e67984a1ba", "token_id": "23711265356407404112504769683141605860354614486768273064450196021985146961789", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987076", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f22bc03601b9f1a9d6813d158d54d2474fdfe4012cd02207957bd40ed2225256", "event_source_sha256": "e48c4d8172f9e355a2e52201247e271ba7eea0d7b931f0d53bb01882295cc0f5" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:986607", "title": "Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "4a67bd499cba19d66f21d4a7acb0e7469ea1e007782d9ef7d8f500f7701a2e07", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4355607", "4355608", "4355609", "4355610", "4355611", "4355612", "4355613", "4355614", "4355615", "4355616", "4355617" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:986607", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4355607", "token_id": "104209147379424664429893576731029692842373047233727797992005828727677343629625", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "be82effab5c179045a470a44cc28d54ee01cb2724f350597d37157295d2d62f5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355607", "condition_id": "0xe5d3c8a83ee446359d4abb338aa231174ebf4310c74487aa55b60750b2f39c27", "token_id": "104209147379424664429893576731029692842373047233727797992005828727677343629625", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14\u00b0C or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bd1fe942f1da292cc0528f89abe99af098e87711cda48190ec52f81ef8637bd7", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4355608", "token_id": "12999734848250355914555562144832092695610537296563868192046733728886557368862", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e2ab2ff43f42e3f2b1b57e5538fac5889bc4c932e5031e0de11e1a810040ee69", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355608", "condition_id": "0x3cd38633396ff5e785c9d99cd498acf263b582f9e8a6f5d23e680ffb0b0bbfa6", "token_id": "12999734848250355914555562144832092695610537296563868192046733728886557368862", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e2e9e65523630d86f9df06fb5b28273fe09a525fb18a04597c5aa06c9c3e7043", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4355609", "token_id": "37459680682670631770333358049934842252312212468458439715993401007450809620856", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6157ae70236bed78ead7cc98eaea949dd15b1bd94b6ccef3d70e8aedd8156d2c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355609", "condition_id": "0x854b901f82b6ea3deecc03befcb3d427bbd56d390d9b1af1e777dea628b2fa68", "token_id": "37459680682670631770333358049934842252312212468458439715993401007450809620856", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "afda8340378dc996bdc45fedc8488ab669f0beb7b246874d75d392a3ab3d3320", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4355610", "token_id": "86501669751408152500009922520399332876680234125846784293911684888296495485894", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19b50b25ff332e68ff522d45c408c6366013a7a69c969e14c4128863ddbfeb61", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355610", "condition_id": "0xeb7d402803d3c94442c1cb799c566f4ce363d61e65763b90574f9cc1090150ea", "token_id": "86501669751408152500009922520399332876680234125846784293911684888296495485894", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d28de7bed663c6e6da54cb54752fa147e70e68ca3c38e00a2b4cb3ebee5a10da", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4355611", "token_id": "78176995558044459265831504260134063776590834737872029926223811703023092039291", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f8fef2dc560ef07de3852336370922f2367305b5e61a695d214947ae10336a02", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355611", "condition_id": "0x3515abec5d028eeb8bc440fad1e57e37e6f2942ff9e29c9b80386cfbd537eac0", "token_id": "78176995558044459265831504260134063776590834737872029926223811703023092039291", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6cb6319fe44280867bc34471a3d648f23daabf9010524fcb33869b6d925633b7", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4355612", "token_id": "76105915579566427708434162940657008812351350838195733615671199357992898778297", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a713c744cc36641dce6f88c1ef837cd0e7b44636eb4185a0338194b8e79be2e1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355612", "condition_id": "0x34a11c3f7009da2acb1c78b681820a12d07382c266d1ba24d2b14f00bd2889e9", "token_id": "76105915579566427708434162940657008812351350838195733615671199357992898778297", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a39db061f34fe38e1ad82db621e7b811e9861742217957da295c819f36ff7d82", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4355613", "token_id": "56608929312217734876647603121148509840799524311991683880012776704829665859164", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3011fe4aabb9aa58adfcff03ef889b653779703e78973110bfa94d594f29fada", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355613", "condition_id": "0xe432be14c9092f5cf7f4555968fd0b4b7e8f3c0da8f42e737f8b998bc773f722", "token_id": "56608929312217734876647603121148509840799524311991683880012776704829665859164", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ef70a17dcb3ab135d06d29283eb254f95ae77f58808761bdc386182eac565203", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4355614", "token_id": "57876163454919558550100600099789396296749950323608911772504243292864051001375", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8bc79a0cf75f60b74ec538c661d459513dc8061fb5fd31a2abda0a5adef85e96", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355614", "condition_id": "0xf8f727249bec9421a462f758dcc691157691aceea41758c440e04b4072cf0020", "token_id": "57876163454919558550100600099789396296749950323608911772504243292864051001375", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "baf55ff270cd5a264e4bd6cdf72875db07ac660d01615f6dd2c7bab61683b6ba", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4355615", "token_id": "107782953735501429089219307840340528836439871112880592387090285311972772340648", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2dfb24f0ffe6b559151194a7d949a5e62d22646c7dc5098de04672a7135decbf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355615", "condition_id": "0xd565e491d2ec2d4002396c7449496b4419cf71d535d79548393f631727a9068c", "token_id": "107782953735501429089219307840340528836439871112880592387090285311972772340648", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7d5294e6c5735b4f104a7671051d86f92e103c824292003e8e25c2ff45b35403", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4355616", "token_id": "62954832173207350027418330849626886116248485780256797422737460659153114613328", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "29d57c554935d47a73b6f6c24292d38b18bf80043d524b7ae5dcaa5088466bcd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355616", "condition_id": "0xac29230f8fc3e8774b03d4d6639dda4ae99c52833e57f2ca86ed1dac8f4c8a0c", "token_id": "62954832173207350027418330849626886116248485780256797422737460659153114613328", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23\u00b0C on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "380df9603cd7d4ec87fba0683a9abf212b926530bb331f19fa95e56626592401", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4355617", "token_id": "110415124799307121036790292593551024150063354657325494745221382658507480095765", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7ae52f48302d793b403e2c811ff2c218ed846a1055183d4ef3a7dd5d7126fe12", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4355617", "condition_id": "0xbfd6f19d5e5a1a5d5517a14048223f6887c2f1058f4bde5bdc0d78513cacc818", "token_id": "110415124799307121036790292593551024150063354657325494745221382658507480095765", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24\u00b0C or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "986607", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "18987f51c81c52f9142decd26512a89b2ea20ba9065aff237d747772c05acda3", "event_source_sha256": "a7c005c5dd4ed87852aff76d8933b27df111bec53e0a3ad6ef9dfd8eec2fd018" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:952072", "title": "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "7c7abe758d647752aa1ee10a94ba5a9a6498045efc6c1ce516813661f6d58185", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4111359", "4111361", "4111363" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:952072", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4111361", "token_id": "34098419619967209102287820595917882396014640866517720704112241602087916736949", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "03a68ce49279008bca67659eeb620176d6dfb1271f1017e7ebe8a1a6c7113967", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4111361", "condition_id": "0xfd3168fe9f34680c07ce57768a800880fd7342ddaad5eaed04ec11e2f3145a4c", "token_id": "34098419619967209102287820595917882396014640866517720704112241602087916736949", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 15, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-15T17:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T17:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "952072", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "303d17b620606e16d0aed041debc0675393fc379dec8ec7170114adae1aa9f3c", "event_source_sha256": "b7ab4f189546e02269a46f085065a97fe9c516ed108484d92be3d4dbe9f76b23" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4111359", "token_id": "18836924243578046354135197510746760186344991425917293820404494608984019140899", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4e35241e162bb771d58d8518c7487ae1c0d1b5a3632fd0b8955da27bf1a88305", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4111359", "condition_id": "0x7a617f98cec4d17c7b9d575a73ad7d2f25ccc9124043882ddc362e08b565a74b", "token_id": "18836924243578046354135197510746760186344991425917293820404494608984019140899", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-09-15?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 15, 2026\nIf Rayo Vallecano de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-15T17:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T17:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "952072", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f8b8c77bf6abdeb0cab484c18ad9a971533a9cb9612dca2a949fe97e7d02fee2", "event_source_sha256": "b7ab4f189546e02269a46f085065a97fe9c516ed108484d92be3d4dbe9f76b23" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4111363", "token_id": "54662048929156469884301427041217923974439500286964095213753495413764328223303", "outcome": "yes", "label": "RCD Espanyol de Barcelona", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "05168e9108abf911f37ec4b92e344756cec14d93d92898bb824c8fffd43842b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4111363", "condition_id": "0x25fcef612c1dc496bda1738aa82ea78fd795e315c00126fd80a28ffd56feff12", "token_id": "54662048929156469884301427041217923974439500286964095213753495413764328223303", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-15?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 15, 2026\nIf RCD Espanyol de Barcelona wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-15T17:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-15T17:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "952072", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e24c3c732c5ba10a36128af2328646b29a67ad2a990116263d9e720959116e98", "event_source_sha256": "b7ab4f189546e02269a46f085065a97fe9c516ed108484d92be3d4dbe9f76b23" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992755", "title": "Highest temperature in NYC on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "b8fcfeb531614c18a5270b030d391a8da573d68e234cfdf16e8bf8160bf97928", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4402209", "4402210", "4402211", "4402212", "4402213", "4402214", "4402215", "4402216", "4402217", "4402218", "4402219" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992755", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4402209", "token_id": "108974803816451137353152008041642134996818922269396283431095291971305009140585", "outcome": "yes", "label": "69\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "47b5e56245fa5aefedc1c7113d966ca333738b29a8b5518d63559f7e578f6cec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402209", "condition_id": "0x1ac9ee5d5ee0641079aa939235e48676fa472ebd9758a2395fb16841a79b6b1d", "token_id": "108974803816451137353152008041642134996818922269396283431095291971305009140585", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 69\u00b0F or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6de4cbc2db48c38ae84450daf05b713cb6c5071c5b42b8705fe8feadb523d0bc", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4402210", "token_id": "36675492906932500616536465167371194958299169619474752863875788558382098361517", "outcome": "yes", "label": "70-71\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2b3f683214e0ef601ad31cb0f7fc8f2e56b5ae03cd4864b735e661b01219fcc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402210", "condition_id": "0xc2aabe32e1d155d03d2ccee9d3be6f552736a8f6ab97774b0ca3613dcb681786", "token_id": "36675492906932500616536465167371194958299169619474752863875788558382098361517", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e1cd232429820f40e4e33f33477513aa5e36b232b83d1daacaec804eb77fd0da", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4402211", "token_id": "55240088639791422121654506534756528101538005225453917439239052261548659735652", "outcome": "yes", "label": "72-73\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "41a8ead11491ebe37015320620d520291351190f8ef5bb1f630ddbf6ef83e444", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402211", "condition_id": "0x38efeef7a2d2e7a2f93a522f9420064da5b46d94db5c540b83822255eceb52f8", "token_id": "55240088639791422121654506534756528101538005225453917439239052261548659735652", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2ddc66e5653d91102bfa2514b342275504641d15fef3452fc94ccd5faa9d2fe6", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4402212", "token_id": "5990961981933199112527096350214833288077228286447497203850735791005000020980", "outcome": "yes", "label": "74-75\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0cf6c9f97cc2ab8787a186c41d97ff7c0b04a9bc26cee0a02d4c4ab812d108ff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402212", "condition_id": "0x028d95cd7382f723bfb2f13ac58a20487cbb147c84b475eea5f762eff0a52ddd", "token_id": "5990961981933199112527096350214833288077228286447497203850735791005000020980", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ed4880bf70fb683ee5d387578e8711dc1e4213353602645efe7aa8975c4d3654", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4402213", "token_id": "38405932692830085857359061921537977420731189462505056691745596251097779402526", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76-77\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "79cc3ded63a185e74763625a3ac1cebb6da8c36f15a80e01906215e09404dcf7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402213", "condition_id": "0x68fd1899b6ff7481cee8df8aa93706e9f3b2803fe9a4fe67cee30cf1b535c6db", "token_id": "38405932692830085857359061921537977420731189462505056691745596251097779402526", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bd63db09e54fb9ad6fd9750bd916f0270234ab18987ec0be813029b4218a7c43", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4402214", "token_id": "50640865910848599830000998309197611793573681435132511217345557548901714705998", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78-79\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a5c6c883b57e17093ae7c751126fca8fdb8ae91f65de2a2c5c52b0a641aad556", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402214", "condition_id": "0xc3719d82aaa1d8bec7b9cd0e1b879df3555ccbf70838c38329f284a9cfcbd14e", "token_id": "50640865910848599830000998309197611793573681435132511217345557548901714705998", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "961645977f4eacd1052b204049302eb180bff0e1d9968622b699e6c87f4e0fd2", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4402215", "token_id": "30369914018836232877386801600118710025351925535582342461995443330736125959684", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0f806c2625cc2b4fe90b237aa01cb054b356b0275e7ef14f1c4e870c9d0bd051", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402215", "condition_id": "0xcec2c44a52c9a1be114d29a7fc0e3a1a862caa4b14500cb580c809a1eb1a85f7", "token_id": "30369914018836232877386801600118710025351925535582342461995443330736125959684", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "de86e4868210423fbca7a8c677e05121c77fddac196a28a0c2d59b2f946e1c40", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4402216", "token_id": "7412784334342582178310161370452903076648922708970757347347998938814677115670", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5b3f47712e32d9545af3674ae884826ce8b40f37b04eb749a496ba69f27c8b60", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402216", "condition_id": "0xf4f9fa7e7e72df30f89a1b613453b6a271a7be58bdd522f1d241c6ad63a03a24", "token_id": "7412784334342582178310161370452903076648922708970757347347998938814677115670", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "661b5bcb5cb39592540be60f2317425d3cade09a137783d25e3b6053c103dca7", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4402217", "token_id": "109081644641895668249358091848421799118747204557254007196072072676455399543106", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2b01cf7cc14f2ffec22d029c0a480aba089b06e0addda9b50563600f7be3888e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402217", "condition_id": "0xd38d0faeab223a1b6e3e466660b21b037768bc21553434df14929e64b8658e9b", "token_id": "109081644641895668249358091848421799118747204557254007196072072676455399543106", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "82880f4cbfcfe57217443641fcbb6d3d6721c5c02394ad73659a4de3bdc8f845", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4402218", "token_id": "11187344861358135199755650471539863514980694332445647916244642650986457356542", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d7bdaf57d8e0ed8f256ee4b28e74a5a430901a5d771acc5a4ddeaf5687488aa0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402218", "condition_id": "0x7afaf27f2d0c6443d863de18bf7091eccf8a2e3192d5f0408f0498cdb5558936", "token_id": "11187344861358135199755650471539863514980694332445647916244642650986457356542", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b375a25104804a48f3cb9a6d59a07182c1a4767da736b004d49e080f6a657300", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4402219", "token_id": "40373540206294308430858558544261470105538593465210906395989883904298108070021", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7b1df97c44e83b82a692b3b9b9732d759a131b400dfa0b48ab236f4fda4e48d1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4402219", "condition_id": "0xbe88212efa207daeca89000e3f134b3dd29271e69aef8c21eab41470b83e40e2", "token_id": "40373540206294308430858558544261470105538593465210906395989883904298108070021", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88\u00b0F or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992755", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3016df15662f49c27ae840c8fdf5ff7644e9033b7fe542439f4f9ba8a3b02f50", "event_source_sha256": "ba2be264df4d578fcf4cfee407a9b90a89ee5560611ef92428c1e4fa7dc82565" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992594", "title": "Highest temperature in Miami on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "6b32545e11c0a895968dbace7e72f6c48000ade769d2353c5770759c704869a0", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4401448", "4401449", "4401450", "4401451", "4401452", "4401453", "4401454", "4401455", "4401456", "4401457", "4401458" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992594", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4401448", "token_id": "6570126511901126136657303721051391366821978106068749508867528822506860377289", "outcome": "yes", "label": "79\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "25c63eb51371371e5ad9d167a4cea68231aa2429f91dec1775a29ffdb8c10bde", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401448", "condition_id": "0x7b93261df5bb993cc79e84dd189138df272974c3f0a94693e3fe70262d7c46c2", "token_id": "6570126511901126136657303721051391366821978106068749508867528822506860377289", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79\u00b0F or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e4050d510380102b99d66b899a24998883e1dfdea4d2a6e7016b4f39983bd792", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4401449", "token_id": "43152380549945671904838979927935198733431759390615145081471320355969070236135", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c3daf749bc10fd0eefc86e2bec4e91bf272e5b231c2d93c47f08836a511f4504", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401449", "condition_id": "0xa3d6a81e75e9a18b5d6c64ffc39888e328e8b96def99cd3dc0d6e951eb1ac499", "token_id": "43152380549945671904838979927935198733431759390615145081471320355969070236135", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "12835ad9047b2c8bb187ab98571888c5b7ea6328d6a8bbfbfd63514bd5c83f00", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4401450", "token_id": "25642124734225102180766895988420747305121225599840172784521289581401701580540", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "df813b24889c57d4b257836245573135c249077bab90cbdbbbb8ded1f0ba2522", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401450", "condition_id": "0xdd6bbd1ebe4a17d7fc89d1c21d21a1b7a2d4a43cd2f0778303f644cc36adcb7d", "token_id": "25642124734225102180766895988420747305121225599840172784521289581401701580540", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "909483c2d1a574abc12b2c22e6e86062e14b79ef105bf91a486ce1a9f5a9b2d8", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4401451", "token_id": "53716538539243665117939544060744059281766602649969527561442533352587748043887", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "36972690e140cc55b7d798df67c41bf2b4b8c9cfa334874867c336d63b7ee9db", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401451", "condition_id": "0x8aac42aff8a186b8586c40b5b63952dc7f79261d4d7e5062231f0f9bff9e95a0", "token_id": "53716538539243665117939544060744059281766602649969527561442533352587748043887", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "dd65df2087de9cc529ac363d75c2ee9ec19b36f6a77c8406fa06e363f67d7b48", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4401452", "token_id": "80060913865881302156315656128084163981940800311765763032802789225382285859518", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3e91ae56ce7b22008a87e755cb82477edc23b587554d3d4be74834fd1eb66052", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401452", "condition_id": "0xb8d145dc9bc5a4f0c3de7c208e17b822ac9d9b01ccb6a2ad4036f4ada881673c", "token_id": "80060913865881302156315656128084163981940800311765763032802789225382285859518", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e06be88746d7f1698ef459c5ce4fd83dbad5c0b2349faa31e197ff851c9eb01d", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4401453", "token_id": "108940587886383234484371752795125630503646142201552052305651097096193546609958", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88-89\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a3b2bff8b95825769aacde72c95c0404b1be6526afc74ca112f99f20f3075a92", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401453", "condition_id": "0xb9150f9f24fbca946422a3a8c552bc583b2761ff6494502cef0ebe9ab1711d9a", "token_id": "108940587886383234484371752795125630503646142201552052305651097096193546609958", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a1155d28c152b176968505293e1a38f9202f6f39c528994067a404502ea31238", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4401454", "token_id": "50853150899337209760417153676080169524377299960262249864740626140993626845217", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90-91\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "066c8a22eec712fabb2aef0627b3019859f187b5a23fc864c5bd732bbdff9c9b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401454", "condition_id": "0xf856b7f4f3a1f3f651be69c0912e7d3bc5f501f670a99a681a1c0bd1f8b76146", "token_id": "50853150899337209760417153676080169524377299960262249864740626140993626845217", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2cc4c82e112a3e375488df67b102e9cf6a2912f638bb2dda989c2da564ece3e3", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4401455", "token_id": "84222194441956961049894079116126763350520416692746478155644660383194774669236", "outcome": "yes", "label": "92-93\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1b1d56fc621a68c6aaf9c77c0db24113d6d573a89819f76c8831a727f9a675e9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401455", "condition_id": "0xc90e8858b4bf824f70e08a5755958fb1a61c556398b226d06ea5f5d454aa01bc", "token_id": "84222194441956961049894079116126763350520416692746478155644660383194774669236", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5f977afb5277dd89e79156e94eda67c51dc9705ef0aa45caf24fa0be26337927", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4401456", "token_id": "47415964677897514294085866458254490639522475168937507575248182277588198891445", "outcome": "yes", "label": "94-95\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2639ee5e2dadc379f435e2e00708b9a7c129fae55e1a6afad2fd5b4ecd1c451a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401456", "condition_id": "0x52ba63d8d04131a80e88ebdd8b3dd7bd24c79b46191821738620974c864a7e1b", "token_id": "47415964677897514294085866458254490639522475168937507575248182277588198891445", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2257d7ed7b1d8fefc31ca144c9a508c55ac4dcaad775757e2169a8de2288bfac", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4401457", "token_id": "110820323590088924762446967342854028657278584549707700258335657714494382756614", "outcome": "yes", "label": "96-97\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f07d3d681415a285ccbea47c81e763d18940075ab5560af760bc03d9e6b5ded0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401457", "condition_id": "0xb70c2f14a5b01505777c937bc3c7757e4938f948812748e1fa2008981685d137", "token_id": "110820323590088924762446967342854028657278584549707700258335657714494382756614", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3c8150e7828ee4f48f9bf31a858dcd3f4be98b0d19cc0b9d1fd8bf1c8d1184a9", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4401458", "token_id": "65187798013445499433892215849668182263448792305660479563470422080707021253385", "outcome": "yes", "label": "98\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9e87ac50adc22703436d79aa360fca238db4ed554e16e2d79df62ec1a098a098", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4401458", "condition_id": "0xef93d65fbb2017d3fffb1b7010f004c61ca965c9538d3de3befe756b5fbd4109", "token_id": "65187798013445499433892215849668182263448792305660479563470422080707021253385", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98\u00b0F or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992594", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1ee383ac850cd107a074653de49bdc7b40725b0083897d53af8913ebf6a4e932", "event_source_sha256": "b65e9945e159ad8baaadb8e2db2fba655c3518106aa05b54ad6672a214d10340" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992250", "title": "Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "f423fdffc8b988dea1357249325f2f7656751dbc69b3be90477651e58d44ef52", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400035", "4400036", "4400037", "4400038", "4400039", "4400040", "4400041", "4400042", "4400043", "4400044", "4400045" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992250", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400035", "token_id": "9194107310843193615290174724503654182307845460779599735307005548896610543764", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3cf63c2d2f3971765f21f9e34790f66f1da5028540f289c8ff40a0bac33a8b20", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400035", "condition_id": "0x17fbd1c99d8c93c1a33d7a201076015f53fa3264b0817b0501701a679f48b781", "token_id": "9194107310843193615290174724503654182307845460779599735307005548896610543764", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b8a5ac13b262200c91de15ad162bb8ee9dcac08e06719c16f06c4137c4fe69ef", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400036", "token_id": "50132416525150114198591702995052395310287204689840123497085250128294909638027", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7d76e3823156e122145e240e410dcdd8d0a5e76437acad6d0c6eb2d08b3b4cc3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400036", "condition_id": "0x0455a7f7c8fd00a3748ce138ab9ed3c5fe3c0472f427cf8540d1fd54d17373ce", "token_id": "50132416525150114198591702995052395310287204689840123497085250128294909638027", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "facde2d30793e414ab41de56290b7d83a14fa6d2d14bd3a5e353bd2465a15b0b", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400037", "token_id": "60602544508949285229245946602158432724512636838218268876165141946937020678456", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8d46f709303df34d1d4b1c241758f107ab2460f5293da2f6c9c9ae71377e14a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400037", "condition_id": "0xcc7491e63050e242fc9141fc82fd76aae4a8c90288cb45a6a2793fa72abe2f6a", "token_id": "60602544508949285229245946602158432724512636838218268876165141946937020678456", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "0c593b82b839de61a6e4b1d65d22b60dda65157af6a5a0f0c1a6caf7b5790123", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400038", "token_id": "22248237737567839063847640805441023066622723094903178209510202757032324277109", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d9caeb36a9dcd4584d63524fecfaa77949bc3415552cab300b0dd7a763e2a949", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400038", "condition_id": "0xd13f9160bfe90aa02ec86bec6e3f1ea4be8ee59f6d08aa31bf5382b2b8419ae6", "token_id": "22248237737567839063847640805441023066622723094903178209510202757032324277109", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c42a3e0582c81eb34fc50f216e6d8bf7c5895535b4c0096bb29f4dc782efbb62", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400039", "token_id": "91668137396230961917187529731496879919303073640622805478511314549256196051975", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aa7a0b2192075a5eadc9db1cb569a8f91bf01981745d0d756e695d91c829429f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400039", "condition_id": "0xe44c4906bdc6e67fd32ecceede990fd8936a75f047a6cd2906d2c366be3c0c71", "token_id": "91668137396230961917187529731496879919303073640622805478511314549256196051975", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b5cce519f7d8b9e9f9b7bfeb1b907d31a6a8e1459b3feb191e08c7189b91f266", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400040", "token_id": "23964216582043550256347519114024569850272979214322307425309711320779514347264", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7dcf3cef569eee23177f563ffb332987e3300a9212df16429a7ee52b6bf0dad6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400040", "condition_id": "0xae3afa87f44be79e99c740a6d39a8bd0862bec7d9fc8902df0293c925b75b879", "token_id": "23964216582043550256347519114024569850272979214322307425309711320779514347264", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7a26015bbd87f2953764e027b2cf64ef1fcea6ddd5ee36edeb00437a823011c0", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400041", "token_id": "85030574537110370004818563284046831334788284502344470167776240542585553042393", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a2cbfeeb21a29e2425891cc70e9af9262952662df6477f87c39ed81c413f329b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400041", "condition_id": "0x8c616876dc57ba8c136b8c78037166a9a43cec37f14f6f11482faabae3dc12d3", "token_id": "85030574537110370004818563284046831334788284502344470167776240542585553042393", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "81744207a1f0b98ff6f710367f77817761e612e0436f884847526f687810b243", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400042", "token_id": "31325899479691204874586527768816673524091205702446167902109573073949057110863", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "87b8e974c4ece90a0e1ccec4aeeb3673e5f430b2cac9b2eb30c1a47779af6561", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400042", "condition_id": "0x6d4116d3ac12df37e938ee42e1b0e9513d0686ee37c46bc033de92899316afac", "token_id": "31325899479691204874586527768816673524091205702446167902109573073949057110863", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4d85a2847f90d9879389277b08d01984bbb3d502b5d550fbb711e9969db837c2", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400043", "token_id": "83856489950201262026866244894040600100694303824357626109140777738576225905613", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "667e3154955f55d8c0e01cfc146618bd422c8d73c158efd4a4933bf1d7d4a660", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400043", "condition_id": "0x2b476d54912d5c424e1170f35f321632502e43ee992dc8ff8d5ee3bad893055a", "token_id": "83856489950201262026866244894040600100694303824357626109140777738576225905613", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "34f8b0d02027c8bcc5b24845dbce09c49890e2b2ddf54f028022531aae796d87", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400044", "token_id": "14964180960435740178793377071568979233804246622447316547415208102263897055603", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0b76c358392344122ebae684f3433398c91ade7563a26a9ddf2beedaa8ebf50d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400044", "condition_id": "0xfbb052033759b25c0730e57dc38e91a48464e2c7e45fe32beecf251a0abb5ad9", "token_id": "14964180960435740178793377071568979233804246622447316547415208102263897055603", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c924d8b424d62e7633a49dc593de92525b497727d658f649f1c3ca1d2a361dab", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400045", "token_id": "38782466671229683066253741903574043359993608360297937485617654273384427453876", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0404875f1ab9604fb6b6e1baf083498a50e917ee5a8d31440a93f77191f95e40", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400045", "condition_id": "0x8c87bb6dacd7ca5c052af610a4dbdcf7773d5615a41bce3e8711134e39f0c9c8", "token_id": "38782466671229683066253741903574043359993608360297937485617654273384427453876", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992250", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "329472cbaf2a72b778239b8b18b69d5580778d577054b9ab52e173f0e1254645", "event_source_sha256": "f6dcaeda39e51c80dbad9f18969e1bea192b4a09fe645303d2623ab348bf8b17" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:770107", "title": "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "6e7ac5610e388bbdead9013e75e7d551bb7c2b534145c843c94707b40dfbf121", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3212215", "3212216", "3212217", "3212218", "3212219" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:770107", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3212216", "token_id": "94014450558851916899887083149968398592697375148381066044224894504757627299098", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5eb0607b10fa906dc6dfa65d99a669a7b45bb212ede1b55a4f768574633e1afb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3212216", "condition_id": "0x54ada15afb4d912f3c5e3fd7f19e13d5eaf29fcfbe56fd366eaf3f3340c75981", "token_id": "94014450558851916899887083149968398592697375148381066044224894504757627299098", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Increase\" or \"Decrease\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "770107", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a157522028c8a0d4da2b7e856beb9fd76eb45b1a42d40fa7f37eedfa7bf16ac4", "event_source_sha256": "3e543720c88938abfe2f2b0a140074cb9191fdf887baee09a6ca24290f98ebc4" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3212218", "token_id": "99000399158542499480555629011783776521496135039052808485153902569506702800016", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e6944797d05ac02fd9b9cabd7a863cc7ecca85e9dde4119d6281f16f6221b396", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3212218", "condition_id": "0xa01191435b3b0e2437140aa51efcb6fb078637cbed5e68b9e6dd77b10b317ea2", "token_id": "99000399158542499480555629011783776521496135039052808485153902569506702800016", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Increase\" or \"Decrease\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "770107", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3bed6227db4a09584c52394c57765e37ee008d0ea7b43a8cd3b9e650ca671f7d", "event_source_sha256": "3e543720c88938abfe2f2b0a140074cb9191fdf887baee09a6ca24290f98ebc4" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3212215", "token_id": "3100653308011586944471232313932902561844631222034647595368136454645530703214", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dce8a8e9ba25160b3293ad684a5f417996d216b7942e7652c9709b9831f71f58", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3212215", "condition_id": "0xf123166d9943694cf5e28fdd658ecdd9b96c4523f337d2b107fc50b2db94efaf", "token_id": "3100653308011586944471232313932902561844631222034647595368136454645530703214", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Reserve Bank of New Zealand decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Increase\" or \"Decrease\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "770107", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "effd5798cd2a92c5a995bae59021e40269defbb4e418be4aa44844f231daa66d", "event_source_sha256": "3e543720c88938abfe2f2b0a140074cb9191fdf887baee09a6ca24290f98ebc4" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3212219", "token_id": "58981013435403031458784014522201596193593446103759952637301765902334228388465", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a29615f25e1240281cb52ec8f0aac03d3bdb037c160369c429cc3b0f741e929d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3212219", "condition_id": "0x77c62bdeae7eef3662cada165f695e8c5ac057bda7f51b341b3cf27d4dcf1dc8", "token_id": "58981013435403031458784014522201596193593446103759952637301765902334228388465", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Increase\" or \"Decrease\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "770107", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "85eee764e46d7242cbe38f43ebb1e5c61b310e8d7cf4d918fcf9b242dd39e695", "event_source_sha256": "3e543720c88938abfe2f2b0a140074cb9191fdf887baee09a6ca24290f98ebc4" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3212217", "token_id": "22688212736850915673955550101502285312896818330702442897724628472944535337139", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No change", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "62714694fed238070cf2eb095ae32e4ce167fa7ff503fc99e91589d9eef7a591", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3212217", "condition_id": "0x44826354dcecc61a648252ee0a3b3ed2a2e31292c824c43120c9534b76792fe1", "token_id": "22688212736850915673955550101502285312896818330702442897724628472944535337139", "outcome": "yes", "title": "No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. \n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 28, 2026, as listed on the official RBNZ calendar (https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \"Increase\" or \"Decrease\" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting.\n\nIf the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \"No Change\" bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-28T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "770107", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4394cf80ebe2e70c15de62f8253151bc81c077fecd7c5c7dd4de2456eacb54e2", "event_source_sha256": "3e543720c88938abfe2f2b0a140074cb9191fdf887baee09a6ca24290f98ebc4" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992273", "title": "Highest temperature in Busan on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "2edb51d051d6e39fed223d2f16d093b798476b52e568ffbda1df4e7f23e35ef5", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400208", "4400209", "4400210", "4400211", "4400212", "4400213", "4400214", "4400215", "4400216", "4400217", "4400218" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992273", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400208", "token_id": "78961851924791186802817842522042794397311202092751695373367128524305785195343", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0104627c605967fb65b888cd4b890a4cf9f548f49d1153bfad496ab16aa5ead3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400208", "condition_id": "0x820b884583c1e24d2af11aa66049ddd761f325d3c94b70c7881e2210f2cacfa5", "token_id": "78961851924791186802817842522042794397311202092751695373367128524305785195343", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ba461ed81377c1ee609ee899a1f9d553e583ce65649f8f3815c3ce017b89b6c6", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400209", "token_id": "17817846953337892043326558345821700211360571318172004515463915468912710053413", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dfb028a1910d2ed4121e9848a3abecfb24b903014072bf670c6141204ad52223", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400209", "condition_id": "0xa36881ba57b6b5f6352362af3eb2373e06313afbf41a7badc037655b837eb838", "token_id": "17817846953337892043326558345821700211360571318172004515463915468912710053413", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fee69d3700bc6f82d3b77af07a6c81b3e3caa3b4db455ef6bf141994f1c333e3", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400210", "token_id": "78754993473480760363452909679136291532638699090601927243718655422391461478400", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d64a0372484f7095d1916b14c27d84a91f92a32a9c57869d56915bbdd2083a97", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400210", "condition_id": "0x41183f82caf3ea168e5f8dc7c16b9073598b935091a0dd2a9a03a03a95d4c557", "token_id": "78754993473480760363452909679136291532638699090601927243718655422391461478400", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "61072e6b0bd40f3ae1b7d3b6964d65edcf1e8b5858c693b87d2f11ed9d1373db", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400211", "token_id": "25167748813597731766562373420592366596067404043467001703568304856253963787013", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "27d50c745f2c65f11cb18ffd34de3c0c63d455a33b20ea0f50019e29c8dbdf39", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400211", "condition_id": "0xad4db48278a43bfdb1b5dab8bd2016bbe8ae0252b2670d45064a8b5b2aefe9f0", "token_id": "25167748813597731766562373420592366596067404043467001703568304856253963787013", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3278153285d5c06fc501c066d3822bf149d5439f5b53f47d9706472d585dbe3b", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400212", "token_id": "16460940463423701001332241151989546449797704186629062962766205970894726192890", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "933f071b583f08fcaf973556297c6ec7ccc1029faa359d073189484acaa7eca5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400212", "condition_id": "0x1a51e1f7124d7429b6096a7fd5a9988c7b4a97ff45a71d9b265b21413bfc3207", "token_id": "16460940463423701001332241151989546449797704186629062962766205970894726192890", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f6c256b2efbca2b84731302c98f5d719807b0c963fefa69e5626f0438e1a622b", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400213", "token_id": "35694421752768367890269086065238602963117843899410977193656605422260967456323", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0bbe9b5d8d6343ebfcbd1b0636de78115d6d6aa7b80e9d18725f9853bf33d635", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400213", "condition_id": "0xdfcd636c06ccbd1529291ffe3d4de40fb1cacd433c73ab19c78f01bb7311ea5f", "token_id": "35694421752768367890269086065238602963117843899410977193656605422260967456323", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "601da199176728843ffdc27b1fe366efa5b2e89baa275eecca8b1ea8a9d59432", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400214", "token_id": "85065624328492737663402738295310849737313456091790165598300820264947591473929", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8a19ce0fb10d024d75cae039ab3edf6ee2bcadae75ecc4348770f0d6ebecabfb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400214", "condition_id": "0xb8b92209c9edc91b92da5525a58ff604b8631e625faa29fc28f73674da8b65fe", "token_id": "85065624328492737663402738295310849737313456091790165598300820264947591473929", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "241b90c51aba04ed1cfacb8f2f92306e9c1dfe9209c89df0241dc0d6cadea60b", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400215", "token_id": "93443555302570285786473846896193651761400618796636018908682442416300712093839", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c84b37f157586368acbf08337d2250420f7beb5718aeb48e87982fae5dd72225", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400215", "condition_id": "0xd7934211fe9a5cb85768b94abea98c79a8b4f6826da8a16f908fb6d3a38778c8", "token_id": "93443555302570285786473846896193651761400618796636018908682442416300712093839", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "52bb683a31456ddc6a845fe97c162736e2c0486b6bfc17c7ed09bfcd78346e30", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400216", "token_id": "21080112371236467516493916019570623899474752596322229130706812792039324481170", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ff73ee8d7a50f953fa0a7aee08d2edfcbc9810aced184dfa48c7bba4a07322c9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400216", "condition_id": "0x73347b73f9689ea8ce73a24e1d9c6f393d39bd0232995784aacb99fe31a48cd7", "token_id": "21080112371236467516493916019570623899474752596322229130706812792039324481170", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d2a2fdd6cf282beb7ccd4b68721716242544e4c2bda562b501ce53b31d8895d6", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400217", "token_id": "14763343571471558516320271099605549116699571828127946759645648495893701925330", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "960171d3e1e93f53ae9eddc3292aaeeeba883a580c65f099e77b04303dee01e6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400217", "condition_id": "0xa641f4fae2a0641cf91aa73139e71f8888332c12d0aa5185bb5ea566c764055b", "token_id": "14763343571471558516320271099605549116699571828127946759645648495893701925330", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9395e94ed1fd71f74c265d0dd2e023045cc009cb8094f35289b2c2f41e6e86ff", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400218", "token_id": "6608427366395909180307164307858471174547765351505164756640648452490913020853", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f3d03ad7925e8b4503d8aa022b919d6c416cbb71ccb8c6aafdec0ef5772663de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400218", "condition_id": "0x4fee2b6ed8820bb748892ef210a1b3b2d420a0cb57b2048c2c0c4e0083bfa142", "token_id": "6608427366395909180307164307858471174547765351505164756640648452490913020853", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992273", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "af5b5e1402e39f4712e477c2acc9db1fd84aff414e24aa1e9ca8566b6618a636", "event_source_sha256": "54a2c39a773efb824d709eb0dde1008061fc5774759f499eb527592977286562" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:931795", "title": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt - Halftime Result", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "cd1378c93c3b8cd0342d8d2b079d860b77fe2bb2b0a6f56426cda92d1dd8e508", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3977996", "3977997", "3977998" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:931795", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3977997", "token_id": "101297996713673577321202015885643488825304673377506933262865413279362962003142", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "031f47ab4e206976c901d0d629b61115b4d55863ea387cdc8e48f18327376dc0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977997", "condition_id": "0x621e557f7357a2215c8186428393cbc1e424e3111cccf8de761bc4719df6ffd8", "token_id": "101297996713673577321202015885643488825304673377506933262865413279362962003142", "outcome": "yes", "title": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen vs. FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt: Draw at halftime?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026 If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931795", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "479f3e8e236f394dfa95606e8d9abe9a82fc7a4d4aeb9810cc3a462cd3577f0b", "event_source_sha256": "5816527fb6bf5ecaedbccbb18c35d1bd3e3fa3d652082f040f87b45b2dc8aa17" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3977996", "token_id": "49053060624750147525479191053834496078675359819957199325797388070900677913309", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1897bc252874ea8fbfd33d2b807a4874f55e66c3b151c2370ad49c0006c80850", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977996", "condition_id": "0x9cf2716ced352cff5ff4508b34e805b80255b0dcd5d18c594a68904b89e9835e", "token_id": "49053060624750147525479191053834496078675359819957199325797388070900677913309", "outcome": "yes", "title": "FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen leading at halftime?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026 If FC Bayern M\u00fcnchen wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931795", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "90140616c6092c05754a78e7996954d7264b8d3480ef66069c4694340f69b682", "event_source_sha256": "5816527fb6bf5ecaedbccbb18c35d1bd3e3fa3d652082f040f87b45b2dc8aa17" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3977998", "token_id": "24282560572925744509868535373614946547352002520850409083803811031910584803710", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "73cb16d0025141718002bf20776d85d94b1747c46e18ed7ddc7997d81c62a4d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3977998", "condition_id": "0x4d8dfd035754a9f5131a0ff16497830f85c34545eaffa5c713ad1b382ee66585", "token_id": "24282560572925744509868535373614946547352002520850409083803811031910584803710", "outcome": "yes", "title": "FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt leading at halftime?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026 If FK Bod\u00f8/Glimt wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to \"Yes\". Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics published by the governing body or event organizers. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially published final statistics made after market resolution will not be considered in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50.", "resolution_source": "https://www.uefa.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "931795", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ba2957e79f9bcb74ac518a8274f0adac388cd13095e3b4b881316b1d69fdb00a", "event_source_sha256": "5816527fb6bf5ecaedbccbb18c35d1bd3e3fa3d652082f040f87b45b2dc8aa17" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:844507", "title": "America's Got Talent S21: Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 16, "semantics_hash": "bc977a20d94cb304733869892de12f84c662bffc4642cc3aa7e4750939d8859b", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3566518", "3566519", "3566520", "3566521", "3566522", "3566523", "3566524", "3566525", "3566526", "3566527", "3566528", "3566529", "3566530", "3566531", "3566532", "3566533", "3566534", "3566535", "3566536", "3566537", "3566538", "3566539", "3566540", "3566541", "3566542", "3566543", "3566544", "3566545", "3566546", "3566547", "3566548", "3566549", "3566550", "3566551", "3566552", "3566553", "3566554", "3566555", "3566556", "3566557", "3566558", "3566559", "3566560", "3566561", "3566562", "3566563", "3566564", "3566565", "3566566", "3566567", "3566568", "3566569", "3566570", "3566571" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:844507", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3566518", "token_id": "85812535742617062286257162920145311444384022934106409702082004998157155181408", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ACRO Crew", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8c0c121aa9563aaf313248bc8920aca3082e09fe5d604299f19ce82253c20bb3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566518", "condition_id": "0x5c62dc77a2d4c13240bd8a8c8c47fbbc368661155ab189c5506d7a07ff424006", "token_id": "85812535742617062286257162920145311444384022934106409702082004998157155181408", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ACRO Crew win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1720811418255726bc5349d77792910726b4fce3d35eb70256a4f33e8d44a50a", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3566527", "token_id": "79092851585759676714069917504121020317511192215750683796648216291638719902933", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Cesar Dias", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fbaeb2c6cb675251647ac28a91300240f4cd7d76d6b6114e75442d11ce8155cd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566527", "condition_id": "0x334a4e5bd88a04f0082c37aa6c2d82f1a14bcefb57fea544cf112d1aaecc393a", "token_id": "79092851585759676714069917504121020317511192215750683796648216291638719902933", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Cesar Dias win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "01aa7acd7f3ae8a1fdb69daa325307710f1d3d1a9fa7b51362d3821e7e422f0b", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3566528", "token_id": "26441447649814496230830613298221089549939405876798184159801623312860132061855", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Come Here", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "31edcd3ebb4e58423cc2e36e5fe4eb2c53f433c4defcad1d424605757ea31cfc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566528", "condition_id": "0xf9a74ed39cc3458993c66ef395febc4ee137a56dd0a131e76dd64b1133a1b81e", "token_id": "26441447649814496230830613298221089549939405876798184159801623312860132061855", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Come Here win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8f507bdedeafd6e2f6d54d1103284c53dbf3b2e695ad195192297c211d46c971", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3566530", "token_id": "89927320020454853003769326740152852322799266858656218077714389773175868864580", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Daniel Alvarez", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "06530e87a449fa04da82a34cc12674b7b47593add777345a40816efa42b74df1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566530", "condition_id": "0x4eea439e151873c6f08ee43f70b6090108266723951dd08f22c0009120066b16", "token_id": "89927320020454853003769326740152852322799266858656218077714389773175868864580", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Daniel Alvarez win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "b091d61c2cc1aef9817f22149f8ee87c07a38a2941b6d5a412f9ee8d433ae718", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3566532", "token_id": "12083471019852298044017794834473055207449671065735395786309732647128066605724", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Geno Ploeger", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fcd4150c6ae4f30eca9a1e78fd3173a4390273fbedf55a5143e75da1fd90ff62", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566532", "condition_id": "0x15542127a26deab98065a53619107c640dc7f165f8d625154d761e43ca1d5ad7", "token_id": "12083471019852298044017794834473055207449671065735395786309732647128066605724", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Geno Ploeger win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2b76fa12246cb56936cbda0a08f103460aa6d661249f1eb6326a32d10f3fb677", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3566536", "token_id": "50419172579680169531894489015883913351602548854423233448368942114812823347712", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Hundred Fingers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eedf6b906d23e3601961b46f754463c4fc980bf1bee5b2521906a04051982770", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566536", "condition_id": "0x69302163e421e7d9434ec572fee10fedec4fb4e03e91f65bdf45759c92df1fbe", "token_id": "50419172579680169531894489015883913351602548854423233448368942114812823347712", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Hundred Fingers win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4c9adf48ef9b26c646403f03fa4a2ce63f0a0f54e86dafe60d8b8d358b05a68c", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3566541", "token_id": "46730747510968278769766371454747602482698183664130055463026625375194747998580", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Kameron Marshall", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bdeb514ddd2651fe2668ddcadfc87503aafab8b24f578263fce39b4f4c6867db", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566541", "condition_id": "0x9da12f56a434f4c6e539c24cbe3c38dbcfd71570c0742496730162915995fd0c", "token_id": "46730747510968278769766371454747602482698183664130055463026625375194747998580", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Kameron Marshall win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5dba4716e91027e474d02d3bc03c1467e5961e5e101aa4687b9a34421ba9fcd1", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3566542", "token_id": "44574763240957625100519715835167173709420182214015516872158740763318545380040", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lai Noelle", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "42365004ade3eff1c47d047fecc55af67bc0942c2783448df149ba6fc170599f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566542", "condition_id": "0xa36f52638afe0e77ad512dd0a08fdae1f718b24a8b918aa7d25131aa179c9216", "token_id": "44574763240957625100519715835167173709420182214015516872158740763318545380040", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lai Noelle win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "bd54546f8ea5f316299f2c1d28f498326feca33d37e169274e4923ed21aefd34", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3566545", "token_id": "86648579595769095657781874528438239638841377258514417316880052161359439930050", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Luke Taleno", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7c8de01eae3030731560bd95b13ec657f0490b651bbc5d4c81c41bf09ae2c51a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566545", "condition_id": "0x874c9ecc04e824b9d20e01bbca5495763c1e0f86c327575140179158c64264fe", "token_id": "86648579595769095657781874528438239638841377258514417316880052161359439930050", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Luke Taleno win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5088b7c3124d83a7701dd7e2a4039b5642e3d2afcdacb3b095e119eb299743ea", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3566547", "token_id": "52225777842996308569020530879700444392830384621522589923413155485409872168564", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nene Royal", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0c7f1e777f62f11519597c31baa42b071f4594929cfa4031793c4ff8121021ee", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566547", "condition_id": "0x804421c0a5c35f2146480471df2f2e115cde18ed37593ead72e462b368b0c0c3", "token_id": "52225777842996308569020530879700444392830384621522589923413155485409872168564", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6cb177b54789697f5f968a142df484d3f59fb8ebb63fb0fb6e618605f70a8a2a", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3566549", "token_id": "24446030897329003266392350963008814955153224456947295667576776098290417484348", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Olivia Befus", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0df31e7f03dc4c6714704a507e4ca8e0fd48090fa372539b7fed02a45675bffc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566549", "condition_id": "0xccd989eb94d3fa2bb4fff9707b2ada823667acf6e61a12c378f6f38e3e94738d", "token_id": "24446030897329003266392350963008814955153224456947295667576776098290417484348", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Olivia Befus win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0da2a07715f1f63c410d04d5b7da8365fadedbafe7a6ae4f7ae726c3311ceb73", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3566552", "token_id": "9384171495588973700849716907883505853916141045957104761416287108404657929163", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Royal Lasers", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "068b6dfa7a5e6845e58a503104019ea82c23af0827aa1aaa1a7102e1746919d7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566552", "condition_id": "0xd71192fa6c2b51165f284935f1154a45a6e853c05590d84099702e92565aec30", "token_id": "9384171495588973700849716907883505853916141045957104761416287108404657929163", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Royal Lasers win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "80f43b0f32433b0c6ae22f2588fe669e17463fd03f9ff5720aed2d6c535b28e7", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3566556", "token_id": "13581659910725994455745401782698163268733166436653433015054156027957813815633", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Travis Garland", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "93b93cb09426cfd69fbc3384cc49af036b1e1636cc538b642259f87b7ca134fa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566556", "condition_id": "0x78063fc2e3c68cf77b95150e521dbe5a3d9d2fd62621c93950ffb34931bc0001", "token_id": "13581659910725994455745401782698163268733166436653433015054156027957813815633", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Travis Garland win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1104e3a9e7d223d8c73aadf8832ff3224ae9878135057178348b4347d8b0b2b6", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3566558", "token_id": "81967841549211662372143028084449132399819874786327144385076842612327026336976", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Unitree", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b03e7d962874839fbe74a0512dd0f5aef589a22f6c4ef8ca0acb6891c17097b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566558", "condition_id": "0x796669d6dfbf303851cbe8a6efeb464496e7f4502f1e8347f6eca0dda9f295fb", "token_id": "81967841549211662372143028084449132399819874786327144385076842612327026336976", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Unitree win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "131a35baeca7fe83247eb80c6caf76dc3d000578bd71bbb90df6ebe93bca8917", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3566559", "token_id": "51852203745632873505488270364020301914483246771456176635683824198591117005900", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Veronika Goroshkova", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "16ddafaee3d62658103b566c9f3c75865cc4c4aab262fd91eacf90130d0d4d04", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566559", "condition_id": "0x12f6b0023bc70195ba6d089549cd9ad6f89b107ac3d180018a2e781bac1883ff", "token_id": "51852203745632873505488270364020301914483246771456176635683824198591117005900", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Veronika Goroshkova win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "955b7ace9c25c148f972437fe7869a0ad0a62cc1402ef5dc2b0c86eac89896b3", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3566560", "token_id": "43045467835627274839516509466098345497371437806033117813090674630941695921347", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Young & Strange", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0f18f25fa441d6b0f020a88b2176a29f4d6bd152bb4b430b65721c0d07cd98b1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3566560", "condition_id": "0xd79240fb34c80d117c11a9005f525a1c3f2031de9f64bb4e423f94affe10fa6e", "token_id": "43045467835627274839516509466098345497371437806033117813090674630941695921347", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Young & Strange win AGT Season 21?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the act who wins America\u2019s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.\n\nActs will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts\u2019 listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.\n\nIf an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to \u201cNo\u201d.\n\nIf AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be footage from America\u2019s Got Talent.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "844507", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "12ad66d5043e1aa06beac4f87290d7e5f7cbf2e4418d2ce096feb9eb88961ed5", "event_source_sha256": "38b016205f6cef9d42bd82bf1e24b785867937dfac38a79af68e7a3883340581" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:726994", "title": "Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 18, "semantics_hash": "3c88664b5e9d74676c024f1f5483e448f4a7c718f2dacb664740456fc1f3e36b", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3007835", "3007836", "3007837", "3007838", "3007839", "3007840", "3007841", "3007842", "3007843", "3007844", "3007845", "3007846", "3007847", "3007848", "3007849", "3007850", "3007851", "3007852", "3007853", "3007854", "3007855", "3007856", "3007857", "3007858", "3007859", "3007860", "3007861", "3007862", "3007863", "3007864", "3007865", "3007866" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:726994", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3007840", "token_id": "109157507808646418492399337532668874080349679014484374318578057511887935944139", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alibaba", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f5d22840ece43b672a14f9ed46288fb414d8e4509fe4c193b45f401c72ca8ba5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007840", "condition_id": "0xeb532d7017df0ed4f68d647679d1f339294b0a5acf4eba0a69be90b7bc1a724a", "token_id": "109157507808646418492399337532668874080349679014484374318578057511887935944139", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "63d27d795bdb3f0dd81b4d81f952d18c378f52ac7aec3585cc1e28fe15bd28c1", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3007849", "token_id": "72651567734049709485020547297381558901135666046128198421630061228853890864591", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Amazon", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b0785c588609f675a1676c5e96c9874648b27279f592bc2e2b95c58e3b9deee8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007849", "condition_id": "0x41708860896d52fcadbdceedc96f0c9071e62798d28df1acc52f2d7c0b21047a", "token_id": "72651567734049709485020547297381558901135666046128198421630061228853890864591", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c5e767fb53214243a7631a317bd7c0e959357b6865b818d4d2c96c1d92c4d812", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3007835", "token_id": "47330772746341780143465599744143001955741097587901315382696851245414382033564", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Anthropic", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "960ad42b55a7f44008f1b00409f64543044bb483d0e0f0ac36fd3eeca5c529e7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007835", "condition_id": "0x432d3cd0bc52a9f24b76760c751a847b46efd803f1d1fcc60e86ce27ae207a3e", "token_id": "47330772746341780143465599744143001955741097587901315382696851245414382033564", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e4e28c824c36631b20a8e57151bd1471e45268f28723f4dd7b468b70b9d406e8", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3007848", "token_id": "16051607492314403572800221275863071037904568613410546123282922541165429827374", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Baidu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1057ad778ff0dbe74e7df0a9240dd428303b405a7de27d7f7b95c077e58e9117", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007848", "condition_id": "0x78818ccd587cc47d1697e1022f89005b2ad177b4423887190c17af5fa1158e36", "token_id": "16051607492314403572800221275863071037904568613410546123282922541165429827374", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0938b4c6dd8f3d9f2dfebeed229805908a12c5e136f7c20faa801b736c78ddec", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3007847", "token_id": "43502745878111806333933700974526087375216228702075026300893734789382576846190", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ByteDance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e31c688e7075a411c2d74d354bd2e7a3e8399fc9603c9980dfc394d101749d63", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007847", "condition_id": "0x398a049512fd8c35d699708334c6f4b28e2e844cc3108dffb0af6bbc964fe233", "token_id": "43502745878111806333933700974526087375216228702075026300893734789382576846190", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "23c35a0d256b41741cdd982b2e0cd35ddf7d05a59e815825772f567ef150632e", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3007843", "token_id": "85427780612209479372584838674224304714713553118739258445825105964629555836677", "outcome": "yes", "label": "DeepSeek", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2ce407d089cb5455d5fdbf6977abc3042d91ecbb5c567ac58924740877371f69", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007843", "condition_id": "0x70004b4bf3e54755c8163ffc7e08bbf51d5b10a0c56b6fe606f3c7d7aee46987", "token_id": "85427780612209479372584838674224304714713553118739258445825105964629555836677", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "851ac2d33535fa4aebba84d129eee6956e9d55ebbcb95116f43d03d190ce064a", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3007841", "token_id": "57202573270794328105779654572235691113402912329640244654231053661790239973189", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Google", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ab6c06a799633bb9899755bbeae3877c2498ad50dc1808c1c70521ea7861c448", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007841", "condition_id": "0xfd7bad9a9198b7c3df54e6f6662258d03235f549879f69820a579addcaaa3add", "token_id": "57202573270794328105779654572235691113402912329640244654231053661790239973189", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5c6680e884d2104a6fbe6caba53ef325b5d0fa33c19fabe32824e6b580aef252", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3007851", "token_id": "71515447123805408156742227873021868862956223683590644887977368618054859697187", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meituan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3fe4b6e2a4ac70ea708937eb74cc3115fee45d2964bdf222058eeb95eb703012", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007851", "condition_id": "0x72c7c46b7dc85bf51049d7fb17b5292fa51de4f2d1f9f87a10e984a2ad706740", "token_id": "71515447123805408156742227873021868862956223683590644887977368618054859697187", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fb23d1a7b843589553df675957f3688ccb167079154eec71700b84a9767b8400", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3007839", "token_id": "69117540577780419291148544743606015574419350562277259827000613635671115012993", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meta", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9dfec6297e52fde300c2080996e8af8e8a91f8b215493a396cd372a2e11367b0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007839", "condition_id": "0xa34b77d44d479d09e604e36dec0a7a642c9cae7e6f085b99b0bf463304d01841", "token_id": "69117540577780419291148544743606015574419350562277259827000613635671115012993", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meta have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1f14202165fb048e22b28bd3ab832442eae4694bbdafd515f8c891c07a453c2d", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3007852", "token_id": "103842787366960722417610192508325970755014680690850279554462260715406216088047", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Microsoft", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a76f09ed781a0357a43d7b662d5f5836e780a0dd36c1180d842678b23a4aec22", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007852", "condition_id": "0xe46bdf50806789c0391dfa90d8deb3e13b85f6a87faabc05fda573d462553464", "token_id": "103842787366960722417610192508325970755014680690850279554462260715406216088047", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "173df8b1c1b37603174d473374ffc4b17e0b29ce0908703371247f5c5b76c617", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3007845", "token_id": "3564622324145213175607788267433550889338771988702276117738255647057303799533", "outcome": "yes", "label": "MiniMax", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c214b71c72247e220065cbe840d08285d86aa02a8f7f9d28914d4f8d605d50d6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007845", "condition_id": "0x968a7b7d4887d71fd31ce1f680eea4bdfbd6524ba6c4882c4513ad9f1128f18e", "token_id": "3564622324145213175607788267433550889338771988702276117738255647057303799533", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fef1e3cccfef80cb735d6593b900fecb03e8867dd1627be11fd29227547a276b", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3007850", "token_id": "111532747387710863224846948993920960947151602200527242847757832252071426178296", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mistral", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1b51c385b607a05737f42531f354125cdbdf5b041cc22e412ab617d9b99e4b03", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007850", "condition_id": "0xeaef50093640cbf17cd796f479e76b85467c6ab2e269fec899d89c0a7722a8a0", "token_id": "111532747387710863224846948993920960947151602200527242847757832252071426178296", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "275b7c3c01ba4aafcbf92bffbc6e4a4b47567203fc74fca396962b9d62a1e2f5", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3007842", "token_id": "63697236849537159257323024684353330470426506818364670184511068818981784248954", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moonshot", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fcddfc199169e5370ad4dc1171b4d7268636fea22da513940a5d335bf018e18c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007842", "condition_id": "0x415bf949ccddef1e1f5d7038aa39dfd3c923a26fca1dcaa77ab6ccb537f6b4c3", "token_id": "63697236849537159257323024684353330470426506818364670184511068818981784248954", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "49314cdd51aa34bd14888a7c64110cd38430260272ba22424ede157aacb09654", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3007846", "token_id": "102624000530002310476848455492644780239077312264166449710706333755204554782611", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nvidia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7374e4398a3f44c98d183d8fc2974bbe29e14f17bbf8a40625b23b148cc460ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007846", "condition_id": "0x483c7e2d9c62518deae085817cd60c3f3aef7bed7c3b252dbcaca6ad5de0e2e7", "token_id": "102624000530002310476848455492644780239077312264166449710706333755204554782611", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dc9f53114783e90d3b24f1d2a94ed2d11c1ed98db3401ae507fcd380811fe87c", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3007836", "token_id": "14506623286625476103715941260108448026116953711408036968603101855927813381094", "outcome": "yes", "label": "OpenAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "040e7ab70994389c7259a1c66c29c359278c9ae9b90b95155a366fd2c445e200", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007836", "condition_id": "0x13330d138078eba25f6748f0d416a742577a1595fcc44314dd8c2124f3ed2dfc", "token_id": "14506623286625476103715941260108448026116953711408036968603101855927813381094", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2bc1ac24669a15cdeef64dfc5de79a72e27b3c2322cf8c92843f3501314125fd", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3007838", "token_id": "67999819984282550286385536290894732815200234498342377814712167249210724957352", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SpaceXAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8778ddf6591f09c1d65953ab2de2a5751667727475e4f7253e2bb8ec3b16d99d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007838", "condition_id": "0x103d6ec5f860236227a2ec4dc5c7bb96c54d4e77563213b831a034f161163cb2", "token_id": "67999819984282550286385536290894732815200234498342377814712167249210724957352", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3ce93da5b1fb31dc2b68ad4ade3241fa95687c4c65dbe3f2afb436a52e4ba3e3", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3007844", "token_id": "114395521178732382913632303870140715875454832045096480871429209327618024065008", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Xiaomi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "de5eba0ebc435b2937e125cb9b768a0de8d54e52fe863ba33d4625f081f48bd3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007844", "condition_id": "0xcf3baecc5e5cb2af05f81353bddb6c29635b6412e0c21dfe48559b6a08fd6007", "token_id": "114395521178732382913632303870140715875454832045096480871429209327618024065008", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7ef806bb75c785651956c491766521938bdbcad165e947094143cf3ca48c240b", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "3007837", "token_id": "41717002600076807419312825188082668159915911727726256364186929621629754728891", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Z.ai", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "780dcaf937a436f8695c357aad20c4bc8ca8bb0bfc797823ef9d4d061462e320", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3007837", "condition_id": "0xf30b640f0ed648677f64e76e8b73353d9eb5ff4c5ee62fad2ba7b01a834189eb", "token_id": "41717002600076807419312825188082668159915911727726256364186929621629754728891", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under \"Agent Arena\" filtered for \"Models\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Rank\" column under the \"Agent Arena\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for \"Models\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nModels will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market\u2019s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "726994", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d5d01155b1e95f298cc5c93922b490706ca1223ce6908d0529b59ee7964e95a8", "event_source_sha256": "720077836f0d7c15d8e7582cad110e7ebf327c842cac046b972c4daa06e7c3bd" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:926150", "title": "Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "569e47df76b3ae52aed00baa62efa53b2648cc1b81e94f03f10ee69f9692b327", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3952861", "3952863", "3952864" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:926150", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3952864", "token_id": "20837458654869268469043037502752291213547917009640023635593573780039498037690", "outcome": "yes", "label": "CR Flamengo", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5fc87bdf767390921eab69f114b302490589c68c66d2aeab7f8587886b93fb96", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3952864", "condition_id": "0xd054fa134b322e26ab1b0edae18f68c941e49034bbf75f9a7b50cad09dac0a81", "token_id": "20837458654869268469043037502752291213547917009640023635593573780039498037690", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf CR Flamengo wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://conmebollibertadores.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-11T00:30:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T00:30:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "926150", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1caabad4fdd83c4117304d450d518ca019173a21f3f5e23e84e7af71a7091afa", "event_source_sha256": "9df8d01f3d1d01a75afbaffbb724c9cdb5f2b744585fcc66ed05a2e7073b3697" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3952863", "token_id": "33977382515776165797037349864484863006040548936825268089630743618753325427092", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c312636a2e0c8b57eae88f1b9257c5894a98c12d266a32edb5db1ea8b4faa01e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3952863", "condition_id": "0xe0353f5fd8a3a3d0c535d3dbf1d0b14598937a575452961fbcd7b62417b54bc3", "token_id": "33977382515776165797037349864484863006040548936825268089630743618753325427092", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Independiente del Valle vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://conmebollibertadores.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-11T00:30:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T00:30:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "926150", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1dfcd821b301dc043d13be66ee66878744f559ddc9fd225751ff341b4e485c3e", "event_source_sha256": "9df8d01f3d1d01a75afbaffbb724c9cdb5f2b744585fcc66ed05a2e7073b3697" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3952861", "token_id": "99499788225928488162179033563408697555297871498344400480514765791276529804637", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Independiente del Valle", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7ed47db6f5cebf323645c2e52a570662f0e81e78594536330b624c818165504c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3952861", "condition_id": "0xc90f6d5660bc41d3b39ec8334ed637f1a7c18dee150168023f265f1a928aed09", "token_id": "99499788225928488162179033563408697555297871498344400480514765791276529804637", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-09-10?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 10, 2026\nIf Independiente del Valle wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.", "resolution_source": "https://conmebollibertadores.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-11T00:30:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T00:30:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "926150", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fafbd5aaa6607c48d8b3a192a01ffe0b0d1ab0b621596f94ee99f0ff3b5162e3", "event_source_sha256": "9df8d01f3d1d01a75afbaffbb724c9cdb5f2b744585fcc66ed05a2e7073b3697" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:79836", "title": "Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "55e30b3353bb7490d46e4c3490a38544ca174ef9ab9d77754db5a5401e0a8c59", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "678439", "678440", "678441", "678442", "678443", "678444", "678445", "678446", "678447", "678448", "678449", "678450", "678451", "678452", "678453", "678454", "678455", "678456", "678457", "678458", "678459", "678460", "678461", "678462", "678463", "678464", "678465" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:79836", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "678447", "token_id": "37573228338665283688604106386288247955339098122616134537282110500293411203970", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Avengers: Doomsday", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d1be9f162aee7aa0ccba5163b4f09612faf3a4080cca36a2524fa119499da5f5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678447", "condition_id": "0x14d327328063504ab74b2ab11fe68ad305525fafc70effcd5ba5c5c688971988", "token_id": "37573228338665283688604106386288247955339098122616134537282110500293411203970", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The \u201cWeekend Box Office Performance\u201d table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79836", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "472d4197529dbc27eab62d9c285468d129d948182d38d1cd49605ee238d81c4b", "event_source_sha256": "7d305bb7b74706bc2e342c3cb6aaf69c716cce92e2c6d814b35709156ee2fa9b" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "678448", "token_id": "22247421012093893750467262700634578519448668534558135497264600391716954786894", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Dune: Messiah", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b8b8e6cd6f796eb051003f5a172659657c109fa583e9aa89d1c413294b582db0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678448", "condition_id": "0x552c464206214b1ede6021f457790446b4557525eff4620adf7c0f25d4213cba", "token_id": "22247421012093893750467262700634578519448668534558135497264600391716954786894", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The \u201cWeekend Box Office Performance\u201d table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79836", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "708c522674fb4cd9b7179cbdfd6c21d26ae6a0ab0734e494f053411374054700", "event_source_sha256": "7d305bb7b74706bc2e342c3cb6aaf69c716cce92e2c6d814b35709156ee2fa9b" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "678445", "token_id": "64543324917663691115371696991757865454247742038284927684622083232310008554946", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Spider-Man: Brand New Day", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "090c4e805e8cb189b56938e23e94bfa9fcb0267233c57a7a6b1d7b6902f8096a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678445", "condition_id": "0x76c1a69f2b0a7fcfa97b56ddbeaad1981a8cb3d8f24c1adce62ffa2d010ebbe0", "token_id": "64543324917663691115371696991757865454247742038284927684622083232310008554946", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The \u201cWeekend Box Office Performance\u201d table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79836", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "fdcc64fa966288e303126a314d1c2c850ab3757700700bc42f63f0016bfbbd88", "event_source_sha256": "7d305bb7b74706bc2e342c3cb6aaf69c716cce92e2c6d814b35709156ee2fa9b" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "678446", "token_id": "11420748307519926685405057405224383203980013791935792862396274919516115368855", "outcome": "yes", "label": "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7834ecbea3b64751930e104961333e9462914cfb21895c81733d544447d11b05", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678446", "condition_id": "0xd292951cdb6e1db86636fff90d08b78f43cd63880d7c9325a72e9ba6fc0b7054", "token_id": "11420748307519926685405057405224383203980013791935792862396274919516115368855", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The \u201cWeekend Box Office Performance\u201d table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nPlease note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.\n\nResolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.\n\nIf another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to \"No\".\n\nIf this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.\n\nIf there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79836", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9c49d64c29240b413524e380dfa324f608cca88cd60be668e65996e85b0ef3fc", "event_source_sha256": "7d305bb7b74706bc2e342c3cb6aaf69c716cce92e2c6d814b35709156ee2fa9b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992269", "title": "Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "4ce02e5699dd5037bbc25f4f7e63a54cc625290c06e1f57aaf5b4369e35323c9", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400164", "4400165", "4400166", "4400167", "4400168", "4400169", "4400170", "4400171", "4400172", "4400173", "4400174" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992269", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400164", "token_id": "82792533987964227171812805467028979900189178043109349009155277876144585081568", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "49da8e50da24839011e262145d1490b8e2308ca9f43dcb5bbda29e68a342c0b8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400164", "condition_id": "0xe097780d2163055b00a131c20946e8dfa2b6358eafa3c7aebe007b73a18f22ce", "token_id": "82792533987964227171812805467028979900189178043109349009155277876144585081568", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fcf83fc07b0dfe09e9409afaa58f2fc4b692a4379d175db0f74aec47dc60af34", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400165", "token_id": "23768499518834128323717690632225554177891731762126155656633849962206358253400", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "73f0cb4c26e82e72bfcc4ed7c9827bc55f66b5b90f3dc256ecb9036c78a3e1da", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400165", "condition_id": "0x0076eeaa1298fd23e0c9822cf6efba7fe2ec85b687b8d578c3bb9c68297266ef", "token_id": "23768499518834128323717690632225554177891731762126155656633849962206358253400", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "005a624d1f9042a5d017f9c83c5557e0e58eacba10deb581aa3f17a1c351b043", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400166", "token_id": "33932849330945491808239926142917146749242201548697191039354420107600753763395", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c6c7daac3237ea4b06c6a858171d4ee092e8828bfd1e9a5e12ad08ee58c2a52a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400166", "condition_id": "0x994e89396898e213b76d4e59a7a16f7e690f4d6201a0f663822ff82d961e86be", "token_id": "33932849330945491808239926142917146749242201548697191039354420107600753763395", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8fc39cd9cd3ec73733c6f25ae9f21f550b39785c875737d6531b0d9203aa378a", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400167", "token_id": "59072080669165505652043629684274222900084645460992687548917056347202964000778", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a5e3e08920a76a9d5e7ea116b680eaca73d1ec5f70ad68559fcee7a9a308dc57", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400167", "condition_id": "0x7b59ffa5555dcdba8828646c3dffd329079d54372fc0cfdc895cbeda08d29a5f", "token_id": "59072080669165505652043629684274222900084645460992687548917056347202964000778", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c105a987f1720b5c1237114b32745446ba6ca89c4132b32560dc1cf802602ae3", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400168", "token_id": "8188093279945741853196316785546300424561807040804808100347476282436726957361", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dfe0373f6e5985c2d0b4e05663f7e3f658d2ba44a4740a4cd55bc6a71783ec46", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400168", "condition_id": "0x9ddb6fc2d3b709b1c41c12cbd0f7fc33e8fa06f512d83218a86ee02afc95be80", "token_id": "8188093279945741853196316785546300424561807040804808100347476282436726957361", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d9df1cbebbf79c54fd197febb2015bb77c63e26a3a073f1c124e8900225ff325", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400169", "token_id": "108701807847021263594475976474996975138766661148395957393528352438408397495721", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "55fce81d6ec42bfe6f0789bba15ff4f8e4ca469abe47d9b90577b9cd3fc78c7d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400169", "condition_id": "0x48586341695640c6aa9adde955a9e190703df53412d64bd9a7a9427c683c2d56", "token_id": "108701807847021263594475976474996975138766661148395957393528352438408397495721", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7f925f7d3b30b93351e759faa603153de464a7d7355dc1756f442b7a45e832a0", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400170", "token_id": "32883830043634728982815232568245805002117721881956325144632203423912810559040", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "978552d3095a0b8c70c85169c462b19a5c105597a32dd93bcfdcc8d919cb2f53", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400170", "condition_id": "0xc2ba637beae36068971dbb604773182692fdecbb39add5745c75437d54a81839", "token_id": "32883830043634728982815232568245805002117721881956325144632203423912810559040", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ae27c77eaf533b643f581467dfd84153a022de4ec69e891e113e84d997d64abf", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400171", "token_id": "77436505305994306056779214961633917810273130840033167337875716455173165539863", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9da27c45cc84fb4b4878aea901e7a34f704c83276cbb3be18d93aa9f95089c69", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400171", "condition_id": "0xdef9f9ef6cec6ddfb86dbf8524da649c29f7cc0f4394765698e50ab0e5564343", "token_id": "77436505305994306056779214961633917810273130840033167337875716455173165539863", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ca08714c105f0e455c8af80f108c0c76a3f8620aa92418ed382cb6121467d7ca", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400172", "token_id": "108936495061122995234326363214376633518823183857717717276939746502408657728767", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "19fdbb8edae60f13bc674d2eaf50836d1fb2a0fbafc823c37a996c837141e716", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400172", "condition_id": "0xe555de5aae2ccb8d5c2a3e701e1a58dc25231dcebb9261bf39fbf71e62a0ed44", "token_id": "108936495061122995234326363214376633518823183857717717276939746502408657728767", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8874ea2780c20df76603df886f927a6875e52bf56da123a3b0a9b5bbc733b7d8", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400173", "token_id": "49014278710029717446044939357330283064857587804334526687984394994739301477281", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d0d9640d5c7f1ba972e14af3ed4153aa4998f4f6aef5e2d184a9b546ed128e9d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400173", "condition_id": "0xc46c5df50b11319e155ec41f1c60f7c9778ae8707a24d2b0fb5130360160daab", "token_id": "49014278710029717446044939357330283064857587804334526687984394994739301477281", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8f101563d7e22ee525517df5042aff7d3d0ba790e74f1dd33dcdd821b6a518b2", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400174", "token_id": "40581941070477893895637990966738451530679743755207025769710077923806044431741", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f1a33a12cf33d27aa96f1c695d96af385450a500d81a061f21d5e21acc987753", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400174", "condition_id": "0xb27a44b6397816fde5942f01088d61e14c17b0337752ef7f463e306742b824e9", "token_id": "40581941070477893895637990966738451530679743755207025769710077923806044431741", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992269", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4e77e4c72df199a4c6f74d7f455f3a0751fb0a1de209a4cedee4f8a9ac02e9a9", "event_source_sha256": "4235c1343b1ab6c8cfdfcae3ebf70884d2ace475a54375710de645125a933015" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:963034", "title": "M\u00e1laga CF vs. Villarreal CF", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "f8fc4f07f424b2901adfc8bb30a36f40aeff1277fd4641558e06bf8550ece8d1", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4208336", "4208337", "4208338" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:963034", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4208337", "token_id": "84959871480311584768807546524902812077131721954689714581037160745440182224875", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (M\u00e1laga CF vs. Villarreal CF)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "479f13c70ac6b67e25d1194756fc9a4642be78a029871b69cd4c7030161211ab", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4208337", "condition_id": "0x65373c627649012523a7b0ef56c33e1aaae0c4c02abbfc96eba722dd2f365fb1", "token_id": "84959871480311584768807546524902812077131721954689714581037160745440182224875", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will M\u00e1laga CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 17, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-17T19:30:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-17T19:30:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "963034", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "13eb05e6b32c923bc340b14ccaf9d2c724bd32ba46efb45b9d2b62fb9f3e14ef", "event_source_sha256": "40c140112a8434e4d3a97a4fc447ba4d07343ca9e8d1a42a57d54e44d6032105" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4208336", "token_id": "90834148397202233979163733825187640814025402374963030823237248506080402200933", "outcome": "yes", "label": "M\u00e1laga CF", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "145072453578ad6cc636a7b30c90ba3ece5d94c7ad6a30c78237bf4ba467aa46", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4208336", "condition_id": "0xc18b6b2134c55689e33288d9bd6ad52d7845d7b6c2a7b8e8e2bffe592465075e", "token_id": "90834148397202233979163733825187640814025402374963030823237248506080402200933", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will M\u00e1laga CF win on 2026-09-17?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 17, 2026\nIf M\u00e1laga CF wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-17T19:30:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-17T19:30:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "963034", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5b309adcc1b728bdac2a19677519f3cc80757651f02f110af2805a76c2bcf6cc", "event_source_sha256": "40c140112a8434e4d3a97a4fc447ba4d07343ca9e8d1a42a57d54e44d6032105" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4208338", "token_id": "20225819075735750518365188677478094505021941228264467345757873405930797678127", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Villarreal CF", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ba3f5e0f0d92c07cd6dacc491ab6c6f3bc0b5a0a2bc0d5b26422202d0428b3f8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4208338", "condition_id": "0x9fba18a452162844d2ffe5f0b2bb374c7033d2b5bce7fb770fb71a4a698ef5ae", "token_id": "20225819075735750518365188677478094505021941228264467345757873405930797678127", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-17?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 17, 2026\nIf Villarreal CF wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://www.laliga.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-17T19:30:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-17T19:30:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "963034", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6cf3e735f6c84e76c86e39a5b5aec10bc4b7203f92dd4ff50b11d284e73e49c9", "event_source_sha256": "40c140112a8434e4d3a97a4fc447ba4d07343ca9e8d1a42a57d54e44d6032105" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:803096", "title": "World Cup 2030: Location of Final", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "explicit_other_outcome", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "7ac666b0adc949a9cee0b22e15650798aea797ed599397a5b2a25a6ebe2babb1", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3369413", "3369414", "3369415", "3369416", "3369417" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:803096", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3369413", "token_id": "113206821285639929996254815155288452371188684539411352902648011690308415710296", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Barcelona", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "800fd1e6c5c255453e3ad7ffb583090d58be5ad01a35518d9b415add23b57362", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3369413", "condition_id": "0x37b53136aa525e6b97048b11e006bc57fd45bd1835d2c30ba83cb95d6371ab3e", "token_id": "113206821285639929996254815155288452371188684539411352902648011690308415710296", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Barcelona host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030.\n\nA qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own.\n\nIf FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials.\n\nA qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final.\n\nIf no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA ", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "803096", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6cb517726e37bacfa135c274b67773321bc776e303511998d6c617a2b172daee", "event_source_sha256": "3fdd8ffba390506aeb345f95a1245890b74667cda9485b65a970561cd7f26c10" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3369414", "token_id": "68499192702392425849250928497699313036578126390882875695331037362634884957382", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Madrid", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "724eac31eb3ceeb073a1210a5c47c4f68bb24fb39e532955a70f7e26f1e4a2ed", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3369414", "condition_id": "0xccd5e0951f88111c82a1827bf4574eaaa186dd12dfa05001733873c1d5a939f1", "token_id": "68499192702392425849250928497699313036578126390882875695331037362634884957382", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Madrid host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030.\n\nA qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own.\n\nIf FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials.\n\nA qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final.\n\nIf no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA ", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "803096", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "f16be37c3cdf8aa836c7ac014dd78755c437471912fefe22b0b5403cc5e70a9c", "event_source_sha256": "3fdd8ffba390506aeb345f95a1245890b74667cda9485b65a970561cd7f26c10" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3369416", "token_id": "55750867760304570135207227544961791115162053420892192977073686169020985193448", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moroccan city", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6687ebdab6e11a77bd3f513b0655585cfd840ef9e08d092a885e7357657eb72b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3369416", "condition_id": "0x9b7894f51f9c6cdd44fd6ea864d9eecff05c11afd7c28f93a73a777b5e0105a8", "token_id": "55750867760304570135207227544961791115162053420892192977073686169020985193448", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will any Moroccan city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030.\n\nA qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own.\n\nIf FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials.\n\nA qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final.\n\nIf no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA ", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "803096", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "355619c816cb781ecd7caca3d79ddc14a601586155789f037d1e4fcab4a71f14", "event_source_sha256": "3fdd8ffba390506aeb345f95a1245890b74667cda9485b65a970561cd7f26c10" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3369417", "token_id": "66927681890807157099470165716246633203004186776250608138332007527588171676125", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Other / Unconfirmed by 2028", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "baf68603dc46bf8b5eee723a8c2be6871b7d1982e970acd36cf50698da754fec", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3369417", "condition_id": "0x07414b5c367c107a563491fe8b354abd5b07f099fce3b25cd57e80110ce780ff", "token_id": "66927681890807157099470165716246633203004186776250608138332007527588171676125", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030.\n\nA qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own.\n\nIf FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials.\n\nA qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final.\n\nIf no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA ", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "803096", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7e1e5a1e068f3ccc969b6fb9926dca93430d9da1a8f810cd28ecafc9d9972c45", "event_source_sha256": "3fdd8ffba390506aeb345f95a1245890b74667cda9485b65a970561cd7f26c10" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3369415", "token_id": "15725934240716180149695356853386755427226311553652923781809548243126834596799", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Portuguese city", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8942ca24a560b7ea4e64ca9a808a691a4d57bcb450dcb61aff5d6b931e7b16cf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3369415", "condition_id": "0xeef9f2c8acbc677dc1ecbcf488f0a19241448bef51f671df19f95de76eddb92f", "token_id": "15725934240716180149695356853386755427226311553652923781809548243126834596799", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will any Portuguese city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the city officially announced by FIFA as the host of the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for July 21, 2030.\n\nA qualifying announcement means an official confirmation by FIFA of the stadium or city selected to host the final. Bid proposals, venue lists, recommendations by member federations or bid committees, and media speculation about FIFA's decision will not qualify on their own.\n\nIf FIFA announces a stadium rather than a city, this market will resolve to the city FIFA designates as that stadium's host city in its official 2030 FIFA World Cup materials.\n\nA qualifying announcement before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of any subsequent change to the venue or to the scheduled date of the final.\n\nIf no host city for the final is officially announced by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA ", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "803096", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "2d4b14a125661d2dde27a6d3cb30f8359c3c25992993faf730cf530b8fef9896", "event_source_sha256": "3fdd8ffba390506aeb345f95a1245890b74667cda9485b65a970561cd7f26c10" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:745626", "title": "Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "1e57e42e128c0ff39e6307433e508460c5c96fcb0816f8a7895a7582d2615d69", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3093521", "3093522", "3093523", "3093524", "3093525", "3093526", "3093527", "3093528", "3093529", "3093530", "3093531", "3093532", "3093533", "3093534", "3093535", "3093536", "3093537", "3093538", "3093539", "3093540", "3093541", "3093542", "3093543", "3093544", "3093545" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:745626", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3093521", "token_id": "63595603104015024847362275308980408007637921783963829883602224933179381099800", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alibaba", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6ba91212a01efaac65e2fac19ed4ad7f8c474bf17bd719c9240261697c0408ae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093521", "condition_id": "0x3740cbefcf2c43da9a6605a026cdb3ec4751ac0551cf1274b3702c961835dac8", "token_id": "63595603104015024847362275308980408007637921783963829883602224933179381099800", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c36568e3b1e2dd5939ec0677230abc5cbb6f3e15cd79ae04eb10fbc77b76f583", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3093523", "token_id": "95095254259392268565892607719762957152104858919450204417276568784624380747552", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Baidu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "15a34a9929e6a9d34ddc02c3134e2f0b8b0f9f9a756b4fc5e651402c79298dab", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093523", "condition_id": "0xdb3de63a6772d71e3fc3d3d5b191a32c00d34bbd4a43476e6b469d50f38367bf", "token_id": "95095254259392268565892607719762957152104858919450204417276568784624380747552", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d9508986e28f34b89ec962272d3560259f663b45a79507e513d8fbb609843698", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3093527", "token_id": "78349542195825440319345555032233281998048317333512602672520193674416900320453", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ByteDance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4604fcfb0b299029d3d9f38567ccf75265ff9d9b40bfc0eb937e05f7069979ed", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093527", "condition_id": "0xe630fc0944f38e452ee81e0ae985d3f4c89ec8facc704e5593cf1523826b4b4a", "token_id": "78349542195825440319345555032233281998048317333512602672520193674416900320453", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e68a298ac704cfe93dc6b565b38d5e1641d9b667a40c946e5a2ce0966d289e0e", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3093526", "token_id": "52405794319262124010933181221603239743821836701784873406664317338841739824197", "outcome": "yes", "label": "DeepSeek", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "875ef2f13ce470f82cbb8b417e72ebaf2d345cfd12e666b306743f4e3dd9509c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093526", "condition_id": "0xdb78d5be65bcd463ab6647b84c624df2155abd1fefc8b3c97e600f45cbd99c87", "token_id": "52405794319262124010933181221603239743821836701784873406664317338841739824197", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "0eae981ebd7ac58b863127992b79c736fbf28be6d51590358aff51bd13ace5ed", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3093529", "token_id": "61896288827271079743379298045995485234799408090677342562600518488146522074215", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meituan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "db9c478607b89c2f143d6a48e7f8ed414f174c89ab17ad9fce9da3d31d7a14b3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093529", "condition_id": "0x66513e99f1b2ea04adbce89e575bedc929d99b055dbb28d0f704d39c0fc22785", "token_id": "61896288827271079743379298045995485234799408090677342562600518488146522074215", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meituan be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "3fa8556d62817232f4f12a6f4cc5694555dceb44d94a064ff20957fd16c82173", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3093528", "token_id": "79446560712258942765003883033587768064024764758608947007521124385575026687781", "outcome": "yes", "label": "MiniMax", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a2dcdcf22b1ba92c95076460405b127629f4d273638a02ad4274020b0faa0ab0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093528", "condition_id": "0xcae8c6e60d465bb386711e3d6590d7d556fb52968dd8f8c588a0716317028c9c", "token_id": "79446560712258942765003883033587768064024764758608947007521124385575026687781", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MiniMax be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "cb94d11f830b606c21845cb1dfe1063e28abb8d139ea5af95c3924096b766c09", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3093522", "token_id": "17727637244686325355120181657235309323727831073543244517806307027322899288030", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moonshot", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1faa2e4d38de2ae586c2b9d8d57001871823efa00e992fbd31391f6176fce61a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093522", "condition_id": "0x7d09dcc608f04f7d5ebac72b3ab7a2d2037a3b5db1e454d7c5cc6e00fc8762ad", "token_id": "17727637244686325355120181657235309323727831073543244517806307027322899288030", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "06e5031e8dc35c8f478948d72ab19bb2a20bb71cdb3d56f70bf974b6f2c3dd47", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3093531", "token_id": "81051726168128652103726961243386877899032035474579491289641520352704805815252", "outcome": "yes", "label": "StepFun", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bcad04826f34e2772fb4a6067e31558c1393c57b533284414b3743ac097183bf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093531", "condition_id": "0x5303880812ee7df1f11cc29ee0b668ab152feb6d34c80474b74f8a78e3b01b12", "token_id": "81051726168128652103726961243386877899032035474579491289641520352704805815252", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will StepFun be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e75dcd4b16a1a8a41e01a07de8dc1e7fa6d9074bf1ab99e7d9fef1a22ecd3050", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3093530", "token_id": "91636083116626948832194764970014276108514650213544592414086769318720237352474", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tencent", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8932743837b72bc39c52ed97140a317e9e17f5e7499b9b6424276585659bff57", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093530", "condition_id": "0x93bb85b84643992ec40cd0b2a76f223e498da5bfb2ab29e73055aff202d92407", "token_id": "91636083116626948832194764970014276108514650213544592414086769318720237352474", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "afbc487db39de6adea887b43fedbcf8b5a0f8a2c8bd44913afbf0f0bba57d08f", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3093525", "token_id": "76240907066739003303249270196955847207000801308645046294414159478026257202990", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Xiaomi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "01bedd5ec59b4926f49aa348a3bb66e241285d61c64fb24c30a3a8b54cd38e27", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093525", "condition_id": "0x76ed589f3d3cecc80fb6c307d551b1bce9f91618367503096e06139c3245b11c", "token_id": "76240907066739003303249270196955847207000801308645046294414159478026257202990", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7afc93cf3c4979d687e53a86a1ae68c53ec4a4cb84fba492844e60086304e1e9", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3093524", "token_id": "62246797348017761443827820040287836333110404243723529530581894345032565055941", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Z.ai", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0ac457d142bbaa6f2a5747f25a18efc8cadfdb1b9e3365d2378724c75c655da5", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093524", "condition_id": "0x9d430be34cf29eb51e303808c8d112ce9cf0f37912421c68c1c7e4494c980710", "token_id": "62246797348017761443827820040287836333110404243723529530581894345032565055941", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked primarily Chinese company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nChinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, Moonshot, Baidu, Z.ai, Xiaomi, DeepSeek, ByteDance, MiniMax, Meituan, Tencent, and StepFun. Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nQualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant qualifying Chinese AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cMeituan\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cXiaomi\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745626", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e7b69b92dd5c06cd44c712b54221e0ce94b07b9bab63385fcfae2bd44bc0e7f6", "event_source_sha256": "0206d65324fd448e3797c360f1ca3c6eb98b0503c2a17ee03e2b1ae058444c7b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:663522", "title": "CBLOL 2026 Split 2 Winner", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 6, "semantics_hash": "ac9a005e620889410ef7300b5cd45ecc1b62fcc6604711ef5cc220daaa2ca396", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "2787005", "2787006", "2787007", "2787008", "2787009", "2787010", "2787011", "2787012", "2787013", "2787014", "2787015", "2787016" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:663522", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "2787006", "token_id": "99314934061396489306452957996961031977203686839796365128797538330817118314366", "outcome": "yes", "label": "FURIA", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9d25caf6ba373fee40f6f9c61566e61c40bc8348ea0b1859ad5ba0a49ac141bb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2787006", "condition_id": "0x8aa91fe3fe1ae8d1afc3d8c8b3fa9d1480ce14fb43e06d45137fd5ce3e965468", "token_id": "99314934061396489306452957996961031977203686839796365128797538330817118314366", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will FURIA Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends 2026 Split 2 (CBLOL).\n\nIf the 2026 CBLOL Split 2 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "663522", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "78e6d60947525ffcf5ff2ade69c296e0ce48d9b6d36ae47b5baac05fcc28105a", "event_source_sha256": "f453b7a9feac72338cfb23b1189721c2e45a1fdffaa89c02ea2d2c7d43d5c968" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "2787007", "token_id": "97997000502491106583657577023847460050801842562296444065412676611241108908740", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Keyd Stars", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b88f81d6dd446d46531ad796394585c62e8abd7d90839196c576f13c532295de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2787007", "condition_id": "0x11a8ddd22d5f6b76314c956fe372394c5e20d197c42744d985e8a6833450a322", "token_id": "97997000502491106583657577023847460050801842562296444065412676611241108908740", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Keyd Stars Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends 2026 Split 2 (CBLOL).\n\nIf the 2026 CBLOL Split 2 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "663522", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e5e78ed4b5af9f8a309ea727e8e8b388891ac23ea0049da88671fc28014544e0", "event_source_sha256": "f453b7a9feac72338cfb23b1189721c2e45a1fdffaa89c02ea2d2c7d43d5c968" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "2787012", "token_id": "60371015837437770151803239771436643172375297582198870362482351074110949089314", "outcome": "yes", "label": "LOS", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5812e2b97e237a650a845ccfbcc08961f80ba83f15d8847dc70961503e22bc80", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2787012", "condition_id": "0x1f25092476e88e0a9a0dd14c3f71fa2459830c9bb159b71f6833913173cf47a1", "token_id": "60371015837437770151803239771436643172375297582198870362482351074110949089314", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will LOS Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends 2026 Split 2 (CBLOL).\n\nIf the 2026 CBLOL Split 2 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "663522", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dd521b53a472eacaa2623de5ca4e015be2ddcff90f374f11c2d1888e7bba4994", "event_source_sha256": "f453b7a9feac72338cfb23b1189721c2e45a1fdffaa89c02ea2d2c7d43d5c968" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "2787008", "token_id": "36188575373044999494460917412686309618480864493153201576838576186340334751443", "outcome": "yes", "label": "LOUD", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1dd39a9d37082e4918d59b08d47cee57cbb6e9d398898edf75a6afc8f9837c2a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2787008", "condition_id": "0x7ac4fb4ce781fa619fb2f1a6a9b63e22c92ed4fceda676866c6adb3bf75d7fd4", "token_id": "36188575373044999494460917412686309618480864493153201576838576186340334751443", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will LOUD Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends 2026 Split 2 (CBLOL).\n\nIf the 2026 CBLOL Split 2 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "663522", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "c14007de09e4a835a7afc038e79084793dc9b287bf2f31f5a06cb98ac32863fb", "event_source_sha256": "f453b7a9feac72338cfb23b1189721c2e45a1fdffaa89c02ea2d2c7d43d5c968" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "2787009", "token_id": "29091179259650655694447665183906624558609772009756975732295393923691648192358", "outcome": "yes", "label": "paiN Gaming", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b44ff1b36436b71a47fbcb0c6cbbc7a340af50a7892cf64ba532bc250970a36c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2787009", "condition_id": "0xa4300ba6763064500c729d0656c5736db7a5d94e57ff1776a3e837e50b54e08b", "token_id": "29091179259650655694447665183906624558609772009756975732295393923691648192358", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will paiN Gaming Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends 2026 Split 2 (CBLOL).\n\nIf the 2026 CBLOL Split 2 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "663522", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7f3f6a864d028789b7e8c894e80c93603692fc63162fa94c707fc4e4bbc5543d", "event_source_sha256": "f453b7a9feac72338cfb23b1189721c2e45a1fdffaa89c02ea2d2c7d43d5c968" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "2787010", "token_id": "81439409693112098758344507245948754109363296503564148113363787236052378762201", "outcome": "yes", "label": "RED Canids", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "51974af3b2e501001b5c657c651db125596c712f2d3c0a09191d9ec74af2467b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "2787010", "condition_id": "0xf7e16a435dd8f9788b1d225cc22c194998e5684438eebc91421ddbf481b47e50", "token_id": "81439409693112098758344507245948754109363296503564148113363787236052378762201", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will RED Canids Win CBLOL 2026 Split 2", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Campeonato Brasileiro de League of Legends 2026 Split 2 (CBLOL).\n\nIf the 2026 CBLOL Split 2 is postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nIf multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Riot Games (https://lolesports.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "663522", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "8602bc7d3f16c4e74771084e6575a6f4395b572aa90369feda83585aea64ff7b", "event_source_sha256": "f453b7a9feac72338cfb23b1189721c2e45a1fdffaa89c02ea2d2c7d43d5c968" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:778706", "title": "Bank of England decision in November?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 5, "semantics_hash": "d11e679e7ebbc527ab690133a8e64600c75a3abff70f3ffe51ddfe13ff8ccd6d", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3247823", "3247824", "3247825", "3247826", "3247827" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:778706", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3247824", "token_id": "114751392990844349145629988801499640740311684267076595868730966703475136919723", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "46ac0c6af917ea58bbbfa6b413dd15673565e2949f3cd43126a02ff4426ce333", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3247824", "condition_id": "0x80dd2c6c6b4d5edeb34097da5b8332a56dd593b7c4d110abe68cecd0f18d24d3", "token_id": "114751392990844349145629988801499640740311684267076595868730966703475136919723", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "778706", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "37efa9fb28feae64dd2b346e5e80df53b5f0707ac24f7d3b4691b7d52ffab778", "event_source_sha256": "c3c87115668171a39f7730bb8afa61d52072d67db52782cd0cb33913ce3d7bf6" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3247826", "token_id": "84898183638368530003997197940806600768962072425288877833738032345744084637710", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25 bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1476cbfb6416faa0722a88af9a5acafeb9c5b8c0c8821355f5474aa024462b8a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3247826", "condition_id": "0x9fee56ff658a4063a05c0d372c2854c4c5594ccfd899fc3922a78e61c05a72e4", "token_id": "84898183638368530003997197940806600768962072425288877833738032345744084637710", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "778706", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d46b958fa3dcd67f23aecc15fdc258c448c637aee420fff7c292446571adf38c", "event_source_sha256": "c3c87115668171a39f7730bb8afa61d52072d67db52782cd0cb33913ce3d7bf6" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3247823", "token_id": "9809315054705033380550332109517764277421611840908617065399500209351734474796", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps decrease", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "856f299741e8174ac27cc2097d992c6c4de73f97553d83793930d6f950568802", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3247823", "condition_id": "0xa6558a226e216765a4dc195ca8fbf8e1f74526fe0d0e3e77efb36a733f9ff42e", "token_id": "9809315054705033380550332109517764277421611840908617065399500209351734474796", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "778706", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "20cfde01b70530f32c8bf385db22052616fb961656174c0b09f33147d644fc0b", "event_source_sha256": "c3c87115668171a39f7730bb8afa61d52072d67db52782cd0cb33913ce3d7bf6" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3247827", "token_id": "62144541001702959052922816789699992714136138516295325465072317716210957966511", "outcome": "yes", "label": "50+ bps increase", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "22e1020621305705beafadd8b6700c64d5b9e8d47e57010a2004ed1253c6c325", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3247827", "condition_id": "0xff5c8b2413a9ceef8a03ad3558423bf6bd459c1afaa05578643289d53d3bbca0", "token_id": "62144541001702959052922816789699992714136138516295325465072317716210957966511", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "778706", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b543546f3efc43fa16ac9ea1607e99528f3e941fe76dbfd1ed4d2c982247ad51", "event_source_sha256": "c3c87115668171a39f7730bb8afa61d52072d67db52782cd0cb33913ce3d7bf6" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3247825", "token_id": "89904936605594152863868406887671497001916079037316322532070614607329556200942", "outcome": "yes", "label": "No change", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e742b0d1d2ea1e56ab0e61c1f5e8d484bd0ca19bc0019cd38bacfbbc87ff2f58", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3247825", "condition_id": "0xe5f6842a69376f17c0b6b2b8181717cb266b3414bb6ddc070af1c1f7b40c8cb0", "token_id": "89904936605594152863868406887671497001916079037316322532070614607329556200942", "outcome": "yes", "title": "No change in Bank of England\u2019s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the Bank Rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of England\u2019s Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.\n\nThe resolution source will be official information from the Bank of England, including the statement or release from its November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of England calendar (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of England's November 2026 Monetary Policy Committee meeting with relevant data is issued.\n\nIf the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.\n\nIf the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of \u201cIncrease\u201d or \u201cDecrease\u201d will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.\n\nIf the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the \u201cNo Change\u201d bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-11-05T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "778706", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ddd7482c6e34efd26e92c75871435ad71fce3f725d18217925520fc1e3586d7f", "event_source_sha256": "c3c87115668171a39f7730bb8afa61d52072d67db52782cd0cb33913ce3d7bf6" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:967958", "title": "Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "inconsistent_event_semantics", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "784394101b41bd583b48c449cd070f432fa17659ab82a319e4208f8799ccd764", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4237404", "4237414", "4237425" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:967958", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4237404", "token_id": "61978737479901466625464242078343767295044975327673383203490527451747949395903", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Brentford FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "40b975e10b00d4a4e0455a438001595bdfc91b8cdbe6b5eae04475e79a2d0a61", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237404", "condition_id": "0x805bfb135758cd3f7ae935932bf238882c12a808f8fe2cff1f74ee7fcc045690", "token_id": "61978737479901466625464242078343767295044975327673383203490527451747949395903", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 18, 2026\nIf Brentford FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-18T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967958", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6db16ccb88de56af1880b5090e3b3096a8a5379da57220a58cae544c2a30cca0", "event_source_sha256": "4f6af5df2107a1d52ba0eb260cb5b854f70e66f884f63391d664aa2954b78c77" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4237425", "token_id": "16072961920521112482414000943907313769148721189135516614413936317958935388343", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Chelsea FC", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2d3a80f32e32093fc80b65b0524af1b3c7cb7e60c36dad438439591078ee06de", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237425", "condition_id": "0xbdd54adcdfc01d5e5c748aa0f65a1736c0f2b9491197f221d2f1ece291612e23", "token_id": "16072961920521112482414000943907313769148721189135516614413936317958935388343", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 18, 2026\nIf Chelsea FC wins, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve \"No\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-18T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967958", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e6de51c271bb3ce6d22a8a0cf278b77d145750be1af74a86435f567a0256b236", "event_source_sha256": "4f6af5df2107a1d52ba0eb260cb5b854f70e66f884f63391d664aa2954b78c77" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4237414", "token_id": "104914899378560442018178085479142116012502310373450658772348801239854927861654", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Draw (Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC)", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f8d5ec1b42b3e5a0e8ad6e87de81f46344fef664a77acd880513867a7d537ea1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4237414", "condition_id": "0x1560f25cc72070d0d018157b84d3131f0a3878681409b4d720106edc74563dc0", "token_id": "104914899378560442018178085479142116012502310373450658772348801239854927861654", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?", "rules": "In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 18, 2026\nIf the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\nIf the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.\nIf the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to \"Yes\".\nThis market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to \"Draw\" where applicable.", "resolution_source": "https://www.premierleague.com/", "close_time": "2026-09-18T19:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-18T19:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "967958", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "3c86b8870ce29a2acc5aa2494e0e7f65f4fcf3312358a890dc7fefb7523adc6e", "event_source_sha256": "4f6af5df2107a1d52ba0eb260cb5b854f70e66f884f63391d664aa2954b78c77" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:993673", "title": "Highest temperature in Panama City on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "afbba56ad100590a27de4c82a653834ef48c46301221dcedd2c52566d97647c8", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4405140", "4405141", "4405142", "4405143", "4405144", "4405145", "4405146", "4405147", "4405148", "4405149", "4405150" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:993673", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4405140", "token_id": "83466757434251434766105223926905361991019343471186568586978190435305539466732", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e8b70a8c1f8a4f2843b5f9ac32d2e826015876eed1527a9e7315695127ac08b7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405140", "condition_id": "0x62d411f6a29e30678d72e1c2c1f0555afec4357768858b09a27739af117103bf", "token_id": "83466757434251434766105223926905361991019343471186568586978190435305539466732", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8d0ad08f7916ba8398f7cfc6c49f400ae23fd5f41af0ba3247531ea4c0ab3c62", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4405141", "token_id": "30549471111236699419203307563458930976068015759036323387382413618718402210100", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c55a39dd59e2108cfebf9cb77d8fee041dfdb7c4571df1b2feebbbfe1394b545", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405141", "condition_id": "0x926e92dae0dd6a27abfbb8ff9eece782dddad8f1433379920f6d9565a5e5e8d6", "token_id": "30549471111236699419203307563458930976068015759036323387382413618718402210100", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "267a6410c6190aada7e625a0e6b1f8e2084980082a0441acd2ab734fb3157c12", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4405142", "token_id": "51221599865574025271566840920877909253127811284335164051190142016241673794354", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a7ef3b3b4711ede511d46d84ca1fe5cbfe1b23a2ebff97b83aa2a6a9846ae4ac", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405142", "condition_id": "0x68dbfe3ec998907ec3104b1ca9d206110faf16781f6059c35db6703078fbaab0", "token_id": "51221599865574025271566840920877909253127811284335164051190142016241673794354", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a762ae1b0039d683b844d53ee718431e08e2b1b135e536502d8db2a9b18df185", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4405143", "token_id": "94261695432803735530805751884046526915705284259596439664764288809817853629151", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6a6942c6bc1846efcd8682035b85c4995b641e2c2c51caec73d919045d02ff13", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405143", "condition_id": "0xfade279abff8d347531ec6de394f4473b97054954dd06018fa3b6e71aeb5f9bf", "token_id": "94261695432803735530805751884046526915705284259596439664764288809817853629151", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4ecafb460a8519c5474d351e8231dc4e3b5515132ccb042d6b18c3cfe78fac2a", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4405144", "token_id": "48510639533005645097158019612935564947395864832289054523447382341752852579403", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "71d5992841a03938e8ff1f0dd9dec09ff651f5903ecd9b3c1917a341b9b0b23f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405144", "condition_id": "0x7d03adbafb1c7b4ac2bffd791b84fc7177e6a78a03d24dd92e3cc35d511301b4", "token_id": "48510639533005645097158019612935564947395864832289054523447382341752852579403", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6ba80350b595984d09ba682692b0845063577bfa5a2f0872804f3d947a4c1097", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4405145", "token_id": "25241900496107006528474715367809539373669231907032512701021724651694280014687", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ec0a79aaa75e6c4f31fdc1a489b5c32df42df8fa3d9494e69b24aace51fdb26b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405145", "condition_id": "0x07bbdca5072417fe387b6aa25666924bbd9503e46d370bf1a6fc698dda2f1d65", "token_id": "25241900496107006528474715367809539373669231907032512701021724651694280014687", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9c7893645b74ecd180ec014c36071a29cec21a7d3c92aed89ddab8cecf2aad24", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4405146", "token_id": "61710835732835555742410040018176948583633422691582143870136784331280680096948", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8dcf45d998b0d38ae33949ab9b5ded0e5aceb6ed65b6467a603d4191d4b6ced0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405146", "condition_id": "0xae31e30374840986289aee1a496330233f79063e7e9839b7c6a5eb7feb286da9", "token_id": "61710835732835555742410040018176948583633422691582143870136784331280680096948", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4a76de7d4abda3817620661f1d82840b8380313fcaff01a346d053826ea6365f", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4405147", "token_id": "3881738136203198546591713481880453985261467961997369541535123920014853543632", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7e03d0a1bbb6e36bd7f4e93154f2a10c268e46ac793ba5c0eb5d4c1436972663", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405147", "condition_id": "0x5b54e962cbc104a5835efe0b847625b30b861b3acd31b5333e2454ad8a0b1e9d", "token_id": "3881738136203198546591713481880453985261467961997369541535123920014853543632", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5ff40ac1bf61958f18795489b716e2ba5c690e729d16f00e66174a402fb22eff", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4405148", "token_id": "63665081780576321246404370456987875326843959024975273922305653532445749303792", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1ee8c2d3471b8a65d8104c689ecb18dacafedd48d87987bd67482087531515c1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405148", "condition_id": "0xaebbd8cb6796f12960cf00997e81ea02171a80da980c16d9a290eb1437eeeffb", "token_id": "63665081780576321246404370456987875326843959024975273922305653532445749303792", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "468519644770d3d8db7c1b4a88b18596b01c8ffa11d28ebacb0ce5c0dc57f7c5", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4405149", "token_id": "84026193604206656802988816095351289689630225844512862770042298145140912862954", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd002a34e93ecbf347a669b638ac273416092a6a8eddac2eef95e2140785ae72", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405149", "condition_id": "0xd68c5a1a3583cc106cd19d4840ce71711853803d6d562ab996d20e20e3806c71", "token_id": "84026193604206656802988816095351289689630225844512862770042298145140912862954", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c6efdf2672c70c549a5035efc38b8f522d79ab8e033efcf4947d226d84a9813c", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4405150", "token_id": "55595279118362557172029062572958158649233923505087791008132193077236883553242", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ce4f1fa4f4899121e0c160d9f1bf882c80a985f21dbe748eeb69b6ad44f9d0c7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405150", "condition_id": "0x802cb03a768e38d598caa734796797c71b9fa4540b2fe48c71e6a72950c68634", "token_id": "55595279118362557172029062572958158649233923505087791008132193077236883553242", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993673", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d4d9ff78c018f6e07e7db072d57ad0590b792cbc45f3ba5554ce1cd2fcd53889", "event_source_sha256": "f37faa480da47fe5ee54da3c04dede10bad933bcd580fb6481ddb740b9910ad6" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992280", "title": "Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "a02422aee7f3dde4561582c2c1e24227f6cf0ec9e1707e5a4580586794b9ad9c", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400285", "4400286", "4400287", "4400288", "4400289", "4400290", "4400291", "4400292", "4400293", "4400294", "4400295" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992280", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400285", "token_id": "42553916805035408881302311293741145576351495123744000987172998148427028134803", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4db28b202c835d361b6f471108f367ddfc15e83cfba1ca75fb51cde50f274aa6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400285", "condition_id": "0xb1b70ed4dd9f0b2ead184096977e99804df39af7ea389fe26f8ba92a01bee587", "token_id": "42553916805035408881302311293741145576351495123744000987172998148427028134803", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "78827bb1354c833cac6a2c9be9f21e3a32e1923d619a3414cda090f385c0625e", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400286", "token_id": "103421592035494828160162946556179187209442934850587266322565133518149666381696", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6c0498289632b27f20ff0a123a4285971515dd72f32541b825fc721fd5dbfa14", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400286", "condition_id": "0x453476ddba484ea8cb9fd1f4c2a97e47acbf878c4798dd5609ba4004a32cf01c", "token_id": "103421592035494828160162946556179187209442934850587266322565133518149666381696", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "37d955b1a9a8d92335c72933f6b5cd99e2fe1f8dd470abc1b464d9fd1b4d1e4b", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400287", "token_id": "19244532168027268097948288881070513817750470568885647548532051117574543492441", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "be0c64bd545293b25829cc2a1f28e0ac877638a15f972f61ab8226aacb8702a0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400287", "condition_id": "0xec5883a6a8ebf5cca1e15c06e0eba922735e6f661d1ae7e3d4276771496af561", "token_id": "19244532168027268097948288881070513817750470568885647548532051117574543492441", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "eb9915e5ae50fd12f8e2dd998405c0b688bd7de1c7fcec9ab51e2337ca400e3e", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400288", "token_id": "16999182346846926210788178514750277753039978084983052871398094797576896057186", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "df851bb9366029b0dbc407620fa50c37869d712e225248dfa932127ffd80918d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400288", "condition_id": "0x832a72c60d7c7a39cfd4bb05200b6636f104c75985d45ceae57d76da1a41e481", "token_id": "16999182346846926210788178514750277753039978084983052871398094797576896057186", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "85fe0e738f718d6de972b070dfdbba820ada1e454be2c11c6108ecd0806042c0", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400289", "token_id": "39635260054046484393321824283341149760991152748804299495011771714459999036905", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2a038c8e7bf83896279dd60cc1a96a5cc8e7c4cb48272df3799bce66406fc7d0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400289", "condition_id": "0x18ac2e599dab0f024800bb34f6c30b320aa956af69fec54472c9c3f4dc32e186", "token_id": "39635260054046484393321824283341149760991152748804299495011771714459999036905", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1360cb6a669c145e0951a8d07aac623e671783711d07a0c54e983f5ee5361136", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400290", "token_id": "9987530316244400109836227813390388327905746554061307803720333640824435697551", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3e41a4894e61d03b8ff66088caaeb594acbbed13c7b8047e6441d81933f8b0ae", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400290", "condition_id": "0x86d694ae708d5adb8ba9dcaab6cb7b90fa6f065a4ab0d476a21136c97dc61c2b", "token_id": "9987530316244400109836227813390388327905746554061307803720333640824435697551", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e4a2edecbedabbab315bd52efc7e93483c608ee2b5a620eccd76dccb2c1f0864", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400291", "token_id": "75829457489648864325028472078500224514432111737775868618600424916318353842467", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "27f8f1f0be44e7029a25a0adc09fce80bf67799015caccea4f8334e61653566f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400291", "condition_id": "0x033b4b4be1b629c4ef75cf70bc98488fe95391c35f840ab28665afd5c58399c9", "token_id": "75829457489648864325028472078500224514432111737775868618600424916318353842467", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2d5f20263dda6b07c869c28ed78afd891bcb296261ffec18c234c54f73adf320", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400292", "token_id": "104043005619939467743121196600544409536503298801262766015340444191586652141832", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "986642ed3ad7268556284842fd0eb5ce37fe7aeddc15d4f4c36b397a8bc2300f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400292", "condition_id": "0xfaa1ae7a21562247b422c784733ba0be9ad1dbb4a966fdf6564f007a0ebf1884", "token_id": "104043005619939467743121196600544409536503298801262766015340444191586652141832", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "22a94f23d2f9ce9ef24e1d5e5569f256d67c0b16b0e5d0b28369710e27705173", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400293", "token_id": "72262444367124462379747702031201354669914367282724640301219158241833953099563", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a17c603cc1d9a9448e8863fef2dd9fa3a82834205529ae2c034fb56fc85f47d1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400293", "condition_id": "0x4c1a9b50d1b2d60e2b2ee448d41b4971f4d1e9166bded9de625a2afb9ec0c240", "token_id": "72262444367124462379747702031201354669914367282724640301219158241833953099563", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e9d027918ef480fef627053ae16d375240b127a164bd211a4dc3c8ccaee65ba9", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400294", "token_id": "55745048055674502017823189619017707976413223348802909789532751769660019100750", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "22caf6c5c3c9083dd22a8773dc576a25ad53d273a7bcb0c27f32b5862d6093d9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400294", "condition_id": "0x6c6d6a2fba01a5b221869e50555bf170ffc05983bf2b239268657e8a36fe77b7", "token_id": "55745048055674502017823189619017707976413223348802909789532751769660019100750", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "49f91c3cc7a3a1a4e2581ab2cf9654998f83f96adafb8cf4670e4894a365a5d5", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400295", "token_id": "108326060106588697931775381541808935012277420593325493396099040971558175638790", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8fef26e376e00dfea231ab263161eea70d78d66cedcba771861ba584968e9b17", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400295", "condition_id": "0xb8d0a9ab97a2066dbbb17be40dc800d65cc11193a0a9f06a01e219a23cb80bfc", "token_id": "108326060106588697931775381541808935012277420593325493396099040971558175638790", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992280", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "89ded9af3318ccdd6f5fe18e93405a285b531c710c40b7983c3cb0796f7a0f39", "event_source_sha256": "491a71b582ddcae0103b9270d4579083a396db932772d55c12ff2fed16b4ce15" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:993671", "title": "Highest temperature in Toronto on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "e569b5445ca938ba55fab859628896dd1bb071e5e3d1e41b2e7e221b57ef9fa1", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4405118", "4405119", "4405120", "4405121", "4405122", "4405123", "4405124", "4405125", "4405126", "4405127", "4405128" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:993671", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4405118", "token_id": "29478873380319529610394901055287784522303659202258143795003212803544222920135", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3f9b05062933538f84191c14b497946fc90c165524314f40c00fa21e5bef2746", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405118", "condition_id": "0xbedee44a646662c6c4ec8ba1aa2bad532091c7500ecb9ed93e3ffb07ff312563", "token_id": "29478873380319529610394901055287784522303659202258143795003212803544222920135", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a700bec85ca0c3503a3b1c2f34ce6cce26db340cd23cbf2cc70932e0c47b8108", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4405119", "token_id": "29556612627785898365178121548604930399707587614070532452135890178433801380512", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "14f0c19ef64bbc266829bdeb84472b760a95ccedf3d9561d35da2985a1d1c1a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405119", "condition_id": "0x074691564c487515baed19b3844d2f11201c962e8b232bb014fb79648461b9a8", "token_id": "29556612627785898365178121548604930399707587614070532452135890178433801380512", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4c0d81fb26af420496f0202c56e2bcae42dc8d51dea0e0a1ce4c2ab3760734a4", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4405120", "token_id": "79894111905001154850077753684934735437271447825229149427252667037363997417892", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "187f6b79e250186612ff36bc61f23529ff092230073128dd97ade721fed84dfb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405120", "condition_id": "0x151d6b1f77ae3773cffc6871a0c05e00a61fbb49e822bd09a7863d6a73a10dd4", "token_id": "79894111905001154850077753684934735437271447825229149427252667037363997417892", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "68f96487adc6c96e389f47632aa521313ac1b27ea46d9352ae33e80a162fb88b", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4405121", "token_id": "12251838364562886211750918491913055735122451452730201911462831894093243848155", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "357136f4b3717a3dd983108e348f947057f699ac7762a6af333445dd9ed585ef", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405121", "condition_id": "0x839466403b180255093c7089145f64461fbf7943002700be6f89e08dca790d97", "token_id": "12251838364562886211750918491913055735122451452730201911462831894093243848155", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6fcdd0516511bf40da87e7de329af58b1562b3829dffca8c7e67040065bc6fc3", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4405122", "token_id": "71360669360955054070061076466729997175676983521953403986336226358603253384279", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "781dbc8887e4566375d8e3a1f29ff28543655b73a85e6ce7746b977ff5104151", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405122", "condition_id": "0xbb9999df1f77eb9e6790af970b6d49c297e1e2244489198bb494377c8cde93c4", "token_id": "71360669360955054070061076466729997175676983521953403986336226358603253384279", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c3dfe5412209ef580d1a60e4200fa7886c82418d6910a8fb1204add59529beb1", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4405123", "token_id": "83598849705495322570147459528685560526593855374549194590774642283159447377746", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3687b71bdba3cd5f39cc77c4dd8ca51ffee86d1b20dd219772c0a90fcdf3a5fc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405123", "condition_id": "0xb3eb14de9cc4bab7e2fb9a8e689556152320ecf00a52932972519d7ee4ea74db", "token_id": "83598849705495322570147459528685560526593855374549194590774642283159447377746", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b96cb04a912458466508fb3536ef2976edf3264683617b77176fb98348680880", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4405124", "token_id": "82819437131901737433196383172535830422021587263356071919251209524302096304314", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1a834852345c21d02e261f6b98f12a492e0ab1b6dc0b90566c22ac0bb1e9053f", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405124", "condition_id": "0xa677b6e7bec508717177c5d86a60f502269912f0d2d823ce5770efc7a2c91f0f", "token_id": "82819437131901737433196383172535830422021587263356071919251209524302096304314", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2e8c7fcd8bf1fc3942ac752b0a8bc191837377297e7086db1718b8e05b69674f", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4405125", "token_id": "82478210891757785182970814114637429803735529471221943488881183806331691840428", "outcome": "yes", "label": "25\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "96ab538b03d15b0ade030ca87db418deb64744364549fa03a164efc92bde97df", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405125", "condition_id": "0xaf38d8cb7612e07dede520121e80b3c1d3e5a53069bec2477b8f2fb6726b1a61", "token_id": "82478210891757785182970814114637429803735529471221943488881183806331691840428", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f61250ed13d378f34b28891a21be8206bf536d45dc0e6385f3e3e4933a17ce9f", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4405126", "token_id": "113190518021129934789090466128941942718436628347835384911948026528129958245594", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4132a13b140ab0161c10af4310e8145d523dafd32d574f8ec9cb5a256ac9f934", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405126", "condition_id": "0x74db88463e445c2974b7e86a6ce4b64f3e73eb620de318fc08583d704a22346e", "token_id": "113190518021129934789090466128941942718436628347835384911948026528129958245594", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "10a0a3a8b7b8ebca1b4d6c3c67d90103d4ed7c95bc1c461654b79eb479436f8d", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4405127", "token_id": "67725165433348716139012883884993761027277126195964034097907825207155657625775", "outcome": "yes", "label": "27\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "69e36393c25427ac323a95384260736632814092cb767b2cfcfa31af9576d9f2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405127", "condition_id": "0x0afffdef479c95009be40981e627dacf83421ca6740afc099b68b6881cee0b3f", "token_id": "67725165433348716139012883884993761027277126195964034097907825207155657625775", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "39b9e238de76d1e52f8b77481e9d815ac3880690c3473fef9626101d87380b67", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4405128", "token_id": "63462181367799349966551471535385898251455281676888683895136461555252172320450", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d2789308dcc4c6178e6d9624e78d4bfdaf67a50dc8760a4e98cd07665f7c5cc0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4405128", "condition_id": "0x18206164ec94b663da04d1ccaae711118864590eeab8be05c4599e7f99e6ee00", "token_id": "63462181367799349966551471535385898251455281676888683895136461555252172320450", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993671", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "22619dcba670d6bb5bfd8088611e770405e99bf2225dcabdd8ed2c63074ca5aa", "event_source_sha256": "0e6054f4ba3f11044d1e30d7b94c8128950bd19c083cab456825269f111ac2bd" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:808771", "title": "Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 6, "semantics_hash": "d9f1831ef0047d8229b8f89c0de122d3ee2fd163b284cd54e5c4aebeb1a447c2", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3393094", "3393095", "3393096", "3393097", "3393098", "3393099" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:808771", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3393095", "token_id": "50499868137679218951349933402249910513123619509056323269375976350081968245380", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18-21", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d453c2ddf948649c4585dd5097c97b72bdbf8dcc76c8ac10d9fbb0f8e24c9f2d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3393095", "condition_id": "0x4dbbcceb989af9863fc793d757aa99daa896c74e48b48f925f3f787534e23761", "token_id": "50499868137679218951349933402249910513123619509056323269375976350081968245380", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win 18-21 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.\n\nIf the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "808771", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5d8fa20d42f2387cf84ae7a2c178c24f6f8ebfa148cf6d3b0aa9273815a90f9e", "event_source_sha256": "96de814aadd7662e463c33942f1d03709c8e5c3ddc05a1722c3d3d509544f952" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3393096", "token_id": "19066587437753993365706347799965622767019630729610711604943264865557514520993", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22-25", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "13736fb85e682373b0502d3c45b18e1cbe91f22661625a947d347f5f96cc4b80", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3393096", "condition_id": "0x15a282c221f43326b0f854f8241c747778837f930980344501b83eb5ec21ee33", "token_id": "19066587437753993365706347799965622767019630729610711604943264865557514520993", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.\n\nIf the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "808771", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "36d031ac13b182d4398a7485de2aff8f9f92cc2d7aa3a4644cb01ce36aea9d3f", "event_source_sha256": "96de814aadd7662e463c33942f1d03709c8e5c3ddc05a1722c3d3d509544f952" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3393097", "token_id": "16160464179554843660847902016089628430981783441312895956514919270399027460139", "outcome": "yes", "label": "26-29", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c7bd8806c1a65943646308bf923c8667caceec83ab18d332b411ec4938feb1bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3393097", "condition_id": "0x9f02db6b3b966f9c59c1119e4012b78efbc1774b461c7cf320bd3ba7e847ffae", "token_id": "16160464179554843660847902016089628430981783441312895956514919270399027460139", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.\n\nIf the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "808771", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "821ad09bca4e2bf59e7c03cef366b406cb63d1589eb3bc17e26f58186319d9be", "event_source_sha256": "96de814aadd7662e463c33942f1d03709c8e5c3ddc05a1722c3d3d509544f952" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3393098", "token_id": "72245534551759489762081653069390003071701747863744320994195200899338551079996", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30-33", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d5b5088b69a86ee59597cf50aa5b078f74ed1df626df7f9bbbc1dab02f715361", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3393098", "condition_id": "0xd4b88e34048c17e46c9eb01412cd1b924f7d7592593b52de5ee91566bbad2c7d", "token_id": "72245534551759489762081653069390003071701747863744320994195200899338551079996", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.\n\nIf the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "808771", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "84c975d02aa8688f01894e5aa5b6a58f54f9ca910bf444c29a76aea3be71dba6", "event_source_sha256": "96de814aadd7662e463c33942f1d03709c8e5c3ddc05a1722c3d3d509544f952" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3393099", "token_id": "90397045949808081220968632230215293556994682348850773031803449821407394426743", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34+", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fbc2d51157b71fe021d13d074702958b8a53cbaccfaf67e6bd76489f122bf7ad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3393099", "condition_id": "0xf83da636f484bfbe1f99e93e9022d9b40e9a94512c487b9d8cee165c88d3f251", "token_id": "90397045949808081220968632230215293556994682348850773031803449821407394426743", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win 34 or more seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.\n\nIf the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "808771", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "509633fc1303514bc9830caa8941c1d67be57475a9fec9ff6ad28ecf2ed152f8", "event_source_sha256": "96de814aadd7662e463c33942f1d03709c8e5c3ddc05a1722c3d3d509544f952" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3393094", "token_id": "15847052035910904971493359374142548924890338141058195694493500995716827248764", "outcome": "yes", "label": "<18", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "af51f2b9013429c914e03827d9a77d3ab04e69d4983c52886daf4e5ee0b24038", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3393094", "condition_id": "0xec8eeecad67e975d1b468d57f838e2f0f8412a6f6670b4d94a0d0a91078bea2e", "token_id": "15847052035910904971493359374142548924890338141058195694493500995716827248764", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SPD win fewer than 18 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?", "rules": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.\n\nIf the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.\n\nIf the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.\n\nThis market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt f\u00fcr innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-20T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "808771", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "854d4ab7bb5e4fb842ea2539216e027eaa6146ac47d1680272be7ddfed56c5fa", "event_source_sha256": "96de814aadd7662e463c33942f1d03709c8e5c3ddc05a1722c3d3d509544f952" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:826548", "title": "Next Regional Board Chair of J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 4, "semantics_hash": "273179dcd2e99965e1ad89f5fe15b43df1e25b1b4719e464728ab463de616dc4", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3480143", "3480144", "3480145", "3480146", "3480147", "3480148", "3480149", "3480150", "3480151", "3480152", "3480153", "3480154", "3480155", "3480156", "3480157", "3480158", "3480159", "3480160", "3480161", "3480162", "3480163", "3480164", "3480165", "3480166", "3480167", "3480168", "3480169", "3480170", "3480171", "3480172", "3480173" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:826548", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3480143", "token_id": "109120657070639827051560173593346980167190653232404641609441060909825786213019", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Bengt Bergqvist", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "64d35e305f52692e949f6f007803477bb04f6a2bb5377496ac8c64642e630bc2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3480143", "condition_id": "0x8a0dc9ca4ed2eeb07f8b854f84da5447151701fdbf21ec78a08ddbce10a39888", "token_id": "109120657070639827051560173593346980167190653232404641609441060909825786213019", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Bengt Bergqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen?", "rules": "Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen following the 2026 Swedish regional elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "826548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5b3199a1ddef664a821347e82ba3ccd22306789684a54fcc745146dc0ae34a07", "event_source_sha256": "573020808fe52cc096dd4ee056e4736b0dcf52a3eaf00a11301ea0650fcca12a" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3480146", "token_id": "24647691990963492571546440509736123059597723647414417236098568498122664858859", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Elin Hoffner", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "025914d3df215dfa610271fea682b9f3b85d0f90079b5de8b759ef386121a9f1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3480146", "condition_id": "0x594f5360eea517abe2d9976af8eab7a5643afed21cbead16e389dc383adf1984", "token_id": "24647691990963492571546440509736123059597723647414417236098568498122664858859", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Elin Hoffner be the next Regional Board Chair of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen?", "rules": "Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen following the 2026 Swedish regional elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "826548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4c9e627275cd3a1e67325b9f059984e24f2f00cb3fd07271f435381a5ef0cd78", "event_source_sha256": "573020808fe52cc096dd4ee056e4736b0dcf52a3eaf00a11301ea0650fcca12a" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3480144", "token_id": "67001715993354631079613751045490300439682718060076613964045734279042293960168", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Lars-Erik Olofsson", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f8fa43379ec6586ff97484d8f484c897d67bca10fb9ff276407fcc8da5973a84", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3480144", "condition_id": "0x4e2a187c55da4847a912b70a7a80ca60758878588235d0132d850e9e23d469f4", "token_id": "67001715993354631079613751045490300439682718060076613964045734279042293960168", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Lars-Erik Olofsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen?", "rules": "Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen following the 2026 Swedish regional elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "826548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "ec5f45a7386506f9577531cfe06dc991e95b13304a20c0e49fae34284d274dfc", "event_source_sha256": "573020808fe52cc096dd4ee056e4736b0dcf52a3eaf00a11301ea0650fcca12a" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3480145", "token_id": "33364990530974385901006591272522712124441643503652693218087303376991935583070", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Robert Hamberg", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6f5e6ffc9ce9519a1e0a13d0eee5ca7d0a78762b79cb5224b04f49ada1ef0dbf", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3480145", "condition_id": "0x99639ddfb5425e8a1911325ca2f16ae2a7af27fa0dda493bccda3a96c6e429ac", "token_id": "33364990530974385901006591272522712124441643503652693218087303376991935583070", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Robert Hamberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen?", "rules": "Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen following the 2026 Swedish regional elections.\n\nTo count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market.\n\nIf no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \u201cOther\u201d.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region J\u00e4mtland H\u00e4rjedalen; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-13T23:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "826548", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6d3a87e0d9f591442872a8eddf5a6717bf0648c98e9c8539f690111f34222b5c", "event_source_sha256": "573020808fe52cc096dd4ee056e4736b0dcf52a3eaf00a11301ea0650fcca12a" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:745668", "title": "#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "too_many_outcomes", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 21, "semantics_hash": "8dc510aeaf29eaa7e5b85809c646b47675594e6857c554f73809cab614dec080", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3093782", "3093783", "3093784", "3093785", "3093786", "3093787", "3093788", "3093789", "3093790", "3093791", "3093792", "3093793", "3093794", "3093795", "3093796", "3093797", "3093798", "3093799", "3093800", "3093801", "3093802", "3093803", "3093804", "3093805", "3093806", "3093807", "3093808", "3093809", "3093810", "3093811", "3093812", "3093813" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:745668", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3093787", "token_id": "13099503604811062254957749363170061146512603698771148527401374520949809053785", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alibaba", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f924ff048cdcf9580d4f55b1e9adc274286d3f00487abd426cd29c6091a36457", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093787", "condition_id": "0xd8357ea4f11f2907ec3f9176e2374a61605a2d4c526017b5782e87370f6d259c", "token_id": "13099503604811062254957749363170061146512603698771148527401374520949809053785", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "51040fba2b660627634d3bc6904ead9295a0466593a151302853a386135ffadb", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3093798", "token_id": "28941792443131519962789038101961440526273387272958890967446019103867317341901", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Amazon", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "016435ea0893a09dcb762ff7b9d097330149356c50bf7fe28af2270a9a3d6bff", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093798", "condition_id": "0x9e481a291f672f94530b243b5a2c34a57767c840386809d1404b64667f8a46ed", "token_id": "28941792443131519962789038101961440526273387272958890967446019103867317341901", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Amazon be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "095324107a44c9953bb781cda0f473a5c9d6ce075a4a53c2edf1bd2aa099d751", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3093782", "token_id": "102829286406003703703684102114524526864818076039571022322295841552265655617058", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Anthropic", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "da249bac0d78587fea5ca9fc32706b900a566cdf026a52e74f58051a9c8ed0ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093782", "condition_id": "0x9934f980febf8ce89237685557a6fff9ff90a378f2fe7710c44159f79eb48ddf", "token_id": "102829286406003703703684102114524526864818076039571022322295841552265655617058", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e265f402be44e926c31d407d79e9d4faccd970060ceb89011a96e16173d4f229", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "3093790", "token_id": "80546409545347811117687798673227152804174577025236992787392163805449909570630", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Baidu", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f14c5bfac1615ab905e09a417eeab473d2c65817b9ba5fe121aa2627801889ad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093790", "condition_id": "0x42fd76237f4c570a069bb939501f4ee598a97313c0d5b8ddd21850c85cc0e7b9", "token_id": "80546409545347811117687798673227152804174577025236992787392163805449909570630", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Baidu be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "6d4c992d304017cf82bc63ec19b78b042c015139fddc14196966b669c1def04d", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "3093793", "token_id": "20148711421295693685979928339307272332130347832294600452849636054369405034859", "outcome": "yes", "label": "ByteDance", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4e10148824b6c0582e44f5cfc5e8a893a82de965d517a0cd8af008e099619de9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093793", "condition_id": "0x0e8961476fbc4b7aa3b391b264d839442326fde0332f7955842a102969857e63", "token_id": "20148711421295693685979928339307272332130347832294600452849636054369405034859", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7ce7416c778f6f5ff8dd905e2e8fd491951d2e05c7d47e637841a631ba2d62b7", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "3093792", "token_id": "88190685960869778895313864664955082935737925106238623670439001420975029864845", "outcome": "yes", "label": "DeepSeek", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2bc4a615ba371961d99cb1665cc7b99fcfac8193e3dcdc6bc020e311c1f46c4e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093792", "condition_id": "0xf4fafc670da4080c42b87b399647caee568264abf9a03698a73290f34f49a5da", "token_id": "88190685960869778895313864664955082935737925106238623670439001420975029864845", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will DeepSeek be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "097016e1f5ff8d470f4d0b779c83cff69411eff5ac99e545a533ba90f430aa79", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "3093784", "token_id": "98392805305534230517971326427691396365272935320082325849906388697676346207981", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Google", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "bfab8dd98c8877a86b350315df4d228240b62738da1e8850f38f26854d5cf53d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093784", "condition_id": "0xdc9c1947e9a0519b153471c43d4a084836e3aae41b16998f25fafe9ee0b1e3ab", "token_id": "98392805305534230517971326427691396365272935320082325849906388697676346207981", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e402cf846f29b9ec269848bffb1530f9d17f9170cfeae7d4247523938d5e4109", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "3093796", "token_id": "17026524486299215335438585546808203766279586408918984102665792076171557359351", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meituan", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6070c5e9aa763692cf852c2999fee420757659be58254fd3d9a6eaf1624cdc4e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093796", "condition_id": "0xabaca15b6cee36bfc6e6e21edf6c7b28b835ef1bd59ec54314e4a3b101f74336", "token_id": "17026524486299215335438585546808203766279586408918984102665792076171557359351", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meituan be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "96b69485fe27d98167a518e42e4fecee2af3a52058166c62fdd977b74eb91531", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "3093783", "token_id": "65072792980382563716514843496078946669757593535675934936725822985142286865733", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Meta", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1202192e023a431c7eda1e6f0a49c1c4826695abf9ca1764c29c9842657058ee", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093783", "condition_id": "0x7c1e59503dd57fc2fcf4f0ba7d35d49ebbc523dce8f466c56c764d7d11d1d222", "token_id": "65072792980382563716514843496078946669757593535675934936725822985142286865733", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "03525962a580b6677804aa5c824a8299fd95f3219cef6f66ca24330b96c61333", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "3093802", "token_id": "16523031556673041516758820215226038368992676096720014061181990204671817010274", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Microsoft", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f2e9d06db261f1147db01a0e471ef1de40e678be715a238137646c19ad3a5fb8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093802", "condition_id": "0xf59c0657dda37eb45ffa6a69d4f81a04d08373f108f46787eb1f1571720f5ab3", "token_id": "16523031556673041516758820215226038368992676096720014061181990204671817010274", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7ff78dac860ac88f05e7c635877a98df8526067364002bec98fa675b84775772", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "3093794", "token_id": "46427938598265899977201387057709845101351804586640129851865951709704001934406", "outcome": "yes", "label": "MiniMax", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "66f97200db42604a766c50be5c52364d7e159b89b818b79d2a578f27c350f358", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093794", "condition_id": "0x807ea793e3a8b863b3c9b68667ec1073011179e2a0cf885b151e17b29c60ee7e", "token_id": "46427938598265899977201387057709845101351804586640129851865951709704001934406", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will MiniMax be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e4ac8d532ba64cbdcb2471ad169e7122e57e3ac32c62ee9ca147806d8f55a761", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 11, "market_id": "3093797", "token_id": "30679003662730254425894899354517167515711767925765024150614388092926472869507", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Mistral", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "cd66c199a26f09e983fada4c81a420ffcec48b7a86e63db0704cbc35747fc860", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093797", "condition_id": "0x96bba0f4452f2697082925d61c5661c5f46d7098c71f3c556fc64e77d9715833", "token_id": "30679003662730254425894899354517167515711767925765024150614388092926472869507", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "e437535fa408cc3e399566faad2c4e60c2137249db48a2b2d25934dd871ae876", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 12, "market_id": "3093785", "token_id": "49978348977422814051544211001882389072432942359406489833566148424859262418131", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Moonshot", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1e7849e90f3c3cc5bab5891f8c9c67db9abac4fea67151b7ade50c68a5e72206", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093785", "condition_id": "0x0b8ea09ff5029c9448d747aa733c72f6d5e49d779f52d1cd10c55f538d230880", "token_id": "49978348977422814051544211001882389072432942359406489833566148424859262418131", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "5ae08eb6cbe349d9333d7b9a1822220341190f6de75ec7d1456e91525d38bdda", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 13, "market_id": "3093799", "token_id": "16715266895514885788223517623763182160644029114701902685170694495389653133043", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Nvidia", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dddf0b95f07db85fb24c39de26a75256e57159c91c9f34c272d7db996e463368", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093799", "condition_id": "0x75cd5524b157c087e8a233259196fa35e5cc4356adffb45c8f119e1a1d472cb2", "token_id": "16715266895514885788223517623763182160644029114701902685170694495389653133043", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Nvidia be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "d742e71c2cf269522cda04cae9fcc476a6a55ed6edb45bccbc60f8c1a1539066", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 14, "market_id": "3093786", "token_id": "70117344945063757093881725365233995194063708626130969056526826236325349944595", "outcome": "yes", "label": "OpenAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "4b33fff02f54cea76f3fe7a8fb2695be6b26523e017d63c88859ebb712e7b698", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093786", "condition_id": "0xd1f6404dab336e445e43b8391e640fb74ee3856186658d32b514afcd37ecf591", "token_id": "70117344945063757093881725365233995194063708626130969056526826236325349944595", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "37c5bf555ecd220afe324df26a358395d22f567f6880f66f18a141e8bea7a3c4", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 15, "market_id": "3093788", "token_id": "36952113198744602655962732164919638768313224481450739710402631984850943109580", "outcome": "yes", "label": "SpaceXAI", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0e20cb62166f8a50f0189c1e608a4100185b8e33cab98b4fcba0a40fd8ac915e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093788", "condition_id": "0x4e3faaf28b63d286e8b279aa11efdfe4b618c82342784faf99f54d4054571edc", "token_id": "36952113198744602655962732164919638768313224481450739710402631984850943109580", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "41866983562fb7b67dc1dc535d77163ed9678ba094a4e6bf79ba559cc6de1f74", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 16, "market_id": "3093801", "token_id": "12820487934688856523578160497871018616844079754949776032096687153991247987115", "outcome": "yes", "label": "StepFun", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8c6abb890c2300b8c6ab3efcd3192c070d13d6cce628b9747facee54ddf79f5c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093801", "condition_id": "0x4e4fcc3de5b294521c83fb623032dde63860f2ce5e0052921c9ea646ea85dbb0", "token_id": "12820487934688856523578160497871018616844079754949776032096687153991247987115", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will StepFun be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "dda37be7dbafc84f85b847996801680b0fa3d67dd2373442184ffab2a6488c66", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 17, "market_id": "3093800", "token_id": "12621242571204728820308116093326491985788135382237798597998102644992428550942", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Tencent", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a673abeee6499523b656e81f4b1c7b1ffe2ae5872600226b9e2760260e38ee09", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093800", "condition_id": "0xe0859e1ce9204432d58afe7fc2555f4908d63b276283dd1223b0ffd1993a2ef2", "token_id": "12621242571204728820308116093326491985788135382237798597998102644992428550942", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Tencent be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "9794b16f3458f983cda088d729c1751286941e3b08ece62af108f2fc273bced8", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 18, "market_id": "3093795", "token_id": "10960306871752642007064085518899951237783122541704676644456609328472462840984", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Thinky", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1ab507f618de209bc36294f5b3c44d70dee8e477c5f77984f2170206b51cb8bd", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093795", "condition_id": "0x082577cbf3ebeed6fd39a5070ca2c2be830c04bdd9b731b7e4da48ab8e7a0556", "token_id": "10960306871752642007064085518899951237783122541704676644456609328472462840984", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "375eb073628fb44565ac04d875db13dd1298831bbd85a934dc275e0cb4038e17", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 19, "market_id": "3093791", "token_id": "48761166097592809288460383043344979379583625377751156217720528046382923087231", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Xiaomi", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "59694e59390001769d917ff7fef4105830003bbce655bc1f3246e191810967c1", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093791", "condition_id": "0x1bacd3cdaca323b41014419955d7ff6fe160070f7c9160fda84ff5d930262ef1", "token_id": "48761166097592809288460383043344979379583625377751156217720528046382923087231", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "42f394296efaa68af058933de3fa7dfd95d49fe4305a893174db59eafb4b898a", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" }, { "position": 20, "market_id": "3093789", "token_id": "83403092546141516070395009457973002640359799277503289187372390033652460804657", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Z.ai", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "79ccc14ec7d0341e28e768de60ccf223e4e542c0f95329f0195fae571176433a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3093789", "condition_id": "0x6ac16a19ca8a87e6c0ad200f55a7bf1f42cc00ec0c0dd0c3bbb1c9728cd527cf", "token_id": "83403092546141516070395009457973002640359799277503289187372390033652460804657", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Z.ai be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the \"Leaderboard\" tab filtered for \"Labs\" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nResults from the \"Lab Rank\" column under the \"Text Arena | Overall\" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for \"Labs\" will be used to resolve this market.\n\nAI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market\u2019s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard\u2019s \u201cModels\u201d view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, \u201cGoogle\u201d would be ranked ahead of \u201cSpaceXAI\u201d). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to \"Other\".", "resolution_source": "https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs", "close_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-10-01T03:59:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "745668", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "4e9d4222f141fd7ceeb9575f771b441915268e3b420cad96a050f509592c25cd", "event_source_sha256": "8098a4512837bb1750b815a89df9b66ecbe34ca12981921fa5aff0aa54e3253b" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:79905", "title": "Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 6, "semantics_hash": "71ec117dfcd3acc01920ec701c04f0217ab652eeb60a6a666a51b45e7725ba02", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "678686", "678687", "678688", "678689", "678690", "678691" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:79905", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "678686", "token_id": "23556429317429021692175226714041757812438092709195093999386854296551945919152", "outcome": "yes", "label": "1", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "fde9bab1d8502c8e8e2f2f15363f2ef2654b66d97b812aa439cd9c056f7c1c0b", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678686", "condition_id": "0xe67f4d31f0eba1b009b49d7a7739b2a5f53a2d7d979a0902b465a510492c33bb", "token_id": "23556429317429021692175226714041757812438092709195093999386854296551945919152", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\n\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79905", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "fe976b8b4561bb4ac7c918b4f1dc1b1d78e7c4e506a5a97767b2fbe7e0a12282", "event_source_sha256": "b6e2f0575b11f9a0adad658b3aec5c1e7cf0242b3286bceeadc9f4caa710950d" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "678687", "token_id": "93766990226491733942214251921024942451432775407674989883724893659074859142435", "outcome": "yes", "label": "2", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0439c9d2b6e8c82361ffbe6685a6980db597804c26149bad30014ea0b47591fb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678687", "condition_id": "0x376f0a5ce8279b4bf840018217487848634b686a9669c8c2d79eca67410b1aeb", "token_id": "93766990226491733942214251921024942451432775407674989883724893659074859142435", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\n\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79905", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "74abd01ca121930b796869ad8d79cbfbb1f5953a092887f69132a0fcd693d3fb", "event_source_sha256": "b6e2f0575b11f9a0adad658b3aec5c1e7cf0242b3286bceeadc9f4caa710950d" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "678688", "token_id": "106675477628507501040585426713979928715996831915977868937330396914038840931958", "outcome": "yes", "label": "3", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a53e32dd7f58387414f4c0c5c90a1db6f6393f27ae62ff5fb36a94a5eb298e76", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678688", "condition_id": "0x77e931cce8473e1b380bd4457a54d5948d3739894169cb23fb2b1bb20b6897bd", "token_id": "106675477628507501040585426713979928715996831915977868937330396914038840931958", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\n\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79905", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "71a6183c00317164133054dfda6adcf5b2fdcb9225fbabbe3c97c9bfacbadb20", "event_source_sha256": "b6e2f0575b11f9a0adad658b3aec5c1e7cf0242b3286bceeadc9f4caa710950d" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "678689", "token_id": "89122639280139951852974936554756184346358334790398350569653103427135919364268", "outcome": "yes", "label": "4", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "88c84bf1d8dcacf3fdb7773408312995b5c5eb8faaab22d774042c8738f18db7", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678689", "condition_id": "0x6c8a4426ea2278ce7936c770cbf4d66ad2dead1c8ee50e90232e0379f6f42562", "token_id": "89122639280139951852974936554756184346358334790398350569653103427135919364268", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\n\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79905", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9b1029438b3b75043ba50d89779862a7f6b2d506403c014e124eb25456a57d79", "event_source_sha256": "b6e2f0575b11f9a0adad658b3aec5c1e7cf0242b3286bceeadc9f4caa710950d" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "678690", "token_id": "36385708241103656881636928091267439785598872725658076323572114247897288109684", "outcome": "yes", "label": "5", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f52e3ff807f22e31c89d13de5d82859330dc55a4508b671b9ff578a215cc2232", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678690", "condition_id": "0xecf2f4f2222e3393545e73f6ed219065c6bfa5c66db56a66541a4a20961fca26", "token_id": "36385708241103656881636928091267439785598872725658076323572114247897288109684", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\n\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79905", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b95e1008446799ea978433b46b12953b60f34eccb769f67cbbb0ebf683ff3cee", "event_source_sha256": "b6e2f0575b11f9a0adad658b3aec5c1e7cf0242b3286bceeadc9f4caa710950d" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "678691", "token_id": "100089942478247842028749951289465207065086650624241682127064158051748974066771", "outcome": "yes", "label": "6 or lower", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9651fd166c8a519eaa152dfe299dd14b0256b80b0bf506cf3d682811c1685ed3", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "678691", "condition_id": "0x284c11566675c2764eeca776d2e0834fefc1430514b7b55adbb690d2fbbf678e", "token_id": "100089942478247842028749951289465207065086650624241682127064158051748974066771", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the numerical rank of how hot 2026 is when compared against all other years for which the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index has data.\n\nYears will be ranked in descending order, starting with the hottest as number 1, the second hottest as number 2, etc.\n\nIf 2026 ties with any other year, it will resolve according to the place the year it ties with occupies.\n\nThis market will resolve immediately once the specified data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for the relevant years is later revised.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled \"Land-Ocean Temperature Index (C)\" under the column \"No_Smoothing\" in the row \"2026\" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt). If NASA's \"Global Temperature Index\" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for 2026 is provided by NASA by March 1, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "79905", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e3b5d2c320f15d11132e6e929abf5893126fd79eaf165969c42d3012d531f05d", "event_source_sha256": "b6e2f0575b11f9a0adad658b3aec5c1e7cf0242b3286bceeadc9f4caa710950d" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992264", "title": "Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "15de9376f145fcb1645a9fb848256fb0769a02f3668c4136af04c664e4fd9f09", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400109", "4400110", "4400111", "4400112", "4400113", "4400114", "4400115", "4400116", "4400117", "4400118", "4400119" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992264", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400109", "token_id": "71496082010358423892478487224563255806272193385992381674032750241699396239234", "outcome": "yes", "label": "14\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2c4a894260c37e7521b6499dde4c5f9cfaf6e583dfba8e44d7aa0ed3adb37ffa", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400109", "condition_id": "0x302844c638f0933094402fa3f2a8ce9763d4269573967f6fed1660bbf04257de", "token_id": "71496082010358423892478487224563255806272193385992381674032750241699396239234", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "bcd2d821dd45d7844acaf3526bc2fe8ec3135223b601139297f3a7e87bfdee30", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400110", "token_id": "25430553051122585627051396625077908210002173324874941484015539978441698990718", "outcome": "yes", "label": "15\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aa5eb0197a633b5c98f791bea3902c828e65ef560787ad95df1b2bab6b0e9bad", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400110", "condition_id": "0xb13c58e18393c7f93adf553c862981295701b53e9947b5bee032335a9920dc3a", "token_id": "25430553051122585627051396625077908210002173324874941484015539978441698990718", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "46a995ed0a53995bfd584fb2f05630e107c0ee9c52356407a54a3794fb330f53", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400111", "token_id": "99048161694924127840943511123780404896412549232777768465111972097365680956659", "outcome": "yes", "label": "16\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "23a5d0fbd51d206c51289e5b228d60ecd5657a2f0fee3fe7032796e4502e357a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400111", "condition_id": "0xa84e5faf3c4cee0d2806a43225e808f7ab4b0b4c45c6e9b6a2d4448a38e485fc", "token_id": "99048161694924127840943511123780404896412549232777768465111972097365680956659", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b61321bac41b055ec251878cc85fb237cfb18a593ad10698ede331cbed03c003", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400112", "token_id": "8636987845134922162704977988477665532854937272866679870472914609455677084439", "outcome": "yes", "label": "17\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6ca2aafd9bce53461e1904a45b076c91a3723d3332511ad78b42eaea13946692", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400112", "condition_id": "0x2e56a158b35f9ac034bbd5b1df5cddbfc3621d293b549b45cfac6a31b347bd5b", "token_id": "8636987845134922162704977988477665532854937272866679870472914609455677084439", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2f153b404839f08c86c8a685333aaf06254eedb26e3aee40d7c69c3cfd1b0f58", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400113", "token_id": "5710166788720015771363144305101226753993619751639798610592418919290354583866", "outcome": "yes", "label": "18\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "470190f8bf68f6b869659fb20903fb27fbb5e3df033a0bc86ed8a6dbc59566dc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400113", "condition_id": "0x6b836d9f348843505f2810781ca1c8b271b5a0a881fdb3512a849488ffe04e5a", "token_id": "5710166788720015771363144305101226753993619751639798610592418919290354583866", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ad8230a0ba96ffd8a8ec522bfb322c82f93c4cbe7c32ccc482d2aa2d5223cb9b", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400114", "token_id": "27099862525600893386470061241725548796143040666622271983289396728627787024812", "outcome": "yes", "label": "19\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "537de8ee9e7356cd97cdb7c3d95fd179387bc782c10eb578587de3c9b8cb6094", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400114", "condition_id": "0x89a44d78c6469471550faf560b5836fc3880971e2fd58269183fc52449a0aa14", "token_id": "27099862525600893386470061241725548796143040666622271983289396728627787024812", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "67871b29a59de39346367a591d090522babf0b0826a2f940e9d68dc821398f0a", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400115", "token_id": "115711498584130047331858632686655735948684099993304688356760304803894018104992", "outcome": "yes", "label": "20\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dc827bf7c2d0eabc16cdd8396327fb60b6699a211b7bb9a64680d2aa936755a0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400115", "condition_id": "0x1ce39184fbcdae67dd872c85746d40435163030e1f4a59cfebfc8147da632922", "token_id": "115711498584130047331858632686655735948684099993304688356760304803894018104992", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2c1746ae32d52447a0fa18a49e1a662a4a7eeebb964bbbad02a94ac6817b6378", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400116", "token_id": "53130285957738340800732155226833165485622878938133011750748344950778538437142", "outcome": "yes", "label": "21\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a31f23c10b628f0538a1cb67818b9c47fe6d79b9eac5f17dc4a95e5cb0999488", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400116", "condition_id": "0x29871240a721b0f7139779547ed0cb93b51b15944f89d5fb014e9df6ad2fea01", "token_id": "53130285957738340800732155226833165485622878938133011750748344950778538437142", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "142c462547f9a5f3ceb115da288da605861423ef9b918db349b944baa8258688", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400117", "token_id": "43027323508914581393313104455087859564389502757774166535420564099608608937553", "outcome": "yes", "label": "22\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "e4b954d349daf975ce182bd4f69c4e9d90490403042966ddf3513c0370f0b53c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400117", "condition_id": "0x83ed2e328156ddf853f3c534e11961cbdb2d0e9e58c8359f22a4b6845e8bdae3", "token_id": "43027323508914581393313104455087859564389502757774166535420564099608608937553", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6b4c82909d92dedc7ca87f85dc996177174d8c2725c6572c89a800a3440dd9a4", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400118", "token_id": "51277720856531110922684063670187300789865165581436517499784074386695056895700", "outcome": "yes", "label": "23\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8ea4cf3bfa98fb83bfe0a5414ba2c10c5e080a57c8cd9605ea2ff02d5c6c04ca", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400118", "condition_id": "0xaefa8b0f327f47053138747b14477cf6975877640f0f7e8a85f26cc776e10480", "token_id": "51277720856531110922684063670187300789865165581436517499784074386695056895700", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "42cf5e5d0558696b02d8b7a3d461b71f9850adbaa59e88183eeb1d9acb094de6", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400119", "token_id": "85816391846208478751483480968279235576539570167634523079341783272177873584456", "outcome": "yes", "label": "24\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8b09ad99255db0d9f46603781d8516f44f5697d3c15e7b2eb8d15ebea162d9d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400119", "condition_id": "0x1bac33a19050bac53352e7c5ffa8a381f4f3e1b9d29d20d68251d183cdbbe738", "token_id": "85816391846208478751483480968279235576539570167634523079341783272177873584456", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992264", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e3b358de7b05acc00f5c37d6ec1316be151f530feb6ed2494c115730f688b94f", "event_source_sha256": "ce3f0262983ec53ae911bc2e029ef6cfc09fd5745df8abe4ae8e53c8aaf8e5f4" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:993454", "title": "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "851cbf5fe56bf82cf1ac1c718f59ac1c5125d106589d81cbe1435ef7fe0accf9", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4404579", "4404580", "4404581", "4404582", "4404583", "4404584", "4404585", "4404586", "4404587", "4404588", "4404589" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:993454", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4404579", "token_id": "9583460439260373594942209096568623457241170263724584978688588756425092221964", "outcome": "yes", "label": "71\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "8c0579ee8b9bb2a3ae787821dc89075908044d3f2a985b438b009b277349fab9", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404579", "condition_id": "0x9f73c5b234f99ad05957acbfb34170b9fa842b5d6112af697da2db9cd716c7bf", "token_id": "9583460439260373594942209096568623457241170263724584978688588756425092221964", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 71\u00b0F or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "929b5702bbcfb5c62ececdd0e0b38b8704676b4f08125fd811c2ce97693a06fc", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4404580", "token_id": "69750869350253790385617544632583239444440073361385134557606044487671739111069", "outcome": "yes", "label": "72-73\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "50e0948274b83c05561444ba4a2dfa6633f8be332e161d61d4a91b766f60086c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404580", "condition_id": "0x617051626bdc1238bc096be1ddd10088e82b51e262d8b24b9831a18d7b1732e4", "token_id": "69750869350253790385617544632583239444440073361385134557606044487671739111069", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "37c2cfc6712b28e8e14f13e9c065fbaafebd1c535610862321c25a9a0a8d6923", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4404581", "token_id": "51179335769264623487901328800276130892721802224427536171906391261984019841941", "outcome": "yes", "label": "74-75\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "481346d9c1ea4968d9bc0d785454319dfaa461aa053bcd94c3f45098411d8726", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404581", "condition_id": "0xf643f58e39edd7aa810d2a64493fc00baa37d09d4da9546eac6e4e7eb5c7eb7b", "token_id": "51179335769264623487901328800276130892721802224427536171906391261984019841941", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "ba1b0c9456fd7e6b23502db695a945a2257285503a17aed8578a61e0cb46f986", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4404582", "token_id": "89253928571796444641837503079761081289304863909578015389512314084542502415439", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76-77\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "6c2a6b232b16daff65f71232d3ac81455607758c6f2954983294bb49f1486956", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404582", "condition_id": "0x3d43fa657da954587e0fe28df40d1b7c251d824ccb17ef79e663e04a5d45149e", "token_id": "89253928571796444641837503079761081289304863909578015389512314084542502415439", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6f3547bd7087f4e5536793ec33c3c1a9ebba0cb39bc5fd8b461d059be74aebaa", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4404583", "token_id": "41281699288178980503729940816639210804343244976331810420496619602299443120965", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78-79\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "dd095d35663e198082ae94eb5f7853b367f5641a0ab2a23c07f0b664371e6092", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404583", "condition_id": "0x9d9c48a2dd093c1502c90e869f11a9599d3f139f299eddc8c778d7e3cb294e8f", "token_id": "41281699288178980503729940816639210804343244976331810420496619602299443120965", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "f75b362f0e9d85f440de1c1a407dc27198b562daa08cc39f26a30adc633d5b1b", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4404584", "token_id": "14779059795726299343721620489209032318958123346510935249091440452395616858438", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "79fca97be9973bebd4b923da10185526f5add033c564a40a211fc0ed0d49c440", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404584", "condition_id": "0x41feb2aefb31a915b14ca4950faff7ff5a77476b657e6e25a592acbbe4bcb871", "token_id": "14779059795726299343721620489209032318958123346510935249091440452395616858438", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "7e5fb88de83c551288f20ba7c1d1d227f635574baa28e4f95e24800ecf30618a", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4404585", "token_id": "29995189829311735022192347886301900129860311023588031661323968295223927768415", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "41c922e39cd1081052907d3ffd3347e362f6d20001915721636e5fe42f4a4027", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404585", "condition_id": "0x769bebf66d5a1b7a620bb2e4b980b5f45b7ae381debcf9e3ec6e68454b7bb36e", "token_id": "29995189829311735022192347886301900129860311023588031661323968295223927768415", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "30063c7a90264da8afff77c2b57867817cc909e863d7037f325454743a9eba45", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4404586", "token_id": "22900754906085002829036218802016930264354388811800844579781914026795410338099", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ef0c59c27ca1baea1a878852b01a733c9f36119cdb48bc64d71dd0c38c20a995", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404586", "condition_id": "0xdf0bf758366477ee97f142218bf040337f6e527f73d7a6504eab43ab4ee6f144", "token_id": "22900754906085002829036218802016930264354388811800844579781914026795410338099", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "5eb500e4999d789546d7ec0f56951b5952f472e7a277faf38608c0e4f3fc5452", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4404587", "token_id": "102723073726314615439793506004987767982581593253738832876509438673904148200333", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86-87\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "a5b80d498e06056a3ec44968decc94d630ad4c30c0a934a6180beefcf0554f08", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404587", "condition_id": "0xf6d549d54451af700ce94ae4565c2dbd786c794852ae2174237f865fb5aab63a", "token_id": "102723073726314615439793506004987767982581593253738832876509438673904148200333", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2521145ec59b0bf13d1c8f80159c0b603e79486f8783cb407cf0b3eb2278c32f", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4404588", "token_id": "1417821713040532394316256986594979534090725346727883146569428754061302087158", "outcome": "yes", "label": "88-89\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "1d9de2a7868b7e43d9282815ad07caafdeb63ae06c2c72cdf2e527b4bec9d460", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404588", "condition_id": "0x7296d91cf0730973be6037eef389b5c05218ab5767b2676274c49c1c639c97ff", "token_id": "1417821713040532394316256986594979534090725346727883146569428754061302087158", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89\u00b0F on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "16ba32fc8740180d920e3991cf641f1007ba8d690a78102249dfb94d80395410", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4404589", "token_id": "85358767232097952925559216571670067909906963803280425457094404477612949064369", "outcome": "yes", "label": "90\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ab2131470138d2b783b619c77cc316527f7727b148e49a7a9aa0a9969456efc2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4404589", "condition_id": "0x7f8280063c683f4fce001cc182aeb81d9fd93a6f38c944c368c742d268373d9e", "token_id": "85358767232097952925559216571670067909906963803280425457094404477612949064369", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90\u00b0F or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "993454", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "12789e0c18ae434bf1faecb6b31dd3482377ad73b430ba33d9cc9fffc3c6b8fd", "event_source_sha256": "5c19f53e1eafb28587d4d08858851614db2e7003b0edb17abe3af90069a27f71" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:987160", "title": "Lowest temperature in NYC on September 10?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "d5262bfcdf4c973408a2acca001cdb947aa94a245c525e98afa7acd4decb76c0", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4358852", "4358853", "4358854", "4358855", "4358856", "4358857", "4358858", "4358859", "4358860", "4358861", "4358862" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:987160", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4358852", "token_id": "38861520658049609870448033135765248005310253439135298740764440093419111991822", "outcome": "yes", "label": "67\u00b0F or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aefacd9534348e0560e9a505b3f102acbe337ff1e4c11f816cce7457abbb7843", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358852", "condition_id": "0x95c8c5a7783d06f0b9032f6acdbd2a6569bfd1e7252cb865e49f2ff625b8e750", "token_id": "38861520658049609870448033135765248005310253439135298740764440093419111991822", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 67\u00b0F or below on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "8288cd2aca62a0eeae40ca48509baef81192ccb785dc840463c93fb827185b40", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4358853", "token_id": "45290957279699777222064452797974119010438520734149803498145049057268003849177", "outcome": "yes", "label": "68-69\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "423ec8c9a1fd519674e817e9db929ae0641904182f1e8bdc8f0428e6e382c674", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358853", "condition_id": "0xdf680835176b6279cffd17aa9e6871e860237e8d5984e47b8d1f1ff5865c80d8", "token_id": "45290957279699777222064452797974119010438520734149803498145049057268003849177", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "13416f9d2368e055c2612c5635f73defb256c6c4b9c8ae7b4d425c4b6366034d", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4358854", "token_id": "14236989535338500256791959844818438506851808322536599645420593071340889235016", "outcome": "yes", "label": "70-71\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2890f61ca8df4b2aaa9d62cf65170b39e1aab627c393be66126e7b8dc0a07ea8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358854", "condition_id": "0x04e2aeaef6fed40169092e41a3e644f77819a3ffc0028e78e9c4f48b4ad75726", "token_id": "14236989535338500256791959844818438506851808322536599645420593071340889235016", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2c58fa744c0690070585779a7fbfc604d2c725d0c5e2eb0d8622d0cdbb347ce9", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4358855", "token_id": "60125958528571938085948853760413298281038785380086949794752432333323540363683", "outcome": "yes", "label": "72-73\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "d5f8423a27137dc32c97d99f6e3603282ac53a806dcd62e092ebc7994fbc7358", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358855", "condition_id": "0x5eb7e27ec3b5da3fcd65753993f54d046123271feff739b7a317ee3d848cdf05", "token_id": "60125958528571938085948853760413298281038785380086949794752432333323540363683", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "a64c212cd06a2c07646b09aec8b24937a356ee4441f03b90c310ac6ea8b00868", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4358856", "token_id": "28794795565110207894766418563189393938334050503947300330666667166069209563769", "outcome": "yes", "label": "74-75\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "0d660dad8af010697da7607969269ed627338a257dbdd5a804f248da3bfd180a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358856", "condition_id": "0x0a30796397c84114e583673c1f9e448e3185c219a57b36af743e97adf8c968ac", "token_id": "28794795565110207894766418563189393938334050503947300330666667166069209563769", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "eb89402242db4aff9fd17179bc117cc31c788c2777aff917ecaaa4263919507e", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4358857", "token_id": "78252199839210995413749801570842813968300457877528073276564690975508937271596", "outcome": "yes", "label": "76-77\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "2857c888f9978057d750d588584a6b08a8d2fa1888ea35bd883e6a17d19d9265", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358857", "condition_id": "0xe0e093551ad672b35192fe0270ffcb1c6caeae5cb2479abf3833017e64dccc48", "token_id": "78252199839210995413749801570842813968300457877528073276564690975508937271596", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "71c00f5f98774d905d3a86abc2763101f3da3e9677fc8087918098b070c4d007", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4358858", "token_id": "60765590681273108636112731749801661107686613833518734549959307414004633964024", "outcome": "yes", "label": "78-79\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "aecc5fa166b04e746a837b37291d797cc0ac52e687c8e56d93ca5a66d50094d8", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358858", "condition_id": "0x7cf3809e5368fa27d31f570e8ddb7c79da3d3af219ee4e51f62a2a665443b400", "token_id": "60765590681273108636112731749801661107686613833518734549959307414004633964024", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 78-79\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "4a8a63df88cf55ae887469fe25aaef663997c9a66184e8ac5f9f27ab02f41a80", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4358859", "token_id": "75646126498332145363518381751494340198003084476794295147382933448571088540967", "outcome": "yes", "label": "80-81\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "928cfd2a6a181020cc6ed694dc552983ea62d9e5e3b20fcd495b7a2639cef105", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358859", "condition_id": "0x2533a3b882fc67747bc679e471233a30b15e21f39e9d5a20ecaff25683aad4da", "token_id": "75646126498332145363518381751494340198003084476794295147382933448571088540967", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "d1d1881470d1f5c82302cdb57c674446424ae72afff5ccb41b7ea1aad1e799cd", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4358860", "token_id": "4186324559769538654571323008986925222321140505218999623653458003358246844238", "outcome": "yes", "label": "82-83\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "eb0b91542fc1686f5334ac8f0564b3f8d01013abd9d42253294dbd46daa6a272", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358860", "condition_id": "0x1d6b4d1b47b9be2706f7dc89db8b35fa3e47cd5ee5779527f9c268303b40ff3e", "token_id": "4186324559769538654571323008986925222321140505218999623653458003358246844238", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "1407c5216e1476c5829a46cabcd3d44ac343b8c70cfafb4151cd59ddd6bd324a", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4358861", "token_id": "36164866110899807681273058882765737702283827557866490785772877927492496431527", "outcome": "yes", "label": "84-85\u00b0F", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "103ca5d42a248feabb287abdec4c9170b3adcf58d947e203c0aff3d42a4d4566", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358861", "condition_id": "0xe9bfaea0f36d649a7389ed51c7d39c02b3d78b02156272cc36a2a931ced2b31c", "token_id": "36164866110899807681273058882765737702283827557866490785772877927492496431527", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 84-85\u00b0F on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "e2a518f26358ec7c3b80e091d1f3a1d58f3e27ea3a4bfbff967e7097d0e391b8", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4358862", "token_id": "12547383457294730820690744950114799281710465945861367267062862697406847492079", "outcome": "yes", "label": "86\u00b0F or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "7bd5a5ae696192f86a19f07b9f984a5269fa46eb3c9c4b3a5e41e4a8b81c95db", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4358862", "condition_id": "0xa72b168f0ab3fbf1d4bd535e5f5ee79c8d3cc9748ddc494111a348c33983c206", "token_id": "12547383457294730820690744950114799281710465945861367267062862697406847492079", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 86\u00b0F or higher on September 10?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga\n\nThis market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the \"Show Hourly Data\" button.\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to US Units w/ kts\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0F.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21\u00b0F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga", "close_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-10T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "987160", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c4d59e77810d0922fc0af7354c10897ac2f365a8608dee5625d3a20c8d1713f3", "event_source_sha256": "e2ccdc3a4f9fb3cc70d9c9fc313ec66bb5412df80ea35620cbdc1d4177f47047" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:992249", "title": "Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 11?", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "approved", "known_differences": [], "member_count": 11, "semantics_hash": "933b405d32fa0b53df30109ed01c64c71d4eb1e7bf3d823e110e9888668449d5", "current": true, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "4400024", "4400025", "4400026", "4400027", "4400028", "4400029", "4400030", "4400031", "4400032", "4400033", "4400034" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:992249", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "4400024", "token_id": "83693809289122373758696953383597102321148622860558522845652121363154353464707", "outcome": "yes", "label": "28\u00b0C or below", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "577ef97d24ee29a4159c99efe70ca32a9554480771de8fca4fe8481fb2900d1e", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400024", "condition_id": "0x241fcccddc9b118298f1fc1768e657699a4adf209346e88a292a809c65fe3530", "token_id": "83693809289122373758696953383597102321148622860558522845652121363154353464707", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28\u00b0C or below on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "97f68ee5bfa33fdba874ae6f2782846b86a813231dbc97646de798e92054611c", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "4400025", "token_id": "29081998817274611299337775717656055918530645551242954364484871208661440507365", "outcome": "yes", "label": "29\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "abfbf7806dd5e971eb74df3c87e2052ccafd8e11321ee9c191031ae56a3a02b6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400025", "condition_id": "0xc998c9efb63f8ac6196ef78c32f9692ee6da71643200c56a0c43dd6fc8c528c2", "token_id": "29081998817274611299337775717656055918530645551242954364484871208661440507365", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "815e4551fd448573d5bdc5c548c3326bbf9685f4c1f933882c73a344198195a7", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "4400026", "token_id": "30773623781200806770088953298785066449854346149631152360037588624283964175882", "outcome": "yes", "label": "30\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "64fb3e0ba90cf98e327cc20cb26f529da19e1a445e70cbecc6aadd5a13ea32a6", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400026", "condition_id": "0x31e1f7da819b43f0a418642e7ea7bc0ed70849380ac84a4f16acd51d6338e305", "token_id": "30773623781200806770088953298785066449854346149631152360037588624283964175882", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "9a7d443a047aa3d53d34e3a807489030d8caa6765c3010a91f8c4e7f796f8113", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 3, "market_id": "4400027", "token_id": "93308321755628972238699597817950151462413646817172052887479103008414206200091", "outcome": "yes", "label": "31\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "f72b7b03feff301bf7484e39866a203309b144705c30154c157211c0ed9802bc", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400027", "condition_id": "0x653b20c07824b3df8c1f5c4d84dcb314e77d669d2aede209d9f063168dd0f437", "token_id": "93308321755628972238699597817950151462413646817172052887479103008414206200091", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "6b113713fca06483b8e8e3a4b2893caa0e6538e5976e55dd6496536998771d45", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 4, "market_id": "4400028", "token_id": "1061586761296761058531855905117832660320339593829113976493493312051249744754", "outcome": "yes", "label": "32\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "3697c58392f84aefcb328fd7e3e5d9f3a94e2adf9109e3dfd87d2f5c231c6722", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400028", "condition_id": "0xfcda55e6ec77200b09e2f0906c9e921e5d2fba48f20bbe5bc86b4e8163faa1c5", "token_id": "1061586761296761058531855905117832660320339593829113976493493312051249744754", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "468174242bae8e4faf84a53829ace546f3a956bd81c21a955423819ebd46aba4", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 5, "market_id": "4400029", "token_id": "80151095854965038672804839888616551756958349744009674323169810462925197721035", "outcome": "yes", "label": "33\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ddb9dfac811a7fdcf5e68df44232e0c427cf3f0595b5fd70652ba1ce8906a275", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400029", "condition_id": "0xdfc8aae499c587b046e25a33ec1a100b4da9d793c9c6846326fc114f0b394ffb", "token_id": "80151095854965038672804839888616551756958349744009674323169810462925197721035", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "b9fbd3cc886953eb0c52d69ffaced1429cf78181656d7945984f39ab0a785e34", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 6, "market_id": "4400030", "token_id": "93669342502295134769415092343212191234779271487201992330511792365672540227524", "outcome": "yes", "label": "34\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "9b047aea968412c3246c7caeaa88fd617b1e2089aae5c90298897d9e734d2a5d", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400030", "condition_id": "0xa9f229491e08728a506252e6de77d64cc3336c908e74d72251ef1db420826e31", "token_id": "93669342502295134769415092343212191234779271487201992330511792365672540227524", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "c2d10bf8ec3ddb3d66e1f02233f20fc69d34c53508e92cc934ad6709bb45fab3", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 7, "market_id": "4400031", "token_id": "87795829197534641878390641005942031999969617584973374108861339529531675873649", "outcome": "yes", "label": "35\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "c5e0c2b9e70ad77cbe249663a3946a1ce496a238a3953d7b92c177245141c842", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400031", "condition_id": "0x9df671c05fb944037ef6afde4aa90c4da8e4090c5277d4bb6d868e0c6b4c0889", "token_id": "87795829197534641878390641005942031999969617584973374108861339529531675873649", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "85fddf5a27ab723a03d381425758c9a24a07152edf0a34a27c866bb8d82048e1", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 8, "market_id": "4400032", "token_id": "75717203402417892569113808991722993861273750566550530619890662838863447852085", "outcome": "yes", "label": "36\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "999a858bee7bce530da9b2ab03eb777be9c1e3e2db2700c5336b02963a6a017a", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400032", "condition_id": "0x60e221038f8784bdcabd7d7c9124051fadeab2d61bcbf152bd79c67f72e58c8c", "token_id": "75717203402417892569113808991722993861273750566550530619890662838863447852085", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "94e01c2b620c4712533c9294c4a48629777557e31224d25a3c136286e01a5727", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 9, "market_id": "4400033", "token_id": "55422184692759384963935201041371838624592830225566099561757575721884390702920", "outcome": "yes", "label": "37\u00b0C", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "23ffe9aa3d4b17bfe1f9ef2745f2ee1e4565eaf4891a123514dc14b1596800c0", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400033", "condition_id": "0xa5af5493ff50c86d36c5cdf9a43af12168e7667f95ade0e1cd80f88e3d1aa49f", "token_id": "55422184692759384963935201041371838624592830225566099561757575721884390702920", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37\u00b0C on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "2cc3e9e751272a0caf7f5bc611441d0bf7f66b880d0430bedc2e692a56199df5", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" }, { "position": 10, "market_id": "4400034", "token_id": "105159617270857915736692671498108790516791660396238220523530215613728121758896", "outcome": "yes", "label": "38\u00b0C or higher", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "ac2b926d5773531f5d1590a3bce7e59a6107ad944149888b52254edd1f179552", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "4400034", "condition_id": "0xf1153eb9575c34ca64f2e74f0aa1f23a70caeb3aa39c63ffa32ef733869019cb", "token_id": "105159617270857915736692671498108790516791660396238220523530215613728121758896", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38\u00b0C or higher on September 11?", "rules": "This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the \"Temp\" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG\n\nIf NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.\n\nIn the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nTo toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the \"Switch to Metric Units\" button until the relevant table displays \u00b0C.\n\nThis market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.\n\nThe resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9\u00b0C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.\n\nRevisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00+00:00", "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": "2026-09-11T12:00:00Z", "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "992249", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": false }, "market_source_sha256": "264cbe46f01c2d9f3b8559d26de69b4a83bfbdab5d0a6629602b7907ecdd5e4f", "event_source_sha256": "34bd1fca41e614d90aa2b5cf1984345c84ec1f2a5caed97e8b07820a063a3b73" } ] }, { "id": "polymarket:negative-risk:768653", "title": "ATP 2026 End of Year Rankings: Player to be Number 1", "kind": "exclusive_exhaustive", "approval_state": "quarantined", "known_differences": [ "missing_close_time", "augmented_negative_risk", "incomplete_event_membership", "semantics_changed" ], "member_count": 3, "semantics_hash": "32a9bd9bab39e6d3d91c1fb3638ebf71e79f59f0238b821a1b06ef1a72bd8b8a", "current": false, "active": false, "declared_member_ids": [ "3204345", "3204346", "3204347", "3204348", "3204349", "3204350" ], "detail_endpoint": "/api/v1/relationships/polymarket:negative-risk:768653", "legs": [ { "position": 0, "market_id": "3204346", "token_id": "16646174889035706204781590439511143271544677193562041608090915025585262362806", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Alexander Zverev", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "5bc5e12cb670a25446d4800464f913f4875fca8b2d15208a5e31602579dceda2", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3204346", "condition_id": "0x383c06c778337a245f886a415fba3f989178b53c116f024f17962878873343ac", "token_id": "16646174889035706204781590439511143271544677193562041608090915025585262362806", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings, as published by the ATP at the conclusion of 2026.\n\nIf the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the official ATP year-end rankings as published by the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "768653", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "1aa6a5f217ec318da54e84acdc12364467986d59548e8ae5621c057a8a2d0df8", "event_source_sha256": "64e6a5b9d09587e31ba9813eab39cf41e8b3e493d4ce91cb162f863d2122deb4" }, { "position": 1, "market_id": "3204347", "token_id": "269253751072642751418705846170654950449211907944454471620663478961839770169", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Carlos Alcaraz", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "b1e5b794ebce7ab5bf69876cfd11ff2f1e0a2c269ae3f2cca88ab76b38b2ebdb", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3204347", "condition_id": "0xa92b4e2ad14285ef000d8c66c925eeb80e60a41a6b63adce767639064dac323d", "token_id": "269253751072642751418705846170654950449211907944454471620663478961839770169", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Carlos Alcaraz be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings, as published by the ATP at the conclusion of 2026.\n\nIf the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the official ATP year-end rankings as published by the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES resolves true, otherwise zero", "event_id": "768653", "negative_risk": true, "negative_risk_augmented": true }, "market_source_sha256": "7ed7b5db2a96006d3a98d7e290f124394eab709476c682765caf8f7eeadde265", "event_source_sha256": "64e6a5b9d09587e31ba9813eab39cf41e8b3e493d4ce91cb162f863d2122deb4" }, { "position": 2, "market_id": "3204345", "token_id": "82685972593952135814087966225588528193192836399645312163999406156413037235446", "outcome": "yes", "label": "Jannik Sinner", "ratio": "1", "contract_semantics_hash": "df6c62fbf6e11c2733f9ecafa8621ae45b106c2e2e3f41834edd950119dbbd1c", "normalized": { "venue": "polymarket", "market_id": "3204345", "condition_id": "0xaa6a337930eb163a2b33f1d2beaa97a8d7c3a064a49a4c4c3bb26113b0db6e77", "token_id": "82685972593952135814087966225588528193192836399645312163999406156413037235446", "outcome": "yes", "title": "Will Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings", "rules": "This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 ATP year-end singles rankings, as published by the ATP at the conclusion of 2026.\n\nIf the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other.\"\n\nIf multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the official ATP year-end rankings as published by the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.", "resolution_source": "", "close_time": null, "determination_time": null, "latest_settlement_time": null, "timezone": "UTC", "cancellation_rules": "", "postponement_rules": "", "payout_currency": "USDC", "payout_amount": "1", "payout_behavior": "one dollar when YES 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